Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 27 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 November 2015, Crystal_Palace 0 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        13   28   +8       9.08    96.04     6.50    59.21     7.43     1.95     0.60     2.52     6.51    13.46    34.45     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   27  +10       3.66    76.93     1.72    73.49     7.25    28.54    19.66    44.46    66.84    80.90    93.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   26  +14      -1.28    37.94    -2.08    77.43     7.01    42.29    44.04    69.76    84.92    92.52    98.25     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          13   26  +12       1.56    61.20     1.97    75.03     7.09    35.66    28.24    55.46    75.70    87.12    96.45     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        13   24  +13       2.76    70.71     7.88    66.18     7.48    25.20     4.08    13.35    27.72    45.80    73.85     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         13   21   +4       3.58    76.52     4.92    55.20     7.44     3.63     0.14     0.68     2.29     5.47    18.35     0.16R    0.01  
Everton          13   20   +8       0.50    54.12     5.53    61.57     7.52    19.04     1.04     4.40    11.51    22.99    50.61     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton      13   20   +5      -1.24    40.26    -0.07    57.91     7.41    10.25     0.35     1.67     4.82    10.75    30.48     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool        13   20   +2       0.35    52.99    -0.77    62.42     7.65    14.33     1.49     5.66    13.47    25.83    53.81     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   13   19   +1       3.67    77.95     4.70    50.14     7.19    -3.38     0.00     0.06     0.36     1.17     5.78     1.02R    0.04  
Stoke            13   19   -1       1.60    63.27    -0.55    50.76     7.15    -4.45     0.01     0.13     0.47     1.40     6.52     0.78R    0.03  
West_Brom        13   17   -5       2.44    70.18    -0.14    46.20     7.19   -12.84     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.32     1.95     4.11R    0.29  
Watford          13   16   -2       1.59    63.65     3.45    44.65     7.36   -11.03     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.27     1.48     6.32R    0.65  
Swansea          13   14   -4      -2.79    29.48    -2.44    44.81     7.30    -9.66     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.21     1.41     5.46R    0.50  
Chelsea          13   14   -6      -8.63     4.29   -13.25    58.43     7.40     9.76     0.35     1.80     5.17    11.77    32.65     0.10R    0.01  
Norwich          13   12   -8      -2.28    33.37    -1.70    37.70     7.26   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    28.03R    5.16  
Newcastle        13   10  -12      -2.74    29.10    -3.23    34.75     6.96   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    43.80R   10.24  
Sunderland       13    9  -12      -4.27    18.66    -4.96    31.34     6.64   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.56R   20.34  
Bournemouth      13    9  -13      -3.88    21.68    -3.92    30.90     6.98   -35.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    67.20R   24.39  
Aston_Villa      13    5  -14      -6.34     6.88    -3.57    28.12     6.73   -31.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.33R   38.33  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 27 November 2015, Hull 0 2 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Derby           18   36  +15       4.34    76.03     4.56    85.49     7.84    31.66    31.57    56.14    94.85    68.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            18   35  +16       2.91    67.80     5.41    85.68     7.83    33.59    33.10    57.77    95.24    70.44P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        17   35   +9       9.91    95.82     6.08    76.83     7.90    12.70     5.40    14.91    69.52    26.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   33  +13       3.55    73.31     3.92    81.87     8.02    26.02    16.70    36.32    87.90    51.86P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         17   33   +9       4.49    77.25     1.47    79.33     8.20    18.78    10.63    24.56    79.72    39.80P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      17   28   +6       4.73    78.89     5.94    66.82     7.98     5.13     0.40     1.57    23.37     5.50P    0.30R    0.01  
