Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 11 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 December 2015, Everton 1 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        15   32  +11      10.01    96.34     8.93    62.48     7.04     8.46     1.88     6.96    16.02    29.35    57.80     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          15   30  +14       1.20    57.73     1.40    74.26     6.72    34.32    32.21    60.83    79.70    89.67    97.27     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         15   29  +14      -1.89    34.67    -3.34    76.02     6.67    39.47    45.09    71.30    86.11    93.32    98.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          15   29  +10       2.34    66.27     0.92    71.08     6.83    25.85    15.22    38.76    62.75    78.22    92.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        15   26  +13       1.68    61.66     7.40    64.81     7.01    24.23     3.59    12.57    27.12    45.82    73.76     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   15   23   +5       4.06    78.07     7.39    52.97     6.88     2.83     0.05     0.31     1.20     3.46    12.98     0.39R    0.01  
West_Ham         15   23   +4       3.03    71.69     5.13    54.94     7.00     4.52     0.12     0.74     2.44     6.10    19.86     0.18R    0.00  
Liverpool        15   23   +1       0.18    51.45    -2.36    60.31     7.17     9.62     0.89     3.81    10.35    20.76    46.94     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          15   22   +8      -1.07    42.60     4.28    59.16     7.08    16.54     0.69     3.05     8.49    17.71    42.93     0.04R    0.00  
Watford          15   22   +1       3.90    76.38     5.05    48.74     7.02    -6.66     0.01     0.08     0.38     1.14     5.03     2.13R    0.11  
Stoke            15   22   -1       2.11    65.58    -0.16    51.44     6.77    -3.64     0.01     0.13     0.62     1.95     8.57     0.61R    0.02  
Southampton      15   21   +3      -2.75    30.72    -1.67    55.22     7.01     6.96     0.15     0.84     2.74     6.74    22.00     0.16R    0.00  
West_Brom        15   19   -5       2.31    68.06     0.58    46.33     6.69   -11.51     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.32     2.02     4.10R    0.23  
Chelsea          15   15   -7     -10.73     2.43   -14.83    54.49     6.99     5.01     0.08     0.59     2.00     5.39    18.96     0.27R    0.01  
Swansea          15   14   -8      -4.37    20.99    -4.80    41.15     6.74   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.35    15.36R    1.75  
Norwich          15   13  -10      -2.85    30.79    -1.94    36.76     6.79   -22.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10    37.25R    7.63  
Bournemouth      15   13  -12      -2.11    35.68    -2.02    34.92     6.73   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    49.40R   11.92  
Newcastle        15   13  -14      -1.44    40.53    -3.49    35.51     6.55   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    45.85R   10.26  
Sunderland       15   12  -12      -2.98    29.05    -3.20    33.35     6.40   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    58.85R   15.77  
Aston_Villa      15    6  -15      -7.22     5.92    -3.28    27.36     6.37   -31.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.38R   52.28  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 11 December 2015, Blackburn 1 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        19   41  +11      12.12    97.62     6.65    79.71     7.52    14.09     9.70    23.57    82.13    35.26P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   19   39  +17       5.47    81.35     6.04    85.93     7.64    31.06    33.46    58.10    95.91    70.09P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           19   37  +15       3.78    72.70     4.41    84.94     7.65    31.33    28.72    53.00    94.74    66.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            19   35  +15       1.75    60.59     4.68    83.28     7.71    31.17    21.56    44.10    92.31    60.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         19   34   +7       3.16    68.83    -0.03    75.96     7.78    14.50     4.69    12.98    67.10    27.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         19   29   +4       2.62    66.69     3.10    67.23     7.62     6.14     0.28     1.39    24.39     6.15P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   29   +3       3.66    72.72     3.49    65.03     7.56     2.21     0.16     0.66    16.08     3.38P    0.31R    0.02  
Birmingham      19   28   +3       2.74    67.38     3.96    62.62     7.65    -0.06     0.06     0.42    10.10     2.14P    0.77R    0.04  
Ipswich         19   28   +1      -0.04    50.13    -2.11    67.16     7.84     4.31     0.39     1.56    24.40     6.37P    0.21R    0.01  
Brentford       19   28   +1       0.56    53.87    -1.12    67.08     7.81     4.26     0.34     1.45    24.22     6.13P    0.21R    0.01  
Reading         19   27   +4       0.94    56.13     3.83    62.50     7.65     2.17     0.07     0.37    10.08     2.23P    0.77R    0.04  
Blackburn       20   27   +4      -2.19    36.96     1.14    64.20     7.45     6.67     0.13     0.55    13.96     3.46P    0.39R    0.01  
QPR             19   26   -1      -1.90    38.92    -3.75    65.58     8.13     3.14     0.32     1.21    19.97     5.57P    0.47R    0.05  
Wolverhampton   20   25   +0      -4.28    25.73    -2.90    63.52     7.52     4.49     0.07     0.39    12.30     3.16P    0.58R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   20   24   +0      -3.23    31.26    -0.04    59.98     7.52     0.74     0.02     0.11     5.45     1.17P    1.82R    0.14  
Fulham          19   22   -2      -2.47    35.65     0.85    56.35     7.91    -6.84     0.02     0.07     2.64     0.52P    6.21R    0.84  
Leeds_United    19   22   -4      -0.93    44.74     0.07    54.89     7.51    -9.18     0.00     0.02     1.26     0.23P    7.80R    0.93  
