Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 November 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         14   29  +16      -0.46    44.66    -1.71    78.82     6.85    44.20    55.93    79.12    90.48    95.70    99.07     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        14   29   +8       9.04    95.37     7.04    59.42     7.17     2.93     0.61     2.47     6.79    14.26    36.84     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd          14   28  +10       3.07    71.94     1.36    72.43     7.03    27.48    15.82    41.37    64.77    79.62    93.41     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          14   27  +12       0.67    54.06     1.21    73.45     6.83    33.77    20.93    49.61    71.48    84.55    95.66     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        14   25  +13       2.35    66.77     7.81    65.69     7.27    25.05     3.59    12.97    27.74    45.99    73.77     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        14   23   +3       1.52    61.45    -0.47    63.46     7.34    14.43     1.83     7.35    17.16    31.48    60.60     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   14   22   +5       4.21    79.50     7.13    52.72     7.11     1.85     0.02     0.29     1.04     2.81    11.13     0.42R    0.01  
West_Ham         14   22   +4       3.10    72.53     4.77    54.36     7.23     2.99     0.09     0.59     1.92     4.57    16.08     0.24R    0.01  
Everton          14   21   +8      -0.42    47.15     4.60    60.42     7.28    17.89     0.69     3.49     9.62    19.73    46.11     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      14   20   +3      -1.91    35.82    -1.01    56.79     7.26     8.78     0.21     1.15     3.76     8.75    26.43     0.07R    0.00  
Watford          14   19   -1       2.78    70.84     3.92    46.58     7.11    -9.68     0.01     0.03     0.16     0.45     2.38     3.61R    0.21  
Stoke            14   19   -3       0.49    54.13    -2.23    48.50     6.90    -7.72     0.01     0.03     0.17     0.64     3.48     1.58R    0.07  
West_Brom        14   18   -5       2.36    68.89     0.19    46.31     6.89   -12.17     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.28     1.77     3.81R    0.24  
Chelsea          14   15   -6      -9.04     4.11   -13.30    57.99     7.15     9.68     0.27     1.50     4.79    11.00    32.06     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          14   14   -5      -3.67    24.28    -2.74    43.73     7.09   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     1.01     6.96R    0.53  
Norwich          14   13   -8      -2.21    34.46    -0.99    38.54     7.11   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17    24.35R    3.65  
Sunderland       14   12  -10      -2.74    30.08    -3.17    33.90     6.52   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.19R   10.37  
Bournemouth      14   10  -13      -4.01    21.94    -3.17    31.45     6.78   -33.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.40R   20.29  
Newcastle        14   10  -16      -3.15    26.84    -5.40    32.67     6.68   -33.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.80R   16.35  
Aston_Villa      14    5  -15      -7.38     4.67    -3.85    26.77     6.54   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.47R   48.26  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 November 2015, Bolton 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        18   38  +10      11.18    96.99     6.55    78.39     7.71    13.58     7.05    18.26    76.72    29.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   18   36  +15       4.41    77.41     4.90    83.44     7.76    27.94    20.59    42.47    91.96    57.85P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           18   36  +15       4.35    76.19     4.60    85.45     7.89    31.65    29.99    53.98    94.72    66.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            18   35  +16       3.01    68.53     5.53    85.56     7.86    33.44    31.22    55.03    95.01    68.72P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         18   34   +9       4.13    74.92     1.43    78.92     8.00    18.66     9.02    21.69    78.69    36.95P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      18   28   +5       3.74    73.34     5.44    65.66     7.84     4.29     0.24     1.01    18.81     4.30P    0.35R    0.02  
Ipswich         18   28   +3       0.67    54.19    -0.98    69.08     8.02     7.14     0.83     2.87    32.70     9.40P    0.12R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       18   28   +3       3.80    73.86     3.29    64.95     7.76     1.46     0.16     0.77    16.33     3.52P    0.38R    0.03  
Reading         18   27   +5       2.18    64.24     4.68    64.31     7.84     3.74     0.18     0.71    14.73     3.30P    0.54R    0.05  
Cardiff         18   26   +3       1.35    59.54     2.56    65.37     7.87     4.89     0.19     0.87    18.06     4.26P    0.46R    0.04  
Brentford       18   25   -1      -0.30    48.53    -1.98    65.38     8.01     2.07     0.21     0.88    18.38     4.34P    0.58R    0.06  
QPR             18   23   -2      -3.23    30.54    -4.22    63.07     8.30     0.80     0.14     0.58    13.01     3.48P    1.41R    0.15  
Fulham          18   22   +1      -1.99    37.94     2.42    58.36     8.11    -2.86     0.02     0.13     4.87     0.94P    4.37R    0.63  
Blackburn       18   21   +1      -4.48    23.23    -0.40    61.32     7.89     4.22     0.06     0.27     8.32     2.12P    1.68R    0.16  
Wolverhampton   18   21   -1      -4.83    21.40    -2.83    62.82     7.99     4.29     0.09     0.42    11.80     2.93P    1.15R    0.11  
Nott'm_Forest   18   20   -3      -3.74    27.06    -1.98    57.73     7.88    -3.73     0.00     0.06     3.43     0.70P    4.67R    0.60  
Leeds_United    18   19   -5      -2.69    33.15    -1.05    52.53     7.62   -11.11     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.14P   14.47R    2.68  
