Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 29 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 November 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         14   29  +16      -0.44    44.91    -1.69    78.83     6.79    44.11    56.04    79.08    90.38    95.65    99.16     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        14   29   +8       9.03    95.44     6.95    59.56     7.24     3.19     0.62     2.65     7.06    14.89    37.25     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          14   28  +10       3.04    71.69     1.33    72.43     7.04    27.51    15.70    41.25    64.53    79.24    93.39     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          14   27  +12       0.71    54.73     1.26    73.45     6.87    33.78    20.82    49.39    71.16    84.30    95.49     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        14   25  +13       2.27    66.25     7.67    65.86     7.28    25.29     3.63    13.49    28.55    46.67    74.59     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        14   23   +3       1.44    61.04    -0.63    63.53     7.38    14.58     1.93     7.36    17.39    31.91    61.07     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   14   22   +5       4.15    79.29     7.05    52.74     7.08     1.89     0.03     0.23     0.95     2.69    11.28     0.33R    0.01  
West_Ham         14   22   +4       3.09    72.48     4.73    54.50     7.24     3.19     0.10     0.53     1.84     4.74    16.56     0.21R    0.00  
Everton          14   21   +8      -0.32    47.97     4.73    60.34     7.25    17.74     0.68     3.35     9.50    19.31    45.62     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton      14   20   +3      -1.91    35.62    -1.04    56.77     7.19     8.76     0.20     1.16     3.65     8.45    25.85     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          14   19   -1       2.79    71.13     3.98    46.53     7.17    -9.78     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.47     2.53     3.65R    0.19  
Stoke            14   19   -3       0.49    54.31    -2.20    48.41     6.89    -7.86     0.00     0.04     0.18     0.61     3.36     1.54R    0.05  
West_Brom        14   18   -5       2.31    68.38     0.11    46.39     6.95   -12.07     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.33     1.91     3.63R    0.18  
Chelsea          14   15   -6      -8.89     4.39   -13.08    57.81     7.18     9.39     0.25     1.42     4.57    10.61    30.84     0.09R    0.00  
Swansea          14   14   -5      -3.69    24.16    -2.80    43.71     7.04   -10.17     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.10     0.87     6.91R    0.54  
Norwich          14   13   -8      -2.24    34.32    -1.01    38.58     7.08   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.18    23.86R    3.61  
Sunderland       14   12  -10      -2.81    29.90    -3.26    33.96     6.55   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    49.51R   10.16  
Bournemouth      14   10  -13      -3.93    22.39    -3.02    31.40     6.75   -34.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    65.69R   20.53  
Newcastle        14   10  -16      -3.11    27.27    -5.32    32.49     6.69   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    59.62R   16.75  
Aston_Villa      14    5  -15      -7.36     4.54    -3.78    26.74     6.49   -33.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.83R   47.97  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Blackburn 2 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        18   38  +10      11.14    96.96     6.49    78.48     7.71    13.70     6.92    18.04    76.77    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   18   36  +15       4.40    77.11     4.90    83.56     7.79    28.08    20.97    42.72    92.07    57.74P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           18   36  +15       4.29    75.65     4.51    85.54     7.88    31.77    30.07    53.97    94.67    66.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            18   35  +16       2.99    68.52     5.48    85.63     7.89    33.53    31.22    55.34    95.01    69.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         18   34   +9       4.04    74.20     1.31    79.00     7.99    18.77     8.83    21.57    78.96    37.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      18   28   +5       3.72    73.06     5.41    65.66     7.87     4.27     0.22     0.96    18.85     4.12P    0.37R    0.02  
