Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 30 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 November 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         14   29  +16      -0.44    44.94    -1.68    78.78     6.85    44.02    55.62    78.78    90.15    95.51    99.07     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        14   29   +8       9.01    95.38     6.95    59.57     7.19     3.26     0.61     2.66     7.07    14.90    37.52     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd          14   28  +10       3.03    71.34     1.27    72.52     7.00    27.71    15.97    41.54    65.23    79.92    93.73     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          14   27  +12       0.68    54.08     1.19    73.52     6.88    33.89    21.25    49.97    71.89    84.55    95.61     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        14   25  +13       2.36    66.93     7.83    65.68     7.29    25.00     3.58    12.96    27.36    45.61    73.70     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        14   23   +3       1.50    61.44    -0.53    63.42     7.34    14.39     1.72     7.12    17.33    31.61    60.58     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   14   22   +5       4.12    79.00     7.01    52.90     7.05     2.06     0.03     0.24     0.93     2.72    11.42     0.31R    0.00  
West_Ham         14   22   +4       3.15    73.08     4.84    54.40     7.19     3.02     0.10     0.49     1.82     4.55    16.19     0.17R    0.01  
Everton          14   21   +8      -0.39    47.34     4.69    60.37     7.31    17.82     0.70     3.50     9.44    19.60    46.03     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      14   20   +3      -1.88    36.22    -0.95    56.72     7.15     8.68     0.18     1.11     3.49     8.42    25.85     0.08R    0.00  
Watford          14   19   -1       2.77    70.72     3.90    46.59     7.20    -9.67     0.00     0.03     0.20     0.53     2.60     3.65R    0.22  
Stoke            14   19   -3       0.55    54.87    -2.10    48.26     6.89    -8.03     0.00     0.05     0.20     0.60     3.17     1.63R    0.07  
West_Brom        14   18   -5       2.35    68.97     0.21    46.27     6.92   -12.19     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.28     1.86     3.82R    0.18  
Chelsea          14   15   -6      -8.98     4.29   -13.23    57.92     7.16     9.57     0.23     1.55     4.79    11.03    31.62     0.08R    0.00  
Swansea          14   14   -5      -3.69    24.13    -2.81    43.60     7.07   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.12     0.85     7.34R    0.59  
Norwich          14   13   -8      -2.22    34.28    -1.00    38.58     7.11   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.18    24.33R    3.84  
Sunderland       14   12  -10      -2.72    30.36    -3.16    33.88     6.49   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    50.33R   10.45  
Bournemouth      14   10  -13      -3.99    22.40    -3.18    31.50     6.81   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    65.01R   20.37  
Newcastle        14   10  -16      -3.12    27.11    -5.32    32.64     6.65   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.73R   16.33  
Aston_Villa      14    5  -15      -7.44     4.40    -3.94    26.81     6.52   -32.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.50R   47.94  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 November 2015, Bolton 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        18   38  +10      11.12    96.87     6.51    78.47     7.75    13.66     7.07    18.42    76.65    30.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   18   36  +15       4.43    77.07     4.87    83.60     7.76    28.17    20.81    43.19    92.37    58.74P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           18   36  +15       4.30    75.96     4.51    85.64     7.86    31.91    31.09    54.85    95.05    67.13P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            18   35  +16       3.00    68.58     5.55    85.52     7.84    33.36    30.41    54.58    95.05    68.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         18   34   +9       4.19    75.12     1.54    78.69     7.96    18.37     8.49    20.55    78.38    35.99P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      18   28   +5       3.86    74.02     5.67    65.48     7.87     3.97     0.22     0.96    18.52     4.02P    0.34R    0.02  
