Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 26 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Aston_Villa 1 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 18 38 +12 12.33 97.73 10.62 66.01 6.39 12.20 5.40 17.39 37.81 56.52 81.05 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 18 36 +13 2.69 66.57 -0.09 74.27 6.16 30.17 36.50 71.45 86.48 93.52 98.54 0.00 0.00 Man_City 18 35 +17 -2.00 35.27 -3.73 75.58 6.12 38.39 50.17 78.89 90.55 95.79 99.22 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 18 32 +17 1.69 60.71 8.45 65.27 6.40 25.82 4.65 16.53 37.45 56.37 80.77 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 18 30 +7 6.65 86.85 8.76 56.36 6.22 5.57 0.17 1.03 3.83 9.07 26.74 0.04R 0.00 Man_Utd 18 29 +6 -1.97 36.72 -3.36 63.36 6.34 16.18 2.26 9.46 24.17 41.88 70.81 0.00R 0.00 Watford 18 29 +5 6.03 83.93 7.87 54.06 6.37 1.26 0.09 0.54 2.17 5.15 16.90 0.17R 0.00 Liverpool 18 27 -1 -0.01 49.85 -4.26 57.91 6.44 4.16 0.36 1.83 6.20 13.70 35.47 0.05R 0.00 Everton 18 26 +8 -2.02 37.04 3.04 57.19 6.39 13.57 0.26 1.69 5.79 12.84 34.32 0.03R 0.00 West_Ham 18 26 +4 1.83 62.59 4.91 53.01 6.34 3.44 0.03 0.32 1.43 3.74 13.68 0.32R 0.01 Stoke 18 26 +0 2.14 64.48 0.84 52.10 6.15 -1.60 0.03 0.15 0.77 2.36 9.81 0.39R 0.00 Southampton 18 24 +4 -3.99 25.37 -0.85 54.42 6.35 8.44 0.05 0.55 2.28 5.82 19.69 0.20R 0.00 West_Brom 18 20 -7 -0.22 49.77 -0.65 43.27 6.06 -13.48 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.48 10.25R 0.45 Bournemouth 18 20 -10 1.03 58.01 0.03 39.97 6.20 -23.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.16 24.70R 2.07 Chelsea 18 19 -6 -12.18 1.97 -15.84 52.28 6.43 2.77 0.02 0.18 1.05 3.12 11.90 0.50R 0.01 Swansea 18 18 -8 -3.99 25.52 -3.92 41.93 6.15 -13.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.32 13.94R 0.86 Norwich 18 17 -12 -1.33 42.20 -1.31 38.92 6.26 -20.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 29.89R 3.51 Newcastle 18 17 -14 -0.87 45.46 -2.52 36.72 5.97 -26.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 45.27R 5.78 Sunderland 18 12 -18 -4.67 20.02 -4.77 30.69 5.85 -31.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.19R 26.81 Aston_Villa 18 8 -17 -7.93 6.19 -3.24 26.41 5.74 -31.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.07R 60.50Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Brentford 0 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 23 47 +22 5.21 77.56 6.51 88.34 6.74 36.58 38.32 68.86 99.13 79.13P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 22 46 +21 6.75 85.08 7.66 88.59 6.88 34.67 39.04 69.02 99.15 79.35P 0.00 0.00 Hull 23 44 +18 3.23 67.56 4.67 84.43 6.83 30.94 17.81 42.74 96.72 61.80P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 23 44 +8 10.99 94.64 5.42 77.56 6.80 11.45 2.91 10.40 78.87 23.86P 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 23 38 +7 1.71 59.61 -0.16 74.57 6.94 14.54 1.33 5.39 65.44 21.09P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 23 37 +3 2.86 65.85 -0.99 70.84 6.93 6.56 0.32 1.82 42.81 10.38P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 23 36 +8 3.84 71.14 6.70 67.87 6.79 8.81 0.10 0.62 28.06 5.77P 0.04R 0.00 Cardiff 23 33 +3 1.08 56.53 