Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 6 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 December 2015, Newcastle 2 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        15   32  +11      10.06    96.43     9.00    62.49     7.04     8.56     1.96     6.75    15.82    29.11    57.30     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          15   30  +14       1.26    58.30     1.50    74.24     6.74    34.25    32.18    60.34    79.05    89.20    97.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         15   29  +14      -1.89    34.95    -3.39    75.99     6.67    39.47    44.66    70.94    85.54    93.03    98.36     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          15   29  +10       2.30    66.03     0.91    71.09     6.81    25.84    15.33    38.71    62.42    77.93    92.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        15   26  +13       1.65    61.70     7.39    64.76     7.04    24.14     3.53    12.41    26.62    44.53    72.56     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         15   23   +4       3.11    72.03     5.27    54.88     7.02     4.44     0.14     0.68     2.33     5.76    19.53     0.21R    0.01  
Liverpool        15   23   +1       0.26    51.98    -2.26    60.31     7.18     9.65     0.90     3.91    10.07    20.50    46.40     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   14   22   +5       4.16    79.25     7.00    52.70     7.07     1.85     0.05     0.37     1.25     3.37    12.63     0.47R    0.01  
Watford          15   22   +1       3.82    75.94     4.95    48.77     6.99    -6.60     0.00     0.09     0.37     1.04     4.90     1.99R    0.11  
Stoke            15   22   -1       2.13    65.82    -0.17    51.53     6.76    -3.53     0.02     0.16     0.67     1.91     8.54     0.61R    0.01  
Everton          14   21   +8      -0.45    46.64     4.59    60.20     7.27    17.52     1.06     4.37    11.17    21.56    48.17     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      15   21   +3      -2.63    31.18    -1.54    55.09     7.00     6.80     0.10     0.71     2.52     6.37    21.09     0.18R    0.00  
West_Brom        15   19   -5       2.25    67.54     0.47    46.41     6.73   -11.38     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.37     1.97     4.23R    0.26  
Chelsea          15   15   -7     -10.71     2.36   -14.83    54.43     7.05     4.96     0.06     0.54     2.06     5.25    18.09     0.38R    0.01  
Swansea          15   14   -8      -4.45    20.72    -4.90    41.33     6.75   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.31    14.63R    1.63  
Norwich          15   13  -10      -2.91    30.24    -1.99    36.78     6.81   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    37.13R    7.88  
Bournemouth      15   13  -12      -2.03    36.45    -1.84    34.83     6.75   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.29R   12.24  
Newcastle        15   13  -14      -1.47    40.00    -3.56    35.48     6.50   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    46.13R   10.44  
Sunderland       15   12  -12      -3.06    28.19    -3.33    33.40     6.37   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.45R   15.21  
Aston_Villa      15    6  -15      -7.27     5.77    -3.28    27.43     6.39   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.21R   52.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 December 2015, Sheff_Wed 0 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        19   41  +11      12.14    97.64     6.70    79.69     7.53    14.09     9.72    23.73    82.00    35.39P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   19   39  +17       5.45    81.64     6.01    85.82     7.56    30.95    32.93    57.72    95.82    69.93P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           19   37  +15       3.93    73.28     4.61    84.77     7.69    31.05    28.19    52.11    94.31    65.15P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            19   35  +15       1.76    60.74     4.67    83.33     7.66    31.26    22.38    44.93    92.40    60.92P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         19   34   +7       3.12    68.58    -0.06    75.95     7.82    14.49     4.76    13.01    66.77    26.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         19   29   +4       2.62    66.81     3.07    67.27     7.73     6.25     0.37     1.51    24.79     6.12P    0.14R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       19   29   +3       3.71    72.66     3.63    65.02     7.59     2.16     0.12     0.64    15.98     3.44P    0.36R    0.02  
Birmingham      19   28   +3       2.60    66.61     3.78    62.73     7.59     0.10     0.06     0.33    10.10     2.09P    0.75R    0.03  
Ipswich         19   28   +1       0.07    50.55    -1.88    67.01     7.82     4.09     0.39     1.49    23.54     6.01P    0.23R    0.01  
Brentford       19   28   +1       0.53    53.36    -1.18    67.05     7.83     4.18     0.38     1.49    23.75     6.18P    0.24R    0.01  
Reading         19   27   +4       0.92    56.30     3.82    62.46     7.66     2.11     0.08     0.35    10.26     2.24P    0.86R    0.06  
QPR             19   26   -1      -1.83    39.31    -3.64    65.46     8.06     2.93     0.32     1.23    19.11     5.46P    0.42R    0.02  
Blackburn       19   24   +3      -3.47    29.36     0.71    63.43     7.74     6.92     0.11     0.52    12.89     3.31P    0.67R    0.05  
Wolverhampton   19   24   +0      -3.82    27.63    -2.78    64.49     7.78     5.34     0.16     0.67    15.79     4.18P    0.50R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   19   23   +0      -2.90    32.79    -0.12    59.88     7.70     0.00     0.02     0.15     5.66     1.24P    2.23R    0.19  
Fulham          19   22   -2      -2.45    35.66     0.85    56.28     7.83    -6.89     0.01     0.05     2.49     0.45P    6.47R    0.88  
Leeds_United    19   22   -4      -0.99    44.37     0.01    54.98     7.43    -9.08     0.00     0.01     1.20     0.20P    7.59R    0.95  