Ipswich         18   28   +3       0.67    54.49    -1.01    68.99     8.10     6.98     0.79     2.77    32.76     9.27P    0.17R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       18   28   +3       3.83    73.90     3.33    64.84     7.80     1.33     0.19     0.81    15.79     3.46P    0.44R    0.03  
Reading         18   27   +5       2.16    64.25     4.64    64.36     7.83     3.83     0.17     0.66    15.05     3.28P    0.58R    0.05  
Cardiff         18   26   +3       1.30    59.02     2.48    65.34     7.81     4.86     0.17     0.78    17.87     4.22P    0.40R    0.03  
Brentford       18   25   -1      -0.35    48.22    -2.01    65.26     8.04     1.90     0.23     0.91    17.88     4.30P    0.55R    0.04  
QPR             18   23   -2      -3.28    30.11    -4.34    63.21     8.36     1.00     0.15     0.62    13.56     3.75P    1.34R    0.14  
Fulham          18   22   +1      -1.92    38.38     2.47    58.37     8.13    -2.80     0.03     0.14     4.93     0.94P    4.49R    0.66  
Blackburn       18   21   +1      -4.29    24.35    -0.16    61.19     7.90     3.99     0.06     0.26     8.15     1.93P    1.64R    0.18  
Wolverhampton   18   21   -1      -4.86    21.68    -2.92    62.95     8.01     4.46     0.10     0.42    12.22     3.30P    1.01R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest   18   20   -3      -3.67    27.59    -1.84    57.68     7.83    -3.83     0.00     0.05     3.33     0.67P    4.50R    0.64  
Leeds_United    18   19   -5      -2.66    33.45    -1.00    52.50     7.58   -11.17     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.11P   14.42R    2.74  
Preston         18   18   -3      -4.34    23.73    -0.43    53.30     7.74    -6.22     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.22P   12.13R    2.26  
MK_Dons         18   16   -9      -5.55    18.09    -4.59    49.35     7.95   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P   27.30R    7.13  
Bristol_City    18   16  -12      -4.60    23.06    -5.90    48.13     7.98   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P   34.20R   10.41  
Charlton        18   16  -14      -3.44    27.99    -6.69    46.88     7.55   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   39.51R   12.61  
Huddersfield    18   15  -11      -4.08    24.62    -2.55    46.33     7.65   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   41.84R   13.97  
Rotherham       18   15  -12      -2.92    31.28    -1.51    42.87     7.41   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.92R   27.12  
Bolton          18   12  -13      -8.02     7.81    -6.61    43.85     7.61   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   54.23R   21.86  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Barnsley 1 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry         20   39  +17       7.18    86.04    10.35    80.49     7.69    25.81    23.13    41.17    83.79    51.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       20   38  +14       6.79    84.61     8.40    77.95     7.81    20.55    14.46    28.74    73.80    38.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    19   38   +7      11.79    96.62     6.49    74.85     7.93     7.00     7.36    16.20    57.07    23.86P    0.09R    0.00  
Walsall          19   36  +14       6.03    82.98     8.24    78.25     7.77    21.83    15.07    29.99    75.59    41.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Wigan            20   34  +10      -1.06    43.30    -1.37    79.77     7.76    24.83    20.20    37.45    81.37    52.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   33  +15      -0.35    47.63     5.59    76.92     7.80    28.00    12.39    25.75    71.14    39.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         19   31   +4       1.68    60.14    -0.86    71.56     8.14     9.27     3.94     9.45    42.44    17.67P    0.45R    0.01  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.20    78.56     5.14    65.44     7.72     1.52     0.49     1.71    16.09     4.63P    2.23R    0.09  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.17    68.92     1.16    67.37     7.47     3.32     0.75     2.48    21.77     6.61P    1.03R    0.02  
Bury             20   30   +1       4.61    75.41     4.51    63.44     7.84    -2.64     0.31     0.99    11.08     2.88P    4.38R    0.25  
Port_Vale        20   29   +3       1.82    61.31     3.39    63.76     7.54     1.52     0.33     1.00    11.50     3.21P    3.30R    0.13  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.40    25.31    -3.93    66.71     7.73     8.08     0.95     2.75    21.31     8.06P    1.43R    0.07  
Rochdale         20   27   +1      -0.63    46.76     0.81    64.45     7.76     3.56     0.39     1.30    13.79     4.09P    3.12R    0.19  