1.97 65.26 6.89 4.31 0.04 0.27 16.69 3.54P 0.12R 0.00 Brentford 23 33 +2 -0.66 46.39 -1.16 66.22 6.93 4.60 0.06 0.38 20.69 4.32P 0.11R 0.00 Birmingham 23 33 +1 3.18 68.34 3.16 63.06 6.78 -0.82 0.01 0.12 9.66 1.68P 0.32R 0.01 Reading 23 30 +2 -0.40 48.24 3.36 60.91 6.87 1.42 0.00 0.05 6.18 1.15P 0.82R 0.04 QPR 23 29 -2 -4.11 28.28 -4.31 62.64 7.09 1.49 0.02 0.11 9.84 2.41P 0.59R 0.02 Leeds_United 22 29 -2 1.70 60.68 1.69 58.98 6.88 -5.57 0.00 0.02 3.47 0.59P 1.72R 0.10 Blackburn 22 28 +3 -3.80 29.05 0.27 61.82 6.97 4.78 0.01 0.07 8.34 1.84P 0.61R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 22 28 +1 -2.36 36.73 0.33 61.49 7.03 2.08 0.01 0.10 7.68 1.59P 0.81R 0.04 Wolverhampton 23 28 -3 -4.97 24.14 -5.25 60.75 6.83 -0.96 0.01 0.04 5.71 1.24P 0.89R 0.06 Preston 23 25 -3 -3.90 28.76 -0.19 54.33 6.75 -5.25 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.12P 6.64R 0.73 Fulham 23 24 -5 -4.78 25.30 0.08 53.02 6.96 -9.42 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.10P 10.32R 1.44 Huddersfield 23 24 -8 -2.64 35.73 -0.48 50.30 6.72 -15.87 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 19.03R 2.94 MK_Dons 23 22 -11 -5.35 22.32 -5.03 49.05 6.82 -17.40 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 24.96R 4.57 Rotherham 23 21 -10 -3.40 31.17 1.03 44.87 6.55 -21.76 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 48.72R 12.89 Bristol_City 23 21 -17 -4.64 25.79 -7.91 46.06 6.77 -27.05 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 43.29R 11.09 Charlton 23 19 -19 -5.17 21.87 -8.39 43.28 6.53 -29.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 60.10R 19.96 Bolton 23 14 -19 -10.62 4.58 -9.00 38.82 6.52 -28.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.89R 46.08League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Colchester 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 22 45 +19 9.21 91.19 10.70 84.20 7.17 28.37 35.35 55.99 92.89 65.79P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 22 45 +11 13.27 97.16 8.51 79.42 7.30 13.38 13.01 27.80 77.08 37.37P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 23 44 +16 8.11 86.87 9.48 80.27 7.20 23.42 16.69 34.28 82.21 45.11P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 23 43 +17 6.60 82.10 9.68 79.16 7.11 23.96 13.18 28.54 78.88 40.70P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 23 37 +15 -0.98 44.47 4.89 74.65 7.14 24.38 4.67 12.25 58.06 24.98P 0.03R 0.00 Wigan 22 37 +11 -1.57 40.82 -1.34 78.78 7.28 23.93 12.79 27.49 77.09 44.90P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 22 37 +8 6.63 82.48 7.46 70.07 7.31 8.52 1.33 3.93 30.41 9.53P 0.21R 0.00 Bradford 21 34 +3 4.46 74.67 1.65 69.26 7.29 4.79 1.02 2.98 26.20 7.97P 0.35R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 22 33 +4 -1.82 39.88 -2.99 70.16 7.28 10.45 1.28 4.14 31.39 11.61P 0.22R 0.01 Bury 22 33 -1 5.60 78.70 3.56 63.12 7.38 -5.47 0.14 0.49 7.63 1.74P 3.45R 0.10 Millwall 22 31 -1 -0.67 46.50 -3.29 65.21 7.46 0.88 0.23 0.87 12.61 3.71P 1.97R 0.07 Rochdale 22 30 +2 -0.89 45.28 0.96 64.48 7.31 4.23 0.19 0.73 10.99 2.97P 1.89R 0.07 Port_Vale 23 30 +0 -0.08 50.24 2.14 60.41 6.96 -1.64 0.03 0.13 3.33 0.79P 5.54R 0.25 Scunthorpe 