Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 November 2015, Chelsea 1 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        13   28   +8       9.02    96.08     6.43    59.15     7.41     1.89     0.60     2.55     6.60    13.72    34.04     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   27  +10       3.65    76.56     1.68    73.45     7.26    28.44    19.50    45.00    68.14    81.31    93.65     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   26  +14      -1.23    38.25    -1.96    77.50     7.04    42.47    45.13    70.98    85.92    92.91    98.12     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          13   26  +12       1.61    61.69     2.05    74.96     7.13    35.55    28.40    56.09    76.18    87.19    96.25     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       2.02    65.83     6.28    63.86     7.75    20.99     2.59     9.02    19.79    34.92    61.63     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.13    80.58     6.56    57.22     7.67     7.68     0.34     1.58     4.54    10.22    27.08     0.07R    0.00  
Everton          13   20   +8       0.34    52.84     5.29    61.75     7.55    19.29     1.20     5.09    12.84    24.89    51.32     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton      13   20   +5      -1.27    39.84    -0.16    57.87     7.43    10.21     0.38     1.89     5.20    11.32    29.99     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool        13   20   +2       0.44    53.80    -0.60    62.20     7.59    14.03     1.44     5.52    13.34    25.48    52.24     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.04    85.97     5.66    52.60     7.48    -0.85     0.04     0.31     1.14     3.04    10.97     0.54R    0.02  
Stoke            13   19   -1       1.58    63.05    -0.58    50.68     7.13    -4.51     0.03     0.12     0.48     1.43     6.26     0.66R    0.02  
West_Brom        13   17   -5       2.47    70.45    -0.08    46.17     7.14   -12.81     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.32     1.85     3.61R    0.24  
Watford          13   16   -2       1.68    64.28     3.57    44.75     7.39   -10.86     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.29     1.53     5.71R    0.54  
Swansea          13   14   -4      -2.82    29.18    -2.47    44.70     7.28    -9.77     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.20     1.35     4.96R    0.38  
Chelsea          13   14   -6      -8.61     4.43   -13.23    58.59     7.36    10.04     0.36     1.80     5.60    12.73    33.51     0.04R    0.00  
Norwich          13   12   -8      -2.23    33.87    -1.66    37.75     7.27   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.17    25.45R    4.38  
Newcastle        13   10  -12      -2.66    29.99    -3.09    34.67     6.94   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    41.82R    8.74  
Bournemouth      13    9  -13      -3.96    21.20    -4.10    30.95     6.97   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    64.67R   20.90  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -5.95     8.77    -5.89    28.69     6.79   -34.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.30R   30.96  
Aston_Villa      13    5  -14      -6.39     6.67    -3.69    28.10     6.72   -31.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.08R   33.81  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 November 2015, Birmingham 0 1 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            17   35  +18       3.98    74.70     6.97    88.24     8.03    37.32    46.45    69.29    97.30    79.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.02    96.32     5.79    76.88     8.08    12.34     5.26    15.55    69.58    26.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   33  +13       3.60    73.17     3.96    81.81     8.07    25.98    15.28    36.34    87.69    52.44P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           17   33  +13       2.85    68.09     2.84    82.80     8.11    28.19    19.55    41.57    89.82    56.68P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.18    81.41     1.90    79.80     8.45    18.93    11.29    27.14    80.30    41.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      17   28   +6       4.76    79.08     5.99    66.79     8.06     5.07     0.44     1.82    23.91     5.76P    0.31R    0.01  
