Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 5 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 January 2016, Crystal_Palace 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 20 42 +16 4.01 73.20 -0.21 75.41 5.79 29.35 43.06 78.17 91.27 96.49 99.45 0.00 0.00 Leicester 20 40 +12 11.69 96.35 10.75 64.91 5.92 11.79 2.72 11.16 30.53 51.55 80.42 0.00 0.00 Man_City 20 39 +18 -1.60 38.83 -3.61 75.45 5.72 36.88 46.90 80.28 92.25 96.97 99.54 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 36 +18 2.58 65.30 8.93 66.38 5.97 26.58 5.15 19.10 45.40 66.44 88.09 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 33 +7 -1.28 41.72 -3.07 63.66 5.86 15.75 1.74 8.19 24.75 45.10 76.08 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 20 32 +7 4.35 75.32 6.74 57.03 5.91 7.57 0.13 0.93 4.24 10.58 32.78 0.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 20 31 +4 5.71 82.12 6.77 53.96 5.77 1.67 0.04 0.22 1.35 3.94 15.89 0.11R 0.00 Liverpool 20 30 -2 0.19 51.23 -5.39 57.48 6.07 2.24 0.17 1.09 4.83 11.69 34.34 0.03R 0.00 Watford 20 29 +3 4.22 74.52 7.38 51.85 5.97 0.18 0.01 0.09 0.69 2.35 10.41 0.35R 0.00 Stoke 20 29 +0 2.64 66.39 1.25 53.01 5.79 -0.83 0.00 0.12 0.85 2.77 12.47 0.20R 0.00 Everton 20 27 +7 -3.61 29.02 2.29 54.56 5.94 11.19 0.05 0.33 1.90 5.75 21.47 0.13R 0.00 West_Brom 20 26 -5 2.46 66.12 0.38 46.55 5.63 -11.34 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.17 1.39 3.09R 0.03 Southampton 20 24 +2 -6.32 16.06 -2.27 50.76 5.90 5.11 0.01 0.06 0.47 1.49 7.71 0.57R 0.00 Chelsea 20 23 -3 -11.68 3.31 -14.01 54.24 5.93 6.76 0.02 0.25 1.43 4.65 19.27 0.19R 0.00 Norwich 20 23 -9 1.03 57.56 0.04 42.87 5.84 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.40 11.97R 0.28 Bournemouth 20 21 -12 0.59 55.24 0.04 39.85 5.80 -21.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 26.00R 1.05 Swansea 20 19 -9 -4.94 21.57 -3.97 41.08 5.76 -12.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 17.05R 0.56 Newcastle 20 17 -16 -2.51 34.86 -2.90 35.19 5.57 -26.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 59.64R 5.24 Sunderland 20 15 -17 -4.43 23.24 -3.89 31.31 5.45 -30.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.26R 14.01 Aston_Villa 20 8 -21 -9.39 3.69 -5.24 23.66 5.25 -35.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.38R 78.82Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Birmingham 2 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 24 52 +24 8.91 90.66 9.10 91.47 6.51 37.09 59.98 84.45 99.81 89.84P 0.00 0.00 Derby 25 48 +20 4.12 71.44 5.36 85.93 6.40 33.56 21.66 56.55 98.25 70.73P 0.00 0.00 Hull 25 47 +18 3.00 65.65 4.04 84.38 6.37 30.48 15.64 44.12 97.16 63.03P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 25 44 +6 8.69 88.67 3.90 73.83 6.34 8.11 0.61 3.38 59.22 13.75P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 25 42 +11 1.30 57.02 1.45 75.42 6.59 17.85 1.40 6.67 70.55 24.63P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 25 41 +4 4.05 71.04 -0.18 73.09 6.45 9.00 0.49 2.86 55.47 13.71P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 25 39 +8 4.36 72.89 7.01 69.03 6.42 10.08 0.10 0.83 32.06 6.72P 0.00R 0.00 Birmingham 25 39 +3 5.74 78.92 4.09 66.14 6.42 0.94 