Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 16 November 2015 at 22:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   26  +17       0.09    49.10     0.71    80.90     7.12    48.90    54.99    82.26    93.48    97.36    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   26  +13       3.12    73.75     3.28    77.76     7.22    38.95    31.81    67.71    86.35    93.87    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.23    95.31     4.72    56.82     7.65    -2.40     0.19     1.04     3.87     9.72    27.55     0.12R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.71    71.38     1.73    72.27     7.46    28.08    10.05    32.41    62.88    79.15    92.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       1.93    65.21     6.14    63.90     7.79    21.08     1.43     7.06    19.78    38.32    65.77     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.12    80.56     6.59    57.08     7.71     7.49     0.20     1.28     4.63    11.24    30.35     0.12R    0.00  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.11    50.73     0.78    59.91     7.61    12.18     0.47     2.78     8.57    19.16    44.37     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.11    86.37     5.81    52.56     7.43    -0.93     0.02     0.20     0.97     3.32    12.81     0.60R    0.02  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.11    51.38     3.41    59.65     7.71    14.48     0.39     2.29     7.87    18.50    44.13     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool        12   17   -1      -1.02    41.72    -3.41    58.37     7.75     7.43     0.28     1.62     5.72    13.93    36.57     0.09R    0.00  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.36    69.76     3.53    45.85     7.61   -10.22     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.55     2.95     5.39R    0.47  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.10    49.80    -1.59    48.19     7.28    -6.74     0.01     0.04     0.22     0.89     4.47     2.25R    0.14  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.48    55.27    -1.63    43.37     7.28   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.10     9.08R    0.95  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.12    33.64    -2.01    45.98     7.50    -8.37     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.45     2.88     4.71R    0.41  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.63    37.77    -1.85    38.22     7.49   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.31    26.97R    4.79  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.46     2.50   -12.93    57.97     7.59    10.88     0.15     1.27     5.38    13.30    35.59     0.12R    0.00  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -2.03    34.00    -1.28    37.00     7.31   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16    31.69R    5.94  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.77    21.29    -4.30    30.52     7.17   -36.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    69.60R   26.04  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -5.98     8.94    -5.98    28.69     6.74   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.95R   34.03  
Aston_Villa      12    5  -10      -6.22     6.84    -1.73    29.73     6.96   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.18R   27.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.64    79.33     7.38    89.56     8.20    38.75    54.55    75.78    97.89    83.52P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.10    96.60     5.86    76.86     8.05    12.30     5.20    16.21    68.95    26.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.10    81.15     1.76    79.84     8.41    19.02    11.07    28.40    80.23    42.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   30  +12       2.38    66.29     3.53    80.49     8.21    25.46    12.03    31.68    83.75    47.83P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.11    63.72     2.13    80.87     8.31    25.67    13.97    34.00    84.40    49.31P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.08    85.54     6.90    69.30     8.26     7.64     0.93     3.65    33.92     9.24P    0.16R    0.01  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.21    65.30     3.35    67.21     8.17     7.15     0.47     2.22    25.65     7.05P    0.36R    0.01  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.75    62.34     5.37    64.89     8.28     6.06     0.27     1.22    18.00     4.44P    0.78R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.10    71.30     2.04    62.96     8.13    -1.33     0.13     0.69    11.82     2.71P    1.22R    0.09  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.54    54.04    -2.35    67.05     8.48     2.98     0.58     2.36    25.09     7.38P    0.50R    0.02  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.09    43.12    -2.31    64.16     8.54     1.12     0.24     1.00    16.37     4.32P    1.32R    0.11  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -0.99    43.62     2.81    59.57     8.59    -2.15     0.06     0.35     7.06     1.60P    4.29R    0.46  
