Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 January 2016, Crystal_Palace 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          20   42  +16       4.05    73.64    -0.09    75.36     5.78    29.27    42.42    77.97    91.06    96.53    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   40  +12      11.61    96.24    10.63    64.98     5.93    11.96     2.98    11.54    31.17    52.22    80.65     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   39  +18      -1.61    38.46    -3.67    75.47     5.73    36.92    47.19    80.44    92.26    96.90    99.53     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   36  +18       2.64    65.67     9.02    66.31     5.93    26.45     5.07    18.50    44.88    66.07    88.37     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   33   +7      -1.29    41.68    -3.11    63.69     5.90    15.78     1.85     8.33    25.02    45.50    76.02     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   32   +7       4.30    75.51     6.68    57.05     5.94     7.62     0.18     1.03     4.35    10.72    32.98     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   31   +4       5.70    82.12     6.80    53.91     5.82     1.60     0.02     0.22     1.34     3.83    15.82     0.09R    0.00  
Liverpool        20   30   -2       0.29    52.09    -5.22    57.43     6.03     2.10     0.16     1.06     4.57    11.37    33.83     0.04R    0.00  
Watford          20   29   +3       4.30    75.06     7.50    51.80     5.96     0.09     0.02     0.10     0.72     2.19    10.14     0.41R    0.00  
Stoke            20   29   +0       2.56    65.94     1.15    53.04     5.81    -0.82     0.00     0.15     0.85     2.81    12.62     0.21R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   +7      -3.68    28.74     2.18    54.60     6.01    11.29     0.06     0.37     1.96     5.66    21.79     0.15R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   26   -5       2.51    66.40     0.42    46.54     5.65   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     1.43     3.18R    0.04  
Southampton      20   24   +2      -6.25    16.41    -2.14    50.73     5.91     5.00     0.01     0.06     0.41     1.54     7.91     0.55R    0.01  
Chelsea          20   23   -3     -11.62     3.33   -13.93    54.20     5.94     6.69     0.03     0.22     1.35     4.44    18.73     0.15R    0.00  
Norwich          20   23   -9       0.92    56.83    -0.13    42.93     5.88   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.48    11.77R    0.29  
Bournemouth      20   21  -12       0.60    55.06     0.09    39.85     5.84   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    25.83R    1.08  
Swansea          20   19   -9      -5.05    21.20    -4.11    41.11     5.78   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    17.00R    0.57  
Newcastle        20   17  -16      -2.42    35.23    -2.84    35.17     5.59   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.88R    5.29  
Sunderland       20   15  -17      -4.41    23.16    -3.88    31.32     5.41   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.49R   14.40  
Aston_Villa      20    8  -21      -9.43     3.88    -5.36    23.70     5.29   -35.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.24R   78.32  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Birmingham 2 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   24   52  +24       8.88    90.51     9.05    91.52     6.54    37.14    60.47    84.86    99.76    89.88P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   48  +20       4.12    71.22     5.36    85.93     6.41    33.59    21.58    56.78    98.27    70.83P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            25   47  +18       3.13    66.05     4.21    84.27     6.35    30.35    15.23    43.64    96.95    62.25P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        25   44   +6       8.66    88.86     3.88    73.87     6.34     8.13     0.63     3.40    59.25    13.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         25   42  +11       1.07    55.85     1.12    75.61     6.57    18.10     1.36     6.68    71.83    25.16P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         25   41   +4       4.19    71.61    -0.03    73.00     6.51     8.88     0.52     2.82    54.82    13.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   39   +8       4.37    72.85     6.97    69.03     6.38    10.12     0.08     0.70    31.95     6.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      25   39   +3       5.61    78.52     3.92    66.22     6.41     1.07     0.03     0.29    16.92     3.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   37   +4       1.91    60.54     2.33    66.16     6.42     4.82     0.04     0.29    17.85     3.72P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +2      -0.21    49.11    -0.86    66.71     6.59     5.00     0.04     0.35    20.61     4.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   25   34   +0      -2.45    37.27    -3.46    64.74     6.48     3.10     0.02     0.13    12.87     2.89P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         25   33   +2      -0.40    48.46     2.91    60.31     6.40     0.22     0.00     0.01     4.16     0.76P    0.41R    0.01  
Leeds_United    25   32   -2       0.73    54.59     1.83    58.45     6.27    -4.82     0.00     0.00     1.89     0.28P    0.89R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   25   31   +1      -3.40    32.58     0.34    59.87     6.42     1.33     0.00     0.01     3.52     0.71P    0.56R    0.02  
Preston         25   31   -1      -1.32    43.23     0.80    57.98     6.37    -2.82     0.00     0.01     1.86     0.35P    1.09R    0.06  
QPR             25   30   -3      -5.56    22.81    -4.94    60.06     6.64    -0.80     0.00     0.01     4.14     0.94P    0.63R    0.02  
Blackburn       24   28   +1      -6.02    19.90    -1.06    58.60     6.56     2.12     0.00     0.00     2.68     0.56P    0.94R    0.04  
