Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 28 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Aston_Villa 2 3 Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         14   29  +16      -0.49    44.71    -1.79    78.89     6.79    44.29    51.84    77.09    89.79    95.47    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        14   29   +8       9.07    95.45     7.05    59.43     7.21     2.93     0.51     2.18     6.11    13.82    36.60     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          14   28  +10       2.98    71.25     1.19    72.58     7.03    27.81    14.45    38.92    63.82    79.30    93.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          13   26  +12       1.48    60.66     1.82    75.14     7.10    36.04    26.94    56.57    77.00    88.06    96.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        13   24  +13       2.79    70.78     7.89    66.19     7.49    25.33     3.87    13.30    28.57    47.63    74.61     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   14   22   +5       4.16    79.23     7.12    52.79     7.05     1.89     0.03     0.19     0.88     2.57    10.94     0.36R    0.00  
Everton          14   21   +8      -0.47    46.60     4.54    60.57     7.23    18.09     0.60     3.03     8.94    19.14    46.32     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham         13   21   +4       3.69    77.03     5.12    55.24     7.45     3.68     0.12     0.75     2.43     5.90    19.23     0.23R    0.00  
Southampton      14   20   +3      -1.88    36.07    -0.95    56.66     7.23     8.54     0.17     1.03     3.22     7.92    25.34     0.08R    0.00  
Liverpool        13   20   +2       0.44    53.82    -0.67    62.30     7.61    14.25     1.20     5.20    13.42    26.29    54.40     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          14   19   -1       2.80    70.86     4.00    46.56     7.19    -9.87     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.43     2.49     3.61R    0.20  
Stoke            14   19   -3       0.50    54.55    -2.15    48.36     6.90    -7.90     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.59     3.21     1.55R    0.05  
West_Brom        13   17   -5       2.46    70.08    -0.10    46.28     7.12   -12.88     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.30     1.97     3.92R    0.26  
Swansea          13   14   -4      -2.92    28.52    -2.61    44.82     7.27    -9.76     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.23     1.46     5.43R    0.45  
Chelsea          13   14   -6      -8.70     4.28   -13.41    58.33     7.41     9.73     0.27     1.65     5.35    12.33    33.62     0.08R    0.01  
Norwich          13   12   -8      -2.33    32.92    -1.72    37.94     7.34   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21    27.44R    4.75  
Sunderland       14   12  -10      -2.81    29.71    -3.22    33.90     6.50   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    48.96R   10.26  
Bournemouth      14   10  -13      -3.97    22.28    -3.10    31.34     6.78   -34.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.42R   20.85  
Newcastle        14   10  -16      -3.08    27.48    -5.22    32.52     6.61   -34.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.71R   16.05  
Aston_Villa      14    5  -15      -7.39     4.69    -3.78    26.77     6.54   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.13R   47.11  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Blackburn 2 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        18   38  +10      11.16    96.99     6.54    78.41     7.73    13.60     7.03    17.91    76.52    29.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   18   36  +15       4.34    76.79     4.75    83.59     7.78    28.19    20.86    42.93    92.06    58.27P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           18   36  +15       4.20    75.35     4.42    85.70     7.87    31.96    31.24    55.26    94.79    67.52P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            18   35  +16       3.06    68.99     5.61    85.51     7.81    33.35    30.14    54.20    95.02    68.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         18   34   +9       4.09    74.42     1.39    78.95     8.03    18.75     8.77    21.48    78.81    36.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      18   28   +5       3.82    73.75     5.56    65.51     7.88     4.08     0.20     0.92    18.30     4.07P    0.41R    0.03  