Scunthorpe       20   26   -3       0.68    54.84     0.53    58.81     7.57    -7.66     0.03     0.16     3.44     0.75P   12.04R    1.04  
Doncaster        20   24   -6      -2.15    37.39    -4.15    58.87     7.56    -6.98     0.04     0.16     3.32     0.83P   11.77R    1.02  
Chesterfield     20   23  -10      -3.76    28.90    -8.82    57.14     7.70   -12.79     0.03     0.11     2.18     0.57P   17.45R    2.12  
Swindon          20   22   -5      -7.82    11.76    -8.61    60.43     7.77    -1.05     0.08     0.38     5.95     1.88P    8.56R    0.66  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.39    25.37     1.13    54.45     7.54    -5.21     0.01     0.04     1.03     0.23P   25.98R    3.78  
Shrewsbury       19   21   -3      -4.27    25.77    -1.86    56.11     8.03    -5.99     0.03     0.15     2.35     0.65P   21.23R    2.73  
Colchester       20   20  -19      -0.74    46.84    -6.51    47.03     7.50   -34.67     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.01P   67.28R   23.38  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.32    25.71    -3.62    49.33     7.40   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   53.39R   12.90  
Blackpool        20   19  -12      -4.70    24.01    -6.65    49.00     7.50   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   56.03R   14.31  
Crewe            20   19  -14      -0.78    46.42    -1.94    44.98     7.14   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   76.36R   31.39  
Barnsley         20   18   -9      -8.60     9.28    -7.41    52.88     7.66   -10.44     0.00     0.02     0.61     0.16P   33.83R    5.91  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Barnet 1 3 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   40  +15       7.92    88.57     8.23    81.36     7.64    23.43    22.58    56.67    89.08    65.02P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             20   40  +14       7.60    87.80     6.68    83.15     7.56    24.86    30.04    65.88    92.93    73.33P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          20   40  +10       9.63    92.32     5.61    79.39     7.81    15.55    15.53    44.92    82.21    53.09P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.86    88.48    10.61    74.12     8.06    14.93     5.81    22.58    61.58    30.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +15       2.18    62.85     8.42    74.78     7.68    22.60     6.53    25.52    66.84    36.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             20   33   +2       5.82    80.37     2.94    67.17     7.93    -1.19     0.94     5.39    26.83     9.38P    0.09R    0.02  
Mansfield            20   32  +10       5.53    80.24    11.17    66.11     7.59     7.89     0.60     3.82    23.38     7.58P    0.05R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        20   31   +5      -4.44    25.21    -7.37    76.87     7.92    20.60    10.30    35.30    74.24    48.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              18   30   +8       1.00    56.18     1.62    73.77     8.07    15.96     5.38    21.89    60.19    32.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.33    64.08     0.85    65.32     7.81     0.22     0.41     3.17    20.30     6.68P    0.19R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   28   +0       2.21    63.76     2.53    62.12     7.68    -2.39     0.11     1.25    10.56     3.09P    0.47R    0.08  
Bristol_Rovers       19   27   +1       2.18    63.72     2.58    63.17     7.97     0.10     0.23     1.96    14.10     4.65P    0.38R    0.08  
Luton                20   26   +4      -3.95    28.03     0.24    64.23     7.70     7.78     0.30     2.58    17.60     6.61P    0.19R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd        20   26   -1       0.65    54.56     2.59    59.01     7.70    -5.45     0.05     0.52     5.47     1.49P    1.33R    0.31  
Notts_County         19   25   -3      -4.08    27.21    -7.49    66.84     8.24     4.26     0.85     5.43    27.22    11.79P    0.19R    0.05  
Crawley_Town         20   25   -7      -2.90    33.80    -7.58    62.43     8.04    -4.42     0.17     1.56    12.00     4.20P    0.68R    0.15  
Morecambe            19   24   -1      -1.22    43.30     0.75    61.39     8.11    -0.96     0.16     1.27    10.67     3.24P    0.96R    0.25  
Stevenage            20   22   -9      -5.26    21.59    -8.51    57.40     7.85    -9.73     0.02     0.28     3.77     1.13P    2.56R    0.68  