Huddersfield    25   28   -6      -1.75    41.20     0.89    53.00     6.40   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    6.66R    0.57  
Fulham          25   27   -3      -5.30    23.57     0.78    52.80     6.50    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    7.09R    0.67  
MK_Dons         25   23  -12      -6.25    19.33    -4.88    47.66     6.39   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   25.63R    4.45  
Rotherham       25   21  -14      -4.52    26.07    -0.37    42.43     6.09   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.59R   17.58  
Bristol_City    25   21  -22      -5.16    23.88    -9.44    43.60     6.36   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.23R   15.46  
Charlton        25   20  -21      -6.28    18.14    -9.64    41.62     6.06   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.49R   22.72  
Bolton          25   17  -20     -10.02     6.84    -9.68    38.96     6.08   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.62R   38.38  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Barnsley 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    24   51  +13      15.67    98.36     9.25    82.75     6.87    15.49    20.38    38.88    89.21    48.16P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       25   50  +20       9.49    89.74    10.44    83.10     6.76    26.58    23.61    43.42    91.31    54.23P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   48  +18       9.61    90.68     9.94    83.35     6.78    25.72    24.20    44.45    91.86    55.86P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         25   47  +22       5.99    78.73    11.80    80.84     6.71    29.62    14.91    31.62    86.26    45.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            24   41  +13      -1.43    41.77    -0.96    79.83     6.86    25.72    12.09    26.58    81.65    45.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     25   40  +14      -0.55    47.20     4.11    75.16     6.72    23.85     3.45     9.74    60.33    23.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         24   37   +1       6.16    79.94     3.87    65.03     6.80    -1.99     0.10     0.42     9.41     1.92P    1.09R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        24   36   +5      -2.12    38.69    -2.76    70.07     6.86    10.93     0.64     2.29    28.50     9.19P    0.13R    0.00  
Rochdale         24   34   +5      -0.42    48.01     2.77    67.30     6.94     9.60     0.25     0.98    17.31     4.83P    0.51R    0.01  
Millwall         24   34   +2      -1.42    42.68    -1.75    66.64     6.96     5.64     0.18     0.75    14.84     4.28P    0.68R    0.02  
Doncaster        25   34   -2      -0.47    47.83    -2.30    62.58     6.69    -2.28     0.03     0.12     4.87     1.07P    2.34R    0.03  
Bradford         23   34   -2       3.50    69.56    -0.73    65.93     6.92    -1.07     0.11     0.51    11.43     2.80P    0.90R    0.01  
Port_Vale        24   33   +1       1.01    55.88     2.33    61.98     6.74    -0.73     0.02     0.11     4.29     1.01P    2.98R    0.05  
Bury             24   33   -4       4.24    72.58     2.65    59.78     6.88    -9.44     0.01     0.06     2.35     0.45P    6.67R    0.13  
Scunthorpe       25   32   -3       0.21    51.79     0.84    59.34     6.59    -5.32     0.01     0.03     1.60     0.30P    6.44R    0.16  
Swindon          24   28   -6      -7.29    16.42    -9.54    60.53     6.92    -2.60     0.02     0.05     3.02     0.86P    5.42R    0.13  
Barnsley         24   27   -7      -5.73    22.08    -6.38    56.80     6.87    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.20P   13.38R    0.50  
Chesterfield     25   27   -8      -6.85    18.20    -7.08    55.31     6.69    -8.97     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P   17.82R    0.71  
Fleetwood_Town   24   26   -2      -4.79    25.25     1.14    54.27     6.70    -4.79     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   21.53R    1.21  
Shrewsbury       25   26  -11      -4.61    27.28    -5.31    51.02     6.54   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.58R    3.13  
Blackpool        24   25  -12      -3.27    33.22    -5.42    51.88     6.73   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   36.09R    2.89  
Oldham           23   21  -11      -5.98    19.76    -4.06    47.19     6.85   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   63.10R    9.93  
Colchester       25   21  -25      -4.10    28.96    -8.21    42.22     6.43   -38.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.45R   33.50  
Crewe            24   20  -21      -2.74    35.43    -4.62    40.21     6.22   -37.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.88R   47.57  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             25   52  +18      10.31    91.96     7.15    86.75     6.56    26.66    41.52    79.04    98.22    84.19P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          24   49  +14      11.61    94.14     7.18    83.26     6.98    20.16    21.68    59.90    93.26    67.21P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   48  +19       7.45    84.30     9.74    82.11     6.62    26.85    17.51    55.34    92.79    65.20P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   44  +22       2.61    63.35    11.33    78.74     6.73    30.89     8.53    37.27    84.26    50.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       25   43  +11       6.12    78.90     7.01    74.55     6.73    15.12     2.51    15.39    62.73    26.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +8       2.18    61.44     0.69    74.29     6.84    14.11     2.40    14.98    60.97    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   39  +12       7.79    86.29    10.72    74.25     7.48    15.36     3.21    16.71    60.22    25.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        25   37   +5      -6.16    21.21    -8.61    73.64     6.81    17.05     1.95    13.48    58.76    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             23   37   +3       5.91    79.14     4.24    68.34     7.32     2.01     0.45     4.01    27.71     8.23P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   36   +4       1.93    60.59     4.46    64.35     6.63     3.28     0.05     0.80    11.76     3.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        25   36   +1       3.40    67.52     3.99    62.76     6.66    -2.53     0.03     0.49     7.67     1.83P    0.06R    0.01  