Preston         19   21   -1      -3.19    30.84     0.87    56.68     7.74    -1.93     0.00     0.06     2.60     0.65P    5.12R    0.58  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -2.67    33.99    -1.01    49.35     7.47   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   25.70R    5.83  
MK_Dons         19   16  -11      -6.16    16.40    -5.44    47.57     7.78   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   33.95R    9.06  
Bristol_City    19   16  -14      -5.39    19.56    -7.08    46.21     7.69   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   42.44R   13.12  
Charlton        19   16  -15      -4.13    24.73    -6.67    45.82     7.36   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.16R   13.10  
Rotherham       19   15  -13      -3.94    25.90    -2.04    41.64     7.24   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.56R   30.11  
Bolton          19   12  -14      -8.90     6.28    -6.83    42.25     7.43   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.62R   25.93  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    20   41   +8      12.91    97.38     6.79    77.03     7.68     8.75     9.70    20.88    67.24    29.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         20   39  +17       7.08    85.59    10.22    80.60     7.76    25.99    21.73    39.36    83.20    49.99P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          20   39  +16       6.86    85.28     9.02    80.71     7.58    25.05    21.35    39.14    84.08    50.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       20   38  +14       6.78    84.47     8.38    78.01     7.84    20.69    13.23    26.91    73.18    37.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Wigan            20   34  +10      -0.99    43.58    -1.21    79.64     7.72    24.61    17.84    34.35    80.59    50.15P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     20   33  +15      -0.27    48.05     5.69    76.88     7.81    27.85    11.17    23.81    70.03    37.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         20   31   +3       0.71    54.37    -1.30    69.82     7.99     7.66     2.10     5.64    33.01    12.73P    0.62R    0.02  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.30    79.31     5.31    65.26     7.67     1.27     0.44     1.38    14.83     3.99P    2.14R    0.10  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.23    69.08     1.26    67.28     7.53     3.24     0.70     2.26    20.95     6.29P    0.96R    0.03  
Bury             20   30   +1       4.71    76.22     4.66    63.41     7.82    -2.72     0.26     0.89    10.56     2.69P    4.13R    0.24  
Port_Vale        20   29   +3       1.80    60.87     3.38    63.63     7.59     1.37     0.26     0.94    10.61     2.94P    3.28R    0.13  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.37    25.63    -3.93    66.66     7.83     7.95     0.72     2.36    20.68     7.44P    1.57R    0.07  
Rochdale         20   27   +1      -0.67    46.34     0.77    64.54     7.73     3.66     0.31     1.21    13.30     4.04P    2.81R    0.17  
Scunthorpe       20   26   -3       0.67    54.84     0.55    58.78     7.64    -7.71     0.05     0.17     3.29     0.77P   11.97R    1.10  
Doncaster        20   24   -6      -2.25    36.92    -4.24    58.97     7.64    -6.84     0.02     0.19     3.55     1.01P   11.37R    0.97  
Chesterfield     20   23  -10      -3.74    28.96    -8.78    57.17     7.71   -12.75     0.01     0.10     2.21     0.58P   17.10R    1.95  
Swindon          20   22   -5      -7.80    12.22    -8.53    60.45     7.76    -1.06     0.10     0.32     5.57     1.68P    8.36R    0.70  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.33    25.59     1.18    54.40     7.61    -5.32     0.01     0.04     0.99     0.26P   25.48R    3.81  
Shrewsbury       20   21   -5      -5.12    22.23    -3.06    54.25     7.83    -8.79     0.00     0.03     1.12     0.27P   27.48R    4.30  
Colchester       20   20  -19      -0.75    46.37    -6.51    47.08     7.46   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   66.43R   22.74  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.26    25.64    -3.53    49.17     7.39   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   53.27R   13.09  
Blackpool        20   19  -12      -4.79    23.28    -6.81    49.20     7.48   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   53.60R   13.49  
Crewe            20   19  -14      -0.88    45.80    -2.10    45.07     7.12   -29.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   75.38R   30.66  
Barnsley         20   18   -9      -8.47     9.65    -7.20    52.71     7.75   -10.71     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.17P   34.01R    6.44  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   40  +15       8.28    89.51     8.65    81.14     7.67    23.11    22.47    56.70    88.63    64.76P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             20   40  +14       7.49    87.31     6.55    83.26     7.62    25.03    31.91    67.34    93.17    74.37P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          20   40  +10       9.72    92.70     5.78    79.26     7.76    15.29    15.31    44.97    82.10    53.13P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.94    88.91    10.76    74.16     8.04    15.00     6.07    23.55    61.76    31.18P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +15       2.22    62.88     8.50    74.76     7.70    22.59     6.72    26.48    66.85    37.53P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             20   33   +2       5.86    80.60     3.06    67.15     7.95    -1.23     0.92     5.73    27.00     9.74P    0.07R    0.01  
