Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 22 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 November 2015, Tottenham 4 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        13   28   +8       9.13    96.21     6.57    59.11     7.40     1.79     0.57     2.29     5.94    12.81    33.42     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   27  +10       3.62    76.69     1.63    73.60     7.22    28.75    19.80    45.00    67.33    81.34    94.13     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   26  +14      -1.20    38.62    -1.97    77.40     7.01    42.25    43.54    69.38    84.85    92.51    98.18     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          13   26  +12       1.57    61.32     2.00    75.08     7.09    35.92    28.46    55.80    75.68    86.96    96.38     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        13   24  +13       2.70    70.14     7.75    66.25     7.51    25.36     4.30    13.42    28.04    46.12    73.20     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         13   21   +4       3.55    76.50     4.90    55.19     7.42     3.62     0.13     0.70     2.18     5.34    17.71     0.18R    0.01  
Everton          13   20   +8       0.37    53.07     5.33    61.64     7.47    19.23     1.04     4.39    11.38    22.82    50.35     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      13   20   +5      -1.29    39.86    -0.21    57.96     7.40    10.35     0.37     1.68     4.82    10.74    29.95     0.04R    0.00  
Liverpool        13   20   +2       0.42    53.55    -0.65    62.31     7.58    14.18     1.38     5.20    12.80    24.58    52.30     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.11    86.14     5.76    52.69     7.44    -0.77     0.05     0.26     1.07     2.73    10.71     0.50R    0.01  
Stoke            13   19   -1       1.62    63.20    -0.52    50.75     7.16    -4.42     0.01     0.12     0.48     1.39     6.25     0.66R    0.02  
West_Brom        13   17   -5       2.45    70.16    -0.11    46.29     7.16   -12.80     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.32     1.81     3.52R    0.24  
Watford          13   16   -2       1.59    63.54     3.46    44.70     7.41   -10.98     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.24     1.43     5.63R    0.51  
Swansea          13   14   -4      -2.82    29.19    -2.46    44.71     7.30    -9.82     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.23     1.27     4.92R    0.34  
Chelsea          13   14   -6      -8.65     4.36   -13.29    58.53     7.39     9.99     0.34     1.71     5.22    11.87    32.73     0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          13   12   -8      -2.28    33.53    -1.69    37.67     7.30   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.13    25.92R    4.51  
Newcastle        13   10  -12      -2.76    29.20    -3.23    34.63     6.94   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    41.54R    8.80  
Bournemouth      13    9  -13      -3.86    21.81    -3.80    30.83     6.97   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.26R   21.35  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -5.92     8.81    -5.82    28.62     6.76   -34.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.73R   31.29  
Aston_Villa      13    5  -14      -6.41     6.74    -3.64    28.24     6.72   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.97R   32.93  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 November 2015, Burnley 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            17   35  +18       3.89    74.43     6.83    88.34     7.95    37.49    48.25    71.05    97.59    80.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        17   35   +9       9.98    95.74     6.15    76.80     7.92    12.68     5.12    15.38    69.77    26.58P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   33  +13       3.49    72.58     3.85    81.86     8.03    26.04    15.84    37.45    88.13    53.50P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           17   33  +13       2.96    68.99     3.02    82.56     8.09    27.77    18.88    41.08    89.45    55.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         17   33   +9       4.59    77.66     1.55    79.13     8.19    18.54     9.49    24.23    79.14    39.52P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      17   28   +6       4.70    79.00     5.90    66.92     8.04     5.29     0.44     1.79    24.34     5.79P    0.26R    0.01  
