Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 25 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 November 2015, Crystal_Palace 0 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        13   28   +8       9.01    95.99     6.41    59.27     7.39     2.12     0.57     2.38     6.53    13.54    34.59     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   27  +10       3.67    76.99     1.73    73.50     7.26    28.61    19.38    44.54    66.89    80.74    93.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   26  +14      -1.27    38.04    -2.06    77.44     7.03    42.24    44.14    69.61    84.92    92.47    98.21     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          13   26  +12       1.49    60.63     1.87    75.16     7.11    35.87    28.56    56.33    76.35    87.51    96.45     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        13   24  +13       2.79    70.84     7.92    66.17     7.44    25.16     4.01    13.02    27.52    46.12    73.73     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         13   21   +4       3.59    76.56     4.96    55.14     7.45     3.52     0.15     0.71     2.24     5.46    18.12     0.18R    0.00  
Everton          13   20   +8       0.39    53.21     5.38    61.73     7.49    19.28     1.10     4.57    11.92    23.45    51.54     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      13   20   +5      -1.22    40.42    -0.10    57.98     7.38    10.37     0.39     1.74     4.95    10.94    30.45     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool        13   20   +2       0.45    53.63    -0.62    62.12     7.56    13.87     1.26     4.96    12.20    23.99    52.10     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   13   19   +1       3.62    77.67     4.60    50.14     7.19    -3.37     0.01     0.09     0.37     1.17     5.68     1.05R    0.05  
Stoke            13   19   -1       1.66    63.76    -0.48    50.63     7.15    -4.54     0.03     0.14     0.45     1.30     6.42     0.75R    0.04  
West_Brom        13   17   -5       2.38    69.50    -0.16    46.31     7.15   -12.70     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.35     1.96     3.67R    0.27  
Watford          13   16   -2       1.59    63.48     3.44    44.64     7.42   -11.03     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.26     1.59     6.51R    0.64  
Swansea          13   14   -4      -2.82    29.05    -2.48    44.89     7.26    -9.56     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.22     1.39     5.31R    0.48  
Chelsea          13   14   -6      -8.61     4.55   -13.23    58.53     7.47     9.93     0.39     1.87     5.45    12.46    33.70     0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          13   12   -8      -2.29    33.43    -1.75    37.68     7.32   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.17    27.96R    5.33  
Newcastle        13   10  -12      -2.76    29.10    -3.21    34.69     6.96   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    43.97R   10.42  
Sunderland       13    9  -12      -4.16    19.48    -4.79    31.24     6.63   -31.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.95R   20.77  
Bournemouth      13    9  -13      -3.77    22.59    -3.68    30.71     6.92   -35.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.91R   24.95  
Aston_Villa      13    5  -14      -6.39     6.67    -3.76    28.31     6.74   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.58R   37.06  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 November 2015, Burnley 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            17   35  +18       4.01    74.85     7.04    88.17     8.03    37.24    47.14    69.79    97.25    79.27P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        17   35   +9       9.95    95.72     6.08    76.85     7.84    12.74     5.23    15.32    70.29    26.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   33  +13       3.40    72.07     3.70    81.99     7.99    26.24    16.12    37.80    88.42    53.67P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           17   33  +13       2.96    68.59     3.02    82.63     8.08    27.92    19.32    41.42    89.57    56.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         17   33   +9       4.47    77.15     1.46    79.27     8.22    18.67     9.90    25.22    79.15    40.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      17   28   +6       4.63    78.42     5.80    67.08     8.03     5.44     0.41     1.78    24.75     6.12P    0.36R    0.02  
