Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 19 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   26  +17       0.17    49.86     0.90    80.78     7.13    48.64    54.82    81.88    93.26    97.29    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   26  +13       3.14    73.77     3.30    77.69     7.23    38.78    31.79    67.85    86.63    93.88    98.59     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.24    95.38     4.71    56.80     7.60    -2.41     0.22     1.18     3.97     9.80    27.31     0.10R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.80    72.01     1.85    72.25     7.42    28.07    10.13    32.90    63.10    78.98    92.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       2.02    66.14     6.25    63.75     7.72    20.86     1.49     6.73    19.26    37.27    65.18     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.13    80.72     6.62    57.06     7.66     7.43     0.17     1.15     4.62    11.31    30.09     0.10R    0.00  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.09    50.43     0.79    59.93     7.57    12.18     0.55     2.66     8.36    19.26    44.97     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.07    86.17     5.72    52.64     7.44    -0.82     0.02     0.20     1.08     3.38    12.98     0.56R    0.02  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.11    51.56     3.42    59.43     7.73    14.19     0.35     2.18     7.74    18.07    43.04     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool        12   17   -1      -1.02    41.72    -3.42    58.39     7.78     7.48     0.27     1.71     5.84    14.35    36.52     0.12R    0.01  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.39    69.79     3.61    45.72     7.62   -10.43     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.60     2.87     5.65R    0.52  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.14    49.45    -1.63    48.16     7.34    -6.80     0.00     0.06     0.27     0.96     4.71     2.28R    0.13  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.47    55.04    -1.65    43.27     7.25   -15.89     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.17     1.22     9.18R    0.90  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.17    33.04    -2.08    46.19     7.45    -8.09     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.50     2.89     4.41R    0.37  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.58    38.19    -1.80    38.08     7.47   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.25    28.09R    5.04  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.53     2.40   -13.04    58.21     7.57    11.22     0.18     1.44     5.56    14.13    36.81     0.12R    0.00  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -2.00    33.98    -1.28    37.09     7.28   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    31.54R    5.98  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.77    21.25    -4.31    30.48     7.14   -36.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.14R   26.54  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -6.01     8.61    -6.03    28.79     6.82   -34.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.44R   34.16  
Aston_Villa      12    5  -10      -6.33     6.58    -1.91    29.95     6.94   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.16R   26.34  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.57    78.90     7.28    89.66     8.23    38.88    54.66    75.68    97.87    83.20P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.15    96.69     5.92    76.79     8.08    12.23     5.15    16.06    68.80    26.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.00    80.49     1.65    80.01     8.41    19.24    11.33    28.55    80.92    43.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   30  +12       2.24    65.62     3.33    80.71     8.22    25.77    12.45    32.87    84.21    49.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.15    64.27     2.15    80.78     8.34    25.52    13.48    33.13    84.21    48.48P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.13    85.67     6.98    69.24     8.32     7.60     0.85     3.64    33.96     9.08P    0.18R    0.00  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.26    65.74     3.42    67.17     8.24     7.06     0.49     2.22    25.66     7.16P    0.26R    0.02  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.77    62.46     5.43    64.73     8.20     5.80     0.22     1.04    17.31     4.20P    0.70R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.15    71.45     2.12    62.87     8.07    -1.45     0.09     0.59    11.48     2.63P    1.32R    0.08  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.50    53.87    -2.43    67.10     8.51     3.13     0.55     2.39    25.29     7.21P    0.51R    0.03  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.00    43.47    -2.14    64.07     8.51     1.01     0.20     0.99    15.77     4.09P    1.40R    0.12  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -0.96    43.98     2.88    59.48     8.63    -2.29     0.04     0.31     7.12     1.52P    4.52R    0.46  
