Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Aston_Villa 1 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        18   38  +12      12.31    97.75    10.59    66.00     6.38    12.17     5.41    17.40    37.64    56.32    81.02     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          18   36  +13       2.70    66.64    -0.08    74.22     6.13    30.07    36.40    71.04    86.23    93.47    98.51     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   35  +17      -1.92    35.74    -3.56    75.52     6.14    38.21    49.99    78.86    90.45    95.63    99.06     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        18   32  +17       1.64    60.43     8.42    65.32     6.42    25.90     5.00    16.94    37.59    56.48    81.09     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   18   30   +7       6.64    86.90     8.75    56.31     6.27     5.51     0.16     1.04     3.84     9.08    26.44     0.04R    0.00  
Man_Utd          18   29   +6      -1.87    37.48    -3.20    63.29     6.31    16.06     2.16     9.23    23.96    41.41    70.10     0.00     0.00  
Watford          18   29   +5       6.06    83.85     7.93    53.99     6.43     1.18     0.10     0.57     2.19     5.25    16.85     0.23R    0.00  
Liverpool        18   27   -1      -0.14    49.01    -4.51    58.03     6.48     4.45     0.31     1.95     6.58    14.26    36.53     0.03R    0.00  
Everton          18   26   +8      -2.00    37.16     3.07    57.15     6.44    13.50     0.30     1.69     5.84    12.99    34.19     0.04R    0.00  
West_Ham         18   26   +4       1.83    62.62     4.90    52.97     6.34     3.39     0.05     0.37     1.44     3.72    13.73     0.27R    0.00  
Stoke            18   26   +0       2.12    64.36     0.84    52.19     6.12    -1.45     0.02     0.17     0.82     2.38     9.85     0.40R    0.00  
Southampton      18   24   +4      -3.95    25.56    -0.82    54.40     6.36     8.41     0.08     0.53     2.30     5.91    19.78     0.17R    0.00  
West_Brom        18   20   -7      -0.20    50.00    -0.60    43.26     6.11   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.51    10.39R    0.50  
Bournemouth      18   20  -10       1.08    58.51     0.11    39.96     6.16   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.15    24.87R    2.22  
Chelsea          18   19   -6     -12.10     2.09   -15.75    52.26     6.42     2.74     0.03     0.21     1.07     2.98    11.74     0.57R    0.02  
Swansea          18   18   -8      -4.08    25.02    -4.08    42.02     6.15   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.32    13.84R    0.84  
Norwich          18   17  -12      -1.36    42.27    -1.33    38.89     6.25   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    30.21R    3.54  
Newcastle        18   17  -14      -0.91    44.97    -2.60    36.75     5.96   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    45.00R    5.74  
Sunderland       18   12  -18      -4.65    20.25    -4.75    30.69     5.86   -31.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.15R   27.22  
Aston_Villa      18    8  -17      -7.99     5.92    -3.34    26.51     5.81   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.78R   59.91  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 December 2015, Nott'm_Forest 1 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Derby           23   47  +22       5.40    78.26     6.84    88.13     6.81    36.29    36.87    67.59    98.96    77.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   22   46  +21       6.78    85.12     7.69    88.59     6.89    34.66    39.74    69.00    99.10    79.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            23   44  +18       3.00    66.42     4.41    84.56     6.80    31.11    18.53    43.92    96.78    62.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        23   44   +8      10.98    94.53     5.39    77.56     6.79    11.44     2.84    10.31    79.02    23.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         23   38   +7       1.77    59.85    -0.10    74.49     7.03    14.40     1.37     5.44    65.06    21.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         23   37   +3       2.81    65.69    -1.08    70.84     6.97     6.55     0.37     1.83    43.14    10.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       23   36   +8       3.59    69.77     6.33    68.17     6.78     9.20     0.13     0.75    29.82     6.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff         23   33   +3       1.17    57.12     2.12    65.17     6.83     4.16     0.03     0.25    16.26     3.52P    0.10R    0.01  
