Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 20 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 12 26 +17 0.18 49.98 0.92 80.76 7.04 48.60 54.75 82.08 93.50 97.38 99.46 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 26 +13 3.22 74.47 3.39 77.55 7.27 38.65 31.84 67.34 85.78 93.47 98.48 0.00 0.00 Leicester 12 25 +5 8.20 95.07 4.70 56.88 7.61 -2.31 0.18 1.15 4.00 9.97 27.62 0.12R 0.01 Man_Utd 12 24 +9 2.73 71.52 1.76 72.18 7.49 27.98 10.32 32.93 62.82 78.53 92.69 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 12 21 +10 1.94 65.49 6.13 63.83 7.76 20.98 1.45 7.09 19.55 37.84 65.29 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 12 21 +7 4.00 80.07 6.40 57.36 7.67 7.85 0.17 1.31 4.81 11.67 31.28 0.12R 0.00 Southampton 12 20 +6 0.10 50.59 0.77 59.91 7.60 12.14 0.47 2.71 8.52 18.98 44.51 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 12 19 +2 5.09 86.41 5.75 52.68 7.46 -0.76 0.03 0.18 0.99 3.31 13.00 0.60R 0.02 Everton 12 17 +4 0.16 51.84 3.48 59.46 7.65 14.18 0.33 2.02 7.58 18.14 42.83 0.06R 0.00 Liverpool 12 17 -1 -0.97 42.38 -3.35 58.40 7.78 7.43 0.25 1.65 6.03 14.27 36.39 0.10R 0.00 Watford 12 16 -1 2.35 69.45 3.53 45.84 7.67 -10.21 0.00 0.04 0.22 0.64 3.07 5.51R 0.48 Stoke 12 16 -2 -0.17 49.26 -1.67 48.27 7.34 -6.59 0.00 0.05 0.29 0.97 4.64 2.13R 0.13 West_Brom 12 14 -6 0.57 56.12 -1.55 43.24 7.29 -15.91 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.18 1.13 9.44R 0.93 Swansea 12 13 -4 -2.09 33.85 -1.97 46.01 7.45 -8.30 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.51 2.78 4.58R 0.37 Norwich 12 12 -7 -1.67 37.58 -1.96 38.23 7.50 -23.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.33 27.08R 4.64 Chelsea 12 11 -7 -9.53 2.53 -13.06 58.17 7.61 11.16 0.20 1.42 5.74 14.05 36.29 0.11R 0.01 Newcastle 12 10 -9 -1.98 34.41 -1.23 37.00 7.28 -23.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.18 32.13R 6.06 Bournemouth 12 8 -13 -3.80 21.16 -4.34 30.59 7.20 -36.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 68.96R 25.82 Sunderland 12 6 -13 -5.95 8.90 -5.91 28.70 6.75 -34.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.73R 33.97 Aston_Villa 12 5 -10 -6.26 6.58 -1.78 29.68 6.94 -27.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.31R 27.55Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 November 2015, Middlesbrough 1 0 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 16 34 +18 4.66 79.34 7.39 89.50 8.30 38.64 53.08 74.58 97.67 82.49P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 16 34 +9 10.10 96.57 5.85 76.81 8.01 12.24 4.96 15.33 68.96 26.51P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 17 33 +13 3.41 72.42 3.70 81.91 7.99 26.09 14.79 36.96 88.11 53.11P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 16 32 +9 5.04 80.98 1.69 80.02 8.36 19.21 11.13 27.85 80.99 42.92P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 16 30 +11 2.10 64.10 2.08 80.87 8.29 25.65 13.36 32.83 84.36 