Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 8 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 December 2015, Everton 1 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        15   32  +11      10.12    96.46     9.08    62.42     7.04     8.40     1.89     6.57    15.65    28.99    57.59     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          15   30  +14       1.30    58.45     1.55    74.18     6.73    34.17    31.71    60.36    79.58    89.64    97.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         15   29  +14      -1.90    34.48    -3.35    75.97     6.69    39.39    45.02    71.23    86.10    93.36    98.33     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          15   29  +10       2.31    66.04     0.88    71.14     6.82    25.91    15.64    39.44    63.37    78.56    93.16     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        15   26  +13       1.75    62.41     7.53    64.73     7.00    24.10     3.70    12.46    26.77    45.08    73.08     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   15   23   +5       4.04    77.83     7.35    53.03     6.84     2.94     0.04     0.35     1.20     3.36    13.12     0.43R    0.01  
West_Ham         15   23   +4       3.15    72.33     5.27    54.86     7.05     4.41     0.13     0.79     2.38     6.03    20.03     0.19R    0.01  
Liverpool        15   23   +1       0.20    51.55    -2.38    60.31     7.17     9.70     0.90     3.97    10.45    20.99    47.15     0.03R    0.00  
Everton          15   22   +8      -1.14    42.01     4.16    59.26     7.10    16.61     0.71     3.11     8.53    18.17    43.36     0.05R    0.00  
Watford          15   22   +1       3.89    76.12     5.06    48.76     7.01    -6.67     0.01     0.09     0.36     1.09     4.97     2.03R    0.10  
Stoke            15   22   -1       2.14    65.99    -0.17    51.49     6.82    -3.53     0.02     0.20     0.71     2.10     8.79     0.63R    0.03  
Southampton      15   21   +3      -2.79    30.36    -1.75    55.25     6.97     7.06     0.14     0.80     2.65     6.77    21.90     0.15R    0.01  
West_Brom        15   19   -5       2.19    66.97     0.43    46.48     6.76   -11.27     0.00     0.03     0.08     0.36     2.13     3.99R    0.26  
Chelsea          15   15   -7     -10.73     2.43   -14.84    54.48     6.99     5.03     0.11     0.60     2.16     5.46    18.61     0.30R    0.01  
Swansea          15   14   -8      -4.47    20.48    -4.91    41.21     6.73   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.34    14.95R    1.75  
Norwich          15   13  -10      -2.82    30.71    -1.87    36.66     6.81   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    37.57R    8.03  
Bournemouth      15   13  -12      -2.01    36.53    -1.82    34.78     6.75   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.26R   12.24  
Newcastle        15   13  -14      -1.50    39.94    -3.59    35.54     6.57   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    45.48R   10.18  
Sunderland       15   12  -12      -3.03    28.54    -3.26    33.33     6.33   -28.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.71R   15.33  
Aston_Villa      15    6  -15      -7.33     5.44    -3.37    27.42     6.38   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.22R   52.04  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 December 2015, Sheff_Wed 0 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        19   41  +11      12.23    97.81     6.77    79.60     7.55    13.98     9.85    23.38    81.42    34.92P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   19   39  +17       5.49    81.35     6.05    85.83     7.54    30.97    33.13    57.78    95.94    70.03P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           19   37  +15       3.96    73.47     4.66    84.73     7.61    30.98    27.85    52.29    94.35    65.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            19   35  +15       1.67    60.28     4.55    83.41     7.67    31.35    22.42    44.92    92.49    60.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         19   34   +7       3.16    68.95    -0.02    76.00     7.79    14.55     4.68    13.06    66.95    27.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         19   29   +4       2.47    65.63     2.87    67.45     7.71     6.47     0.37     1.57    25.36     6.45P    0.17R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   29   +3       3.60    72.16     3.46    64.98     7.57     2.15     0.16     0.71    15.70     3.41P    0.34R    0.02  
