Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 12 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 December 2015, Bournemouth 2 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         16   32  +15      -1.09    40.94    -3.64    76.50     6.46    38.50    50.55    77.25    89.76    95.34    98.95     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        15   32  +11      10.13    96.54     9.08    62.45     7.02     8.45     2.02     7.68    18.07    31.79    59.65     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          15   30  +14       1.30    58.59     1.60    74.19     6.78    34.14    33.24    65.26    81.75    90.58    97.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          16   29   +9       0.80    55.44    -0.33    68.35     6.68    22.63     8.34    26.27    50.44    68.23    88.10     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        15   26  +13       1.71    61.87     7.49    64.80     6.97    24.17     3.97    14.12    30.63    49.02    75.37     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   16   26   +6       5.60    84.50     8.18    54.81     6.65     4.17     0.13     0.66     2.34     5.80    19.69     0.14R    0.00  
Watford          16   25   +2       5.25    82.27     5.59    50.48     6.71    -5.27     0.02     0.15     0.62     1.75     7.46     0.92R    0.04  
West_Ham         16   24   +4       2.66    68.80     5.08    54.23     6.81     4.06     0.08     0.58     2.16     5.33    18.00     0.19R    0.00  
Everton          16   23   +8      -1.75    38.07     3.82    58.21     6.85    15.58     0.45     2.42     7.28    15.76    38.99     0.03R    0.00  
Liverpool        15   23   +1       0.18    51.50    -2.36    60.38     7.13     9.77     1.00     4.36    12.00    23.32    49.66     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            16   23   -1       1.94    64.19    -0.01    51.38     6.54    -3.17     0.01     0.13     0.69     2.12     8.57     0.59R    0.02  
Southampton      16   21   +2      -3.90    24.32    -2.37    53.32     6.76     5.23     0.08     0.46     1.68     4.25    15.22     0.31R    0.01  
West_Brom        15   19   -5       2.20    67.02     0.38    46.31     6.72   -11.45     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.35     2.14     4.50R    0.26  
Bournemouth      16   16  -11      -0.31    49.45    -0.80    37.80     6.57   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    33.70R    5.22  
Chelsea          15   15   -7     -10.68     2.44   -14.74    54.56     6.97     5.07     0.10     0.63     2.43     6.30    20.21     0.30R    0.01  
Swansea          16   14   -9      -5.09    17.84    -4.61    40.95     6.63   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.32    16.66R    1.82  
Norwich          16   14  -10      -2.89    30.97    -1.56    36.89     6.61   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    37.78R    7.05  
Newcastle        15   13  -14      -1.38    41.15    -3.47    35.44     6.54   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    48.43R   10.77  
Sunderland       16   12  -13      -4.18    21.93    -4.05    31.90     6.13   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.76R   21.59  
Aston_Villa      15    6  -15      -7.21     5.70    -3.27    27.34     6.35   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.65R   53.22  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 December 2015, Cardiff 2 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        20   42  +11      11.94    97.16     6.89    80.04     7.39    15.01    10.99    25.98    83.92    37.75P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   20   40  +17       4.73    77.50     5.62    84.64     7.33    29.74    29.07    53.05    95.16    66.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            20   38  +16       2.63    65.60     4.71    84.26     7.50    31.16    27.80    51.40    94.47    65.80P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           20   38  +15       3.25    68.94     4.19    83.91     7.44    30.43    25.76    49.33    93.86    63.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         20   35   +7       2.90    66.87     0.16    75.49     7.62    14.32     4.43    12.08    65.56    25.98P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         20   31   +2       1.33    58.40    -1.47    68.85     7.62     5.44     0.67     2.45    31.30     8.48P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff         20   30   +4       2.11    63.32     2.87    66.71     7.50     5.97     0.25     1.07    22.60     5.45P    0.14R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   30   +3       3.39    70.73     3.62    65.03     7.44     2.67     0.17     0.69    16.19     3.54P    0.29R    0.01  
