Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 15 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 December 2015, Leicester 2 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        16   35  +12      11.64    97.83     9.90    64.67     6.87    10.47     3.36    11.76    27.54    46.23    73.16     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          16   33  +16       1.92    62.65     2.06    75.18     6.53    35.06    37.47    70.82    86.73    93.69    98.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +15      -1.17    39.97    -3.69    76.53     6.52    38.50    48.70    77.92    90.23    95.67    99.12     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          16   29   +9       0.72    54.63    -0.41    68.37     6.67    22.71     7.88    25.79    52.32    70.63    89.29     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        16   26  +12       0.19    51.12     6.20    61.72     6.83    20.45     1.31     6.27    17.16    32.31    61.82     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   16   26   +6       5.60    84.50     8.17    54.96     6.64     4.38     0.10     0.66     2.49     6.51    21.78     0.15R    0.00  
Watford          16   25   +2       5.33    82.66     5.67    50.55     6.74    -5.23     0.02     0.16     0.67     2.10     8.34     1.16R    0.01  
West_Ham         16   24   +4       2.72    68.99     5.22    54.14     6.83     3.99     0.07     0.53     2.22     5.85    19.28     0.31R    0.01  
Liverpool        16   24   +1      -0.60    45.81    -2.96    59.23     6.93     8.58     0.52     2.94     9.24    19.49    45.02     0.05R    0.00  
Everton          16   23   +8      -1.75    38.14     3.78    58.13     6.84    15.42     0.44     2.26     7.50    16.49    40.66     0.06R    0.00  
Stoke            16   23   -1       1.96    64.25     0.01    51.28     6.51    -3.27     0.02     0.13     0.68     2.02     8.86     0.71R    0.02  
Southampton      16   21   +2      -3.90    24.54    -2.35    53.38     6.84     5.32     0.06     0.45     1.91     5.00    17.11     0.40R    0.01  
West_Brom        16   20   -5       2.14    66.18     0.88    46.80     6.56   -10.25     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.40     2.53     4.42R    0.19  
Bournemouth      16   16  -11      -0.21    49.90    -0.66    37.72     6.63   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    37.60R    5.61  
Newcastle        16   16  -13       0.44    54.85    -2.16    38.65     6.42   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.15    31.91R    4.28  
Chelsea          16   15   -8     -12.04     1.52   -15.71    52.55     6.79     3.05     0.03     0.28     1.21     3.55    13.81     0.69R    0.03  
Swansea          16   14   -9      -4.97    18.60    -4.40    40.67     6.63   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.34    19.61R    1.92  
Norwich          16   14  -10      -2.96    30.52    -1.64    37.08     6.62   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    39.81R    6.79  
Sunderland       16   12  -13      -4.19    21.99    -4.11    31.97     6.12   -29.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.04R   20.68  
Aston_Villa      16    6  -17      -7.67     5.13    -3.80    26.45     6.15   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.05R   60.46  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 December 2015, Cardiff 3 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   21   43  +18       6.07    82.74     6.18    86.01     7.17    30.40    31.40    57.67    97.00    70.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        21   43  +11      11.54    96.09     6.86    79.93     7.21    15.37     8.79    22.48    84.71    35.10P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           21   41  +19       3.34    69.36     5.73    85.71     7.23    34.65    31.77    57.35    96.68    70.25P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            20   38  +16       2.77    66.00     4.79    84.15     7.48    31.12    23.91    47.41    94.40    63.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         21   35   +6       1.92    61.47    -0.40    74.29     7.37    13.53     2.36     7.74    60.68    21.58P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         21   34   +3       2.52    64.70    -1.13    70.76     7.35     6.84     0.89     3.16    40.64    11.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff         21   33   +5       3.29    69.21     3.28    68.52     7.30     7.10     0.35     1.52    29.74     6.98P    0.05R    0.00  
