Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 27 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Aston_Villa 1 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 18 38 +12 12.31 97.75 10.59 66.00 6.38 12.17 5.41 17.40 37.64 56.32 81.02 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 18 36 +13 2.70 66.64 -0.08 74.22 6.13 30.07 36.40 71.04 86.23 93.47 98.51 0.00 0.00 Man_City 18 35 +17 -1.92 35.74 -3.56 75.52 6.14 38.21 49.99 78.86 90.45 95.63 99.06 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 18 32 +17 1.64 60.43 8.42 65.32 6.42 25.90 5.00 16.94 37.59 56.48 81.09 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 18 30 +7 6.64 86.90 8.75 56.31 6.27 5.51 0.16 1.04 3.84 9.08 26.44 0.04R 0.00 Man_Utd 18 29 +6 -1.87 37.48 -3.20 63.29 6.31 16.06 2.16 9.23 23.96 41.41 70.10 0.00 0.00 Watford 18 29 +5 6.06 83.85 7.93 53.99 6.43 1.18 0.10 0.57 2.19 5.25 16.85 0.23R 0.00 Liverpool 18 27 -1 -0.14 49.01 -4.51 58.03 6.48 4.45 0.31 1.95 6.58 14.26 36.53 0.03R 0.00 Everton 18 26 +8 -2.00 37.16 3.07 57.15 6.44 13.50 0.30 1.69 5.84 12.99 34.19 0.04R 0.00 West_Ham 18 26 +4 1.83 62.62 4.90 52.97 6.34 3.39 0.05 0.37 1.44 3.72 13.73 0.27R 0.00 Stoke 18 26 +0 2.12 64.36 0.84 52.19 6.12 -1.45 0.02 0.17 0.82 2.38 9.85 0.40R 0.00 Southampton 18 24 +4 -3.95 25.56 -0.82 54.40 6.36 8.41 0.08 0.53 2.30 5.91 19.78 0.17R 0.00 West_Brom 18 20 -7 -0.20 50.00 -0.60 43.26 6.11 -13.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.51 10.39R 0.50 Bournemouth 18 20 -10 1.08 58.51 0.11 39.96 6.16 -23.08 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.15 24.87R 2.22 Chelsea 18 19 -6 -12.10 2.09 -15.75 52.26 6.42 2.74 0.03 0.21 1.07 2.98 11.74 0.57R 0.02 Swansea 18 18 -8 -4.08 25.02 -4.08 42.02 6.15 -13.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.32 13.84R 0.84 Norwich 18 17 -12 -1.36 42.27 -1.33 38.89 6.25 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 30.21R 3.54 Newcastle 18 17 -14 -0.91 44.97 -2.60 36.75 5.96 -26.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 45.00R 5.74 Sunderland 18 12 -18 -4.65 20.25 -4.75 30.69 5.86 -31.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.15R 27.22 Aston_Villa 18 8 -17 -7.99 5.92 -3.34 26.51 5.81 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.78R 59.91Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 December 2015, Nott'm_Forest 1 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 23 47 +22 5.40 78.26 6.84 88.13 6.81 36.29 36.87 67.59 98.96 77.82P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 22 46 +21 6.78 85.12 7.69 88.59 6.89 34.66 39.74 69.00 99.10 79.49P 0.00 0.00 Hull 23 44 +18 3.00 66.42 4.41 84.56 6.80 31.11 18.53 43.92 96.78 62.47P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 23 44 +8 10.98 94.53 5.39 77.56 6.79 11.44 2.84 10.31 79.02 23.98P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 23 38 +7 1.77 59.85 -0.10 74.49 7.03 14.40 1.37 5.44 65.06 21.05P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 23 37 +3 2.81 65.69 -1.08 70.84 6.97 6.55 0.37 1.83 43.14 10.44P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 23 36 +8 3.59 69.77 6.33 68.17 6.78 9.20 0.13 0.75 29.82 6.17P 0.02R 0.00 Cardiff 