Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 31 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 December 2015, Sunderland 0 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 19 39 +15 3.29 70.02 0.21 74.87 5.97 30.29 42.49 74.00 88.46 94.99 99.06 0.00 0.00 Leicester 19 39 +12 12.16 97.20 10.99 66.36 6.17 13.53 5.39 17.67 38.56 59.02 83.82 0.00 0.00 Man_City 19 36 +17 -2.59 32.27 -3.69 74.44 5.89 36.86 42.69 74.34 88.62 94.88 98.92 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 19 35 +18 2.95 68.03 8.91 66.74 6.17 26.63 7.02 21.99 45.74 65.47 87.24 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 19 31 +7 6.15 84.45 8.46 55.74 6.00 5.32 0.10 0.65 2.62 6.81 23.33 0.03R 0.00 Man_Utd 19 30 +6 -2.30 35.43 -3.23 62.59 6.04 15.56 1.50 6.63 18.80 35.83 67.49 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 19 30 +0 1.03 56.75 -4.18 59.28 6.27 4.80 0.54 2.67 8.13 17.63 43.63 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 19 29 +5 3.17 70.14 5.44 55.01 6.11 4.97 0.08 0.53 2.22 5.87 20.66 0.07R 0.00 Watford 19 29 +4 5.24 79.92 7.74 52.57 6.12 0.07 0.02 0.21 0.93 2.83 11.48 0.26R 0.00 Stoke 19 29 +1 3.79 73.47 1.96 54.54 6.01 0.46 0.06 0.39 1.65 4.54 17.13 0.07R 0.00 Everton 19 26 +7 -3.41 29.42 2.05 55.10 6.19 11.49 0.09 0.63 2.52 6.71 22.95 0.11R 0.00 Southampton 19 24 +3 -5.03 21.08 -1.39 52.66 6.13 6.85 0.02 0.17 1.02 2.98 12.71 0.30R 0.00 West_Brom 19 23 -6 1.08 58.28 -0.22 44.57 5.82 -12.83 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.60 5.67R 0.13 Chelsea 19 20 -6 -12.33 2.16 -15.47 52.12 6.19 3.00 0.01 0.13 0.71 2.35 10.52 0.44R 0.00 Norwich 19 20 -10 -0.39 48.65 -0.50 40.58 6.00 -18.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 19.35R 0.99 Bournemouth 19 20 -12 0.62 55.30 -0.26 39.45 6.01 -23.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 25.92R 1.56 Swansea 19 19 -8 -4.31 24.39 -4.04 41.95 5.94 -12.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.23 12.65R 0.49 Newcastle 19 17 -15 -1.80 39.13 -3.08 35.49 5.74 -27.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 53.45R 5.74 Sunderland 19 12 -19 -5.57 16.36 -5.28 29.70 5.62 -31.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.65R 26.31 Aston_Villa 19 8 -19 -8.73 4.64 -4.43 25.14 5.51 -32.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.02R 64.76Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 December 2015, Brighton 0 1 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 23 49 +22 7.88 88.26 7.96 89.65 6.75 34.84 48.56 77.19 99.42 84.51P 0.00 0.00 Derby 24 48 +22 4.70 74.50 6.23 87.46 6.58 35.93 34.35 67.42 98.86 77.93P 0.00 0.00 Hull 24 44 +17 1.79 59.45 3.68 82.61 6.62 29.30 12.22 34.34 94.56 55.06P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 24 44 +7 9.87 92.05 4.70 75.70 6.57 9.76 1.59 6.66 69.77 18.40P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 24 41 +11 1.53 58.29 1.20 76.54 6.75 18.94 2.37 9.30 75.73 28.11P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 24 40 +4 4.31 72.39 -0.34 72.89 6.69 8.24 0.66 3.27 53.71 13.57P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 24 36 +7 2.98 66.70 6.28 67.12 6.63 8.68 0.07 0.45 23.12 4.77P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 24 