Birmingham      20   29   +3       2.78    67.18     4.44    62.90     7.51     0.97     0.07     0.37    10.71     2.14P    0.56R    0.03  
Brentford       20   29   +1       0.12    51.18    -1.17    66.62     7.59     4.13     0.30     1.27    22.18     5.57P    0.15R    0.01  
Blackburn       20   27   +4      -2.33    35.93     0.97    64.33     7.47     6.85     0.15     0.61    14.77     3.68P    0.30R    0.01  
Reading         20   27   +3      -0.02    50.55     3.34    60.88     7.44     0.85     0.03     0.19     6.86     1.48P    1.10R    0.07  
QPR             20   27   -1      -2.16    37.33    -3.69    65.00     7.82     2.83     0.18     0.84    17.53     4.66P    0.41R    0.01  
Wolverhampton   20   25   +0      -4.19    26.15    -2.82    63.50     7.50     4.47     0.09     0.43    12.39     3.13P    0.51R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest   20   24   +0      -3.09    32.04     0.13    59.85     7.51     0.54     0.03     0.12     5.37     1.19P    1.72R    0.16  
Preston         20   24   +0      -1.79    39.91     1.46    58.54     7.47    -0.60     0.02     0.07     3.77     0.84P    2.43R    0.22  
Fulham          20   23   -2      -2.82    33.95     0.89    55.87     7.62    -6.96     0.00     0.03     2.04     0.39P    6.03R    0.70  
Leeds_United    20   23   -4      -1.34    42.46    -0.09    54.54     7.27    -9.08     0.00     0.01     1.02     0.19P    7.14R    0.80  
Bristol_City    20   19  -13      -3.93    27.92    -6.39    48.45     7.49   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   29.35R    6.91  
Huddersfield    20   18  -10      -3.90    27.13    -1.87    47.37     7.24   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   32.78R    8.13  
Charlton        20   17  -15      -4.46    23.75    -6.75    45.37     7.12   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   44.63R   12.95  
MK_Dons         20   16  -12      -7.05    13.35    -5.83    45.91     7.49   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   40.42R   11.49  
Rotherham       20   15  -14      -4.68    22.30    -2.19    40.80     7.07   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.08R   32.32  
Bolton          20   12  -15      -9.59     5.17    -7.03    41.73     7.19   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   62.91R   26.14  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 December 2015, Bury 1 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    21   44  +11      13.83    97.90     8.75    80.10     7.55    13.85    19.12    36.37    81.74    45.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         20   39  +17       7.21    86.06    10.37    80.48     7.79    25.83    23.58    41.61    83.69    51.99P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          20   39  +16       6.95    85.81     9.14    80.66     7.59    24.95    23.53    42.13    84.85    53.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham       21   38  +11       6.19    81.64     6.62    75.12     7.62    15.25     7.51    17.50    61.39    27.14P    0.05R    0.00  
Peterborough     21   34  +15      -0.92    44.24     5.32    75.61     7.54    26.46     8.94    20.13    66.09    33.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Wigan            21   34   +9      -2.54    35.10    -2.41    77.07     7.53    21.84    11.59    24.70    71.94    41.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             21   33   +2       5.82    80.20     4.73    65.31     7.65    -1.17     0.52     1.62    15.59     4.24P    2.52R    0.08  
Millwall         20   31   +3       0.81    55.08    -1.15    69.76     7.93     7.58     2.22     6.02    33.99    12.89P    0.72R    0.02  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.28    79.05     5.24    65.38     7.76     1.47     0.60     1.83    16.20     4.83P    2.36R    0.07  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.11    68.50     1.07    67.34     7.56     3.32     0.81     2.72    22.50     7.15P    1.22R    0.03  
Port_Vale        21   30   +3       1.22    57.45     3.06    63.00     7.38     0.99     0.18     0.70     9.56     2.60P    3.92R    0.21  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.34    25.71    -3.84    66.58     7.72     7.93     0.86     2.70    21.17     7.84P    1.57R    0.04  
Rochdale         21   27   +0      -1.65    41.15     0.37    63.20     7.57     2.77     0.24     0.81    10.35     2.95P    4.20R    0.27  