Reading         17   27   +7       3.04    70.10     5.90    66.04     8.08     6.33     0.30     1.34    21.62     5.01P    0.40R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       17   27   +3       4.06    75.80     3.11    64.89     7.94     0.98     0.17     0.88    16.55     3.73P    0.62R    0.04  
Cardiff         17   25   +3       1.59    61.25     2.37    65.63     8.01     4.87     0.23     1.20    19.91     5.00P    0.48R    0.02  
Ipswich         17   25   +0       0.07    50.60    -2.50    66.47     8.21     2.66     0.38     1.63    22.72     5.93P    0.53R    0.03  
Brentford       17   24   -1       0.12    51.13    -1.89    65.91     8.25     2.31     0.27     1.29    21.02     5.49P    0.62R    0.04  
Fulham          17   21   +1      -1.39    41.34     2.77    59.23     8.31    -2.07     0.03     0.21     6.31     1.28P    4.27R    0.53  
Blackburn       17   20   +1      -3.78    26.53     0.07    61.81     8.11     4.46     0.07     0.36    10.09     2.53P    1.80R    0.20  
Wolverhampton   17   20   -1      -4.18    24.56    -2.44    64.19     8.17     5.80     0.16     0.74    16.10     4.40P    0.96R    0.10  
QPR             17   20   -3      -4.39    23.63    -4.56    61.66     8.54     0.08     0.10     0.56    10.96     3.02P    2.35R    0.22  
Leeds_United    17   19   -4      -1.72    38.84    -0.62    53.62     7.83   -10.64     0.00     0.01     1.16     0.21P   12.82R    2.04  
Preston         17   17   -3      -4.07    24.47    -0.55    53.12     8.00    -7.01     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.26P   14.08R    2.23  
Nott'm_Forest   17   17   -5      -4.81    20.61    -3.16    55.47     8.06    -6.61     0.01     0.04     2.17     0.45P    8.97R    1.30  
Bristol_City    17   16   -9      -4.07    25.22    -4.25    50.96     8.29   -16.53     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.14P   23.71R    5.60  
Charlton        17   16  -11      -2.84    31.39    -4.86    48.90     7.76   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   31.05R    7.25  
Huddersfield    17   15   -9      -3.58    26.97    -1.89    48.08     7.91   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P   34.53R    9.16  
MK_Dons         17   15   -9      -5.29    18.55    -4.62    48.78     8.26   -17.77     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.09P   31.80R    8.30  
Rotherham       17   12  -15      -4.02    23.74    -3.66    40.02     7.62   -33.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.98R   42.31  
Bolton          17   11  -13      -7.73     7.71    -6.71    43.90     7.77   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.72R   20.60  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 November 2015, Bury 1 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry         18   37  +17       8.14    90.40    10.63    81.88     8.15    26.79    25.84    46.30    86.61    56.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham       18   34  +12       6.42    84.72     7.79    76.76     8.31    18.56    10.41    23.17    68.25    33.53P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          17   33  +14       5.94    84.08     8.47    78.57     8.20    22.61    14.42    30.17    76.27    42.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Wigan            18   33  +11       0.83    54.90    -0.26    83.34     8.06    28.60    33.01    54.67    90.00    66.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    17   32   +2      10.07    95.29     3.71    69.06     8.25    -1.51     1.75     4.99    30.45     9.55P    1.04R    0.01  
Bury             18   30   +3       6.52    84.99     5.24    66.81     8.31     0.08     0.96     3.05    22.64     6.71P    2.20R    0.07  
Bradford         18   30   +3       4.55    77.08     1.74    68.97     7.94     4.11     1.44     4.40    30.29    10.12P    0.84R    0.01  
Millwall         17   28   +4       1.75    61.17    -0.33    72.08     8.66    10.39     4.36    10.95    46.15    19.93P    0.56R    0.02  
Peterborough     18   27  +10      -1.78    38.90     3.60    72.54     8.24    20.96     4.34    11.35    50.33    22.13P    0.39R    0.01  
Southend         18   27   +0       4.72    78.37     3.26    61.78     8.02    -4.78     0.20     0.75     8.59     2.19P    7.01R    0.37  
Sheff_Utd        18   26   +4      -2.76    33.03    -2.08    69.58     8.12    11.66     2.08     5.76    35.15    14.17P    0.81R    0.02  
Port_Vale        18   26   +2       1.78    61.60     2.71    63.18     8.00    -0.03     0.29     1.06    11.66     3.24P    4.90R    0.22  
Rochdale         18   24   +2      -1.25    42.46     1.22    64.83     8.19     5.38     0.51     1.88    17.07     5.53P    3.43R    0.18  