Reading         17   27   +7       2.87    68.75     5.66    66.37     8.08     6.76     0.41     1.67    22.95     5.76P    0.35R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       17   27   +3       4.14    76.39     3.24    64.74     7.86     0.80     0.20     0.89    15.99     3.78P    0.52R    0.02  
Cardiff         17   25   +3       1.71    61.93     2.54    65.46     7.96     4.62     0.22     1.08    18.99     4.65P    0.54R    0.04  
Ipswich         17   25   +0      -0.07    49.79    -2.67    66.59     8.26     2.88     0.37     1.73    23.48     6.43P    0.47R    0.02  
Brentford       17   24   -1       0.18    51.65    -1.79    65.84     8.30     2.19     0.37     1.51    20.82     5.60P    0.74R    0.05  
Fulham          17   21   +1      -1.32    41.84     2.84    59.20     8.30    -2.07     0.04     0.21     6.20     1.24P    4.19R    0.52  
Blackburn       17   20   +1      -3.79    26.12     0.04    61.86     8.08     4.54     0.06     0.39    10.22     2.65P    1.74R    0.16  
Wolverhampton   17   20   -1      -4.18    24.38    -2.44    64.14     8.21     5.67     0.17     0.86    16.10     4.45P    0.98R    0.09  
QPR             17   20   -3      -4.37    23.89    -4.49    61.60     8.60    -0.00     0.12     0.58    10.85     3.02P    2.63R    0.25  
Leeds_United    17   19   -4      -1.73    38.85    -0.62    53.61     7.83   -10.64     0.00     0.01     1.13     0.21P   12.96R    2.02  
Preston         17   17   -3      -4.04    24.57    -0.53    53.16     7.95    -6.98     0.00     0.01     1.14     0.23P   13.82R    2.23  
Nott'm_Forest   17   17   -5      -4.68    21.22    -3.02    55.29     8.09    -6.88     0.01     0.04     2.09     0.43P    9.37R    1.38  
Bristol_City    17   16   -9      -4.19    24.68    -4.46    51.21     8.34   -16.13     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.15P   22.82R    5.37  
Charlton        17   16  -11      -2.88    31.18    -4.91    48.94     7.75   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   31.05R    7.20  
Huddersfield    17   15   -9      -3.42    27.96    -1.61    47.90     7.85   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   35.34R    9.34  
MK_Dons         17   15   -9      -5.41    18.25    -4.78    49.04     8.21   -17.37     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.09P   30.93R    7.50  
Rotherham       17   12  -15      -3.99    23.79    -3.64    39.89     7.56   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.73R   42.80  
Bolton          17   11  -13      -7.71     8.00    -6.67    43.86     7.79   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    55.57R   21.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 November 2015, Bury 1 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry         18   37  +17       8.15    90.34    10.69    81.93     8.14    26.82    26.08    46.73    86.67    56.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham       18   34  +12       6.43    84.80     7.77    76.78     8.26    18.61    10.17    22.88    68.21    33.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Walsall          17   33  +14       5.95    84.36     8.50    78.56     8.26    22.57    14.55    30.36    75.85    42.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Wigan            18   33  +11       0.77    54.20    -0.34    83.41     8.08    28.67    33.17    54.69    90.04    66.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    17   32   +2      10.03    95.20     3.60    69.15     8.21    -1.38     1.77     5.01    30.58     9.53P    1.00R    0.01  
Bury             18   30   +3       6.45    84.78     5.09    66.84     8.33     0.17     0.94     3.01    22.84     6.78P    2.28R    0.06  
Bradford         18   30   +3       4.51    76.98     1.71    68.97     7.88     4.09     1.37     4.23    30.16     9.90P    0.82R    0.01  
Millwall         17   28   +4       1.68    60.70    -0.50    72.24     8.64    10.67     4.29    11.06    46.96    20.55P    0.59R    0.03  
Peterborough     18   27  +10      -1.79    38.76     3.58    72.57     8.26    20.98     4.32    11.43    50.67    22.60P    0.33R    0.00  
Southend         18   27   +0       4.52    77.18     3.01    62.08     7.97    -4.37     0.18     0.69     9.03     2.29P    6.31R    0.31  
Sheff_Utd        18   26   +4      -2.86    32.34    -2.23    69.62     8.13    11.80     2.09     5.81    35.31    14.17P    0.84R    0.02  
Port_Vale        18   26   +2       1.83    62.09     2.78    63.09     7.89    -0.19     0.24     0.91    11.13     3.09P    4.72R    0.21  
Rochdale         18   24   +2      -1.20    42.90     1.33    64.69     8.11     5.17     0.46     1.68    16.39     5.05P    3.30R    0.16  
