Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 December 2015, Arsenal 2 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        17   38  +13      13.28    98.72    10.96    67.17     6.70    12.82     6.07    19.48    41.81    61.37    84.76     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          17   36  +17       3.19    70.34     2.54    77.08     6.32    36.42    51.24    80.99    92.02    96.75    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   32  +14      -2.21    33.80    -3.98    74.95     6.31    37.12    36.17    71.48    86.73    93.93    98.78     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   29  +14       1.20    57.82     7.26    63.95     6.61    23.30     2.58    10.18    26.53    45.57    75.06     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          17   29   +8      -0.91    43.49    -1.81    65.51     6.49    19.35     3.26    13.29    33.85    54.27    81.16     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   17   29   +7       7.07    88.89     8.94    56.98     6.56     5.92     0.19     1.21     4.56    10.72    32.13     0.08R    0.00  
Watford          17   28   +5       6.12    84.64     7.40    53.61     6.63     0.04     0.05     0.37     1.82     4.80    16.95     0.29R    0.01  
West_Ham         17   25   +4       2.33    66.24     5.09    53.87     6.57     4.12     0.04     0.42     1.80     4.74    17.81     0.33R    0.01  
Liverpool        17   24   -2      -1.37    41.05    -4.90    56.47     6.70     3.44     0.14     1.03     4.25    10.03    29.45     0.14R    0.01  
Everton          17   23   +7      -3.12    30.36     2.83    56.01     6.65    13.23     0.19     1.03     3.90     9.73    29.55     0.17R    0.00  
Stoke            17   23   -2       0.88    56.72    -0.58    49.53     6.40    -4.88     0.00     0.06     0.33     1.13     5.58     1.60R    0.04  
Southampton      17   21   +0      -4.75    21.05    -3.55    51.35     6.58     2.29     0.02     0.17     0.80     2.36    10.21     0.89R    0.02  
West_Brom        17   20   -6       0.94    57.53     0.19    44.53     6.29   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.13     0.98     8.58R    0.41  
Bournemouth      17   19  -10       1.35    60.51     0.07    40.00     6.40   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.21    27.17R    2.56  
Chelsea          17   18   -6     -11.53     2.32   -15.41    53.59     6.58     4.17     0.04     0.30     1.53     4.39    17.29     0.46R    0.00  
Norwich          17   17   -9      -1.13    43.38    -0.39    40.14     6.49   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.27    25.35R    2.61  
Newcastle        17   17  -13      -0.02    51.34    -2.32    37.87     6.19   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    39.78R    4.37  
Swansea          17   15   -9      -5.27    17.93    -4.41    40.39     6.39   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    22.28R    2.00  
Sunderland       17   12  -15      -4.52    20.77    -4.29    31.15     5.97   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.73R   25.66  
Aston_Villa      17    7  -17      -7.87     5.52    -3.64    26.39     6.00   -31.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.15R   62.30  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 December 2015, Leeds_United 1 0 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   22   46  +21       6.84    85.25     7.83    88.48     6.91    34.52    42.50    71.46    98.97    80.57P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           22   44  +20       4.65    75.41     6.23    87.34     7.02    35.68    36.27    66.03    98.25    76.60P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        22   43   +8      11.09    95.03     5.07    77.90     6.99    11.38     4.09    13.31    78.21    25.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            22   41  +15       2.58    64.18     3.19    82.27     7.03    27.15    13.01    33.59    92.70    53.63P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         22   38  +10       1.98    61.27     1.39    76.45     7.20    18.23     3.28    11.11    73.44    28.41P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         22   34   +2       1.72    59.99    -1.32    69.16     7.13     5.50     0.34     1.48    32.88     7.99P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   33   +5       3.04    67.67     4.85    65.72     7.00     5.14     0.08     0.50    18.01     3.75P    0.08R    0.00  
Birmingham      22   33   +4       3.48    70.05     4.59    65.04     7.11     3.06     0.07     0.38    15.72     2.96P    0.14R    0.00  
