Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 30 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 December 2015, Sunderland 0 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          19   39  +15       3.30    69.57     0.20    74.86     5.97    30.27    43.25    74.06    88.48    94.94    99.09     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        19   39  +12      12.29    97.38    11.16    66.26     6.17    13.34     5.30    17.40    38.07    58.56    83.24     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         19   36  +17      -2.53    32.74    -3.66    74.35     5.91    36.73    41.76    73.58    87.98    94.72    98.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        19   35  +18       2.82    67.09     8.75    66.83     6.16    26.72     7.19    22.50    46.44    66.30    87.51     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   19   31   +7       6.26    84.93     8.64    55.63     6.01     5.16     0.11     0.72     2.64     6.74    22.86     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          19   30   +6      -2.28    35.41    -3.18    62.56     6.06    15.51     1.56     6.93    18.95    35.84    67.55     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        19   30   +0       0.99    56.30    -4.28    59.32     6.26     4.92     0.54     2.63     8.19    17.73    44.16     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         19   29   +5       3.24    70.30     5.56    54.86     6.13     4.74     0.08     0.57     2.17     5.55    20.11     0.09R    0.00  
Watford          19   29   +4       5.10    79.15     7.55    52.63     6.13     0.20     0.03     0.27     1.08     2.95    11.69     0.24R    0.00  
Stoke            19   29   +1       3.68    73.02     1.79    54.63     6.00     0.63     0.06     0.36     1.70     4.74    17.55     0.09R    0.00  
Everton          19   26   +7      -3.27    30.52     2.26    54.95     6.14    11.28     0.08     0.61     2.52     6.39    22.02     0.09R    0.00  
Southampton      19   24   +3      -5.07    21.08    -1.45    52.74     6.19     6.95     0.04     0.23     1.11     3.17    13.17     0.26R    0.00  
West_Brom        19   23   -6       1.03    57.73    -0.30    44.72     5.83   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.68     5.44R    0.11  
Chelsea          19   20   -6     -12.39     2.09   -15.56    52.17     6.18     3.08     0.01     0.12     0.66     2.26    10.93     0.41R    0.01  
Norwich          19   20  -10      -0.41    48.61    -0.53    40.61     6.05   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    19.42R    1.05  
Bournemouth      19   20  -12       0.67    55.91    -0.20    39.46     5.98   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    26.03R    1.60  
Swansea          19   19   -8      -4.22    24.71    -3.95    41.94     5.92   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    12.30R    0.53  
Newcastle        19   17  -15      -1.86    38.83    -3.16    35.50     5.69   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    53.69R    5.59  
Sunderland       19   12  -19      -5.54    16.15    -5.19    29.64     5.59   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.99R   26.52  
Aston_Villa      19    8  -19      -8.72     4.80    -4.45    25.18     5.52   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.90R   64.57  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 December 2015, Brighton 0 1 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   23   49  +22       7.90    88.42     8.00    89.67     6.71    34.87    48.62    77.47    99.45    84.74P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           24   48  +22       4.71    74.86     6.30    87.48     6.57    35.91    34.34    67.43    99.00    77.97P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            24   44  +17       1.94    60.40     3.84    82.56     6.61    29.28    12.19    33.70    94.44    54.55P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        24   44   +7       9.78    91.84     4.60    75.75     6.56     9.85     1.55     6.72    70.03    18.63P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         24   41  +11       1.68    59.32     1.39    76.38     6.82    18.67     2.31     9.24    74.74    27.68P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         24   40   +4       4.21    72.20    -0.50    73.05     6.71     8.44     0.73     3.59    54.62    14.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   36   +7       3.06    66.95     6.46    67.01     6.59     8.48     0.06     0.48    22.50     4.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Brentford       24   36   +3       0.75    54.26    -0.47    68.20     6.77     6.26     0.14     0.78    27.76     6.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham      24   36   +2       4.32    73.20     3.45    64.48     6.62    -0.13     0.02     0.16    12.23     2.20P    0.11R    0.00  