36 +3 0.82 54.83 -0.35 68.21 6.71 6.23 0.10 0.78 27.99 6.20P 0.01R 0.00 Birmingham 24 36 +2 4.40 73.76 3.56 64.44 6.63 -0.17 0.03 0.19 12.01 2.12P 0.10R 0.01 Cardiff 24 34 +3 0.77 54.71 1.99 64.50 6.62 3.72 0.02 0.17 12.80 2.60P 0.14R 0.00 Wolverhampton 24 31 -1 -4.10 28.54 -4.35 62.66 6.64 1.45 0.00 0.06 8.28 1.92P 0.33R 0.01 Leeds_United 24 31 -2 1.21 57.76 2.02 59.26 6.49 -4.19 0.00 0.01 2.84 0.41P 0.98R 0.04 Reading 24 30 +1 -1.48 42.19 2.81 59.02 6.60 -0.30 0.00 0.01 2.98 0.50P 1.18R 0.09 Nott'm_Forest 24 30 +1 -3.15 33.35 0.21 60.52 6.65 1.74 0.00 0.02 4.77 1.00P 0.72R 0.03 QPR 24 30 -2 -4.67 26.44 -4.59 61.37 6.87 0.19 0.00 0.07 6.40 1.49P 0.67R 0.05 Blackburn 23 28 +2 -4.94 24.11 -0.44 60.02 6.79 3.16 0.01 0.05 4.45 1.01P 0.93R 0.06 Preston 24 28 -2 -2.36 37.48 0.56 56.63 6.56 -3.39 0.00 0.00 1.31 0.26P 2.59R 0.19 Fulham 24 27 -2 -4.25 28.25 1.36 54.68 6.78 -6.38 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.12P 5.48R 0.59 Huddersfield 24 25 -8 -2.66 36.00 0.09 50.59 6.55 -14.83 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 15.85R 2.39 MK_Dons 24 22 -12 -6.05 19.78 -5.08 47.69 6.62 -18.37 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 29.14R 6.05 Rotherham 24 21 -13 -3.88 29.07 -0.41 43.64 6.34 -24.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.22R 17.05 Bristol_City 24 21 -21 -4.35 27.06 -9.15 44.58 6.53 -31.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.39R 15.68 Charlton 24 19 -21 -5.91 18.93 -9.50 41.74 6.26 -31.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.49R 27.27 Bolton 24 17 -18 -9.23 8.40 -8.45 40.97 6.38 -26.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.76R 30.50League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 December 2015, Barnsley 4 2 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 23 48 +21 10.29 93.03 11.94 85.95 6.92 30.55 40.43 62.66 96.10 71.56P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 23 48 +12 14.65 97.97 9.11 81.10 7.11 14.47 14.92 31.96 83.69 41.79P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 24 47 +17 9.04 88.83 9.27 81.01 6.98 22.78 15.37 33.28 84.99 44.85P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 24 44 +17 6.04 79.52 9.38 78.64 6.88 23.74 9.31 22.43 77.25 35.96P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 23 40 +13 -0.81 45.00 -0.62 80.62 7.06 26.32 15.04 32.72 83.91 50.52P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 24 37 +13 -1.70 40.87 3.94 72.93 6.98 21.86 2.02 6.63 47.59 17.76P 0.04R 0.00 Southend 23 37 +4 6.62 82.23 5.48 67.38 7.04 2.54 0.32 1.19 17.47 4.29P 0.53R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 23 36 +6 -0.87 44.94 -1.97 71.89 7.08 12.52 1.51 4.94 39.58 14.30P 0.09R 0.00 Millwall 23 34 +3 -0.49 47.65 -1.46 68.42 7.28 7.28 0.52 1.90 22.74 7.22P 0.52R 0.00 Bradford 22 34 +1 3.99 72.15 0.91 67.67 7.10 2.45 0.36 1.37 18.56 4.96P 0.54R 0.01 Port_Vale 24 33 +1 1.02 56.19 2.24 62.11 6.76 -0.50 0.03 0.16 4.93 1.19P 2.79R 0.05 Bury 23 33 -2 4.67 74.42 3.16 61.69 7.16 -6.58 0.05 0.20 4.87 0.95P 4.48R 0.11 Rochdale 23 31 +2 -1.28 43.37 0.90 64.24 7.07 4.44 0.09 0.41 9.49 2.57P 1.70R 0.04 Scunthorpe 24 31 -3 0.56 53.75 0.83 58.99 6.71 -6.37 0.01 0.04 1.83 0.37P 7.38R 0.25 Doncaster 24 