Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 December 2015, Aston_Villa 0 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          16   33  +16       2.01    63.41     2.21    75.11     6.54    34.98    37.83    71.75    87.31    94.17    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +15      -1.04    40.84    -3.48    76.51     6.54    38.46    49.20    78.48    90.79    95.93    99.10     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        15   32  +11      10.05    96.30     8.98    62.53     7.09     8.60     2.14     8.10    20.31    35.78    61.99     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd          16   29   +9       0.75    54.97    -0.41    68.27     6.70    22.54     7.93    26.46    53.25    70.83    88.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        16   26  +12       0.08    50.54     6.06    61.88     6.82    20.68     1.54     6.92    18.72    34.53    63.07     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   16   26   +6       5.56    84.23     8.11    54.96     6.67     4.39     0.09     0.73     2.79     7.05    21.88     0.16R    0.00  
Watford          16   25   +2       5.25    82.20     5.55    50.53     6.74    -5.22     0.02     0.16     0.70     2.17     8.53     1.18R    0.03  
West_Ham         16   24   +4       2.72    68.93     5.16    54.26     6.82     4.14     0.09     0.64     2.55     6.50    19.92     0.26R    0.01  
Liverpool        16   24   +1      -0.52    46.25    -2.83    59.23     6.94     8.61     0.54     3.08     9.79    20.56    45.39     0.05R    0.00  
Everton          16   23   +8      -1.80    37.62     3.76    58.09     6.89    15.39     0.45     2.34     8.05    17.20    40.78     0.07R    0.00  
Stoke            16   23   -1       1.92    64.04    -0.07    51.37     6.52    -3.10     0.01     0.15     0.76     2.32     9.50     0.72R    0.01  
Southampton      16   21   +2      -3.79    25.25    -2.20    53.31     6.77     5.18     0.07     0.43     1.86     4.99    16.79     0.45R    0.01  
West_Brom        16   20   -5       2.15    66.25     0.92    46.76     6.61   -10.32     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.47     2.64     4.38R    0.16  
Bournemouth      16   16  -11      -0.26    49.88    -0.76    37.81     6.63   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    36.79R    5.34  
Newcastle        16   16  -13       0.52    55.66    -2.02    38.48     6.42   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    32.39R    4.65  
Chelsea          15   15   -7     -10.76     2.17   -14.83    54.52     7.00     5.02     0.09     0.73     2.95     7.42    22.21     0.39R    0.01  
Swansea          16   14   -9      -5.02    17.95    -4.49    40.69     6.63   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.36    19.53R    1.94  
Norwich          16   14  -10      -2.99    30.53    -1.71    37.08     6.62   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    40.00R    6.75  
Sunderland       16   12  -13      -4.10    22.47    -3.94    31.85     6.10   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.88R   21.23  
Aston_Villa      16    6  -17      -7.81     4.73    -4.03    26.55     6.18   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.76R   59.86  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 December 2015, Cardiff 2 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        20   42  +11      11.95    97.09     6.91    80.01     7.38    14.95    10.81    26.06    84.07    37.90P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   20   40  +17       4.77    77.66     5.70    84.62     7.36    29.72    29.12    53.09    95.04    66.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            20   38  +16       2.84    66.33     4.93    84.03     7.44    30.86    26.87    50.33    94.09    64.99P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           20   38  +15       3.20    68.60     4.09    84.01     7.46    30.52    26.66    50.12    93.93    63.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         20   35   +7       2.90    67.03     0.13    75.44     7.57    14.32     4.39    11.97    65.79    26.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         20   31   +2       1.24    57.82    -1.61    68.89     7.62     5.48     0.72     2.44    31.85     8.71P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff         20   30   +4       2.01    62.48     2.72    66.83     7.53     6.11     0.35     1.28    23.05     5.67P    0.13R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       20   30   +3       3.48    71.02     3.79    64.84     7.43     2.39     0.16     0.68    15.39     3.40P    0.24R    0.01  