QPR             16   20   -2      -3.63    27.13    -4.47    62.84     8.79     0.78     0.22     1.03    13.81     4.07P    2.02R    0.16  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.86    25.22    -2.53    64.26     8.40     5.34     0.21     0.95    16.72     4.83P    1.06R    0.09  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.30    48.68     0.50    55.99     8.03    -8.27     0.00     0.06     2.27     0.42P    8.18R    0.98  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.17    18.07    -0.58    59.84     8.25     3.06     0.05     0.26     6.91     1.83P    3.18R    0.31  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.02    29.93    -0.02    54.90     8.25    -5.32     0.01     0.06     2.08     0.48P   10.06R    1.19  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.73    25.64    -2.67    56.60     8.31    -5.92     0.01     0.07     3.20     0.73P    7.46R    0.83  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.78    31.63    -0.75    49.61     8.16   -16.49     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.07P   27.58R    5.63  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -3.97    25.15    -4.62    50.64     8.48   -17.56     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.10P   24.77R    5.01  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.93    19.37    -4.58    49.35     8.49   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P   29.75R    5.97  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.55    20.13    -5.91    46.27     7.89   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   43.66R   10.96  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.75    10.29    -6.31    44.92     7.92   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   49.98R   14.51  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.72    13.65    -4.53    37.29     7.67   -36.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   83.64R   53.60  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       17   34  +15       6.95    87.39     9.40    78.93     8.51    22.81    17.58    34.59    78.29    44.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry         17   34  +14       7.42    89.06     9.09    79.39     8.42    22.38    18.69    35.95    79.98    46.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall          16   32  +14       6.46    86.93     8.72    79.28     8.42    23.11    18.00    35.78    79.94    47.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      10.94    97.08     4.01    70.62     8.54    -0.22     3.20     8.32    39.94    13.87P    0.84R    0.02  
Wigan            17   30  +10      -0.19    48.31    -0.34    82.33     8.40    28.55    30.78    51.54    88.35    64.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury             17   27   +2       5.27    80.80     4.80    64.97     8.56    -1.27     0.74     2.41    19.19     5.54P    4.37R    0.28  
Bradford         17   27   +1       3.34    71.50     0.33    66.48     8.07     0.88     0.79     2.77    22.73     7.25P    2.16R    0.10  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +4      -2.51    33.87    -2.23    69.62     8.33    11.22     2.56     6.92    37.92    15.87P    0.98R    0.04  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.38    59.24    -1.38    70.04     8.88     6.85     3.28     8.17    39.60    16.18P    1.31R    0.06  
Peterborough     17   24   +6      -2.20    36.05     1.60    69.91     8.54    15.19     2.77     7.64    40.24    16.54P    1.18R    0.07  
Southend         17   24   -1       3.47    72.61     2.85    60.00     8.33    -6.10     0.17     0.58     7.32     1.95P   12.18R    1.04  
Scunthorpe       17   23   +2       0.27    52.16     3.13    61.75     8.31     0.16     0.24     0.88    11.15     3.05P    7.93R    0.59  
Port_Vale        17   23   +1       0.48    53.85     2.16    61.34     8.16    -1.28     0.20     0.79     9.59     2.66P    8.29R    0.65  
Chesterfield     17   23   -2      -1.63    39.73    -3.93    64.19     8.37    -0.17     0.53     1.75    16.71     5.44P    4.91R    0.32  
Rochdale         17   21   +0      -2.44    34.64    -0.07    61.82     8.39     1.27     0.26     0.97    11.01     3.27P    8.04R    0.74  
Doncaster        17   20   -7      -1.97    37.58    -5.08    58.40     8.14    -8.81     0.07     0.27     4.69     1.17P   16.04R    1.68  
Colchester       17   20  -11       1.09    58.56    -3.03    53.21     8.21   -22.70     0.01     0.06     1.37     0.25P   37.60R    7.15  
Oldham           17   19   -5      -1.36    41.87    -0.52    55.61     8.15    -9.72     0.02     0.10     2.41     0.54P   25.07R    3.79  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.47    22.53    -3.42    54.33     8.59    -9.66     0.03     0.12     2.32     0.64P   31.10R    5.58  
Swindon          17   16   -6      -9.38     5.85    -9.04    58.11     8.40    -2.73     0.08     0.32     4.98     1.59P   16.54R    2.03  
Blackpool        17   16  -10      -4.50    23.07    -5.81    50.35     8.25   -17.91     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.17P   50.18R   12.27  
Fleetwood_Town   17   15   -6      -5.41    17.93    -1.57    50.88     8.09   -11.56     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.15P   45.71R   10.21  
Barnsley         17   14   -9      -8.72     6.95    -7.90    51.59     8.35   -12.76     0.00     0.03     0.96     0.24P   42.91R    9.10  
Crewe            17   13  -12      -3.67    26.03    -1.79    42.80     7.74   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   82.54R   44.28  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 November 2015, Hartlepool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             17   38  +15       9.93    95.55     8.05    86.96     8.17    28.31    49.72    80.94    96.57    85.21P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   33  +13       6.60    86.56     8.37    79.57     8.34    23.13    15.63    49.53    83.40    58.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          17   31   +6       5.82    82.93     3.23    72.91     8.35     9.06     3.83    19.87    55.52    27.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   29   +9       3.21    70.45     5.20    72.46     8.33    14.51     3.76    19.24    54.85    28.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   29   +7       6.25    84.94     8.04    69.21     8.49     7.40     1.76    10.60    38.81    16.15P    0.11R    0.02  
Mansfield            17   26   +8       4.56    78.14    10.38    63.70     8.19     5.29     0.32     3.10    17.69     5.85P    0.54R    0.13  
Leyton_Orient        17   26   +4      -4.44    23.32    -6.89    77.45     8.48    21.85    11.57    40.55    76.34    53.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   26   +3       4.54    78.19     3.45    67.00     8.65     3.26     1.06     7.13    29.33    11.89P    0.33R    0.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   26   +1       3.70    73.48     2.56    64.11     8.30    -1.67     0.33     3.24    18.43     6.14P    0.64R    0.16  