Reading         17   27   +7       2.98    69.54     5.80    66.28     8.01     6.67     0.35     1.50    22.00     5.43P    0.37R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       17   27   +3       4.14    76.46     3.21    64.78     7.92     0.85     0.21     0.90    16.19     3.60P    0.57R    0.03  
Cardiff         17   25   +3       1.71    62.00     2.55    65.54     7.99     4.70     0.25     1.09    19.35     5.05P    0.52R    0.03  
Ipswich         17   25   +0       0.01    50.20    -2.57    66.44     8.26     2.67     0.38     1.71    22.95     6.15P    0.50R    0.03  
Brentford       17   24   -1       0.19    51.59    -1.81    65.86     8.24     2.24     0.29     1.37    20.49     5.27P    0.66R    0.05  
Fulham          17   21   +1      -1.36    41.72     2.80    59.24     8.33    -2.02     0.03     0.22     6.11     1.29P    4.20R    0.51  
Blackburn       17   20   +1      -3.79    26.31     0.07    61.83     8.07     4.47     0.06     0.38    10.20     2.67P    1.75R    0.19  
Wolverhampton   17   20   -1      -4.15    24.46    -2.42    64.20     8.21     5.76     0.18     0.87    16.09     4.39P    0.91R    0.08  
QPR             17   20   -3      -4.55    22.76    -4.78    61.81     8.55     0.30     0.11     0.58    11.15     3.15P    2.29R    0.25  
Leeds_United    17   19   -4      -1.71    39.22    -0.58    53.54     7.78   -10.76     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.17P   12.70R    1.91  
Preston         17   17   -3      -4.07    24.41    -0.53    53.11     8.01    -7.05     0.01     0.01     1.30     0.26P   13.80R    2.36  
Nott'm_Forest   17   17   -5      -4.62    21.71    -2.91    55.22     8.07    -6.96     0.01     0.02     2.00     0.39P    9.63R    1.53  
Bristol_City    17   16   -9      -4.16    24.55    -4.39    51.10     8.31   -16.35     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.14P   23.08R    5.46  
Charlton        17   16  -11      -2.91    30.96    -4.94    48.98     7.79   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   30.90R    7.30  
Huddersfield    17   15   -9      -3.47    27.65    -1.74    47.82     7.92   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   35.89R    9.54  
MK_Dons         17   15   -9      -5.25    18.76    -4.55    48.79     8.26   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P   31.56R    8.12  
Rotherham       17   12  -15      -4.05    23.41    -3.63    40.00     7.50   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   75.00R   42.18  
Bolton          17   11  -13      -7.70     7.69    -6.67    43.95     7.80   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    55.31R   20.39  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 November 2015, Bradford 0 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry         19   38  +17       7.77    88.86    10.63    81.55     7.92    26.78    28.39    48.32    86.77    57.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       19   37  +14       7.34    87.16     8.58    78.55     8.03    20.88    16.67    32.81    76.90    42.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    18   35   +3      11.71    97.10     4.63    72.10     8.07     1.58     4.05    10.09    44.67    16.42P    0.35R    0.01  
Walsall          18   33  +13       4.79    78.13     7.81    76.54     8.06    20.76    11.36    24.46    68.87    36.22P    0.06R    0.00  
Wigan            19   33  +10      -0.62    45.40    -1.27    80.66     7.89    25.67    24.51    44.03    84.46    58.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         19   31   +3       4.05    74.11     1.50    68.69     7.69     4.30     1.44     4.42    29.14     9.83P    0.84R    0.02  
Peterborough     19   30  +11      -0.82    44.90     3.54    73.87     8.02    21.55     6.77    15.76    57.36    27.44P    0.17R    0.00  
Southend         19   30   +3       5.32    80.13     4.91    65.44     7.90     0.92     0.67     2.10    17.47     5.18P    2.63R    0.07  
Bury             19   30   +2       5.55    80.31     4.84    64.35     8.09    -2.59     0.53     1.70    14.98     4.10P    4.29R    0.18  
Port_Vale        19   29   +4       2.72    66.48     3.68    65.09     7.80     2.43     0.62     1.88    16.60     4.98P    2.79R    0.09  
Millwall         18   28   +3       0.70    54.51    -0.87    70.18     8.42     8.61     3.14     8.11    38.20    15.92P    0.93R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd        19   26   +2      -3.97    26.97    -3.84    66.85     7.95     7.68     1.07     3.33    23.67     9.14P    1.89R    0.05  