Scunthorpe       21   27   -3       0.41    53.28     0.64    58.82     7.40    -7.05     0.04     0.17     3.25     0.75P   11.94R    0.86  
Doncaster        21   27   -5      -1.20    43.48    -4.09    60.10     7.43    -6.57     0.06     0.25     4.51     1.19P    8.95R    0.54  
Swindon          21   25   -4      -6.57    16.86    -8.21    62.08     7.59     0.00     0.15     0.57     8.23     2.53P    5.67R    0.30  
Chesterfield     21   23  -11      -4.65    24.94    -9.11    55.52     7.45   -14.02     0.01     0.05     1.22     0.33P   23.72R    2.66  
Shrewsbury       21   22   -5      -5.11    22.81    -2.49    54.52     7.64    -7.66     0.01     0.04     1.16     0.32P   26.91R    3.60  
Blackpool        21   22  -11      -3.01    33.30    -5.72    52.04     7.43   -16.98     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.10P   40.49R    6.80  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.33    25.30     1.16    54.40     7.50    -5.27     0.00     0.03     1.00     0.20P   26.95R    3.58  
Barnsley         21   21   -8      -7.17    14.84    -6.74    54.45     7.48    -9.51     0.01     0.03     0.99     0.22P   27.04R    3.40  
Colchester       21   20  -20      -1.83    40.05    -6.95    45.58     7.21   -35.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   75.07R   29.07  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.22    26.00    -3.49    49.11     7.39   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   55.64R   13.13  
Crewe            21   19  -15      -1.77    40.23    -2.27    44.13     6.97   -29.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.99R   35.32  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 December 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          21   43  +11      10.87    94.43     6.02    81.50     7.57    17.34    23.91    56.40    88.14    63.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   41  +15       7.65    86.98     8.25    80.27     7.44    22.31    19.43    51.32    86.07    60.29P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             21   40  +13       6.35    82.74     5.85    80.84     7.38    22.53    21.58    54.80    87.92    63.80P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           21   37  +19       2.30    62.98    10.13    77.00     7.54    27.50    11.44    36.38    75.78    47.30P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.88    88.63    10.66    74.33     8.19    15.19     6.97    24.31    60.84    31.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle             21   34   +2       5.62    78.97     3.24    67.29     7.67    -0.42     0.82     5.13    25.55     8.90P    0.03R    0.01  
Mansfield            21   33  +10       5.26    78.61    11.36    66.15     7.38     8.57     0.53     3.67    21.71     7.16P    0.03R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers       21   33   +5       3.83    71.34     4.23    68.19     7.56     6.53     1.08     6.08    29.83    11.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        21   32   +5      -4.98    23.69    -7.53    75.91     7.67    19.69     8.74    30.57    70.04    44.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              19   30   +5       0.37    52.44    -0.29    71.05     7.93    11.01     2.82    13.05    44.80    21.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.32    63.75     0.85    65.32     7.79     0.21     0.47     3.36    18.81     6.61P    0.06R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        21   29   +0       2.31    63.75     3.62    61.56     7.56    -3.13     0.09     0.95     8.54     2.47P    0.38R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   28   -1       1.07    57.04     1.98    60.21     7.43    -4.21     0.06     0.59     6.04     1.69P    0.45R    0.08  
Notts_County         20   28   -2      -2.72    34.87    -6.94    68.16     8.06     4.81     1.35     7.29    30.93    13.90P    0.04R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         21   28   -6      -1.97    39.36    -7.60    64.12     7.79    -3.35     0.28     2.25    14.97     5.38P    0.14R    0.02  
Morecambe            20   27   +0      -0.11    49.74     0.90    63.09     7.88     0.18     0.23     1.96    12.95     4.31P    0.28R    0.07  
Luton                21   26   +3      -5.14    22.99    -0.41    62.58     7.56     6.35     0.16     1.44    11.59     4.07P    0.21R    0.03  
Stevenage            21   25   -8      -3.86    28.86    -7.84    59.25     7.59    -8.37     0.05     0.41     4.88     1.45P    0.82R    0.18  
