Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 26 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 November 2015, Crystal_Palace 0 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        13   28   +8       9.03    96.12     6.44    59.23     7.46     1.99     0.60     2.52     6.55    13.53    34.87     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   27  +10       3.70    77.03     1.77    73.48     7.28    28.51    19.35    44.21    66.76    80.75    93.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   26  +14      -1.33    37.69    -2.18    77.56     7.06    42.52    44.66    70.38    85.28    92.79    98.25     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          13   26  +12       1.56    61.32     1.99    75.03     7.09    35.68    28.02    55.05    75.70    86.98    96.47     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        13   24  +13       2.70    69.86     7.75    66.24     7.50    25.31     4.15    13.80    28.20    46.22    73.62     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         13   21   +4       3.60    76.62     4.98    55.21     7.41     3.63     0.10     0.67     2.12     5.31    18.39     0.20R    0.00  
Everton          13   20   +8       0.39    53.37     5.39    61.73     7.48    19.22     1.16     4.56    11.61    23.54    51.52     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton      13   20   +5      -1.20    40.52    -0.09    57.82     7.38    10.14     0.32     1.53     4.63    10.54    29.41     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool        13   20   +2       0.38    53.15    -0.70    62.31     7.55    14.13     1.28     5.26    12.85    24.98    53.30     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   13   19   +1       3.64    77.68     4.66    50.15     7.17    -3.34     0.01     0.08     0.33     1.05     5.66     1.00R    0.05  
Stoke            13   19   -1       1.63    63.34    -0.52    50.70     7.19    -4.51     0.02     0.14     0.51     1.46     6.40     0.82R    0.05  
West_Brom        13   17   -5       2.42    69.88    -0.18    46.27     7.15   -12.75     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.37     2.02     3.90R    0.26  
Watford          13   16   -2       1.67    64.24     3.59    44.55     7.35   -11.19     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.23     1.44     6.43R    0.63  
Swansea          13   14   -4      -2.87    28.92    -2.55    44.92     7.27    -9.52     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.27     1.46     5.20R    0.38  
Chelsea          13   14   -6      -8.71     4.01   -13.39    58.59     7.35    10.06     0.32     1.74     5.25    11.96    33.18     0.08R    0.00  
Norwich          13   12   -8      -2.22    33.72    -1.66    37.68     7.32   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.14    27.89R    5.29  
Newcastle        13   10  -12      -2.69    29.38    -3.14    34.63     6.93   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03    44.36R   10.40  
Sunderland       13    9  -12      -4.22    19.06    -4.86    31.26     6.64   -31.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.74R   20.18  
Bournemouth      13    9  -13      -3.84    22.00    -3.82    30.82     6.96   -35.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    67.20R   24.42  
Aston_Villa      13    5  -14      -6.30     6.97    -3.48    28.09     6.75   -31.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.07R   38.34  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 November 2015, Burnley 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            17   35  +18       3.83    74.19     6.76    88.48     7.96    37.67    48.46    71.31    97.63    80.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        17   35   +9       9.91    95.76     6.06    76.90     7.91    12.80     5.08    15.23    70.36    26.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   33  +13       3.55    73.14     3.91    81.89     8.00    26.04    15.75    37.13    88.17    52.79P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           17   33  +13       2.95    68.80     2.99    82.59     8.07    27.84    18.61    41.15    89.62    56.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         17   33   +9       4.56    77.93     1.54    79.22     8.22    18.63     9.70    24.72    79.33    39.85P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      17   28   +6       4.73    78.88     5.95    66.87     8.02     5.17     0.39     1.78    24.12     5.79P    0.33R    0.02  