0.03 0.26 16.85 2.88P 0.02R 0.00 Cardiff 25 37 +4 1.92 60.61 2.33 66.22 6.41 4.88 0.03 0.32 18.01 3.80P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 25 36 +2 -0.07 49.68 -0.67 66.55 6.63 4.80 0.04 0.37 20.32 4.23P 0.04R 0.00 Wolverhampton 25 34 +0 -2.56 36.71 -3.58 64.73 6.49 3.11 0.02 0.13 13.16 2.97P 0.07R 0.00 Reading 25 33 +2 -0.29 48.96 3.08 60.20 6.38 0.08 0.00 0.02 3.84 0.68P 0.42R 0.01 Leeds_United 25 32 -2 0.74 54.77 1.84 58.47 6.32 -4.78 0.00 0.01 1.99 0.35P 0.84R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 25 31 +1 -3.66 31.12 -0.04 60.06 6.43 1.57 0.00 0.01 3.88 0.74P 0.44R 0.01 Preston 25 31 -1 -1.39 43.14 0.68 58.03 6.33 -2.74 0.00 0.00 1.87 0.33P 1.04R 0.04 QPR 25 30 -3 -5.58 22.71 -4.98 60.08 6.66 -0.76 0.00 0.01 4.22 0.94P 0.71R 0.03 Blackburn 24 28 +1 -6.02 19.90 -1.12 58.68 6.54 2.22 0.00 0.02 2.66 0.56P 1.00R 0.04 Huddersfield 25 28 -6 -1.69 41.55 1.01 52.91 6.38 -11.71 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.04P 6.89R 0.56 Fulham 25 27 -3 -5.50 23.03 0.47 53.06 6.56 -7.71 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.06P 6.58R 0.54 MK_Dons 25 23 -12 -6.31 19.03 -5.00 47.78 6.39 -17.62 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 24.76R 4.05 Rotherham 25 21 -14 -4.55 25.87 -0.43 42.51 6.12 -25.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.78R 17.10 Bristol_City 25 21 -22 -5.06 24.04 -9.35 43.42 6.33 -31.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.37R 15.68 Charlton 25 20 -21 -6.16 18.61 -9.44 41.53 6.07 -31.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.20R 23.03 Bolton 25 17 -20 -9.96 7.00 -9.60 38.87 6.13 -30.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.82R 38.87League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Barnsley 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 24 51 +13 15.63 98.35 9.22 82.68 6.91 15.45 19.76 38.13 88.84 47.59P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 25 50 +20 9.55 89.75 10.52 83.12 6.78 26.59 23.44 43.55 91.39 54.29P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 24 48 +18 9.39 90.50 9.55 83.63 6.81 26.10 25.49 45.62 92.55 57.20P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 25 47 +22 6.02 78.83 11.86 80.83 6.69 29.60 14.81 31.39 86.19 44.84P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 24 41 +13 -1.39 41.89 -0.96 79.92 6.84 25.76 12.02 26.75 81.89 46.38P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 25 40 +14 -0.39 47.92 4.43 75.11 6.75 23.74 3.21 9.48 59.99 23.16P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 24 37 +1 6.35 80.66 4.17 64.82 6.80 -2.24 0.08 0.38 8.85 1.83P 1.09R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 24 36 +5 -2.09 38.78 -2.72 70.00 6.83 10.80 0.62 2.15 28.20 8.91P 0.16R 0.00 Rochdale 24 34 +5 -0.34 48.48 2.86 67.20 6.88 9.47 0.21 0.84 16.93 4.52P 0.45R 0.01 Millwall 24 34 +2 -1.50 42.13 -1.91 66.69 7.05 5.68 0.17 0.86 15.42 4.38P 0.71R 0.01 Doncaster 25 34 -2 -0.55 47.58 -2.37 62.56 6.62 -2.30 0.02 0.11 4.62 1.10P 2.45R 0.03 Bradford 23 34 -2 3.52 69.51 -0.74 66.00 6.91 -1.00 0.13 0.52 11.96 2.85P 0.94R 0.01 Port_Vale 24 33 +1 1.03 55.95 2.33 62.00 6.77 -0.69 0.02 0.08 4.52 0.99P 2.95R 0.04 Bury 24 33 -4 4.17 71.82 2.55 59.76 