Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 26 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Aston_Villa 1 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        18   38  +12      12.33    97.73    10.62    66.01     6.39    12.20     5.40    17.39    37.81    56.52    81.05     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          18   36  +13       2.69    66.57    -0.09    74.27     6.16    30.17    36.50    71.45    86.48    93.52    98.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   35  +17      -2.00    35.27    -3.73    75.58     6.12    38.39    50.17    78.89    90.55    95.79    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        18   32  +17       1.69    60.71     8.45    65.27     6.40    25.82     4.65    16.53    37.45    56.37    80.77     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   18   30   +7       6.65    86.85     8.76    56.36     6.22     5.57     0.17     1.03     3.83     9.07    26.74     0.04R    0.00  
Man_Utd          18   29   +6      -1.97    36.72    -3.36    63.36     6.34    16.18     2.26     9.46    24.17    41.88    70.81     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          18   29   +5       6.03    83.93     7.87    54.06     6.37     1.26     0.09     0.54     2.17     5.15    16.90     0.17R    0.00  
Liverpool        18   27   -1      -0.01    49.85    -4.26    57.91     6.44     4.16     0.36     1.83     6.20    13.70    35.47     0.05R    0.00  
Everton          18   26   +8      -2.02    37.04     3.04    57.19     6.39    13.57     0.26     1.69     5.79    12.84    34.32     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham         18   26   +4       1.83    62.59     4.91    53.01     6.34     3.44     0.03     0.32     1.43     3.74    13.68     0.32R    0.01  
Stoke            18   26   +0       2.14    64.48     0.84    52.10     6.15    -1.60     0.03     0.15     0.77     2.36     9.81     0.39R    0.00  
Southampton      18   24   +4      -3.99    25.37    -0.85    54.42     6.35     8.44     0.05     0.55     2.28     5.82    19.69     0.20R    0.00  
West_Brom        18   20   -7      -0.22    49.77    -0.65    43.27     6.06   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.48    10.25R    0.45  
Bournemouth      18   20  -10       1.03    58.01     0.03    39.97     6.20   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16    24.70R    2.07  
Chelsea          18   19   -6     -12.18     1.97   -15.84    52.28     6.43     2.77     0.02     0.18     1.05     3.12    11.90     0.50R    0.01  
Swansea          18   18   -8      -3.99    25.52    -3.92    41.93     6.15   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.32    13.94R    0.86  
Norwich          18   17  -12      -1.33    42.20    -1.31    38.92     6.26   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    29.89R    3.51  
Newcastle        18   17  -14      -0.87    45.46    -2.52    36.72     5.97   -26.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    45.27R    5.78  
Sunderland       18   12  -18      -4.67    20.02    -4.77    30.69     5.85   -31.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.19R   26.81  
Aston_Villa      18    8  -17      -7.93     6.19    -3.24    26.41     5.74   -31.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.07R   60.50  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Brentford 0 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Derby           23   47  +22       5.21    77.56     6.51    88.34     6.74    36.58    38.32    68.86    99.13    79.13P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   22   46  +21       6.75    85.08     7.66    88.59     6.88    34.67    39.04    69.02    99.15    79.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            23   44  +18       3.23    67.56     4.67    84.43     6.83    30.94    17.81    42.74    96.72    61.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        23   44   +8      10.99    94.64     5.42    77.56     6.80    11.45     2.91    10.40    78.87    23.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         23   38   +7       1.71    59.61    -0.16    74.57     6.94    14.54     1.33     5.39    65.44    21.09P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         23   37   +3       2.86    65.85    -0.99    70.84     6.93     6.56     0.32     1.82    42.81    10.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       23   36   +8       3.84    71.14     6.70    67.87     6.79     8.81     0.10     0.62    28.06     5.77P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff         23   33   +3       1.08    56.53     1.97    65.26     6.89     4.31     0.04     0.27    16.69     3.54P    0.12R    0.00  