Birmingham      20   29   +3       2.61    66.20     4.24    63.22     7.46     1.37     0.08     0.37    11.34     2.32P    0.55R    0.02  
Brentford       20   29   +1       0.24    51.71    -1.07    66.54     7.60     4.03     0.30     1.26    21.85     5.36P    0.20R    0.00  
Blackburn       20   27   +4      -2.25    36.71     1.06    64.19     7.44     6.69     0.15     0.57    14.19     3.47P    0.35R    0.01  
Reading         20   27   +3      -0.09    50.05     3.25    60.88     7.43     0.85     0.03     0.19     6.76     1.47P    1.13R    0.07  
QPR             20   27   -1      -2.11    37.92    -3.55    64.94     7.82     2.72     0.19     0.87    17.15     4.63P    0.39R    0.02  
Wolverhampton   20   25   +0      -4.28    25.57    -2.90    63.60     7.57     4.64     0.11     0.47    12.94     3.32P    0.52R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest   20   24   +0      -3.08    32.19     0.13    59.94     7.51     0.67     0.03     0.15     5.49     1.26P    1.66R    0.13  
Preston         20   24   +0      -1.80    39.50     1.46    58.42     7.44    -0.73     0.02     0.07     3.64     0.78P    2.40R    0.21  
Fulham          20   23   -2      -2.87    33.60     0.79    55.95     7.67    -6.83     0.00     0.05     2.07     0.36P    5.92R    0.72  
Leeds_United    20   23   -4      -1.34    42.54    -0.12    54.66     7.24    -8.92     0.00     0.01     1.02     0.21P    6.77R    0.73  
Bristol_City    20   19  -13      -4.01    27.56    -6.52    48.55     7.53   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   28.94R    6.69  
Huddersfield    20   18  -10      -3.92    27.04    -1.92    47.44     7.29   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   32.49R    7.67  
Charlton        20   17  -15      -4.55    23.57    -6.89    45.49     7.17   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.06R   12.27  
MK_Dons         20   16  -12      -6.94    13.70    -5.69    45.78     7.40   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.94R   11.41  
Rotherham       20   15  -14      -4.55    23.11    -1.97    40.67     7.05   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.63R   32.87  
Bolton          20   12  -15      -9.59     5.00    -6.96    41.55     7.28   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   63.62R   27.11  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 December 2015, Sheff_Utd 1 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    21   44  +11      13.89    97.95     8.84    80.10     7.57    13.89    20.54    37.66    81.43    46.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         21   39  +16       5.96    80.73     9.54    79.24     7.50    24.98    18.65    35.89    80.60    47.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall          20   39  +16       7.00    85.72     9.19    80.60     7.64    24.91    24.56    43.02    84.40    53.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       21   38  +11       6.09    81.08     6.43    75.30     7.65    15.52     8.21    18.28    61.89    27.71P    0.05R    0.00  
Peterborough     21   34  +15      -0.99    44.30     5.23    75.72     7.51    26.54     9.46    20.82    66.58    34.12P    0.06R    0.00  
Wigan            21   34   +9      -2.47    35.81    -2.34    76.94     7.56    21.65    11.95    25.28    71.20    40.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury             21   33   +2       5.93    80.62     4.92    65.06     7.59    -1.48     0.53     1.63    14.50     4.00P    2.54R    0.08  
Millwall         20   31   +3       0.73    54.34    -1.28    69.85     7.96     7.76     2.59     6.52    34.27    13.51P    0.77R    0.03  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.31    79.07     5.27    65.33     7.68     1.40     0.56     1.84    15.95     4.58P    2.39R    0.08  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.20    69.15     1.23    67.19     7.48     3.17     0.86     2.60    21.30     6.72P    1.18R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        21   30   +3      -3.07    32.21    -3.38    68.42     7.49     9.23     1.35     3.80    27.63    10.45P    0.77R    0.02  
Port_Vale        21   30   +3       1.21    57.55     3.03    63.00     7.34     1.01     0.24     0.81     9.34     2.58P    3.74R    0.16  
Rochdale         21   27   +0      -1.58    41.29     0.47    63.17     7.49     2.70     0.22     0.78    10.15     2.91P    3.97R    0.23  