Reading         17   27   +7       2.87    69.15     5.66    66.48     8.08     6.96     0.44     1.63    23.00     5.67P    0.34R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       17   27   +3       4.02    75.60     3.02    64.83     7.95     0.93     0.24     0.89    16.29     3.72P    0.57R    0.03  
Cardiff         17   25   +3       1.59    61.13     2.41    65.53     7.94     4.76     0.24     1.07    18.96     4.68P    0.46R    0.03  
Ipswich         17   25   +0       0.01    50.34    -2.56    66.45     8.28     2.65     0.51     1.76    22.39     6.11P    0.51R    0.03  
Brentford       17   24   -1       0.22    52.04    -1.79    65.79     8.30     2.12     0.35     1.36    20.22     5.21P    0.64R    0.05  
Fulham          17   21   +1      -1.38    41.49     2.78    59.13     8.37    -2.19     0.03     0.19     6.17     1.23P    4.45R    0.53  
Blackburn       17   20   +1      -3.82    25.78    -0.03    61.94     8.07     4.63     0.07     0.43    10.25     2.72P    1.64R    0.17  
Wolverhampton   17   20   -1      -4.19    24.28    -2.49    64.15     8.19     5.71     0.21     0.80    16.03     4.52P    0.96R    0.06  
QPR             17   20   -3      -4.34    24.09    -4.50    61.61     8.55    -0.02     0.10     0.50    10.41     2.80P    2.52R    0.27  
Leeds_United    17   19   -4      -1.66    39.20    -0.54    53.58     7.75   -10.61     0.01     0.01     0.97     0.16P   12.68R    2.00  
Preston         17   17   -3      -4.18    23.93    -0.69    53.24     8.07    -6.85     0.00     0.02     1.23     0.26P   13.76R    2.28  
Nott'm_Forest   17   17   -5      -4.72    21.30    -3.05    55.28     8.02    -6.86     0.00     0.04     1.97     0.47P    9.37R    1.35  
Bristol_City    17   16   -9      -4.05    25.24    -4.24    50.90     8.32   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.12P   23.89R    5.76  
Charlton        17   16  -11      -2.80    31.65    -4.82    48.89     7.74   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   30.99R    7.09  
Huddersfield    17   15   -9      -3.48    27.72    -1.75    47.95     7.95   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   35.12R    9.58  
MK_Dons         17   15   -9      -5.32    18.46    -4.69    48.95     8.19   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.09P   30.85R    7.62  
Rotherham       17   12  -15      -3.96    23.98    -3.55    39.93     7.56   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.38R   42.42  
Bolton          17   11  -13      -7.62     8.03    -6.55    43.87     7.71   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   55.57R   20.69  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 November 2015, Bradford 0 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry         19   38  +17       7.81    88.88    10.68    81.48     7.94    26.72    27.87    47.64    86.55    57.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       19   37  +14       7.28    86.88     8.47    78.68     8.10    21.12    17.29    33.32    76.94    43.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    18   35   +3      11.69    97.00     4.63    72.09     8.10     1.61     4.23    10.30    44.37    16.49P    0.40R    0.00  
Walsall          18   33  +13       4.63    77.25     7.58    76.87     8.02    21.15    12.19    25.77    70.16    37.38P    0.05R    0.00  
Wigan            19   33  +10      -0.50    46.44    -1.05    80.43     7.96    25.34    23.42    42.65    83.68    56.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         19   31   +3       4.06    74.36     1.47    68.76     7.68     4.37     1.48     4.28    29.27     9.88P    0.88R    0.02  
Peterborough     19   30  +11      -0.79    45.26     3.57    73.89     8.05    21.60     6.65    16.06    57.58    27.74P    0.21R    0.00  
Southend         19   30   +3       5.28    79.39     4.87    65.39     7.91     0.86     0.62     2.07    17.68     5.15P    2.82R    0.10  
Bury             19   30   +2       5.50    80.15     4.79    64.43     8.09    -2.42     0.55     1.75    15.11     4.36P    4.19R    0.20  
Port_Vale        19   29   +4       2.81    67.36     3.82    65.04     7.77     2.38     0.63     1.91    16.20     4.90P    2.64R    0.08  
Millwall         18   28   +3       0.68    54.33    -0.95    70.23     8.43     8.68     3.19     8.12    38.31    15.88P    0.89R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        19   26   +2      -4.07    26.12    -4.01    66.99     7.91     7.86     1.10     3.18    24.23     9.02P    1.65R    0.04  
Scunthorpe       19   26   +1       0.90    56.23     2.65    61.44     7.91    -1.70     0.16     0.67     8.27     2.22P    7.39R    0.48  
