Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 20 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   26  +17       0.18    49.98     0.92    80.76     7.04    48.60    54.75    82.08    93.50    97.38    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   26  +13       3.22    74.47     3.39    77.55     7.27    38.65    31.84    67.34    85.78    93.47    98.48     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.20    95.07     4.70    56.88     7.61    -2.31     0.18     1.15     4.00     9.97    27.62     0.12R    0.01  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.73    71.52     1.76    72.18     7.49    27.98    10.32    32.93    62.82    78.53    92.69     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       1.94    65.49     6.13    63.83     7.76    20.98     1.45     7.09    19.55    37.84    65.29     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.00    80.07     6.40    57.36     7.67     7.85     0.17     1.31     4.81    11.67    31.28     0.12R    0.00  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.10    50.59     0.77    59.91     7.60    12.14     0.47     2.71     8.52    18.98    44.51     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.09    86.41     5.75    52.68     7.46    -0.76     0.03     0.18     0.99     3.31    13.00     0.60R    0.02  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.16    51.84     3.48    59.46     7.65    14.18     0.33     2.02     7.58    18.14    42.83     0.06R    0.00  
Liverpool        12   17   -1      -0.97    42.38    -3.35    58.40     7.78     7.43     0.25     1.65     6.03    14.27    36.39     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.35    69.45     3.53    45.84     7.67   -10.21     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.64     3.07     5.51R    0.48  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.17    49.26    -1.67    48.27     7.34    -6.59     0.00     0.05     0.29     0.97     4.64     2.13R    0.13  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.57    56.12    -1.55    43.24     7.29   -15.91     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.18     1.13     9.44R    0.93  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.09    33.85    -1.97    46.01     7.45    -8.30     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.51     2.78     4.58R    0.37  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.67    37.58    -1.96    38.23     7.50   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.33    27.08R    4.64  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.53     2.53   -13.06    58.17     7.61    11.16     0.20     1.42     5.74    14.05    36.29     0.11R    0.01  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -1.98    34.41    -1.23    37.00     7.28   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.18    32.13R    6.06  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.80    21.16    -4.34    30.59     7.20   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.96R   25.82  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -5.95     8.90    -5.91    28.70     6.75   -34.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.73R   33.97  
Aston_Villa      12    5  -10      -6.26     6.58    -1.78    29.68     6.94   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.31R   27.55  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 November 2015, Middlesbrough 1 0 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.66    79.34     7.39    89.50     8.30    38.64    53.08    74.58    97.67    82.49P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.10    96.57     5.85    76.81     8.01    12.24     4.96    15.33    68.96    26.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   33  +13       3.41    72.42     3.70    81.91     7.99    26.09    14.79    36.96    88.11    53.11P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.04    80.98     1.69    80.02     8.36    19.21    11.13    27.85    80.99    42.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.10    64.10     2.08    80.87     8.29    25.65    13.36    32.83    84.36    48.24P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.05    85.63     6.86    69.29     8.24     7.70     0.86     3.48    33.82     9.00P    0.15R    0.00  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.28    66.01     3.47    67.03     8.18     6.90     0.40     1.89    24.75     6.71P    0.35R    0.02  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.83    62.74     5.49    64.69     8.27     5.76     0.24     1.13    17.44     4.15P    0.78R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.20    72.04     2.15    62.83     8.12    -1.48     0.09     0.52    11.52     2.58P    1.39R    0.08  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.49    53.69    -2.42    67.13     8.48     3.19     0.52     2.28    25.51     7.38P    0.49R    0.03  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.05    43.09    -2.22    64.17     8.49     1.16     0.19     1.00    15.98     4.08P    1.27R    0.11  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -1.08    43.32     2.68    59.64     8.58    -2.02     0.05     0.29     7.31     1.51P    4.14R    0.40  
