Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 January 2016, Crystal_Palace 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          20   42  +16       4.14    74.31     0.01    75.28     5.78    29.15    42.32    77.75    91.04    96.47    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   40  +12      11.64    96.43    10.69    64.92     5.94    11.84     2.93    11.41    30.74    51.84    80.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   39  +18      -1.45    39.48    -3.43    75.39     5.73    36.79    47.19    80.29    92.01    96.86    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   36  +18       2.56    65.41     8.95    66.40     5.91    26.62     5.25    18.88    45.91    66.72    88.51     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   33   +7      -1.24    41.97    -3.05    63.64     5.92    15.74     1.89     8.47    24.74    45.00    75.66     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   32   +7       4.37    75.56     6.77    56.99     5.93     7.51     0.13     0.94     4.12    10.59    33.07     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   31   +4       5.77    82.51     6.87    53.86     5.79     1.54     0.03     0.24     1.29     3.80    15.58     0.13R    0.00  
Liverpool        20   30   -2       0.20    51.48    -5.38    57.52     6.05     2.23     0.17     1.11     4.72    11.74    34.76     0.04R    0.00  
Watford          20   29   +3       4.33    75.21     7.56    51.84     5.91     0.16     0.01     0.10     0.68     2.10     9.96     0.38R    0.00  
Stoke            20   29   +0       2.62    66.44     1.23    52.96     5.76    -0.91     0.01     0.15     0.85     2.72    12.13     0.17R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   +7      -3.68    28.73     2.21    54.58     5.98    11.22     0.04     0.37     1.95     5.85    21.85     0.13R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   26   -5       2.47    66.06     0.37    46.56     5.64   -11.36     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.43     3.16R    0.03  
Southampton      20   24   +2      -6.33    16.23    -2.28    50.81     5.88     5.15     0.01     0.04     0.39     1.56     8.02     0.56R    0.00  
Chelsea          20   23   -3     -11.64     3.23   -13.98    54.21     5.92     6.70     0.02     0.24     1.49     4.49    18.84     0.16R    0.00  
Norwich          20   23   -9       1.04    57.69     0.01    42.93     5.81   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.45    11.79R    0.34  
Bournemouth      20   21  -12       0.57    55.12    -0.03    39.85     5.83   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    26.21R    1.11  
Swansea          20   19   -9      -4.99    21.51    -4.03    41.10     5.82   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    17.48R    0.55  
Newcastle        20   17  -16      -2.54    34.77    -3.00    35.27     5.61   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    59.28R    5.04  
Sunderland       20   15  -17      -4.49    22.77    -4.03    31.37     5.43   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.25R   14.23  
Aston_Villa      20    8  -21      -9.53     3.81    -5.46    23.70     5.30   -35.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.26R   78.69  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Birmingham 2 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   24   52  +24       8.78    90.36     8.91    91.68     6.54    37.35    61.35    85.42    99.83    90.30P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   48  +20       4.14    71.64     5.39    85.91     6.44    33.52    21.35    56.93    98.18    70.81P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            25   47  +18       3.32    67.21     4.49    84.17     6.37    30.23    14.63    43.00    97.01    61.66P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        25   44   +6       8.57    88.37     3.75    73.90     6.35     8.20     0.58     3.57    59.58    14.35P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         25   42  +11       1.23    56.48     1.35    75.41     6.56    17.84     1.39     6.49    70.56    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         25   41   +4       4.18    71.54    -0.03    72.98     6.50     8.86     0.52     2.71    54.41    13.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   39   +8       4.33    72.65     6.90    69.15     6.41    10.33     0.06     0.79    32.87     7.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      25   39   +3       5.73    78.95     4.07    66.21     6.40     1.04     0.02     0.29    17.03     3.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   37   +4       1.93    60.65     2.34    66.21     6.42     4.92     0.03     0.28    18.04     3.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +2      -0.33    48.28    -1.05    66.73     6.55     5.07     0.04     0.34    20.71     4.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   25   34   +0      -2.62    36.29    -3.70    64.76     6.47     3.17     0.01     0.11    13.10     3.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Reading         25   33   +2      -0.42    48.31     2.90    60.32     6.42     0.23     0.00     0.02     3.93     0.68P    0.40R    0.01  
Leeds_United    25   32   -2       0.68    54.55     1.82    58.48     6.30    -4.77     0.00     0.01     1.94     0.34P    0.90R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest   25   31   +1      -3.45    32.13     0.27    59.85     6.45     1.33     0.00     0.01     3.68     0.76P    0.53R    0.01  
Preston         25   31   -1      -1.33    43.38     0.74    57.95     6.33    -2.82     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.35P    1.08R    0.06  
QPR             25   30   -3      -5.44    23.33    -4.75    59.96     6.66    -0.96     0.00     0.01     4.17     0.90P    0.64R    0.03  
Blackburn       24   28   +1      -6.09    19.55    -1.21    58.63     6.55     2.14     0.00     0.01     2.58     0.58P    1.03R    0.04  
Huddersfield    25   28   -6      -1.65    41.63     1.03    52.88     6.42   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    6.83R    0.54  
