Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 4 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 January 2016, Crystal_Palace 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          20   42  +16       4.12    74.07    -0.00    75.30     5.76    29.21    42.20    77.30    91.07    96.57    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   40  +12      11.55    96.13    10.57    65.03     5.93    12.01     2.92    11.67    31.35    52.24    80.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   39  +18      -1.61    38.40    -3.67    75.47     5.66    36.87    47.57    80.59    92.42    97.14    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   36  +18       2.58    65.35     8.95    66.40     5.90    26.61     5.10    18.81    45.13    66.27    88.71     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   33   +7      -1.35    41.29    -3.20    63.72     5.84    15.86     1.79     8.36    24.85    45.33    76.45     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   32   +7       4.31    75.20     6.73    56.99     5.99     7.50     0.14     1.03     4.22    10.73    32.97     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   31   +4       5.76    82.41     6.88    53.82     5.75     1.49     0.01     0.24     1.15     3.60    15.19     0.09R    0.00  
Liverpool        20   30   -2       0.24    51.67    -5.27    57.44     6.05     2.15     0.16     1.06     4.53    11.37    33.86     0.02R    0.00  
Watford          20   29   +3       4.41    75.55     7.64    51.77     5.94     0.04     0.01     0.12     0.66     2.14     9.94     0.35R    0.00  
Stoke            20   29   +0       2.50    66.00     1.06    53.10     5.76    -0.70     0.02     0.14     0.92     2.86    12.72     0.15R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   +7      -3.76    28.43     2.07    54.59     5.96    11.25     0.07     0.35     1.87     5.63    21.75     0.12R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   26   -5       2.52    66.85     0.49    46.52     5.64   -11.43     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.20     1.42     3.34R    0.03  
Southampton      20   24   +2      -6.24    16.46    -2.15    50.69     5.91     4.99     0.01     0.05     0.39     1.41     7.72     0.63R    0.01  
Chelsea          20   23   -3     -11.65     3.27   -13.95    54.16     5.95     6.66     0.02     0.27     1.37     4.46    18.75     0.20R    0.00  
Norwich          20   23   -9       1.07    58.14     0.07    42.87     5.86   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.42    12.00R    0.34  
Bournemouth      20   21  -12       0.60    55.35     0.04    39.84     5.84   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    26.35R    1.18  
Swansea          20   19   -9      -4.93    21.63    -3.93    41.05     5.78   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    17.39R    0.63  
Newcastle        20   17  -16      -2.51    35.04    -2.99    35.26     5.57   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    59.14R    5.20  
Sunderland       20   15  -17      -4.50    22.59    -4.01    31.44     5.42   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.88R   13.79  
Aston_Villa      20    8  -21      -9.41     3.90    -5.33    23.67     5.28   -35.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.33R   78.82  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Birmingham 2 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   24   52  +24       8.91    90.53     9.08    91.49     6.50    37.09    60.65    85.31    99.77    90.24P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   48  +20       4.14    71.51     5.42    85.82     6.46    33.39    21.35    56.19    98.14    70.57P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            25   47  +18       3.23    66.85     4.38    84.19     6.37    30.22    15.15    43.07    96.99    61.59P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        25   44   +6       8.68    88.73     3.89    73.89     6.38     8.20     0.69     3.79    59.24    14.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         25   42  +11       1.08    55.90     1.11    75.57     6.57    18.05     1.39     6.75    71.25    24.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         25   41   +4       4.06    71.36    -0.22    73.12     6.48     9.10     0.53     3.00    55.24    14.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   39   +8       4.35    72.69     6.98    69.02     6.44    10.15     0.10     0.76    32.10     6.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      25   39   +3       5.69    78.66     4.04    66.18     6.45     1.01     0.02     0.25    17.10     2.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   37   +4       1.93    60.91     2.32    66.28     6.45     4.99     0.05     0.29    18.28     3.75P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +2      -0.22    48.88    -0.88    66.68     6.53     5.00     0.04     0.38    20.20     4.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   25   34   +0      -2.73    35.68    -3.81    64.86     6.47     3.29     0.02     0.15    13.12     2.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading         25   33   +2      -0.33    48.63     2.99    60.19     6.37     0.07     0.00     0.02     3.79     0.66P    0.45R    0.01  
Leeds_United    25   32   -2       0.86    55.60     2.00    58.32     6.28    -4.99     0.00     0.00     1.89     0.27P    0.97R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest   25   31   +1      -3.61    31.32     0.04    60.07     6.41     1.59     0.00     0.01     3.68     0.74P    0.48R    0.02  
Preston         25   31   -1      -1.31    43.61     0.81    57.97     6.37    -2.83     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.36P    1.01R    0.05  
QPR             25   30   -3      -5.58    22.66    -4.93    60.03     6.65    -0.79     0.00     0.03     4.13     0.93P    0.72R    0.03  
Blackburn       24   28   +1      -6.03    19.93    -1.11    58.73     6.53     2.29     0.00     0.00     2.68     0.56P    0.92R    0.05  
