Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 December 2015, Arsenal 3 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        15   32  +11      10.07    96.53     9.04    62.32     7.04     8.24     1.83     6.28    14.28    26.11    54.25     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          15   30  +14       1.21    57.85     1.37    74.26     6.77    34.39    31.52    59.48    77.79    88.12    96.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         15   29  +14      -1.86    34.89    -3.29    75.92     6.68    39.38    43.98    69.66    84.35    92.07    98.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          15   29  +10       2.36    66.47     0.96    71.03     6.83    25.72    14.94    37.20    60.02    76.01    91.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        15   26  +13       1.83    62.98     7.65    64.80     6.99    24.18     3.77    12.07    25.49    42.45    71.37     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         15   23   +4       3.17    72.65     5.32    54.86     7.03     4.40     0.09     0.64     2.26     5.33    17.89     0.14R    0.01  
Liverpool        14   23   +3       1.51    61.48    -0.50    63.23     7.38    14.14     2.49     8.54    18.72    32.56    60.50     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   14   22   +5       4.14    79.16     7.00    52.73     7.08     1.92     0.04     0.35     1.14     3.07    11.64     0.38R    0.01  
Watford          15   22   +1       3.84    76.04     5.00    48.62     7.00    -6.88     0.01     0.07     0.27     0.88     4.24     1.82R    0.07  
Stoke            15   22   -1       2.13    65.95    -0.17    51.48     6.73    -3.56     0.02     0.13     0.56     1.63     7.56     0.44R    0.01  
Everton          14   21   +8      -0.48    46.54     4.57    60.32     7.28    17.73     1.07     4.25    10.68    20.73    46.48     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      15   21   +3      -2.71    30.91    -1.59    55.14     7.00     6.91     0.16     0.76     2.37     5.79    19.45     0.14R    0.00  
West_Brom        15   19   -5       2.14    66.68     0.35    46.49     6.73   -11.27     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.31     1.87     3.39R    0.19  
Chelsea          15   15   -7     -10.82     2.14   -15.01    54.69     6.95     5.32     0.08     0.55     1.96     4.90    17.40     0.21R    0.01  
Swansea          15   14   -8      -4.47    20.51    -4.88    41.34     6.75   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.35    12.75R    1.36  
Norwich          15   13  -10      -2.73    31.34    -1.74    36.50     6.81   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    35.32R    7.26  
Bournemouth      15   13  -12      -2.08    35.92    -1.96    34.92     6.76   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    46.16R   10.41  
Sunderland       15   12  -12      -3.15    28.05    -3.47    33.38     6.40   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.80R   13.66  
Newcastle        14   10  -16      -3.08    27.25    -5.45    32.56     6.64   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    61.09R   19.17  
Aston_Villa      15    6  -15      -7.20     5.94    -3.19    27.44     6.41   -31.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.33R   47.82  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 December 2015, Birmingham 0 2 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        19   41  +11      12.09    97.55     6.60    79.82     7.56    14.24     9.74    23.41    82.10    35.13P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   19   39  +17       5.41    81.15     5.98    85.93     7.55    31.08    31.97    57.19    96.01    69.59P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           18   36  +15       4.32    76.10     4.57    85.64     7.86    31.91    31.56    55.53    94.91    67.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            19   35  +15       1.81    60.99     4.76    83.20     7.65    31.07    20.35    43.01    91.99    59.45P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         19   34   +7       3.06    68.22    -0.12    75.99     7.89    14.55     4.52    12.75    66.58    26.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         19   29   +4       2.48    65.80     2.92    67.46     7.69     6.50     0.36     1.53    25.06     6.35P    0.15R    0.00  
Birmingham      19   28   +3       2.73    67.15     3.99    62.65     7.63    -0.10     0.06     0.31    10.19     1.95P    0.75R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed       18   28   +3       3.86    74.36     3.33    65.00     7.76     1.58     0.14     0.77    16.27     3.52P    0.40R    0.02  
Ipswich         19   28   +1      -0.07    49.80    -2.09    67.23     7.93     4.36     0.39     1.58    24.65     6.49P    0.22R    0.01  
Brentford       19   28   +1       0.56    53.80    -1.09    66.93     7.83     3.99     0.33     1.40    23.22     5.95P    0.19R    0.01  
Reading         19   27   +4       0.93    56.24     3.82    62.46     7.67     2.09     0.07     0.32     9.87     2.08P    0.83R    0.06  
QPR             19   26   -1      -1.89    38.61    -3.71    65.53     8.07     2.95     0.29     1.09    19.33     5.35P    0.46R    0.04  
Blackburn       19   24   +3      -3.38    29.79     0.82    63.24     7.71     6.67     0.09     0.40    12.17     3.06P    0.77R    0.06  
Wolverhampton   19   24   +0      -3.71    27.91    -2.59    64.28     7.77     5.07     0.10     0.49    14.96     3.81P    0.52R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest   19   23   +0      -3.02    31.86    -0.29    60.04     7.74     0.26     0.01     0.11     5.92     1.28P    2.15R    0.18  
Fulham          19   22   -2      -2.45    35.64     0.89    56.36     7.92    -6.85     0.01     0.07     2.65     0.49P    6.38R    0.92  
Leeds_United    19   22   -4      -0.99    44.44    -0.04    54.99     7.43    -9.06     0.00     0.02     1.22     0.21P    7.55R    0.96  