Scunthorpe       18   23   +0      -0.59    46.93     1.90    59.24     8.10    -3.62     0.08     0.32     5.50     1.35P   12.02R    0.85  
Chesterfield     18   23   -3      -2.77    33.15    -4.54    62.56     8.14    -1.55     0.23     0.85    10.90     3.21P    5.99R    0.32  
Doncaster        18   20   -9      -2.94    31.89    -6.47    56.27     7.90   -11.93     0.02     0.06     2.17     0.55P   21.13R    2.18  
Colchester       18   20  -14       0.63    55.29    -4.18    51.74     8.03   -25.96     0.00     0.02     0.59     0.13P   43.25R    7.90  
Oldham           18   19   -6      -2.54    34.74    -1.22    53.73     7.95   -11.57     0.01     0.04     1.21     0.29P   31.47R    4.33  
Fleetwood_Town   18   18   -2      -4.69    22.22     1.12    54.16     7.97    -5.33     0.02     0.05     1.37     0.31P   28.41R    3.75  
Shrewsbury       17   17   -5      -5.18    19.49    -3.43    53.47     8.37    -9.81     0.01     0.04     1.45     0.38P   33.31R    4.73  
Barnsley         18   17   -8      -7.41    11.64    -7.35    53.83     8.11   -10.85     0.01     0.05     1.31     0.32P   31.38R    4.26  
Swindon          18   16  -10      -9.79     5.55   -11.51    55.11     8.16    -9.40     0.01     0.07     1.82     0.51P   25.78R    3.08  
Blackpool        18   16  -11      -5.51    18.43    -6.34    48.76     8.01   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P   56.68R   12.77  
Crewe            18   13  -16      -3.87    25.46    -3.68    40.44     7.43   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    89.28R   54.90  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 November 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             18   38  +14       8.64    92.13     7.13    84.56     8.03    25.89    38.39    72.41    94.19    78.37P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           18   36  +14       7.78    89.70     8.76    80.93     8.06    23.69    21.39    56.28    87.36    64.14P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          18   34   +7       7.41    87.81     4.16    75.08     8.24    10.91     6.75    27.26    64.95    35.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   18   32   +8       7.49    88.42     8.48    71.18     8.33     8.96     2.91    15.06    47.06    21.17P    0.03R    0.01  
Portsmouth           18   30   +9       2.87    67.67     5.33    71.45     8.08    13.56     3.04    15.76    49.81    23.99P    0.02R    0.01  
Mansfield            18   29  +10       5.46    81.67    11.36    65.72     7.94     7.83     0.56     4.46    23.55     8.25P    0.16R    0.03  
Leyton_Orient        18   29   +5      -3.43    29.02    -6.93    78.64     8.39    22.26    15.87    45.75    79.68    57.76P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   27   +1       3.45    71.39     2.74    64.01     8.13    -1.25     0.38     2.91    17.03     5.76P    0.50R    0.13  
Carlisle             18   27   -1       3.28    69.94     1.06    62.06     8.28    -7.12     0.25     2.12    12.55     4.16P    0.94R    0.21  
Luton                18   26   +8      -1.69    39.14     3.55    69.37     8.13    15.40     1.82    10.75    40.48    18.95P    0.06R    0.02  
Wycombe              16   26   +7       0.21    51.26     1.35    72.58     8.46    15.04     4.53    20.30    54.95    30.10P    0.02R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers       17   26   +2       3.53    72.58     2.96    65.45     8.44     1.92     0.71     4.62    22.96     8.64P    0.33R    0.09  
Exeter               18   26   -1       1.58    60.54    -0.45    63.20     8.18    -3.06     0.31     2.43    14.94     4.97P    0.55R    0.12  
Crawley_Town         18   25   -4      -0.97    44.35    -5.87    66.84     8.51     1.11     0.98     6.41    28.12    12.06P    0.29R    0.07  
Morecambe            17   24   +2       0.91    56.24     2.55    65.63     8.57     4.51     0.78     5.12    24.61     9.50P    0.43R    0.10  
Notts_County         17   22   -3      -3.61    28.31    -6.39    67.61     8.66     5.79     1.29     7.95    31.98    15.18P    0.24R    0.06  
Barnet               18   21   -5       0.18    52.16     1.11    53.70     8.17   -13.91     0.02     0.18     1.90     0.57P    8.37R    2.98  
Cambridge_Utd        18   20   -5      -1.69    40.09    -0.17    53.44     8.04   -12.93     0.01     0.13     1.61     0.43P    8.43R    2.89  
