Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 December 2015, Swansea 0 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        17   38  +13      13.20    98.71    10.91    67.18     6.68    12.88     5.92    19.93    42.08    61.74    84.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          16   33  +16       1.87    62.16     1.96    75.24     6.56    35.00    38.19    72.25    87.08    93.98    98.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +15      -1.14    40.41    -3.48    76.59     6.51    38.62    49.54    78.63    90.49    95.72    99.12     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   29  +14       1.30    58.52     7.43    63.79     6.64    23.07     2.38    10.39    26.47    45.13    74.21     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          17   29   +8      -0.95    43.01    -1.86    65.53     6.49    19.42     3.31    14.00    34.24    54.42    81.42     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   17   29   +7       7.13    89.14     8.99    57.00     6.52     5.92     0.21     1.26     4.63    10.78    31.81     0.07R    0.00  
Watford          17   28   +5       6.15    85.06     7.45    53.58     6.60    -0.05     0.05     0.45     1.82     4.78    16.77     0.37R    0.00  
West_Ham         17   25   +4       2.43    66.72     5.21    53.77     6.61     4.00     0.05     0.43     1.86     5.06    17.89     0.38R    0.01  
Liverpool        17   24   -2      -1.38    40.87    -4.96    56.60     6.71     3.64     0.20     1.17     4.58    10.63    30.50     0.16R    0.00  
Everton          17   23   +7      -3.17    29.91     2.78    55.94     6.66    13.16     0.12     0.95     3.88     9.63    29.63     0.18R    0.00  
Stoke            17   23   -2       0.80    56.00    -0.69    49.60     6.40    -4.81     0.01     0.07     0.39     1.17     5.82     1.53R    0.04  
Southampton      17   21   +0      -4.73    21.02    -3.49    51.29     6.58     2.22     0.01     0.18     0.82     2.30    10.15     1.02R    0.03  
West_Brom        17   20   -6       0.94    57.74     0.20    44.49     6.31   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.06     8.92R    0.42  
Bournemouth      17   19  -10       1.26    60.05    -0.08    40.09     6.41   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.21    26.71R    2.41  
Chelsea          17   18   -6     -11.42     2.46   -15.22    53.55     6.60     4.12     0.02     0.28     1.59     4.44    17.22     0.48R    0.01  
Norwich          17   17   -9      -1.22    42.73    -0.50    40.21     6.50   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.27    24.86R    2.81  
Newcastle        17   17  -13       0.02    51.65    -2.26    37.90     6.17   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    39.48R    4.49  
Swansea          17   15   -9      -5.34    17.80    -4.51    40.43     6.45   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.25    22.57R    1.96  
Sunderland       17   12  -15      -4.45    21.11    -4.21    31.08     5.96   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.17R   25.41  
Aston_Villa      17    7  -17      -7.88     5.28    -3.67    26.39     6.01   -31.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.11R   62.40  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 December 2015, Leeds_United 1 0 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   22   46  +21       6.91    85.38     7.92    88.51     6.97    34.54    42.93    71.53    98.92    80.58P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           22   44  +20       4.56    75.00     6.13    87.38     6.99    35.71    36.36    66.21    98.34    76.96P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        22   43   +8      11.25    95.44     5.29    77.65     7.01    11.05     3.85    12.80    77.12    25.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            22   41  +15       2.61    64.47     3.19    82.24     7.05    27.09    12.85    33.68    92.51    53.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         22   38  +10       1.85    60.66     1.25    76.54     7.16    18.37     3.25    11.32    73.79    29.18P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         22   34   +2       1.77    60.54    -1.22    69.08     7.11     5.38     0.27     1.33    32.46     7.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   33   +5       3.00    67.69     4.77    65.84     7.02     5.32     0.09     0.46    18.59     3.67P    0.10R    0.00  
Birmingham      22   33   +4       3.59    70.80     4.75    64.90     7.07     2.91     0.05     0.37    15.27     2.93P    0.12R    0.00  