Preston         19   21   -1      -3.05    31.53     1.02    56.55     7.67    -2.13     0.01     0.04     2.44     0.56P    4.91R    0.59  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -2.73    33.74    -1.14    49.40     7.54   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   25.27R    5.36  
MK_Dons         19   16  -11      -6.04    16.43    -5.26    47.42     7.70   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   33.92R    8.83  
Bristol_City    19   16  -14      -5.33    20.02    -6.99    46.03     7.70   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   42.88R   13.02  
Charlton        19   16  -15      -4.25    24.15    -6.85    45.97     7.39   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   42.79R   12.32  
Rotherham       20   15  -14      -4.67    22.41    -2.11    40.81     7.06   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   69.77R   32.85  
Bolton          19   12  -14      -8.95     6.18    -6.94    42.31     7.43   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.76R   24.91  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    20   41   +8      13.05    97.56     6.96    76.81     7.74     8.51     9.39    20.18    65.86    28.69P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry         20   39  +17       7.17    86.08    10.27    80.63     7.74    25.98    21.59    39.54    83.63    50.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          20   39  +16       7.05    85.95     9.34    80.47     7.60    24.72    20.33    37.90    83.48    49.87P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       20   38  +14       6.80    84.65     8.37    77.99     7.83    20.65    13.29    27.25    73.06    37.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Wigan            20   34  +10      -1.17    42.72    -1.48    79.87     7.73    24.92    19.08    35.76    80.93    51.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   33  +15      -0.32    47.58     5.65    76.95     7.78    27.97    11.20    23.89    70.69    37.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         20   31   +3       0.74    54.56    -1.27    69.85     7.98     7.70     2.11     5.69    33.39    12.71P    0.64R    0.03  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.17    78.69     5.12    65.44     7.67     1.49     0.45     1.47    15.38     4.21P    1.96R    0.09  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.13    68.73     1.15    67.38     7.52     3.32     0.67     2.19    21.21     6.36P    1.02R    0.02  
Bury             20   30   +1       4.63    75.96     4.54    63.42     7.84    -2.66     0.27     0.87    10.69     2.68P    4.27R    0.25  
Port_Vale        20   29   +3       1.83    61.29     3.41    63.67     7.56     1.39     0.28     0.90    10.71     2.95P    3.13R    0.17  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.33    25.61    -3.81    66.53     7.71     7.81     0.79     2.33    19.87     7.02P    1.48R    0.07  
Rochdale         20   27   +1      -0.65    46.65     0.76    64.49     7.76     3.60     0.36     1.16    13.18     3.91P    2.88R    0.19  
Scunthorpe       20   26   -3       0.61    54.45     0.43    58.87     7.58    -7.56     0.03     0.17     3.42     0.79P   11.40R    1.03  
Doncaster        20   24   -6      -2.15    37.56    -4.09    58.86     7.61    -6.97     0.05     0.17     3.41     0.86P   11.53R    1.07  
Chesterfield     20   23  -10      -3.82    28.47    -8.94    57.30     7.69   -12.50     0.02     0.10     2.25     0.57P   16.68R    1.79  
Swindon          20   22   -5      -7.90    11.90    -8.72    60.54     7.79    -0.91     0.07     0.36     5.81     1.78P    7.98R    0.61  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.38    25.26     1.12    54.51     7.58    -5.15     0.01     0.03     1.01     0.23P   25.17R    3.54  
Shrewsbury       20   21   -5      -5.13    22.00    -3.09    54.27     7.78    -8.77     0.01     0.03     1.08     0.29P   27.28R    4.12  
Colchester       20   20  -19      -0.73    46.70    -6.46    47.04     7.37   -34.66     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   66.74R   22.63  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.26    25.82    -3.52    49.19     7.44   -18.41     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   53.34R   12.99  
Blackpool        20   19  -12      -4.83    23.49    -6.82    49.14     7.56   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   53.71R   13.74  
Crewe            20   19  -14      -0.71    47.01    -1.87    44.88     7.11   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   76.27R   31.67  
Barnsley         20   18   -9      -8.39     9.75    -7.06    52.59     7.62   -10.95     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.15P   34.44R    5.99  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   40  +15       8.17    89.44     8.52    81.14     7.69    23.16    22.52    56.44    88.45    64.68P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             20   40  +14       7.70    88.03     6.83    83.08     7.56    24.77    30.73    66.34    92.80    73.63P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          20   40  +10       9.66    92.57     5.65    79.30     7.80    15.43    15.73    45.20    82.13    53.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.96    88.54    10.73    74.17     8.16    15.02     6.23    23.70    61.67    31.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +15       2.17    62.82     8.39    74.89     7.72    22.73     7.01    27.10    67.26    37.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             20   33   +2       5.88    80.76     3.09    67.10     7.92    -1.31     0.89     5.65    26.73     9.60P    0.09R    0.02  
