Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 29 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 December 2015, Leicester 0 0 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          19   39  +15       3.17    68.85    -0.04    75.03     5.97    30.52    43.78    75.29    89.17    95.45    99.12     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        19   39  +12      12.29    97.53    11.18    66.19     6.18    13.25     5.10    16.93    38.15    59.02    83.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         19   36  +17      -2.53    32.69    -3.64    74.40     5.92    36.79    41.78    74.16    88.54    94.97    98.97     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        19   35  +18       2.95    67.76     8.89    66.76     6.15    26.65     6.77    22.00    46.38    66.35    87.95     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   19   31   +7       6.23    84.66     8.62    55.62     6.00     5.13     0.13     0.64     2.67     6.87    23.37     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          19   30   +6      -2.28    35.20    -3.22    62.56     6.11    15.53     1.73     7.03    19.31    36.47    68.22     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         19   29   +5       3.13    69.64     5.39    55.03     6.16     5.00     0.08     0.52     2.38     6.27    21.72     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          19   29   +4       5.13    79.18     7.62    52.65     6.15     0.23     0.05     0.22     1.03     3.07    12.37     0.28R    0.00  
Stoke            19   29   +1       3.74    73.17     1.88    54.54     6.02     0.46     0.05     0.35     1.63     4.75    17.76     0.08R    0.00  
Liverpool        18   27   -1      -0.04    49.96    -4.40    57.95     6.48     4.30     0.38     1.86     6.19    14.02    37.14     0.04R    0.00  
Everton          19   26   +7      -3.42    29.46     2.06    55.09     6.17    11.49     0.09     0.62     2.69     6.84    23.66     0.09R    0.00  
Southampton      19   24   +3      -5.09    20.92    -1.50    52.75     6.19     6.97     0.03     0.25     1.09     3.34    13.62     0.31R    0.01  
West_Brom        19   23   -6       1.12    58.73    -0.16    44.58     5.86   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.71     6.22R    0.14  
Chelsea          19   20   -6     -12.39     2.10   -15.59    52.17     6.21     3.06     0.02     0.13     0.75     2.45    11.08     0.45R    0.00  
Norwich          19   20  -10      -0.53    47.78    -0.68    40.70     6.07   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    19.91R    1.20  
Bournemouth      19   20  -12       0.63    55.51    -0.26    39.52     5.97   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    26.72R    1.67  
Swansea          19   19   -8      -4.20    24.81    -3.87    41.87     5.99   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    13.49R    0.52  
Newcastle        19   17  -15      -1.85    39.25    -3.14    35.50     5.74   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    54.50R    6.09  
Sunderland       18   12  -18      -4.66    20.09    -4.83    30.69     5.85   -31.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.71R   22.94  
Aston_Villa      19    8  -19      -8.64     4.96    -4.31    25.14     5.53   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.07R   67.41  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 December 2015, Brighton 0 1 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   23   49  +22       7.85    88.39     7.94    89.69     6.73    34.89    48.85    77.23    99.46    84.49P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           24   48  +22       4.65    74.38     6.21    87.49     6.58    35.94    34.25    67.62    98.88    77.94P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            24   44  +17       1.91    60.27     3.78    82.47     6.62    29.16    11.92    33.46    94.13    54.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        24   44   +7       9.73    91.70     4.51    75.80     6.57     9.94     1.60     6.93    70.03    18.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         24   41  +11       1.59    58.90     1.26    76.53     6.77    18.90     2.45     9.48    75.51    27.81P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         24   40   +4       4.17    71.79    -0.55    73.11     6.67     8.51     0.68     3.42    54.92    14.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   36   +7       3.13    67.25     6.51    66.95     6.68     8.42     0.06     0.47    22.39     4.69P    0.03R    0.00  