Cardiff         22   33   +4       2.31    63.72     2.75    66.88     7.09     5.70     0.11     0.73    22.62     5.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       22   32   +2      -0.24    48.72    -1.09    66.88     7.20     5.08     0.15     0.86    23.24     5.51P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +3       0.56    54.12     3.73    62.11     7.10     2.14     0.01     0.16     8.55     1.66P    0.48R    0.04  
QPR             22   29   -1      -3.16    32.85    -3.92    64.00     7.35     2.42     0.05     0.27    13.76     3.42P    0.32R    0.02  
Leeds_United    22   29   -2       1.60    60.05     1.50    59.05     6.90    -5.44     0.00     0.03     3.31     0.55P    1.49R    0.10  
Blackburn       22   28   +3      -3.85    28.69     0.18    61.92     6.97     4.91     0.01     0.12     7.92     1.86P    0.47R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest   22   28   +1      -2.29    37.27     0.43    61.40     7.09     1.98     0.01     0.09     7.08     1.44P    0.70R    0.03  
Preston         22   25   -1      -3.21    32.10     0.86    56.24     7.01    -2.41     0.00     0.01     1.54     0.29P    3.76R    0.36  
Wolverhampton   22   25   -4      -6.16    18.73    -5.61    59.14     7.15    -1.99     0.00     0.03     4.04     0.89P    1.72R    0.14  
Fulham          22   24   -3      -4.23    27.53     0.57    53.76     7.15    -8.66     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.14P    8.21R    1.15  
Huddersfield    22   21  -10      -3.70    29.59    -1.67    48.09     6.87   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.45R    5.94  
Bristol_City    22   20  -17      -3.95    28.68    -7.52    46.79     7.05   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   36.86R    9.75  
MK_Dons         22   19  -12      -6.53    16.52    -5.39    46.84     7.03   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   33.99R    8.67  
Rotherham       22   18  -14      -3.87    27.94    -1.32    42.24     6.69   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.88R   24.78  
Charlton        22   18  -19      -4.98    22.11    -8.67    43.33     6.75   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.71R   20.28  
Bolton          22   14  -15     -10.44     4.67    -6.93    41.29     6.83   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.58R   28.71  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 December 2015, Walsall 2 0 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    22   45  +11      13.19    97.02     8.36    79.45     7.35    13.44    16.84    32.63    78.44    41.59P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          21   42  +18       7.99    88.36    10.30    82.25     7.40    26.90    30.54    50.71    88.99    60.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       22   41  +14       6.88    83.36     8.08    78.03     7.37    20.41    13.22    27.69    74.59    38.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         22   40  +16       5.43    78.05     9.36    77.83     7.36    23.42    13.36    27.49    74.59    38.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Wigan            22   37  +11      -1.64    40.17    -1.46    78.86     7.24    24.04    15.86    31.93    79.07    48.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   34  +13      -1.80    39.90     4.15    73.15     7.38    22.63     4.57    11.79    52.10    23.04P    0.09R    0.00  
Southend         21   34   +6       5.72    80.12     6.60    68.06     7.55     5.94     1.12     3.26    24.41     7.62P    0.77R    0.01  
Bradford         21   34   +3       4.61    75.65     1.82    69.27     7.30     4.78     1.21     3.93    28.56     9.21P    0.40R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        22   33   +4      -1.84    39.77    -2.99    70.13     7.25    10.36     1.64     5.04    34.06    13.01P    0.29R    0.00  
Bury             22   33   -1       5.70    79.17     3.75    62.94     7.39    -5.81     0.18     0.61     8.27     2.00P    4.08R    0.18  
Millwall         21   31   +0       0.40    52.55    -2.69    66.77     7.71     2.16     0.84     2.46    19.65     6.60P    1.48R    0.04  
Rochdale         22   30   +2      -0.87    45.48     0.98    64.56     7.26     4.31     0.25     0.99    12.26     3.50P    2.17R    0.07  
Port_Vale        22   30   +1       0.67    54.38     2.23    61.63     7.20    -0.95     0.09     0.36     6.02     1.64P    4.99R    0.27  
Swindon          22   28   -3      -5.29    22.95    -7.70    63.89     7.37     1.33     0.23     0.84    10.72     3.46P    3.00R    0.11  
