Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 3 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 January 2016, Crystal_Palace 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          20   42  +16       4.13    73.86    -0.01    75.30     5.76    29.20    42.28    77.75    91.00    96.44    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   40  +12      11.58    96.09    10.60    65.01     5.92    11.99     2.88    11.38    31.10    52.28    81.10     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   39  +18      -1.56    38.93    -3.60    75.45     5.68    36.90    47.56    80.49    92.25    97.01    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   36  +18       2.64    65.76     9.04    66.38     5.91    26.58     5.11    18.96    45.10    66.20    88.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   33   +7      -1.32    41.48    -3.14    63.61     5.87    15.76     1.74     8.12    24.77    44.68    75.54     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   32   +7       4.34    75.55     6.75    57.08     5.94     7.61     0.14     1.00     4.28    10.76    32.84     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   31   +4       5.75    82.59     6.85    53.91     5.78     1.61     0.02     0.25     1.37     3.89    15.67     0.10R    0.00  
Liverpool        20   30   -2       0.17    51.06    -5.42    57.54     6.05     2.25     0.17     1.11     4.72    11.61    34.65     0.04R    0.00  
Watford          20   29   +3       4.39    75.35     7.64    51.83     5.95     0.11     0.00     0.12     0.66     2.18    10.16     0.41R    0.00  
Stoke            20   29   +0       2.68    66.85     1.33    52.92     5.78    -0.97     0.01     0.14     0.83     2.71    12.04     0.20R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   +7      -3.79    28.19     1.99    54.65     5.99    11.33     0.05     0.33     1.93     5.92    21.94     0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   26   -5       2.49    66.31     0.41    46.58     5.67   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.18     1.32     3.13R    0.03  
Southampton      20   24   +2      -6.40    15.85    -2.33    50.81     5.90     5.17     0.01     0.08     0.43     1.52     7.82     0.58R    0.00  
Chelsea          20   23   -3     -11.66     3.32   -13.94    54.17     5.99     6.65     0.03     0.27     1.50     4.55    18.81     0.22R    0.00  
Norwich          20   23   -9       1.08    58.02     0.06    42.84     5.88   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.41    12.13R    0.25  
Bournemouth      20   21  -12       0.62    55.46     0.09    39.82     5.81   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    25.93R    1.04  
Swansea          20   19   -9      -5.00    21.34    -4.06    41.11     5.79   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    16.97R    0.58  
Newcastle        20   17  -16      -2.43    35.47    -2.88    35.17     5.59   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.86R    5.12  
Sunderland       20   15  -17      -4.54    22.58    -4.08    31.42     5.42   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.87R   13.91  
Aston_Villa      20    8  -21      -9.43     3.72    -5.32    23.62     5.26   -35.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.44R   79.06  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Birmingham 2 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   24   52  +24       8.66    90.16     8.77    91.74     6.53    37.39    61.66    85.66    99.81    90.62P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   48  +20       4.06    71.07     5.29    85.96     6.40    33.59    21.48    56.88    98.28    70.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            25   47  +18       3.21    66.73     4.37    84.21     6.34    30.23    14.34    42.77    96.96    61.66P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        25   44   +6       8.60    88.71     3.80    73.93     6.34     8.26     0.60     3.56    59.85    14.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         25   42  +11       1.33    57.16     1.46    75.41     6.54    17.83     1.28     6.26    70.74    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         25   41   +4       4.06    70.99    -0.15    73.03     6.50     8.92     0.47     3.02    54.89    13.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   39   +8       4.46    73.23     7.05    69.05     6.40    10.17     0.06     0.79    32.26     6.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      25   39   +3       5.77    78.96     4.16    66.17     6.38     0.96     0.02     0.25    16.93     2.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   37   +4       1.99    61.41     2.45    66.16     6.39     4.81     0.03     0.26    17.60     3.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +2      -0.31    48.53    -1.02    66.77     6.56     5.13     0.04     0.35    20.89     4.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   25   34   +0      -2.46    37.38    -3.43    64.60     6.51     2.93     0.01     0.11    12.82     2.84P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading         25   33   +2      -0.28    48.90     3.05    60.20     6.38     0.07     0.00     0.02     3.83     0.70P    0.43R    0.02  
Leeds_United    25   32   -2       0.63    54.19     1.71    58.49     6.28    -4.79     0.00     0.01     1.99     0.35P    0.83R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   25   31   +1      -3.52    31.93     0.14    59.97     6.42     1.47     0.00     0.02     3.72     0.73P    0.47R    0.01  
Preston         25   31   -1      -1.19    44.01     0.97    57.84     6.35    -2.96     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.36P    1.12R    0.04  
QPR             25   30   -3      -5.71    22.25    -5.13    60.16     6.66    -0.65     0.00     0.01     4.39     0.99P    0.67R    0.03  
Blackburn       24   28   +1      -6.01    19.65    -1.07    58.66     6.53     2.15     0.00     0.01     2.60     0.59P    0.92R    0.04  
