Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 9 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 December 2015, Everton 1 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        15   32  +11      10.13    96.61     9.13    62.42     7.04     8.36     1.90     6.76    15.60    29.18    57.35     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          15   30  +14       1.20    57.86     1.38    74.27     6.74    34.38    32.17    61.02    79.92    89.64    97.30     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         15   29  +14      -1.84    35.02    -3.28    75.97     6.72    39.39    44.71    71.06    85.69    93.03    98.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          15   29  +10       2.35    66.64     0.95    71.04     6.84    25.73    15.32    38.63    62.65    78.19    92.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        15   26  +13       1.75    62.33     7.52    64.82     7.03    24.20     3.81    12.68    27.40    45.84    73.80     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   15   23   +5       4.09    78.39     7.41    52.97     6.86     2.84     0.05     0.30     1.15     3.28    13.01     0.36R    0.01  
West_Ham         15   23   +4       3.12    72.29     5.27    54.88     7.02     4.45     0.16     0.82     2.47     6.00    19.69     0.16R    0.01  
Liverpool        15   23   +1       0.14    51.14    -2.42    60.39     7.18     9.80     0.94     3.96    10.48    21.13    47.80     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          15   22   +8      -1.10    42.33     4.20    59.13     7.13    16.48     0.66     3.00     8.60    18.02    43.05     0.04R    0.00  
Watford          15   22   +1       3.90    76.52     5.09    48.68     6.96    -6.78     0.01     0.06     0.32     0.99     4.84     2.10R    0.09  
Stoke            15   22   -1       2.13    65.93    -0.16    51.47     6.73    -3.61     0.03     0.17     0.66     1.95     8.74     0.57R    0.01  
Southampton      15   21   +3      -2.70    30.91    -1.63    55.16     7.02     6.94     0.13     0.87     2.79     6.84    21.47     0.21R    0.00  
West_Brom        15   19   -5       2.27    67.63     0.53    46.32     6.70   -11.45     0.01     0.03     0.09     0.31     1.96     4.24R    0.29  
Chelsea          15   15   -7     -10.76     2.26   -14.89    54.55     7.02     5.11     0.09     0.64     2.17     5.55    19.24     0.32R    0.01  
Swansea          15   14   -8      -4.38    20.96    -4.82    41.21     6.74   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.35    15.08R    1.73  
Norwich          15   13  -10      -2.85    30.62    -1.96    36.67     6.84   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08    37.91R    8.02  
Bournemouth      15   13  -12      -2.12    35.71    -1.99    34.92     6.78   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    49.31R   12.09  
Newcastle        15   13  -14      -1.49    40.30    -3.60    35.56     6.56   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04    45.84R   10.32  
Sunderland       15   12  -12      -3.08    28.29    -3.34    33.40     6.38   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.55R   15.70  
Aston_Villa      15    6  -15      -7.29     5.74    -3.39    27.46     6.38   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.27R   51.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 December 2015, Sheff_Wed 0 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        19   41  +11      12.12    97.64     6.67    79.74     7.60    14.12    10.08    23.82    81.69    35.36P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   19   39  +17       5.40    81.14     5.97    85.83     7.57    30.99    32.51    57.40    95.85    69.59P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           19   37  +15       3.85    73.13     4.50    84.87     7.65    31.24    28.47    52.67    94.37    65.77P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            19   35  +15       1.63    59.78     4.53    83.37     7.62    31.30    22.24    44.59    92.50    60.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         19   34   +7       3.09    68.41    -0.09    76.03     7.85    14.61     4.75    13.10    67.04    26.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         19   29   +4       2.66    66.89     3.12    67.25     7.68     6.25     0.34     1.42    24.67     6.08P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   29   +3       3.71    72.77     3.61    64.93     7.50     2.06     0.11     0.60    15.55     3.29P    0.32R    0.02  
Birmingham      19   28   +3       2.57    66.40     3.72    62.96     7.65     0.37     0.08     0.44    10.99     2.28P    0.80R    0.04  
Ipswich         19   28   +1      -0.04    50.06    -2.06    67.08     7.84     4.24     0.36     1.57    24.05     6.34P    0.22R    0.01  
Brentford       19   28   +1       0.46    53.14    -1.27    67.25     7.90     4.47     0.46     1.67    24.89     6.61P    0.21R    0.01  
Reading         19   27   +4       1.06    57.12     3.99    62.33     7.64     1.93     0.06     0.33     9.68     1.99P    0.85R    0.07  
QPR             19   26   -1      -1.95    38.50    -3.86    65.55     8.06     3.10     0.27     1.08    19.22     5.29P    0.45R    0.04  
Blackburn       19   24   +3      -3.39    29.69     0.86    63.23     7.67     6.66     0.08     0.43    12.18     3.05P    0.64R    0.04  
Wolverhampton   19   24   +0      -3.70    28.38    -2.59    64.28     7.76     5.07     0.15     0.64    15.09     4.03P    0.56R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest   19   23   +0      -2.88    32.87    -0.09    59.93     7.73     0.09     0.01     0.13     5.76     1.31P    2.19R    0.22  
Fulham          19   22   -2      -2.44    35.68     0.89    56.22     7.88    -7.07     0.00     0.04     2.42     0.46P    6.58R    0.91  
Leeds_United    19   22   -4      -0.90    44.93     0.10    54.88     7.47    -9.23     0.00     0.02     1.15     0.19P    7.91R    1.08  