Ipswich         18   28   +3       0.76    55.03    -0.87    68.89     8.05     6.86     0.72     2.64    31.72     8.88P    0.13R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       18   28   +3       3.90    74.25     3.43    64.76     7.74     1.21     0.16     0.67    15.26     3.29P    0.47R    0.03  
Reading         18   27   +5       2.13    64.14     4.59    64.28     7.86     3.69     0.18     0.70    14.90     3.27P    0.59R    0.04  
Cardiff         18   26   +3       1.29    59.08     2.50    65.44     7.85     4.97     0.19     0.84    18.02     4.34P    0.38R    0.03  
Brentford       17   24   -1       0.16    51.36    -1.82    65.84     8.26     2.19     0.30     1.19    20.30     5.11P    0.58R    0.06  
QPR             18   23   -2      -3.25    30.43    -4.27    63.10     8.27     0.80     0.10     0.58    12.82     3.31P    1.32R    0.14  
Fulham          18   22   +1      -1.96    38.12     2.46    58.42     8.13    -2.70     0.01     0.09     4.92     1.00P    4.31R    0.57  
Blackburn       18   21   +1      -4.41    23.60    -0.31    61.29     7.89     4.14     0.04     0.24     8.30     1.98P    1.76R    0.21  
Wolverhampton   18   21   -1      -4.80    21.78    -2.84    62.87     7.94     4.38     0.06     0.39    11.63     2.94P    1.11R    0.11  
Nott'm_Forest   18   20   -3      -3.63    28.14    -1.78    57.62     7.92    -3.92     0.01     0.06     3.48     0.69P    4.78R    0.69  
Leeds_United    18   19   -5      -2.51    34.47    -0.86    52.40     7.56   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.12P   14.54R    2.80  
Preston         18   18   -3      -4.37    23.55    -0.47    53.38     7.79    -6.14     0.00     0.01     1.02     0.21P   12.10R    2.12  
MK_Dons         18   16   -9      -5.45    18.45    -4.39    49.12     7.99   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P   28.32R    7.38  
Bristol_City    18   16  -12      -4.65    22.81    -6.01    48.14     8.02   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P   34.00R   10.56  
Charlton        18   16  -14      -3.43    28.12    -6.66    46.90     7.49   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   39.57R   12.19  
Huddersfield    18   15  -11      -4.10    24.30    -2.62    46.46     7.65   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00    41.30R   13.73  
Rotherham       18   15  -12      -2.99    31.11    -1.62    42.91     7.47   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.59R   27.09  
Bolton          17   11  -13      -7.67     7.91    -6.58    43.91     7.81   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    53.76R   22.23  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Barnsley 1 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry         20   39  +17       7.22    86.34    10.36    80.46     7.70    25.76    22.63    40.74    83.66    51.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       20   38  +14       6.75    84.11     8.30    78.11     7.88    20.78    15.16    29.42    74.24    39.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    19   38   +7      11.82    96.69     6.52    74.81     7.95     7.01     7.22    16.14    56.63    23.80P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          19   36  +14       6.04    82.92     8.22    78.19     7.79    21.76    14.81    29.45    75.29    41.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Wigan            20   34  +10      -1.17    42.58    -1.48    79.92     7.70    25.03    20.70    38.13    82.07    53.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   33  +15      -0.26    48.24     5.75    76.79     7.82    27.69    12.08    25.15    70.70    38.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall         19   31   +4       1.71    60.41    -0.87    71.58     8.16     9.28     3.95     9.54    42.48    17.68P    0.44R    0.02  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.12    78.34     5.05    65.56     7.71     1.65     0.58     1.84    16.47     4.84P    2.09R    0.08  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.19    68.94     1.23    67.30     7.49     3.25     0.78     2.47    21.47     6.45P    1.04R    0.04  
Bury             20   30   +1       4.58    75.30     4.47    63.45     7.85    -2.66     0.32     1.10    11.29     3.07P    4.41R    0.25  
Port_Vale        20   29   +3       1.73    60.55     3.25    63.81     7.62     1.61     0.32     1.09    11.66     3.33P    3.41R    0.18  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.28    25.61    -3.75    66.50     7.73     7.72     0.82     2.51    20.41     7.47P    1.67R    0.08  
Rochdale         20   27   +1      -0.71    46.22     0.73    64.59     7.73     3.75     0.38     1.38    14.19     4.39P    2.88R    0.15  
