Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 7 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 December 2015, Everton 1 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        15   32  +11      10.05    96.42     9.02    62.46     7.03     8.44     1.89     6.81    15.78    29.42    57.42     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          15   30  +14       1.22    57.98     1.40    74.25     6.75    34.34    32.18    60.75    79.62    89.46    97.23     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         15   29  +14      -1.92    34.48    -3.41    75.97     6.68    39.46    44.90    71.05    85.97    93.11    98.38     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          15   29  +10       2.29    66.05     0.86    71.17     6.83    25.94    15.51    39.38    63.47    78.83    93.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        15   26  +13       1.77    62.41     7.55    64.81     6.98    24.21     3.58    12.44    27.04    45.58    73.75     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   15   23   +5       4.11    78.39     7.44    52.93     6.86     2.81     0.05     0.27     1.18     3.23    13.04     0.35R    0.01  
West_Ham         15   23   +4       3.11    72.07     5.24    54.98     7.04     4.56     0.15     0.77     2.47     6.31    20.41     0.19R    0.00  
Liverpool        15   23   +1       0.22    51.78    -2.32    60.29     7.14     9.66     0.82     3.74    10.10    20.68    47.17     0.03R    0.00  
Everton          15   22   +8      -1.15    41.75     4.18    59.17     7.07    16.50     0.67     3.05     8.40    17.73    42.59     0.04R    0.00  
Watford          15   22   +1       3.89    76.38     5.05    48.69     6.98    -6.77     0.00     0.08     0.35     1.07     4.77     2.09R    0.09  
Stoke            15   22   -1       2.11    65.62    -0.21    51.51     6.76    -3.49     0.02     0.19     0.68     2.00     8.82     0.59R    0.01  
Southampton      15   21   +3      -2.71    31.00    -1.61    55.09     7.01     6.83     0.15     0.87     2.69     6.54    21.31     0.16R    0.00  
West_Brom        15   19   -5       2.23    67.16     0.49    46.45     6.77   -11.29     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.39     2.14     4.23R    0.26  
Chelsea          15   15   -7     -10.81     2.26   -14.97    54.62     7.02     5.22     0.07     0.57     2.12     5.58    19.23     0.33R    0.01  
Swansea          15   14   -8      -4.35    21.18    -4.74    41.13     6.76   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.38    15.35R    1.71  
Norwich          15   13  -10      -2.90    30.15    -2.00    36.81     6.83   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    36.88R    7.62  
Bournemouth      15   13  -12      -1.98    36.65    -1.76    34.76     6.74   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.36R   12.50  
Newcastle        15   13  -14      -1.42    40.69    -3.51    35.50     6.52   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    45.95R   10.13  
Sunderland       15   12  -12      -3.13    27.88    -3.41    33.37     6.41   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.44R   15.64  
Aston_Villa      15    6  -15      -7.25     5.82    -3.27    27.41     6.41   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.00R   52.02  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 December 2015, Sheff_Wed 0 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        19   41  +11      12.08    97.64     6.60    79.76     7.57    14.16     9.78    23.53    81.98    35.33P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   19   39  +17       5.43    81.36     6.00    85.82     7.58    30.96    32.56    57.40    95.89    69.61P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           19   37  +15       3.85    73.04     4.48    84.89     7.62    31.25    28.65    52.68    94.68    65.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            19   35  +15       1.61    59.66     4.46    83.51     7.69    31.52    22.56    45.41    92.62    61.47P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         19   34   +7       3.13    68.55    -0.01    75.92     7.79    14.46     4.60    12.68    66.93    26.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         19   29   +4       2.67    66.82     3.16    67.21     7.68     6.17     0.33     1.39    24.41     5.94P    0.17R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   29   +3       3.68    72.57     3.55    64.97     7.53     2.13     0.13     0.61    15.75     3.28P    0.32R    0.02  
