Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 3 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 November 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 14 29 +16 -0.46 44.71 -1.70 78.83 6.80 44.13 55.64 79.05 90.64 95.73 99.18 0.00 0.00 Leicester 14 29 +8 9.02 95.49 6.94 59.49 7.18 3.12 0.63 2.48 6.74 14.64 37.52 0.02R 0.00 Man_Utd 14 28 +10 3.05 71.88 1.28 72.55 6.98 27.72 15.78 41.59 65.46 80.15 93.85 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 14 27 +12 0.66 54.09 1.16 73.64 6.91 34.08 21.67 50.18 72.18 84.90 95.68 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 14 25 +13 2.38 67.12 7.86 65.68 7.22 25.03 3.25 12.73 27.26 45.60 73.75 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 14 23 +3 1.47 61.21 -0.54 63.46 7.34 14.50 1.76 7.19 17.05 31.30 60.75 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 14 22 +5 4.18 79.40 7.06 52.77 7.03 1.92 0.03 0.23 0.92 2.69 11.22 0.34R 0.01 West_Ham 14 22 +4 3.08 72.46 4.75 54.45 7.24 3.11 0.09 0.52 1.86 4.81 16.76 0.20R 0.01 Everton 14 21 +8 -0.39 47.27 4.67 60.28 7.30 17.65 0.70 3.29 9.10 19.22 45.37 0.03R 0.00 Southampton 14 20 +3 -1.95 35.63 -1.06 56.84 7.19 8.84 0.23 1.19 3.71 8.75 26.12 0.07R 0.00 Watford 14 19 -1 2.85 71.34 4.08 46.45 7.17 -9.92 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.45 2.54 3.95R 0.24 Stoke 14 19 -3 0.54 54.81 -2.12 48.38 6.92 -7.86 0.00 0.04 0.20 0.62 3.30 1.65R 0.06 West_Brom 14 18 -5 2.29 68.18 0.09 46.43 6.95 -12.02 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.34 1.96 3.56R 0.20 Chelsea 14 15 -6 -8.91 4.49 -13.12 57.83 7.18 9.44 0.21 1.46 4.65 10.65 30.86 0.08R 0.00 Swansea 14 14 -5 -3.67 24.37 -2.78 43.70 7.05 -10.25 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.91 7.08R 0.58 Norwich 14 13 -8 -2.22 34.40 -0.99 38.49 7.09 -20.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.18 24.62R 3.85 Sunderland 14 12 -10 -2.83 29.68 -3.28 33.97 6.48 -28.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 49.10R 10.07 Bournemouth 14 10 -13 -3.90 22.70 -3.00 31.36 6.87 -34.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 65.36R 21.34 Newcastle 14 10 -16 -3.14 26.89 -5.34 32.53 6.65 -34.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 59.51R 16.73 Aston_Villa 14 5 -15 -7.47 4.43 -3.95 26.88 6.52 -32.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.42R 46.91Championship (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 3 December 2015, Reading 0 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 18 38 +10 11.13 96.99 6.49 78.45 7.70 13.66 6.87 18.23 76.73 29.99P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 18 36 +15 4.39 77.00 4.85 83.61 7.82 28.17 21.03 42.87 92.09 58.19P 0.00 0.00 Derby 18 36 +15 4.29 75.89 4.52 85.59 7.89 31.83 30.55 54.14 94.73 66.77P 0.00 0.00 Hull 18 35 +16 2.93 68.29 5.44 85.74 7.79 33.64 30.96 55.47 95.43 69.23P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 18 34 +9 4.10 74.59 1.38 78.85 8.02 18.61 8.54 21.17 78.59 36.55P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 18 28 +5 3.81 73.60 5.57 65.59 7.93 4.18 0.27 1.00 18.82 4.13P 0.38R 0.02 