Brentford       23   33   +2      -0.68    46.63    -1.20    66.22     7.00     4.69     0.07     0.45    20.96     4.58P    0.10R    0.00  
Birmingham      23   33   +1       3.30    68.94     3.37    62.89     6.81    -1.11     0.01     0.09     9.57     1.69P    0.36R    0.01  
Reading         23   30   +2      -0.32    48.91     3.44    60.81     6.87     1.29     0.01     0.04     6.11     1.10P    0.88R    0.06  
Leeds_United    23   30   -2       1.55    59.89     1.91    59.10     6.67    -4.91     0.00     0.02     3.22     0.56P    1.57R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest   23   29   +1      -2.89    34.11     0.11    60.64     6.81     1.39     0.00     0.06     5.76     1.21P    0.88R    0.05  
QPR             23   29   -2      -4.18    28.33    -4.39    62.69     7.12     1.59     0.01     0.10    10.24     2.42P    0.62R    0.03  
Blackburn       22   28   +3      -3.98    27.98     0.03    61.98     7.00     5.02     0.02     0.11     8.69     2.02P    0.62R    0.03  
Wolverhampton   23   28   -3      -5.01    24.00    -5.29    60.72     6.85    -1.01     0.00     0.03     5.70     1.22P    0.89R    0.04  
Preston         23   25   -3      -3.69    30.14     0.09    54.18     6.77    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.14P    6.97R    0.79  
Fulham          23   24   -5      -4.88    24.73    -0.06    53.15     6.89    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P   10.10R    1.19  
Huddersfield    23   24   -8      -2.59    36.06    -0.37    50.32     6.72   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   19.18R    3.05  
MK_Dons         23   22  -11      -5.39    22.18    -5.06    49.03     6.80   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   25.00R    4.55  
Rotherham       23   21  -10      -3.45    30.85     0.86    44.93     6.53   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   48.01R   12.63  
Bristol_City    23   21  -17      -4.49    26.27    -7.66    45.97     6.75   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.81R   11.34  
Charlton        23   19  -19      -5.19    21.53    -8.44    43.34     6.51   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.98R   19.97  
Bolton          23   14  -19     -10.62     4.75    -8.96    38.81     6.54   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.90R   46.17  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Colchester 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          22   45  +19       9.39    91.71    10.97    84.03     7.17    28.09    34.20    55.05    92.51    64.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    22   45  +11      13.38    97.23     8.62    79.33     7.31    13.33    12.98    27.51    76.50    37.02P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       23   44  +16       7.97    86.25     9.29    80.42     7.16    23.62    17.57    34.91    82.91    45.74P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         23   43  +17       6.64    82.12     9.73    79.07     7.12    23.86    13.11    28.18    78.49    40.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     23   37  +15      -1.00    44.19     4.86    74.64     7.20    24.39     4.78    12.71    57.81    25.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Wigan            22   37  +11      -1.67    39.90    -1.50    78.97     7.27    24.19    13.23    28.45    77.60    45.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         22   37   +8       6.53    82.62     7.36    70.13     7.34     8.60     1.29     3.92    30.97     9.55P    0.25R    0.00  
Bradford         21   34   +3       4.53    75.38     1.73    69.29     7.30     4.82     0.95     2.98    26.46     8.28P    0.35R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        22   33   +4      -1.64    40.71    -2.67    69.97     7.26    10.10     1.22     3.70    30.81    10.99P    0.29R    0.01  
Bury             22   33   -1       5.51    78.47     3.44    63.09     7.37    -5.56     0.12     0.43     7.72     1.74P    3.49R    0.10  
Millwall         22   31   -1      -0.63    46.87    -3.19    65.11     7.44     0.74     0.26     0.92    12.36     3.72P    1.96R    0.05  
Rochdale         22   30   +2      -0.92    45.25     0.90    64.61     7.28     4.42     0.20     0.78    11.11     3.07P    1.96R    0.06  
Port_Vale        23   30   +0      -0.18    49.77     1.98    60.43     6.97    -1.57     0.02     0.13     3.40     0.77P    5.55R    0.20  