23 30 -3 0.87 55.56 0.76 59.55 7.02 -6.09 0.02 0.08 2.64 0.57P 7.55R 0.37 Swindon 23 28 -5 -6.10 19.98 -8.86 61.68 7.10 -1.96 0.05 0.21 5.03 1.46P 4.24R 0.18 Doncaster 23 28 -6 -2.43 36.96 -4.42 58.05 7.06 -8.08 0.00 0.03 1.59 0.35P 11.06R 0.71 Blackpool 22 25 -9 -1.96 39.74 -4.63 54.79 7.21 -13.20 0.00 0.02 0.66 0.15P 23.41R 2.20 Fleetwood_Town 22 23 -2 -5.05 23.40 1.13 53.64 7.15 -5.20 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.10P 25.90R 2.98 Shrewsbury 23 23 -6 -6.52 17.94 -3.15 52.12 7.03 -9.47 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 34.07R 4.32 Chesterfield 23 23 -14 -6.20 19.04 -10.39 52.49 6.96 -17.24 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 34.15R 4.09 Barnsley 22 21 -10 -7.88 12.75 -7.80 52.85 7.32 -11.84 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.07P 31.48R 4.04 Oldham 21 20 -10 -4.37 25.71 -3.27 49.70 7.26 -16.86 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 48.87R 9.04 Crewe 22 20 -15 -2.01 39.07 -2.19 43.82 6.76 -29.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 80.71R 31.21 Colchester 23 20 -24 -3.18 33.21 -8.61 42.78 6.75 -39.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.89R 40.36League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 23 46 +15 8.45 88.30 6.18 83.36 7.00 23.53 30.94 65.98 93.76 73.45P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 23 44 +17 7.00 83.59 8.96 80.85 7.09 24.80 20.15 53.55 88.45 62.68P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 22 43 +10 10.08 92.12 5.94 79.61 7.46 15.43 15.59 44.29 82.32 52.44P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 23 40 +19 2.55 63.78 10.07 77.63 7.14 28.11 10.94 36.97 78.62 48.83P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 37 +8 4.08 71.19 5.78 70.05 7.15 10.37 1.32 7.88 37.39 14.71P 0.00R 0.00 Wycombe 22 37 +8 2.25 62.64 1.17 74.87 7.28 15.30 5.34 22.37 63.58 33.62P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 22 37 +5 6.53 82.32 5.07 70.04 7.46 4.54 1.53 8.36 36.33 13.61P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 20 36 +12 7.44 86.77 10.54 73.84 7.86 15.13 5.35 20.43 57.36 27.93P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 23 36 +6 -4.52 26.45 -7.77 76.37 7.23 19.55 7.77 29.77 71.93 44.51P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 22 34 +10 4.94 76.51 11.46 65.84 7.17 8.61 0.33 2.66 19.02 5.78P 0.02R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 23 33 +3 2.62 64.62 5.11 63.50 7.13 1.02 0.10 1.15 11.14 3.07P 0.07R 0.01 Crawley_Town 23 31 -7 -1.53 42.27 -8.26 63.39 7.31 -5.95 0.12 1.13 10.62 3.43P 0.09R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 23 30 -1 0.27 52.23 1.84 59.54 7.01 -4.11 0.01 0.26 3.84 0.97P 0.33R 0.05 Exeter 22 30 -3 0.82 54.95 -1.11 61.86 7.35 -5.02 0.09 0.78 7.93 2.16P 0.19R 0.03 Luton 23 29 +2 -4.58 26.68 -0.95 62.56 7.17 4.90 0.09 1.00 9.54 3.18P 0.10R 0.00 Notts_County 22 29 -5 -3.54 31.50 -8.44 65.31 7.60 0.03 0.25 2.49 17.34 6.58P 0.09R 0.02 Barnet 23 28 -5 0.62 54.20 2.08 55.08 7.16 -12.46 0.00 0.04 1.12 0.25P 2.03R 0.47 Morecambe 21 27 -1 -1.21 43.68 0.36 60.96 7.64 -2.03 0.06 0.77 7.49 2.17P 0.33R 0.05 Stevenage 23 26 -9 -5.31 23.15 -8.36 57.44 7.11 -9.42 0.00 0.10 2.15 0.62P 0.81R 0.14 Newport_County 23 20 -11 -6.99 16.07 -3.91 47.05 6.92 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 14.99R 4.93 Hartlepool 21 20 -15 -1.48 42.17 -3.78 45.11 7.01 -29.33 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 24.65R 9.18 York 22 15 -20 -8.99 8.60 -10.33 40.96 7.01 -30.