Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 8 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 January 2016, Crystal_Palace 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 20 42 +16 4.12 74.10 -0.06 75.37 5.79 29.27 42.50 77.95 91.28 96.53 99.50 0.00 0.00 Leicester 20 40 +12 11.77 96.48 10.89 64.85 5.92 11.75 2.69 10.78 30.01 51.44 79.98 0.00 0.00 Man_City 20 39 +18 -1.62 38.59 -3.69 75.48 5.69 36.94 47.47 80.54 92.42 97.01 99.52 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 36 +18 2.49 64.85 8.81 66.47 5.90 26.70 5.25 19.21 46.04 66.72 88.93 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 33 +7 -1.37 41.25 -3.21 63.69 5.88 15.84 1.72 8.32 24.72 45.34 76.10 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 20 32 +7 4.38 75.59 6.84 56.96 5.94 7.43 0.11 0.93 4.17 10.54 32.22 0.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 20 31 +4 5.76 82.34 6.87 53.91 5.79 1.57 0.02 0.21 1.24 3.73 15.75 0.11R 0.00 Liverpool 20 30 -2 0.11 50.87 -5.54 57.53 6.02 2.28 0.13 1.12 4.66 11.62 34.59 0.03R 0.00 Watford 20 29 +3 4.40 75.44 7.67 51.78 5.96 0.04 0.00 0.07 0.58 2.16 10.03 0.46R 0.00 Stoke 20 29 +0 2.73 67.17 1.39 52.89 5.80 -0.98 0.01 0.18 0.86 2.66 12.09 0.20R 0.00 Everton 20 27 +7 -3.78 28.12 2.05 54.65 5.99 11.37 0.04 0.41 2.07 5.89 22.12 0.11R 0.00 West_Brom 20 26 -5 2.45 66.02 0.38 46.60 5.63 -11.29 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.17 1.41 3.10R 0.05 Southampton 20 24 +2 -6.36 16.28 -2.33 50.83 5.90 5.20 0.01 0.06 0.43 1.53 8.17 0.63R 0.01 Chelsea 20 23 -3 -11.64 3.32 -13.92 54.21 5.96 6.73 0.04 0.23 1.47 4.60 18.97 0.18R 0.00 Norwich 20 23 -9 1.05 57.89 0.02 42.92 5.85 -16.57 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.38 11.91R 0.28 Bournemouth 20 21 -12 0.70 56.01 0.23 39.71 5.79 -21.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 26.60R 1.16 Swansea 20 19 -9 -5.05 21.03 -4.12 41.15 5.77 -12.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 16.68R 0.55 Newcastle 20 17 -16 -2.48 35.07 -2.90 35.26 5.60 -26.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 59.35R 5.11 Sunderland 20 15 -17 -4.50 22.79 -4.02 31.33 5.43 -29.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.21R 14.07 Aston_Villa 20 8 -21 -9.46 3.73 -5.36 23.62 5.27 -35.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.40R 78.77Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Birmingham 2 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 24 52 +24 8.94 90.52 9.13 91.49 6.56 37.11 60.10 84.56 99.78 89.82P 0.00 0.00 Derby 25 48 +20 4.10 71.32 5.30 85.97 6.37 33.63 21.79 56.93 98.33 70.76P 0.00 0.00 Hull 25 47 +18 3.04 65.67 4.07 84.30 6.41 30.41 15.26 43.61 96.90 62.39P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 25 44 +6 8.64 88.66 3.89 73.86 6.37 8.15 0.66 3.41 59.26 13.85P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 25 42 +11 1.12 55.72 1.15 75.56 6.62 18.01 1.42 6.62 71.25 24.77P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 25 41 +4 4.19 71.89 -0.01 73.01 6.51 8.89 0.53 2.88 54.57 13.75P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 25 39 +8 4.35 72.81 6.97 69.20 6.47 10.32 0.12 0.88 33.43 7.13P 0.01R 0.00 Birmingham 25 39 +3 5.62 78.21 3.92 