Cardiff         24   34   +3       0.61    54.09     1.76    64.57     6.68     3.85     0.03     0.21    13.14     2.74P    0.12R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   24   31   -1      -4.01    28.94    -4.27    62.53     6.67     1.32     0.01     0.08     8.19     1.78P    0.28R    0.01  
Leeds_United    24   31   -2       1.26    57.64     2.16    59.24     6.52    -4.26     0.00     0.02     2.87     0.53P    1.03R    0.06  
Reading         24   30   +1      -1.55    42.16     2.67    59.15     6.62    -0.11     0.00     0.01     3.12     0.59P    1.10R    0.06  
Nott'm_Forest   24   30   +1      -2.97    34.03     0.47    60.41     6.59     1.55     0.00     0.02     4.52     0.89P    0.67R    0.04  
QPR             24   30   -2      -4.67    26.25    -4.61    61.48     6.83     0.31     0.00     0.04     6.45     1.46P    0.60R    0.03  
Blackburn       23   28   +2      -5.01    23.60    -0.58    60.12     6.74     3.30     0.01     0.04     4.61     1.08P    0.74R    0.04  
Preston         24   28   -2      -2.34    37.46     0.62    56.62     6.56    -3.41     0.00     0.00     1.32     0.24P    2.60R    0.22  
Fulham          24   27   -2      -4.27    28.11     1.31    54.68     6.75    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.11P    5.31R    0.57  
Huddersfield    24   25   -8      -2.89    34.67    -0.21    50.81     6.59   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   15.22R    2.24  
MK_Dons         24   22  -12      -6.00    20.01    -5.02    47.63     6.58   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   29.19R    6.08  
Rotherham       24   21  -13      -3.74    29.61    -0.20    43.47     6.31   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.94R   17.35  
Bristol_City    24   21  -21      -4.26    27.82    -9.06    44.44     6.53   -31.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.27R   16.21  
Charlton        24   19  -21      -6.02    18.57    -9.65    41.77     6.30   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.01R   26.89  
Bolton          24   17  -18      -9.24     8.13    -8.47    40.95     6.30   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.77R   30.21  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 December 2015, Barnsley 4 2 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          23   48  +21      10.10    92.67    11.64    86.18     6.95    30.85    41.36    63.50    96.23    72.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    23   48  +12      14.51    97.82     8.91    81.29     7.13    14.76    15.12    32.62    84.34    42.63P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       24   47  +17       8.98    88.83     9.17    81.08     6.99    22.90    15.38    33.45    85.13    45.11P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         24   44  +17       6.28    80.27     9.74    78.47     6.88    23.43     8.51    21.56    76.38    34.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Wigan            23   40  +13      -0.89    44.79    -0.76    80.69     7.06    26.42    14.98    32.51    84.38    50.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     24   37  +13      -1.75    40.60     3.89    73.07     6.94    22.06     1.86     6.35    48.57    18.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         23   37   +4       6.70    82.67     5.65    67.26     7.06     2.33     0.32     1.16    16.98     4.15P    0.54R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        23   36   +6      -0.82    45.34    -1.88    71.77     7.04    12.40     1.44     4.64    38.79    13.67P    0.09R    0.00  
Millwall         23   34   +3      -0.48    47.49    -1.46    68.46     7.33     7.29     0.50     1.91    23.24     7.21P    0.45R    0.01  
Bradford         22   34   +1       3.95    72.00     0.87    67.69     7.14     2.45     0.36     1.34    18.83     5.04P    0.51R    0.00  
Port_Vale        24   33   +1       1.25    57.20     2.61    61.87     6.78    -0.83     0.03     0.14     4.37     1.01P    3.04R    0.07  
Bury             23   33   -2       4.69    74.77     3.24    61.64     7.13    -6.66     0.04     0.20     4.69     1.00P    4.42R    0.11  
Rochdale         23   31   +2      -1.18    43.95     1.07    64.15     7.12     4.32     0.10     0.48     9.47     2.43P    1.78R    0.06  