Reading         17   27   +7       2.99    69.45     5.86    66.15     8.10     6.57     0.38     1.59    22.06     5.64P    0.35R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       17   27   +3       4.17    76.45     3.24    64.71     7.88     0.74     0.20     0.86    16.16     3.69P    0.58R    0.03  
Cardiff         17   25   +3       1.62    61.74     2.42    65.52     8.06     4.71     0.28     1.10    19.71     5.04P    0.49R    0.03  
Ipswich         17   25   +0       0.05    50.52    -2.52    66.45     8.23     2.66     0.46     1.65    22.93     6.06P    0.54R    0.04  
Brentford       17   24   -1       0.18    51.57    -1.85    65.90     8.26     2.26     0.30     1.41    21.13     5.43P    0.64R    0.06  
Fulham          17   21   +1      -1.33    41.61     2.87    59.14     8.32    -2.14     0.04     0.25     6.27     1.29P    4.21R    0.50  
Blackburn       17   20   +1      -3.76    26.27     0.11    61.76     8.06     4.37     0.07     0.38     9.94     2.59P    1.77R    0.19  
Wolverhampton   17   20   -1      -4.15    24.64    -2.38    64.17     8.18     5.72     0.20     0.84    16.07     4.43P    0.98R    0.09  
QPR             17   20   -3      -4.25    24.25    -4.36    61.47     8.53    -0.19     0.09     0.51    10.35     2.87P    2.51R    0.28  
Leeds_United    17   19   -4      -1.72    38.97    -0.62    53.54     7.77   -10.72     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.19P   12.97R    1.97  
Preston         17   17   -3      -4.24    23.64    -0.78    53.40     8.08    -6.61     0.00     0.01     1.24     0.29P   13.50R    2.21  
Nott'm_Forest   17   17   -5      -4.72    21.38    -3.04    55.31     8.14    -6.83     0.00     0.04     2.21     0.47P    9.72R    1.47  
Bristol_City    17   16   -9      -4.25    24.07    -4.51    51.29     8.34   -16.05     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.19P   22.63R    5.16  
Charlton        17   16  -11      -2.92    30.91    -4.97    48.93     7.75   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P   30.93R    7.25  
Huddersfield    17   15   -9      -3.46    27.59    -1.69    47.84     7.88   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   35.80R    9.60  
MK_Dons         17   15   -9      -5.27    18.55    -4.60    48.85     8.14   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P   31.33R    7.95  
Rotherham       17   12  -15      -4.02    23.68    -3.67    39.96     7.53   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.38R   42.52  
Bolton          17   11  -13      -7.73     7.94    -6.73    43.92     7.75   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   55.33R   20.62  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 November 2015, Bradford 0 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry         19   38  +17       7.73    88.41    10.60    81.48     7.96    26.77    27.89    47.85    86.43    57.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham       19   37  +14       7.18    86.73     8.40    78.62     8.09    21.01    16.97    33.26    76.78    43.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    18   35   +3      11.66    96.89     4.60    72.07     8.07     1.53     4.04    10.19    44.43    16.35P    0.35R    0.01  
Walsall          18   33  +13       4.68    77.49     7.65    76.81     8.01    21.09    11.89    25.22    70.15    36.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Wigan            19   33  +10      -0.57    45.82    -1.17    80.64     7.90    25.64    24.26    43.17    84.36    57.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         19   31   +3       4.06    74.11     1.55    68.62     7.69     4.18     1.39     4.26    28.64     9.76P    0.87R    0.02  
Peterborough     19   30  +11      -0.79    45.02     3.58    73.90     8.00    21.55     6.65    15.93    57.83    27.68P    0.14R    0.00  
Southend         19   30   +3       5.49    80.66     5.14    65.27     8.00     0.66     0.69     2.10    17.29     5.11P    2.92R    0.11  
Bury             19   30   +2       5.49    80.32     4.73    64.46     8.12    -2.38     0.57     1.71    15.32     4.16P    4.15R    0.17  
Port_Vale        19   29   +4       2.68    66.58     3.61    65.19     7.76     2.57     0.57     1.87    16.73     4.96P    2.56R    0.11  
Millwall         18   28   +3       0.66    54.15    -0.96    70.32     8.41     8.81     3.26     8.28    38.48    16.07P    0.86R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        19   26   +2      -4.04    26.51    -3.98    66.93     7.99     7.84     1.10     3.35    24.06     9.37P    1.74R    0.07  
Scunthorpe       19   26   +1       0.88    55.85     2.65    61.45     7.81    -1.70     0.16     0.67     8.14     2.11P    7.28R    0.42  