66.26 6.40 1.13 0.02 0.29 17.14 3.07P 0.02R 0.00 Cardiff 25 37 +4 2.00 61.18 2.43 66.12 6.42 4.73 0.03 0.27 17.70 3.61P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 25 36 +2 -0.18 49.36 -0.83 66.59 6.52 4.89 0.04 0.34 19.81 4.27P 0.02R 0.00 Wolverhampton 25 34 +0 -2.50 36.84 -3.48 64.76 6.50 3.13 0.01 0.15 13.13 2.96P 0.06R 0.00 Reading 25 33 +2 -0.39 48.36 2.96 60.21 6.41 0.09 0.00 0.02 3.85 0.68P 0.44R 0.01 Leeds_United 25 32 -2 0.67 54.48 1.76 58.48 6.30 -4.77 0.00 0.01 2.01 0.30P 0.94R 0.05 Nott'm_Forest 25 31 +1 -3.45 32.12 0.27 59.92 6.40 1.37 0.00 0.01 3.55 0.66P 0.53R 0.02 Preston 25 31 -1 -1.25 43.97 0.86 57.92 6.35 -2.87 0.00 0.00 1.77 0.34P 1.04R 0.05 QPR 25 30 -3 -5.60 22.59 -4.99 60.07 6.69 -0.74 0.00 0.02 4.28 0.94P 0.71R 0.03 Blackburn 24 28 +1 -5.98 20.07 -1.00 58.60 6.57 2.08 0.00 0.00 2.57 0.59P 1.04R 0.06 Huddersfield 25 28 -6 -1.64 41.81 1.08 52.88 6.39 -11.77 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.04P 6.74R 0.53 Fulham 25 27 -3 -5.52 23.14 0.48 53.03 6.58 -7.73 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.05P 6.83R 0.68 MK_Dons 25 23 -12 -6.21 19.82 -4.88 47.70 6.41 -17.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 25.39R 4.44 Rotherham 25 21 -14 -4.56 25.90 -0.39 42.48 6.11 -25.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.29R 17.23 Bristol_City 25 21 -22 -5.08 23.62 -9.41 43.47 6.29 -31.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.07R 15.58 Charlton 25 20 -21 -6.23 18.28 -9.56 41.61 6.09 -31.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.71R 22.90 Bolton 25 17 -20 -10.06 6.63 -9.73 38.93 6.10 -29.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.14R 38.44League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 7 January 2016, Wigan 3 2 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 24 51 +13 15.76 98.38 9.37 82.63 6.91 15.35 20.23 38.22 88.63 47.63P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 26 50 +19 8.57 86.48 10.11 81.97 6.61 25.94 18.37 36.52 88.90 48.29P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 24 48 +18 9.45 90.38 9.70 83.59 6.81 26.05 25.68 45.71 92.33 57.38P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 25 47 +22 5.97 78.54 11.81 80.89 6.66 29.68 15.32 31.98 86.24 45.95P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 25 44 +14 -0.32 47.81 -0.79 81.25 6.62 26.43 15.52 32.75 86.76 51.45P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 25 40 +14 -0.43 47.57 4.33 75.04 6.75 23.66 3.39 9.40 59.43 22.69P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 24 37 +1 6.27 80.43 4.07 64.93 6.81 -2.06 0.09 0.39 9.10 2.03P 1.23R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 24 36 +5 -2.04 39.07 -2.70 70.03 6.90 10.84 0.72 2.32 27.94 9.05P 0.18R 0.00 Rochdale 24 34 +5 -0.38 48.13 2.81 67.22 6.89 9.49 0.21 0.88 16.74 4.49P 0.58R 0.00 Millwall 24 34 +2 -1.53 42.03 -1.90 66.70 7.04 5.73 0.26 0.88 15.07 4.32P 0.76R 0.01 Doncaster 25 34 -2 -0.61 47.19 -2.45 62.63 6.66 -2.21 0.02 0.11 4.61 1.15P 2.32R 0.03 Bradford 23 34 -2 3.50 69.55 -0.74 66.01 6.93 -0.98 0.14 0.57 11.72 2.87P 0.87R 0.01 Port_Vale 24 33 +1 1.05 56.41 2.30 62.03 6.74 -0.66 0.02 0.12 4.11 0.91P 3.11R 0.05 Bury 24 33 -4 4.07 71.40 