Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 16 November 2015 at 22:00:02 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 12 26 +17 0.09 49.10 0.71 80.90 7.12 48.90 54.99 82.26 93.48 97.36 99.48 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 26 +13 3.12 73.75 3.28 77.76 7.22 38.95 31.81 67.71 86.35 93.87 98.60 0.00 0.00 Leicester 12 25 +5 8.23 95.31 4.72 56.82 7.65 -2.40 0.19 1.04 3.87 9.72 27.55 0.12R 0.00 Man_Utd 12 24 +9 2.71 71.38 1.73 72.27 7.46 28.08 10.05 32.41 62.88 79.15 92.88 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 12 21 +10 1.93 65.21 6.14 63.90 7.79 21.08 1.43 7.06 19.78 38.32 65.77 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 12 21 +7 4.12 80.56 6.59 57.08 7.71 7.49 0.20 1.28 4.63 11.24 30.35 0.12R 0.00 Southampton 12 20 +6 0.11 50.73 0.78 59.91 7.61 12.18 0.47 2.78 8.57 19.16 44.37 0.04R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 12 19 +2 5.11 86.37 5.81 52.56 7.43 -0.93 0.02 0.20 0.97 3.32 12.81 0.60R 0.02 Everton 12 17 +4 0.11 51.38 3.41 59.65 7.71 14.48 0.39 2.29 7.87 18.50 44.13 0.07R 0.00 Liverpool 12 17 -1 -1.02 41.72 -3.41 58.37 7.75 7.43 0.28 1.62 5.72 13.93 36.57 0.09R 0.00 Watford 12 16 -1 2.36 69.76 3.53 45.85 7.61 -10.22 0.00 0.02 0.13 0.55 2.95 5.39R 0.47 Stoke 12 16 -2 -0.10 49.80 -1.59 48.19 7.28 -6.74 0.01 0.04 0.22 0.89 4.47 2.25R 0.14 West_Brom 12 14 -6 0.48 55.27 -1.63 43.37 7.28 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.16 1.10 9.08R 0.95 Swansea 12 13 -4 -2.12 33.64 -2.01 45.98 7.50 -8.37 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.45 2.88 4.71R 0.41 Norwich 12 12 -7 -1.63 37.77 -1.85 38.22 7.49 -23.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.31 26.97R 4.79 Chelsea 12 11 -7 -9.46 2.50 -12.93 57.97 7.59 10.88 0.15 1.27 5.38 13.30 35.59 0.12R 0.00 Newcastle 12 10 -9 -2.03 34.00 -1.28 37.00 7.31 -23.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.16 31.69R 5.94 Bournemouth 12 8 -13 -3.77 21.29 -4.30 30.52 7.17 -36.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 69.60R 26.04 Sunderland 12 6 -13 -5.98 8.94 -5.98 28.69 6.74 -34.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.95R 34.03 Aston_Villa 12 5 -10 -6.22 6.84 -1.73 29.73 6.96 -27.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.18R 27.19Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 16 34 +18 4.64 79.33 7.38 89.56 8.20 38.75 54.55 75.78 97.89 83.52P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 16 34 +9 10.10 96.60 5.86 76.86 8.05 12.30 5.20 16.21 68.95 26.96P 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 16 32 +9 5.10 81.15 1.76 79.84 8.41 19.02 11.07 28.40 80.23 42.99P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 16 30 +12 2.38 66.29 3.53 80.49 8.21 25.46 12.03 31.68 83.75 47.83P 0.00 0.00 Derby 16 30 +11 2.11 63.72 2.13 80.87 8.31 25.67 13.97 34.00 84.40 49.31P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 16 28 +7 6.08 85.54 6.90 69.30 8.26 7.64 0.93 