Huddersfield    25   28   -6      -1.48    42.38     1.34    52.75     6.39   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    7.24R    0.64  
Fulham          25   27   -3      -5.41    23.37     0.66    52.89     6.53    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P    6.97R    0.69  
MK_Dons         25   23  -12      -6.34    19.34    -5.04    47.79     6.42   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   25.00R    4.29  
Rotherham       25   21  -14      -4.62    25.69    -0.56    42.52     6.09   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.98R   17.23  
Bristol_City    25   21  -22      -5.02    24.37    -9.30    43.41     6.35   -31.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.18R   16.23  
Charlton        25   20  -21      -6.20    18.50    -9.50    41.61     6.08   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.48R   22.52  
Bolton          25   17  -20     -10.04     6.94    -9.71    38.96     6.11   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.48R   38.20  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Barnsley 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    24   51  +13      15.61    98.34     9.18    82.77     6.88    15.53    20.15    38.85    89.23    48.20P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       25   50  +20       9.41    89.54    10.31    83.20     6.78    26.70    23.96    43.93    91.67    54.66P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   48  +18       9.50    90.68     9.76    83.51     6.75    25.95    24.79    45.10    92.41    56.78P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         25   47  +22       6.02    78.86    11.87    80.89     6.66    29.68    14.81    31.42    86.54    45.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            24   41  +13      -1.29    42.48    -0.81    79.81     6.84    25.65    11.70    26.14    81.58    45.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     25   40  +14      -0.42    47.56     4.38    75.09     6.75    23.72     3.20     9.34    59.83    22.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         24   37   +1       6.28    80.59     4.07    64.86     6.77    -2.18     0.11     0.40     8.95     1.97P    1.08R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        24   36   +5      -2.10    38.90    -2.71    70.09     6.88    10.93     0.65     2.33    28.99     9.57P    0.16R    0.00  
Rochdale         24   34   +5      -0.42    48.03     2.74    67.29     6.92     9.57     0.23     0.87    17.00     4.55P    0.45R    0.00  
Millwall         24   34   +2      -1.59    41.78    -2.02    66.65     7.03     5.67     0.21     0.82    14.95     4.35P    0.76R    0.01  
Doncaster        25   34   -2      -0.55    47.42    -2.43    62.64     6.66    -2.19     0.02     0.11     4.83     1.14P    2.28R    0.02  
Bradford         23   34   -2       3.69    70.39    -0.50    65.87     6.92    -1.19     0.11     0.47    11.49     2.72P    0.85R    0.01  
Port_Vale        24   33   +1       0.99    55.71     2.29    62.04     6.69    -0.64     0.02     0.08     4.28     0.96P    2.79R    0.05  
Bury             24   33   -4       4.11    71.78     2.42    59.86     6.85    -9.30     0.01     0.06     2.31     0.45P    6.54R    0.13  
Scunthorpe       25   32   -3       0.35    52.51     1.04    59.25     6.58    -5.45     0.01     0.02     1.54     0.27P    6.65R    0.19  
Swindon          24   28   -6      -7.12    16.58    -9.23    60.30     6.90    -2.98     0.01     0.03     2.76     0.70P    5.75R    0.11  
Barnsley         24   27   -7      -5.48    23.02    -5.98    56.53     6.87    -8.26     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.18P   14.48R    0.58  
Chesterfield     25   27   -8      -7.16    17.10    -7.63    55.58     6.69    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.09P   16.79R    0.72  
Fleetwood_Town   24   26   -2      -4.70    26.07     1.27    54.10     6.73    -5.01     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P   22.21R    1.31  
Shrewsbury       25   26  -11      -4.71    26.89    -5.43    51.15     6.59   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   39.77R    3.08  
Blackpool        24   25  -12      -3.44    32.53    -5.68    51.98     6.76   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   35.49R    3.02  
Oldham           23   21  -11      -5.91    19.80    -3.90    47.11     6.76   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.46R   10.08  
Colchester       25   21  -25      -4.08    28.73    -8.18    42.25     6.35   -38.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.78R   33.50  
Crewe            24   20  -21      -2.83    34.94    -4.79    40.28     6.21   -37.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.69R   47.18  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             25   52  +18      10.32    91.76     7.25    86.69     6.64    26.58    41.32    78.48    98.18    83.93P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          24   49  +14      11.58    94.12     7.23    83.31     6.94    20.24    21.71    60.43    93.42    67.59P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   48  +19       7.39    84.08     9.67    82.18     6.63    26.94    17.81    56.03    92.88    65.74P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   44  +22       2.52    63.01    11.17    78.78     6.69    30.93     8.56    37.12    84.23    50.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       25   43  +11       6.21    79.09     7.16    74.43     6.74    14.96     2.32    15.01    62.28    26.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +8       2.21    61.94     0.79    74.15     6.90    13.89     2.35    14.59    59.77    26.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   39  +12       7.73    86.15    10.61    74.41     7.50    15.60     3.38    17.61    60.45    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        25   37   +5      -6.03    21.75    -8.40    73.57     6.80    16.95     1.89    12.89    58.57    28.59P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             23   37   +3       5.72    78.60     3.96    68.46     7.28     2.24     0.40     4.02    28.42     8.45P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   36   +4       2.06    61.28     4.58    64.28     6.68     3.14     0.04     0.74    11.77     3.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        25   36   +1       3.31    67.10     3.89    62.86     6.66    -2.41     0.04     0.49     7.95     1.85P    0.06R    0.01  