Doncaster        22   28   -5      -1.30    42.88    -3.71    60.06     7.23    -6.25     0.04     0.16     3.62     0.87P    8.12R    0.47  
Scunthorpe       22   27   -4      -0.67    47.07     0.08    57.29     7.16    -8.14     0.01     0.06     1.63     0.38P   14.72R    1.05  
Blackpool        22   25   -9      -2.06    38.89    -4.74    54.89     7.22   -13.13     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.20P   24.59R    2.76  
Chesterfield     22   23  -12      -5.84    20.31    -9.91    53.93     7.21   -15.34     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.12P   28.80R    3.46  
Fleetwood_Town   21   22   -2      -4.75    23.91     1.00    53.95     7.34    -5.34     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.18P   27.29R    3.39  
Shrewsbury       22   22   -6      -6.17    18.86    -3.13    52.83     7.30    -9.02     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.12P   32.98R    4.46  
Barnsley         22   21  -10      -7.70    13.23    -7.50    52.76     7.26   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.09P   33.78R    4.72  
Oldham           21   20  -10      -4.29    26.30    -3.12    49.64     7.21   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   51.15R   10.43  
Crewe            22   20  -15      -1.94    39.58    -2.07    43.73     6.71   -29.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    82.43R   35.55  
Colchester       22   20  -22      -2.52    36.60    -7.71    44.60     7.05   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.87R   33.01  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 December 2015, Barnet 4 2 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             22   43  +14       7.31    85.64     5.89    82.06     7.19    22.98    27.92    61.73    91.48    69.98P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          22   43  +10       9.89    91.87     5.66    79.71     7.43    15.67    17.98    47.74    83.75    55.37P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           22   41  +14       6.51    82.78     7.59    78.66     7.29    21.05    14.71    43.71    81.79    53.46P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           22   40  +20       3.52    69.15    10.49    79.09     7.39    29.21    17.66    48.16    83.74    58.02P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             22   37   +5       6.52    82.01     5.05    70.05     7.49     4.56     1.81     9.56    38.14    15.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   20   36  +12       7.44    86.34    10.55    73.90     7.89    15.17     6.02    22.60    59.42    30.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       22   36   +8       4.54    73.93     5.91    70.50     7.41    10.47     1.97    10.54    41.85    17.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield            22   34  +10       4.92    76.26    11.41    65.90     7.23     8.69     0.46     3.37    20.64     6.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              21   34   +6       1.26    57.33     0.09    72.51     7.54    12.28     3.65    16.43    51.93    26.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        22   33   +5      -5.74    20.70    -8.08    74.68     7.44    18.39     6.57    25.45    64.92    39.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        22   30   +0       1.94    61.26     3.60    61.21     7.28    -3.03     0.10     0.80     7.31     2.08P    0.25R    0.05  
Exeter               21   30   +0       1.17    57.26     0.29    63.74     7.61    -1.17     0.29     2.09    13.65     4.48P    0.13R    0.03  
Luton                22   29   +4      -3.80    29.79     0.17    64.40     7.33     7.67     0.22     2.28    16.24     5.85P    0.07R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   29   -1       0.60    54.34     1.87    59.78     7.26    -4.38     0.06     0.51     5.19     1.45P    0.49R    0.09  
Notts_County         22   29   -5      -3.58    31.32    -8.52    65.31     7.61     0.06     0.40     2.94    18.59     7.11P    0.10R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         22   28   -8      -2.78    35.58    -8.69    61.63     7.55    -7.16     0.10     0.84     8.40     2.72P    0.39R    0.08  
Morecambe            21   27   -1      -1.29    43.03     0.25    60.90     7.67    -2.14     0.08     0.85     7.95     2.43P    0.49R    0.11  
Stevenage            22   26   -8      -4.19    27.92    -7.78    58.97     7.39    -8.21     0.02     0.35     4.12     1.30P    0.83R    0.18  