48.24P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 16 28 +7 6.05 85.63 6.86 69.29 8.24 7.70 0.86 3.48 33.82 9.00P 0.15R 0.00 Cardiff 16 25 +5 2.28 66.01 3.47 67.03 8.18 6.90 0.40 1.89 24.75 6.71P 0.35R 0.02 Reading 16 24 +6 1.83 62.74 5.49 64.69 8.27 5.76 0.24 1.13 17.44 4.15P 0.78R 0.05 Sheff_Wed 16 24 +1 3.20 72.04 2.15 62.83 8.12 -1.48 0.09 0.52 11.52 2.58P 1.39R 0.08 Ipswich 16 24 +0 0.49 53.69 -2.42 67.13 8.48 3.19 0.52 2.28 25.51 7.38P 0.49R 0.03 Brentford 16 21 -2 -1.05 43.09 -2.22 64.17 8.49 1.16 0.19 1.00 15.98 4.08P 1.27R 0.11 Fulham 16 20 +1 -1.08 43.32 2.68 59.64 8.58 -2.02 0.05 0.29 7.31 1.51P 4.14R 0.40 QPR 17 20 -3 -4.38 23.48 -4.54 61.59 8.53 0.01 0.09 0.49 10.42 2.73P 2.43R 0.21 Wolverhampton 16 19 -1 -3.85 25.55 -2.51 64.34 8.42 5.46 0.18 0.97 17.13 4.97P 1.07R 0.08 Leeds_United 16 19 -3 -0.35 48.39 0.41 56.10 7.99 -8.07 0.01 0.05 2.36 0.50P 7.65R 0.85 Blackburn 16 17 +0 -5.08 18.54 -0.46 59.70 8.24 2.82 0.04 0.21 6.46 1.59P 3.32R 0.31 Preston 16 17 -2 -3.08 29.53 -0.10 55.05 8.29 -5.16 0.00 0.06 2.25 0.52P 9.79R 1.21 Nott'm_Forest 16 17 -4 -3.71 26.00 -2.63 56.61 8.28 -5.92 0.01 0.06 3.11 0.66P 7.50R 0.80 Huddersfield 16 15 -7 -2.80 31.18 -0.76 49.63 8.08 -16.48 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08P 27.53R 5.46 Bristol_City 16 15 -9 -4.04 24.65 -4.74 50.75 8.45 -17.33 0.00 0.01 0.73 0.13P 24.52R 5.05 MK_Dons 16 14 -9 -4.83 19.88 -4.45 49.14 8.43 -17.88 0.00 0.01 0.51 0.11P 30.58R 6.39 Charlton 16 13 -12 -4.62 19.71 -5.97 46.20 7.91 -22.80 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 44.27R 10.93 Bolton 16 11 -12 -6.79 9.92 -6.37 45.11 7.92 -21.63 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 49.03R 14.30 Rotherham 16 9 -16 -5.70 13.60 -4.59 37.28 7.74 -36.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.73R 53.72League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 17 34 +15 6.83 86.62 9.17 79.17 8.51 23.16 18.44 35.75 79.23 45.94P 0.04R 0.00 Coventry 17 34 +14 7.55 89.42 9.29 79.15 8.38 22.00 17.92 35.04 79.13 45.67P 0.02R 0.00 Walsall 16 32 +14 6.50 87.17 8.77 79.22 8.41 22.99 17.95 35.27 79.73 46.90P 0.03R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 32 +3 10.94 96.99 4.01 70.66 8.53 -0.19 3.12 8.29 39.83 13.97P 0.90R 0.03 Wigan 17 30 +10 -0.20 47.98 -0.36 82.37 8.35 28.57 30.72 51.61 88.81 64.72P 0.01R 0.00 Bury 17 27 +2 5.42 81.63 5.04 64.77 8.55 -1.59 0.71 2.26 18.61 5.37P 4.57R 0.24 Bradford 17 27 +1 3.25 70.94 0.18 66.58 8.08 1.05 0.90 2.86 23.09 7.20P 2.12R 0.08 Sheff_Utd 17 25 +4 -2.46 34.08 -2.17 69.55 8.37 11.11 2.38 6.84 37.44 15.56P 1.06R 0.04 Millwall 16 25 +1 1.27 58.65 -1.53 70.11 8.89 6.94 3.47 8.58 39.62 16.52P 1.40R 0.05 Peterborough 17 24 +6 -2.21 35.91 1.56 70.02 8.42 15.35 2.71 7.44 40.90 16.76P 1.12R 0.06 Southend 17 24 -1 3.34 71.77 2.63 60.19 8.35 -5.76 0.17 0.61 7.67 2.05P 11.86R 1.11 Scunthorpe 17 23 +2 0.37 52.95 3.24 61.69 8.35 0.09 0.26 0.96 10.90 3.06P 8.00R 0.60 Port_Vale 17 23 +1 0.44 53.41 2.10 61.47 