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 46.95R 23.13 Yeovil 23 13 -16 -14.86 1.32 -10.54 40.97 7.11 -21.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.75R 21.25 Dag_&_Red 23 13 -22 -11.78 3.48 -11.11 37.71 6.81 -32.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.59R 40.70National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 December 2015, Aldershot 0 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 26 56 +33 3.30 66.88 6.45 96.40 6.04 53.27 79.63 99.82 87.39P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 25 49 +15 6.26 80.36 2.09 83.99 6.70 24.52 5.73 82.63 23.94P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 25 47 +11 6.92 82.18 2.26 80.63 6.65 18.46 2.41 67.40 14.52P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 27 46 +10 5.38 75.36 4.80 74.76 6.26 14.08 0.24 32.25 5.47P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 45 +26 -1.44 41.01 5.39 86.05 6.58 42.44 11.27 90.99 41.39P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 27 41 +10 -0.79 45.98 3.03 70.68 6.20 15.42 0.03 14.13 2.89P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 26 41 +8 3.86 69.27 5.92 68.39 6.40 7.55 0.01 8.46 1.31P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 24 40 +14 1.08 55.82 5.02 73.70 6.85 19.24 0.30 30.18 6.40P 0.00 0.00 Woking 26 40 +12 -2.03 39.58 2.23 71.72 6.41 18.49 0.08 19.81 4.09P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 24 40 +9 4.91 75.77 5.62 73.24 6.70 13.61 0.18 25.44 4.92P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 26 38 +7 -6.75 18.55 -6.71 73.01 6.47 18.29 0.11 25.05 7.16P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 25 37 -9 3.98 70.94 -6.58 63.96 6.56 -12.18 0.01 2.19 0.29P 0.15R 0.00 Bromley 25 34 +1 1.94 60.42 5.78 61.11 6.87 -2.71 0.00 1.24 0.17P 0.69R 0.06 Chester 26 33 -5 2.57 64.11 3.74 59.05 6.34 -7.41 0.00 0.27 0.02P 1.14R 0.05 Barrow 25 32 -15 6.87 83.14 0.91 54.08 6.52 -26.08 0.00 0.05 0.01P 8.01R 0.81 Aldershot 26 31 -11 -0.95 45.44 -5.26 56.11 6.29 -14.63 0.00 0.06 0.01P 3.30R 0.28 Southport 25 30 -10 3.53 70.03 2.16 54.34 6.33 -16.82 0.00 0.04 0.00P 6.27R 0.63 Guiseley 26 30 -14 2.58 64.63 -0.90 48.17 5.95 -28.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.25R 4.99 Altrincham 24 26 -16 2.18 63.73 -1.50 50.19 6.53 -25.31 0.00 0.01 0.00 20.18R 3.59 Boreham_Wood 26 25 -6 -4.46 28.19 2.56 47.59 6.19 -12.87 0.00 0.00 0.00P 29.10R 5.86 Welling 25 24 -10 -4.03 29.02 -0.82 46.96 6.20 -18.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.81R 7.78 Halifax 25 21 -22 -8.92 10.97 -13.88 44.37 6.43 -32.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.74R 17.52 Torquay 25 20 -21 -10.04 8.22 -13.69 46.84 6.54 -24.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.20R 9.24 Kidderminster 25 14 -17 -14.81 1.42 -8.62 38.75 6.38 -23.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.16R 49.19