Cardiff         22   33   +4       2.26    63.43     2.72    66.82     7.10     5.64     0.10     0.67    22.43     4.96P    0.09R    0.00  
Brentford       22   32   +2      -0.02    49.92    -0.74    66.67     7.23     4.74     0.14     0.75    22.34     5.12P    0.11R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +3       0.58    53.86     3.81    62.13     7.03     2.17     0.01     0.12     8.44     1.64P    0.49R    0.03  
QPR             22   29   -1      -3.11    32.94    -3.91    63.96     7.36     2.40     0.06     0.29    13.68     3.25P    0.35R    0.03  
Leeds_United    22   29   -2       1.59    60.01     1.46    59.09     6.93    -5.39     0.01     0.04     3.34     0.53P    1.53R    0.09  
Blackburn       22   28   +3      -3.90    28.62     0.12    61.89     7.01     4.91     0.01     0.12     7.98     1.91P    0.56R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   22   28   +1      -2.32    37.14     0.40    61.40     7.05     1.96     0.01     0.11     7.09     1.54P    0.61R    0.03  
Preston         22   25   -1      -3.18    32.35     0.85    56.27     6.97    -2.34     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.34P    3.63R    0.38  
Wolverhampton   22   25   -4      -6.08    18.90    -5.47    58.98     7.12    -2.19     0.00     0.04     3.85     0.87P    1.85R    0.15  
Fulham          22   24   -3      -4.33    26.98     0.40    53.87     7.15    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.15P    7.94R    1.06  
Huddersfield    22   21  -10      -3.55    30.11    -1.45    48.06     6.87   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P   27.80R    6.05  
Bristol_City    22   20  -17      -3.97    28.65    -7.50    46.79     7.04   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   36.57R    9.87  
MK_Dons         22   19  -12      -6.68    15.80    -5.62    47.01     7.04   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   33.40R    8.34  
Rotherham       22   18  -14      -3.91    27.79    -1.37    42.32     6.67   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.81R   24.22  
Charlton        22   18  -19      -4.96    22.36    -8.64    43.33     6.71   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   57.08R   20.53  
Bolton          22   14  -15     -10.38     4.93    -6.90    41.19     6.79   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.92R   29.16  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 December 2015, Walsall 2 0 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    22   45  +11      13.25    97.18     8.46    79.40     7.38    13.35    16.54    32.59    78.35    41.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          21   42  +18       7.98    88.29    10.26    82.28     7.43    26.94    30.90    50.78    88.88    60.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       22   41  +14       6.99    83.99     8.23    77.99     7.42    20.29    13.48    27.69    74.09    38.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         22   40  +16       5.48    78.54     9.42    77.69     7.28    23.23    12.50    26.57    74.09    38.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Wigan            22   37  +11      -1.65    40.16    -1.49    78.87     7.25    24.11    15.90    32.24    79.03    48.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   34  +13      -1.99    38.80     3.88    73.31     7.39    22.89     4.71    11.92    53.03    23.35P    0.09R    0.00  
Southend         21   34   +6       5.70    79.78     6.55    68.07     7.55     5.94     1.08     3.27    24.59     7.82P    0.75R    0.02  
Bradford         21   34   +3       4.46    74.84     1.66    69.37     7.32     4.95     1.36     3.99    28.59     9.29P    0.41R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        22   33   +4      -1.69    40.60    -2.77    70.03     7.28    10.24     1.80     5.01    32.96    12.56P    0.25R    0.00  
Bury             22   33   -1       5.65    79.05     3.67    63.01     7.37    -5.73     0.19     0.67     8.31     1.99P    3.83R    0.14  
Millwall         21   31   +0       0.29    51.87    -2.89    66.99     7.71     2.44     0.88     2.67    20.47     7.18P    1.34R    0.05  
Rochdale         22   30   +2      -0.95    44.84     0.90    64.56     7.34     4.31     0.28     1.03    12.36     3.62P    2.18R    0.09  
Port_Vale        22   30   +1       0.69    54.54     2.24    61.59     7.17    -0.98     0.11     0.37     5.90     1.54P    4.89R    0.23  