Fulham          25   27   -3      -5.39    23.73     0.60    52.95     6.56    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P    7.01R    0.73  
MK_Dons         25   23  -12      -6.38    18.99    -5.13    47.83     6.44   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   24.75R    4.22  
Rotherham       25   21  -14      -4.61    25.80    -0.44    42.49     6.17   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.85R   17.31  
Bristol_City    25   21  -22      -5.02    24.39    -9.20    43.38     6.29   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.58R   15.95  
Charlton        25   20  -21      -6.16    18.61    -9.43    41.61     6.07   -31.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.42R   22.73  
Bolton          25   17  -20      -9.97     6.87    -9.62    38.90     6.06   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.85R   38.32  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 January 2016, Blackpool 0 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    24   51  +13      15.67    98.32     9.29    82.71     6.92    15.47    20.60    39.02    88.70    48.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       26   50  +19       8.64    86.77    10.22    82.01     6.57    26.01    18.27    36.38    89.30    48.05P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   48  +18       9.48    90.55     9.72    83.45     6.80    25.86    24.92    44.69    91.97    56.60P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         25   47  +22       5.87    78.09    11.67    80.98     6.68    29.81    15.85    32.24    86.56    46.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            25   44  +14      -0.27    48.20    -0.73    81.26     6.60    26.42    15.41    32.64    87.06    51.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     25   40  +14      -0.49    47.24     4.29    75.11     6.78    23.76     3.57     9.83    59.40    22.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         25   37   +3      -0.34    48.47    -1.57    68.26     6.80     6.65     0.34     1.18    19.74     5.75P    0.30R    0.00  
Southend         25   37   -1       5.61    77.57     3.26    63.58     6.62    -4.18     0.02     0.18     5.93     1.22P    1.58R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        24   36   +5      -2.11    38.78    -2.79    70.07     6.92    10.90     0.73     2.43    28.45     9.36P    0.17R    0.00  
Port_Vale        25   36   +2       2.42    63.34     2.95    63.88     6.51     0.65     0.04     0.18     6.36     1.39P    1.16R    0.01  
Rochdale         25   34   +4      -1.60    41.83     2.11    65.26     6.69     7.62     0.07     0.34    10.14     2.48P    0.84R    0.01  
Doncaster        25   34   -2      -0.59    47.45    -2.49    62.65     6.65    -2.21     0.02     0.12     4.62     1.08P    2.25R    0.06  
Bradford         23   34   -2       3.64    70.10    -0.55    65.97     6.92    -1.06     0.12     0.59    11.70     2.91P    0.83R    0.00  
Bury             24   33   -4       4.16    71.89     2.53    59.79     6.87    -9.49     0.01     0.05     2.22     0.44P    6.47R    0.14  
Scunthorpe       25   32   -3       0.26    52.35     0.95    59.31     6.55    -5.37     0.00     0.02     1.54     0.29P    6.11R    0.13  
Swindon          25   31   -4      -6.35    20.49    -8.53    62.07     6.75    -0.75     0.02     0.09     4.26     1.10P    2.89R    0.05  
Chesterfield     26   30   -7      -5.76    22.83    -6.89    57.71     6.47    -6.76     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.23P    9.07R    0.25  
Barnsley         24   27   -7      -5.69    22.35    -6.26    56.73     6.90    -7.95     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.19P   13.18R    0.53  
Fleetwood_Town   24   26   -2      -4.74    25.98     1.21    54.23     6.74    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P   20.89R    1.12  
Shrewsbury       25   26  -11      -4.58    27.51    -5.20    51.09     6.61   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   39.38R    2.97  
Blackpool        25   25  -13      -4.26    28.53    -5.93    50.25     6.51   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   45.01R    4.06  
Oldham           24   21  -12      -7.00    16.15    -4.47    45.87     6.57   -20.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   69.72R   12.38  
Colchester       25   21  -25      -4.09    29.25    -8.13    42.13     6.42   -38.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.64R   32.79  
Crewe            24   20  -21      -2.75    35.24    -4.66    40.27     6.22   -37.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.50R   45.49  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 January 2016, Barnet 1 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             25   52  +18      10.35    92.12     7.28    86.68     6.57    26.53    41.84    79.40    98.21    84.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          24   49  +14      11.73    94.30     7.43    83.16     6.97    19.96    21.76    60.43    93.31    67.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   48  +19       7.44    84.12     9.77    82.10     6.63    26.83    17.87    56.89    93.21    66.55P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   44  +22       2.63    63.42    11.35    78.80     6.72    30.92     8.92    38.57    85.00    51.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       26   43  +10       5.20    74.72     6.58    72.37     6.50    12.99     1.17     9.27    50.93    18.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +8       2.24    61.93     0.76    74.23     6.91    13.98     2.41    15.46    61.48    27.79P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   39  +12       7.82    86.53    10.76    74.35     7.48    15.56     3.35    17.83    61.74    26.53P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            25   38  +10       4.63    73.80    11.17    65.20     6.57     7.85     0.09     1.16    15.38     3.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        25   37   +5      -6.12    21.60    -8.53    73.49     6.81    16.85     1.94    13.56    59.20    29.77P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             23   37   +3       5.84    78.95     4.18    68.41     7.31     2.10     0.47     4.28    29.09     8.67P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   36   +4       1.93    60.46     4.44    64.42     6.67     3.37     0.06     0.97    12.71     3.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        26   36   +0       2.24    61.73     3.27    61.46     6.44    -3.36     0.01     0.27     5.30     1.16P    0.07R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         26   34  -11      -0.88    46.23    -9.61    61.53     6.65   -11.02     0.01     0.21     5.20     1.30P    0.20R    0.03  