Scunthorpe       19   26   +1       0.80    55.61     2.52    61.57     7.94    -1.47     0.15     0.70     8.77     2.41P    7.32R    0.41  
Rochdale         19   24   +0      -1.98    38.48     0.28    62.99     7.93     2.76     0.29     1.00    11.55     3.40P    5.40R    0.30  
Chesterfield     19   23   -6      -3.42    30.00    -6.43    60.35     8.01    -5.89     0.12     0.48     6.59     1.93P   10.30R    0.73  
Doncaster        19   23   -6      -1.99    38.51    -4.49    58.65     7.78    -7.81     0.08     0.27     3.85     1.02P   13.98R    1.23  
Fleetwood_Town   19   21   -1      -3.20    31.22     1.91    56.13     7.75    -3.81     0.02     0.10     2.16     0.52P   20.94R    2.35  
Shrewsbury       18   20   -3      -3.98    26.25    -2.05    56.88     8.23    -5.30     0.06     0.22     3.29     0.97P   20.04R    2.28  
Colchester       19   20  -15      -0.63    47.10    -4.90    49.19     7.69   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P   57.88R   14.38  
Swindon          19   19   -9      -8.44     9.46   -10.95    57.09     8.00    -7.80     0.04     0.15     2.96     0.90P   19.17R    2.04  
Oldham           19   19   -9      -3.23    31.20    -3.03    51.13     7.70   -16.66     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.10P   45.55R    8.98  
Barnsley         19   17   -9      -8.09     9.86    -7.18    52.93     7.96   -10.99     0.01     0.03     0.92     0.23P   35.93R    5.85  
Blackpool        19   16  -13      -6.14    16.57    -7.28    47.19     7.74   -21.50     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.04P   65.74R   19.59  
Crewe            19   16  -15      -2.23    36.90    -2.55    43.02     7.29   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.77R   41.39  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 November 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             19   39  +14       8.24    90.28     7.11    84.20     7.73    25.84    36.34    70.64    94.28    77.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   37  +14       7.10    86.69     8.33    79.87     7.86    22.65    17.28    49.13    84.71    58.44P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          19   37   +8       8.81    91.08     4.83    77.18     8.03    12.57    10.20    34.64    73.64    42.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           19   33  +15       2.41    64.50     8.25    75.19     7.95    22.69     7.39    28.36    67.88    38.86P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   18   32   +8       7.63    88.60     8.72    71.15     8.26     8.88     3.03    14.00    46.34    19.98P    0.03R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        19   30   +5      -3.90    27.09    -7.09    78.26     8.09    22.16    14.01    42.70    79.13    55.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             19   30   +0       4.74    76.69     1.84    64.66     8.12    -4.62     0.44     3.32    18.48     6.00P    0.30R    0.08  
Mansfield            19   29   +8       4.61    77.19    10.15    63.68     7.82     4.83     0.29     2.44    15.62     5.04P    0.27R    0.04  
Wycombe              17   29   +8       1.46    59.25     1.81    74.05     8.30    15.82     6.25    23.73    60.76    33.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               19   29   +1       2.69    66.40     0.80    65.72     7.93     0.30     0.53     3.74    21.72     7.48P    0.19R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   27   +0       2.34    64.89     2.13    61.77     7.81    -3.55     0.14     1.14    10.16     2.79P    0.72R    0.16  
Luton                19   26   +7      -3.13    31.57     2.43    67.09     8.01    13.05     0.91     6.18    29.67    12.53P    0.11R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers       18   26   +1       2.41    65.45     2.36    63.49     8.20     0.01     0.30     2.59    15.64     5.43P    0.60R    0.10  
Notts_County         18   25   -1      -2.93    32.47    -5.82    69.56     8.49     8.20     2.07    10.83    39.46    19.37P    0.11R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         19   25   -5      -2.20    37.17    -6.65    64.98     8.25    -0.64     0.47     3.60    20.17     7.67P    0.38R    0.09  
Morecambe            18   24   +0      -0.14    49.79     1.12    63.11     8.31     0.65     0.30     2.44    15.15     5.11P    0.74R    0.18  
Cambridge_Utd        19   23   -3      -0.52    47.70     1.28    56.21     7.82    -9.29     0.01     0.24     2.97     0.81P    3.80R    1.09  
Barnet               19   21   -7      -0.30    49.25     0.74    52.22     7.94   -16.31     0.01     0.07     1.06     0.27P   10.72R    4.02  
