Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 7 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 January 2016, Crystal_Palace 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          20   42  +16       4.08    73.61    -0.13    75.33     5.83    29.25    42.38    77.77    90.85    96.39    99.37     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   40  +12      11.62    96.30    10.62    65.00     5.94    11.95     2.86    11.49    31.21    52.48    80.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   39  +18      -1.62    38.32    -3.67    75.47     5.71    36.98    47.23    80.29    92.22    96.92    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   36  +18       2.55    65.11     8.85    66.44     5.90    26.69     5.35    18.90    45.89    66.62    88.62     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   33   +7      -1.25    41.91    -3.04    63.60     5.88    15.69     1.79     8.29    24.26    44.65    75.57     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   32   +7       4.38    75.77     6.83    56.98     5.92     7.50     0.13     0.98     4.14    10.46    32.78     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   31   +4       5.76    82.46     6.90    53.85     5.78     1.55     0.02     0.24     1.20     3.68    15.71     0.11R    0.00  
Liverpool        20   30   -2       0.27    51.83    -5.24    57.39     6.07     2.07     0.14     1.08     4.74    11.45    33.90     0.03R    0.00  
Watford          20   29   +3       4.26    74.89     7.44    51.87     5.95     0.21     0.01     0.11     0.68     2.37    10.28     0.35R    0.00  
Stoke            20   29   +0       2.63    66.67     1.24    53.02     5.80    -0.81     0.02     0.16     0.86     2.75    12.36     0.18R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   +7      -3.61    29.07     2.30    54.60     5.99    11.28     0.06     0.36     1.90     5.79    21.97     0.12R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   26   -5       2.43    66.21     0.35    46.69     5.68   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.19     1.54     3.17R    0.03  
Southampton      20   24   +2      -6.30    16.23    -2.24    50.69     5.90     4.98     0.00     0.04     0.40     1.37     7.63     0.64R    0.01  
Chelsea          20   23   -3     -11.69     3.20   -14.00    54.24     5.96     6.74     0.02     0.28     1.58     4.79    19.17     0.16R    0.00  
Norwich          20   23   -9       1.04    57.75    -0.00    42.91     5.90   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.43    12.06R    0.28  
Bournemouth      20   21  -12       0.46    54.08    -0.16    39.90     5.77   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    25.31R    1.08  
Swansea          20   19   -9      -4.95    21.57    -3.97    41.02     5.74   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15    17.12R    0.50  
Newcastle        20   17  -16      -2.48    34.90    -2.90    35.17     5.57   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.93R    5.13  
Sunderland       20   15  -17      -4.43    23.10    -3.91    31.32     5.44   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.36R   14.12  
Aston_Villa      20    8  -21      -9.40     3.90    -5.28    23.63     5.25   -35.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.42R   78.86  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Birmingham 2 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   24   52  +24       8.79    90.29     8.96    91.56     6.53    37.20    60.79    85.02    99.82    90.09P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   48  +20       4.07    71.32     5.28    85.97     6.42    33.62    21.45    57.13    98.20    71.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            25   47  +18       3.20    66.40     4.32    84.15     6.39    30.19    14.93    42.57    96.93    61.45P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        25   44   +6       8.62    88.60     3.82    73.94     6.36     8.24     0.66     3.56    59.67    14.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         25   42  +11       1.18    56.14     1.25    75.61     6.55    18.08     1.41     6.79    71.71    25.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         25   41   +4       4.13    71.27    -0.10    73.08     6.46     9.00     0.52     2.93    55.04    13.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   39   +8       4.41    73.07     7.01    69.07     6.41    10.20     0.11     0.79    32.43     6.84P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      25   39   +3       5.71    78.83     4.04    66.20     6.41     1.08     0.03     0.29    17.02     2.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   37   +4       2.08    61.55     2.53    66.07     6.41     4.69     0.03     0.29    17.34     3.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +2      -0.29    48.83    -0.97    66.70     6.56     5.04     0.05     0.41    20.19     4.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   25   34   +0      -2.57    36.66    -3.57    64.71     6.46     3.07     0.01     0.14    12.88     2.87P    0.08R    0.00  
Reading         25   33   +2      -0.35    48.64     2.99    60.18     6.39     0.05     0.00     0.02     3.94     0.70P    0.40R    0.01  
Leeds_United    25   32   -2       0.79    55.13     1.88    58.42     6.30    -4.84     0.00     0.00     2.02     0.35P    0.97R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   25   31   +1      -3.51    31.77     0.22    59.87     6.40     1.33     0.00     0.01     3.52     0.74P    0.57R    0.02  
Preston         25   31   -1      -1.33    43.24     0.77    58.02     6.35    -2.75     0.00     0.01     1.84     0.36P    1.08R    0.04  
QPR             25   30   -3      -5.65    22.67    -5.05    60.08     6.65    -0.77     0.00     0.02     4.25     0.97P    0.69R    0.03  
Blackburn       24   28   +1      -5.97    20.02    -1.03    58.64     6.51     2.16     0.00     0.01     2.59     0.57P    0.98R    0.05  