Scunthorpe       20   26   -3       0.70    55.20     0.56    58.80     7.66    -7.66     0.05     0.20     3.69     0.83P   12.31R    1.10  
Doncaster        20   24   -6      -2.18    37.66    -4.20    58.96     7.57    -6.85     0.04     0.18     3.41     0.89P   11.57R    1.10  
Chesterfield     20   23  -10      -3.64    29.24    -8.65    57.10     7.70   -12.83     0.03     0.10     2.29     0.59P   17.93R    1.98  
Swindon          20   22   -5      -7.76    12.42    -8.46    60.31     7.77    -1.31     0.08     0.37     5.68     1.74P    8.54R    0.74  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.28    25.80     1.29    54.36     7.49    -5.35     0.00     0.03     0.98     0.21P   26.19R    3.74  
Shrewsbury       19   21   -3      -4.38    25.03    -2.08    56.26     7.99    -5.70     0.03     0.13     2.35     0.68P   20.50R    2.54  
Colchester       20   20  -19      -0.83    45.94    -6.68    47.16     7.49   -34.39     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.02P   66.87R   22.93  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.31    25.53    -3.65    49.26     7.36   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   53.79R   12.79  
Blackpool        20   19  -12      -4.77    23.54    -6.73    49.19     7.54   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P   54.60R   13.97  
Crewe            20   19  -14      -0.79    46.51    -1.98    44.93     7.14   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   76.62R   31.98  
Barnsley         20   18   -9      -8.49     9.75    -7.22    52.67     7.66   -10.73     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.16P   35.00R    6.34  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Barnet 1 3 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   40  +15       8.02    88.77     8.32    81.25     7.67    23.28    22.22    56.07    88.72    64.26P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             20   40  +14       7.56    87.66     6.64    83.16     7.63    24.90    30.58    65.53    93.14    73.30P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          20   40  +10       9.71    92.64     5.76    79.30     7.88    15.37    15.20    44.46    81.80    52.36P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.96    88.88    10.74    74.06     8.15    14.82     5.91    22.96    60.99    30.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +15       2.00    61.86     8.14    75.04     7.69    22.98     6.80    27.06    67.96    38.20P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             20   33   +2       5.85    80.95     3.04    67.23     7.90    -1.11     0.82     5.46    26.98     9.37P    0.10R    0.02  
Mansfield            20   32  +10       5.51    80.42    11.16    66.02     7.60     7.77     0.52     3.82    23.06     7.79P    0.07R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        20   31   +5      -4.46    25.25    -7.34    76.81     7.88    20.51    10.17    34.61    74.41    48.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              18   30   +8       0.90    55.75     1.50    73.86     8.10    16.13     5.49    22.01    60.59    32.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.43    64.33     0.95    65.19     7.81     0.05     0.39     3.11    19.66     6.57P    0.16R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   28   +0       2.11    63.11     2.40    62.12     7.74    -2.34     0.15     1.29    10.84     3.09P    0.49R    0.08  
Bristol_Rovers       19   27   +1       2.08    63.23     2.40    63.32     7.96     0.29     0.28     2.11    14.59     4.78P    0.41R    0.05  
Luton                20   26   +4      -3.85    28.34     0.42    64.11     7.77     7.65     0.32     2.56    17.38     6.50P    0.20R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd        20   26   -1       0.58    54.07     2.46    59.17     7.69    -5.18     0.03     0.48     5.64     1.51P    1.29R    0.27  
Notts_County         19   25   -3      -3.86    28.15    -7.18    66.60     8.24     3.85     0.78     5.28    26.59    11.22P    0.17R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         20   25   -7      -2.86    33.91    -7.55    62.45     8.00    -4.41     0.17     1.52    11.89     4.22P    0.66R    0.16  
Morecambe            19   24   -1      -1.31    42.43     0.56    61.59     8.10    -0.64     0.16     1.36    11.07     3.54P    0.80R    0.23  
Stevenage            20   22   -9      -5.16    22.11    -8.38    57.24     7.79    -9.98     0.01     0.27     3.62     1.08P    2.47R    0.69  