Scunthorpe       18   23   +0      -0.54    47.29     1.94    59.19     8.06    -3.66     0.07     0.30     5.36     1.36P   12.08R    0.85  
Chesterfield     18   23   -3      -2.76    33.13    -4.55    62.60     8.18    -1.52     0.21     0.84    10.94     3.29P    6.12R    0.29  
Doncaster        18   20   -9      -2.82    32.62    -6.28    56.10     7.96   -12.18     0.02     0.07     2.16     0.53P   22.10R    2.31  
Colchester       18   20  -14       0.69    55.86    -4.12    51.71     7.98   -26.05     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.11P   43.27R    7.84  
Oldham           18   19   -6      -2.55    34.58    -1.24    53.58     7.82   -11.72     0.01     0.03     0.94     0.21P   31.55R    4.28  
Fleetwood_Town   18   18   -2      -4.56    22.95     1.33    54.00     7.95    -5.56     0.02     0.08     1.28     0.30P   29.05R    3.82  
Shrewsbury       17   17   -5      -5.05    20.11    -3.21    53.24     8.33   -10.10     0.01     0.06     1.39     0.37P   33.77R    4.89  
Barnsley         18   17   -8      -7.38    11.68    -7.33    53.73     8.11   -10.93     0.01     0.04     1.29     0.33P   31.34R    4.28  
Swindon          18   16  -10      -9.81     5.56   -11.53    55.13     8.18    -9.34     0.02     0.08     1.95     0.55P   25.37R    3.13  
Blackpool        18   16  -11      -5.56    18.36    -6.39    48.89     7.99   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.07P   55.75R   12.55  
Crewe            18   13  -16      -3.86    25.64    -3.61    40.48     7.39   -33.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.32R   54.96  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 November 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             18   38  +14       8.64    92.06     7.19    84.61     8.03    25.92    38.43    72.57    94.16    78.53P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   36  +14       7.79    89.83     8.80    80.87     8.10    23.58    21.18    55.79    87.04    63.81P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          18   34   +7       7.33    87.87     4.04    75.10     8.18    10.97     6.66    27.16    64.91    35.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   18   32   +8       7.48    88.23     8.48    71.24     8.27     9.03     2.93    14.71    47.36    21.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth           18   30   +9       2.83    67.53     5.25    71.53     8.14    13.69     3.36    15.95    49.95    24.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield            18   29  +10       5.40    81.13    11.32    65.81     7.99     7.93     0.67     4.73    24.06     8.41P    0.15R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient        18   29   +5      -3.53    28.41    -7.09    78.74     8.26    22.44    15.62    46.17    80.54    58.39P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   27   +1       3.63    72.35     3.02    63.79     8.13    -1.65     0.32     2.76    16.36     5.43P    0.45R    0.08  
Carlisle             18   27   -1       3.23    69.86     0.94    62.16     8.22    -6.96     0.25     1.96    12.53     3.92P    0.82R    0.19  
Luton                18   26   +8      -1.71    39.25     3.51    69.40     8.14    15.44     1.91    10.94    40.78    19.18P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              16   26   +7       0.26    51.76     1.39    72.40     8.50    14.85     4.38    19.87    54.27    29.40P    0.03R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers       17   26   +2       3.56    72.80     3.02    65.35     8.47     1.78     0.70     4.70    22.46     8.54P    0.38R    0.10  
Exeter               18   26   -1       1.46    59.62    -0.57    63.42     8.21    -2.73     0.35     2.61    15.76     5.37P    0.57R    0.13  
Crawley_Town         18   25   -4      -1.10    43.65    -6.11    67.03     8.47     1.38     1.00     6.52    28.42    12.35P    0.25R    0.04  
Morecambe            17   24   +2       0.95    56.70     2.63    65.49     8.60     4.33     0.84     5.17    23.87     9.36P    0.42R    0.11  
Notts_County         17   22   -3      -3.58    28.41    -6.35    67.62     8.72     5.78     1.37     8.05    31.89    15.13P    0.22R    0.05  
Barnet               18   21   -5       0.21    52.43     1.13    53.70     8.17   -13.91     0.01     0.16     1.88     0.48P    8.34R    3.00  
Cambridge_Utd        18   20   -5      -1.67    40.20    -0.14    53.44     7.94   -12.93     0.01     0.11     1.50     0.36P    8.09R    2.96  