Brentford       24   36   +3       0.65    53.55    -0.64    68.30     6.79     6.37     0.12     0.82    28.34     6.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham      24   36   +2       4.43    73.91     3.56    64.40     6.61    -0.20     0.01     0.15    11.86     2.06P    0.10R    0.00  
Cardiff         24   34   +3       0.74    54.41     1.97    64.53     6.62     3.76     0.04     0.17    12.73     2.52P    0.10R    0.01  
Wolverhampton   24   31   -1      -4.09    28.71    -4.34    62.65     6.70     1.42     0.01     0.08     8.35     1.90P    0.27R    0.01  
Leeds_United    24   31   -2       1.32    58.45     2.17    59.18     6.47    -4.29     0.00     0.01     2.63     0.41P    1.08R    0.06  
Reading         24   30   +1      -1.32    43.18     3.02    58.94     6.58    -0.42     0.00     0.01     2.86     0.54P    1.18R    0.07  
Nott'm_Forest   24   30   +1      -3.02    33.94     0.41    60.44     6.64     1.56     0.01     0.04     4.55     0.95P    0.70R    0.03  
QPR             24   30   -2      -4.67    26.03    -4.60    61.46     6.85     0.29     0.00     0.06     6.52     1.52P    0.58R    0.03  
Blackburn       23   28   +2      -5.00    23.74    -0.55    60.15     6.76     3.32     0.00     0.04     4.64     1.08P    0.74R    0.04  
Preston         24   28   -2      -2.35    37.54     0.65    56.53     6.57    -3.52     0.00     0.01     1.24     0.26P    2.77R    0.21  
Fulham          24   27   -2      -4.45    27.18     1.05    54.80     6.71    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.13P    5.17R    0.52  
Huddersfield    24   25   -8      -2.77    35.19    -0.02    50.65     6.57   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   15.77R    2.37  
MK_Dons         24   22  -12      -6.10    19.46    -5.16    47.69     6.60   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   28.80R    6.03  
Rotherham       24   21  -13      -3.61    30.40     0.06    43.39     6.27   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.66R   17.79  
Bristol_City    24   21  -21      -4.34    27.06    -9.16    44.46     6.52   -31.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.79R   15.86  
Charlton        24   19  -21      -5.89    19.07    -9.45    41.77     6.30   -31.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.12R   27.54  
Bolton          24   17  -18      -9.33     7.97    -8.64    41.09     6.33   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.11R   29.43  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 December 2015, Barnsley 4 2 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          23   48  +21      10.26    92.94    11.84    86.06     6.96    30.70    40.55    62.83    96.09    71.56P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    23   48  +12      14.60    97.93     9.05    81.17     7.18    14.57    14.94    31.97    83.61    41.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       24   47  +17       8.89    88.61     9.03    81.19     7.00    23.05    15.97    34.52    85.46    45.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         24   44  +17       6.35    80.56     9.84    78.44     6.88    23.44     8.73    21.38    76.44    34.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Wigan            23   40  +13      -0.93    44.07    -0.79    80.71     7.04    26.41    15.12    32.71    84.58    51.25P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     24   37  +13      -1.62    41.19     4.09    72.94     7.00    21.91     1.90     6.45    47.69    17.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         23   37   +4       6.56    81.83     5.40    67.36     7.01     2.54     0.28     1.14    17.11     4.24P    0.52R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        23   36   +6      -0.81    45.59    -1.91    71.87     7.06    12.56     1.50     4.84    39.52    13.98P    0.09R    0.00  
Millwall         23   34   +3      -0.42    47.89    -1.37    68.41     7.24     7.25     0.47     1.90    22.93     7.16P    0.48R    0.01  
Bradford         22   34   +1       3.97    72.14     0.91    67.66     7.15     2.43     0.38     1.39    19.02     5.23P    0.52R    0.01  
Port_Vale        24   33   +1       1.15    56.75     2.42    61.97     6.72    -0.72     0.02     0.12     4.48     0.98P    2.90R    0.06  
Bury             23   33   -2       4.67    74.28     3.17    61.61     7.15    -6.69     0.04     0.17     4.71     0.98P    4.49R    0.10  