Birmingham      19   28   +3       2.57    66.26     3.76    62.80     7.62     0.14     0.06     0.36    10.41     2.15P    0.78R    0.06  
Ipswich         19   28   +1      -0.15    49.01    -2.21    67.32     7.86     4.57     0.45     1.73    25.05     6.59P    0.22R    0.01  
Brentford       19   28   +1       0.60    54.19    -1.07    66.89     7.82     3.97     0.38     1.48    23.23     6.03P    0.22R    0.00  
Reading         19   27   +4       0.99    56.65     3.91    62.38     7.62     2.00     0.07     0.32     9.82     2.07P    0.88R    0.06  
QPR             19   26   -1      -1.88    38.82    -3.73    65.54     8.04     3.02     0.25     1.03    19.36     5.40P    0.52R    0.03  
Blackburn       19   24   +3      -3.38    29.77     0.82    63.35     7.66     6.80     0.13     0.48    12.29     3.18P    0.67R    0.06  
Wolverhampton   19   24   +0      -3.84    27.27    -2.79    64.44     7.74     5.28     0.16     0.66    15.53     4.09P    0.48R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest   19   23   +0      -2.90    32.47    -0.11    59.83     7.64    -0.04     0.02     0.11     5.48     1.22P    2.18R    0.20  
Fulham          19   22   -2      -2.38    36.14     1.02    56.23     7.89    -6.99     0.01     0.06     2.57     0.48P    6.59R    0.93  
Leeds_United    19   22   -4      -0.93    44.91     0.03    55.00     7.42    -9.03     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.20P    7.66R    0.96  
Preston         19   21   -1      -3.01    32.17     1.11    56.42     7.69    -2.31     0.00     0.04     2.36     0.46P    5.45R    0.67  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -2.81    32.79    -1.25    49.57     7.53   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   24.77R    5.69  
MK_Dons         19   16  -11      -6.02    16.54    -5.29    47.39     7.66   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   34.64R    9.22  
Bristol_City    19   16  -14      -5.37    19.86    -7.06    46.11     7.76   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   42.97R   13.51  
Charlton        19   16  -15      -4.11    25.18    -6.61    45.87     7.37   -24.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   43.76R   13.03  
Rotherham       19   15  -13      -3.84    26.45    -1.82    41.45     7.18   -29.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.64R   30.82  
Bolton          19   12  -14      -9.04     6.03    -7.04    42.53     7.41   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   60.07R   24.68  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    20   41   +8      13.12    97.62     7.05    76.82     7.70     8.48     9.37    20.58    66.10    28.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         20   39  +17       7.18    86.10    10.32    80.56     7.74    25.96    21.89    39.47    83.17    49.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall          20   39  +16       7.02    85.93     9.25    80.51     7.61    24.75    20.74    38.58    83.32    50.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham       20   38  +14       6.79    84.67     8.36    77.97     7.79    20.57    13.30    26.94    73.33    37.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Wigan            20   34  +10      -1.11    43.02    -1.39    79.76     7.72    24.78    18.63    35.48    80.92    51.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   33  +15      -0.28    48.05     5.73    76.80     7.75    27.83    10.87    23.36    70.06    36.84P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         20   31   +3       0.72    54.52    -1.30    69.82     7.97     7.63     2.14     5.51    33.05    12.37P    0.64R    0.02  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.31    79.25     5.30    65.39     7.73     1.42     0.43     1.53    15.40     4.22P    2.16R    0.11  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.18    69.10     1.19    67.39     7.54     3.36     0.76     2.41    21.53     6.70P    1.00R    0.03  
Bury             20   30   +1       4.61    75.77     4.53    63.48     7.79    -2.62     0.25     0.85    10.61     2.63P    4.14R    0.22  
Port_Vale        20   29   +3       1.72    60.67     3.23    63.87     7.62     1.67     0.34     1.01    11.41     3.21P    3.09R    0.14  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.32    25.66    -3.82    66.53     7.73     7.80     0.77     2.25    20.04     7.26P    1.44R    0.06  
Rochdale         20   27   +1      -0.71    46.43     0.75    64.56     7.73     3.68     0.34     1.23    13.52     4.12P    2.77R    0.17  