Birmingham      21   30   +3       2.39    64.65     4.41    62.96     7.30     1.43     0.04     0.28    10.44     2.02P    0.44R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       21   30   +2       2.40    64.72     3.17    63.17     7.18     0.91     0.04     0.22    10.42     1.93P    0.34R    0.01  
Brentford       21   29   +0      -0.92    44.92    -1.74    65.19     7.38     3.00     0.10     0.57    16.78     3.99P    0.23R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   +4      -2.84    33.76     0.71    63.69     7.29     6.54     0.08     0.36    12.64     3.03P    0.35R    0.01  
QPR             21   28   -1      -2.66    35.05    -3.76    64.70     7.61     2.92     0.13     0.58    16.05     4.14P    0.43R    0.03  
Reading         20   27   +3      -0.06    50.19     3.31    60.91     7.44     0.81     0.04     0.19     6.88     1.41P    1.07R    0.07  
Wolverhampton   20   25   +0      -4.24    26.19    -2.86    63.52     7.48     4.50     0.08     0.37    12.73     3.08P    0.41R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   21   25   +0      -3.51    30.05    -0.04    60.01     7.25     1.32     0.01     0.07     5.07     1.08P    1.36R    0.09  
Preston         21   25   +0      -2.09    37.89     1.55    57.70     7.18    -1.25     0.01     0.02     2.65     0.53P    2.69R    0.18  
Fulham          21   23   -3      -3.87    28.89     0.47    54.13     7.38    -8.54     0.00     0.01     1.12     0.18P    8.47R    1.03  
Leeds_United    20   23   -4      -1.38    42.17    -0.17    54.67     7.23    -8.90     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.16P    6.70R    0.71  
Huddersfield    21   21   -8      -3.06    32.39    -1.04    49.32     7.11   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   22.60R    3.95  
MK_Dons         21   19  -11      -5.68    19.64    -5.21    47.95     7.22   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   29.38R    6.23  
Bristol_City    21   19  -17      -3.72    29.51    -7.66    46.78     7.24   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   37.47R    9.12  
Charlton        21   18  -15      -4.91    22.23    -6.79    45.04     6.96   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   46.45R   12.22  
Rotherham       21   15  -16      -5.32    19.54    -2.97    39.15     6.73   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.50R   40.53  
Bolton          21   13  -15      -9.82     5.00    -6.69    41.53     7.06   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.04R   25.77  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 December 2015, Sheff_Utd 1 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    21   44  +11      13.87    97.90     8.77    80.13     7.53    13.88    20.70    37.60    81.77    46.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         21   39  +16       6.16    81.75     9.88    78.97     7.54    24.65    18.52    35.02    79.51    46.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall          20   39  +16       7.02    85.65     9.25    80.58     7.60    24.84    24.32    42.95    84.38    53.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham       21   38  +11       6.05    80.98     6.39    75.27     7.62    15.51     8.26    18.49    61.79    27.81P    0.05R    0.00  
Peterborough     21   34  +15      -0.97    44.45     5.21    75.73     7.63    26.59     9.99    21.48    66.52    34.46P    0.06R    0.00  
Wigan            21   34   +9      -2.54    35.00    -2.39    76.88     7.52    21.58    11.63    24.78    70.69    40.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury             21   33   +2       5.84    80.25     4.80    65.15     7.66    -1.39     0.58     1.73    14.98     4.25P    2.68R    0.09  
Millwall         20   31   +3       0.74    54.42    -1.28    69.86     7.91     7.74     2.46     6.59    34.70    13.77P    0.69R    0.02  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.14    78.36     5.04    65.60     7.68     1.76     0.60     1.96    16.60     4.96P    2.21R    0.10  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.18    69.19     1.21    67.26     7.52     3.24     0.91     2.81    21.67     7.03P    1.09R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        21   30   +3      -2.90    33.57    -3.13    68.23     7.51     8.96     1.20     3.82    27.06    10.27P    0.81R    0.03  
Port_Vale        21   30   +3       1.26    57.94     3.10    63.06     7.37     1.09     0.26     0.82     9.59     2.70P    3.74R    0.16  