Preston         18   18   -3      -4.37    24.00    -0.48    53.34     7.80    -6.21     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.22P   12.14R    2.16  
MK_Dons         18   16   -9      -5.39    18.69    -4.30    49.01     7.94   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   28.56R    7.70  
Bristol_City    18   16  -12      -4.64    22.73    -6.00    48.31     7.95   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   32.76R    9.90  
Charlton        18   16  -14      -3.34    28.82    -6.54    46.75     7.50   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   40.33R   12.41  
Huddersfield    18   15  -11      -4.10    24.63    -2.63    46.46     7.69   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   40.92R   13.53  
Rotherham       18   15  -12      -2.91    31.51    -1.52    42.80     7.42   -28.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.92R   27.46  
Bolton          18   12  -13      -7.96     8.13    -6.49    43.77     7.61   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   54.19R   22.32  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    20   41   +8      13.04    97.58     6.94    76.90     7.70     8.62     9.87    20.73    66.68    29.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         20   39  +17       7.06    85.69    10.14    80.63     7.75    26.06    21.97    39.98    83.62    50.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          20   39  +16       7.08    86.04     9.37    80.40     7.61    24.59    20.58    37.98    83.13    49.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       20   38  +14       6.84    84.81     8.45    77.93     7.83    20.53    13.07    27.00    72.91    37.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Wigan            20   34  +10      -0.93    43.91    -1.12    79.64     7.68    24.57    18.15    34.90    80.71    50.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   33  +15      -0.25    48.17     5.74    76.96     7.74    27.97    11.43    24.23    70.66    37.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         20   31   +3       0.79    54.69    -1.20    69.76     7.93     7.53     2.03     5.43    32.76    12.32P    0.70R    0.02  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.15    78.52     5.09    65.51     7.64     1.62     0.41     1.48    15.43     4.26P    1.95R    0.10  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.16    69.10     1.20    67.35     7.50     3.31     0.70     2.23    21.12     6.46P    1.00R    0.03  
Bury             20   30   +1       4.52    75.33     4.38    63.57     7.87    -2.46     0.28     1.02    10.97     2.75P    4.25R    0.24  
Port_Vale        20   29   +3       1.67    60.35     3.18    63.80     7.59     1.58     0.25     0.88    11.16     2.95P    3.11R    0.15  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.23    25.93    -3.68    66.43     7.70     7.66     0.71     2.22    19.48     7.04P    1.49R    0.06  
Rochdale         20   27   +1      -0.71    46.11     0.70    64.58     7.72     3.70     0.35     1.14    13.44     4.03P    2.81R    0.14  
Scunthorpe       20   26   -3       0.59    54.44     0.37    58.97     7.64    -7.40     0.04     0.17     3.69     0.88P   11.27R    0.97  
Doncaster        20   24   -6      -2.17    37.42    -4.14    58.87     7.63    -6.98     0.03     0.15     3.28     0.78P   11.82R    1.05  
Chesterfield     20   23  -10      -3.66    29.02    -8.72    57.10     7.73   -12.87     0.02     0.08     2.23     0.56P   17.43R    1.93  
Swindon          20   22   -5      -7.81    12.14    -8.57    60.36     7.81    -1.18     0.08     0.30     5.56     1.70P    8.49R    0.71  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.33    25.61     1.21    54.57     7.56    -5.09     0.01     0.04     1.10     0.28P   24.81R    3.56  
Shrewsbury       20   21   -5      -5.17    21.90    -3.15    54.33     7.82    -8.69     0.01     0.04     1.20     0.33P   27.36R    4.05  
Colchester       20   20  -19      -0.77    46.59    -6.52    47.01     7.46   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   66.77R   22.88  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.32    25.55    -3.64    49.29     7.46   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   52.78R   13.17  
Blackpool        20   19  -12      -4.67    23.99    -6.61    49.04     7.46   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   54.80R   13.83  
Crewe            20   19  -14      -0.84    46.06    -2.04    45.01     7.11   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   75.61R   30.98  
Barnsley         20   18   -9      -8.57     9.39    -7.38    52.77     7.68   -10.57     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.13P   33.47R    6.12  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   40  +15       8.18    89.37     8.52    81.19     7.64    23.19    22.57    56.82    88.67    65.03P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             20   40  +14       7.64    88.05     6.75    83.08     7.65    24.76    31.15    66.26    92.58    73.60P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          20   40  +10       9.72    92.70     5.81    79.30     7.86    15.38    15.52    45.25    81.91    53.15P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.86    88.56    10.63    74.28     8.11    15.19     6.26    23.92    62.33    31.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +15       2.12    62.43     8.34    74.95     7.74    22.85     7.05    27.25    67.51    38.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             20   33   +2       5.86    80.56     3.07    67.14     7.91    -1.24     0.92     5.58    26.65     9.42P    0.08R    0.01  