Huddersfield    25   28   -6      -1.64    41.64     1.05    52.95     6.39   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    6.83R    0.58  
Fulham          25   27   -3      -5.40    23.49     0.67    52.96     6.50    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P    6.76R    0.64  
MK_Dons         25   23  -12      -6.18    19.77    -4.86    47.69     6.39   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   25.23R    4.26  
Rotherham       25   21  -14      -4.54    26.03    -0.40    42.42     6.13   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.65R   17.67  
Bristol_City    25   21  -22      -5.05    24.30    -9.34    43.35     6.32   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   54.53R   16.34  
Charlton        25   20  -21      -6.28    18.05    -9.63    41.60     6.07   -31.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.59R   22.76  
Bolton          25   17  -20     -10.17     6.44    -9.90    39.07     6.08   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.84R   37.56  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Barnsley 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    24   51  +13      15.52    98.31     9.06    82.83     6.87    15.61    20.40    39.43    89.48    48.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       25   50  +20       9.54    89.51    10.55    83.10     6.76    26.55    23.25    43.19    91.28    54.11P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   48  +18       9.61    90.85     9.91    83.41     6.77    25.80    24.45    44.50    92.12    56.16P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         25   47  +22       6.07    78.95    11.94    80.81     6.68    29.62    14.93    31.22    86.17    45.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            24   41  +13      -1.48    41.52    -1.06    79.98     6.83    25.88    12.33    26.95    82.33    46.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     25   40  +14      -0.36    48.05     4.45    74.97     6.75    23.55     3.17     9.27    59.48    22.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         24   37   +1       6.14    79.74     3.85    65.00     6.84    -1.98     0.10     0.39     9.40     2.07P    1.06R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        24   36   +5      -1.96    39.56    -2.52    69.83     6.92    10.55     0.67     2.23    27.55     8.90P    0.14R    0.00  
Rochdale         24   34   +5      -0.33    48.36     2.87    67.22     6.93     9.49     0.25     0.96    17.06     4.70P    0.48R    0.01  
Millwall         24   34   +2      -1.56    41.99    -1.97    66.70     7.04     5.71     0.23     0.89    15.26     4.48P    0.74R    0.01  
Doncaster        25   34   -2      -0.56    47.65    -2.44    62.65     6.65    -2.19     0.02     0.11     4.86     1.14P    2.23R    0.03  
Bradford         23   34   -2       3.53    69.79    -0.71    65.95     6.92    -1.08     0.14     0.56    11.78     2.73P    0.89R    0.00  
Port_Vale        24   33   +1       0.87    55.35     2.12    62.06     6.77    -0.59     0.03     0.12     4.56     1.03P    2.88R    0.06  
Bury             24   33   -4       4.17    71.98     2.56    59.80     6.91    -9.41     0.02     0.06     2.38     0.44P    6.83R    0.17  
Scunthorpe       25   32   -3       0.24    51.90     0.89    59.37     6.61    -5.26     0.00     0.02     1.74     0.33P    6.52R    0.14  
Swindon          24   28   -6      -7.02    17.00    -9.12    60.28     6.91    -3.00     0.01     0.08     2.72     0.79P    5.75R    0.20  
Barnsley         24   27   -7      -5.60    22.51    -6.21    56.74     6.85    -7.90     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.18P   13.56R    0.56  
Chesterfield     25   27   -8      -6.96    17.80    -7.28    55.39     6.68    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P   17.61R    0.75  
Fleetwood_Town   24   26   -2      -4.73    26.02     1.19    54.22     6.73    -4.88     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P   21.67R    1.25  
Shrewsbury       25   26  -11      -4.70    26.70    -5.43    51.12     6.60   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   40.22R    3.04  
Blackpool        24   25  -12      -3.44    32.30    -5.69    52.05     6.85   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   35.41R    3.09  
Oldham           23   21  -11      -5.89    19.77    -3.89    47.11     6.76   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.35R   10.15  
Colchester       25   21  -25      -4.08    28.93    -8.20    42.19     6.34   -38.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.92R   33.61  
Crewe            24   20  -21      -2.87    34.44    -4.87    40.33     6.21   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.75R   46.91  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             25   52  +18      10.48    92.06     7.44    86.59     6.56    26.42    40.92    78.45    98.12    83.80P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          24   49  +14      11.67    94.12     7.35    83.19     7.01    19.99    21.74    59.54    92.94    66.98P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   48  +19       7.51    84.49     9.84    82.09     6.62    26.78    17.56    55.73    92.87    65.76P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   44  +22       2.62    63.37    11.36    78.74     6.69    30.88     8.80    37.36    84.38    50.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       25   43  +11       6.22    79.32     7.16    74.52     6.73    15.10     2.53    15.28    62.60    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +8       2.18    61.54     0.69    74.28     6.83    14.06     2.47    15.03    60.70    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   39  +12       7.82    86.56    10.76    74.27     7.49    15.47     3.28    17.12    59.97    25.61P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        25   37   +5      -6.28    20.65    -8.81    73.75     6.74    17.27     1.96    13.65    59.35    29.69P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             23   37   +3       5.81    78.64     4.13    68.42     7.30     2.16     0.48     4.18    27.96     8.49P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   36   +4       1.98    60.87     4.50    64.31     6.63     3.24     0.04     0.80    11.65     3.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        25   36   +1       3.19    66.63     3.68    63.01     6.68    -2.20     0.04     0.51     8.38     1.93P    0.06R    0.01  