Ipswich 18 28 +3 0.63 54.30 -1.09 68.98 8.02 7.02 0.78 2.69 32.50 9.00P 0.10R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 18 28 +3 3.91 74.55 3.41 64.80 7.77 1.29 0.18 0.70 15.55 3.13P 0.47R 0.02 Reading 19 27 +4 1.09 57.27 4.03 62.39 7.62 2.02 0.05 0.29 9.73 2.05P 0.90R 0.06 Cardiff 18 26 +3 1.29 59.17 2.53 65.30 7.87 4.83 0.18 0.83 18.19 4.41P 0.39R 0.01 QPR 19 26 -1 -1.91 38.63 -3.73 65.43 8.04 2.87 0.24 1.01 18.78 5.11P 0.51R 0.03 Brentford 18 25 -1 -0.31 48.50 -1.95 65.34 8.01 1.96 0.18 0.80 18.29 4.38P 0.58R 0.05 Fulham 18 22 +1 -1.87 38.76 2.59 58.34 8.09 -2.87 0.03 0.15 4.69 0.92P 4.29R 0.54 Blackburn 18 21 +1 -4.44 23.60 -0.33 61.32 7.88 4.18 0.06 0.23 8.37 2.00P 1.67R 0.17 Wolverhampton 18 21 -1 -4.78 21.78 -2.80 62.83 7.96 4.31 0.05 0.35 11.61 2.93P 1.06R 0.10 Nott'm_Forest 18 20 -3 -3.67 27.51 -1.84 57.67 7.93 -3.87 0.01 0.07 3.51 0.77P 4.83R 0.56 Leeds_United 18 19 -5 -2.56 34.27 -0.91 52.52 7.62 -11.15 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.11P 14.55R 2.75 Preston 18 18 -3 -4.18 24.54 -0.21 53.10 7.77 -6.51 0.00 0.01 0.95 0.20P 12.59R 2.30 MK_Dons 18 16 -9 -5.59 17.75 -4.61 49.26 7.94 -16.26 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.06P 27.18R 7.26 Bristol_City 18 16 -12 -4.67 22.49 -6.02 48.18 7.99 -21.73 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 33.27R 10.05 Charlton 18 16 -14 -3.38 28.63 -6.62 46.77 7.52 -24.39 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 40.24R 12.50 Huddersfield 18 15 -11 -4.04 25.02 -2.55 46.37 7.75 -21.43 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 41.37R 14.07 Rotherham 18 15 -12 -3.03 30.86 -1.69 42.84 7.36 -28.16 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 60.99R 26.92 Bolton 18 12 -13 -7.91 8.09 -6.45 43.70 7.60 -22.20 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 54.62R 22.59League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 20 41 +8 13.07 97.71 7.02 76.83 7.67 8.50 9.45 20.31 66.24 28.97P 0.01R 0.00 Coventry 20 39 +17 7.09 85.96 10.25 80.51 7.73 25.86 21.40 39.00 83.23 49.74P 0.00R 0.00 Walsall 20 39 +16 6.95 85.58 9.13 80.61 7.59 24.94 21.04 39.01 83.81 50.62P 0.00R 0.00 Gillingham 20 38 +14 6.78 84.33 8.33 78.01 7.82 20.69 13.53 27.01 73.32 37.40P 0.02R 0.00 Wigan 20 34 +10 -1.13 42.80 -1.41 79.74 7.70 24.75 18.33 35.08 80.87 51.12P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 20 33 +15 -0.31 47.67 5.65 76.93 7.77 27.96 11.20 24.03 70.47 37.44P 0.03R 0.00 Millwall 20 31 +3 0.78 54.79 -1.20 69.74 7.95 7.51 2.00 5.54 32.85 12.44P 0.67R 0.02 Southend 20 31 +3 5.23 78.63 5.20 65.42 7.73 1.47 0.44 1.50 15.52 4.36P 2.20R 0.08 Bradford 20 31 +2 3.22 69.11 1.27 67.40 7.50 3.33 0.74 2.32 21.14 6.47P 0.94R 0.03 Bury 20 30 +1 4.70 76.23 4.62 63.41 7.85 -2.73 0.26 0.95 10.68 2.78P 4.21R 0.27 Port_Vale 20 29 +3 1.71 60.74 3.25 63.80 7.59 1.59 0.31 0.89 11.13 3.09P 3.05R 0.15 Sheff_Utd 20 27 +2 -4.24 25.96 -3.68 66.44 7.75 7.68 0.70 2.24 19.57 6.90P 1.48R 0.06 Rochdale 20 27 +1 -0.67 46.36 0.81 64.51 7.72 3.63 0.37 1.18 13.12 3.95P 2.91R 0.17 Scunthorpe 20 26 -3 0.50 53.91 0.26 59.07 7.63 -7.25 0.04 0.19 3.64 0.81P 