Swindon          22   28   -3      -5.27    22.97    -7.73    63.97     7.38     1.45     0.22     0.92    10.87     3.57P    2.86R    0.14  
Doncaster        22   28   -5      -1.42    42.24    -3.89    60.19     7.27    -5.98     0.03     0.15     3.94     1.02P    7.78R    0.41  
Scunthorpe       22   27   -4      -0.60    47.06     0.11    57.27     7.20    -8.22     0.01     0.05     1.69     0.36P   14.94R    1.13  
Blackpool        22   25   -9      -1.81    40.53    -4.40    54.60     7.17   -13.49     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.14P   25.59R    2.89  
Chesterfield     22   23  -12      -5.85    19.93    -9.93    53.99     7.21   -15.28     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.14P   28.48R    3.52  
Fleetwood_Town   21   22   -2      -4.65    24.89     1.18    53.72     7.35    -5.71     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.15P   28.32R    3.58  
Shrewsbury       22   22   -6      -6.21    18.84    -3.13    52.86     7.36    -9.01     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.11P   32.84R    4.64  
Barnsley         22   21  -10      -7.73    13.30    -7.49    52.79     7.29   -11.98     0.01     0.01     0.39     0.10P   33.43R    4.87  
Oldham           21   20  -10      -4.31    26.32    -3.12    49.61     7.21   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P   51.11R   10.13  
Crewe            22   20  -15      -1.98    39.11    -2.11    43.84     6.74   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   81.68R   34.84  
Colchester       22   20  -22      -2.48    36.70    -7.62    44.45     7.08   -37.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   79.18R   33.32  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 December 2015, Barnet 4 2 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             22   43  +14       7.27    85.26     5.80    82.22     7.18    23.15    28.36    62.62    91.86    70.67P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          22   43  +10       9.85    91.57     5.62    79.83     7.48    15.88    18.32    48.37    84.02    56.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           22   41  +14       6.52    82.65     7.60    78.62     7.24    20.93    14.54    43.46    81.82    53.24P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           22   40  +20       3.68    70.00    10.73    78.89     7.35    28.93    16.97    47.26    83.33    57.35P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             22   37   +5       6.42    81.31     4.93    70.10     7.49     4.63     1.87     9.69    38.28    15.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   20   36  +12       7.56    86.86    10.71    73.80     7.87    15.04     5.98    22.08    58.79    29.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       22   36   +8       4.50    73.67     5.88    70.55     7.40    10.51     2.12    10.68    41.72    18.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield            22   34  +10       4.85    76.05    11.29    65.95     7.19     8.76     0.41     3.33    20.66     6.73P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              21   34   +6       1.09    56.28    -0.07    72.68     7.51    12.50     3.78    16.90    53.26    26.67P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        22   33   +5      -5.69    21.28    -7.98    74.59     7.49    18.24     6.39    24.99    64.57    39.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        22   30   +0       1.95    61.42     3.61    61.18     7.30    -3.07     0.08     0.72     7.23     2.00P    0.38R    0.08  
Exeter               21   30   +0       1.29    57.90     0.43    63.73     7.56    -1.15     0.26     2.02    13.87     4.61P    0.14R    0.02  
Luton                22   29   +4      -3.83    29.98     0.08    64.47     7.38     7.77     0.28     2.43    16.53     6.00P    0.08R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   29   -1       0.52    53.59     1.71    59.86     7.25    -4.22     0.05     0.47     5.07     1.42P    0.55R    0.10  
Notts_County         22   29   -5      -3.47    32.08    -8.38    65.21     7.56    -0.15     0.42     2.82    18.13     6.78P    0.10R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         22   28   -8      -2.72    35.64    -8.55    61.48     7.54    -7.39     0.08     0.87     7.97     2.60P    0.37R    0.07  
Morecambe            21   27   -1      -1.24    43.58     0.29    60.92     7.62    -2.09     0.08     0.94     7.89     2.48P    0.46R    0.09  
Stevenage            22   26   -8      -4.19    28.01    -7.78    58.97     7.37    -8.19     0.02     0.31     4.14     1.22P    0.83R    0.21  