Mansfield            20   32  +10       5.50    80.29    11.15    66.10     7.58     7.88     0.56     4.24    23.27     8.00P    0.06R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        20   31   +5      -4.46    25.16    -7.38    76.84     7.83    20.56    10.30    35.76    74.83    49.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              19   30   +5       0.37    52.29    -0.29    70.97     7.90    10.90     2.64    13.21    46.09    22.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   30   +4       2.87    66.94     4.17    66.36     7.79     5.36     0.69     4.46    24.54     9.07P    0.08R    0.01  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.24    63.44     0.70    65.35     7.80     0.29     0.55     3.40    20.38     7.10P    0.11R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   28   +0       2.14    63.14     2.44    61.95     7.63    -2.60     0.11     1.22    10.20     3.01P    0.42R    0.07  
Morecambe            20   27   +0      -0.01    50.18     1.00    62.98     7.84     0.01     0.26     1.90    13.70     4.45P    0.39R    0.09  
Luton                20   26   +4      -3.84    28.42     0.42    64.22     7.75     7.78     0.35     2.67    17.84     6.72P    0.21R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd        20   26   -1       0.61    54.46     2.51    59.05     7.63    -5.41     0.04     0.52     5.40     1.49P    1.31R    0.29  
Notts_County         19   25   -3      -3.93    28.10    -7.28    66.84     8.29     4.21     0.90     5.91    27.59    12.13P    0.18R    0.03  
Crawley_Town         20   25   -7      -2.84    34.23    -7.52    62.47     7.97    -4.39     0.17     1.58    11.94     4.11P    0.59R    0.13  
Stevenage            20   22   -9      -5.24    21.79    -8.48    57.33     7.78    -9.84     0.03     0.30     3.58     1.08P    2.42R    0.63  
Barnet               20   21   -9      -1.04    44.83    -0.19    50.28     7.72   -19.32     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.10P   13.36R    4.61  
Hartlepool           19   20  -10      -0.67    46.78    -1.92    47.84     7.45   -23.92     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   20.29R    7.56  
Newport_County       20   19   -8      -4.92    22.47    -2.83    50.50     7.53   -14.25     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.09P   11.33R    3.84  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -15      -9.91     5.44    -7.91    43.01     7.50   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   42.45R   21.06  
York                 20   12  -20      -9.75     5.42   -11.16    40.08     7.40   -31.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.29R   37.31  
Yeovil               20   11  -15     -13.54     1.48   -10.73    42.16     7.68   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   46.43R   24.29  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 December 2015, Cheltenham 3 1 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       24   50  +31       1.62    58.11     6.75    94.86     6.45    54.13    71.70    99.32    82.09P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       5.91    80.15     3.83    85.75     7.09    29.61    12.11    85.82    30.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   25   43  +10       4.95    74.75     4.49    74.04     6.64    13.27     0.33    26.72     4.54P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.53    34.62     5.08    85.13     6.77    42.65    11.65    86.40    39.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.40    63.23     5.87    76.34     7.04    22.18     1.13    41.81     9.53P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       5.87    79.97     6.09    75.07     6.88    15.29     0.62    32.66     6.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     24   40   +9       5.82    78.81     7.31    72.06     6.83    11.60     0.17    19.11     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        22   40   +8       5.10    76.55     0.89    77.80     7.33    15.51     1.81    48.05    10.33P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     24   38  +11       0.24    51.17     3.91    72.48     6.77    17.52     0.20    21.44     4.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        23   37   -4       5.43    77.98    -3.71    68.37     7.02    -4.57     0.06     7.99     1.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking           24   34   +7      -3.64    30.97    -0.18    67.61     6.84    12.01     0.03     7.20     1.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +6      -7.48    14.92    -6.93    72.10     6.85    17.79     0.18    20.39     5.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.27    67.65     6.78    63.33     7.31     0.19     0.01     2.83     0.43P    0.32R    0.04  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.81    83.54     0.10    53.83     6.68   -27.10     0.00     0.05     0.00P    6.98R    0.90  
Chester          25   30   -8       2.00    61.90     2.38    56.69     6.52   -11.59     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.36R    0.20  
Guiseley         25   30  -13       3.56    69.61    -0.21    49.05     6.20   -28.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.15R    3.16  
Aldershot        24   28  -11      -1.01    45.01    -4.82    56.26     6.75   -14.17     0.00     0.11     0.02P    3.25R    0.31  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.78    67.22    -1.78    50.55     6.67   -26.27     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.71R    2.74  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.25    38.15    -0.09    49.73     6.65   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.43R    3.27  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -5.02    24.73     2.38    46.28     6.64   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.34R    8.58  
Southport        22   21  -14      -0.93    45.59    -1.12    46.93     6.81   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.23R    8.43  
Torquay          23   17  -21     -10.65     5.79   -14.39    45.93     6.92   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.40R   11.08  
Halifax          23   17  -23     -10.35     6.69   -14.86    41.46     6.81   -36.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.58R   30.11  
Kidderminster    23   14  -14     -13.40     2.08    -7.76    40.66     6.68   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.21R   31.20