11.03R 0.91 Doncaster 20 24 -6 -2.21 37.17 -4.20 58.92 7.61 -6.91 0.04 0.18 3.28 0.81P 11.36R 1.09 Chesterfield 20 23 -10 -3.67 29.39 -8.69 57.05 7.74 -12.93 0.03 0.10 2.20 0.54P 17.61R 2.08 Swindon 20 22 -5 -7.95 11.73 -8.78 60.51 7.91 -0.94 0.09 0.38 5.97 1.84P 8.45R 0.86 Fleetwood_Town 20 21 -2 -4.30 25.55 1.19 54.51 7.52 -5.14 0.01 0.03 0.96 0.22P 24.72R 3.29 Shrewsbury 20 21 -5 -5.03 22.63 -2.92 54.19 7.82 -8.92 0.01 0.03 1.07 0.27P 28.05R 4.22 Colchester 20 20 -19 -0.81 46.37 -6.61 47.17 7.49 -34.48 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 66.09R 22.12 Oldham 20 19 -10 -4.34 25.28 -3.67 49.28 7.45 -18.27 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 52.70R 13.01 Blackpool 20 19 -12 -4.81 23.50 -6.80 49.14 7.55 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 54.03R 13.68 Crewe 20 19 -14 -0.66 47.16 -1.75 44.85 7.12 -29.62 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 76.45R 31.88 Barnsley 20 18 -9 -8.50 9.46 -7.28 52.73 7.67 -10.70 0.00 0.02 0.52 0.15P 33.97R 6.08League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 20 40 +15 8.23 89.53 8.62 81.10 7.67 23.07 22.46 56.13 88.24 64.41P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 20 40 +14 7.65 87.91 6.76 83.07 7.62 24.78 31.00 66.29 92.72 73.53P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 20 40 +10 9.67 92.42 5.69 79.38 7.81 15.48 15.53 45.60 82.40 53.75P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 19 35 +12 7.97 88.82 10.76 74.11 8.15 14.93 6.10 23.53 60.94 31.23P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 20 34 +15 2.09 62.19 8.26 74.98 7.74 22.88 7.16 27.39 67.53 38.19P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 20 33 +2 5.75 80.25 2.88 67.24 7.95 -1.04 1.04 5.76 27.33 9.81P 0.07R 0.01 Mansfield 20 32 +10 5.58 80.58 11.25 65.94 7.60 7.68 0.59 3.92 22.67 7.65P 0.07R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 20 31 +5 -4.42 25.55 -7.31 76.86 7.91 20.55 10.50 35.75 74.47 49.34P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 19 30 +5 0.28 51.79 -0.43 70.98 7.87 10.89 2.54 13.10 45.74 21.76P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 20 30 +4 2.80 66.55 4.08 66.63 7.78 5.67 0.73 4.85 25.33 9.47P 0.07R 0.01 Exeter 20 30 +1 2.24 63.61 0.74 65.41 7.78 0.37 0.47 3.49 20.36 7.07P 0.13R 0.02 AFC_Wimbledon 20 28 +0 2.20 63.56 2.55 61.88 7.68 -2.70 0.12 1.17 10.02 2.93P 0.44R 0.09 Morecambe 20 27 +0 -0.01 50.62 1.00 62.95 7.78 -0.03 0.20 1.70 13.23 4.17P 0.28R 0.06 Luton 20 26 +4 -3.88 28.06 0.37 64.25 7.78 7.87 0.36 2.72 18.08 6.86P 0.20R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 20 26 -1 0.65 54.65 2.59 59.05 7.71 -5.44 0.06 0.56 5.49 1.56P 1.28R 0.28 Notts_County 19 25 -3 -3.97 27.46 -7.34 66.92 8.27 4.29 0.92 5.98 27.92 12.29P 0.16R 0.04 Crawley_Town 20 25 -7 -2.97 33.44 -7.71 62.66 8.01 -4.09 0.19 1.70 12.53 4.49P 0.58R 0.14 Stevenage 20 22 -9 -5.33 21.58 -8.61 57.47 7.88 -9.61 0.02 0.33 3.88 1.23P 2.24R 0.58 Barnet 20 21 -9 -0.98 45.15 -0.00 50.11 7.69 -19.64 0.00 0.02 0.43 0.09P 13.57R 4.87 Hartlepool 19 20 -10 -0.62 47.20 -1.85 47.76 7.41 -24.04 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 20.19R 7.47 Newport_County 20 19 -8 -4.75 23.51 -2.56 50.39 7.60 -14.45 0.00 0.01 0.47 0.10P 11.42R 3.96 Dag_&_Red 20 13 -15 -9.85 5.66 -7.83 42.90 7.48 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 42.40R 21.08 York 20 12 -20 -9.80 5.43 -11.19 39.97 7.37 -31.