Preston         19   21   -1      -3.16    30.98     0.92    56.62     7.68    -1.98     0.00     0.03     2.43     0.50P    4.96R    0.55  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -2.65    34.01    -1.02    49.30     7.57   -17.47     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   26.03R    6.11  
MK_Dons         19   16  -11      -5.90    17.00    -5.13    47.33     7.72   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   35.20R    9.36  
Bristol_City    19   16  -14      -5.41    19.45    -7.11    46.26     7.69   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   41.90R   12.99  
Charlton        19   16  -15      -4.13    24.81    -6.67    45.80     7.36   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   44.39R   13.25  
Rotherham       19   15  -13      -3.97    25.86    -2.05    41.69     7.25   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.10R   30.02  
Bolton          19   12  -14      -8.96     6.07    -6.92    42.41     7.39   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.54R   25.24  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    20   41   +8      13.09    97.63     7.02    76.91     7.71     8.56     9.45    20.74    66.48    29.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         20   39  +17       7.30    86.34    10.53    80.34     7.78    25.58    20.92    38.18    82.33    48.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall          20   39  +16       7.03    85.84     9.29    80.57     7.59    24.76    20.97    38.86    83.63    50.30P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       20   38  +14       6.79    84.49     8.40    77.97     7.85    20.64    13.60    27.14    73.11    37.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Wigan            20   34  +10      -1.06    43.28    -1.32    79.72     7.69    24.77    18.27    35.18    80.85    51.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   33  +15      -0.42    47.18     5.48    77.08     7.76    28.23    11.72    24.51    71.25    38.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         20   31   +3       0.71    54.10    -1.29    69.82     7.95     7.67     2.00     5.49    33.15    12.54P    0.58R    0.01  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.32    78.89     5.33    65.28     7.68     1.31     0.43     1.35    15.01     4.02P    2.24R    0.09  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.25    69.44     1.30    67.30     7.51     3.23     0.72     2.18    21.04     6.28P    1.01R    0.04  
Bury             20   30   +1       4.65    76.02     4.53    63.41     7.87    -2.79     0.29     0.99    10.63     2.81P    4.19R    0.24  
Port_Vale        20   29   +3       1.82    61.28     3.40    63.77     7.63     1.50     0.33     1.00    11.17     3.14P    3.19R    0.16  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.36    25.77    -3.83    66.55     7.76     7.85     0.77     2.35    20.09     7.32P    1.58R    0.08  
Rochdale         20   27   +1      -0.68    46.42     0.71    64.49     7.77     3.56     0.32     1.20    13.41     4.06P    2.96R    0.18  
Scunthorpe       20   26   -3       0.54    53.96     0.34    58.94     7.63    -7.43     0.04     0.16     3.51     0.79P   11.45R    0.97  
Doncaster        20   24   -6      -2.21    37.06    -4.22    58.88     7.62    -6.92     0.04     0.18     3.44     0.93P   11.49R    1.14  
Chesterfield     20   23  -10      -3.66    29.35    -8.68    57.12     7.66   -12.84     0.02     0.08     2.13     0.59P   16.90R    2.06  
Swindon          20   22   -5      -7.91    11.99    -8.71    60.51     7.86    -0.93     0.10     0.33     5.88     1.73P    8.42R    0.73  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.30    25.68     1.23    54.35     7.50    -5.33     0.01     0.03     0.95     0.25P   25.79R    3.82  
Shrewsbury       20   21   -5      -4.99    22.66    -2.88    54.17     7.75    -8.94     0.01     0.04     0.99     0.25P   27.38R    4.35  
Colchester       20   20  -19      -0.99    45.26    -6.91    47.41     7.50   -34.07     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   65.02R   21.85  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.42    25.02    -3.77    49.39     7.46   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   52.59R   12.89  
Blackpool        20   19  -12      -4.68    23.79    -6.61    48.97     7.47   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   55.17R   14.39  
Crewe            20   19  -14      -0.86    45.69    -2.08    45.10     7.13   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   75.61R   30.78  
Barnsley         20   18   -9      -8.49     9.78    -7.25    52.70     7.68   -10.77     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.15P   34.37R    6.20  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   40  +15       8.20    89.67     8.60    81.08     7.67    23.04    22.06    56.20    88.35    64.25P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             20   40  +14       7.75    88.39     6.91    83.07     7.62    24.71    31.19    66.32    92.70    73.56P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          20   40  +10       9.62    92.45     5.64    79.43     7.79    15.62    16.09    46.00    82.70    54.20P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.94    88.76    10.73    74.17     8.11    15.02     6.03    23.62    61.43    31.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +15       2.02    61.92     8.16    75.07     7.73    23.04     7.34    27.57    68.16    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             20   33   +2       5.73    80.06     2.82    67.34     7.90    -0.97     0.85     5.78    27.61     9.87P    0.05R    0.01  