Hartlepool           18   20   -9       0.31    53.15    -1.48    48.91     7.56   -23.26     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P   19.76R    7.93  
Stevenage            18   16  -11      -7.88     9.85    -9.65    53.13     8.14   -13.10     0.00     0.06     1.54     0.44P    8.93R    3.23  
Newport_County       18   15  -11      -5.79    16.97    -5.24    46.85     7.76   -20.74     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   27.97R   12.93  
York                 18   12  -10      -9.88     4.52    -5.90    45.48     7.88   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   33.30R   16.11  
Yeovil               18   11  -12     -12.05     2.27    -9.59    45.14     8.16   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   35.76R   18.25  
Dag_&_Red            17    9  -15     -10.32     3.19    -8.61    41.61     8.18   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   54.45R   34.84  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 November 2015, Aldershot 0 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       22   44  +27       0.36    51.24     5.92    92.64     6.85    51.77    62.01    97.44    75.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   43  +15       5.32    78.01     3.38    84.73     7.28    28.66    13.29    78.72    28.71P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          22   39  +24      -3.26    30.75     5.33    84.26     6.94    42.96    13.43    80.15    36.63P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   22   39   +9       5.78    79.73     4.53    74.93     7.31    13.46     1.19    28.34     5.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     21   38  +11       7.67    87.13     8.80    75.40     7.43    15.54     1.37    31.54     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          21   37  +15       2.37    63.65     6.13    76.90     7.37    23.45     2.23    40.54    10.34P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        21   37   +7       4.27    73.57     1.05    76.72     7.51    15.39     2.08    37.97     8.57P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       4.87    77.04     5.47    73.71     7.32    14.10     0.79    23.65     5.04P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     22   35  +12      -0.12    49.29     4.68    72.68     7.16    19.14     0.48    20.60     4.73P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         21   33  +10      -5.26    21.38    -4.41    78.11     7.44    26.23     2.98    47.66    16.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          22   33   +5       3.94    70.96     7.52    65.97     7.65     4.30     0.08     5.14     0.82P    0.13R    0.01  
Gateshead        21   31   -6       2.79    66.59    -4.68    65.28     7.43    -6.38     0.03     3.56     0.55P    0.16R    0.01  
Chester          22   29   -5       3.61    70.77     2.89    58.39     7.05   -11.04     0.00     0.29     0.03P    1.64R    0.10  
Woking           21   28   +3      -3.96    28.04    -1.75    65.22     7.46     7.17     0.03     3.96     0.77P    0.16R    0.01  
Aldershot        22   28   -6      -0.15    49.58    -2.88    59.11     7.12    -8.83     0.00     0.43     0.06P    1.27R    0.11  
Barrow           23   28  -16       5.58    80.03    -0.18    51.05     6.85   -30.15     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.47R    2.13  
Altrincham       22   26  -13       3.18    69.63    -1.38    51.38     6.80   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.83R    1.76  
Guiseley         23   26  -15       2.63    65.99    -1.56    46.56     6.57   -33.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.06R    7.55  
Welling          22   23   -8      -2.15    38.21    -0.53    49.52     6.81   -17.63     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.57R    2.99  
Boreham_Wood     22   20   -6      -4.69    25.54     2.10    46.39     7.08   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.00P   31.20R    8.18  
Southport        20   18  -15      -1.60    40.74    -2.74    44.62     7.14   -29.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.63R   13.67  
Torquay          21   16  -20      -9.52     7.06   -14.21    46.85     7.25   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.45R    8.28  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.75     3.13    -7.36    43.09     7.11   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.84R   17.60  
Halifax          21   13  -25     -11.07     4.05   -16.10    39.71     7.17   -38.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.57R   37.60