Brentford       23   33   +2      -0.66    46.39    -1.16    66.22     6.93     4.60     0.06     0.38    20.69     4.32P    0.11R    0.00  
Birmingham      23   33   +1       3.18    68.34     3.16    63.06     6.78    -0.82     0.01     0.12     9.66     1.68P    0.32R    0.01  
Reading         23   30   +2      -0.40    48.24     3.36    60.91     6.87     1.42     0.00     0.05     6.18     1.15P    0.82R    0.04  
QPR             23   29   -2      -4.11    28.28    -4.31    62.64     7.09     1.49     0.02     0.11     9.84     2.41P    0.59R    0.02  
Leeds_United    22   29   -2       1.70    60.68     1.69    58.98     6.88    -5.57     0.00     0.02     3.47     0.59P    1.72R    0.10  
Blackburn       22   28   +3      -3.80    29.05     0.27    61.82     6.97     4.78     0.01     0.07     8.34     1.84P    0.61R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   22   28   +1      -2.36    36.73     0.33    61.49     7.03     2.08     0.01     0.10     7.68     1.59P    0.81R    0.04  
Wolverhampton   23   28   -3      -4.97    24.14    -5.25    60.75     6.83    -0.96     0.01     0.04     5.71     1.24P    0.89R    0.06  
Preston         23   25   -3      -3.90    28.76    -0.19    54.33     6.75    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.12P    6.64R    0.73  
Fulham          23   24   -5      -4.78    25.30     0.08    53.02     6.96    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P   10.32R    1.44  
Huddersfield    23   24   -8      -2.64    35.73    -0.48    50.30     6.72   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   19.03R    2.94  
MK_Dons         23   22  -11      -5.35    22.32    -5.03    49.05     6.82   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   24.96R    4.57  
Rotherham       23   21  -10      -3.40    31.17     1.03    44.87     6.55   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   48.72R   12.89  
Bristol_City    23   21  -17      -4.64    25.79    -7.91    46.06     6.77   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    43.29R   11.09  
Charlton        23   19  -19      -5.17    21.87    -8.39    43.28     6.53   -29.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.10R   19.96  
Bolton          23   14  -19     -10.62     4.58    -9.00    38.82     6.52   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.89R   46.08  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Colchester 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          22   45  +19       9.21    91.19    10.70    84.20     7.17    28.37    35.35    55.99    92.89    65.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    22   45  +11      13.27    97.16     8.51    79.42     7.30    13.38    13.01    27.80    77.08    37.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       23   44  +16       8.11    86.87     9.48    80.27     7.20    23.42    16.69    34.28    82.21    45.11P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         23   43  +17       6.60    82.10     9.68    79.16     7.11    23.96    13.18    28.54    78.88    40.70P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     23   37  +15      -0.98    44.47     4.89    74.65     7.14    24.38     4.67    12.25    58.06    24.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Wigan            22   37  +11      -1.57    40.82    -1.34    78.78     7.28    23.93    12.79    27.49    77.09    44.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         22   37   +8       6.63    82.48     7.46    70.07     7.31     8.52     1.33     3.93    30.41     9.53P    0.21R    0.00  
Bradford         21   34   +3       4.46    74.67     1.65    69.26     7.29     4.79     1.02     2.98    26.20     7.97P    0.35R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        22   33   +4      -1.82    39.88    -2.99    70.16     7.28    10.45     1.28     4.14    31.39    11.61P    0.22R    0.01  
Bury             22   33   -1       5.60    78.70     3.56    63.12     7.38    -5.47     0.14     0.49     7.63     1.74P    3.45R    0.10  
Millwall         22   31   -1      -0.67    46.50    -3.29    65.21     7.46     0.88     0.23     0.87    12.61     3.71P    1.97R    0.07  
Rochdale         22   30   +2      -0.89    45.28     0.96    64.48     7.31     4.23     0.19     0.73    10.99     2.97P    1.89R    0.07  
Port_Vale        23   30   +0      -0.08    50.24     2.14    60.41     6.96    -1.64     0.03     0.13     3.33     0.79P    5.54R    0.25  