Barnet               21   22   -9      -1.30    43.55     0.07    50.13     7.53   -19.14     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.08P   10.58R    3.40  
Hartlepool           20   20  -14      -0.60    47.51    -3.54    45.88     7.16   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.72R    9.41  
Newport_County       21   19   -9      -5.71    19.80    -2.68    49.27     7.42   -15.28     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   11.82R    3.98  
Dag_&_Red            21   13  -16     -10.96     4.25    -8.22    41.94     7.32   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   43.15R   21.22  
Yeovil               21   12  -15     -14.01     1.56   -10.79    41.59     7.46   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.49R   22.47  
York                 21   12  -21     -10.60     4.43   -11.33    38.77     7.23   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.74R   39.03  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 December 2015, Gateshead 0 1 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       24   50  +31       1.62    58.06     6.81    94.85     6.47    54.08    71.30    99.34    82.07P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       5.97    80.36     3.94    85.74     7.04    29.61    11.74    85.95    30.32P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   25   43  +10       4.97    74.32     4.59    73.96     6.67    13.16     0.39    26.42     4.74P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        23   43   +9       6.69    82.56     1.83    79.74     7.11    17.04     2.90    59.07    13.33P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.43    35.37     5.27    84.96     6.74    42.43    11.36    86.16    38.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.38    62.91     5.80    76.30     7.02    22.08     1.10    41.69     9.47P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       5.81    79.95     5.97    75.15     6.89    15.35     0.67    32.94     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     24   40   +9       5.79    78.55     7.23    72.08     6.84    11.56     0.19    18.98     3.11P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     25   38  +10      -0.84    45.50     3.32    70.62     6.62    15.76     0.09    14.06     2.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        24   37   -5       4.14    71.79    -4.55    66.03     6.79    -6.98     0.02     3.89     0.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking           24   34   +7      -3.57    31.24    -0.07    67.57     6.88    11.96     0.04     7.41     1.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +6      -7.48    15.11    -6.92    72.19     6.90    17.98     0.21    20.96     6.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.12    66.63     6.51    63.31     7.41     0.21     0.00     2.87     0.43P    0.46R    0.03  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.92    83.91     0.37    53.74     6.70   -27.24     0.00     0.04     0.00P    7.88R    0.99  
Chester          25   30   -8       2.07    62.40     2.43    56.64     6.53   -11.63     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.75R    0.21  
Guiseley         25   30  -13       3.32    68.26    -0.65    49.28     6.17   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.75R    3.24  
Aldershot        24   28  -11      -0.93    45.59    -4.76    56.21     6.71   -14.24     0.00     0.11     0.01P    3.75R    0.36  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.75    67.06    -1.83    50.56     6.60   -26.19     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.63R    2.80  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.24    37.82    -0.10    49.77     6.66   -16.74     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.40R    3.45  
Southport        23   24  -13       0.68    55.37    -0.30    49.36     6.67   -22.37     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.26R    4.34  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -5.17    23.97     2.16    46.37     6.65   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.78R    9.02  
Torquay          23   17  -21     -10.56     6.07   -14.26    45.92     6.93   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.12R   11.87  
Halifax          23   17  -23     -10.43     6.31   -15.04    41.52     6.80   -35.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.56R   30.95  
Kidderminster    23   14  -14     -13.41     1.90    -7.78    40.68     6.72   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.60R   32.74