Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 5 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 January 2016, Crystal_Palace 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          20   42  +16       4.01    73.20    -0.21    75.41     5.79    29.35    43.06    78.17    91.27    96.49    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   40  +12      11.69    96.35    10.75    64.91     5.92    11.79     2.72    11.16    30.53    51.55    80.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   39  +18      -1.60    38.83    -3.61    75.45     5.72    36.88    46.90    80.28    92.25    96.97    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   36  +18       2.58    65.30     8.93    66.38     5.97    26.58     5.15    19.10    45.40    66.44    88.09     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   33   +7      -1.28    41.72    -3.07    63.66     5.86    15.75     1.74     8.19    24.75    45.10    76.08     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   32   +7       4.35    75.32     6.74    57.03     5.91     7.57     0.13     0.93     4.24    10.58    32.78     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   31   +4       5.71    82.12     6.77    53.96     5.77     1.67     0.04     0.22     1.35     3.94    15.89     0.11R    0.00  
Liverpool        20   30   -2       0.19    51.23    -5.39    57.48     6.07     2.24     0.17     1.09     4.83    11.69    34.34     0.03R    0.00  
Watford          20   29   +3       4.22    74.52     7.38    51.85     5.97     0.18     0.01     0.09     0.69     2.35    10.41     0.35R    0.00  
Stoke            20   29   +0       2.64    66.39     1.25    53.01     5.79    -0.83     0.00     0.12     0.85     2.77    12.47     0.20R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   +7      -3.61    29.02     2.29    54.56     5.94    11.19     0.05     0.33     1.90     5.75    21.47     0.13R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   26   -5       2.46    66.12     0.38    46.55     5.63   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     1.39     3.09R    0.03  
Southampton      20   24   +2      -6.32    16.06    -2.27    50.76     5.90     5.11     0.01     0.06     0.47     1.49     7.71     0.57R    0.00  
Chelsea          20   23   -3     -11.68     3.31   -14.01    54.24     5.93     6.76     0.02     0.25     1.43     4.65    19.27     0.19R    0.00  
Norwich          20   23   -9       1.03    57.56     0.04    42.87     5.84   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.40    11.97R    0.28  
Bournemouth      20   21  -12       0.59    55.24     0.04    39.85     5.80   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    26.00R    1.05  
Swansea          20   19   -9      -4.94    21.57    -3.97    41.08     5.76   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    17.05R    0.56  
Newcastle        20   17  -16      -2.51    34.86    -2.90    35.19     5.57   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    59.64R    5.24  
Sunderland       20   15  -17      -4.43    23.24    -3.89    31.31     5.45   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.26R   14.01  
Aston_Villa      20    8  -21      -9.39     3.69    -5.24    23.66     5.25   -35.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.38R   78.82  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Birmingham 2 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   24   52  +24       8.91    90.66     9.10    91.47     6.51    37.09    59.98    84.45    99.81    89.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   48  +20       4.12    71.44     5.36    85.93     6.40    33.56    21.66    56.55    98.25    70.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            25   47  +18       3.00    65.65     4.04    84.38     6.37    30.48    15.64    44.12    97.16    63.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        25   44   +6       8.69    88.67     3.90    73.83     6.34     8.11     0.61     3.38    59.22    13.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         25   42  +11       1.30    57.02     1.45    75.42     6.59    17.85     1.40     6.67    70.55    24.63P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         25   41   +4       4.05    71.04    -0.18    73.09     6.45     9.00     0.49     2.86    55.47    13.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   39   +8       4.36    72.89     7.01    69.03     6.42    10.08     0.10     0.83    32.06     6.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      25   39   +3       5.74    78.92     4.09    66.14     6.42     0.94     0.03     0.26    16.85     2.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   37   +4       1.92    60.61     2.33    66.22     6.41     4.88     0.03     0.32    18.01     3.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +2      -0.07    49.68    -0.67    66.55     6.63     4.80     0.04     0.37    20.32     4.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   25   34   +0      -2.56    36.71    -3.58    64.73     6.49     3.11     0.02     0.13    13.16     2.97P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         25   33   +2      -0.29    48.96     3.08    60.20     6.38     0.08     0.00     0.02     3.84     0.68P    0.42R    0.01  
Leeds_United    25   32   -2       0.74    54.77     1.84    58.47     6.32    -4.78     0.00     0.01     1.99     0.35P    0.84R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   25   31   +1      -3.66    31.12    -0.04    60.06     6.43     1.57     0.00     0.01     3.88     0.74P    0.44R    0.01  
Preston         25   31   -1      -1.39    43.14     0.68    58.03     6.33    -2.74     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.33P    1.04R    0.04  
QPR             25   30   -3      -5.58    22.71    -4.98    60.08     6.66    -0.76     0.00     0.01     4.22     0.94P    0.71R    0.03  
Blackburn       24   28   +1      -6.02    19.90    -1.12    58.68     6.54     2.22     0.00     0.02     2.66     0.56P    1.00R    0.04  
