Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 6 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 December 2015, Newcastle 2 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 15 32 +11 10.06 96.43 9.00 62.49 7.04 8.56 1.96 6.75 15.82 29.11 57.30 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 15 30 +14 1.26 58.30 1.50 74.24 6.74 34.25 32.18 60.34 79.05 89.20 97.17 0.00 0.00 Man_City 15 29 +14 -1.89 34.95 -3.39 75.99 6.67 39.47 44.66 70.94 85.54 93.03 98.36 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 15 29 +10 2.30 66.03 0.91 71.09 6.81 25.84 15.33 38.71 62.42 77.93 92.85 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 15 26 +13 1.65 61.70 7.39 64.76 7.04 24.14 3.53 12.41 26.62 44.53 72.56 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 15 23 +4 3.11 72.03 5.27 54.88 7.02 4.44 0.14 0.68 2.33 5.76 19.53 0.21R 0.01 Liverpool 15 23 +1 0.26 51.98 -2.26 60.31 7.18 9.65 0.90 3.91 10.07 20.50 46.40 0.04R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 14 22 +5 4.16 79.25 7.00 52.70 7.07 1.85 0.05 0.37 1.25 3.37 12.63 0.47R 0.01 Watford 15 22 +1 3.82 75.94 4.95 48.77 6.99 -6.60 0.00 0.09 0.37 1.04 4.90 1.99R 0.11 Stoke 15 22 -1 2.13 65.82 -0.17 51.53 6.76 -3.53 0.02 0.16 0.67 1.91 8.54 0.61R 0.01 Everton 14 21 +8 -0.45 46.64 4.59 60.20 7.27 17.52 1.06 4.37 11.17 21.56 48.17 0.04R 0.00 Southampton 15 21 +3 -2.63 31.18 -1.54 55.09 7.00 6.80 0.10 0.71 2.52 6.37 21.09 0.18R 0.00 West_Brom 15 19 -5 2.25 67.54 0.47 46.41 6.73 -11.38 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.37 1.97 4.23R 0.26 Chelsea 15 15 -7 -10.71 2.36 -14.83 54.43 7.05 4.96 0.06 0.54 2.06 5.25 18.09 0.38R 0.01 Swansea 15 14 -8 -4.45 20.72 -4.90 41.33 6.75 -14.73 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.31 14.63R 1.63 Norwich 15 13 -10 -2.91 30.24 -1.99 36.78 6.81 -22.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 37.13R 7.88 Bournemouth 15 13 -12 -2.03 36.45 -1.84 34.83 6.75 -29.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 50.29R 12.24 Newcastle 15 13 -14 -1.47 40.00 -3.56 35.48 6.50 -29.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 46.13R 10.44 Sunderland 15 12 -12 -3.06 28.19 -3.33 33.40 6.37 -28.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.45R 15.21 Aston_Villa 15 6 -15 -7.27 5.77 -3.28 27.43 6.39 -31.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.21R 52.19Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 December 2015, Sheff_Wed 0 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 19 41 +11 12.14 97.64 6.70 79.69 7.53 14.09 9.72 23.73 82.00 35.39P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 19 39 +17 5.45 81.64 6.01 85.82 7.56 30.95 32.93 57.72 95.82 69.93P 0.00 0.00 Derby 19 37 +15 3.93 73.28 4.61 84.77 7.69 31.05 28.19 52.11 94.31 65.15P 0.00 0.00 Hull 19 35 +15 1.76 60.74 4.67 83.33 7.66 31.26 22.38 44.93 92.40 60.92P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 19 34 +7 3.12 68.58 -0.06 75.95 7.82 14.49 4.76 13.01 66.77 26.96P 0.00R 0.00 Cardiff 19 29 +4 2.62 66.81 3.07 67.27 7.73 6.25 0.37 1.51 24.79 6.12P 0.14R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 19 29 +3 3.71 