Birmingham      19   28   +3       2.62    66.60     3.81    62.80     7.62     0.19     0.07     0.39    10.49     2.20P    0.73R    0.06  
Ipswich         19   28   +1      -0.03    50.04    -2.05    67.16     7.85     4.31     0.43     1.66    24.23     6.52P    0.20R    0.01  
Brentford       19   28   +1       0.54    53.75    -1.16    67.07     7.85     4.21     0.36     1.58    23.88     6.19P    0.22R    0.02  
Reading         19   27   +4       0.94    56.42     3.79    62.45     7.65     2.11     0.06     0.31     9.97     2.13P    0.92R    0.07  
QPR             19   26   -1      -1.94    38.30    -3.79    65.56     8.05     3.09     0.23     1.06    19.39     5.17P    0.48R    0.04  
Blackburn       19   24   +3      -3.40    30.01     0.79    63.38     7.73     6.82     0.10     0.49    12.82     3.34P    0.69R    0.05  
Wolverhampton   19   24   +0      -3.72    28.14    -2.62    64.25     7.72     5.01     0.10     0.56    14.80     3.76P    0.55R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest   19   23   +0      -2.92    32.40    -0.14    59.89     7.67     0.07     0.02     0.12     5.63     1.20P    2.06R    0.16  
Fulham          19   22   -2      -2.42    35.80     0.92    56.36     7.90    -6.87     0.01     0.07     2.70     0.53P    6.41R    0.89  
Leeds_United    19   22   -4      -0.97    44.59    -0.03    55.02     7.43    -9.05     0.00     0.01     1.23     0.21P    7.37R    0.99  
Preston         19   21   -1      -2.95    32.33     1.16    56.37     7.63    -2.33     0.00     0.06     2.14     0.46P    5.39R    0.62  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -2.73    33.59    -1.16    49.38     7.53   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   25.51R    5.66  
MK_Dons         19   16  -11      -5.97    16.82    -5.16    47.36     7.69   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   34.85R    9.33  
Bristol_City    19   16  -14      -5.38    19.76    -7.05    46.15     7.70   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   42.68R   13.17  
Charlton        19   16  -15      -4.21    24.23    -6.75    45.89     7.34   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   43.58R   13.02  
Rotherham       19   15  -13      -3.87    26.43    -1.82    41.54     7.21   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.77R   30.47  
Bolton          19   12  -14      -8.96     6.11    -6.95    42.37     7.38   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.08R   25.39  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    20   41   +8      13.23    97.81     7.21    76.73     7.69     8.34     9.06    19.91    65.37    28.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         20   39  +17       7.11    85.92    10.24    80.68     7.73    26.08    21.89    39.73    83.89    50.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall          20   39  +16       6.97    85.80     9.17    80.61     7.55    24.90    21.21    39.14    83.74    50.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       20   38  +14       6.87    84.77     8.50    77.97     7.79    20.60    13.41    27.07    73.32    37.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Wigan            20   34  +10      -1.02    43.16    -1.29    79.64     7.76    24.67    18.09    34.71    80.14    50.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   33  +15      -0.34    47.81     5.60    76.97     7.75    28.00    11.20    23.83    70.81    37.40P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         20   31   +3       0.56    53.40    -1.51    70.03     7.96     7.93     2.15     5.90    33.96    13.02P    0.61R    0.02  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.09    78.09     5.01    65.44     7.71     1.55     0.50     1.53    15.45     4.28P    2.10R    0.09  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.22    69.16     1.27    67.33     7.51     3.26     0.67     2.23    21.09     6.48P    1.00R    0.04  
Bury             20   30   +1       4.61    75.70     4.49    63.45     7.85    -2.67     0.28     0.96    10.76     2.79P    4.02R    0.23  
Port_Vale        20   29   +3       1.74    60.85     3.28    63.68     7.53     1.41     0.25     0.86    10.70     2.91P    3.16R    0.14  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.31    25.67    -3.78    66.56     7.71     7.84     0.73     2.19    19.88     7.10P    1.42R    0.04  
Rochdale         20   27   +1      -0.63    46.47     0.82    64.43     7.69     3.47     0.32     1.07    13.14     3.77P    2.84R    0.15  