Morecambe            23   31   +1      -0.22    49.15     1.90    63.50     7.22     2.10     0.07     0.92    11.99     3.34P    0.12R    0.01  
Barnet               26   31   -8       0.85    55.20     1.12    54.37     6.50   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.09P    2.39R    0.56  
Luton                25   30   +0      -5.34    24.34    -1.53    60.63     6.71     2.67     0.01     0.17     5.09     1.45P    0.22R    0.04  
Exeter               24   30   -6      -1.26    43.78    -3.10    57.84     6.87    -9.91     0.00     0.08     2.22     0.52P    0.76R    0.16  
Notts_County         24   30   -7      -4.63    27.36    -9.42    62.64     7.15    -3.40     0.02     0.53     9.08     2.76P    0.19R    0.04  
Stevenage            26   27  -12      -7.54    16.22    -9.94    53.61     6.52   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    2.89R    0.77  
Newport_County       24   20  -12      -7.85    13.30    -4.17    45.98     6.69   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   22.15R    9.01  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.38    42.75    -3.64    45.05     6.98   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   30.13R   13.39  
Dag_&_Red            25   19  -19      -9.01    10.56    -8.91    42.49     6.47   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.48R   21.31  
Yeovil               25   17  -15     -13.84     2.63   -10.13    42.71     6.64   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.59R   17.96  
York                 24   16  -21     -10.42     6.26   -11.05    39.75     6.62   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.78R   36.70  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 January 2016, Aldershot 3 1 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       28   60  +34       3.56    67.28     6.39    95.80     5.69    51.02    74.51    99.87    84.56P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   55  +20       7.32    83.06     3.58    86.67     6.33    28.58     9.85    92.41    29.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          27   52  +32      -1.58    40.66     6.77    87.24     6.01    45.82    13.57    95.27    45.18P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   29   49  +10       5.32    74.34     4.36    74.53     5.84    13.27     0.12    31.69     4.91P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   48  +11       6.28    79.25     1.80    79.70     6.46    17.62     1.57    64.69    12.34P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           29   47  +15      -0.55    47.20     3.16    73.91     5.81    20.49     0.10    30.35     6.03P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     30   47  +12       0.27    51.30     3.75    72.26     5.55    16.92     0.03    19.51     3.56P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         29   44   +8      -5.96    23.30    -7.30    73.18     5.87    16.71     0.05    25.19     6.52P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     29   42   +5       1.94    59.71     4.86    65.25     5.78     4.58     0.00     2.49     0.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        27   41   -6       3.92    69.42    -5.59    64.55     6.18   -10.10     0.00     2.43     0.30P    0.07R    0.00  
Wrexham          27   40   +9      -1.93    40.39     1.74    67.61     6.16    11.25     0.00     7.06     1.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.68    74.49     5.32    73.36     6.70    13.79     0.20    27.36     5.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          27   38   +2       2.83    64.03     6.09    62.69     6.40    -0.96     0.00     1.48     0.16P    0.24R    0.01  
Southport        28   37   -8       5.92    78.59     3.30    58.20     5.77   -13.32     0.00     0.11     0.01P    1.11R    0.04  
Aldershot        29   35  -10      -0.90    46.29    -3.93    57.00     5.68   -11.98     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.63R    0.09  
Chester          29   34   -9       0.97    55.88     2.15    55.10     5.68   -12.72     0.00     0.03     0.00     3.49R    0.24  
Barrow           28   33  -17       4.70    73.45     0.65    52.22     5.92   -26.21     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.35R    1.12  
Guiseley         28   31  -17       2.67    64.63    -0.99    47.54     5.54   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.59R    5.23  
Halifax          28   28  -19      -6.56    20.51   -11.90    48.76     5.83   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.47R    3.97  
Boreham_Wood     28   27   -6      -4.75    27.68     2.93    48.53     5.83   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.72R    3.43  
Altrincham       26   27  -17       1.33    58.80    -1.47    49.68     6.19   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.17R    3.50  
Welling          26   24  -14      -3.67    30.96    -2.17    45.50     6.00   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.22R   10.94  
Torquay          27   20  -24     -11.15     6.36   -13.95    45.20     6.21   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.06R   12.96  
Kidderminster    26   14  -20     -14.91     1.43    -9.58    37.64     6.20   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.87R   58.47