Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 8 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 January 2016, Crystal_Palace 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          20   42  +16       4.12    74.10    -0.06    75.37     5.79    29.27    42.50    77.95    91.28    96.53    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   40  +12      11.77    96.48    10.89    64.85     5.92    11.75     2.69    10.78    30.01    51.44    79.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   39  +18      -1.62    38.59    -3.69    75.48     5.69    36.94    47.47    80.54    92.42    97.01    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   36  +18       2.49    64.85     8.81    66.47     5.90    26.70     5.25    19.21    46.04    66.72    88.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   33   +7      -1.37    41.25    -3.21    63.69     5.88    15.84     1.72     8.32    24.72    45.34    76.10     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         20   32   +7       4.38    75.59     6.84    56.96     5.94     7.43     0.11     0.93     4.17    10.54    32.22     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   31   +4       5.76    82.34     6.87    53.91     5.79     1.57     0.02     0.21     1.24     3.73    15.75     0.11R    0.00  
Liverpool        20   30   -2       0.11    50.87    -5.54    57.53     6.02     2.28     0.13     1.12     4.66    11.62    34.59     0.03R    0.00  
Watford          20   29   +3       4.40    75.44     7.67    51.78     5.96     0.04     0.00     0.07     0.58     2.16    10.03     0.46R    0.00  
Stoke            20   29   +0       2.73    67.17     1.39    52.89     5.80    -0.98     0.01     0.18     0.86     2.66    12.09     0.20R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   +7      -3.78    28.12     2.05    54.65     5.99    11.37     0.04     0.41     2.07     5.89    22.12     0.11R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   26   -5       2.45    66.02     0.38    46.60     5.63   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     1.41     3.10R    0.05  
Southampton      20   24   +2      -6.36    16.28    -2.33    50.83     5.90     5.20     0.01     0.06     0.43     1.53     8.17     0.63R    0.01  
Chelsea          20   23   -3     -11.64     3.32   -13.92    54.21     5.96     6.73     0.04     0.23     1.47     4.60    18.97     0.18R    0.00  
Norwich          20   23   -9       1.05    57.89     0.02    42.92     5.85   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.38    11.91R    0.28  
Bournemouth      20   21  -12       0.70    56.01     0.23    39.71     5.79   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    26.60R    1.16  
Swansea          20   19   -9      -5.05    21.03    -4.12    41.15     5.77   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    16.68R    0.55  
Newcastle        20   17  -16      -2.48    35.07    -2.90    35.26     5.60   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    59.35R    5.11  
Sunderland       20   15  -17      -4.50    22.79    -4.02    31.33     5.43   -29.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.21R   14.07  
Aston_Villa      20    8  -21      -9.46     3.73    -5.36    23.62     5.27   -35.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.40R   78.77  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Birmingham 2 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   24   52  +24       8.94    90.52     9.13    91.49     6.56    37.11    60.10    84.56    99.78    89.82P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   48  +20       4.10    71.32     5.30    85.97     6.37    33.63    21.79    56.93    98.33    70.76P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            25   47  +18       3.04    65.67     4.07    84.30     6.41    30.41    15.26    43.61    96.90    62.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        25   44   +6       8.64    88.66     3.89    73.86     6.37     8.15     0.66     3.41    59.26    13.85P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         25   42  +11       1.12    55.72     1.15    75.56     6.62    18.01     1.42     6.62    71.25    24.77P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         25   41   +4       4.19    71.89    -0.01    73.01     6.51     8.89     0.53     2.88    54.57    13.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   39   +8       4.35    72.81     6.97    69.20     6.47    10.32     0.12     0.88    33.43     7.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      25   39   +3       5.62    78.21     3.92    66.26     6.40     1.13     0.02     0.29    17.14     3.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   37   +4       2.00    61.18     2.43    66.12     6.42     4.73     0.03     0.27    17.70     3.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +2      -0.18    49.36    -0.83    66.59     6.52     4.89     0.04     0.34    19.81     4.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   25   34   +0      -2.50    36.84    -3.48    64.76     6.50     3.13     0.01     0.15    13.13     2.96P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading         25   33   +2      -0.39    48.36     2.96    60.21     6.41     0.09     0.00     0.02     3.85     0.68P    0.44R    0.01  
Leeds_United    25   32   -2       0.67    54.48     1.76    58.48     6.30    -4.77     0.00     0.01     2.01     0.30P    0.94R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest   25   31   +1      -3.45    32.12     0.27    59.92     6.40     1.37     0.00     0.01     3.55     0.66P    0.53R    0.02  
Preston         25   31   -1      -1.25    43.97     0.86    57.92     6.35    -2.87     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.34P    1.04R    0.05  
QPR             25   30   -3      -5.60    22.59    -4.99    60.07     6.69    -0.74     0.00     0.02     4.28     0.94P    0.71R    0.03  
Blackburn       24   28   +1      -5.98    20.07    -1.00    58.60     6.57     2.08     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.59P    1.04R    0.06  