Scunthorpe       23   30   -3       0.88    55.57     0.76    59.50     6.98    -6.12     0.02     0.07     2.54     0.55P    7.57R    0.34  
Swindon          23   28   -5      -6.08    20.24    -8.87    61.74     7.12    -1.86     0.04     0.21     5.23     1.53P    4.27R    0.17  
Doncaster        23   28   -6      -2.56    36.30    -4.57    58.02     7.03    -8.10     0.01     0.04     1.61     0.35P   11.21R    0.69  
Blackpool        22   25   -9      -2.00    39.23    -4.70    54.78     7.16   -13.22     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.13P   23.38R    2.21  
Fleetwood_Town   22   23   -2      -4.96    23.66     1.18    53.60     7.14    -5.30     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.11P   26.48R    2.82  
Shrewsbury       23   23   -6      -6.67    17.33    -3.33    52.36     7.07    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P   33.01R    4.09  
Chesterfield     23   23  -14      -6.33    18.47   -10.58    52.58     6.95   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P   33.57R    3.86  
Barnsley         22   21  -10      -7.78    13.14    -7.65    52.84     7.26   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P   31.59R    4.00  
Oldham           21   20  -10      -4.44    25.50    -3.38    49.75     7.24   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   49.05R    8.87  
Crewe            22   20  -15      -1.99    39.30    -2.18    43.83     6.75   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    80.51R   31.17  
Colchester       23   20  -24      -2.97    34.27    -8.22    42.62     6.72   -40.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.47R   41.37  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             23   46  +15       8.45    88.41     6.22    83.37     7.01    23.51    31.00    66.20    93.84    73.57P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           23   44  +17       7.02    83.72     8.97    80.77     7.07    24.71    19.68    52.84    88.53    62.17P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          22   43  +10       9.88    91.75     5.59    79.79     7.44    15.76    16.07    45.37    83.08    53.58P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           23   40  +19       2.63    64.09    10.22    77.59     7.11    28.02    10.88    36.84    78.78    48.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       23   37   +8       4.14    71.56     5.85    69.97     7.21    10.26     1.45     7.90    36.83    14.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              22   37   +8       2.32    62.98     1.31    74.76     7.30    15.12     5.07    21.86    62.98    32.88P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             22   37   +5       6.38    81.48     4.85    70.13     7.53     4.72     1.53     8.69    36.94    14.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   20   36  +12       7.61    86.87    10.84    73.67     7.91    14.79     5.29    19.99    56.60    27.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        23   36   +6      -4.59    26.35    -7.90    76.40     7.22    19.66     7.82    29.83    72.13    44.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield            22   34  +10       5.06    77.18    11.64    65.75     7.19     8.46     0.35     2.75    18.84     5.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        23   33   +3       2.63    64.56     5.12    63.56     7.07     1.17     0.13     1.20    10.99     3.14P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         23   31   -7      -1.56    42.01    -8.31    63.45     7.33    -5.88     0.12     1.20    11.19     3.65P    0.08R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   30   -1       0.31    52.53     1.87    59.56     7.00    -4.06     0.02     0.28     4.06     1.04P    0.33R    0.06  
Exeter               22   30   -3       0.86    55.26    -1.08    61.87     7.38    -4.99     0.10     0.80     7.96     2.28P    0.21R    0.04  
Luton                23   29   +2      -4.66    26.42    -1.05    62.56     7.16     4.95     0.11     0.93     9.63     3.12P    0.10R    0.03  
Notts_County         22   29   -5      -3.48    31.82    -8.36    65.21     7.52    -0.12     0.30     2.45    16.81     6.35P    0.06R    0.01  
Barnet               23   28   -5       0.59    54.04     2.06    55.04     7.21   -12.55     0.00     0.05     1.18     0.24P    2.10R    0.44  
Morecambe            21   27   -1      -1.15    43.76     0.42    60.93     7.61    -2.10     0.08     0.74     7.38     2.26P    0.35R    0.07  
