Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 24 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 November 2015, Crystal_Palace 0 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        13   28   +8       9.10    96.17     6.53    59.16     7.41     1.91     0.60     2.50     6.37    13.24    34.01     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   27  +10       3.68    76.94     1.77    73.43     7.34    28.52    19.67    44.39    66.37    80.28    93.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   26  +14      -1.28    37.98    -2.10    77.45     7.10    42.29    43.87    69.69    84.73    92.38    97.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          13   26  +12       1.54    61.04     1.96    75.06     7.08    35.70    28.24    55.65    76.04    87.18    96.45     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        13   24  +13       2.72    70.14     7.80    66.30     7.49    25.41     4.31    13.66    28.49    46.71    74.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         13   21   +4       3.58    76.45     4.92    55.34     7.38     3.82     0.14     0.70     2.20     5.66    18.77     0.17R    0.00  
Everton          13   20   +8       0.42    53.23     5.40    61.74     7.46    19.27     1.15     4.58    11.73    23.42    51.58     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton      13   20   +5      -1.21    40.41    -0.07    57.85     7.45    10.17     0.42     1.77     4.88    10.73    30.01     0.06R    0.00  
Liverpool        13   20   +2       0.35    53.19    -0.77    62.36     7.55    14.22     1.30     5.13    12.94    25.04    53.40     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   13   19   +1       3.54    77.00     4.53    50.33     7.21    -3.13     0.01     0.09     0.41     1.30     6.01     1.02R    0.05  
Stoke            13   19   -1       1.57    63.11    -0.60    50.78     7.12    -4.38     0.01     0.11     0.43     1.39     6.36     0.76R    0.03  
West_Brom        13   17   -5       2.43    69.93    -0.16    46.17     7.17   -12.87     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.31     1.82     4.04R    0.24  
Watford          13   16   -2       1.62    64.00     3.51    44.69     7.41   -11.03     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.26     1.54     6.62R    0.64  
Swansea          13   14   -4      -2.82    29.20    -2.49    44.80     7.27    -9.63     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.24     1.46     5.32R    0.39  
Chelsea          13   14   -6      -8.59     4.43   -13.19    58.39     7.41     9.75     0.27     1.67     5.20    11.83    32.84     0.08R    0.00  
Norwich          13   12   -8      -2.17    34.30    -1.55    37.42     7.25   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13    28.96R    5.53  
Newcastle        13   10  -12      -2.72    29.31    -3.19    34.64     6.97   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    44.11R   10.60  
Sunderland       13    9  -12      -4.21    19.12    -4.88    31.29     6.64   -31.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    64.54R   20.37  
Bournemouth      13    9  -13      -3.86    22.01    -3.90    30.96     7.00   -35.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.43R   24.06  
Aston_Villa      13    5  -14      -6.33     6.94    -3.54    28.14     6.77   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.84R   38.08  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 November 2015, Burnley 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            17   35  +18       4.07    75.48     7.10    88.14     8.03    37.16    46.84    70.06    97.23    79.30P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        17   35   +9       9.95    95.76     6.11    76.88     7.89    12.77     5.27    15.44    70.16    26.93P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   33  +13       3.56    73.04     3.97    81.83     8.06    26.01    16.21    37.54    87.89    53.12P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           17   33  +13       3.01    69.08     3.07    82.57     8.11    27.80    19.34    41.42    89.36    56.35P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         17   33   +9       4.69    78.22     1.71    79.10     8.25    18.45     9.92    24.63    78.72    39.32P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      17   28   +6       4.73    79.14     5.95    66.83     8.03     5.09     0.50     1.93    23.81     5.92P    0.35R    0.02  