Mansfield            20   32  +10       5.58    80.42    11.24    65.93     7.56     7.68     0.48     3.86    22.72     7.53P    0.05R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        20   31   +5      -4.35    25.74    -7.20    76.77     7.91    20.43    10.22    35.29    74.31    49.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              19   30   +5       0.27    51.73    -0.44    71.07     7.92    11.07     2.66    13.25    46.47    22.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   30   +4       2.80    66.56     4.08    66.53     7.83     5.52     0.71     4.78    24.97     9.35P    0.08R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.39    64.23     0.91    65.24     7.78     0.13     0.46     3.36    19.69     6.76P    0.13R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   28   +0       2.15    63.27     2.44    62.00     7.71    -2.54     0.13     1.16    10.46     3.08P    0.45R    0.12  
Morecambe            20   27   +0      -0.03    50.19     0.97    62.98     7.84     0.02     0.23     1.93    13.37     4.40P    0.37R    0.07  
Luton                20   26   +4      -3.92    28.01     0.32    64.20     7.74     7.79     0.37     2.61    17.61     6.65P    0.18R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd        20   26   -1       0.62    54.45     2.52    59.13     7.71    -5.26     0.06     0.59     5.58     1.52P    1.20R    0.27  
Notts_County         19   25   -3      -3.80    28.68    -7.08    66.62     8.26     3.89     0.92     5.65    26.74    11.78P    0.16R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         20   25   -7      -3.11    32.66    -7.95    62.74     7.98    -3.95     0.17     1.71    12.51     4.46P    0.49R    0.09  
Stevenage            20   22   -9      -5.24    21.85    -8.48    57.35     7.80    -9.79     0.02     0.28     3.57     1.08P    2.34R    0.63  
Barnet               20   21   -9      -0.94    45.29     0.01    50.03     7.72   -19.74     0.00     0.03     0.44     0.11P   13.80R    4.97  
Hartlepool           19   20  -10      -0.64    47.18    -1.88    47.86     7.45   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   19.78R    7.46  
Newport_County       20   19   -8      -4.92    22.68    -2.79    50.53     7.48   -14.22     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.10P   10.86R    3.45  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -15      -9.84     5.73    -7.78    42.88     7.54   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   42.76R   21.34  
York                 20   12  -20      -9.65     5.64   -11.00    39.86     7.38   -32.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.96R   37.42  
Yeovil               20   11  -15     -13.55     1.44   -10.75    42.18     7.67   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   46.33R   24.07  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 December 2015, Gateshead 0 1 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       24   50  +31       1.53    57.46     6.60    95.01     6.44    54.40    72.06    99.29    82.49P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       5.99    80.30     4.00    85.65     7.10    29.46    11.41    85.65    29.83P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   25   43  +10       4.86    74.48     4.41    74.04     6.61    13.24     0.38    26.68     4.81P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        23   43   +9       6.51    81.63     1.54    80.03     7.11    17.49     3.02    60.42    13.68P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.48    34.89     5.18    85.05     6.79    42.52    11.03    86.26    38.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.42    63.37     5.87    76.26     6.99    22.05     1.00    41.37     9.41P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       5.89    80.03     6.13    75.03     6.95    15.24     0.59    32.59     6.55P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     24   40   +9       5.87    79.22     7.34    72.02     6.83    11.47     0.21    18.75     3.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     25   38  +10      -0.89    45.27     3.25    70.70     6.56    15.88     0.07    14.16     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        24   37   -5       4.02    71.46    -4.72    66.19     6.77    -6.74     0.02     4.10     0.55P    0.05R    0.00  
Woking           24   34   +7      -3.50    31.76     0.09    67.42     6.90    11.74     0.05     7.03     1.48P    0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +6      -7.46    14.90    -6.89    72.16     6.87    17.90     0.16    20.61     5.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.18    67.07     6.57    63.22     7.42     0.03     0.01     2.86     0.45P    0.39R    0.02  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.96    84.04     0.40    53.73     6.74   -27.25     0.00     0.04     0.00P    8.15R    1.00  
Chester          25   30   -8       2.10    62.24     2.52    56.59     6.52   -11.73     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.78R    0.25  
Guiseley         25   30  -13       3.39    68.52    -0.55    49.22     6.20   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.04R    3.35  
Aldershot        24   28  -11      -0.95    45.24    -4.73    56.20     6.71   -14.23     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.56R    0.34  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.76    67.05    -1.83    50.59     6.62   -26.18     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.44R    2.91  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.28    37.60    -0.14    49.75     6.67   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.43R    3.51  
Southport        23   24  -13       0.68    55.43    -0.31    49.39     6.66   -22.33     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.14R    4.16  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -5.17    24.15     2.15    46.40     6.63   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.24R    8.92  
Torquay          23   17  -21     -10.51     5.90   -14.26    45.79     6.92   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.02R   11.89  
Halifax          23   17  -23     -10.30     6.76   -14.81    41.42     6.83   -36.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.57R   31.51  
Kidderminster    23   14  -14     -13.45     1.98    -7.82    40.73     6.72   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.14R   32.15