Scunthorpe       24   31   -3       0.52    53.57     0.79    58.98     6.74    -6.37     0.01     0.03     1.82     0.37P    7.63R    0.27  
Doncaster        24   31   -5      -1.23    43.74    -4.04    60.01     6.82    -6.63     0.01     0.05     2.40     0.52P    5.84R    0.16  
Swindon          24   28   -6      -7.16    16.78    -9.30    60.33     6.87    -2.90     0.01     0.05     2.81     0.73P    5.44R    0.17  
Shrewsbury       24   26   -5      -5.53    23.13    -3.00    54.11     6.93    -7.99     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.09P   23.11R    1.70  
Blackpool        23   25  -11      -2.62    36.50    -5.40    53.13     6.97   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   29.62R    2.73  
Barnsley         23   24   -8      -6.89    16.80    -6.68    54.70     7.06    -9.57     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.12P   21.43R    1.58  
Chesterfield     24   24  -14      -6.70    17.98   -10.58    52.42     6.83   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   33.08R    3.33  
Fleetwood_Town   23   23   -4      -5.64    21.02     0.27    52.17     6.94    -7.44     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   32.27R    3.34  
Oldham           22   20  -11      -5.46    21.35    -3.82    47.93     7.05   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   58.08R   11.12  
Crewe            23   20  -16      -3.02    33.63    -2.57    42.45     6.53   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.66R   35.02  
Colchester       24   20  -25      -3.84    29.79    -8.37    42.07     6.60   -39.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.95R   40.31  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             24   49  +16       9.53    90.65     6.38    84.81     6.77    24.23    37.82    73.75    96.27    79.71P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          23   46  +11      11.11    93.56     6.01    81.33     7.19    16.68    20.13    53.43    88.59    60.92P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           24   45  +17       6.51    81.27     8.81    80.04     6.87    24.19    16.02    48.29    87.19    58.59P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           24   41  +19       2.22    61.56    10.21    76.73     6.88    27.24     7.59    31.30    75.96    43.68P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   40  +10       3.26    67.72     2.31    76.60     7.07    17.47     7.18    29.11    72.58    40.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       24   40   +9       5.34    76.30     6.23    72.33     6.98    12.33     2.10    12.38    49.88    21.16P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             22   37   +5       6.50    81.81     5.00    70.15     7.54     4.69     1.55     8.78    37.22    14.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   21   36  +11       6.75    83.41    10.59    72.05     7.70    13.50     2.86    14.18    48.86    21.16P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        24   36   +5      -5.71    22.31    -8.47    74.48     7.02    17.77     4.07    20.69    63.24    35.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        24   36   +4       3.76    69.42     5.35    65.17     6.90     2.15     0.16     1.67    15.18     4.40P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield            23   35  +10       4.34    73.52    11.04    65.12     6.94     8.17     0.16     1.96    15.99     4.68P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   33   +1       1.30    57.49     2.88    61.92     6.81    -0.94     0.04     0.54     6.74     1.82P    0.08R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         24   31   -9      -2.08    39.35    -9.02    61.80     7.02    -8.23     0.03     0.47     6.74     1.93P    0.17R    0.03  
Luton                24   30   +2      -4.74    26.28    -0.64    62.34     6.91     5.19     0.04     0.61     8.55     2.65P    0.08R    0.01  
Notts_County         23   30   -5      -4.09    29.34    -8.71    64.57     7.35    -0.48     0.20     1.88    14.32     5.21P    0.07R    0.01  
Exeter               23   30   -5       0.07    50.94    -2.18    59.72     7.09    -8.13     0.02     0.30     4.25     1.10P    0.40R    0.08  
Morecambe            22   28   -1      -1.40    43.01     0.64    60.86     7.42    -1.54     0.04     0.60     6.92     2.02P    0.30R    0.06  
Barnet               24   28   -6      -0.24    49.69     1.86    53.69     6.92   -13.45     0.00     0.03     0.60     0.15P    2.96R    0.73  