6.87 -9.48 0.01 0.03 2.46 0.47P 6.80R 0.16 Scunthorpe 25 32 -3 0.36 52.69 1.09 59.22 6.56 -5.53 0.00 0.02 1.57 0.32P 6.67R 0.15 Swindon 24 28 -6 -7.20 16.46 -9.37 60.37 6.95 -2.85 0.01 0.06 2.88 0.77P 5.75R 0.17 Barnsley 24 27 -7 -5.67 22.36 -6.22 56.76 6.87 -7.86 0.00 0.01 0.81 0.19P 13.71R 0.57 Chesterfield 25 27 -8 -7.10 17.12 -7.48 55.47 6.66 -8.67 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.10P 17.24R 0.82 Fleetwood_Town 24 26 -2 -4.62 26.42 1.37 54.10 6.70 -5.02 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.07P 22.21R 1.25 Shrewsbury 25 26 -11 -4.67 26.90 -5.40 51.12 6.63 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 40.03R 3.04 Blackpool 24 25 -12 -3.46 32.31 -5.72 52.02 6.79 -16.47 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 35.52R 2.97 Oldham 23 21 -11 -6.04 19.32 -4.13 47.24 6.81 -19.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 63.11R 10.03 Colchester 25 21 -25 -4.16 28.68 -8.27 42.27 6.40 -38.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.53R 33.25 Crewe 24 20 -21 -2.73 35.59 -4.66 40.25 6.25 -37.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.69R 47.49League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 25 52 +18 10.33 91.94 7.22 86.67 6.60 26.57 41.05 78.86 98.24 84.21P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 24 49 +14 11.62 94.06 7.30 83.24 7.02 20.09 21.67 59.64 93.12 66.96P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 48 +19 7.40 84.03 9.68 82.17 6.69 26.93 18.10 56.31 92.72 66.03P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 25 44 +22 2.58 63.28 11.28 78.72 6.71 30.83 8.78 36.92 84.36 50.69P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 25 43 +11 6.18 79.38 7.08 74.45 6.76 14.98 2.41 15.25 62.21 26.17P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 24 40 +8 2.19 61.58 0.70 74.26 6.86 14.07 2.26 14.96 60.89 27.17P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 22 39 +12 7.90 86.80 10.84 74.22 7.46 15.36 3.24 16.91 59.99 25.31P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 25 37 +5 -6.13 21.42 -8.57 73.56 6.78 16.97 1.77 13.22 58.67 28.94P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 23 37 +3 5.76 78.61 4.08 68.51 7.29 2.29 0.49 4.13 28.72 8.52P 0.01R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 25 36 +4 2.07 61.20 4.64 64.27 6.67 3.13 0.06 0.85 11.71 2.98P 0.03R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 25 36 +1 3.37 67.52 3.95 62.78 6.65 -2.48 0.02 0.45 7.89 1.83P 0.06R 0.01 Mansfield 24 35 +9 3.28 68.10 10.60 63.41 6.75 6.61 0.06 0.70 10.12 2.51P 0.04R 0.00 Morecambe 23 31 +1 -0.27 48.77 1.81 63.58 7.24 2.19 0.06 0.93 11.46 3.23P 0.13R 0.02 Crawley_Town 25 31 -12 -2.13 39.77 -9.94 59.85 6.86 -12.14 0.00 0.12 3.47 0.85P 0.47R 0.09 Luton 25 30 +0 -5.35 23.93 -1.54 60.62 6.69 2.62 0.01 0.16 4.61 1.23P 0.20R 0.04 Exeter 24 30 -6 -1.18 44.15 -2.99 57.79 6.93 -10.02 0.00 0.07 2.17 0.47P 0.85R 0.18 Notts_County 24 30 -7 -4.66 27.23 -9.41 62.73 7.09 -3.29 0.04 0.50 8.70 2.65P 0.19R 0.03 Barnet 25 28 -9 -0.51 48.30 0.66 52.18 6.67 -16.65 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.06P 4.96R 1.39 Stevenage 25 27 -11 -6.43 19.98 -9.33 55.15 6.72 -12.28 0.00 0.01 0.68 0.18P 1.91R 0.43 Newport_County 24 20 -12 -7.90 13.36 -4.26 46.00 6.75 -18.58 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 22.03R 8.90 Hartlepool 21 20 -15 -1.36 42.86 -3.61 44.97 7.00 -29.46 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 30.20R 13.53 Dag_&_Red 25 19 -19 -9.03 10.47 -8.96 42.47 6.47 -27.