31 -5 -1.23 43.61 -4.02 60.01 6.83 -6.61 0.01 0.06 2.53 0.53P 5.94R 0.16 Swindon 24 28 -6 -7.13 16.62 -9.28 60.37 6.93 -2.87 0.01 0.06 3.00 0.88P 5.51R 0.20 Shrewsbury 24 26 -5 -5.40 23.19 -2.82 54.00 6.83 -8.15 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.08P 23.48R 1.60 Blackpool 23 25 -11 -2.74 35.83 -5.60 53.25 7.02 -15.58 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.05P 29.36R 2.71 Barnsley 23 24 -8 -6.93 16.68 -6.70 54.76 7.09 -9.48 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.12P 21.45R 1.69 Chesterfield 24 24 -14 -6.59 18.10 -10.34 52.36 6.76 -16.91 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 33.48R 3.19 Fleetwood_Town 23 23 -4 -5.63 21.26 0.30 52.23 6.89 -7.39 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 31.68R 3.27 Oldham 22 20 -11 -5.58 20.86 -4.01 48.10 7.05 -18.28 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 57.21R 10.35 Crewe 23 20 -16 -2.87 34.71 -2.34 42.28 6.53 -30.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.20R 35.86 Colchester 24 20 -25 -3.81 30.13 -8.32 41.97 6.54 -39.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.62R 40.50League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 24 49 +16 9.41 90.56 6.22 84.88 6.76 24.37 38.68 74.01 96.38 80.09P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 23 46 +11 11.31 94.11 6.35 81.24 7.18 16.52 19.39 53.23 88.15 60.67P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 24 45 +17 6.58 81.55 8.86 79.97 6.84 24.08 15.39 48.42 86.94 58.26P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 24 41 +19 2.09 61.19 9.97 76.78 6.91 27.36 7.89 31.67 76.01 44.03P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 23 40 +10 3.16 66.91 2.11 76.69 7.07 17.64 7.35 29.65 73.33 41.63P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 24 40 +9 5.41 76.67 6.35 72.29 6.92 12.26 1.97 12.09 49.89 20.89P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 22 37 +5 6.53 82.16 5.01 70.05 7.52 4.59 1.51 8.56 36.79 13.83P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 21 36 +11 6.59 83.08 10.36 72.09 7.64 13.58 2.83 13.97 49.20 21.11P 0.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 24 36 +5 -5.66 22.36 -8.41 74.49 7.04 17.76 4.22 20.56 63.48 35.72P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 24 36 +4 3.81 69.98 5.39 65.10 6.90 2.05 0.18 1.68 15.08 4.31P 0.03R 0.00 Mansfield 23 35 +10 4.38 73.44 11.13 65.14 6.98 8.20 0.23 1.94 16.08 4.67P 0.02R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 24 33 +1 1.40 58.02 3.02 61.81 6.79 -1.03 0.03 0.51 6.77 1.85P 0.11R 0.02 Crawley_Town 24 31 -9 -2.12 39.22 -9.08 61.84 7.07 -8.22 0.04 0.49 6.93 1.95P 0.17R 0.03 Luton 24 30 +2 -4.67 26.56 -0.54 62.31 6.92 5.18 0.03 0.65 8.28 2.56P 0.10R 0.02 Notts_County 23 30 -5 -4.08 29.51 -8.73 64.48 7.35 -0.62 0.18 1.65 14.06 4.98P 0.08R 0.01 Exeter 23 30 -5 0.05 50.90 -2.25 59.77 7.15 -8.06 0.02 0.26 4.16 1.06P 0.45R 0.09 Morecambe 22 28 -1 -1.54 42.08 0.43 60.99 7.42 -1.29 0.04 0.61 7.00 2.00P 0.34R 0.05 Barnet 24 28 -6 -0.23 49.84 1.87 53.69 6.92 -13.48 0.00 0.01 0.52 0.13P 3.14R 0.79 Stevenage 24 26 -11 -6.29 19.99 -9.74 55.08 6.88 -12.97 0.00 0.03 0.90 0.26P 1.81R 0.36 Newport_County 24 20 -12 -7.80 13.61 -4.15 46.02 6.73 -18.61 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 19.66R 7.46 Hartlepool 21 20 -15 -1.35 42.90 -3.69 45.04 7.00 -29.31 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 27.05R 11.41 York 23 16 -20 -9.35 8.30 -10.40 41.07 6.83 -30.