Mansfield            24   35   +9       3.36    68.37    10.69    63.42     6.69     6.65     0.04     0.64     9.88     2.39P    0.03R    0.01  
Morecambe            23   31   +1      -0.18    49.42     1.99    63.51     7.24     2.10     0.08     0.83    11.36     3.08P    0.13R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         25   31  -12      -2.29    39.01   -10.21    59.88     6.88   -12.09     0.01     0.11     3.44     0.81P    0.44R    0.08  
Luton                25   30   +0      -5.43    23.83    -1.65    60.64     6.70     2.69     0.00     0.16     4.60     1.25P    0.20R    0.05  
Exeter               24   30   -6      -1.09    44.61    -2.86    57.69     6.86   -10.14     0.00     0.06     2.07     0.43P    0.82R    0.18  
Notts_County         24   30   -7      -4.67    27.32    -9.47    62.75     7.14    -3.26     0.04     0.54     8.76     2.57P    0.18R    0.04  
Barnet               25   28   -9      -0.52    48.14     0.67    52.16     6.65   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    4.83R    1.45  
Stevenage            25   27  -11      -6.48    19.65    -9.40    55.08     6.71   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.18P    1.99R    0.46  
Newport_County       24   20  -12      -7.75    13.77    -4.00    45.95     6.72   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   22.12R    9.02  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.33    42.99    -3.59    45.03     6.98   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.54R   13.20  
Dag_&_Red            25   19  -19      -8.96    10.64    -8.82    42.41     6.42   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.19R   21.06  
Yeovil               25   17  -15     -13.99     2.52   -10.32    42.76     6.66   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.94R   17.64  
York                 24   16  -21     -10.48     6.24   -11.13    39.70     6.59   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.50R   36.80  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 January 2016, Chester 1 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       27   59  +34       4.39    71.57     6.79    96.93     5.87    52.29    81.39    99.93    88.54P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   55  +20       7.19    82.73     3.40    86.74     6.28    28.73     8.66    93.12    29.83P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          26   49  +28      -1.56    40.65     5.33    85.49     6.23    41.59     8.15    91.97    38.94P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   48  +11       6.18    78.76     1.69    79.69     6.44    17.59     1.38    65.65    12.99P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     29   47  +13       1.49    57.37     4.50    74.63     5.75    19.44     0.09    35.07     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   28   46   +9       4.23    70.31     4.18    72.58     6.02    11.81     0.06    22.28     3.71P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           28   44  +13      -1.60    42.03     2.10    71.84     5.98    17.72     0.04    20.44     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     28   42   +6       2.98    64.85     5.25    67.01     6.01     6.21     0.00     5.42     0.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   41   +7      -6.99    18.78    -7.28    71.94     6.04    16.21     0.03    20.52     5.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        27   41   -6       3.70    68.55    -5.97    64.61     6.15   -10.00     0.00     2.40     0.34P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham          26   40  +11      -1.20    43.80     2.75    69.51     6.36    14.06     0.03    13.22     2.53P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.81    75.06     5.50    73.17     6.69    13.51     0.18    27.23     5.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          26   37   +2       3.48    67.34     6.65    63.56     6.68    -0.27     0.00     2.48     0.30P    0.20R    0.01  
Southport        27   36   -8       6.13    79.95     3.23    58.28     6.03   -13.85     0.00     0.16     0.02P    1.30R    0.07  
Chester          28   34   -7       1.70    59.58     3.01    56.55     5.93   -10.54     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.10R    0.15  
Barrow           27   33  -16       5.76    78.25     0.76    52.95     6.12   -26.04     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.29R    0.90  
Aldershot        28   32  -12      -1.78    41.60    -4.84    55.21     5.90   -14.25     0.00     0.02     0.01P    3.49R    0.22  
Guiseley         28   31  -17       2.66    64.66    -0.97    47.48     5.60   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.97R    4.97  
Altrincham       26   27  -17       1.33    58.77    -1.40    49.62     6.17   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.36R    3.34  
Boreham_Wood     27   26   -6      -4.47    28.18     2.92    47.96     6.01   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.70R    4.53  
Halifax          27   25  -20      -8.15    14.51   -12.73    46.24     6.02   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.46R    9.08  
Welling          25   24  -10      -4.19    28.42    -1.06    47.16     6.24   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.13R    6.95  
Torquay          27   20  -24     -11.23     6.50   -14.06    45.38     6.23   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.55R   12.03  
Kidderminster    26   14  -20     -15.00     1.30    -9.74    37.64     6.14   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.39R   57.75