Mansfield            20   32  +10       5.42    79.93    11.07    66.08     7.62     7.86     0.55     4.11    23.44     7.81P    0.04R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        20   31   +5      -4.47    25.10    -7.37    76.89     7.92    20.64    10.59    35.83    74.69    49.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   30   +5       0.33    52.05    -0.41    71.05     7.91    11.01     2.66    13.25    46.25    22.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   30   +4       2.82    66.67     4.11    66.51     7.86     5.50     0.74     4.78    24.91     9.32P    0.11R    0.02  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.28    63.64     0.76    65.36     7.77     0.29     0.47     3.31    20.31     7.00P    0.14R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   28   +0       2.11    62.99     2.40    62.08     7.67    -2.42     0.12     1.30    10.67     3.18P    0.35R    0.05  
Morecambe            20   27   +0       0.10    51.24     1.20    62.85     7.80    -0.21     0.19     1.84    13.10     4.26P    0.38R    0.08  
Luton                20   26   +4      -3.85    28.39     0.40    64.26     7.76     7.86     0.38     2.73    17.90     6.84P    0.18R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd        20   26   -1       0.68    54.67     2.58    58.97     7.65    -5.51     0.04     0.47     5.32     1.41P    1.35R    0.33  
Notts_County         19   25   -3      -3.98    27.61    -7.37    66.90     8.34     4.33     0.97     6.13    27.97    12.61P    0.18R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         20   25   -7      -2.95    33.90    -7.66    62.48     7.94    -4.37     0.15     1.47    11.91     4.11P    0.62R    0.15  
Stevenage            20   22   -9      -5.22    22.05    -8.42    57.29     7.78    -9.90     0.03     0.30     3.52     1.11P    2.34R    0.57  
Barnet               20   21   -9      -1.00    45.07    -0.09    50.18     7.64   -19.45     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.11P   13.24R    4.78  
Hartlepool           19   20  -10      -0.57    47.59    -1.77    47.75     7.39   -24.06     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P   20.59R    7.61  
Newport_County       20   19   -8      -4.86    22.97    -2.72    50.47     7.53   -14.31     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.10P   11.33R    3.77  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -15      -9.92     5.57    -7.92    43.03     7.47   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   42.39R   21.05  
York                 20   12  -20      -9.74     5.37   -11.13    39.98     7.33   -31.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.71R   37.36  
Yeovil               20   11  -15     -13.64     1.37   -10.88    42.24     7.69   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   45.96R   24.09  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 December 2015, Gateshead 0 1 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       24   50  +31       1.71    58.59     6.96    94.84     6.40    54.11    71.21    99.31    82.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       5.84    79.88     3.73    85.84     7.04    29.81    11.99    86.41    30.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   25   43  +10       4.88    74.54     4.45    74.03     6.62    13.25     0.32    26.70     4.71P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        23   43   +9       6.54    81.81     1.64    79.91     7.09    17.26     2.96    59.96    13.24P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.49    34.95     5.20    85.10     6.77    42.57    11.48    86.39    39.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.46    63.55     5.95    76.27     6.98    22.05     1.01    41.34     9.47P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       6.00    80.58     6.26    75.00     6.90    15.13     0.54    32.12     6.25P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     24   40   +9       5.85    78.90     7.33    71.94     6.82    11.40     0.16    18.54     2.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     25   38  +10      -0.86    45.46     3.26    70.69     6.60    15.84     0.07    13.97     3.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        24   37   -5       3.94    70.92    -4.87    66.30     6.77    -6.58     0.02     4.36     0.65P    0.05R    0.00  
Woking           24   34   +7      -3.64    31.28    -0.14    67.56     6.83    11.93     0.02     7.13     1.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +6      -7.49    15.07    -6.94    72.18     6.90    17.88     0.19    20.75     6.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.15    66.82     6.52    63.29     7.37     0.13     0.02     2.77     0.43P    0.36R    0.03  
Barrow           24   31  -15       7.04    84.40     0.57    53.58     6.69   -27.53     0.00     0.03     0.00P    8.65R    1.05  
Chester          25   30   -8       2.05    62.09     2.40    56.61     6.53   -11.68     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.63R    0.23  
Guiseley         25   30  -13       3.41    68.86    -0.56    49.19     6.17   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.98R    3.29  
Aldershot        24   28  -11      -0.97    45.46    -4.78    56.27     6.69   -14.12     0.00     0.11     0.02P    3.44R    0.35  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.89    67.94    -1.59    50.40     6.63   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.50R    3.07  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.21    38.01    -0.03    49.75     6.63   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.51R    3.44  
Southport        23   24  -13       0.61    54.77    -0.47    49.44     6.62   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.84R    4.13  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -5.10    24.57     2.30    46.28     6.66   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.16R    9.20  
Torquay          23   17  -21     -10.57     6.02   -14.29    45.88     6.89   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.09R   11.82  
Halifax          23   17  -23     -10.31     6.59   -14.88    41.45     6.75   -36.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.14R   31.58  
Kidderminster    23   14  -14     -13.56     1.96    -8.01    40.84     6.78   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.62R   31.81