Huddersfield    25   28   -6      -1.69    41.55     1.01    52.91     6.38   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    6.89R    0.56  
Fulham          25   27   -3      -5.50    23.03     0.47    53.06     6.56    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P    6.58R    0.54  
MK_Dons         25   23  -12      -6.31    19.03    -5.00    47.78     6.39   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    24.76R    4.05  
Rotherham       25   21  -14      -4.55    25.87    -0.43    42.51     6.12   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.78R   17.10  
Bristol_City    25   21  -22      -5.06    24.04    -9.35    43.42     6.33   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.37R   15.68  
Charlton        25   20  -21      -6.16    18.61    -9.44    41.53     6.07   -31.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.20R   23.03  
Bolton          25   17  -20      -9.96     7.00    -9.60    38.87     6.13   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.82R   38.87  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Barnsley 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    24   51  +13      15.63    98.35     9.22    82.68     6.91    15.45    19.76    38.13    88.84    47.59P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       25   50  +20       9.55    89.75    10.52    83.12     6.78    26.59    23.44    43.55    91.39    54.29P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   48  +18       9.39    90.50     9.55    83.63     6.81    26.10    25.49    45.62    92.55    57.20P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         25   47  +22       6.02    78.83    11.86    80.83     6.69    29.60    14.81    31.39    86.19    44.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            24   41  +13      -1.39    41.89    -0.96    79.92     6.84    25.76    12.02    26.75    81.89    46.38P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     25   40  +14      -0.39    47.92     4.43    75.11     6.75    23.74     3.21     9.48    59.99    23.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         24   37   +1       6.35    80.66     4.17    64.82     6.80    -2.24     0.08     0.38     8.85     1.83P    1.09R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        24   36   +5      -2.09    38.78    -2.72    70.00     6.83    10.80     0.62     2.15    28.20     8.91P    0.16R    0.00  
Rochdale         24   34   +5      -0.34    48.48     2.86    67.20     6.88     9.47     0.21     0.84    16.93     4.52P    0.45R    0.01  
Millwall         24   34   +2      -1.50    42.13    -1.91    66.69     7.05     5.68     0.17     0.86    15.42     4.38P    0.71R    0.01  
Doncaster        25   34   -2      -0.55    47.58    -2.37    62.56     6.62    -2.30     0.02     0.11     4.62     1.10P    2.45R    0.03  
Bradford         23   34   -2       3.52    69.51    -0.74    66.00     6.91    -1.00     0.13     0.52    11.96     2.85P    0.94R    0.01  
Port_Vale        24   33   +1       1.03    55.95     2.33    62.00     6.77    -0.69     0.02     0.08     4.52     0.99P    2.95R    0.04  
Bury             24   33   -4       4.17    71.82     2.55    59.76     6.87    -9.48     0.01     0.03     2.46     0.47P    6.80R    0.16  
Scunthorpe       25   32   -3       0.36    52.69     1.09    59.22     6.56    -5.53     0.00     0.02     1.57     0.32P    6.67R    0.15  
Swindon          24   28   -6      -7.20    16.46    -9.37    60.37     6.95    -2.85     0.01     0.06     2.88     0.77P    5.75R    0.17  
Barnsley         24   27   -7      -5.67    22.36    -6.22    56.76     6.87    -7.86     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.19P   13.71R    0.57  
Chesterfield     25   27   -8      -7.10    17.12    -7.48    55.47     6.66    -8.67     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P   17.24R    0.82  
Fleetwood_Town   24   26   -2      -4.62    26.42     1.37    54.10     6.70    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07P   22.21R    1.25  
Shrewsbury       25   26  -11      -4.67    26.90    -5.40    51.12     6.63   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   40.03R    3.04  
Blackpool        24   25  -12      -3.46    32.31    -5.72    52.02     6.79   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   35.52R    2.97  
Oldham           23   21  -11      -6.04    19.32    -4.13    47.24     6.81   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   63.11R   10.03  
Colchester       25   21  -25      -4.16    28.68    -8.27    42.27     6.40   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.53R   33.25  
Crewe            24   20  -21      -2.73    35.59    -4.66    40.25     6.25   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.69R   47.49  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             25   52  +18      10.33    91.94     7.22    86.67     6.60    26.57    41.05    78.86    98.24    84.21P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          24   49  +14      11.62    94.06     7.30    83.24     7.02    20.09    21.67    59.64    93.12    66.96P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   48  +19       7.40    84.03     9.68    82.17     6.69    26.93    18.10    56.31    92.72    66.03P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   44  +22       2.58    63.28    11.28    78.72     6.71    30.83     8.78    36.92    84.36    50.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       25   43  +11       6.18    79.38     7.08    74.45     6.76    14.98     2.41    15.25    62.21    26.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +8       2.19    61.58     0.70    74.26     6.86    14.07     2.26    14.96    60.89    27.17P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   39  +12       7.90    86.80    10.84    74.22     7.46    15.36     3.24    16.91    59.99    25.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        25   37   +5      -6.13    21.42    -8.57    73.56     6.78    16.97     1.77    13.22    58.67    28.94P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             23   37   +3       5.76    78.61     4.08    68.51     7.29     2.29     0.49     4.13    28.72     8.52P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   36   +4       2.07    61.20     4.64    64.27     6.67     3.13     0.06     0.85    11.71     2.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        25   36   +1       3.37    67.52     3.95    62.78     6.65    -2.48     0.02     0.45     7.89     1.83P    0.06R    0.01  