Mansfield            24   35   +9       3.43    68.55    10.79    63.35     6.79     6.48     0.05     0.73    10.12     2.55P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe            23   31   +1      -0.34    48.37     1.72    63.58     7.28     2.24     0.08     0.97    11.77     3.30P    0.14R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         25   31  -12      -2.23    39.31   -10.12    59.94     6.88   -12.05     0.00     0.12     3.63     0.90P    0.47R    0.09  
Luton                25   30   +0      -5.34    24.32    -1.53    60.65     6.75     2.70     0.00     0.17     4.85     1.38P    0.23R    0.03  
Exeter               24   30   -6      -1.21    44.12    -3.05    57.80     6.91   -10.01     0.01     0.06     2.12     0.48P    0.82R    0.18  
Notts_County         24   30   -7      -4.58    27.74    -9.33    62.68     7.17    -3.32     0.03     0.53     8.69     2.58P    0.18R    0.02  
Barnet               25   28   -9      -0.46    48.64     0.81    52.14     6.66   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    5.09R    1.38  
Stevenage            25   27  -11      -6.44    20.06    -9.31    55.09     6.70   -12.33     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.17P    1.84R    0.45  
Newport_County       24   20  -12      -7.76    13.73    -4.07    45.94     6.73   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   21.93R    8.82  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.43    42.39    -3.73    45.09     6.97   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.02R   12.91  
Dag_&_Red            25   19  -19      -9.15    10.28    -9.13    42.56     6.42   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.53R   20.31  
Yeovil               25   17  -15     -13.83     2.54   -10.16    42.67     6.64   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.30R   18.24  
York                 24   16  -21     -10.29     6.50   -10.82    39.58     6.59   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.31R   37.50  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Chester 1 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       27   59  +34       4.36    71.56     6.73    96.90     5.86    52.32    81.15    99.93    88.40P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   55  +20       7.29    83.03     3.59    86.67     6.33    28.60     8.93    92.61    29.31P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          26   49  +28      -1.69    39.96     5.13    85.60     6.20    41.71     8.17    92.04    39.71P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   48  +11       6.25    79.34     1.75    79.67     6.43    17.60     1.29    65.37    12.98P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     29   47  +13       1.59    57.85     4.66    74.60     5.74    19.38     0.11    34.80     6.99P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   28   46   +9       4.02    69.39     3.90    72.72     6.01    12.01     0.07    23.04     3.76P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           28   44  +13      -1.53    42.45     2.17    71.81     6.04    17.69     0.05    20.73     4.23P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     28   42   +6       3.05    65.18     5.36    66.94     6.02     6.11     0.00     5.32     0.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   41   +7      -7.00    18.80    -7.33    71.99     6.06    16.30     0.04    20.51     5.60P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        27   41   -6       3.63    68.45    -6.00    64.68     6.13    -9.90     0.00     2.48     0.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham          26   40  +11      -1.07    44.41     2.95    69.40     6.35    13.90     0.02    12.66     2.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.74    74.64     5.36    73.29     6.68    13.66     0.17    27.88     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          26   37   +2       3.57    67.75     6.82    63.51     6.62    -0.42     0.00     2.44     0.33P    0.22R    0.01  
Southport        27   36   -8       6.17    80.05     3.28    58.19     6.01   -13.99     0.00     0.14     0.01P    1.34R    0.04  
Chester          28   34   -7       1.66    59.19     2.90    56.59     5.91   -10.44     0.00     0.03     0.00P    2.09R    0.10  
Barrow           27   33  -16       5.64    77.66     0.54    53.07     6.13   -25.86     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.00R    0.91  
Aldershot        28   32  -12      -1.89    40.97    -5.06    55.19     5.89   -14.20     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.52R    0.26  
Guiseley         28   31  -17       2.68    64.48    -0.97    47.51     5.59   -29.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.67R    4.90  
Altrincham       26   27  -17       1.27    58.60    -1.52    49.74     6.19   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.84R    3.21  
Boreham_Wood     27   26   -6      -4.71    27.40     2.63    48.03     6.02   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.18R    4.30  
Halifax          27   25  -20      -8.10    14.72   -12.66    46.20     6.04   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.65R    9.15  
Welling          25   24  -10      -3.93    29.60    -0.70    46.99     6.22   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.84R    7.06  
Torquay          27   20  -24     -11.22     6.30   -14.10    45.31     6.23   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.07R   12.06  
Kidderminster    26   14  -20     -14.81     1.47    -9.43    37.55     6.19   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.51R   57.99