Huddersfield    25   28   -6      -1.64    41.81     1.08    52.88     6.39   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    6.74R    0.53  
Fulham          25   27   -3      -5.52    23.14     0.48    53.03     6.58    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    6.83R    0.68  
MK_Dons         25   23  -12      -6.21    19.82    -4.88    47.70     6.41   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   25.39R    4.44  
Rotherham       25   21  -14      -4.56    25.90    -0.39    42.48     6.11   -25.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.29R   17.23  
Bristol_City    25   21  -22      -5.08    23.62    -9.41    43.47     6.29   -31.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.07R   15.58  
Charlton        25   20  -21      -6.23    18.28    -9.56    41.61     6.09   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.71R   22.90  
Bolton          25   17  -20     -10.06     6.63    -9.73    38.93     6.10   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.14R   38.44  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 7 January 2016, Wigan 3 2 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    24   51  +13      15.76    98.38     9.37    82.63     6.91    15.35    20.23    38.22    88.63    47.63P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       26   50  +19       8.57    86.48    10.11    81.97     6.61    25.94    18.37    36.52    88.90    48.29P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   48  +18       9.45    90.38     9.70    83.59     6.81    26.05    25.68    45.71    92.33    57.38P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         25   47  +22       5.97    78.54    11.81    80.89     6.66    29.68    15.32    31.98    86.24    45.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            25   44  +14      -0.32    47.81    -0.79    81.25     6.62    26.43    15.52    32.75    86.76    51.45P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     25   40  +14      -0.43    47.57     4.33    75.04     6.75    23.66     3.39     9.40    59.43    22.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         24   37   +1       6.27    80.43     4.07    64.93     6.81    -2.06     0.09     0.39     9.10     2.03P    1.23R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        24   36   +5      -2.04    39.07    -2.70    70.03     6.90    10.84     0.72     2.32    27.94     9.05P    0.18R    0.00  
Rochdale         24   34   +5      -0.38    48.13     2.81    67.22     6.89     9.49     0.21     0.88    16.74     4.49P    0.58R    0.00  
Millwall         24   34   +2      -1.53    42.03    -1.90    66.70     7.04     5.73     0.26     0.88    15.07     4.32P    0.76R    0.01  
Doncaster        25   34   -2      -0.61    47.19    -2.45    62.63     6.66    -2.21     0.02     0.11     4.61     1.15P    2.32R    0.03  
Bradford         23   34   -2       3.50    69.55    -0.74    66.01     6.93    -0.98     0.14     0.57    11.72     2.87P    0.87R    0.01  
Port_Vale        24   33   +1       1.05    56.41     2.30    62.03     6.74    -0.66     0.02     0.12     4.11     0.91P    3.11R    0.05  
Bury             24   33   -4       4.07    71.40     2.38    59.84     6.88    -9.36     0.02     0.06     2.42     0.46P    6.60R    0.19  
Scunthorpe       25   32   -3       0.24    51.90     0.94    59.32     6.58    -5.36     0.00     0.02     1.67     0.29P    6.43R    0.17  
Swindon          24   28   -6      -6.94    17.58    -9.02    60.19     6.94    -3.19     0.01     0.04     2.65     0.68P    5.93R    0.16  
Barnsley         24   27   -7      -5.55    22.77    -6.08    56.63     6.94    -8.12     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.17P   14.44R    0.63  
Chesterfield     25   27   -8      -6.98    17.59    -7.30    55.41     6.67    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.10P   17.70R    0.76  
Fleetwood_Town   24   26   -2      -4.73    25.76     1.24    54.13     6.74    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   22.19R    1.27  
Shrewsbury       25   26  -11      -4.81    26.27    -5.60    51.28     6.65   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   39.37R    2.93  
Blackpool        24   25  -12      -3.49    32.05    -5.78    52.14     6.80   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   34.89R    2.88  
Oldham           23   21  -11      -5.94    19.57    -3.94    47.18     6.79   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    63.11R   10.14  
Colchester       25   21  -25      -4.07    29.05    -8.06    42.20     6.41   -38.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.68R   33.55  
Crewe            24   20  -21      -2.80    35.14    -4.70    40.28     6.28   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.60R   47.20  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             25   52  +18      10.46    92.31     7.40    86.57     6.60    26.42    40.85    78.46    98.06    83.72P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          24   49  +14      11.63    94.05     7.30    83.20     7.01    20.01    21.92    59.73    93.21    67.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   48  +19       7.45    84.16     9.77    82.06     6.62    26.74    17.72    55.50    92.76    65.27P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   44  +22       2.50    62.60    11.19    78.83     6.66    31.04     8.77    37.82    84.83    51.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       25   43  +11       6.22    79.36     7.17    74.40     6.73    14.89     2.37    15.08    62.01    25.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +8       2.19    61.74     0.70    74.31     6.87    14.09     2.38    15.25    60.92    27.50P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   39  +12       7.99    87.07    11.03    74.13     7.47    15.21     3.28    16.87    59.33    25.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        25   37   +5      -6.05    21.69    -8.41    73.45     6.86    16.80     1.94    13.21    57.92    28.49P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             23   37   +3       5.69    78.28     3.93    68.58     7.28     2.40     0.51     4.19    28.89     8.84P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   36   +4       2.07    61.32     4.64    64.29     6.66     3.16     0.05     0.81    11.71     3.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        25   36   +1       3.31    67.15     3.84    62.81     6.71    -2.47     0.04     0.51     8.03     1.95P    0.06R    0.00  