Scunthorpe       20   26   -3       0.63    54.38     0.47    58.81     7.63    -7.70     0.03     0.12     3.36     0.73P   11.88R    1.10  
Doncaster        20   24   -6      -2.13    37.51    -4.12    58.87     7.62    -7.00     0.04     0.15     3.24     0.84P   11.59R    1.05  
Chesterfield     20   23  -10      -3.68    29.51    -8.69    57.13     7.69   -12.82     0.03     0.08     2.19     0.55P   17.40R    1.90  
Swindon          20   22   -5      -7.82    12.23    -8.58    60.41     7.85    -1.12     0.07     0.37     5.68     1.79P    8.49R    0.81  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.27    25.85     1.29    54.41     7.54    -5.32     0.01     0.03     1.00     0.19P   25.36R    3.85  
Shrewsbury       20   21   -5      -5.08    22.56    -3.03    54.25     7.77    -8.78     0.01     0.04     1.08     0.29P   27.34R    4.11  
Colchester       20   20  -19      -0.80    46.42    -6.57    47.11     7.45   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   66.59R   22.73  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.36    25.10    -3.67    49.34     7.42   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   52.57R   12.81  
Blackpool        20   19  -12      -4.89    22.81    -6.89    49.20     7.54   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   53.93R   13.81  
Crewe            20   19  -14      -0.81    46.38    -2.01    45.01     7.11   -29.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.91R   31.04  
Barnsley         20   18   -9      -8.61     9.26    -7.38    52.80     7.69   -10.59     0.00     0.02     0.63     0.16P   33.63R    6.04  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   40  +15       8.10    89.05     8.45    81.27     7.63    23.30    22.70    56.93    88.91    65.07P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             20   40  +14       7.64    88.11     6.73    83.16     7.62    24.88    31.33    66.45    92.85    73.64P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          20   40  +10       9.77    92.84     5.86    79.33     7.82    15.37    15.53    45.45    82.12    53.41P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.91    88.58    10.70    74.18     8.16    15.01     6.18    23.72    61.49    31.55P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +15       2.16    62.55     8.36    74.88     7.71    22.74     6.89    26.90    67.37    37.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             20   33   +2       5.85    80.76     3.01    67.11     7.91    -1.29     0.93     5.57    26.49     9.39P    0.06R    0.01  
Mansfield            20   32  +10       5.41    79.86    11.04    66.12     7.60     7.90     0.61     4.07    23.30     7.89P    0.07R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        20   31   +5      -4.47    25.18    -7.38    76.85     7.91    20.54    10.35    35.49    74.58    49.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              19   30   +5       0.28    51.98    -0.45    71.09     7.89    11.08     2.55    13.29    46.34    22.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   30   +4       2.84    66.83     4.13    66.50     7.83     5.47     0.64     4.55    24.88     9.11P    0.08R    0.01  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.24    63.21     0.70    65.44     7.75     0.41     0.46     3.51    20.48     7.19P    0.15R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   28   +0       2.12    63.35     2.42    61.98     7.71    -2.57     0.13     1.35    10.38     3.11P    0.46R    0.07  
Morecambe            20   27   +0      -0.03    50.31     0.98    62.98     7.85     0.02     0.22     1.81    13.53     4.41P    0.38R    0.07  
Luton                20   26   +4      -3.83    28.24     0.45    64.19     7.78     7.77     0.34     2.83    17.74     6.68P    0.18R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd        20   26   -1       0.63    54.40     2.51    59.16     7.73    -5.23     0.08     0.57     5.73     1.65P    1.23R    0.28  
Notts_County         19   25   -3      -3.90    27.97    -7.21    66.71     8.26     3.99     0.88     5.58    27.13    11.86P    0.14R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         20   25   -7      -3.00    33.23    -7.76    62.57     8.00    -4.24     0.18     1.65    12.09     4.35P    0.55R    0.12  
Stevenage            20   22   -9      -5.18    22.05    -8.43    57.31     7.80    -9.84     0.02     0.26     3.58     1.04P    2.29R    0.61  