Reading         17   27   +7       2.99    69.36     5.83    66.19     8.07     6.55     0.35     1.46    22.37     5.43P    0.42R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       17   27   +3       4.04    75.86     3.08    64.92     7.95     1.03     0.20     1.00    16.82     3.89P    0.58R    0.03  
Cardiff         17   25   +3       1.60    61.24     2.37    65.66     7.97     4.87     0.28     1.22    19.59     5.06P    0.46R    0.03  
Ipswich         17   25   +0      -0.03    50.24    -2.61    66.41     8.23     2.60     0.43     1.72    22.74     6.21P    0.48R    0.02  
Brentford       17   24   -1       0.21    52.05    -1.76    65.74     8.29     2.09     0.28     1.40    20.65     5.45P    0.66R    0.06  
Fulham          17   21   +1      -1.41    41.60     2.73    59.33     8.33    -1.86     0.04     0.25     6.63     1.41P    4.09R    0.52  
Blackburn       17   20   +1      -3.76    26.45     0.11    61.80     8.12     4.44     0.05     0.40    10.33     2.58P    1.82R    0.19  
Wolverhampton   17   20   -1      -4.26    24.19    -2.56    64.20     8.21     5.78     0.17     0.91    16.36     4.67P    1.01R    0.08  
QPR             17   20   -3      -4.48    23.09    -4.70    61.84     8.55     0.32     0.12     0.52    11.33     3.10P    2.42R    0.27  
Leeds_United    17   19   -4      -1.73    38.99    -0.64    53.62     7.81   -10.63     0.01     0.03     1.05     0.19P   12.94R    2.05  
Preston         17   17   -3      -4.06    24.64    -0.56    53.09     7.99    -7.03     0.01     0.02     1.16     0.26P   14.27R    2.36  
Nott'm_Forest   17   17   -5      -4.75    21.24    -3.10    55.35     8.07    -6.78     0.00     0.05     2.21     0.48P    9.16R    1.40  
Bristol_City    17   16   -9      -4.15    24.85    -4.38    51.09     8.28   -16.29     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.14P   23.20R    5.57  
Charlton        17   16  -11      -2.91    31.03    -4.94    49.01     7.74   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P   30.66R    7.14  
Huddersfield    17   15   -9      -3.49    27.71    -1.71    47.94     7.94   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   35.48R    9.81  
MK_Dons         17   15   -9      -5.31    18.47    -4.63    48.79     8.16   -17.76     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.09P   31.50R    8.14  
Rotherham       17   12  -15      -4.06    23.27    -3.75    40.04     7.46   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.46R   41.92  
Bolton          17   11  -13      -7.68     7.98    -6.68    43.98     7.75   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   55.04R   20.36  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 November 2015, Bradford 0 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry         19   38  +17       7.69    88.59    10.50    81.60     7.97    26.92    28.47    48.40    86.91    58.34P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       19   37  +14       7.28    86.93     8.56    78.57     8.07    20.92    16.58    32.51    76.49    42.57P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    18   35   +3      11.76    97.09     4.73    71.99     8.08     1.45     4.01     9.88    43.94    15.92P    0.41R    0.01  
Walsall          18   33  +13       4.70    77.52     7.65    76.79     8.00    21.06    11.83    25.25    69.99    37.10P    0.05R    0.00  
Wigan            19   33  +10      -0.67    45.32    -1.33    80.62     7.94    25.59    24.00    43.52    84.31    57.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         19   31   +3       4.15    74.22     1.62    68.66     7.66     4.25     1.33     4.19    29.09     9.83P    0.83R    0.01  
Peterborough     19   30  +11      -0.77    45.22     3.58    73.86     8.13    21.53     7.01    16.06    57.27    27.45P    0.23R    0.00  
Southend         19   30   +3       5.41    80.22     5.00    65.33     7.95     0.74     0.69     2.13    17.45     5.14P    2.80R    0.10  
Bury             19   30   +2       5.45    79.89     4.68    64.45     8.12    -2.38     0.55     1.80    15.36     4.40P    4.06R    0.21  
Port_Vale        19   29   +4       2.74    66.86     3.71    65.06     7.81     2.42     0.56     1.90    16.50     4.95P    2.71R    0.12  
Millwall         18   28   +3       0.65    54.09    -0.96    70.28     8.46     8.76     3.17     8.09    38.74    15.99P    1.04R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        19   26   +2      -4.02    26.56    -3.92    66.87     8.00     7.72     1.06     3.34    23.78     9.02P    1.90R    0.09  
Scunthorpe       19   26   +1       0.84    55.98     2.56    61.56     7.95    -1.51     0.17     0.71     8.86     2.41P    7.41R    0.47  