QPR             17   20   -3      -4.38    23.48    -4.54    61.59     8.53     0.01     0.09     0.49    10.42     2.73P    2.43R    0.21  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.85    25.55    -2.51    64.34     8.42     5.46     0.18     0.97    17.13     4.97P    1.07R    0.08  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.35    48.39     0.41    56.10     7.99    -8.07     0.01     0.05     2.36     0.50P    7.65R    0.85  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.08    18.54    -0.46    59.70     8.24     2.82     0.04     0.21     6.46     1.59P    3.32R    0.31  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.08    29.53    -0.10    55.05     8.29    -5.16     0.00     0.06     2.25     0.52P    9.79R    1.21  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.71    26.00    -2.63    56.61     8.28    -5.92     0.01     0.06     3.11     0.66P    7.50R    0.80  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.80    31.18    -0.76    49.63     8.08   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P   27.53R    5.46  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -4.04    24.65    -4.74    50.75     8.45   -17.33     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.13P   24.52R    5.05  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.83    19.88    -4.45    49.14     8.43   -17.88     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.11P   30.58R    6.39  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.62    19.71    -5.97    46.20     7.91   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   44.27R   10.93  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.79     9.92    -6.37    45.11     7.92   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   49.03R   14.30  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.70    13.60    -4.59    37.28     7.74   -36.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.73R   53.72  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       17   34  +15       6.83    86.62     9.17    79.17     8.51    23.16    18.44    35.75    79.23    45.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry         17   34  +14       7.55    89.42     9.29    79.15     8.38    22.00    17.92    35.04    79.13    45.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Walsall          16   32  +14       6.50    87.17     8.77    79.22     8.41    22.99    17.95    35.27    79.73    46.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      10.94    96.99     4.01    70.66     8.53    -0.19     3.12     8.29    39.83    13.97P    0.90R    0.03  
Wigan            17   30  +10      -0.20    47.98    -0.36    82.37     8.35    28.57    30.72    51.61    88.81    64.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             17   27   +2       5.42    81.63     5.04    64.77     8.55    -1.59     0.71     2.26    18.61     5.37P    4.57R    0.24  
Bradford         17   27   +1       3.25    70.94     0.18    66.58     8.08     1.05     0.90     2.86    23.09     7.20P    2.12R    0.08  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +4      -2.46    34.08    -2.17    69.55     8.37    11.11     2.38     6.84    37.44    15.56P    1.06R    0.04  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.27    58.65    -1.53    70.11     8.89     6.94     3.47     8.58    39.62    16.52P    1.40R    0.05  
Peterborough     17   24   +6      -2.21    35.91     1.56    70.02     8.42    15.35     2.71     7.44    40.90    16.76P    1.12R    0.06  
Southend         17   24   -1       3.34    71.77     2.63    60.19     8.35    -5.76     0.17     0.61     7.67     2.05P   11.86R    1.11  
Scunthorpe       17   23   +2       0.37    52.95     3.24    61.69     8.35     0.09     0.26     0.96    10.90     3.06P    8.00R    0.60  
Port_Vale        17   23   +1       0.44    53.41     2.10    61.47     8.15    -1.14     0.25     0.83     9.64     2.69P    8.08R    0.65  
Chesterfield     17   23   -2      -1.63    39.76    -3.93    64.17     8.37    -0.16     0.53     1.73    16.50     5.35P    4.81R    0.29  
Rochdale         17   21   +0      -2.44    34.72    -0.07    61.80     8.34     1.22     0.28     0.99    10.92     3.44P    8.05R    0.75  
Doncaster        17   20   -7      -1.92    37.67    -4.98    58.29     8.12    -8.98     0.05     0.24     4.51     1.17P   15.99R    1.78  
Colchester       17   20  -11       1.06    58.11    -3.06    53.25     8.19   -22.62     0.01     0.05     1.35     0.25P   37.39R    7.29  
Oldham           17   19   -5      -1.32    42.00    -0.48    55.60     8.16    -9.71     0.01     0.10     2.54     0.57P   25.24R    3.69  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.47    22.38    -3.38    54.30     8.63    -9.65     0.03     0.12     2.44     0.66P   31.09R    5.47  
Swindon          17   16   -6      -9.41     5.79    -9.04    58.01     8.41    -2.90     0.06     0.33     5.01     1.59P   17.00R    1.98  
Blackpool        17   16  -10      -4.51    22.36    -5.82    50.40     8.16   -17.85     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.14P   50.00R   11.68  
Fleetwood_Town   17   15   -6      -5.32    18.16    -1.45    50.77     8.07   -11.78     0.01     0.02     0.64     0.15P   46.27R   10.78  
Barnsley         17   14   -9      -8.80     6.89    -7.99    51.75     8.29   -12.47     0.01     0.05     0.89     0.25P   42.07R    8.67  
Crewe            17   13  -12      -3.60    26.65    -1.72    42.70     7.75   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   82.89R   44.75  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 November 2015, Hartlepool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             17   38  +15      10.10    95.87     8.24    86.80     8.21    28.13    49.16    80.59    96.57    85.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   33  +13       6.62    86.48     8.46    79.53     8.30    23.06    15.84    49.86    83.51    58.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          17   31   +6       5.93    83.62     3.35    72.83     8.36     9.00     4.03    19.91    55.32    27.54P    0.03R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   29   +9       3.34    70.89     5.42    72.18     8.32    14.09     3.46    18.53    53.73    27.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   29   +7       6.24    84.98     8.05    69.13     8.54     7.30     1.80    10.71    38.75    16.30P    0.15R    0.04  
Mansfield            17   26   +8       4.34    77.26    10.07    63.95     8.14     5.68     0.30     3.16    18.57     6.26P    0.53R    0.13  
Leyton_Orient        17   26   +4      -4.41    23.44    -6.91    77.54     8.56    21.95    12.22    41.02    76.47    53.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   26   +3       4.47    78.05     3.35    67.09     8.68     3.34     1.09     7.44    29.91    12.26P    0.25R    0.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   26   +1       3.72    73.59     2.63    63.99     8.36    -1.84     0.37     3.35    18.41     6.30P    0.72R    0.19  