Scunthorpe       23   30   -3       0.87    55.56     0.76    59.55     7.02    -6.09     0.02     0.08     2.64     0.57P    7.55R    0.37  
Swindon          23   28   -5      -6.10    19.98    -8.86    61.68     7.10    -1.96     0.05     0.21     5.03     1.46P    4.24R    0.18  
Doncaster        23   28   -6      -2.43    36.96    -4.42    58.05     7.06    -8.08     0.00     0.03     1.59     0.35P   11.06R    0.71  
Blackpool        22   25   -9      -1.96    39.74    -4.63    54.79     7.21   -13.20     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.15P   23.41R    2.20  
Fleetwood_Town   22   23   -2      -5.05    23.40     1.13    53.64     7.15    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.10P   25.90R    2.98  
Shrewsbury       23   23   -6      -6.52    17.94    -3.15    52.12     7.03    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P   34.07R    4.32  
Chesterfield     23   23  -14      -6.20    19.04   -10.39    52.49     6.96   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   34.15R    4.09  
Barnsley         22   21  -10      -7.88    12.75    -7.80    52.85     7.32   -11.84     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.07P   31.48R    4.04  
Oldham           21   20  -10      -4.37    25.71    -3.27    49.70     7.26   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   48.87R    9.04  
Crewe            22   20  -15      -2.01    39.07    -2.19    43.82     6.76   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   80.71R   31.21  
Colchester       23   20  -24      -3.18    33.21    -8.61    42.78     6.75   -39.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.89R   40.36  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             23   46  +15       8.45    88.30     6.18    83.36     7.00    23.53    30.94    65.98    93.76    73.45P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           23   44  +17       7.00    83.59     8.96    80.85     7.09    24.80    20.15    53.55    88.45    62.68P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          22   43  +10      10.08    92.12     5.94    79.61     7.46    15.43    15.59    44.29    82.32    52.44P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           23   40  +19       2.55    63.78    10.07    77.63     7.14    28.11    10.94    36.97    78.62    48.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       23   37   +8       4.08    71.19     5.78    70.05     7.15    10.37     1.32     7.88    37.39    14.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              22   37   +8       2.25    62.64     1.17    74.87     7.28    15.30     5.34    22.37    63.58    33.62P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             22   37   +5       6.53    82.32     5.07    70.04     7.46     4.54     1.53     8.36    36.33    13.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   20   36  +12       7.44    86.77    10.54    73.84     7.86    15.13     5.35    20.43    57.36    27.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        23   36   +6      -4.52    26.45    -7.77    76.37     7.23    19.55     7.77    29.77    71.93    44.51P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            22   34  +10       4.94    76.51    11.46    65.84     7.17     8.61     0.33     2.66    19.02     5.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        23   33   +3       2.62    64.62     5.11    63.50     7.13     1.02     0.10     1.15    11.14     3.07P    0.07R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         23   31   -7      -1.53    42.27    -8.26    63.39     7.31    -5.95     0.12     1.13    10.62     3.43P    0.09R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   30   -1       0.27    52.23     1.84    59.54     7.01    -4.11     0.01     0.26     3.84     0.97P    0.33R    0.05  
Exeter               22   30   -3       0.82    54.95    -1.11    61.86     7.35    -5.02     0.09     0.78     7.93     2.16P    0.19R    0.03  
Luton                23   29   +2      -4.58    26.68    -0.95    62.56     7.17     4.90     0.09     1.00     9.54     3.18P    0.10R    0.00  
Notts_County         22   29   -5      -3.54    31.50    -8.44    65.31     7.60     0.03     0.25     2.49    17.34     6.58P    0.09R    0.02  
Barnet               23   28   -5       0.62    54.20     2.08    55.08     7.16   -12.46     0.00     0.04     1.12     0.25P    2.03R    0.47  
Morecambe            21   27   -1      -1.21    43.68     0.36    60.96     7.64    -2.03     0.06     0.77     7.49     2.17P    0.33R    0.05  