Carlisle             17   26   -1       3.57    72.26     0.86    62.06     8.46    -7.67     0.25     2.24    13.26     4.36P    1.13R    0.28  
Luton                17   25   +8      -1.19    42.26     3.74    70.11     8.39    16.03     2.19    13.35    44.96    22.06P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.66    54.47     1.44    73.29     8.78    15.64     5.35    23.18    58.31    32.99P    0.03R    0.01  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.47    60.45     2.87    66.40     8.75     5.10     0.89     6.62    28.15    11.19P    0.47R    0.11  
Exeter               17   23   -2      -0.10    49.90    -1.42    60.53     8.36    -5.66     0.16     1.41     9.97     3.24P    1.79R    0.48  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.49    34.29    -5.78    69.91     9.00     8.17     2.51    13.47    42.99    21.91P    0.17R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         17   22   -5      -2.33    35.72    -6.50    65.18     8.72     0.11     0.61     4.89    23.09     9.75P    0.66R    0.17  
Cambridge_Utd        17   20   -4      -0.59    46.94     0.29    54.90     8.24   -11.70     0.02     0.26     2.75     0.70P    7.24R    2.52  
Barnet               17   20   -5       0.58    55.00     1.28    53.65     8.43   -14.84     0.01     0.19     2.30     0.60P   10.23R    3.87  
Hartlepool           17   20   -7       0.93    57.56    -0.64    50.84     7.82   -20.26     0.00     0.03     0.69     0.15P   15.52R    6.03  
Stevenage            17   15  -11      -7.63    10.14    -9.76    53.25     8.35   -13.67     0.01     0.14     1.86     0.53P   10.16R    3.84  
Newport_County       17   14  -11      -5.52    17.21    -5.26    47.18     8.05   -21.06     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   29.48R   14.26  
York                 17   12   -9      -8.92     5.93    -5.67    46.13     8.00   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   32.82R   16.28  
Yeovil               17   10  -12     -11.59     2.20    -9.39    45.41     8.45   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   37.49R   20.00  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.56     4.00    -8.47    42.87     8.36   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   51.09R   31.70  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barrow 4 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       21   43  +27       1.13    55.66     6.36    93.54     7.10    52.66    66.99    98.06    78.21P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   42  +15       5.52    79.44     3.11    84.43     7.44    27.67    12.77    78.97    28.17P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        20   37   +8       5.08    77.77     1.16    78.23     7.69    16.72     3.29    48.15    11.50P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          21   36  +23      -4.57    23.63     4.75    82.87     7.20    42.45     9.74    75.49    32.77P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       4.77    76.30     5.31    73.69     7.28    14.12     0.72    25.34     5.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   21   36   +7       5.09    77.61     4.00    73.79     7.43    12.26     0.82    26.12     5.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     20   35   +9       6.64    84.19     7.74    73.43     7.63    12.94     0.84    25.17     4.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          20   34  +14       1.21    57.18     5.79    75.37     7.64    22.55     1.58    35.74     8.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          21   33   +7       4.38    73.52     8.05    67.65     7.92     6.81     0.18     9.32     1.62P    0.08R    0.00  
Macclesfield     21   32  +10      -0.79    45.43     4.12    70.88     7.46    16.93     0.33    16.79     3.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        20   31   -3       3.73    71.80    -2.37    68.20     7.71    -0.82     0.12     8.91     1.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere         20   30   +9      -6.05    17.42    -4.14    77.44     7.59    26.71     2.59    47.15    17.05P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          21   29   -4       4.55    75.95     3.20    59.66     7.23   -10.25     0.00     0.59     0.08P    1.12R    0.06  
Aldershot        21   28   -5       0.73    55.10    -2.53    60.65     7.30    -7.60     0.01     0.95     0.15P    0.79R    0.04  
Barrow           22   28  -14       6.00    81.86     0.16    52.07     7.12   -28.60     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.47R    1.15  
Guiseley         22   26  -14       3.28    69.58    -1.77    46.78     6.70   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.34R    5.37  
Woking           20   25   +2      -5.27    21.30    -2.26    63.37     7.73     5.76     0.02     3.16     0.64P    0.40R    0.02  
Welling          21   23   -7      -0.80    46.03     0.53    51.43     7.00   -15.97     0.00     0.02     0.00P   10.74R    1.33  
Altrincham       21   23  -14       1.85    62.84    -1.67    49.51     6.97   -26.82     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.90R    2.58  
Boreham_Wood     21   20   -5      -3.67    30.08     2.66    48.18     7.30   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.60R    3.98  
Torquay          20   16  -18      -8.87     8.01   -13.40    48.81     7.54   -23.13     0.00     0.02     0.00    21.35R    3.94  
Southport        19   15  -16      -3.24    29.73    -3.50    42.42     7.26   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.94R   17.21  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.76     3.26    -7.33    42.89     7.10   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.88R   13.79  
Halifax          20   10  -28     -12.05     2.16   -17.95    36.63     7.32   -44.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.34R   50.52