Barnet               22   25   -7      -0.31    49.24     1.22    52.91     7.39   -15.44     0.00     0.04     0.74     0.19P    5.40R    1.53  
Newport_County       22   20   -9      -6.18    18.29    -2.77    49.07     7.20   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   12.14R    4.06  
Hartlepool           21   20  -15      -1.43    42.55    -3.66    45.00     7.02   -29.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   29.25R   12.06  
York                 22   15  -20      -9.20     7.74   -10.67    41.16     7.04   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   50.26R   26.75  
Yeovil               22   13  -15     -14.10     1.62   -10.34    42.10     7.29   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.36R   21.08  
Dag_&_Red            22   13  -19     -11.26     4.01    -9.53    39.73     7.04   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.81R   33.95  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 December 2015, Aldershot 1 0 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       25   53  +32       2.46    62.62     6.64    95.41     6.25    53.23    70.35    99.50    81.42P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     24   49  +18       6.90    83.36     3.91    86.80     6.87    29.76    12.37    88.66    31.45P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        24   46  +11       7.29    84.06     2.17    81.44     6.85    19.21     3.36    67.80    15.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          24   45  +26      -1.58    40.15     5.08    86.18     6.56    42.72    12.26    89.81    40.27P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   26   43   +9       4.13    70.82     4.37    73.34     6.46    13.38     0.15    21.99     3.86P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     26   41  +11       0.26    51.08     3.54    72.21     6.40    16.76     0.09    18.14     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     25   41   +9       5.06    75.33     6.70    70.74     6.61    10.12     0.06    12.95     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.38    63.09     5.87    76.04     7.01    21.75     0.79    39.07     8.80P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       5.99    80.69     6.27    75.12     6.89    15.36     0.48    31.84     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           25   37  +11      -3.15    33.84     1.94    70.02     6.64    17.32     0.05    12.02     2.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        25   37   -9       3.91    70.63    -6.64    63.84     6.55   -12.32     0.00     1.58     0.23P    0.10R    0.00  
Tranmere         25   35   +6      -8.10    13.72    -7.25    71.14     6.66    16.92     0.03    15.10     4.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          24   33   +1       2.41    62.93     5.86    61.10     7.15    -3.45     0.00     1.17     0.17P    0.59R    0.04  
Chester          26   33   -5       2.76    65.17     4.04    58.85     6.34    -7.72     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.88R    0.05  
Barrow           25   32  -15       6.81    83.14     0.78    54.26     6.52   -25.87     0.00     0.04     0.00     5.55R    0.60  
Aldershot        25   31  -10       0.23    51.89    -4.51    57.34     6.50   -13.90     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.79R    0.15  
Guiseley         26   30  -14       2.72    65.18    -0.69    48.04     5.95   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.87R    3.72  
Southport        24   27  -11       1.64    60.50     0.93    51.85     6.50   -19.26     0.00     0.02     0.00P   10.43R    1.45  
Altrincham       24   26  -16       2.24    64.25    -1.45    50.13     6.51   -25.42     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.45R    2.62  
Welling          24   24   -9      -3.17    33.20    -0.60    48.47     6.45   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.45R    3.98  
Boreham_Wood     25   22   -7      -5.90    21.02     2.04    45.46     6.35   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.71R    9.11  
Halifax          24   18  -23     -10.52     6.49   -14.67    41.79     6.63   -34.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.49R   26.29  
Torquay          24   17  -24     -11.08     5.38   -15.77    44.07     6.68   -29.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.84R   15.68  
Kidderminster    24   14  -16     -14.05     1.70    -8.60    39.60     6.50   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.85R   36.30