Mansfield            20   32  +10       5.42    79.90    11.07    66.04     7.65     7.86     0.58     4.17    23.32     8.09P    0.06R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        20   31   +5      -4.41    25.52    -7.29    76.78     7.85    20.46    10.22    35.14    74.35    49.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              19   30   +5       0.34    52.07    -0.33    71.08     7.91    11.02     2.73    13.60    46.46    22.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       20   30   +4       2.88    67.08     4.18    66.46     7.81     5.41     0.62     4.52    24.67     9.15P    0.10R    0.02  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.29    63.53     0.77    65.39     7.76     0.33     0.52     3.45    20.14     6.97P    0.15R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   28   +0       2.12    63.27     2.41    62.00     7.70    -2.55     0.13     1.35    10.48     3.22P    0.46R    0.08  
Morecambe            20   27   +0      -0.01    50.44     1.00    62.92     7.87    -0.09     0.26     1.89    13.55     4.39P    0.37R    0.08  
Luton                20   26   +4      -3.90    28.10     0.33    64.28     7.74     7.88     0.38     2.77    18.10     6.80P    0.16R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd        20   26   -1       0.64    54.56     2.55    59.03     7.68    -5.44     0.05     0.54     5.52     1.53P    1.25R    0.28  
Notts_County         19   25   -3      -3.86    28.33    -7.13    66.66     8.28     3.93     0.86     5.60    26.94    11.49P    0.22R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         20   25   -7      -2.96    33.72    -7.71    62.53     7.94    -4.29     0.18     1.58    11.98     4.32P    0.54R    0.10  
Stevenage            20   22   -9      -5.24    21.51    -8.50    57.40     7.85    -9.73     0.01     0.28     3.83     1.18P    2.37R    0.62  
Barnet               20   21   -9      -0.94    45.64    -0.01    50.08     7.72   -19.67     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.09P   13.95R    4.93  
Hartlepool           19   20  -10      -0.63    47.20    -1.88    47.85     7.42   -23.87     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   20.31R    7.88  
Newport_County       20   19   -8      -4.89    22.89    -2.75    50.49     7.63   -14.29     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.13P   11.46R    3.88  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -15      -9.78     5.88    -7.68    42.88     7.49   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    42.86R   21.52  
York                 20   12  -20      -9.85     5.37   -11.33    40.19     7.39   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.57R   35.99  
Yeovil               20   11  -15     -13.61     1.45   -10.83    42.23     7.71   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   46.07R   24.50  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Aldershot 0 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       23   47  +29       1.23    56.07     6.78    93.94     6.62    53.24    67.63    98.83    79.35P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       5.92    80.11     3.82    85.84     7.03    29.80    13.52    86.30    31.71P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.46    35.25     5.21    85.15     6.76    42.67    13.30    86.77    39.58P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     23   40  +11       6.64    82.55     8.42    73.61     7.05    13.93     0.48    26.35     4.44P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        22   40   +8       5.08    76.48     0.84    77.72     7.31    15.33     2.09    47.83    10.24P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   24   40   +7       4.47    73.16     3.28    71.96     6.87     9.56     0.24    18.51     3.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     23   38  +13       1.38    57.74     5.52    74.80     6.97    20.86     0.71    33.54     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          22   37  +14       1.24    57.12     5.53    74.88     7.21    21.45     0.96    34.53     7.63P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   22   37   +9       4.35    74.06     5.24    72.70     7.01    13.23     0.42    22.41     4.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         23   34   +7      -6.29    18.42    -6.17    74.17     7.07    19.80     0.59    30.65     9.36P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        22   34   -5       4.01    72.24    -4.32    66.59     7.19    -5.79     0.04     5.66     0.78P    0.06R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.20    66.93     6.61    63.46     7.37     0.46     0.01     2.99     0.40P    0.37R    0.01  
Woking           23   31   +5      -4.55    26.52    -1.07    65.79     7.09     9.70     0.03     5.09     1.05P    0.11R    0.00  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.75    83.36    -0.00    53.84     6.77   -27.11     0.00     0.05     0.00P    7.56R    0.97  
Chester          24   30   -6       2.37    63.82     2.53    57.14     6.61   -11.09     0.00     0.17     0.01P    2.34R    0.21  
Guiseley         24   29  -13       3.59    70.14    -0.80    49.17     6.43   -29.09     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.58R    4.14  
Aldershot        23   28   -8      -0.56    47.34    -3.41    57.79     6.90   -10.76     0.00     0.28     0.05P    2.24R    0.22  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.70    66.82    -1.91    50.55     6.63   -26.23     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.31R    2.87  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.25    37.56    -0.15    49.84     6.60   -16.54     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.35R    3.28  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -4.84    25.54     2.64    46.32     6.59   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.76R    9.04  
Southport        21   18  -16      -2.27    36.95    -2.69    44.04     6.93   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.71R   18.47  
Torquay          22   17  -20      -9.52     7.61   -13.76    47.08     7.14   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00P   32.26R    9.53  
Halifax          22   16  -23      -9.88     6.93   -14.80    42.36     7.03   -35.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.80R   27.22  
Kidderminster    22   14  -13     -12.44     2.66    -7.32    42.40     6.95   -19.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.53R   24.03