Barnet               20   21   -9      -1.00    45.09    -0.14    50.24     7.68   -19.43     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.08P   14.18R    5.16  
Hartlepool           19   20  -10      -0.71    46.67    -2.00    47.94     7.43   -23.74     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   20.69R    8.01  
Newport_County       20   19   -8      -4.87    22.85    -2.70    50.41     7.51   -14.41     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.10P   12.24R    4.09  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -14      -8.93     7.13    -7.47    44.45     7.76   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   36.58R   17.37  
York                 20   12  -20      -9.68     5.63   -11.05    40.04     7.38   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.63R   38.07  
Yeovil               20   11  -15     -13.54     1.44   -10.68    42.10     7.70   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   47.86R   25.68  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Aldershot 0 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       23   47  +29       1.13    55.34     6.68    94.00     6.64    53.36    68.05    98.98    79.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       5.90    80.22     3.81    85.84     7.04    29.75    13.69    86.21    31.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.30    36.18     5.41    85.04     6.77    42.57    12.79    86.27    38.74P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     23   40  +11       6.49    81.87     8.16    73.78     7.03    14.17     0.58    27.28     4.79P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        22   40   +8       5.20    77.27     1.06    77.62     7.31    15.17     2.00    47.05     9.96P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   24   40   +7       4.41    72.93     3.17    72.04     6.82     9.71     0.24    18.63     3.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     23   38  +13       1.20    56.75     5.19    74.97     6.99    21.13     0.72    34.43     7.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          22   37  +14       1.32    57.27     5.62    74.73     7.24    21.25     0.87    33.84     7.51P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   22   37   +9       4.29    73.53     5.15    72.74     7.04    13.29     0.36    22.38     4.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         23   34   +7      -6.39    18.19    -6.32    74.26     7.11    19.98     0.63    31.28     9.63P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        22   34   -5       4.05    72.16    -4.25    66.59     7.24    -5.78     0.05     5.72     0.91P    0.07R    0.00  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.28    67.64     6.73    63.37     7.34     0.31     0.01     2.82     0.40P    0.38R    0.03  
Woking           23   31   +5      -4.37    27.06    -0.78    65.63     7.06     9.41     0.02     4.67     0.94P    0.09R    0.00  
Barrow           24   31  -15       6.86    83.45     0.21    53.69     6.75   -27.32     0.00     0.05     0.00P    7.96R    1.11  
Chester          24   30   -6       2.31    63.49     2.42    57.25     6.62   -11.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    2.16R    0.19  
Guiseley         24   29  -13       3.67    70.44    -0.63    49.09     6.39   -29.27     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.68R    4.06  
Aldershot        23   28   -8      -0.68    46.81    -3.61    57.93     6.93   -10.55     0.00     0.22     0.02P    2.11R    0.21  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.81    67.41    -1.74    50.49     6.62   -26.30     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.49R    2.96  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.18    38.50    -0.04    49.82     6.66   -16.62     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.60R    3.46  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -4.93    25.19     2.51    46.40     6.62   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.28R    8.77  
Southport        21   18  -16      -2.28    36.83    -2.73    44.08     6.90   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.27R   18.28  
Torquay          22   17  -20      -9.56     7.63   -13.82    47.03     7.17   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.78R    9.86  
Halifax          22   16  -23      -9.97     6.68   -14.88    42.39     7.04   -35.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.53R   27.32  
Kidderminster    22   14  -13     -12.42     2.58    -7.31    42.44     6.97   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.59R   23.74