Mansfield            24   35   +9       3.28    68.10    10.60    63.41     6.75     6.61     0.06     0.70    10.12     2.51P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe            23   31   +1      -0.27    48.77     1.81    63.58     7.24     2.19     0.06     0.93    11.46     3.23P    0.13R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         25   31  -12      -2.13    39.77    -9.94    59.85     6.86   -12.14     0.00     0.12     3.47     0.85P    0.47R    0.09  
Luton                25   30   +0      -5.35    23.93    -1.54    60.62     6.69     2.62     0.01     0.16     4.61     1.23P    0.20R    0.04  
Exeter               24   30   -6      -1.18    44.15    -2.99    57.79     6.93   -10.02     0.00     0.07     2.17     0.47P    0.85R    0.18  
Notts_County         24   30   -7      -4.66    27.23    -9.41    62.73     7.09    -3.29     0.04     0.50     8.70     2.65P    0.19R    0.03  
Barnet               25   28   -9      -0.51    48.30     0.66    52.18     6.67   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    4.96R    1.39  
Stevenage            25   27  -11      -6.43    19.98    -9.33    55.15     6.72   -12.28     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.18P    1.91R    0.43  
Newport_County       24   20  -12      -7.90    13.36    -4.26    46.00     6.75   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   22.03R    8.90  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.36    42.86    -3.61    44.97     7.00   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    30.20R   13.53  
Dag_&_Red            25   19  -19      -9.03    10.47    -8.96    42.47     6.47   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.83R   20.83  
Yeovil               25   17  -15     -14.02     2.54   -10.42    42.86     6.65   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.84R   17.07  
York                 24   16  -21     -10.28     6.62   -10.81    39.64     6.60   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.24R   37.48  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Chester 1 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       27   59  +34       4.37    71.64     6.78    96.92     5.89    52.27    81.02    99.92    88.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   55  +20       7.22    83.06     3.45    86.77     6.28    28.75     8.92    93.14    29.72P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          26   49  +28      -1.77    39.59     5.08    85.64     6.17    41.78     8.35    92.22    39.65P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   48  +11       6.10    78.65     1.56    79.76     6.41    17.71     1.31    65.99    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     29   47  +13       1.80    58.84     4.95    74.48     5.76    19.21     0.08    33.83     6.82P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   28   46   +9       4.01    69.29     3.86    72.77     6.01    12.06     0.06    23.24     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           28   44  +13      -1.59    42.12     2.08    71.81     5.99    17.70     0.06    20.41     4.11P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     28   42   +6       3.00    64.94     5.32    66.97     6.02     6.13     0.00     5.45     0.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   41   +7      -6.94    18.96    -7.24    71.90     6.07    16.17     0.04    20.34     5.57P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        27   41   -6       3.75    68.94    -5.90    64.56     6.15   -10.04     0.00     2.38     0.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham          26   40  +11      -1.08    44.17     2.91    69.38     6.34    13.91     0.02    12.58     2.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.76    75.01     5.39    73.30     6.70    13.69     0.14    27.89     5.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          26   37   +2       3.52    67.56     6.71    63.53     6.64    -0.34     0.00     2.37     0.28P    0.16R    0.00  
Southport        27   36   -8       6.32    80.84     3.51    58.07     5.99   -14.11     0.00     0.16     0.02P    1.30R    0.06  
Chester          28   34   -7       1.59    59.22     2.83    56.60     5.87   -10.40     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.93R    0.10  
Barrow           27   33  -16       5.68    77.83     0.62    53.02     6.11   -25.89     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.13R    0.90  
Aldershot        28   32  -12      -1.78    41.63    -4.86    55.19     5.88   -14.25     0.00     0.03     0.01P    3.47R    0.22  
Guiseley         28   31  -17       2.59    64.27    -1.05    47.46     5.63   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.45R    5.22  
Altrincham       26   27  -17       1.34    58.93    -1.41    49.65     6.19   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.35R    3.31  
Boreham_Wood     27   26   -6      -4.52    28.21     2.86    47.96     6.00   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.81R    4.60  
Halifax          27   25  -20      -8.09    14.53   -12.64    46.20     6.01   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.51R    9.15  
Welling          25   24  -10      -4.06    28.93    -0.91    47.09     6.22   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.09R    6.83  
Torquay          27   20  -24     -11.42     5.92   -14.39    45.51     6.24   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.09R   11.44  
Kidderminster    26   14  -20     -14.84     1.39    -9.49    37.56     6.15   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.65R   58.17