Rochdale         23   31   +2      -1.24    43.44     1.02    64.23     7.10     4.37     0.08     0.41     9.57     2.36P    1.77R    0.04  
Scunthorpe       24   31   -3       0.47    53.55     0.69    59.08     6.74    -6.22     0.01     0.05     1.74     0.36P    7.23R    0.28  
Doncaster        24   31   -5      -1.29    43.20    -4.07    59.98     6.81    -6.64     0.01     0.06     2.47     0.54P    5.84R    0.16  
Swindon          24   28   -6      -7.21    16.58    -9.43    60.45     6.86    -2.74     0.00     0.05     3.00     0.86P    5.34R    0.17  
Shrewsbury       24   26   -5      -5.55    22.78    -3.08    54.11     6.90    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.09P   23.16R    1.63  
Blackpool        23   25  -11      -2.46    37.05    -5.18    52.99     7.01   -16.01     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   30.62R    2.99  
Barnsley         23   24   -8      -6.90    16.98    -6.70    54.74     7.06    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.12P   21.15R    1.69  
Chesterfield     24   24  -14      -6.59    18.21   -10.41    52.36     6.74   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   33.17R    3.18  
Fleetwood_Town   23   23   -4      -5.65    21.13     0.30    52.12     6.86    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   32.22R    3.19  
Oldham           22   20  -11      -5.46    21.16    -3.84    47.94     7.03   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   58.01R   11.08  
Crewe            23   20  -16      -2.96    33.98    -2.48    42.37     6.53   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.74R   35.63  
Colchester       24   20  -25      -3.93    29.33    -8.51    42.13     6.58   -39.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.72R   39.79  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             24   49  +16       9.51    90.81     6.43    84.79     6.75    24.21    37.71    73.30    96.24    79.53P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          23   46  +11      11.19    93.79     6.14    81.31     7.20    16.67    19.74    53.21    88.53    60.86P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           24   45  +17       6.50    81.34     8.79    80.02     6.84    24.15    15.48    48.29    87.03    58.60P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           24   41  +19       2.10    60.77     9.98    76.88     6.95    27.52     8.23    32.36    76.35    44.55P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   40  +10       3.15    66.93     2.14    76.64     7.10    17.55     7.34    29.58    72.74    41.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       24   40   +9       5.26    76.03     6.10    72.44     6.95    12.47     2.13    12.59    50.59    21.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             22   37   +5       6.45    81.57     4.89    70.10     7.51     4.64     1.56     8.60    37.05    13.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   21   36  +11       6.58    83.15    10.34    72.23     7.59    13.75     3.05    14.27    49.79    21.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        24   36   +5      -5.55    23.10    -8.24    74.39     7.02    17.64     4.05    20.14    62.99    34.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        24   36   +4       3.84    70.26     5.42    65.09     6.87     1.99     0.17     1.68    14.82     4.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield            23   35  +10       4.54    74.45    11.37    64.93     6.93     7.88     0.19     1.68    15.18     4.37P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   33   +1       1.46    58.34     3.06    61.78     6.82    -1.14     0.03     0.49     6.63     1.76P    0.11R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         24   31   -9      -2.06    39.98    -9.01    61.80     7.11    -8.26     0.04     0.52     6.76     1.98P    0.25R    0.04  
Luton                24   30   +2      -4.65    26.43    -0.50    62.33     6.90     5.17     0.03     0.63     8.16     2.48P    0.11R    0.01  
Notts_County         23   30   -5      -4.04    29.42    -8.67    64.60     7.33    -0.46     0.14     1.69    14.43     5.09P    0.09R    0.01  
Exeter               23   30   -5      -0.08    50.37    -2.45    59.82     7.08    -7.96     0.03     0.29     4.12     1.07P    0.43R    0.08  
Morecambe            22   28   -1      -1.49    42.40     0.53    60.99     7.44    -1.32     0.07     0.63     7.13     2.02P    0.33R    0.07  
Barnet               24   28   -6      -0.40    48.57     1.63    53.80     6.92   -13.26     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.13P    2.81R    0.68  