Rochdale         19   24   +0      -1.79    39.68     0.52    62.82     7.93     2.50     0.27     1.07    11.10     3.41P    5.60R    0.33  
Chesterfield     19   23   -6      -3.31    31.03    -6.25    60.17     7.96    -6.15     0.13     0.44     6.24     1.79P   10.62R    0.78  
Doncaster        19   23   -6      -2.08    37.66    -4.63    58.73     7.74    -7.67     0.05     0.22     3.89     1.04P   13.47R    1.13  
Fleetwood_Town   19   21   -1      -3.25    30.82     1.80    56.14     7.75    -3.76     0.01     0.10     2.08     0.49P   20.93R    2.40  
Shrewsbury       18   20   -3      -3.99    26.33    -2.04    56.79     8.30    -5.44     0.05     0.22     3.40     0.99P   20.66R    2.42  
Colchester       19   20  -15      -0.65    47.10    -4.89    49.20     7.73   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   57.85R   14.17  
Swindon          19   19   -9      -8.38     9.70   -10.86    57.11     7.98    -7.77     0.04     0.13     2.86     0.88P   19.10R    1.99  
Oldham           19   19   -9      -3.25    31.01    -3.02    51.10     7.72   -16.73     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.09P   45.86R    9.02  
Barnsley         19   17   -9      -8.21     9.84    -7.37    53.06     7.95   -10.80     0.00     0.02     0.91     0.26P   35.28R    5.69  
Blackpool        19   16  -13      -6.12    16.48    -7.24    47.23     7.75   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   65.71R   19.43  
Crewe            19   16  -15      -2.17    37.00    -2.41    43.00     7.34   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   83.44R   41.60  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 November 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             19   39  +14       8.33    90.66     7.18    84.15     7.77    25.79    36.50    70.53    94.06    76.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   37  +14       7.04    86.54     8.25    79.91     7.89    22.70    17.89    49.93    84.64    58.78P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          19   37   +8       8.82    91.22     4.85    77.15     8.05    12.53    10.43    34.79    73.14    42.69P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           19   33  +15       2.51    64.64     8.36    75.18     7.95    22.63     7.52    28.62    67.84    39.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   18   32   +8       7.65    88.78     8.76    71.11     8.30     8.81     3.10    13.91    46.16    19.96P    0.03R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        19   30   +5      -3.74    28.21    -6.86    77.99     8.10    21.78    13.07    41.34    78.13    54.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             19   30   +0       4.73    76.44     1.80    64.76     8.13    -4.47     0.50     3.46    19.07     6.28P    0.27R    0.05  
Mansfield            19   29   +8       4.53    76.76    10.03    63.77     7.78     4.96     0.29     2.44    15.80     4.93P    0.26R    0.06  
Wycombe              17   29   +8       1.43    59.23     1.74    74.11     8.26    15.95     6.02    24.07    61.43    34.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               19   29   +1       2.71    66.40     0.84    65.74     7.95     0.31     0.59     4.05    21.78     7.83P    0.18R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   27   +0       2.29    64.51     2.02    61.80     7.81    -3.48     0.11     1.26    10.32     3.04P    0.70R    0.19  
Luton                19   26   +7      -3.17    31.11     2.38    67.13     7.92    13.14     0.89     5.96    29.46    12.33P    0.12R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers       18   26   +1       2.33    65.01     2.23    63.54     8.19     0.15     0.33     2.43    15.89     5.33P    0.55R    0.14  
Notts_County         18   25   -1      -2.80    33.32    -5.61    69.36     8.46     7.94     1.98    10.46    39.06    18.72P    0.10R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         19   25   -5      -2.32    36.69    -6.86    65.15     8.31    -0.39     0.51     3.86    20.82     8.31P    0.39R    0.09  
Morecambe            18   24   +0      -0.14    49.67     1.14    63.17     8.27     0.75     0.24     2.40    15.31     5.16P    0.65R    0.18  
Cambridge_Utd        19   23   -3      -0.60    47.09     1.13    56.29     7.90    -9.17     0.02     0.25     3.04     0.79P    3.89R    1.17  
Barnet               19   21   -7      -0.28    49.54     0.75    52.13     7.93   -16.46     0.00     0.06     1.01     0.26P   10.98R    4.06  