Barnet               20   21   -9      -1.00    44.99    -0.06    50.15     7.71   -19.59     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.08P   13.72R    4.76  
Hartlepool           19   20  -10      -0.52    48.08    -1.69    47.73     7.45   -24.08     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   20.51R    8.01  
Newport_County       20   19   -8      -4.80    23.33    -2.59    50.36     7.55   -14.45     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.11P   11.42R    3.85  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -15      -9.89     5.58    -7.87    42.95     7.43   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.30R   20.90  
York                 20   12  -20      -9.74     5.42   -11.16    40.04     7.40   -31.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.14R   36.73  
Yeovil               20   11  -15     -13.52     1.57   -10.75    42.12     7.72   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.32R   24.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 December 2015, Gateshead 0 1 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       24   50  +31       1.73    58.71     6.95    94.79     6.45    53.96    71.18    99.25    81.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       5.98    80.36     3.99    85.75     7.05    29.59    11.88    85.96    30.71P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   25   43  +10       4.81    74.28     4.28    74.05     6.57    13.34     0.35    26.80     4.87P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        23   43   +9       6.65    82.39     1.74    79.86     7.11    17.16     2.86    59.50    13.10P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.56    34.69     5.04    85.07     6.77    42.59    11.57    86.45    39.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.43    63.12     5.90    76.26     7.04    22.03     1.04    41.63     9.54P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       5.89    80.20     6.14    75.05     6.86    15.21     0.59    32.25     6.48P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     24   40   +9       5.78    78.78     7.23    72.07     6.79    11.60     0.20    19.05     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     25   38  +10      -0.90    45.35     3.27    70.69     6.56    15.85     0.08    14.04     3.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        24   37   -5       4.09    71.68    -4.62    66.16     6.80    -6.80     0.01     4.19     0.62P    0.06R    0.00  
Woking           24   34   +7      -3.60    31.19    -0.10    67.56     6.86    11.95     0.04     7.25     1.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +6      -7.41    15.41    -6.78    72.09     6.90    17.78     0.19    20.47     6.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.09    66.56     6.44    63.38     7.36     0.29     0.01     2.87     0.38P    0.42R    0.02  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.92    83.92     0.36    53.70     6.73   -27.25     0.00     0.04     0.00     8.01R    0.97  
Chester          25   30   -8       2.12    62.45     2.53    56.51     6.47   -11.78     0.00     0.08     0.01P    2.74R    0.26  
Guiseley         25   30  -13       3.28    68.20    -0.73    49.33     6.21   -28.11     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.49R    3.22  
Aldershot        24   28  -11      -0.92    45.51    -4.67    56.16     6.68   -14.29     0.00     0.12     0.01P    3.72R    0.43  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.70    66.83    -1.89    50.64     6.67   -26.09     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.67R    2.94  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.18    38.16    -0.07    49.73     6.62   -16.77     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.45R    3.51  
Southport        23   24  -13       0.74    55.66    -0.17    49.29     6.68   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.67R    4.37  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -5.20    23.82     2.11    46.46     6.57   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.81R    8.39  
Torquay          23   17  -21     -10.49     6.12   -14.20    45.84     6.92   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.76R   12.01  
Halifax          23   17  -23     -10.34     6.43   -14.94    41.44     6.77   -36.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.75R   31.41  
Kidderminster    23   14  -14     -13.44     2.04    -7.82    40.70     6.73   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.41R   32.45