2.38 59.84 6.88 -9.36 0.02 0.06 2.42 0.46P 6.60R 0.19 Scunthorpe 25 32 -3 0.24 51.90 0.94 59.32 6.58 -5.36 0.00 0.02 1.67 0.29P 6.43R 0.17 Swindon 24 28 -6 -6.94 17.58 -9.02 60.19 6.94 -3.19 0.01 0.04 2.65 0.68P 5.93R 0.16 Barnsley 24 27 -7 -5.55 22.77 -6.08 56.63 6.94 -8.12 0.00 0.01 0.82 0.17P 14.44R 0.63 Chesterfield 25 27 -8 -6.98 17.59 -7.30 55.41 6.67 -8.82 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.10P 17.70R 0.76 Fleetwood_Town 24 26 -2 -4.73 25.76 1.24 54.13 6.74 -4.97 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.04P 22.19R 1.27 Shrewsbury 25 26 -11 -4.81 26.27 -5.60 51.28 6.65 -16.42 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 39.37R 2.93 Blackpool 24 25 -12 -3.49 32.05 -5.78 52.14 6.80 -16.29 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 34.89R 2.88 Oldham 23 21 -11 -5.94 19.57 -3.94 47.18 6.79 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 63.11R 10.14 Colchester 25 21 -25 -4.07 29.05 -8.06 42.20 6.41 -38.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.68R 33.55 Crewe 24 20 -21 -2.80 35.14 -4.70 40.28 6.28 -37.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.60R 47.20League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 25 52 +18 10.46 92.31 7.40 86.57 6.60 26.42 40.85 78.46 98.06 83.72P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 24 49 +14 11.63 94.05 7.30 83.20 7.01 20.01 21.92 59.73 93.21 67.04P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 48 +19 7.45 84.16 9.77 82.06 6.62 26.74 17.72 55.50 92.76 65.27P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 25 44 +22 2.50 62.60 11.19 78.83 6.66 31.04 8.77 37.82 84.83 51.52P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 25 43 +11 6.22 79.36 7.17 74.40 6.73 14.89 2.37 15.08 62.01 25.87P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 24 40 +8 2.19 61.74 0.70 74.31 6.87 14.09 2.38 15.25 60.92 27.50P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 22 39 +12 7.99 87.07 11.03 74.13 7.47 15.21 3.28 16.87 59.33 25.22P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 25 37 +5 -6.05 21.69 -8.41 73.45 6.86 16.80 1.94 13.21 57.92 28.49P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 23 37 +3 5.69 78.28 3.93 68.58 7.28 2.40 0.51 4.19 28.89 8.84P 0.01R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 25 36 +4 2.07 61.32 4.64 64.29 6.66 3.16 0.05 0.81 11.71 3.02P 0.03R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 25 36 +1 3.31 67.15 3.84 62.81 6.71 -2.47 0.04 0.51 8.03 1.95P 0.06R 0.00 Mansfield 24 35 +9 3.28 67.86 10.57 63.49 6.84 6.72 0.05 0.78 10.76 2.86P 0.04R 0.00 Morecambe 23 31 +1 -0.13 49.63 2.01 63.48 7.27 2.03 0.07 0.91 11.53 3.08P 0.09R 0.02 Crawley_Town 25 31 -12 -2.28 38.78 -10.17 59.90 6.82 -12.05 0.00 0.09 3.41 0.81P 0.42R 0.07 Luton 25 30 +0 -5.47 23.77 -1.71 60.68 6.73 2.72 0.01 0.16 4.81 1.35P 0.22R 0.04 Exeter 24 30 -6 -1.15 44.35 -2.91 57.77 6.86 -10.07 0.00 0.06 2.06 0.47P 0.77R 0.16 Notts_County 24 30 -7 -4.70 27.22 -9.50 62.77 7.15 -3.22 0.02 0.55 8.81 2.77P 0.20R 0.05 Barnet 25 28 -9 -0.56 47.84 0.65 52.17 6.67 -16.63 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 5.11R 1.43 Stevenage 25 27 -11 -6.43 19.80 -9.33 55.10 6.70 -12.34 0.00 0.01 0.69 0.17P 2.02R 0.41 Newport_County 24 20 -12 -7.93 13.17 -4.34 46.12 6.76 -18.40 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 21.61R 8.81 Hartlepool 21 20 -15 -1.31 43.30 -3.57 45.03 7.01 -29.40 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 29.83R 13.67 Dag_&_Red 25 19 -19 -9.11 10.29 -9.08 42.59 6.48 -27.