Mansfield            24   35   +9       3.28    67.86    10.57    63.49     6.84     6.72     0.05     0.78    10.76     2.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe            23   31   +1      -0.13    49.63     2.01    63.48     7.27     2.03     0.07     0.91    11.53     3.08P    0.09R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         25   31  -12      -2.28    38.78   -10.17    59.90     6.82   -12.05     0.00     0.09     3.41     0.81P    0.42R    0.07  
Luton                25   30   +0      -5.47    23.77    -1.71    60.68     6.73     2.72     0.01     0.16     4.81     1.35P    0.22R    0.04  
Exeter               24   30   -6      -1.15    44.35    -2.91    57.77     6.86   -10.07     0.00     0.06     2.06     0.47P    0.77R    0.16  
Notts_County         24   30   -7      -4.70    27.22    -9.50    62.77     7.15    -3.22     0.02     0.55     8.81     2.77P    0.20R    0.05  
Barnet               25   28   -9      -0.56    47.84     0.65    52.17     6.67   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    5.11R    1.43  
Stevenage            25   27  -11      -6.43    19.80    -9.33    55.10     6.70   -12.34     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.17P    2.02R    0.41  
Newport_County       24   20  -12      -7.93    13.17    -4.34    46.12     6.76   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.61R    8.81  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.31    43.30    -3.57    45.03     7.01   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   29.83R   13.67  
Dag_&_Red            25   19  -19      -9.11    10.29    -9.08    42.59     6.48   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.46R   20.51  
Yeovil               25   17  -15     -13.90     2.62   -10.21    42.75     6.61   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   38.19R   17.97  
York                 24   16  -21     -10.36     6.41   -10.96    39.74     6.59   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.94R   36.85  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Chester 1 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       27   59  +34       4.47    72.32     7.03    96.83     5.88    52.15    80.85    99.90    88.15P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   55  +20       7.30    83.40     3.56    86.72     6.30    28.69     8.97    92.90    30.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          26   49  +28      -1.72    39.84     5.11    85.57     6.26    41.70     8.34    91.90    39.60P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   48  +11       6.29    79.08     1.81    79.62     6.44    17.49     1.41    65.07    13.01P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     29   47  +13       1.65    58.02     4.77    74.60     5.78    19.40     0.10    34.68     6.93P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   28   46   +9       4.09    69.92     4.00    72.68     6.04    11.91     0.05    23.09     3.78P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           28   44  +13      -1.58    42.35     2.12    71.83     6.03    17.74     0.04    20.72     4.05P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     28   42   +6       3.03    65.14     5.36    66.93     6.02     6.06     0.01     5.33     0.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   41   +7      -6.89    19.20    -7.16    71.94     6.07    16.21     0.03    20.57     5.46P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        27   41   -6       3.75    68.86    -5.85    64.51     6.15   -10.12     0.00     2.45     0.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham          26   40  +11      -1.25    43.32     2.68    69.54     6.33    14.14     0.03    13.28     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.89    75.43     5.55    73.15     6.71    13.47     0.17    27.26     5.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          26   37   +2       3.50    67.22     6.68    63.58     6.71    -0.29     0.00     2.59     0.33P    0.20R    0.01  
Southport        27   36   -8       6.07    79.50     3.12    58.28     6.00   -13.83     0.00     0.16     0.01P    1.22R    0.05  
Chester          28   34   -7       1.60    58.91     2.88    56.63     5.91   -10.45     0.00     0.05     0.00     2.14R    0.14  
Barrow           27   33  -16       5.68    77.81     0.57    53.04     6.14   -25.91     0.00     0.02     0.00     9.19R    0.89  
Aldershot        28   32  -12      -1.84    41.33    -5.01    55.21     5.90   -14.20     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.69R    0.25  
Guiseley         28   31  -17       2.53    63.84    -1.17    47.54     5.57   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.67R    5.02  
Altrincham       26   27  -17       1.22    58.25    -1.63    49.74     6.19   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.89R    3.25  
Boreham_Wood     27   26   -6      -4.49    28.48     2.93    47.92     6.03   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.76R    4.61  
Halifax          27   25  -20      -8.10    14.68   -12.64    46.23     6.06   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.75R    9.20  
Welling          25   24  -10      -4.07    28.80    -0.90    47.05     6.22   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.43R    7.06  
Torquay          27   20  -24     -11.25     6.42   -14.15    45.39     6.23   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.68R   11.80  
Kidderminster    26   14  -20     -14.93     1.37    -9.67    37.64     6.19   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.33R   57.73