Rochdale         19   24   +0      -1.80    39.56     0.50    62.85     7.97     2.54     0.29     1.00    11.31     3.44P    5.55R    0.36  
Chesterfield     19   23   -6      -3.39    30.15    -6.39    60.31     7.93    -5.95     0.13     0.43     6.33     1.76P   10.28R    0.68  
Doncaster        19   23   -6      -1.99    38.19    -4.47    58.59     7.76    -7.90     0.06     0.23     3.83     1.05P   14.17R    1.21  
Fleetwood_Town   19   21   -1      -3.30    30.49     1.79    56.24     7.77    -3.61     0.03     0.12     2.27     0.61P   20.89R    2.31  
Shrewsbury       18   20   -3      -3.98    26.52    -2.00    56.74     8.26    -5.50     0.06     0.26     3.20     1.01P   20.78R    2.39  
Colchester       19   20  -15      -0.68    46.79    -4.98    49.25     7.78   -28.92     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.08P   57.35R   13.89  
Swindon          19   19   -9      -8.40     9.60   -10.92    57.06     7.97    -7.83     0.03     0.16     2.95     0.95P   19.12R    2.05  
Oldham           19   19   -9      -3.29    30.62    -3.14    51.22     7.63   -16.54     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.09P   45.01R    8.50  
Barnsley         19   17   -9      -8.17     9.97    -7.31    52.96     7.97   -10.96     0.01     0.04     0.93     0.24P   35.75R    5.85  
Blackpool        19   16  -13      -6.04    16.89    -7.10    47.09     7.80   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P   65.97R   19.90  
Crewe            19   16  -15      -2.23    36.81    -2.51    42.93     7.34   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.97R   41.89  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 November 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             19   39  +14       8.25    90.56     7.07    84.31     7.74    26.00    36.66    71.12    94.49    77.48P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   37  +14       7.03    86.47     8.23    79.83     7.91    22.58    17.66    49.28    84.37    58.26P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          19   37   +8       8.69    90.78     4.68    77.39     8.02    12.95    10.47    35.63    74.80    43.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           19   33  +15       2.44    64.63     8.27    75.30     7.89    22.80     7.49    28.88    68.50    39.37P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   18   32   +8       7.64    88.80     8.77    71.07     8.24     8.69     2.88    13.68    46.02    19.81P    0.04R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        19   30   +5      -3.80    27.90    -6.96    78.05     8.23    21.93    13.59    41.43    78.17    54.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             19   30   +0       4.74    76.74     1.84    64.74     8.09    -4.56     0.43     3.43    18.60     6.11P    0.28R    0.07  
Mansfield            19   29   +8       4.64    77.23    10.24    63.60     7.74     4.74     0.27     2.22    15.33     4.69P    0.28R    0.04  
Wycombe              17   29   +8       1.49    59.58     1.86    73.98     8.24    15.75     5.74    23.34    60.75    33.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               19   29   +1       2.79    66.86     0.98    65.60     8.01     0.14     0.56     3.95    21.72     7.73P    0.20R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   27   +0       2.21    63.80     1.93    61.88     7.90    -3.39     0.14     1.39    10.84     3.29P    0.69R    0.17  
Luton                19   26   +7      -3.11    31.77     2.47    66.95     7.96    12.86     0.86     5.90    29.08    12.21P    0.13R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers       18   26   +1       2.48    66.10     2.45    63.38     8.20    -0.10     0.35     2.49    15.43     5.30P    0.55R    0.13  
Notts_County         18   25   -1      -2.91    32.63    -5.82    69.48     8.44     8.13     2.08    10.69    39.38    19.10P    0.10R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         19   25   -5      -2.18    37.28    -6.62    64.98     8.23    -0.67     0.47     3.54    20.10     7.81P    0.40R    0.09  
Morecambe            18   24   +0      -0.17    49.50     1.11    63.16     8.27     0.71     0.30     2.52    15.48     5.29P    0.63R    0.16  
Cambridge_Utd        19   23   -3      -0.54    47.32     1.16    56.27     7.89    -9.16     0.02     0.26     3.02     0.84P    3.91R    1.18  
Barnet               19   21   -7      -0.34    49.19     0.63    52.34     7.95   -16.15     0.01     0.08     1.02     0.22P   10.73R    4.00  
