Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 13 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 January 2016, Chelsea 2 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          21   43  +16       3.54    70.41    -0.52    74.77     5.55    29.08    44.80    78.41    91.32    96.57    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        21   43  +13      13.20    97.76    11.54    67.34     5.75    14.19     6.83    22.00    49.40    69.86    90.27     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         21   40  +18      -2.41    34.35    -4.18    74.23     5.52    35.37    43.28    77.00    90.36    96.08    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        21   36  +17       1.21    57.06     8.02    64.23     5.77    24.40     3.05    11.72    30.78    52.57    80.65     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         21   35   +9       5.29    79.35     7.71    58.78     5.71     9.73     0.37     1.99     7.10    16.30    43.59     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          21   34   +7      -2.21    36.44    -4.00    62.63     5.66    14.85     1.42     6.74    20.28    38.34    70.89     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            21   32   +2       3.44    70.16     2.11    54.59     5.58     1.07     0.05     0.30     1.54     4.36    17.48     0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   31   +3       4.52    76.17     6.04    52.02     5.54    -0.11     0.00     0.09     0.53     1.76     8.79     0.18R    0.00  
Liverpool        21   31   -2      -0.08    49.52    -5.27    57.44     5.87     2.69     0.13     1.02     4.41    11.12    33.51     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          21   29   +1       3.79    71.97     6.74    50.47     5.75    -1.87     0.01     0.05     0.30     1.16     6.15     0.57R    0.00  
Everton          21   28   +7      -3.81    28.82     2.69    55.13     5.80    12.78     0.05     0.45     2.34     6.55    23.66     0.06R    0.00  
Southampton      21   27   +4      -5.48    20.27    -1.42    52.27     5.71     6.91     0.01     0.13     0.70     2.35    11.26     0.23R    0.01  
West_Brom        21   27   -5       2.50    66.00     1.07    47.18     5.53    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.18     1.59     2.19R    0.04  
Chelsea          21   24   -3     -12.49     2.71   -14.68    52.94     5.77     5.43     0.01     0.12     0.89     2.80    13.09     0.23R    0.00  
Norwich          21   23  -11       0.50    54.24    -0.66    41.60     5.66   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    16.01R    0.90  
Bournemouth      21   21  -14      -0.03    51.18    -0.61    38.34     5.58   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    34.68R    3.34  
Swansea          21   19  -11      -6.17    16.88    -5.55    38.83     5.59   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    27.75R    2.29  
Sunderland       21   18  -15      -3.05    31.75    -2.26    33.87     5.32   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.08R   10.52  
Newcastle        21   18  -16      -2.43    35.69    -2.05    35.54     5.42   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.55R    7.33  
Aston_Villa      21   11  -20      -7.94     8.26    -4.73    25.81     5.10   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R   75.57  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 January 2016, Hull 2 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   25   55  +25      10.18    93.12     9.57    93.08     6.29    38.02    67.49    88.60    99.92    92.47P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            26   50  +20       3.80    69.06     4.89    85.68     6.18    32.12    16.44    50.31    98.27    67.09P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           26   49  +20       3.37    67.38     4.81    84.70     6.26    32.31    12.96    43.88    97.58    61.57P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         26   45  +16       0.87    54.42     3.40    78.15     6.32    24.37     2.29    11.03    84.02    32.97P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         26   44   +5       5.22    75.92     0.12    74.36     6.34     9.57     0.51     3.34    62.34    15.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        26   44   +4       7.88    85.72     2.65    71.80     6.19     5.20     0.19     1.34    44.84     9.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       26   42   +9       5.34    76.36     7.12    70.28     6.24    10.58     0.08     0.91    38.31     7.40P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      26   40   +3       5.45    77.31     4.20    66.03     6.23     1.33     0.02     0.17    15.30     2.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         26   37   +2       1.44    57.97     1.54    65.09     6.24     3.18     0.00     0.08    12.74     2.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   26   37   +1      -1.49    42.35    -3.47    65.85     6.30     3.30     0.01     0.19    15.54     3.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       26   36   +1      -1.20    43.83    -1.33    65.39     6.38     4.07     0.00     0.12    14.68     2.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Reading         26   34   +2      -0.37    48.56     3.51    60.60     6.19     1.25     0.00     0.01     3.95     0.66P    0.25R    0.00  
Preston         26   34   +0      -0.26    49.16     1.03    60.12     6.19    -1.18     0.00     0.01     3.17     0.59P    0.20R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   26   32   +1      -3.99    29.95     0.01    59.09     6.19     0.73     0.00     0.00     2.21     0.45P    0.45R    0.01  
Leeds_United    26   32   -3      -0.21    49.27     1.47    57.39     6.14    -5.37     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.14P    0.95R    0.03  
Huddersfield    26   31   -1      -1.74    41.28     3.52    55.13     6.25    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.08P    2.28R    0.07  
QPR             26   31   -3      -5.88    22.19    -4.88    60.05     6.45    -0.29     0.00     0.01     3.51     0.74P    0.46R    0.03  