Stevenage            23   26   -9      -5.30    23.68    -8.34    57.51     7.16    -9.34     0.00     0.11     2.21     0.66P    0.93R    0.19  
Newport_County       23   20  -11      -6.95    16.03    -3.87    47.08     6.89   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    14.85R    4.87  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.41    42.57    -3.66    45.07     7.05   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   25.14R    9.58  
York                 22   15  -20      -9.20     7.78   -10.69    41.11     6.98   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.21R   22.51  
Yeovil               23   13  -16     -14.98     1.21   -10.69    41.09     7.11   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   43.50R   20.61  
Dag_&_Red            23   13  -22     -11.73     3.62   -11.00    37.66     6.77   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.03R   41.57  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Aldershot 0 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       26   56  +33       3.45    67.44     6.73    96.27     6.08    53.06    79.06    99.83    87.16P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     25   49  +15       6.21    79.89     2.01    84.03     6.69    24.57     5.61    82.73    23.54P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        25   47  +11       6.86    81.98     2.14    80.67     6.66    18.58     2.41    67.71    14.61P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   27   46  +10       5.30    75.33     4.66    74.81     6.24    14.15     0.23    32.33     5.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          24   45  +26      -1.56    40.24     5.19    86.20     6.54    42.68    11.88    91.32    41.87P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     27   41  +10      -0.68    46.42     3.15    70.67     6.19    15.43     0.04    14.01     2.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     26   41   +8       3.81    69.15     5.82    68.47     6.36     7.72     0.03     8.19     1.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          24   40  +14       1.04    55.61     4.96    73.66     6.83    19.19     0.28    29.79     6.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking           26   40  +12      -2.00    39.76     2.32    71.72     6.43    18.45     0.11    19.59     4.10P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.84    75.42     5.56    73.32     6.68    13.72     0.22    25.65     4.94P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         26   38   +7      -6.76    18.57    -6.73    73.07     6.46    18.36     0.14    25.26     7.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        25   37   -9       3.96    70.67    -6.65    63.93     6.55   -12.23     0.00     2.13     0.27P    0.14R    0.01  
Bromley          25   34   +1       2.02    60.71     5.90    61.02     6.83    -2.88     0.00     1.12     0.14P    0.77R    0.05  
Chester          26   33   -5       2.70    64.79     3.92    58.90     6.31    -7.62     0.00     0.22     0.02P    1.19R    0.06  
Barrow           25   32  -15       6.79    82.70     0.79    54.13     6.58   -26.04     0.00     0.04     0.00P    7.89R    0.87  
Aldershot        26   31  -11      -0.92    45.69    -5.25    56.06     6.27   -14.72     0.00     0.05     0.01P    3.28R    0.34  
Southport        25   30  -10       3.47    69.82     2.00    54.46     6.35   -16.65     0.00     0.03     0.00P    6.07R    0.62  
Guiseley         26   30  -14       2.77    65.50    -0.55    48.02     5.97   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.53R    5.07  
Altrincham       24   26  -16       2.35    65.03    -1.27    50.07     6.50   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.41R    3.83  
Boreham_Wood     26   25   -6      -4.47    28.00     2.65    47.52     6.20   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.51R    6.09  
Welling          25   24  -10      -4.14    28.55    -0.95    47.05     6.23   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.16R    7.55  
Halifax          25   21  -22      -8.97    10.91   -13.91    44.31     6.42   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.05R   17.53  
Torquay          25   20  -21     -10.15     7.91   -13.85    46.93     6.52   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.43R    9.27  
Kidderminster    25   14  -17     -14.87     1.26    -8.65    38.89     6.35   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.56R   48.70