QPR             16   20   -2      -3.68    26.76    -4.51    62.86     8.79     0.83     0.22     1.00    13.91     4.05P    2.01R    0.16  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.80    25.53    -2.48    64.24     8.42     5.30     0.19     1.04    16.93     5.02P    1.06R    0.06  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.31    48.66     0.47    55.90     8.02    -8.38     0.01     0.06     2.29     0.50P    8.30R    0.85  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.17    18.18    -0.59    59.81     8.21     3.02     0.04     0.25     6.86     1.72P    3.13R    0.27  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.11    29.14    -0.11    55.05     8.26    -5.18     0.00     0.04     2.23     0.50P    9.87R    1.14  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.74    25.82    -2.62    56.63     8.26    -5.87     0.01     0.09     3.14     0.69P    7.35R    0.82  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.77    31.72    -0.76    49.54     8.12   -16.56     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.08P   27.65R    5.59  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -4.12    24.06    -4.84    50.84     8.60   -17.27     0.00     0.04     0.83     0.22P   24.39R    5.03  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.89    19.65    -4.55    49.38     8.54   -17.54     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.14P   29.69R    6.31  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.46    20.69    -5.77    46.16     7.91   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   44.43R   11.00  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.82     9.87    -6.37    45.07     7.98   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   49.30R   14.04  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.67    13.60    -4.47    37.18     7.70   -36.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.95R   53.99  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       17   34  +15       6.93    87.26     9.37    78.91     8.47    22.73    17.49    34.05    78.31    44.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry         17   34  +14       7.54    89.46     9.28    79.30     8.42    22.26    18.28    35.86    79.70    46.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall          16   32  +14       6.36    86.67     8.59    79.43     8.40    23.29    18.44    35.77    80.14    47.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      10.93    96.89     3.98    70.76     8.53    -0.06     3.34     8.40    40.07    14.12P    0.77R    0.02  
Wigan            17   30  +10      -0.20    48.14    -0.40    82.40     8.35    28.67    30.63    51.77    88.75    64.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             17   27   +2       5.29    80.73     4.86    64.91     8.62    -1.33     0.75     2.45    19.45     5.59P    4.56R    0.29  
Bradford         17   27   +1       3.34    71.67     0.31    66.46     8.09     0.83     0.88     2.90    22.92     7.25P    2.30R    0.09  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +4      -2.52    33.73    -2.26    69.61     8.32    11.19     2.56     6.79    37.60    15.12P    0.99R    0.03  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.22    58.35    -1.63    70.24     8.89     7.14     3.35     8.72    40.26    16.91P    1.26R    0.07  
Peterborough     17   24   +6      -2.16    36.34     1.69    69.86     8.44    15.10     2.71     7.33    39.61    16.16P    1.04R    0.05  
Southend         17   24   -1       3.44    72.47     2.79    60.03     8.20    -6.07     0.10     0.45     7.01     1.74P   11.69R    1.07  
Scunthorpe       17   23   +2       0.32    52.76     3.21    61.68     8.33     0.11     0.24     0.89    10.91     3.04P    8.07R    0.63  
Port_Vale        17   23   +1       0.44    53.51     2.11    61.37     8.22    -1.26     0.26     0.84     9.65     2.75P    8.31R    0.62  
Chesterfield     17   23   -2      -1.66    39.47    -3.97    64.16     8.34    -0.15     0.52     1.74    16.47     5.20P    4.71R    0.33  
Rochdale         17   21   +0      -2.40    34.93    -0.05    61.83     8.42     1.22     0.27     1.03    10.99     3.45P    8.26R    0.67  
Doncaster        17   20   -7      -1.95    37.58    -5.04    58.39     8.17    -8.78     0.06     0.30     4.75     1.27P   15.80R    1.78  
Colchester       17   20  -11       1.07    58.37    -3.09    53.24     8.22   -22.59     0.01     0.06     1.36     0.28P   37.36R    7.26  
Oldham           17   19   -5      -1.29    42.59    -0.40    55.56     8.16    -9.81     0.02     0.11     2.47     0.64P   25.44R    3.64  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.51    22.23    -3.48    54.45     8.53    -9.46     0.03     0.12     2.38     0.62P   30.43R    5.07  
Swindon          17   16   -6      -9.47     5.51    -9.15    58.07     8.38    -2.77     0.07     0.34     5.12     1.63P   16.60R    2.01  
Blackpool        17   16  -10      -4.52    22.84    -5.81    50.39     8.21   -17.86     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.15P   49.78R   11.91  
Fleetwood_Town   17   15   -6      -5.28    18.35    -1.43    50.66     8.06   -11.92     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.13P   47.00R   10.73  
Barnsley         17   14   -9      -8.69     6.90    -7.85    51.61     8.30   -12.69     0.00     0.04     0.88     0.22P   42.68R    8.93  
Crewe            17   13  -12      -3.57    27.06    -1.61    42.66     7.78   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   82.84R   44.79  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 November 2015, Hartlepool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             17   38  +15      10.08    95.65     8.25    86.83     8.20    28.17    48.99    80.59    96.59    84.92P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   33  +13       6.59    86.48     8.40    79.59     8.33    23.14    15.95    49.98    83.65    58.72P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          17   31   +6       5.81    83.06     3.23    72.81     8.42     8.91     3.99    19.62    55.13    27.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   29   +9       3.21    70.50     5.22    72.35     8.37    14.35     3.85    18.89    54.36    27.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   29   +7       6.25    84.95     8.04    69.20     8.46     7.44     1.78    10.53    39.06    16.12P    0.12R    0.02  
Mansfield            17   26   +8       4.45    77.86    10.24    63.91     8.19     5.64     0.34     3.22    18.51     6.18P    0.49R    0.11  
Leyton_Orient        17   26   +4      -4.45    23.21    -6.97    77.53     8.47    22.00    11.91    41.07    76.47    53.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   26   +3       4.41    77.61     3.29    67.15     8.75     3.44     1.15     7.44    30.40    12.48P    0.28R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   26   +1       3.80    73.98     2.69    63.99     8.34    -1.88     0.39     3.31    17.88     6.15P    0.63R    0.15  