Huddersfield    25   28   -6      -1.65    41.53     1.06    52.93     6.37   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    6.75R    0.63  
Fulham          25   27   -3      -5.34    23.84     0.75    52.85     6.49    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    6.99R    0.66  
MK_Dons         25   23  -12      -6.37    18.90    -5.09    47.82     6.38   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   24.56R    4.07  
Rotherham       25   21  -14      -4.58    25.85    -0.44    42.45     6.14   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.65R   17.46  
Bristol_City    25   21  -22      -5.02    24.45    -9.31    43.45     6.36   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.06R   16.18  
Charlton        25   20  -21      -6.14    18.62    -9.39    41.51     6.07   -31.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.28R   23.11  
Bolton          25   17  -20     -10.23     6.51    -9.93    39.03     6.13   -29.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.89R   37.71  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 7 January 2016, Wigan 3 2 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    24   51  +13      15.77    98.36     9.39    82.61     6.89    15.29    19.93    37.86    88.61    47.15P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       26   50  +19       8.67    86.94    10.26    81.98     6.56    25.97    18.29    36.73    89.20    48.77P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   48  +18       9.42    90.29     9.64    83.56     6.75    26.02    25.69    45.87    92.34    57.39P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         25   47  +22       6.03    79.01    11.87    80.83     6.67    29.59    15.20    31.47    85.93    45.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            25   44  +14      -0.28    48.11    -0.78    81.27     6.66    26.47    15.97    33.00    86.72    51.44P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     25   40  +14      -0.49    47.34     4.32    75.10     6.74    23.72     3.46     9.60    59.54    22.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         24   37   +1       6.26    80.47     4.06    64.80     6.84    -2.27     0.10     0.40     8.74     1.94P    1.17R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        24   36   +5      -2.21    38.19    -2.89    70.10     6.92    10.95     0.73     2.45    28.39     9.58P    0.15R    0.00  
Rochdale         24   34   +5      -0.35    48.39     2.86    67.23     6.89     9.50     0.19     0.86    16.60     4.68P    0.50R    0.01  
Millwall         24   34   +2      -1.50    42.41    -1.88    66.71     6.99     5.71     0.22     0.79    14.75     4.29P    0.71R    0.00  
Doncaster        25   34   -2      -0.51    47.52    -2.38    62.63     6.63    -2.19     0.03     0.12     4.64     1.05P    2.31R    0.01  
Bradford         23   34   -2       3.51    69.43    -0.73    66.00     6.93    -0.99     0.15     0.54    11.65     2.78P    0.93R    0.02  
Port_Vale        24   33   +1       0.93    55.47     2.19    62.03     6.73    -0.63     0.02     0.15     4.32     1.00P    2.88R    0.04  
Bury             24   33   -4       4.17    72.05     2.56    59.75     6.88    -9.52     0.01     0.05     2.23     0.47P    6.83R    0.16  
Scunthorpe       25   32   -3       0.29    52.13     1.00    59.28     6.60    -5.43     0.00     0.02     1.58     0.31P    6.65R    0.13  
Swindon          24   28   -6      -7.20    16.52    -9.37    60.43     6.92    -2.79     0.01     0.06     2.90     0.74P    5.52R    0.18  
Barnsley         24   27   -7      -5.58    23.00    -6.13    56.76     6.95    -7.94     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.20P   13.99R    0.60  
Chesterfield     25   27   -8      -7.10    17.20    -7.50    55.45     6.64    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P   17.13R    0.85  
Fleetwood_Town   24   26   -2      -4.75    25.66     1.21    54.22     6.69    -4.88     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P   21.70R    1.23  
Shrewsbury       25   26  -11      -4.60    27.18    -5.24    51.03     6.59   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   40.59R    3.20  
Blackpool        24   25  -12      -3.43    32.43    -5.68    52.04     6.79   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   35.38R    2.78  
Oldham           23   21  -11      -6.00    19.56    -4.04    47.24     6.75   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   63.02R    9.76  
Colchester       25   21  -25      -4.07    29.29    -8.11    42.21     6.39   -38.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.72R   33.52  
Crewe            24   20  -21      -2.74    35.43    -4.63    40.26     6.21   -37.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.83R   47.48  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             25   52  +18      10.43    92.11     7.37    86.63     6.59    26.48    41.27    78.58    98.11    83.82P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          24   49  +14      11.69    94.40     7.34    83.20     6.98    20.01    21.68    59.61    93.39    67.09P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   48  +19       7.42    84.06     9.73    82.10     6.65    26.82    17.89    56.05    92.86    65.76P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   44  +22       2.67    63.56    11.39    78.70     6.70    30.81     8.48    36.99    84.09    50.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       25   43  +11       6.41    80.09     7.40    74.31     6.75    14.82     2.36    14.99    61.55    25.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +8       2.27    62.11     0.82    74.20     6.89    14.00     2.41    14.78    60.32    26.71P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   39  +12       7.86    86.53    10.81    74.27     7.45    15.40     3.27    17.23    60.07    25.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        25   37   +5      -6.26    20.61    -8.74    73.69     6.83    17.17     1.95    13.73    59.15    29.46P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             23   37   +3       5.83    78.86     4.14    68.47     7.31     2.19     0.44     4.14    28.68     8.52P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   36   +4       2.12    61.45     4.70    64.31     6.63     3.16     0.05     0.77    11.67     2.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        25   36   +1       3.28    67.22     3.87    62.84     6.71    -2.46     0.03     0.52     8.03     1.91P    0.07R    0.02  