23 33 +3 1.17 57.12 2.12 65.17 6.83 4.16 0.03 0.25 16.26 3.52P 0.10R 0.01 Brentford 23 33 +2 -0.68 46.63 -1.20 66.22 7.00 4.69 0.07 0.45 20.96 4.58P 0.10R 0.00 Birmingham 23 33 +1 3.30 68.94 3.37 62.89 6.81 -1.11 0.01 0.09 9.57 1.69P 0.36R 0.01 Reading 23 30 +2 -0.32 48.91 3.44 60.81 6.87 1.29 0.01 0.04 6.11 1.10P 0.88R 0.06 Leeds_United 23 30 -2 1.55 59.89 1.91 59.10 6.67 -4.91 0.00 0.02 3.22 0.56P 1.57R 0.08 Nott'm_Forest 23 29 +1 -2.89 34.11 0.11 60.64 6.81 1.39 0.00 0.06 5.76 1.21P 0.88R 0.05 QPR 23 29 -2 -4.18 28.33 -4.39 62.69 7.12 1.59 0.01 0.10 10.24 2.42P 0.62R 0.03 Blackburn 22 28 +3 -3.98 27.98 0.03 61.98 7.00 5.02 0.02 0.11 8.69 2.02P 0.62R 0.03 Wolverhampton 23 28 -3 -5.01 24.00 -5.29 60.72 6.85 -1.01 0.00 0.03 5.70 1.22P 0.89R 0.04 Preston 23 25 -3 -3.69 30.14 0.09 54.18 6.77 -5.47 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.14P 6.97R 0.79 Fulham 23 24 -5 -4.88 24.73 -0.06 53.15 6.89 -9.22 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.08P 10.10R 1.19 Huddersfield 23 24 -8 -2.59 36.06 -0.37 50.32 6.72 -15.90 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 19.18R 3.05 MK_Dons 23 22 -11 -5.39 22.18 -5.06 49.03 6.80 -17.39 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 25.00R 4.55 Rotherham 23 21 -10 -3.45 30.85 0.86 44.93 6.53 -21.58 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 48.01R 12.63 Bristol_City 23 21 -17 -4.49 26.27 -7.66 45.97 6.75 -27.22 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 43.81R 11.34 Charlton 23 19 -19 -5.19 21.53 -8.44 43.34 6.51 -29.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.98R 19.97 Bolton 23 14 -19 -10.62 4.75 -8.96 38.81 6.54 -28.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.90R 46.17League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Colchester 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 22 45 +19 9.39 91.71 10.97 84.03 7.17 28.09 34.20 55.05 92.51 64.66P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 22 45 +11 13.38 97.23 8.62 79.33 7.31 13.33 12.98 27.51 76.50 37.02P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 23 44 +16 7.97 86.25 9.29 80.42 7.16 23.62 17.57 34.91 82.91 45.74P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 23 43 +17 6.64 82.12 9.73 79.07 7.12 23.86 13.11 28.18 78.49 40.50P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 23 37 +15 -1.00 44.19 4.86 74.64 7.20 24.39 4.78 12.71 57.81 25.25P 0.03R 0.00 Wigan 22 37 +11 -1.67 39.90 -1.50 78.97 7.27 24.19 13.23 28.45 77.60 45.86P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 22 37 +8 6.53 82.62 7.36 70.13 7.34 8.60 1.29 3.92 30.97 9.55P 0.25R 0.00 Bradford 21 34 +3 4.53 75.38 1.73 69.29 7.30 4.82 0.95 2.98 26.46 8.28P 0.35R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 22 33 +4 -1.64 40.71 -2.67 69.97 7.26 10.10 1.22 3.70 30.81 10.99P 0.29R 0.01 Bury 22 33 -1 5.51 78.47 3.44 63.09 7.37 -5.56 0.12 0.43 7.72 1.74P 3.49R 0.10 Millwall 22 31 -1 -0.63 46.87 -3.19 65.11 7.44 0.74 0.26 0.92 12.36 3.72P 1.96R 0.05 Rochdale 22 30 +2 -0.92 45.25 0.90 64.61 7.28 4.42 0.20 0.78 11.11 3.07P 1.96R 0.06 Port_Vale 23 30 +0 -0.18 49.77 1.98 60.43 6.97 -1.57 0.02 0.13 3.40 0.77P 5.55R 0.20 Scunthorpe 23 30 -3 0.88 55.57 0.76 59.50 6.98 -6.12 0.02 0.07 2.54 0.55P 7.57R 0.34 Swindon 23 28 -5 -6.08 20.24 -8.87 61.74 7.12 -1.86 0.04 0.21 5.23 1.53P 4.27R 0.17 Doncaster 23 28 -6 -2.56 36.30 -4.57 58.02 7.03 -8.10 0.01 0.04 1.61 0.35P 11.21R 0.69 Blackpool 22 25 -9 -2.00 39.23 -4.70 54.78 7.16 -13.22 0.00 0.01 0.58 0.13P 23.38R 2.21 Fleetwood_Town 22 23 -2 -4.96 23.66 1.18 53.60 7.14 -5.30 0.00 0.01 0.44 0.11P 26.48R 2.82 Shrewsbury 23 23 -6 -6.67 17.33 -3.33 52.36 7.07 -9.13 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.06P 33.01R 4.09 Chesterfield 23 23 -14 -6.33 18.47 -10.58 52.58 6.95 -17.12 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.05P 33.57R 3.86 Barnsley 22 21 -10 -7.78 13.14 -7.65 52.84 7.26 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.06P 31.59R 4.00 Oldham 21 20 -10 -4.44 25.50 -3.38 49.75 7.24 -16.77 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 49.05R 8.87 Crewe 22 20 -15 -1.99 39.30 -2.18 43.83 6.75 -29.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 80.51R 31.17 Colchester 23 20 -24 -2.97 34.27 -8.22 42.62 6.72 -40.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.47R 41.37League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 23 46 +15 8.45 88.41 6.22 83.37 7.01 23.51 31.00 66.20 93.84 73.57P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 23 44 +17 7.02 83.72 8.97 80.77 7.07 24.71 19.68 52.84 88.53 62.17P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 22 43 +10 9.88 91.75 5.59 79.79 7.44 15.76 16.07 45.37 83.08 53.58P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 23 40 +19 2.63 64.09 10.22 77.59 7.11 28.02 10.88 36.84 78.78 48.51P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 37 +8 4.14 71.56 5.85 69.97 7.21 10.26 1.45 7.90 36.83 14.52P 0.01R 0.00 Wycombe 22 37 +8 2.32 62.98 1.31 74.76 7.30 15.12 5.07 21.86 62.98 32.88P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 22 37 +5 6.38 81.48 4.85 70.13 7.53 4.72 1.53 8.69 36.94 14.24P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 20 36 +12 7.61 86.87 10.84 73.67 7.91 14.79 5.29 19.99 56.60 27.26P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 23 36 +6 -4.59 26.35 -7.90 76.40 7.22 19.66 7.82 29.83 72.13 44.58P 0.00R 0.00 Mansfield 22 34 +10 5.06 77.18 11.64 65.75 7.19 8.46 0.35 2.75 18.84 5.94P 0.02R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 23 33 +3 2.63 64.56 5.12 63.56 7.07 1.17 0.13 1.20 10.99 3.14P 0.07R 0.00 Crawley_Town 23 31 -7 -1.56 42.01 -8.31 63.45 7.33 -5.88 0.12 1.20 11.19 3.65P 0.08R 0.02 AFC_Wimbledon 23 30 -1 0.31 52.53 1.87 59.56 7.00 -4.06 0.02 0.28 4.06 1.04P 0.33R 0.06 Exeter 22 30 -3 0.86 55.26 -1.08 61.87 7.38 -4.99 0.10 0.80 7.96 2.28P 0.21R 0.04 Luton 23 29 +2 -4.66 26.42 -1.05 62.56 7.16 4.95 0.11 0.93 9.63 3.12P 0.10R 0.03 Notts_County 22 29 -5 -3.48 31.82 -8.36 65.21 7.52 -0.12 0.30 2.45 16.81 6.35P 0.06R 0.01 Barnet 23 28 -5 0.59 54.04 2.06 55.04 7.21 -12.55 0.00 0.05 1.18 0.24P 2.10R 0.44 Morecambe 21 27 -1 -1.15 43.76 0.42 60.93 7.61 -2.10 0.08 0.74 7.38 2.26P 0.35R 0.07 Stevenage 23 26 -9 -5.30 23.68 -8.34 57.51 7.16 -9.34 0.00 0.11 2.21 0.66P 0.93R 0.19 Newport_County 23 20 -11 -6.95 16.03 -3.87 47.08 6.89 -17.99 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 14.85R 4.87 Hartlepool 21 20 -15 -1.41 42.57 -3.66 45.07 7.05 -29.41 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 25.14R 9.58 York 22 15 -20 -9.20 7.78 -10.69 41.11 6.98 -30.