Carlisle             17   26   -1       3.50    71.69     0.73    62.22     8.44    -7.43     0.25     2.26    13.68     4.37P    1.12R    0.28  
Luton                17   25   +8      -1.23    41.86     3.66    70.07     8.44    15.97     2.21    13.39    44.73    22.10P    0.07R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.70    54.77     1.47    73.29     8.75    15.57     5.08    23.40    58.37    33.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.58    60.91     3.04    66.16     8.79     4.72     0.86     6.28    27.17    10.89P    0.58R    0.18  
Exeter               17   23   -2      -0.11    49.88    -1.44    60.55     8.32    -5.66     0.16     1.46     9.99     3.27P    1.76R    0.48  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.32    35.15    -5.54    69.64     9.03     7.79     2.41    12.93    42.02    21.29P    0.20R    0.03  
Crawley_Town         17   22   -5      -2.36    35.67    -6.51    65.15     8.82     0.06     0.63     4.98    23.23     9.78P    0.73R    0.18  
Cambridge_Utd        17   20   -4      -0.62    46.84     0.28    55.00     8.22   -11.54     0.02     0.25     2.83     0.72P    7.10R    2.49  
Barnet               17   20   -5       0.49    54.35     1.16    53.75     8.45   -14.70     0.01     0.17     2.35     0.61P    9.94R    3.87  
Hartlepool           17   20   -7       0.98    57.60    -0.53    50.74     7.87   -20.43     0.00     0.06     0.80     0.16P   16.05R    6.29  
Stevenage            17   15  -11      -7.64    10.09    -9.79    53.24     8.45   -13.65     0.00     0.13     1.99     0.54P   10.56R    4.06  
Newport_County       17   14  -11      -5.45    17.73    -5.15    47.11     8.12   -21.17     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   30.31R   14.73  
York                 17   12   -9      -9.00     5.80    -5.79    46.28     8.13   -16.91     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.06P   32.69R   16.19  
Yeovil               17   10  -12     -11.75     2.22    -9.59    45.68     8.47   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.07P   36.29R   19.33  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.51     4.10    -8.39    42.85     8.38   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   50.98R   31.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barrow 4 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       21   43  +27       1.05    55.15     6.23    93.55     7.04    52.75    67.25    98.08    78.44P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   42  +15       5.47    79.19     3.05    84.54     7.44    27.80    12.91    79.36    28.89P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        20   37   +8       5.23    78.35     1.37    78.06     7.71    16.39     2.97    47.56    10.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          21   36  +23      -4.60    23.47     4.66    82.89     7.11    42.49     9.88    75.84    33.18P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       4.88    77.01     5.51    73.44     7.31    13.79     0.65    24.47     5.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   21   36   +7       5.12    77.74     4.08    73.75     7.43    12.19     0.81    25.91     5.08P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     20   35   +9       6.74    84.73     7.85    73.48     7.64    12.97     0.81    25.49     4.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          20   34  +14       1.21    57.30     5.80    75.35     7.60    22.55     1.52    35.69     8.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          21   33   +7       4.29    73.05     7.87    67.90     7.89     7.22     0.22     9.72     1.74P    0.08R    0.00  
Macclesfield     21   32  +10      -0.91    44.58     3.92    71.07     7.39    17.21     0.36    17.14     4.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        20   31   -3       3.65    71.08    -2.48    68.39     7.68    -0.60     0.15     9.26     1.63P    0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere         20   30   +9      -5.96    17.59    -3.99    77.36     7.66    26.58     2.44    46.58    16.60P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          21   29   -4       4.51    75.88     3.11    59.64     7.25   -10.24     0.00     0.66     0.08P    1.11R    0.03  
Aldershot        21   28   -5       0.84    55.71    -2.35    60.57     7.33    -7.76     0.01     1.00     0.16P    0.83R    0.03  
Barrow           22   28  -14       5.88    81.44     0.01    52.18     7.11   -28.39     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.13R    1.13  
Guiseley         22   26  -14       3.34    69.76    -1.63    46.63     6.73   -34.31     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.90R    5.48  
Woking           20   25   +2      -5.28    20.91    -2.30    63.40     7.67     5.82     0.01     3.12     0.63P    0.35R    0.02  
Welling          21   23   -7      -1.00    44.82     0.22    51.54     7.10   -15.75     0.00     0.03     0.00    10.47R    1.26  
Altrincham       21   23  -14       1.85    62.64    -1.69    49.50     6.98   -26.86     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.55R    2.53  
Boreham_Wood     21   20   -5      -3.62    30.25     2.73    48.17     7.34   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.51R    4.06  
Torquay          20   16  -18      -8.87     8.23   -13.38    48.81     7.52   -23.08     0.00     0.02     0.00P   21.08R    3.83  
Southport        19   15  -16      -3.20    30.22    -3.48    42.24     7.28   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.60R   17.56  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.68     3.10    -7.22    42.91     7.09   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.73R   13.54  
Halifax          20   10  -28     -12.03     2.17   -17.90    36.58     7.34   -44.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.59R   50.51