Mansfield            24   35   +9       3.38    68.41    10.75    63.31     6.76     6.50     0.04     0.66    10.03     2.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            23   31   +1      -0.38    48.34     1.68    63.62     7.26     2.23     0.09     1.04    11.81     3.43P    0.10R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         25   31  -12      -2.37    38.45   -10.28    59.98     6.84   -11.95     0.01     0.13     3.51     0.95P    0.45R    0.06  
Luton                25   30   +0      -5.48    23.63    -1.72    60.66     6.76     2.72     0.00     0.20     4.85     1.44P    0.22R    0.05  
Exeter               24   30   -6      -1.27    43.72    -3.12    57.89     6.94    -9.82     0.00     0.07     2.21     0.52P    0.79R    0.17  
Notts_County         24   30   -7      -4.53    27.88    -9.22    62.62     7.17    -3.42     0.02     0.50     8.72     2.65P    0.18R    0.03  
Barnet               25   28   -9      -0.58    47.86     0.57    52.14     6.70   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    5.20R    1.52  
Stevenage            25   27  -11      -6.44    19.80    -9.33    55.15     6.70   -12.27     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.18P    1.98R    0.44  
Newport_County       24   20  -12      -7.87    13.18    -4.22    45.97     6.74   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   21.99R    8.84  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.41    42.58    -3.66    45.05     7.01   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.66R   13.51  
Dag_&_Red            25   19  -19      -9.01    10.26    -8.93    42.50     6.40   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.77R   20.70  
Yeovil               25   17  -15     -13.93     2.56   -10.30    42.83     6.64   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   37.58R   17.58  
York                 24   16  -21     -10.40     6.26   -11.05    39.73     6.60   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.95R   37.04  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Chester 1 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       27   59  +34       4.39    71.60     6.81    96.84     5.91    52.15    81.04    99.91    88.19P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   55  +20       7.31    83.26     3.59    86.69     6.31    28.70     9.05    92.70    30.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          26   49  +28      -1.44    41.47     5.56    85.36     6.25    41.39     8.04    91.54    38.42P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   48  +11       6.28    78.99     1.80    79.68     6.50    17.54     1.38    65.22    12.96P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     29   47  +13       1.68    58.42     4.83    74.59     5.78    19.41     0.12    34.55     7.02P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   28   46   +9       4.08    69.64     3.93    72.71     6.04    11.98     0.08    23.05     3.89P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           28   44  +13      -1.57    42.21     2.12    71.85     6.01    17.77     0.05    20.80     4.33P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     28   42   +6       3.06    65.38     5.42    66.90     6.00     6.00     0.00     5.25     0.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   41   +7      -7.02    18.55    -7.37    72.00     6.11    16.29     0.05    20.87     5.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        27   41   -6       3.90    69.54    -5.67    64.49     6.16   -10.16     0.00     2.36     0.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham          26   40  +11      -1.27    43.27     2.68    69.48     6.40    14.05     0.02    13.08     2.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.70    74.57     5.30    73.31     6.71    13.71     0.17    27.82     5.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          26   37   +2       3.35    66.47     6.39    63.75     6.67     0.02     0.00     2.61     0.32P    0.19R    0.01  
Southport        27   36   -8       6.24    80.34     3.35    58.16     6.01   -14.04     0.00     0.16     0.02P    1.24R    0.06  
Chester          28   34   -7       1.46    58.38     2.65    56.65     5.88   -10.35     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.94R    0.09  
Barrow           27   33  -16       5.63    77.80     0.47    53.01     6.10   -25.90     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.10R    0.86  
Aldershot        28   32  -12      -1.93    40.62    -5.05    55.27     5.91   -14.12     0.00     0.03     0.01P    3.45R    0.26  
Guiseley         28   31  -17       2.59    64.26    -1.03    47.55     5.63   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.00R    4.96  
Altrincham       26   27  -17       1.46    59.46    -1.21    49.61     6.18   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.43R    3.36  
Boreham_Wood     27   26   -6      -4.79    27.25     2.50    48.16     6.02   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.32R    4.18  
Halifax          27   25  -20      -8.06    14.73   -12.53    46.19     6.05   -29.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.78R    9.29  
Welling          25   24  -10      -3.95    29.21    -0.78    47.00     6.20   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.76R    6.98  
Torquay          27   20  -24     -11.26     6.45   -14.12    45.33     6.23   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.08R   11.86  
Kidderminster    26   14  -20     -14.94     1.45    -9.65    37.55     6.16   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.65R   58.09