Preston         19   21   -1      -3.06    31.59     1.03    56.56     7.68    -2.14     0.00     0.03     2.43     0.54P    5.20R    0.63  
Huddersfield    19   18   -9      -2.73    33.48    -1.13    49.41     7.56   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   25.61R    5.82  
MK_Dons         19   16  -11      -5.97    16.85    -5.19    47.36     7.66   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   34.81R    9.15  
Bristol_City    19   16  -14      -5.38    19.75    -7.04    46.24     7.75   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   42.18R   12.98  
Charlton        19   16  -15      -4.14    24.91    -6.63    45.83     7.38   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   44.20R   13.39  
Rotherham       19   15  -13      -3.96    26.06    -1.96    41.64     7.23   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.29R   29.69  
Bolton          19   12  -14      -8.90     6.30    -6.81    42.29     7.43   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.36R   26.01  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    20   41   +8      13.05    97.58     6.94    76.94     7.71     8.67     9.63    21.02    66.73    29.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         20   39  +17       7.09    85.56    10.20    80.61     7.79    26.00    22.05    39.55    83.26    50.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          20   39  +16       7.03    85.97     9.30    80.50     7.63    24.74    20.57    38.24    83.41    49.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham       20   38  +14       6.81    84.63     8.37    78.07     7.84    20.72    13.38    27.32    73.59    37.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Wigan            20   34  +10      -1.07    43.08    -1.31    79.79     7.73    24.85    18.44    35.21    80.88    51.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   33  +15      -0.30    48.07     5.70    76.91     7.77    27.92    11.08    23.64    70.47    37.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         20   31   +3       0.81    54.75    -1.18    69.70     7.97     7.49     1.96     5.21    32.60    12.07P    0.61R    0.03  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.38    79.57     5.40    65.21     7.70     1.15     0.38     1.36    14.67     4.05P    2.19R    0.09  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.04    68.17     1.01    67.44     7.51     3.45     0.71     2.30    21.52     6.50P    0.94R    0.04  
Bury             20   30   +1       4.64    75.96     4.52    63.50     7.86    -2.59     0.32     0.99    10.80     2.75P    4.04R    0.21  
Port_Vale        20   29   +3       1.73    60.69     3.25    63.86     7.63     1.63     0.23     0.90    11.44     3.08P    3.09R    0.15  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.31    25.91    -3.81    66.54     7.74     7.85     0.73     2.24    20.15     7.13P    1.56R    0.06  
Rochdale         20   27   +1      -0.69    46.34     0.74    64.48     7.74     3.51     0.31     1.18    13.31     3.88P    2.92R    0.18  
Scunthorpe       20   26   -3       0.59    54.34     0.41    58.92     7.53    -7.49     0.03     0.15     3.22     0.74P   11.34R    1.02  
Doncaster        20   24   -6      -2.11    37.58    -4.05    58.89     7.53    -6.97     0.04     0.15     3.19     0.80P   11.30R    1.00  
Chesterfield     20   23  -10      -3.70    29.07    -8.73    57.07     7.71   -12.87     0.02     0.08     2.19     0.51P   17.44R    2.03  
Swindon          20   22   -5      -7.85    11.94    -8.65    60.47     7.83    -0.98     0.09     0.36     5.78     1.86P    8.17R    0.67  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.42    25.02     1.07    54.48     7.51    -5.18     0.01     0.03     0.89     0.22P   25.01R    3.53  
Shrewsbury       20   21   -5      -5.02    22.43    -2.92    54.04     7.76    -9.10     0.00     0.03     0.94     0.23P   28.27R    4.57  
Colchester       20   20  -19      -0.84    45.90    -6.70    47.21     7.50   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   65.93R   22.31  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.42    24.98    -3.76    49.39     7.42   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   52.25R   12.91  
Blackpool        20   19  -12      -4.71    23.79    -6.65    48.96     7.45   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   55.30R   14.12  
Crewe            20   19  -14      -0.81    46.17    -1.96    45.02     7.11   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   75.90R   30.89  
Barnsley         20   18   -9      -8.48     9.63    -7.19    52.76     7.74   -10.67     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.17P   33.68R    6.18  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   40  +15       8.20    89.54     8.57    81.11     7.70    23.08    22.21    56.42    88.43    64.40P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             20   40  +14       7.74    88.28     6.91    83.02     7.55    24.67    30.84    65.93    92.75    73.23P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          20   40  +10       9.71    92.47     5.74    79.42     7.82    15.58    15.80    45.73    82.49    53.85P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.83    88.28    10.56    74.38     8.12    15.33     6.44    24.59    62.63    32.24P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +15       2.18    62.53     8.41    74.82     7.73    22.61     6.93    26.74    66.90    37.73P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             20   33   +2       5.81    80.50     2.98    67.27     7.90    -1.04     0.90     5.76    27.15     9.72P    0.07R    0.01  
