Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 1 December 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 November 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 14 29 +16 -0.46 44.66 -1.71 78.82 6.85 44.20 55.93 79.12 90.48 95.70 99.07 0.00 0.00 Leicester 14 29 +8 9.04 95.37 7.04 59.42 7.17 2.93 0.61 2.47 6.79 14.26 36.84 0.01R 0.00 Man_Utd 14 28 +10 3.07 71.94 1.36 72.43 7.03 27.48 15.82 41.37 64.77 79.62 93.41 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 14 27 +12 0.67 54.06 1.21 73.45 6.83 33.77 20.93 49.61 71.48 84.55 95.66 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 14 25 +13 2.35 66.77 7.81 65.69 7.27 25.05 3.59 12.97 27.74 45.99 73.77 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 14 23 +3 1.52 61.45 -0.47 63.46 7.34 14.43 1.83 7.35 17.16 31.48 60.60 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 14 22 +5 4.21 79.50 7.13 52.72 7.11 1.85 0.02 0.29 1.04 2.81 11.13 0.42R 0.01 West_Ham 14 22 +4 3.10 72.53 4.77 54.36 7.23 2.99 0.09 0.59 1.92 4.57 16.08 0.24R 0.01 Everton 14 21 +8 -0.42 47.15 4.60 60.42 7.28 17.89 0.69 3.49 9.62 19.73 46.11 0.03R 0.00 Southampton 14 20 +3 -1.91 35.82 -1.01 56.79 7.26 8.78 0.21 1.15 3.76 8.75 26.43 0.07R 0.00 Watford 14 19 -1 2.78 70.84 3.92 46.58 7.11 -9.68 0.01 0.03 0.16 0.45 2.38 3.61R 0.21 Stoke 14 19 -3 0.49 54.13 -2.23 48.50 6.90 -7.72 0.01 0.03 0.17 0.64 3.48 1.58R 0.07 West_Brom 14 18 -5 2.36 68.89 0.19 46.31 6.89 -12.17 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.28 1.77 3.81R 0.24 Chelsea 14 15 -6 -9.04 4.11 -13.30 57.99 7.15 9.68 0.27 1.50 4.79 11.00 32.06 0.05R 0.00 Swansea 14 14 -5 -3.67 24.28 -2.74 43.73 7.09 -10.21 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 1.01 6.96R 0.53 Norwich 14 13 -8 -2.21 34.46 -0.99 38.54 7.11 -20.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.17 24.35R 3.65 Sunderland 14 12 -10 -2.74 30.08 -3.17 33.90 6.52 -28.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 50.19R 10.37 Bournemouth 14 10 -13 -4.01 21.94 -3.17 31.45 6.78 -33.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.40R 20.29 Newcastle 14 10 -16 -3.15 26.84 -5.40 32.67 6.68 -33.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 58.80R 16.35 Aston_Villa 14 5 -15 -7.38 4.67 -3.85 26.77 6.54 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.47R 48.26Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 November 2015, Bolton 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 18 38 +10 11.18 96.99 6.55 78.39 7.71 13.58 7.05 18.26 76.72 29.99P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 18 36 +15 4.41 77.41 4.90 83.44 7.76 27.94 20.59 42.47 91.96 57.85P 0.00 0.00 Derby 18 36 +15 4.35 76.19 4.60 85.45 7.89 31.65 29.99 53.98 94.72 66.72P 0.00 0.00 Hull 18 35 +16 3.01 68.53 5.53 85.56 7.86 33.44 31.22 55.03 95.01 68.72P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 18 34 +9 4.13 74.92 1.43 78.92 8.00 18.66 9.02 21.69 78.69 36.95P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 18 28 +5 3.74 73.34 5.44 65.66 7.84 4.29 0.24 1.01 18.81 4.30P 0.35R 0.02 Ipswich 