Scunthorpe       20   26   -3       0.59    54.18     0.42    58.85     7.57    -7.59     0.06     0.17     3.27     0.77P   11.55R    0.90  
Doncaster        20   24   -6      -2.16    37.58    -4.12    58.90     7.65    -6.93     0.03     0.13     3.39     0.84P   11.47R    1.15  
Chesterfield     20   23  -10      -3.67    29.43    -8.68    57.13     7.70   -12.84     0.03     0.09     2.15     0.57P   17.12R    2.02  
Swindon          20   22   -5      -7.84    11.94    -8.62    60.51     7.82    -1.00     0.10     0.38     5.90     1.76P    8.14R    0.68  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.37    25.31     1.11    54.54     7.57    -5.13     0.00     0.03     0.94     0.20P   25.04R    3.63  
Shrewsbury       20   21   -5      -5.15    22.06    -3.09    54.29     7.79    -8.71     0.01     0.03     1.16     0.33P   27.30R    4.11  
Colchester       20   20  -19      -0.75    46.59    -6.55    47.12     7.49   -34.54     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   66.30R   22.77  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.20    26.11    -3.45    49.12     7.38   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   53.85R   13.06  
Blackpool        20   19  -12      -4.90    22.98    -6.93    49.23     7.53   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   53.44R   13.32  
Crewe            20   19  -14      -0.80    46.30    -1.96    44.90     7.13   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   76.33R   31.58  
Barnsley         20   18   -9      -8.45     9.68    -7.15    52.71     7.72   -10.72     0.01     0.03     0.58     0.15P   34.25R    6.06  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   40  +15       8.18    89.46     8.55    81.19     7.67    23.20    22.57    56.76    88.46    64.87P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             20   40  +14       7.60    87.68     6.70    83.16     7.60    24.89    31.67    66.93    92.95    74.19P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          20   40  +10       9.73    92.75     5.74    79.27     7.81    15.40    15.44    45.20    82.05    53.09P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.97    88.88    10.80    74.05     8.11    14.86     5.96    23.38    61.03    31.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +15       2.12    62.54     8.32    74.87     7.74    22.76     6.97    27.13    67.31    38.26P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             20   33   +2       5.84    80.75     2.99    67.13     7.95    -1.30     0.97     5.72    26.97     9.55P    0.08R    0.02  
Mansfield            20   32  +10       5.44    79.88    11.09    66.07     7.60     7.89     0.56     4.04    23.62     7.80P    0.08R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        20   31   +5      -4.44    25.37    -7.31    76.86     7.91    20.53    10.35    35.77    74.87    49.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   30   +5       0.36    52.38    -0.30    71.01     7.92    10.90     2.65    13.35    46.23    22.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   30   +4       2.90    67.05     4.25    66.37     7.76     5.33     0.59     4.27    24.49     8.74P    0.11R    0.01  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.37    64.35     0.90    65.17     7.72     0.09     0.40     3.11    19.36     6.43P    0.16R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   28   +0       2.00    62.34     2.24    62.12     7.67    -2.34     0.11     1.27    10.78     3.17P    0.40R    0.06  
Morecambe            20   27   +0       0.02    50.48     1.07    62.89     7.82    -0.11     0.20     1.77    13.41     4.22P    0.38R    0.07  
Luton                20   26   +4      -3.94    27.64     0.26    64.35     7.77     7.99     0.31     2.87    18.24     7.01P    0.18R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd        20   26   -1       0.73    55.14     2.67    58.95     7.67    -5.54     0.04     0.53     5.18     1.48P    1.34R    0.31  
Notts_County         19   25   -3      -4.02    27.58    -7.39    66.95     8.29     4.32     1.02     6.05    28.28    12.56P    0.13R    0.03  
Crawley_Town         20   25   -7      -2.92    33.76    -7.63    62.48     7.95    -4.41     0.16     1.52    11.93     4.09P    0.57R    0.11  
Stevenage            20   22   -9      -5.22    21.92    -8.49    57.42     7.83    -9.69     0.01     0.30     3.76     1.13P    2.32R    0.61  