Rochdale         21   27   +0      -1.62    40.99     0.40    63.15     7.49     2.69     0.24     0.74    10.09     2.93P    4.24R    0.24  
Scunthorpe       21   27   -3       0.48    53.47     0.73    58.68     7.31    -7.20     0.04     0.15     2.99     0.64P   11.99R    0.81  
Doncaster        21   27   -5      -1.25    42.84    -4.18    60.21     7.40    -6.45     0.07     0.25     4.49     1.16P    8.81R    0.54  
Swindon          21   25   -4      -6.51    17.35    -8.12    62.03     7.62    -0.05     0.18     0.65     8.21     2.71P    5.86R    0.37  
Chesterfield     21   23  -11      -4.79    24.28    -9.40    55.69     7.42   -13.73     0.01     0.04     1.31     0.36P   22.77R    2.47  
Shrewsbury       21   22   -5      -5.15    22.61    -2.57    54.59     7.66    -7.53     0.01     0.05     1.17     0.34P   27.05R    3.55  
Blackpool        21   22  -11      -2.97    33.66    -5.66    51.96     7.39   -17.13     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.05P   41.05R    6.80  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.32    25.78     1.18    54.43     7.56    -5.23     0.00     0.04     1.02     0.24P   26.95R    3.67  
Barnsley         21   21   -8      -7.14    14.67    -6.67    54.42     7.45    -9.52     0.02     0.03     0.97     0.23P   27.24R    3.40  
Colchester       21   20  -20      -1.86    39.97    -6.99    45.58     7.24   -35.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   75.36R   28.80  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.28    25.70    -3.58    49.21     7.43   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   55.41R   12.70  
Crewe            21   19  -15      -1.61    41.45    -2.00    43.87     6.97   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.91R   36.21  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 December 2015, Wycombe 2 2 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          21   43  +11      10.99    94.46     6.23    81.45     7.62    17.21    23.97    56.47    87.98    63.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   41  +15       7.56    87.03     8.17    80.28     7.45    22.37    19.73    51.82    86.23    60.57P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             21   40  +13       6.21    82.04     5.66    81.00     7.44    22.75    22.45    55.87    88.26    64.77P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           21   37  +19       2.30    63.16    10.14    76.98     7.57    27.45    11.37    36.46    75.66    47.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.89    88.43    10.69    74.32     8.10    15.21     6.54    23.92    60.98    31.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             21   34   +2       5.59    79.27     3.22    67.42     7.67    -0.19     0.84     5.37    26.34     9.32P    0.03R    0.01  
Mansfield            21   33  +10       5.29    78.48    11.44    66.10     7.44     8.48     0.56     3.72    22.07     7.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       21   33   +5       3.95    72.01     4.43    68.05     7.61     6.29     1.06     6.10    29.68    11.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        21   32   +5      -5.14    22.97    -7.75    76.01     7.65    19.83     8.86    31.30    70.62    45.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              20   31   +5      -0.06    49.42    -0.40    70.54     7.69    10.83     2.33    11.38    42.38    19.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.30    63.70     0.87    65.29     7.79     0.18     0.43     3.28    19.14     6.74P    0.11R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd        21   29   +0       2.29    63.75     3.53    61.62     7.49    -2.97     0.10     0.98     8.74     2.47P    0.31R    0.06  
Notts_County         21   29   -2      -3.08    33.15    -6.90    68.01     7.89     5.05     1.09     6.76    30.41    13.33P    0.05R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   28   -1       1.00    56.60     1.89    60.20     7.45    -4.22     0.06     0.60     6.03     1.63P    0.49R    0.10  
Crawley_Town         21   28   -6      -2.00    39.13    -7.65    64.13     7.77    -3.36     0.27     2.18    14.97     5.35P    0.18R    0.02  
Morecambe            20   27   +0      -0.06    50.09     0.95    62.99     7.83    -0.02     0.20     1.79    12.74     4.29P    0.31R    0.06  
Luton                21   26   +3      -5.18    22.87    -0.45    62.67     7.60     6.49     0.13     1.56    12.22     4.27P    0.24R    0.04  
Stevenage            21   25   -8      -3.85    28.93    -7.88    59.33     7.55    -8.30     0.03     0.42     4.93     1.49P    0.82R    0.16  