Blackburn       25   29   +1      -6.50    18.54    -1.28    58.07     6.31     1.85     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.36P    0.74R    0.03  
Fulham          26   27   -4      -6.32    20.19     0.51    52.10     6.29    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    6.56R    0.53  
Rotherham       26   24  -12      -3.43    32.30     0.71    44.86     5.99   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.74R    6.96  
MK_Dons         26   23  -17      -5.80    21.77    -7.05    45.47     6.18   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.06R    6.62  
Bristol_City    26   21  -23      -6.06    20.27    -9.65    41.97     6.12   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.15R   17.87  
Charlton        26   20  -26      -5.98    19.54   -11.84    39.67     5.82   -37.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.92R   29.63  
Bolton          26   17  -21     -10.77     5.73    -9.55    38.09     5.94   -30.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.16R   38.22  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 January 2016, Coventry 1 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    24   51  +13      15.62    98.21     9.21    82.77     6.93    15.52    22.68    40.78    89.14    49.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       26   50  +19       8.72    86.88    10.40    81.92     6.56    25.85    19.47    38.03    88.97    49.57P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          25   49  +18       9.40    89.86    10.16    83.14     6.58    25.93    24.68    45.28    92.20    56.89P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         26   48  +22       5.69    77.02    11.97    80.25     6.49    29.27    13.54    29.63    84.92    43.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            26   45  +14      -1.03    44.18    -1.39    80.54     6.45    26.01    14.27    30.38    85.78    49.52P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     25   40  +14      -0.31    48.05     4.61    74.95     6.78    23.51     3.74    10.09    59.10    23.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        25   37   +5      -2.39    37.31    -2.69    70.28     6.67    11.75     0.74     2.45    29.47     9.67P    0.10R    0.00  
Millwall         25   37   +3      -0.60    46.91    -1.95    68.49     6.78     6.95     0.45     1.47    20.61     6.16P    0.31R    0.00  
Southend         25   37   -1       5.67    78.03     3.37    63.53     6.63    -4.26     0.05     0.22     5.92     1.30P    1.62R    0.02  
Port_Vale        25   36   +2       2.33    62.68     2.85    63.91     6.59     0.69     0.05     0.25     6.73     1.58P    1.23R    0.02  
Rochdale         25   34   +4      -1.56    42.03     2.18    65.22     6.75     7.51     0.09     0.42    10.42     2.63P    0.92R    0.02  
Doncaster        25   34   -2      -0.54    47.28    -2.39    62.57     6.63    -2.31     0.04     0.13     4.62     1.00P    2.16R    0.05  
Bradford         23   34   -2       3.45    69.10    -0.76    66.08     6.97    -0.90     0.18     0.71    12.22     2.94P    0.82R    0.01  
Bury             24   33   -4       4.05    71.28     2.42    59.88     6.88    -9.39     0.01     0.05     2.36     0.44P    6.37R    0.09  
Scunthorpe       25   32   -3       0.30    52.14     1.05    59.22     6.56    -5.49     0.00     0.02     1.50     0.32P    6.32R    0.13  
Swindon          25   31   -4      -6.22    20.73    -8.33    61.93     6.72    -0.94     0.01     0.06     3.97     1.08P    3.02R    0.06  
Chesterfield     26   30   -7      -5.55    23.77    -6.58    57.60     6.48    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.18P    9.56R    0.25  
Barnsley         24   27   -7      -5.67    22.29    -6.25    56.76     6.88    -7.93     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.15P   13.24R    0.61  
Fleetwood_Town   24   26   -2      -4.80    25.34     1.20    54.27     6.71    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   20.82R    1.18  
Shrewsbury       25   26  -11      -4.79    26.46    -5.54    51.22     6.63   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   38.81R    2.86  
Blackpool        25   25  -13      -4.34    28.47    -6.04    50.29     6.54   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   44.71R    4.10  
Oldham           24   21  -12      -7.09    15.71    -4.57    45.89     6.59   -19.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.93R   12.80  
Colchester       25   21  -25      -4.27    27.99    -8.44    42.36     6.34   -38.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.42R   31.60  
Crewe            24   20  -21      -2.66    35.47    -4.48    40.24     6.25   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.62R   46.20  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 January 2016, Morecambe 1 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             26   52  +17       9.17    88.96     6.54    84.78     6.38    24.80    29.32    71.26    97.13    78.25P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          25   52  +15      13.10    95.89     7.97    85.36     6.74    21.83    32.80    72.47    96.96    77.91P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   48  +19       7.63    84.88    10.01    81.99     6.63    26.64    18.59    55.54    93.21    65.30P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   44  +22       2.57    63.45    11.35    78.76     6.69    30.91     9.34    37.63    85.26    51.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       26   43  +10       5.22    74.95     6.62    72.36     6.52    13.01     1.26     9.04    51.26    18.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +8       2.19    61.76     0.69    74.19     6.89    13.99     2.57    15.21    61.46    27.60P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   39  +12       7.91    86.53    10.88    74.20     7.49    15.32     3.27    17.29    60.86    25.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield            25   38  +10       4.70    73.87    11.29    65.21     6.56     7.85     0.10     1.18    15.20     3.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        25   37   +5      -6.15    21.29    -8.54    73.50     6.85    16.87     2.12    13.52    59.61    29.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             23   37   +3       5.79    78.79     4.11    68.45     7.28     2.19     0.50     4.28    28.96     8.69P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   36   +4       1.99    60.81     4.52    64.34     6.68     3.24     0.04     0.83    12.50     3.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        26   36   +0       2.25    61.91     3.28    61.52     6.46    -3.32     0.00     0.22     5.56     1.21P    0.11R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         26   34  -11      -1.01    45.29    -9.85    61.64     6.61   -10.88     0.01     0.18     5.45     1.29P    0.15R    0.02  