72.66 3.63 65.02 7.59 2.16 0.12 0.64 15.98 3.44P 0.36R 0.02 Birmingham 19 28 +3 2.60 66.61 3.78 62.73 7.59 0.10 0.06 0.33 10.10 2.09P 0.75R 0.03 Ipswich 19 28 +1 0.07 50.55 -1.88 67.01 7.82 4.09 0.39 1.49 23.54 6.01P 0.23R 0.01 Brentford 19 28 +1 0.53 53.36 -1.18 67.05 7.83 4.18 0.38 1.49 23.75 6.18P 0.24R 0.01 Reading 19 27 +4 0.92 56.30 3.82 62.46 7.66 2.11 0.08 0.35 10.26 2.24P 0.86R 0.06 QPR 19 26 -1 -1.83 39.31 -3.64 65.46 8.06 2.93 0.32 1.23 19.11 5.46P 0.42R 0.02 Blackburn 19 24 +3 -3.47 29.36 0.71 63.43 7.74 6.92 0.11 0.52 12.89 3.31P 0.67R 0.05 Wolverhampton 19 24 +0 -3.82 27.63 -2.78 64.49 7.78 5.34 0.16 0.67 15.79 4.18P 0.50R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 19 23 +0 -2.90 32.79 -0.12 59.88 7.70 0.00 0.02 0.15 5.66 1.24P 2.23R 0.19 Fulham 19 22 -2 -2.45 35.66 0.85 56.28 7.83 -6.89 0.01 0.05 2.49 0.45P 6.47R 0.88 Leeds_United 19 22 -4 -0.99 44.37 0.01 54.98 7.43 -9.08 0.00 0.01 1.20 0.20P 7.59R 0.95 Preston 19 21 -1 -3.19 30.84 0.87 56.68 7.74 -1.93 0.00 0.06 2.60 0.65P 5.12R 0.58 Huddersfield 19 18 -9 -2.67 33.99 -1.01 49.35 7.47 -17.35 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 25.70R 5.83 MK_Dons 19 16 -11 -6.16 16.40 -5.44 47.57 7.78 -18.64 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 33.95R 9.06 Bristol_City 19 16 -14 -5.39 19.56 -7.08 46.21 7.69 -24.55 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 42.44R 13.12 Charlton 19 16 -15 -4.13 24.73 -6.67 45.82 7.36 -25.03 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 44.16R 13.10 Rotherham 19 15 -13 -3.94 25.90 -2.04 41.64 7.24 -28.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 66.56R 30.11 Bolton 19 12 -14 -8.90 6.28 -6.83 42.25 7.43 -23.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 61.62R 25.93League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 20 41 +8 12.91 97.38 6.79 77.03 7.68 8.75 9.70 20.88 67.24 29.50P 0.01R 0.00 Coventry 20 39 +17 7.08 85.59 10.22 80.60 7.76 25.99 21.73 39.36 83.20 49.99P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 20 39 +16 6.86 85.28 9.02 80.71 7.58 25.05 21.35 39.14 84.08 50.68P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 20 38 +14 6.78 84.47 8.38 78.01 7.84 20.69 13.23 26.91 73.18 37.77P 0.02R 0.00 Wigan 20 34 +10 -0.99 43.58 -1.21 79.64 7.72 24.61 17.84 34.35 80.59 50.15P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 20 33 +15 -0.27 48.05 5.69 76.88 7.81 27.85 11.17 23.81 70.03 37.00P 0.03R 0.00 Millwall 20 31 +3 0.71 54.37 -1.30 69.82 7.99 7.66 2.10 5.64 33.01 12.73P 0.62R 0.02 Southend 20 31 +3 5.30 79.31 5.31 65.26 7.67 1.27 0.44 1.38 14.83 3.99P 2.14R 0.10 Bradford 20 31 +2 3.23 69.08 1.26 67.28 7.53 3.24 0.70 2.26 20.95 6.29P 0.96R 0.03 Bury 20 30 +1 4.71 76.22 4.66 63.41 7.82 -2.72 0.26 0.89 10.56 2.69P 4.13R 0.24 Port_Vale 20 29 +3 1.80 60.87 3.38 63.63 7.59 1.37 0.26 0.94 10.61 2.94P 3.28R 0.13 Sheff_Utd 20 27 +2 -4.37 25.63 -3.93 66.66 7.83 7.95 0.72 2.36 20.68 7.44P 1.57R 0.07 Rochdale 20 27 +1 -0.67 46.34 0.77 64.54 7.73 3.66 0.31 1.21 13.30 4.04P 2.81R 0.17 Scunthorpe 20 26 -3 0.67 54.84 0.55 58.78 7.64 -7.71 0.05 0.17 3.29 0.77P 11.97R 1.10 Doncaster 20 24 -6 -2.25 36.92 -4.24 58.97 7.64 -6.84 0.02 0.19 3.55 1.01P 11.37R 0.97 Chesterfield 20 23 -10 -3.74 28.96 -8.78 57.17 7.71 -12.75 0.01 0.10 2.21 0.58P 17.10R 1.95 Swindon 20 22 -5 -7.80 12.22 -8.53 60.45 7.76 -1.06 0.10 0.32 5.57 1.68P 8.36R 0.70 Fleetwood_Town 20 21 -2 -4.33 25.59 1.18 54.40 7.61 -5.32 0.01 0.04 0.99 0.26P 25.48R 3.81 Shrewsbury 20 21 -5 -5.12 22.23 -3.06 54.25 7.83 -8.79 0.00 0.03 1.12 0.27P 27.48R 4.30 Colchester 20 20 -19 -0.75 46.37 -6.51 47.08 7.46 -34.61 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 66.43R 22.74 Oldham 20 19 -10 -4.26 25.64 -3.53 49.17 7.39 -18.45 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 53.27R 13.09 Blackpool 20 19 -12 -4.79 23.28 -6.81 49.20 7.48 -19.93 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 53.60R 13.49 Crewe 20 19 -14 -0.88 45.80 -2.10 45.07 7.12 -29.21 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 75.38R 30.66 Barnsley 20 18 -9 -8.47 9.65 -7.20 52.71 7.75 -10.71 0.00 0.01 0.64 0.17P 34.01R 6.44League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 20 40 +15 8.28 89.51 8.65 81.14 7.67 23.11 22.47 56.70 88.63 64.76P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 20 40 +14 7.49 87.31 6.55 83.26 7.62 25.03 31.91 67.34 93.17 74.37P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 20 40 +10 9.72 92.70 5.78 79.26 7.76 15.29 15.31 44.97 82.10 53.13P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 19 35 +12 7.94 88.91 10.76 74.16 8.04 15.00 6.07 23.55 61.76 31.18P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 20 34 +15 2.22 62.88 8.50 74.76 7.70 22.59 6.72 26.48 66.85 37.53P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 20 33 +2 5.86 80.60 3.06 67.15 7.95 -1.23 0.92 5.73 27.00 9.74P 0.07R 0.01 Mansfield 20 32 +10 5.50 80.29 11.15 66.10 7.58 7.88 0.56 4.24 23.27 8.00P 0.06R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 20 31 +5 -4.46 25.16 -7.38 76.84 7.83 20.56 10.30 35.76 74.83 49.79P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 19 30 +5 0.37 52.29 -0.29 70.97 7.90 10.90 2.64 13.21 46.09 22.09P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 20 30 +4 2.87 66.94 4.17 66.36 7.79 5.36 0.69 4.46 24.54 9.07P 0.08R 0.01 Exeter 20 30 +1 2.24 63.44 0.70 65.35 7.80 0.29 0.55 3.40 20.38 7.10P 0.11R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 20 28 +0 2.14 63.14 2.44 61.95 7.63 -2.60 0.11 1.22 10.20 3.01P 0.42R 0.07 Morecambe 20 27 +0 -0.01 50.18 1.00 62.98 7.84 0.01 0.26 1.90 13.70 4.45P 0.39R 0.09 Luton 20 26 +4 -3.84 28.42 0.42 64.22 7.75 7.78 0.35 2.67 17.84 6.72P 0.21R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 20 26 -1 0.61 54.46 2.51 59.05 7.63 -5.41 0.04 0.52 5.40 1.49P 1.31R 0.29 Notts_County 19 25 -3 -3.93 28.10 -7.28 66.84 8.29 4.21 0.90 5.91 27.59 12.13P 0.18R 0.03 Crawley_Town 20 25 -7 -2.84 34.23 -7.52 62.47 7.97 -4.39 0.17 1.58 11.94 4.11P 0.59R 0.13 Stevenage 20 22 -9 -5.24 21.79 -8.48 57.33 7.78 -9.84 0.03 0.30 3.58 1.08P 2.42R 0.63 Barnet 20 21 -9 -1.04 44.83 -0.19 50.28 7.72 -19.32 0.00 0.02 0.45 0.10P 13.36R 4.61 Hartlepool 19 20 -10 -0.67 46.78 -1.92 47.84 7.45 -23.92 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.03P 20.29R 7.56 Newport_County 20 19 -8 -4.92 22.47 -2.83 50.50 7.53 -14.25 0.00 0.02 0.45 0.09P 11.33R 3.84 Dag_&_Red 20 13 -15 -9.91 5.44 -7.91 43.01 7.50 -23.81 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 42.45R 21.06 York 20 12 -20 -9.75 5.42 -11.16 40.08 7.40 -31.