Scunthorpe       21   27   -3       0.42    53.43     0.64    58.74     7.43    -7.09     0.04     0.15     3.28     0.79P   12.35R    0.98  
Doncaster        21   27   -5      -1.10    44.09    -4.00    60.09     7.43    -6.62     0.08     0.27     4.55     1.18P    8.99R    0.56  
Swindon          21   25   -4      -6.53    17.15    -8.11    61.93     7.60    -0.19     0.16     0.50     8.02     2.56P    5.91R    0.32  
Chesterfield     21   23  -11      -4.61    25.09    -9.10    55.55     7.44   -13.99     0.01     0.04     1.30     0.31P   23.49R    2.66  
Shrewsbury       21   22   -5      -5.28    21.97    -2.70    54.69     7.59    -7.40     0.00     0.04     1.08     0.30P   26.20R    3.41  
Blackpool        21   22  -11      -2.95    33.81    -5.60    51.86     7.40   -17.25     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.08P   41.71R    7.12  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.31    25.86     1.18    54.46     7.60    -5.20     0.01     0.03     1.08     0.22P   26.92R    3.84  
Barnsley         21   21   -8      -7.19    14.50    -6.74    54.35     7.49    -9.61     0.00     0.03     0.92     0.24P   27.89R    3.52  
Colchester       21   20  -20      -1.80    40.13    -6.88    45.60     7.25   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   75.14R   28.64  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.44    25.08    -3.83    49.32     7.45   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   54.59R   12.42  
Crewe            21   19  -15      -1.63    41.21    -2.02    43.98     6.96   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.32R   35.91  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 December 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          21   43  +11      10.96    94.41     6.17    81.36     7.62    17.09    23.41    55.65    87.73    62.51P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   41  +15       7.50    86.69     8.09    80.40     7.49    22.56    20.18    51.97    86.17    60.78P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             21   40  +13       6.28    82.36     5.74    80.91     7.41    22.63    21.96    55.20    88.00    64.21P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           21   37  +19       2.28    63.07    10.07    77.10     7.53    27.66    11.57    36.91    76.00    47.92P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.94    88.62    10.70    74.28     8.19    15.12     6.64    23.92    60.49    31.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             21   34   +2       5.56    78.94     3.18    67.40     7.65    -0.31     0.78     5.11    26.22     9.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield            21   33  +10       5.17    78.29    11.26    66.27     7.42     8.68     0.54     3.77    22.60     7.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       21   33   +5       3.94    71.89     4.42    68.07     7.61     6.37     1.02     6.01    29.32    11.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        21   32   +5      -4.94    23.63    -7.50    75.82     7.67    19.61     8.40    30.37    69.42    44.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              19   30   +5       0.35    52.11    -0.32    71.05     7.96    11.00     2.81    13.17    44.96    21.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.22    63.42     0.73    65.42     7.79     0.39     0.59     3.50    19.31     6.79P    0.07R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd        21   29   +0       2.30    63.56     3.59    61.56     7.47    -3.06     0.07     0.95     8.20     2.33P    0.34R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   28   -1       1.06    56.98     1.94    60.19     7.45    -4.27     0.06     0.57     6.08     1.60P    0.59R    0.13  
Notts_County         20   28   -2      -2.76    34.67    -6.97    68.21     8.05     4.87     1.32     7.19    31.32    13.95P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         21   28   -6      -1.88    40.03    -7.52    64.12     7.78    -3.37     0.25     2.16    14.75     5.28P    0.18R    0.03  
Morecambe            20   27   +0      -0.01    50.23     1.05    62.88     7.88    -0.16     0.24     1.76    12.64     4.13P    0.31R    0.06  
Luton                21   26   +3      -5.06    23.06    -0.28    62.45     7.53     6.18     0.14     1.34    11.32     3.89P    0.28R    0.05  
Stevenage            21   25   -8      -3.78    29.43    -7.74    59.23     7.61    -8.41     0.03     0.40     4.89     1.48P    0.91R    0.21  