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.44R 26.08 Dag_&_Red 24 16 -20 -10.52 6.22 -9.74 40.23 6.60 -29.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.02R 29.77 Yeovil 24 14 -16 -15.03 1.35 -10.37 41.04 6.86 -20.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 45.57R 23.89National League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 December 2015, Cheltenham 1 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 27 59 +34 4.42 71.77 6.84 96.83 5.89 52.18 79.22 99.89 87.14P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 26 52 +18 6.59 80.92 2.99 85.48 6.48 27.29 6.66 89.06 26.54P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 25 48 +28 -0.58 45.82 6.28 87.20 6.35 43.70 12.20 94.45 43.00P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 26 48 +11 6.17 78.71 1.66 79.72 6.47 17.65 1.38 64.80 12.85P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 28 46 +9 3.93 68.89 3.69 72.77 6.04 12.06 0.09 22.67 3.57P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 28 44 +12 0.27 51.48 4.15 72.41 5.97 17.57 0.04 22.23 4.35P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 27 41 +12 -2.65 36.87 1.93 70.62 6.20 17.39 0.03 15.90 3.19P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 27 41 +8 -5.80 22.33 -6.64 73.87 6.26 18.09 0.10 30.62 8.62P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 27 41 +6 3.38 67.00 5.30 67.52 6.22 6.38 0.00 6.49 0.92P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 25 40 +12 0.15 50.75 3.70 71.41 6.59 15.88 0.09 20.17 3.99P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 24 40 +9 4.65 74.36 5.27 73.32 6.69 13.74 0.17 27.39 5.09P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 26 40 -6 4.41 72.23 -5.36 65.54 6.38 -9.18 0.00 3.58 0.42P 0.04R 0.00 Bromley 26 37 +2 3.37 67.13 6.47 63.62 6.64 -0.17 0.00 2.44 0.29P 0.20R 0.01 Chester 27 33 -7 2.08 61.69 3.06 57.37 6.09 -9.90 0.00 0.12 0.01P 1.73R 0.10 Southport 26 33 -9 4.73 74.85 2.49 55.95 6.15 -15.80 0.00 0.09 0.01P 3.22R 0.20 Aldershot 27 32 -11 -1.12 44.98 -5.01 56.20 6.10 -13.81 0.00 0.07 0.01P 2.85R 0.20 Barrow 26 32 -16 5.90 79.22 0.56 52.63 6.26 -27.23 0.00 0.03 0.00P 10.41R 1.08 Guiseley 27 30 -17 2.66 64.89 -1.55 46.56 5.69 -32.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.80R 7.33 Boreham_Wood 27 26 -6 -4.43 28.68 3.01 47.93 5.98 -11.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.47R 4.52 Altrincham 25 26 -17 1.46 59.70 -1.68 49.73 6.33 -24.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.19R 3.61 Welling 25 24 -10 -4.06 28.75 -0.96 47.02 6.18 -18.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.45R 6.97 Halifax 26 24 -20 -7.73 15.05 -12.74 46.61 6.25 -28.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.25R 8.94 Torquay 26 20 -22 -10.82 6.79 -13.77 46.37 6.41 -24.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.38R 9.59 Kidderminster 26 14 -20 -14.97 1.36 -9.70 37.67 6.19 -25.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.00R 57.44