Stevenage            24   26  -11      -6.30    19.49    -9.79    55.07     6.90   -12.93     0.00     0.03     0.89     0.22P    1.85R    0.42  
Newport_County       24   20  -12      -7.81    13.47    -4.17    46.01     6.73   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.77R    7.66  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.36    42.86    -3.67    44.97     6.97   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   27.43R   11.79  
York                 23   16  -20      -9.41     8.04   -10.55    41.18     6.84   -29.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.69R   25.31  
Dag_&_Red            24   16  -20     -10.47     6.34    -9.63    40.23     6.62   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.37R   29.92  
Yeovil               24   14  -16     -15.05     1.42   -10.49    41.03     6.84   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.77R   23.97  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 December 2015, Cheltenham 1 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       27   59  +34       4.27    71.09     6.59    96.94     5.87    52.34    79.57    99.93    87.37P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     26   52  +18       6.54    80.74     2.96    85.50     6.46    27.36     6.45    89.30    26.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          25   48  +28      -0.69    45.24     6.12    87.25     6.34    43.77    12.30    94.64    43.49P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   48  +11       6.30    79.30     1.90    79.62     6.41    17.46     1.20    64.73    12.49P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   28   46   +9       4.01    69.29     3.87    72.73     6.03    12.00     0.04    22.58     3.66P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     28   44  +12       0.25    51.07     4.08    72.35     5.96    17.51     0.04    21.93     4.37P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           27   41  +12      -2.56    37.14     2.04    70.55     6.22    17.28     0.03    15.71     3.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         27   41   +8      -5.82    22.42    -6.72    73.88     6.28    18.09     0.12    30.93     8.47P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     27   41   +6       3.43    67.29     5.38    67.50     6.20     6.35     0.00     6.54     0.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          25   40  +12       0.11    50.79     3.67    71.42     6.56    15.88     0.08    20.14     3.91P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.76    74.74     5.40    73.30     6.67    13.70     0.18    27.34     5.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        26   40   -6       4.42    72.14    -5.40    65.51     6.40    -9.20     0.00     3.59     0.44P    0.03R    0.00  
Bromley          26   37   +2       3.49    67.17     6.58    63.59     6.63    -0.21     0.00     2.43     0.32P    0.17R    0.01  
Chester          27   33   -7       2.08    61.69     3.09    57.33     6.10    -9.94     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.86R    0.10  
Southport        26   33   -9       4.69    74.80     2.43    55.96     6.16   -15.77     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.32R    0.24  
Aldershot        27   32  -11      -0.93    45.69    -4.75    56.11     6.08   -13.96     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.89R    0.19  
Barrow           26   32  -16       5.78    78.97     0.35    52.74     6.35   -27.09     0.00     0.02     0.00P   10.73R    1.17  
Guiseley         27   30  -17       2.57    64.54    -1.72    46.66     5.69   -31.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.98R    7.00  
Boreham_Wood     27   26   -6      -4.61    28.09     2.74    48.07     5.97   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.81R    4.44  
Altrincham       25   26  -17       1.59    60.61    -1.46    49.57     6.41   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.65R    3.89  
Welling          25   24  -10      -4.23    27.98    -1.15    47.13     6.20   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.75R    6.73  
Halifax          26   24  -20      -7.71    15.29   -12.63    46.59     6.25   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.32R    8.95  
Torquay          26   20  -22     -10.85     6.62   -13.77    46.41     6.40   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.09R    9.46  
Kidderminster    26   14  -20     -14.91     1.32    -9.59    37.62     6.15   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.40R   57.83