Barnet               20   21   -9      -0.96    45.36    -0.02    50.12     7.65   -19.61     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.09P   14.26R    5.12  
Hartlepool           19   20  -10      -0.69    46.86    -1.98    47.91     7.43   -23.79     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   20.74R    7.81  
Newport_County       20   19   -8      -4.77    23.67    -2.54    50.29     7.55   -14.60     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.07P   12.52R    4.31  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -14      -8.90     7.10    -7.40    44.36     7.75   -22.96     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   36.99R   17.88  
York                 20   12  -20      -9.74     5.57   -11.16    40.15     7.38   -31.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.20R   38.04  
Yeovil               20   11  -15     -13.54     1.41   -10.76    42.25     7.68   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   47.19R   25.16  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Aldershot 0 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       23   47  +29       1.14    55.77     6.72    93.92     6.56    53.22    67.68    99.00    79.36P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       6.01    80.49     3.99    85.76     7.07    29.66    13.51    86.08    31.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.43    35.34     5.22    85.21     6.73    42.78    13.38    87.07    40.30P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     23   40  +11       6.61    82.52     8.32    73.74     6.99    14.07     0.49    27.29     4.48P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        22   40   +8       5.29    77.76     1.14    77.58     7.30    15.16     1.96    47.19    10.06P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   24   40   +7       4.40    72.67     3.16    71.99     6.84     9.65     0.22    18.76     3.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     23   38  +13       1.32    57.46     5.40    74.84     7.01    20.93     0.78    33.95     7.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          22   37  +14       1.25    56.79     5.53    74.93     7.17    21.48     1.00    34.66     7.92P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   22   37   +9       4.43    74.16     5.34    72.52     7.07    13.03     0.36    21.69     4.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         23   34   +7      -6.30    18.39    -6.17    74.16     7.03    19.81     0.54    30.62     9.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        22   34   -5       4.01    72.18    -4.36    66.66     7.22    -5.68     0.04     5.70     0.88P    0.07R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.31    67.86     6.74    63.37     7.30     0.32     0.00     2.82     0.36P    0.38R    0.02  
Woking           23   31   +5      -4.37    27.21    -0.79    65.59     7.06     9.41     0.02     4.68     0.87P    0.09R    0.01  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.87    83.50     0.21    53.70     6.70   -27.28     0.00     0.05     0.00P    7.67R    1.01  
Chester          24   30   -6       2.30    63.51     2.44    57.14     6.66   -11.13     0.00     0.17     0.01P    2.36R    0.20  
Guiseley         24   29  -13       3.62    70.17    -0.66    49.11     6.40   -29.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.76R    4.19  
Aldershot        23   28   -8      -0.65    46.98    -3.58    57.90     6.88   -10.56     0.00     0.26     0.05P    2.00R    0.21  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.73    66.84    -1.85    50.58     6.65   -26.20     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.44R    3.02  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.26    37.79    -0.15    49.82     6.61   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.64R    3.27  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -5.06    24.68     2.30    46.45     6.66   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.25R    9.08  
Southport        21   18  -16      -2.40    36.06    -2.94    44.14     6.95   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.48R   18.23  
Torquay          22   17  -20      -9.67     7.31   -13.97    47.24     7.11   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.59R    9.32  
Halifax          22   16  -23      -9.83     7.07   -14.70    42.30     7.00   -35.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.58R   27.64  
Kidderminster    22   14  -13     -12.46     2.53    -7.33    42.47     6.96   -19.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.69R   23.80