Hartlepool           18   20   -9       0.28    53.04    -1.47    48.80     7.58   -23.52     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P   20.00R    8.02  
Stevenage            19   19  -10      -6.44    15.87    -8.94    55.31     7.99   -11.32     0.02     0.15     2.32     0.67P    5.28R    1.70  
Newport_County       19   16  -11      -6.03    16.62    -5.02    47.44     7.68   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   24.74R   10.94  
Dag_&_Red            18   12  -14      -8.84     6.82    -7.83    44.15     7.97   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   40.80R   22.20  
York                 19   12  -16      -9.47     5.52    -9.12    42.52     7.66   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   49.54R   28.61  
Yeovil               19   11  -13     -12.96     1.65    -9.94    43.76     7.90   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   41.69R   22.62  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 November 2015, Boreham_Wood 1 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       22   44  +27       0.53    52.22     6.24    92.47     6.87    51.44    62.56    97.57    75.37P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   43  +15       5.26    77.95     3.28    84.84     7.25    28.78    14.33    80.98    30.66P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   23   40   +9       5.24    76.79     4.34    74.32     7.06    13.12     0.94    27.13     5.40P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          22   39  +24      -3.32    30.38     5.26    84.23     6.91    42.93    13.66    81.37    37.91P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     22   39  +11       7.13    84.73     8.56    74.71     7.25    15.02     1.18    29.77     5.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          21   37  +15       2.57    64.98     6.44    76.68     7.38    23.06     2.21    41.74    10.52P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        21   37   +7       4.08    72.34     0.78    76.72     7.52    15.40     2.22    40.18     9.13P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       5.04    77.42     5.70    73.67     7.25    14.08     0.77    24.85     5.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     22   35  +12      -0.13    49.21     4.66    72.85     7.15    19.43     0.57    22.52     5.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         22   33   +7      -5.71    20.27    -6.05    75.34     7.31    21.12     1.32    34.76    11.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          22   33   +5       3.90    70.72     7.44    66.13     7.63     4.55     0.07     5.89     0.98P    0.12R    0.01  
Woking           22   31   +6      -3.17    32.59    -0.09    68.05     7.35    12.15     0.14     8.66     1.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead        21   31   -6       2.72    66.26    -4.78    65.32     7.44    -6.32     0.03     3.90     0.61P    0.15R    0.01  
Chester          23   30   -5       3.21    68.71     2.82    58.46     6.85   -10.34     0.00     0.25     0.03P    1.36R    0.09  
Aldershot        22   28   -6      -0.16    49.51    -2.90    59.08     7.05    -8.93     0.00     0.41     0.06P    1.22R    0.10  
Barrow           23   28  -16       5.50    79.37    -0.31    50.93     6.88   -30.31     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.05R    2.28  
Altrincham       22   26  -13       3.23    69.87    -1.25    51.33     6.79   -25.32     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.79R    1.82  
Guiseley         23   26  -15       2.61    65.83    -1.62    46.45     6.58   -33.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.63R    7.98  
Welling          22   23   -8      -2.26    37.18    -0.66    49.53     6.80   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.60R    3.05  
Boreham_Wood     23   21   -6      -4.88    24.88     2.31    46.42     6.79   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.44R    7.32  
Southport        20   18  -15      -1.61    40.83    -2.74    44.63     7.08   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.64R   13.53  
Torquay          21   16  -20      -9.45     7.35   -14.10    46.99     7.32   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.02R    8.15  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.76     3.12    -7.36    43.06     7.09   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.28R   17.71  
Halifax          21   13  -25     -11.05     4.12   -15.98    39.72     7.19   -38.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.65R   37.96