Ipswich         18   28   +3       0.78    55.05    -0.85    68.82     8.00     6.75     0.68     2.51    31.30     8.73P    0.14R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       18   28   +3       3.79    73.97     3.30    64.96     7.74     1.47     0.17     0.73    15.93     3.56P    0.41R    0.03  
Reading         18   27   +5       2.16    64.15     4.64    64.35     7.92     3.83     0.17     0.68    15.35     3.38P    0.57R    0.04  
Cardiff         18   26   +3       1.28    58.95     2.50    65.40     7.85     4.96     0.16     0.79    17.95     4.38P    0.39R    0.03  
Brentford       17   24   -1       0.13    51.34    -1.87    65.89     8.28     2.32     0.28     1.18    20.46     4.89P    0.62R    0.06  
QPR             18   23   -2      -3.23    30.67    -4.27    63.20     8.29     0.93     0.12     0.59    13.13     3.51P    1.30R    0.14  
Fulham          18   22   +1      -1.90    38.91     2.54    58.28     8.12    -2.94     0.03     0.12     4.60     0.91P    4.47R    0.62  
Blackburn       18   21   +1      -4.37    24.17    -0.26    61.22     7.88     4.06     0.05     0.25     8.29     2.07P    1.68R    0.21  
Wolverhampton   18   21   -1      -4.88    21.38    -2.96    62.94     7.93     4.44     0.08     0.37    11.73     2.98P    1.06R    0.11  
Nott'm_Forest   18   20   -3      -3.65    27.50    -1.83    57.68     7.91    -3.87     0.01     0.06     3.54     0.76P    4.69R    0.61  
Leeds_United    18   19   -5      -2.55    34.06    -0.85    52.41     7.60   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.14P   14.78R    2.83  
Preston         18   18   -3      -4.27    23.99    -0.34    53.19     7.73    -6.38     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.20P   12.31R    2.25  
MK_Dons         18   16   -9      -5.51    18.20    -4.52    49.19     7.98   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P   27.79R    7.73  
Bristol_City    18   16  -12      -4.67    22.49    -6.01    48.28     8.01   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   33.17R   10.26  
Charlton        18   16  -14      -3.35    28.93    -6.54    46.73     7.51   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   40.61R   12.58  
Huddersfield    18   15  -11      -4.07    24.50    -2.58    46.44     7.67   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   41.36R   13.45  
Rotherham       18   15  -12      -3.02    30.97    -1.65    42.91     7.41   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.75R   26.94  
Bolton          17   11  -13      -7.78     7.71    -6.74    44.04     7.86   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    53.47R   22.07  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Barnsley 1 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry         20   39  +17       7.26    86.40    10.47    80.45     7.70    25.74    22.96    40.93    83.72    51.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham       20   38  +14       6.81    84.55     8.40    78.01     7.81    20.65    14.65    28.99    74.10    39.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    19   38   +7      11.77    96.76     6.41    74.94     7.89     7.13     7.54    16.40    57.48    24.07P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          19   36  +14       5.94    82.40     8.08    78.39     7.77    22.00    15.29    30.28    76.07    41.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Wigan            20   34  +10      -1.05    43.18    -1.35    79.77     7.72    24.83    20.37    37.63    81.49    53.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   33  +15      -0.26    48.07     5.73    76.77     7.77    27.68    11.87    24.98    70.70    38.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall         19   31   +4       1.76    60.34    -0.81    71.51     8.19     9.20     3.99     9.64    41.99    17.75P    0.49R    0.00  
Southend         20   31   +3       5.10    78.19     5.00    65.67     7.66     1.81     0.53     1.80    16.70     4.79P    2.04R    0.06  
Bradford         20   31   +2       3.32    69.85     1.39    67.22     7.50     3.15     0.80     2.52    21.51     6.62P    1.09R    0.03  
Bury             20   30   +1       4.65    76.08     4.57    63.34     7.82    -2.85     0.28     0.94    10.89     2.75P    4.54R    0.29  
Port_Vale        20   29   +3       1.79    61.06     3.40    63.69     7.55     1.42     0.31     1.05    11.31     3.10P    3.20R    0.11  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +2      -4.28    26.02    -3.79    66.51     7.74     7.83     0.78     2.54    20.75     7.65P    1.53R    0.09  
Rochdale         20   27   +1      -0.56    47.37     0.89    64.39     7.69     3.45     0.36     1.26    13.48     4.07P    3.06R    0.16  