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.47R 36.95 Yeovil 20 11 -15 -13.51 1.43 -10.71 42.14 7.68 -21.58 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 46.40R 24.39National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Aldershot 0 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 23 47 +29 1.16 55.64 6.71 93.96 6.65 53.22 67.50 98.88 79.34P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 23 46 +17 5.95 80.09 3.87 85.86 7.07 29.78 13.83 86.30 31.56P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 23 42 +25 -2.39 35.48 5.27 85.21 6.76 42.81 13.14 86.86 39.78P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 40 +11 6.56 82.02 8.30 73.67 7.02 14.01 0.47 26.65 4.56P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 22 40 +8 5.18 76.84 1.01 77.63 7.37 15.21 2.04 47.18 10.07P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 24 40 +7 4.45 73.05 3.29 71.94 6.79 9.56 0.22 18.24 3.10P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 23 38 +13 1.34 57.47 5.41 74.87 6.98 20.98 0.73 34.06 7.71P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 22 37 +14 1.18 56.63 5.42 74.95 7.20 21.50 0.96 34.89 7.82P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 22 37 +9 4.33 73.80 5.22 72.66 7.07 13.19 0.43 22.08 4.44P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 23 34 +7 -6.29 18.67 -6.21 74.19 7.09 19.87 0.60 30.73 9.32P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 22 34 -5 4.00 72.09 -4.34 66.73 7.21 -5.57 0.03 5.80 0.90P 0.07R 0.00 Bromley 23 33 +3 3.21 67.34 6.63 63.46 7.40 0.47 0.01 2.93 0.44P 0.36R 0.02 Woking 23 31 +5 -4.43 26.92 -0.87 65.67 7.07 9.49 0.02 4.83 0.87P 0.09R 0.01 Barrow 24 31 -15 6.93 83.86 0.27 53.63 6.71 -27.42 0.00 0.05 0.00P 7.82R 1.07 Chester 24 30 -6 2.37 63.89 2.53 57.10 6.65 -11.14 0.00 0.17 0.02P 2.26R 0.19 Guiseley 24 29 -13 3.75 70.97 -0.49 49.03 6.44 -29.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.17R 4.18 Aldershot 23 28 -8 -0.68 46.92 -3.61 57.89 6.94 -10.59 0.00 0.33 0.06P 2.10R 0.22 Altrincham 23 26 -15 2.68 66.65 -1.95 50.65 6.63 -26.06 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.58R 2.91 Welling 23 24 -8 -2.14 38.41 -0.00 49.70 6.66 -16.73 0.00 0.01 0.00P 18.01R 3.51 Boreham_Wood 24 22 -6 -5.03 24.78 2.34 46.50 6.58 -14.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.70R 8.54 Southport 21 18 -16 -2.24 36.90 -2.69 43.94 6.92 -28.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.29R 18.58 Torquay 22 17 -20 -9.63 7.30 -13.95 47.18 7.11 -24.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.98R 9.16 Halifax 22 16 -23 -9.95 6.91 -14.89 42.31 7.04 -35.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.06R 27.61 Kidderminster 22 14 -13 -12.41 2.70 -7.26 42.40 6.97 -20.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.51R 24.00