Mansfield            24   35   +9       3.43    68.65    10.82    63.33     6.78     6.51     0.04     0.64    10.06     2.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe            23   31   +1      -0.27    48.90     1.88    63.59     7.26     2.20     0.07     0.97    11.70     3.31P    0.11R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         25   31  -12      -2.10    39.59    -9.96    59.88     6.87   -12.15     0.01     0.12     3.38     0.85P    0.46R    0.09  
Luton                25   30   +0      -5.45    23.85    -1.67    60.68     6.69     2.75     0.01     0.20     4.68     1.33P    0.22R    0.05  
Exeter               24   30   -6      -1.19    44.13    -3.03    57.80     6.88   -10.01     0.00     0.08     2.12     0.48P    0.78R    0.18  
Notts_County         24   30   -7      -4.60    27.60    -9.35    62.63     7.16    -3.41     0.04     0.56     8.68     2.63P    0.20R    0.05  
Barnet               25   28   -9      -0.51    48.23     0.72    52.10     6.66   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    5.17R    1.48  
Stevenage            25   27  -11      -6.51    19.59    -9.41    55.20     6.74   -12.21     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.19P    1.95R    0.41  
Newport_County       24   20  -12      -7.89    13.21    -4.24    46.07     6.75   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   21.29R    8.64  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.44    42.40    -3.72    45.10     6.96   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.99R   13.09  
Dag_&_Red            25   19  -19      -9.02    10.46    -8.87    42.40     6.45   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.58R   21.12  
Yeovil               25   17  -15     -13.86     2.46   -10.17    42.74     6.65   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.19R   17.91  
York                 24   16  -21     -10.31     6.59   -10.89    39.67     6.60   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   59.93R   36.96  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Chester 1 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       27   59  +34       4.41    71.67     6.85    96.89     5.87    52.24    80.99    99.91    88.04P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   55  +20       7.27    83.18     3.47    86.74     6.31    28.81     8.94    92.82    30.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          26   49  +28      -1.68    40.00     5.25    85.57     6.22    41.69     8.29    91.99    39.21P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   48  +11       6.28    79.41     1.82    79.65     6.45    17.53     1.34    65.20    12.81P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     29   47  +13       1.60    57.83     4.65    74.62     5.77    19.43     0.12    34.63     7.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   28   46   +9       4.02    69.45     3.82    72.70     6.03    11.95     0.07    22.83     3.76P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           28   44  +13      -1.53    42.28     2.16    71.78     6.03    17.69     0.05    20.76     4.22P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     28   42   +6       3.08    65.34     5.41    66.94     6.00     6.05     0.00     5.33     0.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   41   +7      -6.96    18.67    -7.26    71.97     6.06    16.27     0.03    20.55     5.56P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        27   41   -6       3.66    68.40    -6.01    64.61     6.12   -10.03     0.00     2.56     0.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham          26   40  +11      -1.11    43.99     2.90    69.45     6.42    13.95     0.03    13.21     2.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.71    74.96     5.34    73.28     6.67    13.64     0.13    27.60     5.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          26   37   +2       3.45    67.15     6.64    63.51     6.67    -0.39     0.00     2.38     0.32P    0.23R    0.00  
Southport        27   36   -8       6.16    79.99     3.22    58.26     6.00   -13.88     0.00     0.15     0.02P    1.29R    0.07  
Chester          28   34   -7       1.56    58.59     2.79    56.64     5.95   -10.40     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.08R    0.10  
Barrow           27   33  -16       5.65    77.70     0.52    53.06     6.06   -25.79     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.72R    0.76  
Aldershot        28   32  -12      -1.74    41.92    -4.82    55.20     5.93   -14.26     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.71R    0.29  
Guiseley         28   31  -17       2.76    65.29    -0.81    47.40     5.57   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.52R    5.18  
Altrincham       26   27  -17       1.31    58.73    -1.39    49.69     6.19   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.01R    3.20  
Boreham_Wood     27   26   -6      -4.48    28.61     2.95    47.91     6.00   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.00P   26.74R    4.52  
Halifax          27   25  -20      -8.04    14.86   -12.56    46.14     6.06   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.83R    9.55  
Welling          25   24  -10      -4.13    28.16    -1.05    47.12     6.22   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00P   33.13R    6.93  
Torquay          27   20  -24     -11.31     5.92   -14.22    45.39     6.20   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.51R   11.80  
Kidderminster    26   14  -20     -14.94     1.40    -9.67    37.65     6.16   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.18R   57.62