Barnet               21   22   -9      -1.41    42.73    -0.02    50.16     7.53   -19.13     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   10.47R    3.34  
Hartlepool           20   20  -14      -0.59    47.85    -3.55    45.95     7.13   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.07R    9.09  
Newport_County       21   19   -9      -5.86    19.30    -2.92    49.45     7.40   -15.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   11.20R    3.55  
Dag_&_Red            21   13  -16     -10.75     4.40    -7.94    41.71     7.28   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.60R   22.14  
Yeovil               21   12  -15     -13.94     1.50   -10.69    41.51     7.43   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.04R   22.78  
York                 21   12  -21     -10.72     4.12   -11.50    38.89     7.22   -32.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.79R   38.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 December 2015, Gateshead 0 1 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       24   50  +31       1.61    57.84     6.77    94.86     6.45    54.13    71.14    99.31    81.91P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       5.99    80.33     3.99    85.73     7.06    29.59    11.67    85.76    30.03P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   25   43  +10       4.89    74.43     4.48    74.00     6.61    13.19     0.36    26.42     4.81P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        23   43   +9       6.62    82.06     1.69    79.94     7.11    17.28     2.98    60.12    13.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.54    34.54     5.07    85.24     6.77    42.82    11.71    86.82    39.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.44    63.12     5.92    76.26     7.02    22.01     1.07    41.41     9.45P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       6.01    80.72     6.29    74.96     6.87    15.09     0.57    32.12     6.21P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     24   40   +9       5.91    79.36     7.42    71.91     6.87    11.33     0.20    18.75     2.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     25   38  +10      -0.83    45.51     3.34    70.70     6.57    15.89     0.09    14.11     2.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        24   37   -5       4.11    71.86    -4.57    66.13     6.80    -6.85     0.01     4.15     0.60P    0.06R    0.00  
Woking           24   34   +7      -3.60    31.13    -0.11    67.50     6.87    11.91     0.03     7.37     1.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +6      -7.38    15.37    -6.74    72.07     6.91    17.73     0.16    20.51     5.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.08    66.59     6.44    63.34     7.35     0.26     0.00     2.83     0.42P    0.36R    0.02  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.92    83.99     0.30    53.75     6.69   -27.20     0.00     0.06     0.01P    7.94R    0.98  
Chester          25   30   -8       2.04    62.05     2.36    56.68     6.46   -11.59     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.59R    0.21  
Guiseley         25   30  -13       3.32    68.42    -0.60    49.23     6.20   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.00R    3.37  
Aldershot        24   28  -11      -0.97    45.42    -4.72    56.19     6.70   -14.28     0.00     0.13     0.03P    3.43R    0.29  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.81    67.49    -1.74    50.51     6.62   -26.30     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.17R    3.01  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.22    37.97    -0.09    49.68     6.62   -16.80     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.72R    3.59  
Southport        23   24  -13       0.66    55.33    -0.37    49.38     6.61   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.39R    4.21  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -5.14    24.28     2.23    46.39     6.65   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.29R    9.11  
Torquay          23   17  -21     -10.61     5.69   -14.40    45.94     6.90   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.13R   11.58  
Halifax          23   17  -23     -10.39     6.46   -15.00    41.51     6.86   -36.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.08R   31.25  
Kidderminster    23   14  -14     -13.54     1.97    -7.96    40.73     6.72   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.81R   32.37