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.46R 20.51 Yeovil 25 17 -15 -13.90 2.62 -10.21 42.75 6.61 -19.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 38.19R 17.97 York 24 16 -21 -10.36 6.41 -10.96 39.74 6.59 -31.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.94R 36.85National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Chester 1 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 27 59 +34 4.47 72.32 7.03 96.83 5.88 52.15 80.85 99.90 88.15P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 27 55 +20 7.30 83.40 3.56 86.72 6.30 28.69 8.97 92.90 30.00P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 26 49 +28 -1.72 39.84 5.11 85.57 6.26 41.70 8.34 91.90 39.60P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 26 48 +11 6.29 79.08 1.81 79.62 6.44 17.49 1.41 65.07 13.01P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 29 47 +13 1.65 58.02 4.77 74.60 5.78 19.40 0.10 34.68 6.93P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 28 46 +9 4.09 69.92 4.00 72.68 6.04 11.91 0.05 23.09 3.78P 0.00 0.00 Woking 28 44 +13 -1.58 42.35 2.12 71.83 6.03 17.74 0.04 20.72 4.05P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 28 42 +6 3.03 65.14 5.36 66.93 6.02 6.06 0.01 5.33 0.78P 0.01R 0.00 Tranmere 28 41 +7 -6.89 19.20 -7.16 71.94 6.07 16.21 0.03 20.57 5.46P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 27 41 -6 3.75 68.86 -5.85 64.51 6.15 -10.12 0.00 2.45 0.28P 0.04R 0.00 Wrexham 26 40 +11 -1.25 43.32 2.68 69.54 6.33 14.14 0.03 13.28 2.52P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 24 40 +9 4.89 75.43 5.55 73.15 6.71 13.47 0.17 27.26 5.09P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 26 37 +2 3.50 67.22 6.68 63.58 6.71 -0.29 0.00 2.59 0.33P 0.20R 0.01 Southport 27 36 -8 6.07 79.50 3.12 58.28 6.00 -13.83 0.00 0.16 0.01P 1.22R 0.05 Chester 28 34 -7 1.60 58.91 2.88 56.63 5.91 -10.45 0.00 0.05 0.00 2.14R 0.14 Barrow 27 33 -16 5.68 77.81 0.57 53.04 6.14 -25.91 0.00 0.02 0.00 9.19R 0.89 Aldershot 28 32 -12 -1.84 41.33 -5.01 55.21 5.90 -14.20 0.00 0.02 0.00 3.69R 0.25 Guiseley 28 31 -17 2.53 63.84 -1.17 47.54 5.57 -29.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.67R 5.02 Altrincham 26 27 -17 1.22 58.25 -1.63 49.74 6.19 -24.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.89R 3.25 Boreham_Wood 27 26 -6 -4.49 28.48 2.93 47.92 6.03 -11.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.76R 4.61 Halifax 27 25 -20 -8.10 14.68 -12.64 46.23 6.06 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.75R 9.20 Welling 25 24 -10 -4.07 28.80 -0.90 47.05 6.22 -18.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.43R 7.06 Torquay 27 20 -24 -11.25 6.42 -14.15 45.39 6.23 -25.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.68R 11.80 Kidderminster 26 14 -20 -14.93 1.37 -9.67 37.64 6.19 -25.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.33R 57.73