Barnet               21   22   -9      -1.25    43.78     0.16    50.01     7.50   -19.39     0.00     0.02     0.33     0.06P   10.83R    3.49  
Hartlepool           20   20  -14      -0.60    47.38    -3.54    45.94     7.16   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.00R    9.40  
Newport_County       21   19   -9      -5.72    19.91    -2.70    49.33     7.41   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P   11.73R    3.82  
Dag_&_Red            21   13  -16     -10.85     4.33    -8.04    41.69     7.33   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.54R   22.10  
Yeovil               21   12  -15     -14.03     1.53   -10.82    41.69     7.48   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.57R   21.85  
York                 21   12  -21     -10.60     4.55   -11.26    38.73     7.20   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.73R   38.85  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 December 2015, Gateshead 0 1 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       24   50  +31       1.57    57.64     6.73    94.97     6.46    54.26    71.69    99.32    82.36P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       6.00    80.64     3.97    85.72     7.04    29.59    11.54    86.10    30.16P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   25   43  +10       4.94    74.62     4.49    73.95     6.63    13.15     0.35    26.56     4.69P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        23   43   +9       6.77    82.57     1.92    79.71     7.13    16.93     2.75    58.92    12.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.49    35.08     5.19    85.10     6.79    42.60    11.43    86.66    39.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.56    64.03     6.12    76.13     6.98    21.83     1.01    40.65     9.10P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       5.92    80.26     6.17    75.11     6.90    15.29     0.64    32.96     6.85P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     24   40   +9       5.79    78.69     7.23    72.07     6.85    11.62     0.21    19.25     3.11P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     25   38  +10      -0.78    45.85     3.41    70.62     6.59    15.75     0.09    14.03     2.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        24   37   -5       4.11    71.78    -4.61    66.04     6.76    -6.98     0.01     3.90     0.61P    0.06R    0.00  
Woking           24   34   +7      -3.61    31.17    -0.13    67.67     6.86    12.08     0.04     7.53     1.53P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +6      -7.54    14.77    -6.98    72.20     6.89    17.93     0.22    21.03     6.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.10    66.62     6.48    63.30     7.34     0.21     0.00     2.83     0.44P    0.37R    0.02  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.85    83.61     0.12    53.82     6.68   -27.04     0.00     0.06     0.01P    7.86R    0.95  
Chester          25   30   -8       1.92    61.36     2.25    56.69     6.52   -11.54     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.71R    0.23  
Guiseley         25   30  -13       3.43    68.92    -0.48    49.22     6.18   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.64R    3.33  
Aldershot        24   28  -11      -1.06    44.81    -4.87    56.25     6.69   -14.15     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.52R    0.38  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.78    67.35    -1.78    50.51     6.62   -26.28     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.04R    2.79  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.13    38.39     0.06    49.61     6.65   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.12R    3.63  
Southport        23   24  -13       0.63    55.05    -0.40    49.44     6.66   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.02R    4.28  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -4.96    24.94     2.49    46.20     6.58   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.41R    9.14  
Torquay          23   17  -21     -10.67     5.75   -14.46    45.96     6.93   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.97R   11.83  
Halifax          23   17  -23     -10.34     6.47   -14.92    41.49     6.78   -36.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.30R   31.68  
Kidderminster    23   14  -14     -13.57     1.77    -8.00    40.84     6.70   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.95R   31.75