Rochdale         19   24   +0      -1.84    39.29     0.43    62.89     7.95     2.60     0.28     0.97    11.22     3.44P    5.76R    0.38  
Chesterfield     19   23   -6      -3.26    31.01    -6.21    60.17     7.96    -6.14     0.10     0.39     6.06     1.71P   10.66R    0.79  
Doncaster        19   23   -6      -2.08    37.31    -4.59    58.69     7.77    -7.76     0.05     0.24     3.90     1.04P   13.82R    1.20  
Fleetwood_Town   19   21   -1      -3.29    30.74     1.77    56.18     7.77    -3.68     0.02     0.09     2.12     0.53P   20.84R    2.49  
Shrewsbury       18   20   -3      -4.00    26.57    -2.04    56.85     8.28    -5.37     0.05     0.22     3.48     1.07P   20.21R    2.25  
Colchester       19   20  -15      -0.62    47.13    -4.84    49.19     7.69   -29.02     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.03P   57.85R   14.22  
Swindon          19   19   -9      -8.41     9.39   -10.94    57.01     8.01    -7.92     0.04     0.17     2.88     0.87P   19.41R    2.14  
Oldham           19   19   -9      -3.23    30.94    -3.01    51.09     7.64   -16.71     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.08P   45.90R    8.90  
Barnsley         19   17   -9      -8.11    10.17    -7.23    52.98     7.91   -10.91     0.01     0.03     0.88     0.24P   35.36R    5.73  
Blackpool        19   16  -13      -6.07    16.92    -7.20    47.19     7.75   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   65.60R   19.49  
Crewe            19   16  -15      -2.23    36.51    -2.53    43.01     7.33   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   83.66R   41.47  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 November 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             19   39  +14       8.32    90.82     7.21    84.11     7.75    25.75    36.20    70.39    94.07    76.91P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   37  +14       7.08    86.57     8.27    79.83     7.93    22.60    17.85    49.73    84.22    58.32P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          19   37   +8       8.78    91.25     4.82    77.15     8.01    12.55    10.16    34.36    73.73    42.71P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           19   33  +15       2.48    64.77     8.34    75.24     7.90    22.70     7.71    28.68    68.28    39.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   18   32   +8       7.45    88.12     8.44    71.40     8.23     9.26     3.11    14.63    47.53    20.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        19   30   +5      -3.75    28.05    -6.88    78.01     8.15    21.81    13.33    41.59    78.04    54.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             19   30   +0       4.72    76.44     1.83    64.67     8.13    -4.65     0.50     3.40    18.66     6.15P    0.30R    0.06  
Mansfield            19   29   +8       4.49    76.73    10.01    63.85     7.77     5.03     0.27     2.49    16.18     5.20P    0.31R    0.06  
Wycombe              17   29   +8       1.46    59.47     1.76    74.05     8.27    15.86     6.08    23.81    61.00    33.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               19   29   +1       2.68    66.17     0.80    65.70     8.03     0.34     0.64     4.05    22.27     7.96P    0.23R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   27   +0       2.32    64.57     2.08    61.66     7.86    -3.63     0.13     1.27    10.09     3.07P    0.81R    0.16  
Luton                19   26   +7      -3.20    31.26     2.34    67.13     7.91    13.12     0.91     6.13    29.14    12.41P    0.12R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers       18   26   +1       2.40    65.65     2.31    63.50     8.22     0.07     0.31     2.61    15.90     5.57P    0.49R    0.12  
Notts_County         18   25   -1      -2.95    32.34    -5.85    69.56     8.40     8.24     2.02    10.66    39.75    19.07P    0.08R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         19   25   -5      -2.13    37.88    -6.53    64.83     8.26    -0.81     0.47     3.39    19.54     7.57P    0.37R    0.09  
Morecambe            18   24   +0      -0.03    50.56     1.33    62.95     8.33     0.37     0.29     2.31    14.74     4.91P    0.78R    0.22  
Cambridge_Utd        19   23   -3      -0.49    47.83     1.29    56.24     7.81    -9.18     0.01     0.19     2.88     0.67P    3.80R    1.11  
Barnet               19   21   -7      -0.27    49.60     0.75    52.14     7.95   -16.44     0.00     0.07     0.99     0.26P   11.01R    4.11  