Morecambe            24   32   +1      -0.68    46.82     1.80    62.78     6.97     1.58     0.03     0.59     9.46     2.51P    0.10R    0.02  
Exeter               25   31   -6      -1.42    42.92    -2.81    57.62     6.67    -9.61     0.00     0.03     1.78     0.43P    0.73R    0.17  
Barnet               26   31   -8       0.93    55.73     1.24    54.39     6.50   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.11P    2.32R    0.48  
Luton                25   30   +0      -5.55    23.49    -1.84    60.80     6.73     2.90     0.01     0.18     5.42     1.51P    0.19R    0.02  
Notts_County         24   30   -7      -4.60    27.17    -9.32    62.65     7.10    -3.42     0.03     0.53     8.99     2.65P    0.20R    0.03  
Stevenage            26   27  -12      -7.59    16.34    -9.97    53.61     6.53   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    2.98R    0.72  
Newport_County       24   20  -12      -7.84    13.46    -4.19    46.00     6.73   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   22.20R    8.94  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.42    42.47    -3.73    45.11     7.00   -29.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   29.80R   13.58  
Dag_&_Red            25   19  -19      -9.04    10.14    -8.94    42.48     6.44   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.42R   20.75  
Yeovil               25   17  -15     -13.73     2.69   -10.01    42.65     6.67   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.90R   18.51  
York                 24   16  -21     -10.45     6.28   -11.10    39.81     6.58   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.84R   36.72  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 January 2016, Aldershot 3 1 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       28   60  +34       3.67    67.83     6.57    95.76     5.71    50.97    73.96    99.85    83.82P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   55  +20       7.32    83.32     3.56    86.68     6.28    28.65     9.99    92.46    29.87P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          27   52  +32      -1.75    39.81     6.49    87.31     6.01    45.94    14.04    95.34    45.42P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   29   49  +10       5.26    74.23     4.31    74.57     5.84    13.31     0.15    31.54     5.02P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   48  +11       6.18    78.81     1.72    79.70     6.47    17.58     1.51    64.83    12.45P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           29   47  +15      -0.79    45.94     2.77    73.95     5.80    20.59     0.11    30.47     6.01P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     30   47  +12       0.31    51.58     3.79    72.22     5.59    16.84     0.02    19.62     3.75P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         29   44   +8      -6.03    22.77    -7.38    73.13     5.87    16.63     0.06    24.92     6.60P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     29   42   +5       1.79    59.12     4.67    65.36     5.79     4.79     0.00     2.70     0.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        27   41   -6       3.65    68.51    -6.04    64.70     6.15    -9.83     0.00     2.54     0.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham          27   40   +9      -1.87    40.70     1.87    67.59     6.19    11.24     0.01     7.13     1.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.79    74.91     5.49    73.27     6.70    13.61     0.16    26.77     4.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          27   38   +2       3.04    65.09     6.49    62.65     6.46    -1.07     0.00     1.64     0.23P    0.24R    0.00  
Southport        28   37   -8       6.10    79.17     3.54    58.14     5.80   -13.40     0.00     0.13     0.01P    1.09R    0.05  
Aldershot        29   35  -10      -0.93    45.90    -3.95    57.04     5.71   -11.94     0.00     0.04     0.00P    1.57R    0.08  
Chester          29   34   -9       1.17    56.67     2.41    55.08     5.71   -12.76     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.51R    0.24  
Barrow           28   33  -17       4.70    73.81     0.61    52.29     5.95   -26.10     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.33R    1.01  
Guiseley         28   31  -17       2.70    64.77    -0.96    47.55     5.59   -29.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.71R    5.13  
Halifax          28   28  -19      -6.58    20.24   -11.92    48.75     5.90   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.70R    4.05  
Boreham_Wood     28   27   -6      -4.57    28.46     3.17    48.38     5.88   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.83R    3.69  
Altrincham       26   27  -17       1.57    60.15    -1.09    49.51     6.15   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.82R    3.69  
Welling          26   24  -14      -3.89    29.92    -2.44    45.61     6.03   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.98R   10.63  
Torquay          27   20  -24     -11.33     6.14   -14.21    45.32     6.25   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.98R   12.52  
Kidderminster    26   14  -20     -14.83     1.43    -9.47    37.58     6.17   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.18R   58.91