Stevenage            23   26   -9      -5.31    23.15    -8.36    57.44     7.11    -9.42     0.00     0.10     2.15     0.62P    0.81R    0.14  
Newport_County       23   20  -11      -6.99    16.07    -3.91    47.05     6.92   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.99R    4.93  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.48    42.17    -3.78    45.11     7.01   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.65R    9.18  
York                 22   15  -20      -8.99     8.60   -10.33    40.96     7.01   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   46.95R   23.13  
Yeovil               23   13  -16     -14.86     1.32   -10.54    40.97     7.11   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.75R   21.25  
Dag_&_Red            23   13  -22     -11.78     3.48   -11.11    37.71     6.81   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.59R   40.70  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Aldershot 0 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       26   56  +33       3.30    66.88     6.45    96.40     6.04    53.27    79.63    99.82    87.39P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     25   49  +15       6.26    80.36     2.09    83.99     6.70    24.52     5.73    82.63    23.94P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        25   47  +11       6.92    82.18     2.26    80.63     6.65    18.46     2.41    67.40    14.52P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   27   46  +10       5.38    75.36     4.80    74.76     6.26    14.08     0.24    32.25     5.47P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          24   45  +26      -1.44    41.01     5.39    86.05     6.58    42.44    11.27    90.99    41.39P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     27   41  +10      -0.79    45.98     3.03    70.68     6.20    15.42     0.03    14.13     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     26   41   +8       3.86    69.27     5.92    68.39     6.40     7.55     0.01     8.46     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          24   40  +14       1.08    55.82     5.02    73.70     6.85    19.24     0.30    30.18     6.40P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           26   40  +12      -2.03    39.58     2.23    71.72     6.41    18.49     0.08    19.81     4.09P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   24   40   +9       4.91    75.77     5.62    73.24     6.70    13.61     0.18    25.44     4.92P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         26   38   +7      -6.75    18.55    -6.71    73.01     6.47    18.29     0.11    25.05     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        25   37   -9       3.98    70.94    -6.58    63.96     6.56   -12.18     0.01     2.19     0.29P    0.15R    0.00  
Bromley          25   34   +1       1.94    60.42     5.78    61.11     6.87    -2.71     0.00     1.24     0.17P    0.69R    0.06  
Chester          26   33   -5       2.57    64.11     3.74    59.05     6.34    -7.41     0.00     0.27     0.02P    1.14R    0.05  
Barrow           25   32  -15       6.87    83.14     0.91    54.08     6.52   -26.08     0.00     0.05     0.01P    8.01R    0.81  
Aldershot        26   31  -11      -0.95    45.44    -5.26    56.11     6.29   -14.63     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.30R    0.28  
Southport        25   30  -10       3.53    70.03     2.16    54.34     6.33   -16.82     0.00     0.04     0.00P    6.27R    0.63  
Guiseley         26   30  -14       2.58    64.63    -0.90    48.17     5.95   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.25R    4.99  
Altrincham       24   26  -16       2.18    63.73    -1.50    50.19     6.53   -25.31     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.18R    3.59  
Boreham_Wood     26   25   -6      -4.46    28.19     2.56    47.59     6.19   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.10R    5.86  
Welling          25   24  -10      -4.03    29.02    -0.82    46.96     6.20   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.81R    7.78  
Halifax          25   21  -22      -8.92    10.97   -13.88    44.37     6.43   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.74R   17.52  
Torquay          25   20  -21     -10.04     8.22   -13.69    46.84     6.54   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.20R    9.24  
Kidderminster    25   14  -17     -14.81     1.42    -8.62    38.75     6.38   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.16R   49.19