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.83R 20.83 Yeovil 25 17 -15 -14.02 2.54 -10.42 42.86 6.65 -19.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.84R 17.07 York 24 16 -21 -10.28 6.62 -10.81 39.64 6.60 -31.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.24R 37.48National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Chester 1 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 27 59 +34 4.37 71.64 6.78 96.92 5.89 52.27 81.02 99.92 88.20P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 27 55 +20 7.22 83.06 3.45 86.77 6.28 28.75 8.92 93.14 29.72P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 26 49 +28 -1.77 39.59 5.08 85.64 6.17 41.78 8.35 92.22 39.65P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 26 48 +11 6.10 78.65 1.56 79.76 6.41 17.71 1.31 65.99 12.93P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 29 47 +13 1.80 58.84 4.95 74.48 5.76 19.21 0.08 33.83 6.82P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 28 46 +9 4.01 69.29 3.86 72.77 6.01 12.06 0.06 23.24 3.77P 0.00 0.00 Woking 28 44 +13 -1.59 42.12 2.08 71.81 5.99 17.70 0.06 20.41 4.11P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 28 42 +6 3.00 64.94 5.32 66.97 6.02 6.13 0.00 5.45 0.82P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 28 41 +7 -6.94 18.96 -7.24 71.90 6.07 16.17 0.04 20.34 5.57P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 27 41 -6 3.75 68.94 -5.90 64.56 6.15 -10.04 0.00 2.38 0.30P 0.04R 0.00 Wrexham 26 40 +11 -1.08 44.17 2.91 69.38 6.34 13.91 0.02 12.58 2.53P 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 24 40 +9 4.76 75.01 5.39 73.30 6.70 13.69 0.14 27.89 5.27P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 26 37 +2 3.52 67.56 6.71 63.53 6.64 -0.34 0.00 2.37 0.28P 0.16R 0.00 Southport 27 36 -8 6.32 80.84 3.51 58.07 5.99 -14.11 0.00 0.16 0.02P 1.30R 0.06 Chester 28 34 -7 1.59 59.22 2.83 56.60 5.87 -10.40 0.00 0.05 0.01P 1.93R 0.10 Barrow 27 33 -16 5.68 77.83 0.62 53.02 6.11 -25.89 0.00 0.01 0.00 9.13R 0.90 Aldershot 28 32 -12 -1.78 41.63 -4.86 55.19 5.88 -14.25 0.00 0.03 0.01P 3.47R 0.22 Guiseley 28 31 -17 2.59 64.27 -1.05 47.46 5.63 -29.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.45R 5.22 Altrincham 26 27 -17 1.34 58.93 -1.41 49.65 6.19 -24.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.35R 3.31 Boreham_Wood 27 26 -6 -4.52 28.21 2.86 47.96 6.00 -11.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.81R 4.60 Halifax 27 25 -20 -8.09 14.53 -12.64 46.20 6.01 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.51R 9.15 Welling 25 24 -10 -4.06 28.93 -0.91 47.09 6.22 -18.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.09R 6.83 Torquay 27 20 -24 -11.42 5.92 -14.39 45.51 6.24 -25.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.09R 11.44 Kidderminster 26 14 -20 -14.84 1.39 -9.49 37.56 6.15 -25.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.65R 58.17