Hartlepool           18   20   -9       0.26    52.96    -1.46    48.88     7.59   -23.47     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   19.45R    7.82  
Stevenage            19   19  -10      -6.40    16.09    -8.90    55.31     8.07   -11.37     0.00     0.17     2.47     0.72P    5.30R    1.82  
Newport_County       19   16  -11      -5.87    17.34    -4.78    47.12     7.65   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   25.63R   11.48  
Dag_&_Red            18   12  -14      -8.78     6.91    -7.75    43.99     7.92   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   41.65R   22.70  
York                 19   12  -16      -9.49     5.70    -9.11    42.53     7.62   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.27R   28.55  
Yeovil               19   11  -13     -13.11     1.62   -10.16    44.00     8.02   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   40.56R   21.62  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 November 2015, Chester 1 1 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       22   44  +27       0.50    51.95     6.10    92.57     6.89    51.55    62.64    97.53    75.45P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   43  +15       5.41    78.41     3.52    84.67     7.24    28.54    13.44    79.91    29.20P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   23   40   +9       5.47    77.89     4.62    74.23     7.04    12.99     0.82    26.25     5.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          22   39  +24      -3.42    29.73     5.09    84.36     6.97    43.11    14.27    81.70    38.64P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     21   38  +11       7.73    87.42     8.89    75.30     7.43    15.34     1.44    32.74     6.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          21   37  +15       2.59    64.72     6.45    76.67     7.42    23.06     2.25    41.29    10.50P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        21   37   +7       4.19    72.93     0.92    76.77     7.54    15.47     2.25    40.12     9.38P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       5.00    77.49     5.69    73.65     7.32    14.09     0.76    24.62     5.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield     22   35  +12      -0.14    49.10     4.68    72.86     7.13    19.43     0.59    22.24     5.07P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         22   33   +7      -5.86    19.56    -6.22    75.44     7.26    21.29     1.26    34.70    11.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          22   33   +5       3.86    70.55     7.35    66.13     7.65     4.56     0.08     5.87     0.88P    0.12R    0.01  
Woking           22   31   +6      -3.20    32.38    -0.11    68.10     7.31    12.24     0.16     8.48     1.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        21   31   -6       2.79    66.31    -4.67    65.14     7.45    -6.62     0.03     3.74     0.55P    0.15R    0.01  
Chester          23   30   -5       3.18    68.41     2.76    58.45     6.90   -10.35     0.00     0.32     0.04P    1.38R    0.08  
Aldershot        22   28   -6      -0.24    49.07    -3.00    59.13     7.11    -8.84     0.00     0.44     0.07P    1.28R    0.12  
Barrow           23   28  -16       5.42    79.08    -0.42    51.09     6.92   -30.02     0.00     0.03     0.00P   13.46R    2.26  
Altrincham       22   26  -13       3.16    69.44    -1.32    51.32     6.76   -25.34     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.89R    1.74  
Guiseley         23   26  -15       2.62    66.00    -1.59    46.36     6.56   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.00R    8.18  
Welling          22   23   -8      -2.16    38.19    -0.49    49.45     6.85   -17.75     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.91R    3.07  
Boreham_Wood     22   20   -6      -4.66    25.37     2.08    46.46     7.00   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00P   30.65R    7.92  
Southport        20   18  -15      -1.64    40.50    -2.77    44.72     7.14   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.37R   13.18  
Torquay          21   16  -20      -9.56     7.07   -14.25    47.11     7.31   -25.70     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.50R    7.84  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.76     3.08    -7.35    43.07     7.14   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.43R   17.85  
Halifax          21   13  -25     -11.03     4.07   -15.96    39.70     7.19   -39.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.81R   37.75