18 28 +3 0.67 54.19 -0.98 69.08 8.02 7.14 0.83 2.87 32.70 9.40P 0.12R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 18 28 +3 3.80 73.86 3.29 64.95 7.76 1.46 0.16 0.77 16.33 3.52P 0.38R 0.03 Reading 18 27 +5 2.18 64.24 4.68 64.31 7.84 3.74 0.18 0.71 14.73 3.30P 0.54R 0.05 Cardiff 18 26 +3 1.35 59.54 2.56 65.37 7.87 4.89 0.19 0.87 18.06 4.26P 0.46R 0.04 Brentford 18 25 -1 -0.30 48.53 -1.98 65.38 8.01 2.07 0.21 0.88 18.38 4.34P 0.58R 0.06 QPR 18 23 -2 -3.23 30.54 -4.22 63.07 8.30 0.80 0.14 0.58 13.01 3.48P 1.41R 0.15 Fulham 18 22 +1 -1.99 37.94 2.42 58.36 8.11 -2.86 0.02 0.13 4.87 0.94P 4.37R 0.63 Blackburn 18 21 +1 -4.48 23.23 -0.40 61.32 7.89 4.22 0.06 0.27 8.32 2.12P 1.68R 0.16 Wolverhampton 18 21 -1 -4.83 21.40 -2.83 62.82 7.99 4.29 0.09 0.42 11.80 2.93P 1.15R 0.11 Nott'm_Forest 18 20 -3 -3.74 27.06 -1.98 57.73 7.88 -3.73 0.00 0.06 3.43 0.70P 4.67R 0.60 Leeds_United 18 19 -5 -2.69 33.15 -1.05 52.53 7.62 -11.11 0.00 0.01 0.67 0.14P 14.47R 2.68 Preston 18 18 -3 -4.37 24.00 -0.48 53.34 7.80 -6.21 0.00 0.01 1.08 0.22P 12.14R 2.16 MK_Dons 18 16 -9 -5.39 18.69 -4.30 49.01 7.94 -16.74 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 28.56R 7.70 Bristol_City 18 16 -12 -4.64 22.73 -6.00 48.31 7.95 -21.55 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 32.76R 9.90 Charlton 18 16 -14 -3.34 28.82 -6.54 46.75 7.50 -24.38 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 40.33R 12.41 Huddersfield 18 15 -11 -4.10 24.63 -2.63 46.46 7.69 -21.25 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 40.92R 13.53 Rotherham 18 15 -12 -2.91 31.51 -1.52 42.80 7.42 -28.29 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 60.92R 27.46 Bolton 18 12 -13 -7.96 8.13 -6.49 43.77 7.61 -22.06 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 54.19R 22.32League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 20 41 +8 13.04 97.58 6.94 76.90 7.70 8.62 9.87 20.73 66.68 29.28P 0.02R 0.00 Coventry 20 39 +17 7.06 85.69 10.14 80.63 7.75 26.06 21.97 39.98 83.62 50.89P 0.00R 0.00 Walsall 20 39 +16 7.08 86.04 9.37 80.40 7.61 24.59 20.58 37.98 83.13 49.75P 0.00R 0.00 Gillingham 20 38 +14 6.84 84.81 8.45 77.93 7.83 20.53 13.07 27.00 72.91 37.26P 0.02R 0.00 Wigan 20 34 +10 -0.93 43.91 -1.12 79.64 7.68 24.57 18.15 34.90 80.71 50.83P 0.02R 0.00 Peterborough 20 33 +15 -0.25 48.17 5.74 76.96 7.74 27.97 11.43 24.23 70.66 37.46P 0.02R 0.00 Millwall 20 31 +3 0.79 54.69 -1.20 69.76 7.93 7.53 2.03 5.43 32.76 12.32P 0.70R 0.02 Southend 20 31 +3 5.15 78.52 5.09 65.51 7.64 1.62 0.41 1.48 15.43 4.26P 1.95R 0.10 Bradford 20 31 +2 3.16 69.10 1.20 67.35 7.50 3.31 0.70 2.23 21.12 6.46P 1.00R 0.03 Bury 20 30 +1 4.52 75.33 4.38 63.57 7.87 -2.46 0.28 1.02 10.97 2.75P 4.25R 0.24 Port_Vale 20 29 +3 1.67 60.35 3.18 63.80 7.59 1.58 0.25 0.88 11.16 2.95P 3.11R 0.15 Sheff_Utd 20 27 +2 -4.23 25.93 -3.68 66.43 7.70 7.66 0.71 2.22 19.48 7.04P 1.49R 0.06 Rochdale 20 27 +1 -0.71 46.11 0.70 64.58 7.72 3.70 0.35 1.14 13.44 4.03P 2.81R 0.14 Scunthorpe 20 26 -3 0.59 54.44 0.37 58.97 7.64 -7.40 0.04 0.17 3.69 0.88P 11.27R 0.97 Doncaster 20 24 -6 -2.17 37.42 -4.14 58.87 7.63 -6.98 0.03 0.15 3.28 0.78P 11.82R 1.05 Chesterfield 20 23 -10 -3.66 29.02 -8.72 57.10 7.73 -12.87 0.02 0.08 2.23 0.56P 17.43R 1.93 Swindon 20 22 -5 -7.81 12.14 -8.57 60.36 7.81 -1.18 0.08 0.30 5.56 1.70P 8.49R 0.71 Fleetwood_Town 20 21 -2 -4.33 25.61 1.21 54.57 7.56 -5.09 0.01 0.04 1.10 0.28P 24.81R 3.56 Shrewsbury 20 21 -5 -5.17 21.90 -3.15 54.33 7.82 -8.69 0.01 0.04 1.20 0.33P 27.36R 4.05 Colchester 20 20 -19 -0.77 46.59 -6.52 47.01 7.46 -34.72 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 66.77R 22.88 Oldham 20 19 -10 -4.32 25.55 -3.64 49.29 7.46 -18.30 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 52.78R 13.17 Blackpool 20 19 -12 -4.67 23.99 -6.61 49.04 7.46 -20.14 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 54.80R 13.83 Crewe 20 19 -14 -0.84 46.06 -2.04 45.01 7.11 -29.33 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 75.61R 30.98 Barnsley 20 18 -9 -8.57 9.39 -7.38 52.77 7.68 -10.57 0.00 0.01 0.54 0.13P 33.47R 6.12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 December 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 20 40 +15 8.18 89.37 8.52 81.19 7.64 23.19 22.57 56.82 88.67 65.03P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 20 40 +14 7.64 88.05 6.75 83.08 7.65 24.76 31.15 66.26 92.58 73.60P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 20 40 +10 9.72 92.70 5.81 79.30 7.86 15.38 15.52 45.25 81.91 53.15P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 19 35 +12 7.86 88.56 10.63 74.28 8.11 15.19 6.26 23.92 62.33 31.63P 0.01R 0.00 Portsmouth 20 34 +15 2.12 62.43 8.34 74.95 7.74 22.85 7.05 27.25 67.51 38.02P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 20 33 +2 5.86 80.56 3.07 67.14 7.91 -1.24 0.92 5.58 26.65 9.42P 0.08R 0.01 Mansfield 20 32 +10 5.42 79.90 11.07 66.04 7.65 7.86 0.58 4.17 23.32 8.09P 0.06R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 20 31 +5 -4.41 25.52 -7.29 76.78 7.85 20.46 10.22 35.14 74.35 49.11P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 19 30 +5 0.34 52.07 -0.33 71.08 7.91 11.02 2.73 13.60 46.46 22.66P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 20 30 +4 2.88 67.08 4.18 66.46 7.81 5.41 0.62 4.52 24.67 9.15P 0.10R 0.02 Exeter 20 30 +1 2.29 63.53 0.77 65.39 7.76 0.33 0.52 3.45 20.14 6.97P 0.15R 0.03 AFC_Wimbledon 20 28 +0 2.12 63.27 2.41 62.00 7.70 -2.55 0.13 1.35 10.48 3.22P 0.46R 0.08 Morecambe 20 27 +0 -0.01 50.44 1.00 62.92 7.87 -0.09 0.26 1.89 13.55 4.39P 0.37R 0.08 Luton 20 26 +4 -3.90 28.10 0.33 64.28 7.74 7.88 0.38 2.77 18.10 6.80P 0.16R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 20 26 -1 0.64 54.56 2.55 59.03 7.68 -5.44 0.05 0.54 5.52 1.53P 1.25R 0.28 Notts_County 19 25 -3 -3.86 28.33 -7.13 66.66 8.28 3.93 0.86 5.60 26.94 11.49P 0.22R 0.04 Crawley_Town 20 25 -7 -2.96 33.72 -7.71 62.53 7.94 -4.29 0.18 1.58 11.98 4.32P 0.54R 0.10 Stevenage 20 22 -9 -5.24 21.51 -8.50 57.40 7.85 -9.73 0.01 0.28 3.83 1.18P 2.37R 0.62 Barnet 20 21 -9 -0.94 45.64 -0.01 50.08 7.72 -19.67 0.00 0.02 0.39 0.09P 13.95R 4.93 Hartlepool 19 20 -10 -0.63 47.20 -1.88 47.85 7.42 -23.87 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.03P 20.31R 7.88 Newport_County 20 19 -8 -4.89 22.89 -2.75 50.49 7.63 -14.29 0.00 0.02 0.44 0.13P 11.46R 3.88 Dag_&_Red 20 13 -15 -9.78 5.88 -7.68 42.88 7.49 -24.06 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 42.86R 21.52 York 20 12 -20 -9.85 5.37 -11.33 40.19 7.39 -31.