Mansfield            20   32  +10       5.44    79.89    11.08    66.02     7.58     7.80     0.59     4.01    23.15     7.73P    0.07R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        20   31   +5      -4.46    25.23    -7.37    76.88     7.89    20.63    10.62    35.75    74.81    49.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   30   +5       0.29    51.84    -0.42    71.13     7.88    11.11     2.63    13.49    46.75    22.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   30   +4       2.88    67.24     4.20    66.34     7.80     5.25     0.62     4.42    24.27     9.12P    0.09R    0.01  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.29    63.62     0.78    65.43     7.81     0.37     0.54     3.53    20.46     7.21P    0.12R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   28   +0       2.07    62.77     2.38    62.05     7.67    -2.45     0.15     1.19    10.43     3.02P    0.40R    0.08  
Morecambe            20   27   +0      -0.00    50.59     1.03    62.90     7.85    -0.06     0.24     1.87    13.41     4.36P    0.36R    0.07  
Luton                20   26   +4      -4.01    27.65     0.17    64.33     7.74     8.02     0.35     2.77    18.07     6.87P    0.14R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd        20   26   -1       0.62    54.47     2.55    59.03     7.68    -5.43     0.05     0.55     5.43     1.61P    1.25R    0.28  
Notts_County         19   25   -3      -3.68    29.14    -6.90    66.47     8.24     3.63     0.83     5.26    26.05    11.18P    0.17R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         20   25   -7      -2.92    33.90    -7.68    62.54     8.03    -4.30     0.23     1.69    12.21     4.34P    0.61R    0.13  
Stevenage            20   22   -9      -5.17    22.11    -8.37    57.27     7.76    -9.95     0.01     0.26     3.53     1.05P    2.22R    0.63  
Barnet               20   21   -9      -1.08    44.65    -0.23    50.30     7.79   -19.27     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.09P   13.26R    4.73  
Hartlepool           19   20  -10      -0.71    46.81    -1.97    47.88     7.41   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   20.10R    7.56  
Newport_County       20   19   -8      -4.86    22.71    -2.71    50.49     7.58   -14.27     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.11P   11.30R    3.91  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -15      -9.89     5.59    -7.89    43.01     7.48   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   42.32R   20.81  
York                 20   12  -20      -9.75     5.42   -11.18    39.96     7.37   -31.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.59R   37.08  
Yeovil               20   11  -15     -13.47     1.52   -10.63    42.09     7.73   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   46.92R   24.60  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 December 2015, Cheltenham 3 1 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       24   50  +31       1.60    57.87     6.70    94.84     6.44    54.14    72.06    99.28    82.37P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       5.96    80.46     3.90    85.74     7.01    29.65    11.83    85.97    30.33P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   25   43  +10       4.83    74.13     4.37    74.09     6.61    13.32     0.38    26.70     4.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.54    34.85     5.03    85.11     6.77    42.67    11.58    86.39    39.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          23   40  +15       2.50    63.69     6.00    76.25     6.96    22.04     1.01    41.27     9.35P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   40  +10       5.86    80.12     6.07    75.06     6.86    15.23     0.58    32.49     6.49P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     24   40   +9       5.87    78.85     7.35    72.05     6.81    11.60     0.21    18.82     3.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh        22   40   +8       5.18    77.23     0.99    77.78     7.26    15.43     1.78    47.79    10.11P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     24   38  +11       0.22    51.12     3.84    72.51     6.80    17.55     0.27    21.91     4.80P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        23   37   -4       5.36    77.56    -3.82    68.53     7.03    -4.27     0.05     8.36     1.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking           24   34   +7      -3.53    31.83    -0.03    67.47     6.85    11.81     0.02     7.06     1.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +6      -7.56    14.66    -7.02    72.18     6.88    17.95     0.23    20.87     6.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.10    66.59     6.44    63.42     7.33     0.41     0.01     2.86     0.41P    0.38R    0.02  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.95    83.93     0.46    53.65     6.76   -27.40     0.00     0.04     0.00P    7.89R    1.03  
Chester          25   30   -8       2.06    62.50     2.45    56.63     6.51   -11.66     0.00     0.08     0.01P    2.52R    0.23  
Guiseley         25   30  -13       3.43    68.93    -0.46    49.11     6.12   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.05R    3.03  
Aldershot        24   28  -11      -0.92    45.45    -4.65    56.20     6.72   -14.25     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.38R    0.36  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.74    67.18    -1.83    50.65     6.63   -26.15     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.34R    2.54  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.26    37.81    -0.12    49.70     6.63   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00P   17.55R    3.29  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -5.14    24.27     2.22    46.48     6.60   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.18R    8.00  
Southport        22   21  -14      -0.94    45.42    -1.13    46.89     6.85   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.13R    8.76  
Torquay          23   17  -21     -10.44     6.01   -14.07    45.70     6.91   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.58R   11.73  
Halifax          23   17  -23     -10.40     6.54   -14.97    41.53     6.84   -36.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.12R   29.88  
Kidderminster    23   14  -14     -13.39     1.96    -7.74    40.72     6.73   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.82R   31.12