Scunthorpe       20   26   -3       0.54    54.04     0.34    58.94     7.59    -7.41     0.06     0.23     3.69     0.85P   11.54R    0.98  
Doncaster        20   24   -6      -2.23    36.89    -4.20    58.94     7.53    -6.87     0.04     0.14     3.36     0.84P   11.51R    1.03  
Chesterfield     20   23  -10      -3.67    29.11    -8.71    57.10     7.68   -12.85     0.02     0.11     2.35     0.59P   17.76R    1.96  
Swindon          20   22   -5      -7.86    11.80    -8.66    60.36     7.79    -1.19     0.10     0.36     5.91     1.85P    8.75R    0.77  
Fleetwood_Town   20   21   -2      -4.46    24.88     1.01    54.60     7.57    -5.02     0.01     0.05     1.12     0.29P   25.22R    3.69  
Shrewsbury       19   21   -3      -4.47    24.75    -2.17    56.32     8.04    -5.65     0.03     0.12     2.36     0.62P   20.64R    2.78  
Colchester       20   20  -19      -0.83    45.98    -6.63    47.16     7.50   -34.41     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   66.96R   22.46  
Oldham           20   19  -10      -4.29    25.50    -3.61    49.26     7.44   -18.32     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P   54.32R   13.12  
Blackpool        20   19  -12      -4.71    23.92    -6.71    49.08     7.51   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   55.42R   14.15  
Crewe            20   19  -14      -0.75    46.76    -1.86    44.89     7.11   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.99R   31.91  
Barnsley         20   18   -9      -8.49     9.78    -7.20    52.70     7.74   -10.71     0.00     0.02     0.69     0.18P   34.78R    6.41  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Barnet 1 3 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   40  +15       8.07    89.02     8.41    81.25     7.65    23.29    22.32    56.09    88.85    64.39P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             20   40  +14       7.61    87.83     6.70    83.17     7.58    24.91    30.46    65.90    92.99    73.39P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          20   40  +10       9.70    92.46     5.73    79.33     7.88    15.49    15.08    44.58    81.88    52.52P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   35  +12       7.81    88.34    10.52    74.26     8.10    15.18     5.97    23.33    62.00    31.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +15       2.09    62.21     8.27    74.91     7.74    22.82     6.78    26.07    67.35    37.18P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             20   33   +2       5.83    80.64     3.01    67.13     7.94    -1.29     0.78     5.40    26.80     9.27P    0.07R    0.02  
Mansfield            20   32  +10       5.45    79.91    11.11    66.12     7.60     7.90     0.53     3.78    23.72     7.71P    0.09R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        20   31   +5      -4.51    25.01    -7.46    76.89     7.83    20.62    10.11    34.90    74.70    48.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              18   30   +8       0.99    56.11     1.57    73.83     8.10    16.08     5.52    21.93    60.31    32.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +1       2.33    63.88     0.82    65.36     7.81     0.29     0.46     3.21    20.21     6.74P    0.13R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   28   +0       2.14    63.37     2.48    61.93     7.67    -2.61     0.15     1.19    10.17     3.02P    0.46R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers       19   27   +1       2.20    64.03     2.53    63.19     7.94     0.14     0.26     1.92    13.90     4.52P    0.41R    0.08  
Luton                20   26   +4      -3.78    28.80     0.53    64.05     7.76     7.54     0.32     2.45    17.16     6.39P    0.22R    0.05  
Cambridge_Utd        20   26   -1       0.65    54.67     2.57    58.97     7.67    -5.52     0.05     0.52     5.40     1.52P    1.34R    0.29  
Notts_County         19   25   -3      -3.92    27.96    -7.26    66.66     8.29     3.91     0.86     5.43    26.78    11.52P    0.19R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         20   25   -7      -3.06    32.90    -7.89    62.67     7.98    -4.08     0.17     1.63    12.46     4.42P    0.62R    0.14  
Morecambe            19   24   -1      -1.17    43.55     0.81    61.36     8.12    -1.03     0.16     1.36    10.58     3.34P    0.92R    0.23  
Stevenage            20   22   -9      -5.18    22.17    -8.40    57.31     7.85    -9.89     0.02     0.30     3.65     1.10P    2.66R    0.70  