8.15 -1.14 0.25 0.83 9.64 2.69P 8.08R 0.65 Chesterfield 17 23 -2 -1.63 39.76 -3.93 64.17 8.37 -0.16 0.53 1.73 16.50 5.35P 4.81R 0.29 Rochdale 17 21 +0 -2.44 34.72 -0.07 61.80 8.34 1.22 0.28 0.99 10.92 3.44P 8.05R 0.75 Doncaster 17 20 -7 -1.92 37.67 -4.98 58.29 8.12 -8.98 0.05 0.24 4.51 1.17P 15.99R 1.78 Colchester 17 20 -11 1.06 58.11 -3.06 53.25 8.19 -22.62 0.01 0.05 1.35 0.25P 37.39R 7.29 Oldham 17 19 -5 -1.32 42.00 -0.48 55.60 8.16 -9.71 0.01 0.10 2.54 0.57P 25.24R 3.69 Shrewsbury 16 17 -4 -4.47 22.38 -3.38 54.30 8.63 -9.65 0.03 0.12 2.44 0.66P 31.09R 5.47 Swindon 17 16 -6 -9.41 5.79 -9.04 58.01 8.41 -2.90 0.06 0.33 5.01 1.59P 17.00R 1.98 Blackpool 17 16 -10 -4.51 22.36 -5.82 50.40 8.16 -17.85 0.00 0.01 0.55 0.14P 50.00R 11.68 Fleetwood_Town 17 15 -6 -5.32 18.16 -1.45 50.77 8.07 -11.78 0.01 0.02 0.64 0.15P 46.27R 10.78 Barnsley 17 14 -9 -8.80 6.89 -7.99 51.75 8.29 -12.47 0.01 0.05 0.89 0.25P 42.07R 8.67 Crewe 17 13 -12 -3.60 26.65 -1.72 42.70 7.75 -27.68 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 82.89R 44.75League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 November 2015, Hartlepool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 17 38 +15 10.10 95.87 8.24 86.80 8.21 28.13 49.16 80.59 96.57 85.04P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 17 33 +13 6.62 86.48 8.46 79.53 8.30 23.06 15.84 49.86 83.51 58.57P 0.00R 0.00 Northampton 17 31 +6 5.93 83.62 3.35 72.83 8.36 9.00 4.03 19.91 55.32 27.54P 0.03R 0.00 Portsmouth 17 29 +9 3.34 70.89 5.42 72.18 8.32 14.09 3.46 18.53 53.73 27.04P 0.04R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 17 29 +7 6.24 84.98 8.05 69.13 8.54 7.30 1.80 10.71 38.75 16.30P 0.15R 0.04 Mansfield 17 26 +8 4.34 77.26 10.07 63.95 8.14 5.68 0.30 3.16 18.57 6.26P 0.53R 0.13 Leyton_Orient 17 26 +4 -4.41 23.44 -6.91 77.54 8.56 21.95 12.22 41.02 76.47 53.49P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 16 26 +3 4.47 78.05 3.35 67.09 8.68 3.34 1.09 7.44 29.91 12.26P 0.25R 0.07 AFC_Wimbledon 17 26 +1 3.72 73.59 2.63 63.99 8.36 -1.84 0.37 3.35 18.41 6.30P 0.72R 0.19 Carlisle 17 26 -1 3.51 71.95 0.73 62.26 8.47 -7.40 0.27 2.38 13.79 4.48P 1.08R 0.29 Luton 17 25 +8 -1.26 41.89 3.62 70.11 8.43 15.99 2.24 13.41 45.22 22.16P 0.06R 0.01 Wycombe 15 25 +7 0.65 54.37 1.44 73.31 8.70 15.65 5.15 23.59 58.52 33.30P 0.03R 0.01 Morecambe 16 23 +2 1.45 60.27 2.84 66.25 8.79 4.90 0.93 6.46 27.62 11.19P 0.51R 0.14 Exeter 17 23 -2 -0.18 49.24 -1.54 60.66 8.32 -5.50 0.15 1.46 10.20 3.31P 1.66R 0.43 Notts_County 16 22 -2 -2.42 34.44 -5.67 69.71 8.85 7.97 2.36 12.81 41.90 21.01P 0.16R 0.04 Crawley_Town 17 22 -5 -2.16 36.79 -6.22 64.92 8.75 -0.34 0.60 4.63 22.83 9.43P 0.77R 0.22 Cambridge_Utd 17 20 -4 -0.59 47.12 0.31 54.96 8.22 -11.60 0.01 0.21 2.73 0.71P 7.14R 2.51 Barnet 17 20 -5 0.49 54.48 1.13 53.81 8.55 -14.58 0.01 0.25 2.51 0.68P 10.25R 4.09 Hartlepool 17 20 -7 0.92 57.45 -0.65 50.77 7.81 -20.27 0.00 0.04 0.67 0.15P 15.66R 5.96 Stevenage 17 15 -11 -7.61 10.08 -9.76 53.31 8.43 -13.49 0.01 0.16 2.08 0.61P 10.48R 4.08 Newport_County 17 14 -11 -5.51 17.38 -5.26 47.19 8.05 -21.02 0.00 0.02 0.26 0.05P 29.75R 14.26 York 17 12 -9 -9.09 5.73 -5.87 46.40 8.04 -16.71 0.00 0.01 0.20 0.05P 31.78R 15.30 Yeovil 17 10 -12 -11.68 2.29 -9.49 45.58 8.48 -18.36 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.06P 37.19R 19.98 Dag_&_Red 16 9 -14 -9.41 4.27 -8.27 42.67 8.32 -25.94 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.03P 51.75R 32.24National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barrow 4 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 21 43 +27 1.13 55.94 6.36 93.56 7.10 52.70 66.86 97.99 77.92P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 21 42 +15 5.41 79.05 2.93 84.56 7.42 27.88 12.99 79.42 28.98P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 20 37 +8 5.15 78.05 1.28 78.16 7.74 16.56 3.30 48.14 11.42P 0.00R 0.00 Grimsby 21 36 +23 -4.57 23.68 4.73 82.92 7.18 42.56 9.83 75.80 33.52P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 21 36 +9 4.72 76.28 5.30 73.62 7.27 14.02 0.71 25.27 5.40P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 21 36 +7 5.28 78.33 4.30 73.49 7.40 11.81 0.72 24.61 4.75P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 20 35 +9 6.75 84.63 7.90 73.38 7.60 12.83 0.74 25.03 4.57P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 20 34 +14 1.28 57.54 5.86 75.32 7.61 22.46 1.53 35.52 8.77P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 21 33 +7 4.38 73.47 8.01 67.86 7.93 7.11 0.21 9.81 1.65P 0.11R 0.00 Macclesfield 21 32 +10 -1.03 43.89 3.76 71.13 7.33 17.33 0.30 17.11 3.87P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 20 31 -3 3.63 71.37 -2.56 68.31 7.68 -0.71 0.14 9.03 1.46P 0.06R 0.00 Tranmere 20 30 +9 -6.00 17.66 -4.07 77.45 7.71 26.74 2.64 47.30 16.80P 0.00 0.00 Chester 21 29 -4 4.47 75.69 3.12 59.71 7.32 -10.17 0.00 0.78 0.09P 1.11R 0.05 Aldershot 21 28 -5 0.84 55.60 -2.36 60.56 7.33 -7.82 0.00 0.95 0.14P 0.81R 0.04 Barrow 22 28 -14 5.94 81.54 0.14 52.06 7.09 -28.64 0.00 0.04 0.01P 10.27R 1.16 Guiseley 22 26 -14 3.40 70.28 -1.58 46.68 6.70 -34.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.58R 5.36 Woking 20 25 +2 -5.25 21.39 -2.22 63.32 7.72 5.71 0.02 3.14 0.65P 0.39R 0.03 Welling 21 23 -7 -0.83 45.78 0.44 51.50 7.04 -15.89 0.00 0.03 0.00P 10.78R 1.25 Altrincham 21 23 -14 1.85 62.67 -1.74 49.48 7.00 -26.86 0.00 0.01 0.00 17.97R 2.55 Boreham_Wood 21 20 -5 -3.79 29.56 2.51 48.30 7.31 -13.98 0.00 0.01 0.00P 22.04R 3.80 Torquay 20 16 -18 -8.86 8.24 -13.34 48.81 7.57 -23.14 0.00 0.02 0.00 21.27R 3.97 Southport 19 15 -16 -3.20 29.93 -3.44 42.31 7.21 -31.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.32R 17.12 Kidderminster 21 14 -12 -11.82 3.09 -7.42 42.99 7.10 -20.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.27R 13.41 Halifax 20 10 -28 -12.02 2.11 -17.89 36.52 7.26 -44.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.00R 51.25