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.57R 35.99 Yeovil 20 11 -15 -13.61 1.45 -10.83 42.23 7.71 -21.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 46.07R 24.50National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Aldershot 0 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 23 47 +29 1.23 56.07 6.78 93.94 6.62 53.24 67.63 98.83 79.35P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 23 46 +17 5.92 80.11 3.82 85.84 7.03 29.80 13.52 86.30 31.71P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 23 42 +25 -2.46 35.25 5.21 85.15 6.76 42.67 13.30 86.77 39.58P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 40 +11 6.64 82.55 8.42 73.61 7.05 13.93 0.48 26.35 4.44P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 22 40 +8 5.08 76.48 0.84 77.72 7.31 15.33 2.09 47.83 10.24P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 24 40 +7 4.47 73.16 3.28 71.96 6.87 9.56 0.24 18.51 3.24P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 23 38 +13 1.38 57.74 5.52 74.80 6.97 20.86 0.71 33.54 7.64P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 22 37 +14 1.24 57.12 5.53 74.88 7.21 21.45 0.96 34.53 7.63P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 22 37 +9 4.35 74.06 5.24 72.70 7.01 13.23 0.42 22.41 4.50P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 23 34 +7 -6.29 18.42 -6.17 74.17 7.07 19.80 0.59 30.65 9.36P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 22 34 -5 4.01 72.24 -4.32 66.59 7.19 -5.79 0.04 5.66 0.78P 0.06R 0.00 Bromley 23 33 +3 3.20 66.93 6.61 63.46 7.37 0.46 0.01 2.99 0.40P 0.37R 0.01 Woking 23 31 +5 -4.55 26.52 -1.07 65.79 7.09 9.70 0.03 5.09 1.05P 0.11R 0.00 Barrow 24 31 -15 6.75 83.36 -0.00 53.84 6.77 -27.11 0.00 0.05 0.00P 7.56R 0.97 Chester 24 30 -6 2.37 63.82 2.53 57.14 6.61 -11.09 0.00 0.17 0.01P 2.34R 0.21 Guiseley 24 29 -13 3.59 70.14 -0.80 49.17 6.43 -29.09 0.00 0.01 0.00 21.58R 4.14 Aldershot 23 28 -8 -0.56 47.34 -3.41 57.79 6.90 -10.76 0.00 0.28 0.05P 2.24R 0.22 Altrincham 23 26 -15 2.70 66.82 -1.91 50.55 6.63 -26.23 0.00 0.01 0.00 16.31R 2.87 Welling 23 24 -8 -2.25 37.56 -0.15 49.84 6.60 -16.54 0.00 0.01 0.00 17.35R 3.28 Boreham_Wood 24 22 -6 -4.84 25.54 2.64 46.32 6.59 -14.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.76R 9.04 Southport 21 18 -16 -2.27 36.95 -2.69 44.04 6.93 -28.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.71R 18.47 Torquay 22 17 -20 -9.52 7.61 -13.76 47.08 7.14 -25.04 0.00 0.00 0.00P 32.26R 9.53 Halifax 22 16 -23 -9.88 6.93 -14.80 42.36 7.03 -35.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.80R 27.22 Kidderminster 22 14 -13 -12.44 2.66 -7.32 42.40 6.95 -19.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.53R 24.03