Barnet               20   21   -9      -1.08    44.37    -0.27    50.35     7.67   -19.22     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.09P   13.72R    5.00  
Hartlepool           19   20  -10      -0.65    46.96    -1.83    47.83     7.40   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   21.50R    8.08  
Newport_County       20   19   -8      -4.90    22.79    -2.80    50.44     7.57   -14.33     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.08P   12.09R    4.19  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -14      -8.83     7.43    -7.30    44.34     7.76   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   36.71R   17.74  
York                 20   12  -20      -9.76     5.29   -11.17    40.17     7.38   -31.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.02R   37.93  
Yeovil               20   11  -15     -13.52     1.53   -10.69    42.19     7.68   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   47.82R   25.39  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 November 2015, Aldershot 0 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       23   47  +29       1.04    55.05     6.52    94.01     6.62    53.34    68.09    98.86    79.89P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   46  +17       6.09    81.08     4.08    85.64     7.05    29.49    13.04    85.65    30.37P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          23   42  +25      -2.50    34.86     5.17    85.19     6.75    42.79    13.36    86.84    40.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     23   40  +11       6.68    82.70     8.42    73.68     7.00    14.00     0.50    26.72     4.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh        22   40   +8       5.15    76.97     0.98    77.64     7.28    15.22     2.05    47.12     9.93P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   24   40   +7       4.35    72.64     3.07    72.08     6.80     9.77     0.25    18.74     3.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     23   38  +13       1.23    56.75     5.25    74.90     6.99    21.08     0.72    33.87     7.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          22   37  +14       1.32    57.50     5.64    74.87     7.21    21.38     0.91    34.60     7.67P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   22   37   +9       4.21    73.15     5.07    72.75     7.05    13.31     0.42    22.46     4.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         23   34   +7      -6.30    18.35    -6.25    74.23     7.08    19.97     0.59    31.06     9.42P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        22   34   -5       3.92    71.86    -4.45    66.71     7.25    -5.57     0.03     5.89     0.91P    0.08R    0.01  
Bromley          23   33   +3       3.14    66.92     6.52    63.55     7.33     0.61     0.01     2.96     0.42P    0.36R    0.03  
Woking           23   31   +5      -4.37    27.14    -0.80    65.62     7.05     9.41     0.02     4.79     1.00P    0.08R    0.01  
Barrow           24   31  -15       7.05    84.61     0.49    53.54     6.67   -27.53     0.00     0.05     0.00P    7.92R    1.08  
Chester          24   30   -6       2.37    63.92     2.48    57.16     6.62   -11.09     0.00     0.15     0.02P    2.37R    0.22  
Guiseley         24   29  -13       3.68    70.64    -0.60    49.07     6.41   -29.29     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.89R    4.25  
Aldershot        23   28   -8      -0.62    46.93    -3.57    57.93     6.87   -10.57     0.00     0.22     0.05P    2.08R    0.19  
Altrincham       23   26  -15       2.90    67.98    -1.56    50.44     6.63   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.57R    3.11  
Welling          23   24   -8      -2.14    38.41     0.01    49.70     6.60   -16.77     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.71R    3.38  
Boreham_Wood     24   22   -6      -5.14    24.17     2.24    46.52     6.59   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.49R    8.56  
Southport        21   18  -16      -2.26    36.91    -2.70    44.02     6.93   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.81R   18.60  
Torquay          22   17  -20      -9.61     7.24   -13.95    47.12     7.11   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.32R    9.25  
Halifax          22   16  -23      -9.84     7.04   -14.69    42.29     7.05   -35.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.05R   27.76  
Kidderminster    22   14  -13     -12.47     2.62    -7.37    42.47     6.92   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.26R   23.55