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.29R 37.31 Yeovil 20 11 -15 -13.54 1.48 -10.73 42.16 7.68 -21.54 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 46.43R 24.29National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 December 2015, Cheltenham 3 1 Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 24 50 +31 1.62 58.11 6.75 94.86 6.45 54.13 71.70 99.32 82.09P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 23 46 +17 5.91 80.15 3.83 85.75 7.09 29.61 12.11 85.82 30.78P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 25 43 +10 4.95 74.75 4.49 74.04 6.64 13.27 0.33 26.72 4.54P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 23 42 +25 -2.53 34.62 5.08 85.13 6.77 42.65 11.65 86.40 39.44P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 23 40 +15 2.40 63.23 5.87 76.34 7.04 22.18 1.13 41.81 9.53P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 23 40 +10 5.87 79.97 6.09 75.07 6.88 15.29 0.62 32.66 6.61P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 24 40 +9 5.82 78.81 7.31 72.06 6.83 11.60 0.17 19.11 3.20P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 22 40 +8 5.10 76.55 0.89 77.80 7.33 15.51 1.81 48.05 10.33P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 24 38 +11 0.24 51.17 3.91 72.48 6.77 17.52 0.20 21.44 4.54P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 23 37 -4 5.43 77.98 -3.71 68.37 7.02 -4.57 0.06 7.99 1.22P 0.02R 0.00 Woking 24 34 +7 -3.64 30.97 -0.18 67.61 6.84 12.01 0.03 7.20 1.48P 0.03R 0.00 Tranmere 24 34 +6 -7.48 14.92 -6.93 72.10 6.85 17.79 0.18 20.39 5.77P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 23 33 +3 3.27 67.65 6.78 63.33 7.31 0.19 0.01 2.83 0.43P 0.32R 0.04 Barrow 24 31 -15 6.81 83.54 0.10 53.83 6.68 -27.10 0.00 0.05 0.00P 6.98R 0.90 Chester 25 30 -8 2.00 61.90 2.38 56.69 6.52 -11.59 0.00 0.10 0.01P 2.36R 0.20 Guiseley 25 30 -13 3.56 69.61 -0.21 49.05 6.20 -28.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.15R 3.16 Aldershot 24 28 -11 -1.01 45.01 -4.82 56.26 6.75 -14.17 0.00 0.11 0.02P 3.25R 0.31 Altrincham 23 26 -15 2.78 67.22 -1.78 50.55 6.67 -26.27 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.71R 2.74 Welling 23 24 -8 -2.25 38.15 -0.09 49.73 6.65 -16.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.43R 3.27 Boreham_Wood 24 22 -6 -5.02 24.73 2.38 46.28 6.64 -14.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.34R 8.58 Southport 22 21 -14 -0.93 45.59 -1.12 46.93 6.81 -24.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.23R 8.43 Torquay 23 17 -21 -10.65 5.79 -14.39 45.93 6.92 -25.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.40R 11.08 Halifax 23 17 -23 -10.35 6.69 -14.86 41.46 6.81 -36.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.58R 30.11 Kidderminster 23 14 -14 -13.40 2.08 -7.76 40.66 6.68 -21.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.21R 31.20