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.21R 22.51 Yeovil 23 13 -16 -14.98 1.21 -10.69 41.09 7.11 -21.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 43.50R 20.61 Dag_&_Red 23 13 -22 -11.73 3.62 -11.00 37.66 6.77 -33.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.03R 41.57National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Aldershot 0 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 26 56 +33 3.45 67.44 6.73 96.27 6.08 53.06 79.06 99.83 87.16P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 25 49 +15 6.21 79.89 2.01 84.03 6.69 24.57 5.61 82.73 23.54P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 25 47 +11 6.86 81.98 2.14 80.67 6.66 18.58 2.41 67.71 14.61P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 27 46 +10 5.30 75.33 4.66 74.81 6.24 14.15 0.23 32.33 5.56P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 45 +26 -1.56 40.24 5.19 86.20 6.54 42.68 11.88 91.32 41.87P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 27 41 +10 -0.68 46.42 3.15 70.67 6.19 15.43 0.04 14.01 2.93P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 26 41 +8 3.81 69.15 5.82 68.47 6.36 7.72 0.03 8.19 1.31P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 24 40 +14 1.04 55.61 4.96 73.66 6.83 19.19 0.28 29.79 6.30P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 26 40 +12 -2.00 39.76 2.32 71.72 6.43 18.45 0.11 19.59 4.10P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 24 40 +9 4.84 75.42 5.56 73.32 6.68 13.72 0.22 25.65 4.94P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 26 38 +7 -6.76 18.57 -6.73 73.07 6.46 18.36 0.14 25.26 7.25P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 25 37 -9 3.96 70.67 -6.65 63.93 6.55 -12.23 0.00 2.13 0.27P 0.14R 0.01 Bromley 25 34 +1 2.02 60.71 5.90 61.02 6.83 -2.88 0.00 1.12 0.14P 0.77R 0.05 Chester 26 33 -5 2.70 64.79 3.92 58.90 6.31 -7.62 0.00 0.22 0.02P 1.19R 0.06 Barrow 25 32 -15 6.79 82.70 0.79 54.13 6.58 -26.04 0.00 0.04 0.00P 7.89R 0.87 Aldershot 26 31 -11 -0.92 45.69 -5.25 56.06 6.27 -14.72 0.00 0.05 0.01P 3.28R 0.34 Southport 25 30 -10 3.47 69.82 2.00 54.46 6.35 -16.65 0.00 0.03 0.00P 6.07R 0.62 Guiseley 26 30 -14 2.77 65.50 -0.55 48.02 5.97 -28.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.53R 5.07 Altrincham 24 26 -16 2.35 65.03 -1.27 50.07 6.50 -25.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.41R 3.83 Boreham_Wood 26 25 -6 -4.47 28.00 2.65 47.52 6.20 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.51R 6.09 Welling 25 24 -10 -4.14 28.55 -0.95 47.05 6.23 -18.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.16R 7.55 Halifax 25 21 -22 -8.97 10.91 -13.91 44.31 6.42 -32.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.05R 17.53 Torquay 25 20 -21 -10.15 7.91 -13.85 46.93 6.52 -24.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.43R 9.27 Kidderminster 25 14 -17 -14.87 1.26 -8.65 38.89 6.35 -23.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.56R 48.70