Hartlepool           18   20   -9       0.16    52.34    -1.71    49.22     7.60   -22.83     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.07P   18.63R    7.56  
Stevenage            18   16  -11      -7.80    10.35    -9.53    53.00     8.17   -13.35     0.00     0.08     1.40     0.43P    9.42R    3.47  
Newport_County       18   15  -11      -5.81    16.92    -5.23    46.77     7.85   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   28.63R   13.35  
York                 18   12  -10      -9.91     4.42    -6.00    45.56     7.88   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   32.62R   15.87  
Yeovil               18   11  -12     -12.16     2.09    -9.77    45.27     8.16   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   35.11R   17.77  
Dag_&_Red            17    9  -15     -10.26     3.17    -8.51    41.50     8.09   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   55.20R   35.24  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 November 2015, Aldershot 0 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       22   44  +27       0.43    51.38     5.96    92.64     6.86    51.72    62.19    97.42    75.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   43  +15       5.39    78.72     3.49    84.64     7.23    28.52    12.92    78.71    28.47P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          22   39  +24      -3.35    30.23     5.20    84.36     6.93    43.10    13.32    80.51    37.09P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   22   39   +9       5.95    80.64     4.76    74.82     7.22    13.31     1.05    27.90     5.51P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     21   38  +11       7.74    87.25     8.90    75.35     7.47    15.42     1.48    31.16     6.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          21   37  +15       2.48    64.22     6.33    76.86     7.43    23.35     2.31    40.64    10.20P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        21   37   +7       4.22    73.37     1.02    76.74     7.55    15.39     2.24    38.14     8.73P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       4.88    76.89     5.47    73.84     7.27    14.31     0.82    23.78     5.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     22   35  +12      -0.20    49.00     4.55    72.74     7.22    19.25     0.55    20.97     4.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         21   33  +10      -5.27    21.05    -4.45    78.08     7.46    26.17     2.99    47.44    16.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          22   33   +5       3.91    70.89     7.47    65.99     7.70     4.34     0.07     5.19     0.77P    0.16R    0.01  
Gateshead        21   31   -6       2.85    66.92    -4.56    65.20     7.42    -6.51     0.02     3.22     0.53P    0.16R    0.01  
Chester          22   29   -5       3.43    69.98     2.62    58.56     7.04   -10.74     0.00     0.30     0.04P    1.49R    0.10  
Woking           21   28   +3      -4.02    27.74    -1.82    65.27     7.49     7.30     0.05     4.18     0.89P    0.16R    0.01  
Aldershot        22   28   -6      -0.21    49.47    -2.95    59.19     7.11    -8.73     0.00     0.41     0.06P    1.09R    0.10  
Barrow           23   28  -16       5.37    78.59    -0.49    51.19     6.93   -29.84     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.10R    2.08  
Altrincham       22   26  -13       3.15    69.53    -1.42    51.42     6.83   -25.19     0.00     0.02     0.00    11.70R    1.85  
Guiseley         23   26  -15       2.73    66.64    -1.38    46.36     6.58   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.21R    7.90  
Welling          22   23   -8      -2.11    38.31    -0.45    49.46     6.82   -17.76     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.77R    2.96  
Boreham_Wood     22   20   -6      -4.69    25.24     2.11    46.39     7.05   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.90R    8.06  
Southport        20   18  -15      -1.59    40.83    -2.71    44.61     7.10   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.32R   13.39  
Torquay          21   16  -20      -9.51     7.14   -14.19    46.80     7.26   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.39R    8.40  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.78     3.21    -7.39    43.04     7.13   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.82R   17.57  
Halifax          21   13  -25     -11.06     4.20   -16.06    39.67     7.20   -38.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.71R   37.57