Carlisle             17   26   -1       3.51    71.95     0.73    62.26     8.47    -7.40     0.27     2.38    13.79     4.48P    1.08R    0.29  
Luton                17   25   +8      -1.26    41.89     3.62    70.11     8.43    15.99     2.24    13.41    45.22    22.16P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.65    54.37     1.44    73.31     8.70    15.65     5.15    23.59    58.52    33.30P    0.03R    0.01  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.45    60.27     2.84    66.25     8.79     4.90     0.93     6.46    27.62    11.19P    0.51R    0.14  
Exeter               17   23   -2      -0.18    49.24    -1.54    60.66     8.32    -5.50     0.15     1.46    10.20     3.31P    1.66R    0.43  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.42    34.44    -5.67    69.71     8.85     7.97     2.36    12.81    41.90    21.01P    0.16R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         17   22   -5      -2.16    36.79    -6.22    64.92     8.75    -0.34     0.60     4.63    22.83     9.43P    0.77R    0.22  
Cambridge_Utd        17   20   -4      -0.59    47.12     0.31    54.96     8.22   -11.60     0.01     0.21     2.73     0.71P    7.14R    2.51  
Barnet               17   20   -5       0.49    54.48     1.13    53.81     8.55   -14.58     0.01     0.25     2.51     0.68P   10.25R    4.09  
Hartlepool           17   20   -7       0.92    57.45    -0.65    50.77     7.81   -20.27     0.00     0.04     0.67     0.15P   15.66R    5.96  
Stevenage            17   15  -11      -7.61    10.08    -9.76    53.31     8.43   -13.49     0.01     0.16     2.08     0.61P   10.48R    4.08  
Newport_County       17   14  -11      -5.51    17.38    -5.26    47.19     8.05   -21.02     0.00     0.02     0.26     0.05P   29.75R   14.26  
York                 17   12   -9      -9.09     5.73    -5.87    46.40     8.04   -16.71     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   31.78R   15.30  
Yeovil               17   10  -12     -11.68     2.29    -9.49    45.58     8.48   -18.36     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.06P   37.19R   19.98  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.41     4.27    -8.27    42.67     8.32   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P   51.75R   32.24  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barrow 4 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       21   43  +27       1.13    55.94     6.36    93.56     7.10    52.70    66.86    97.99    77.92P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   42  +15       5.41    79.05     2.93    84.56     7.42    27.88    12.99    79.42    28.98P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        20   37   +8       5.15    78.05     1.28    78.16     7.74    16.56     3.30    48.14    11.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          21   36  +23      -4.57    23.68     4.73    82.92     7.18    42.56     9.83    75.80    33.52P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       4.72    76.28     5.30    73.62     7.27    14.02     0.71    25.27     5.40P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   21   36   +7       5.28    78.33     4.30    73.49     7.40    11.81     0.72    24.61     4.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     20   35   +9       6.75    84.63     7.90    73.38     7.60    12.83     0.74    25.03     4.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          20   34  +14       1.28    57.54     5.86    75.32     7.61    22.46     1.53    35.52     8.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          21   33   +7       4.38    73.47     8.01    67.86     7.93     7.11     0.21     9.81     1.65P    0.11R    0.00  
Macclesfield     21   32  +10      -1.03    43.89     3.76    71.13     7.33    17.33     0.30    17.11     3.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        20   31   -3       3.63    71.37    -2.56    68.31     7.68    -0.71     0.14     9.03     1.46P    0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere         20   30   +9      -6.00    17.66    -4.07    77.45     7.71    26.74     2.64    47.30    16.80P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          21   29   -4       4.47    75.69     3.12    59.71     7.32   -10.17     0.00     0.78     0.09P    1.11R    0.05  
Aldershot        21   28   -5       0.84    55.60    -2.36    60.56     7.33    -7.82     0.00     0.95     0.14P    0.81R    0.04  
Barrow           22   28  -14       5.94    81.54     0.14    52.06     7.09   -28.64     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.27R    1.16  
Guiseley         22   26  -14       3.40    70.28    -1.58    46.68     6.70   -34.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.58R    5.36  
Woking           20   25   +2      -5.25    21.39    -2.22    63.32     7.72     5.71     0.02     3.14     0.65P    0.39R    0.03  
Welling          21   23   -7      -0.83    45.78     0.44    51.50     7.04   -15.89     0.00     0.03     0.00P   10.78R    1.25  
Altrincham       21   23  -14       1.85    62.67    -1.74    49.48     7.00   -26.86     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.97R    2.55  
Boreham_Wood     21   20   -5      -3.79    29.56     2.51    48.30     7.31   -13.98     0.00     0.01     0.00P   22.04R    3.80  
Torquay          20   16  -18      -8.86     8.24   -13.34    48.81     7.57   -23.14     0.00     0.02     0.00    21.27R    3.97  
Southport        19   15  -16      -3.20    29.93    -3.44    42.31     7.21   -31.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.32R   17.12  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.82     3.09    -7.42    42.99     7.10   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.27R   13.41  
Halifax          20   10  -28     -12.02     2.11   -17.89    36.52     7.26   -44.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.00R   51.25