Barnet               20   21   -9      -1.04    45.05    -0.15    50.32     7.70   -19.33     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.10P   13.24R    4.76  
Hartlepool           19   20  -10      -0.62    47.55    -1.81    47.77     7.38   -24.06     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   20.49R    7.79  
Newport_County       20   19   -8      -4.83    23.13    -2.65    50.43     7.53   -14.33     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.09P   11.29R    3.82  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -15      -9.90     5.45    -7.89    43.05     7.53   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   42.24R   21.00  
York                 20   12  -20      -9.78     5.46   -11.26    40.08     7.36   -31.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.29R   36.72  
Yeovil               20   11  -15     -13.51     1.47   -10.69    42.12     7.74   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   46.66R   24.63  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 December 2015, Cheltenham 3 1 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       24   50  +31       1.70    58.52     6.94    94.79     6.46    53.99    71.82    99.31    82.29P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       5.97    80.33     3.92    85.65     7.03    29.49    11.44    85.48    30.09P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   25   43  +10       4.96    74.64     4.53    73.99     6.66    13.16     0.36    26.56     4.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.46    35.23     5.19    85.12     6.81    42.66    11.99    86.32    39.47P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.52    63.63     6.06    76.23     7.01    22.01     1.10    41.34     9.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       5.93    80.11     6.16    75.04     6.91    15.21     0.61    32.39     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     24   40   +9       5.91    79.13     7.38    72.07     6.83    11.59     0.22    19.25     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        22   40   +8       5.12    76.67     0.91    77.78     7.34    15.41     1.93    48.28    10.38P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     24   38  +11       0.11    50.44     3.74    72.57     6.81    17.64     0.21    22.41     4.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        23   37   -4       5.30    77.39    -3.87    68.54     7.01    -4.30     0.07     8.36     1.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking           24   34   +7      -3.56    31.33    -0.06    67.53     6.86    11.85     0.04     7.14     1.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +6      -7.40    15.22    -6.79    72.06     6.90    17.78     0.19    20.22     5.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.28    67.76     6.79    63.22     7.32     0.08     0.00     2.70     0.39P    0.37R    0.03  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.66    82.91    -0.10    53.90     6.76   -26.97     0.00     0.05     0.01P    7.22R    0.91  
Chester          25   30   -8       2.05    62.17     2.45    56.57     6.53   -11.73     0.00     0.09     0.00P    2.61R    0.23  
Guiseley         25   30  -13       3.38    68.61    -0.60    49.23     6.17   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.54R    2.98  
Aldershot        24   28  -11      -0.87    45.76    -4.59    56.14     6.72   -14.34     0.00     0.08     0.02P    3.35R    0.34  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.78    67.28    -1.77    50.55     6.59   -26.27     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.72R    2.81  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.31    37.35    -0.20    49.80     6.65   -16.67     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.46R    3.26  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -5.02    24.94     2.42    46.26     6.63   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.68R    8.64  
Southport        22   21  -14      -0.86    45.80    -1.05    46.89     6.85   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.68R    8.90  
Torquay          23   17  -21     -10.57     5.92   -14.32    45.85     6.93   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.08R   11.47  
Halifax          23   17  -23     -10.52     6.21   -15.18    41.61     6.82   -35.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.17R   29.60  
Kidderminster    23   14  -14     -13.53     1.90    -7.94    40.85     6.66   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.07R   30.84