Hartlepool           18   20   -9       0.20    52.44    -1.59    48.87     7.58   -23.38     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   19.74R    7.93  
Stevenage            19   19  -10      -6.57    15.28    -9.10    55.51     8.02   -11.02     0.01     0.18     2.60     0.73P    4.75R    1.49  
Newport_County       19   16  -11      -5.91    17.36    -4.80    47.22     7.64   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   25.08R   11.04  
Dag_&_Red            18   12  -14      -8.86     6.58    -7.90    44.20     7.97   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   40.59R   21.66  
York                 19   12  -16      -9.50     5.55    -9.11    42.45     7.61   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.97R   28.93  
Yeovil               19   11  -13     -12.90     1.78    -9.83    43.68     7.95   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   41.91R   23.10  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 November 2015, Boreham_Wood 1 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       22   44  +27       0.59    52.55     6.28    92.48     6.87    51.39    62.74    97.49    75.62P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   43  +15       5.35    78.23     3.44    84.69     7.23    28.61    13.49    80.45    29.54P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   23   40   +9       5.44    77.81     4.57    74.16     7.05    12.89     0.86    25.93     5.15P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          22   39  +24      -3.33    30.26     5.17    84.31     6.91    43.07    14.23    81.84    38.43P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     22   39  +11       6.99    84.21     8.35    74.86     7.25    15.29     1.14    30.45     5.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          21   37  +15       2.50    64.55     6.33    76.85     7.37    23.30     2.30    42.62    10.70P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        21   37   +7       4.20    72.97     0.97    76.66     7.55    15.26     2.22    39.76     9.21P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       5.01    77.41     5.68    73.60     7.32    13.99     0.86    24.62     5.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     22   35  +12      -0.24    48.40     4.54    72.91     7.14    19.51     0.60    23.00     5.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         22   33   +7      -5.82    19.62    -6.14    75.38     7.25    21.24     1.30    34.76    11.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          22   33   +5       3.83    70.55     7.33    66.18     7.65     4.61     0.08     6.03     0.97P    0.08R    0.00  
Woking           22   31   +6      -3.02    33.35     0.14    67.91     7.35    11.90     0.11     8.33     1.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        21   31   -6       2.79    66.49    -4.63    65.24     7.53    -6.42     0.04     3.97     0.60P    0.17R    0.01  
Chester          23   30   -5       3.22    68.61     2.83    58.36     6.88   -10.48     0.00     0.25     0.04P    1.48R    0.12  
Aldershot        22   28   -6      -0.26    49.00    -3.02    59.13     7.07    -8.79     0.00     0.42     0.06P    1.29R    0.09  
Barrow           23   28  -16       5.43    79.29    -0.43    51.06     6.91   -30.13     0.00     0.03     0.00P   13.48R    2.21  
Altrincham       22   26  -13       3.20    69.93    -1.33    51.34     6.83   -25.29     0.00     0.02     0.00    12.08R    1.76  
Guiseley         23   26  -15       2.62    66.13    -1.58    46.49     6.58   -33.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.56R    7.72  
Welling          22   23   -8      -2.13    38.32    -0.45    49.48     6.83   -17.68     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.77R    3.02  
Boreham_Wood     23   21   -6      -4.86    24.84     2.30    46.38     6.84   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.25R    7.66  
Southport        20   18  -15      -1.54    41.16    -2.65    44.54     7.10   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.26R   13.73  
Torquay          21   16  -20      -9.56     7.17   -14.22    47.10     7.35   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.76R    8.13  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.80     3.06    -7.42    43.05     7.13   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.25R   17.91  
Halifax          21   13  -25     -11.07     4.18   -16.07    39.74     7.22   -38.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.54R   37.63