Hartlepool           18   20   -9       0.22    52.70    -1.58    48.91     7.65   -23.33     0.00     0.02     0.27     0.05P   19.65R    8.22  
Stevenage            19   19  -10      -6.39    16.30    -8.88    55.36     7.98   -11.27     0.02     0.19     2.45     0.73P    4.94R    1.71  
Newport_County       19   16  -11      -5.98    16.77    -4.95    47.40     7.69   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P   25.13R   11.13  
Dag_&_Red            18   12  -14      -8.84     6.71    -7.88    44.13     7.91   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   41.36R   22.21  
York                 19   12  -16      -9.42     5.85    -8.96    42.45     7.57   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   49.91R   28.92  
Yeovil               19   11  -13     -13.05     1.60   -10.08    43.94     7.97   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   40.68R   21.79  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 November 2015, Boreham_Wood 1 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       22   44  +27       0.39    51.20     5.95    92.58     6.85    51.65    62.70    97.65    75.84P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   43  +15       5.28    77.94     3.33    84.79     7.22    28.80    13.68    80.55    30.06P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   23   40   +9       5.43    77.83     4.53    74.23     7.04    12.97     0.82    26.48     5.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          22   39  +24      -3.47    29.56     4.97    84.35     6.95    43.12    14.16    81.79    38.36P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     22   39  +11       7.16    84.91     8.64    74.67     7.21    14.92     1.08    29.62     5.47P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          21   37  +15       2.54    64.52     6.41    76.72     7.41    23.14     2.42    41.76    10.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh        21   37   +7       4.09    72.47     0.80    76.84     7.51    15.56     2.23    41.06     9.46P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       4.96    77.09     5.61    73.65     7.35    14.03     0.77    25.17     5.27P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     22   35  +12      -0.02    50.21     4.83    72.73     7.14    19.25     0.58    22.12     5.20P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         22   33   +7      -5.67    20.31    -6.01    75.34     7.29    21.11     1.30    34.63    10.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          22   33   +5       3.86    70.70     7.37    66.13     7.65     4.58     0.10     5.93     0.96P    0.12R    0.01  
Woking           22   31   +6      -3.23    32.15    -0.16    68.08     7.34    12.17     0.14     8.54     1.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        21   31   -6       2.81    66.60    -4.62    65.22     7.44    -6.47     0.03     3.94     0.55P    0.16R    0.00  
Chester          23   30   -5       3.23    68.33     2.83    58.44     6.88   -10.34     0.00     0.26     0.04P    1.50R    0.11  
Aldershot        22   28   -6      -0.17    49.76    -2.88    59.05     7.09    -8.96     0.00     0.47     0.07P    1.28R    0.10  
Barrow           23   28  -16       5.48    79.49    -0.28    51.00     6.90   -30.22     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.85R    2.27  
Altrincham       22   26  -13       3.19    69.61    -1.29    51.38     6.82   -25.29     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.88R    1.77  
Guiseley         23   26  -15       2.57    65.65    -1.60    46.54     6.63   -33.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.67R    7.51  
Welling          22   23   -8      -2.20    37.60    -0.59    49.55     6.79   -17.60     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.37R    2.96  
Boreham_Wood     23   21   -6      -5.01    24.23     2.05    46.48     6.80   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.03R    7.20  
Southport        20   18  -15      -1.66    40.51    -2.79    44.70     7.11   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.92R   13.37  
Torquay          21   16  -20      -9.47     7.12   -14.08    47.03     7.25   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.64R    8.05  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.54     3.49    -7.07    42.77     7.07   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.79R   18.80  
Halifax          21   13  -25     -10.99     4.13   -15.96    39.71     7.15   -38.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.77R   37.85