Stevenage            24   26  -11      -6.23    19.97    -9.63    54.99     6.96   -13.08     0.00     0.03     0.87     0.25P    1.87R    0.47  
Newport_County       24   20  -12      -7.78    13.64    -4.09    45.89     6.72   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   20.20R    7.71  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.35    42.88    -3.60    45.00     6.95   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   27.03R   11.50  
York                 23   16  -20      -9.30     8.10   -10.34    41.01     6.83   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.88R   26.37  
Dag_&_Red            24   16  -20     -10.47     6.39    -9.59    40.19     6.62   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.17R   29.86  
Yeovil               24   14  -16     -15.22     1.33   -10.71    41.17     6.86   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.67R   23.19  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 December 2015, Cheltenham 1 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       27   59  +34       4.40    71.79     6.79    96.90     5.91    52.28    79.35    99.90    87.34P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     26   52  +18       6.70    81.69     3.24    85.40     6.47    27.15     6.47    89.03    26.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          25   48  +28      -0.76    44.62     6.00    87.30     6.37    43.88    12.40    94.58    43.81P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   48  +11       6.23    79.22     1.79    79.60     6.42    17.49     1.25    63.85    12.09P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   28   46   +9       4.02    69.28     3.86    72.69     6.04    11.95     0.05    22.54     3.67P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     28   44  +12       0.18    50.85     3.99    72.40     5.95    17.60     0.05    22.11     4.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking           27   41  +12      -2.64    36.72     1.95    70.63     6.22    17.42     0.04    16.02     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         27   41   +8      -5.89    22.18    -6.82    73.97     6.23    18.22     0.12    31.35     8.62P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     27   41   +6       3.46    67.44     5.37    67.52     6.21     6.39     0.00     6.48     0.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          25   40  +12       0.02    49.96     3.53    71.45     6.55    15.97     0.08    20.53     4.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.61    73.99     5.25    73.35     6.65    13.77     0.18    27.51     5.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        26   40   -6       4.24    71.69    -5.67    65.57     6.34    -9.07     0.00     3.52     0.45P    0.04R    0.00  
Bromley          26   37   +2       3.55    67.72     6.80    63.48     6.62    -0.46     0.00     2.40     0.29P    0.17R    0.02  
Chester          27   33   -7       2.05    61.51     2.95    57.42     6.13    -9.79     0.00     0.10     0.01P    1.85R    0.08  
Southport        26   33   -9       4.86    75.37     2.68    55.86     6.15   -15.95     0.00     0.04     0.00P    3.45R    0.27  
Aldershot        27   32  -11      -0.85    46.33    -4.62    56.04     6.04   -14.05     0.00     0.03     0.00P    2.86R    0.18  
Barrow           26   32  -16       5.78    78.80     0.33    52.78     6.32   -27.03     0.00     0.03     0.00P   10.53R    1.10  
Guiseley         27   30  -17       2.66    64.87    -1.57    46.64     5.68   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.01R    7.14  
Boreham_Wood     27   26   -6      -4.46    28.70     3.00    47.98     5.99   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.59R    4.44  
Altrincham       25   26  -17       1.54    59.99    -1.56    49.61     6.34   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.03R    3.58  
Welling          25   24  -10      -4.11    28.49    -1.00    47.04     6.18   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.34R    7.09  
Halifax          26   24  -20      -7.93    14.85   -12.96    46.72     6.25   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.56R    8.62  
Torquay          26   20  -22     -10.73     7.07   -13.59    46.36     6.42   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.62R    9.88  
Kidderminster    26   14  -20     -15.01     1.38    -9.75    37.67     6.18   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.94R   57.59