Barnet               22   25   -7      -0.33    49.10     1.16    52.97     7.35   -15.28     0.00     0.04     0.71     0.16P    5.14R    1.41  
Newport_County       22   20   -9      -6.23    18.21    -2.90    49.03     7.14   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P   12.10R    4.02  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.50    42.00    -3.82    45.15     6.99   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   28.30R   11.39  
York                 22   15  -20      -9.23     8.01   -10.70    41.14     7.06   -30.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.45R   26.86  
Yeovil               22   13  -15     -14.02     1.77   -10.19    41.93     7.21   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   42.87R   21.40  
Dag_&_Red            22   13  -19     -11.24     4.05    -9.47    39.61     7.07   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.20R   34.31  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 December 2015, Aldershot 1 0 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       25   53  +32       2.48    62.74     6.69    95.44     6.28    53.26    71.14    99.52    81.97P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     24   49  +18       7.00    83.67     4.07    86.68     6.87    29.54    11.95    88.56    31.11P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        24   46  +11       7.26    84.03     2.10    81.43     6.88    19.17     3.32    67.52    15.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          24   45  +26      -1.45    41.08     5.40    86.01     6.59    42.47    11.92    89.07    39.98P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   26   43   +9       4.04    70.31     4.25    73.36     6.45    13.40     0.16    22.11     3.85P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     26   41  +11       0.22    51.23     3.46    72.28     6.37    16.83     0.06    18.11     3.67P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     25   41   +9       5.12    75.48     6.74    70.76     6.64    10.09     0.07    13.13     2.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.43    63.35     5.94    76.11     6.99    21.84     0.80    39.30     8.73P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       6.03    80.54     6.28    75.14     6.90    15.37     0.46    31.89     6.13P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           25   37  +11      -3.21    33.39     1.87    70.05     6.63    17.42     0.06    12.12     2.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        25   37   -9       3.91    70.30    -6.67    63.88     6.53   -12.29     0.00     1.69     0.28P    0.08R    0.00  
Tranmere         25   35   +6      -8.14    13.31    -7.37    71.22     6.68    17.04     0.04    15.47     4.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          24   33   +1       2.43    63.19     5.87    61.04     7.08    -3.51     0.00     1.17     0.16P    0.66R    0.05  
Chester          26   33   -5       2.70    65.34     3.93    58.91     6.31    -7.64     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.77R    0.03  
Barrow           25   32  -15       6.71    82.70     0.55    54.32     6.55   -25.72     0.00     0.04     0.00P    5.66R    0.58  
Aldershot        25   31  -10      -0.04    50.65    -4.91    57.56     6.51   -13.59     0.00     0.14     0.01P    1.65R    0.12  
Guiseley         26   30  -14       2.61    64.74    -0.82    48.09     5.91   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.25R    3.60  
Southport        24   27  -11       1.90    61.96     1.32    51.68     6.53   -19.53     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.01R    1.54  
Altrincham       24   26  -16       2.17    63.72    -1.52    50.24     6.51   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.00R    2.44  
Welling          24   24   -9      -3.07    33.52    -0.41    48.34     6.43   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.88R    4.21  
Boreham_Wood     25   22   -7      -5.75    21.84     2.31    45.32     6.36   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.31R    9.40  
Halifax          24   18  -23     -10.56     6.64   -14.70    41.74     6.62   -34.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.47R   26.39  
Torquay          24   17  -24     -10.98     5.60   -15.65    43.99     6.66   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.89R   15.86  
Kidderminster    24   14  -16     -14.18     1.60    -8.73    39.63     6.50   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.35R   35.76