3.65 33.92 9.24P 0.16R 0.01 Cardiff 16 25 +5 2.21 65.30 3.35 67.21 8.17 7.15 0.47 2.22 25.65 7.05P 0.36R 0.01 Reading 16 24 +6 1.75 62.34 5.37 64.89 8.28 6.06 0.27 1.22 18.00 4.44P 0.78R 0.05 Sheff_Wed 16 24 +1 3.10 71.30 2.04 62.96 8.13 -1.33 0.13 0.69 11.82 2.71P 1.22R 0.09 Ipswich 16 24 +0 0.54 54.04 -2.35 67.05 8.48 2.98 0.58 2.36 25.09 7.38P 0.50R 0.02 Brentford 16 21 -2 -1.09 43.12 -2.31 64.16 8.54 1.12 0.24 1.00 16.37 4.32P 1.32R 0.11 Fulham 16 20 +1 -0.99 43.62 2.81 59.57 8.59 -2.15 0.06 0.35 7.06 1.60P 4.29R 0.46 QPR 16 20 -2 -3.63 27.13 -4.47 62.84 8.79 0.78 0.22 1.03 13.81 4.07P 2.02R 0.16 Wolverhampton 16 19 -1 -3.86 25.22 -2.53 64.26 8.40 5.34 0.21 0.95 16.72 4.83P 1.06R 0.09 Leeds_United 16 19 -3 -0.30 48.68 0.50 55.99 8.03 -8.27 0.00 0.06 2.27 0.42P 8.18R 0.98 Blackburn 16 17 +0 -5.17 18.07 -0.58 59.84 8.25 3.06 0.05 0.26 6.91 1.83P 3.18R 0.31 Preston 16 17 -2 -3.02 29.93 -0.02 54.90 8.25 -5.32 0.01 0.06 2.08 0.48P 10.06R 1.19 Nott'm_Forest 16 17 -4 -3.73 25.64 -2.67 56.60 8.31 -5.92 0.01 0.07 3.20 0.73P 7.46R 0.83 Huddersfield 16 15 -7 -2.78 31.63 -0.75 49.61 8.16 -16.49 0.00 0.01 0.43 0.07P 27.58R 5.63 Bristol_City 16 15 -9 -3.97 25.15 -4.62 50.64 8.48 -17.56 0.00 0.01 0.69 0.10P 24.77R 5.01 MK_Dons 16 14 -9 -4.93 19.37 -4.58 49.35 8.49 -17.59 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.10P 29.75R 5.97 Charlton 16 13 -12 -4.55 20.13 -5.91 46.27 7.89 -22.75 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 43.66R 10.96 Bolton 16 11 -12 -6.75 10.29 -6.31 44.92 7.92 -21.86 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 49.98R 14.51 Rotherham 16 9 -16 -5.72 13.65 -4.53 37.29 7.67 -36.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 83.64R 53.60League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 17 34 +15 6.95 87.39 9.40 78.93 8.51 22.81 17.58 34.59 78.29 44.86P 0.04R 0.00 Coventry 17 34 +14 7.42 89.06 9.09 79.39 8.42 22.38 18.69 35.95 79.98 46.79P 0.03R 0.00 Walsall 16 32 +14 6.46 86.93 8.72 79.28 8.42 23.11 18.00 35.78 79.94 47.43P 0.03R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 32 +3 10.94 97.08 4.01 70.62 8.54 -0.22 3.20 8.32 39.94 13.87P 0.84R 0.02 Wigan 17 30 +10 -0.19 48.31 -0.34 82.33 8.40 28.55 30.78 51.54 88.35 64.54P 0.02R 0.00 Bury 17 27 +2 5.27 80.80 4.80 64.97 8.56 -1.27 0.74 2.41 19.19 5.54P 4.37R 0.28 Bradford 17 27 +1 3.34 71.50 0.33 66.48 8.07 0.88 0.79 2.77 22.73 7.25P 2.16R 0.10 Sheff_Utd 17 25 +4 -2.51 33.87 -2.23 69.62 8.33 11.22 2.56 6.92 37.92 15.87P 0.98R 0.04 Millwall 16 25 +1 1.38 59.24 -1.38 70.04 8.88 6.85 3.28 8.17 39.60 16.18P 1.31R 0.06 Peterborough 17 24 +6 -2.20 36.05 1.60 69.91 8.54 15.19 2.77 7.64 40.24 16.54P 1.18R 0.07 Southend 17 24 -1 3.47 72.61 2.85 60.00 8.33 -6.10 0.17 0.58 7.32 1.95P 12.18R 1.04 Scunthorpe 17 23 +2 0.27 52.16 3.13 61.75 8.31 0.16 0.24 0.88 11.15 3.05P 7.93R 0.59 Port_Vale 17 23 +1 0.48 53.85 2.16 61.34 8.16 -1.28 0.20 0.79 9.59 2.66P 8.29R 0.65 Chesterfield 17 23 -2 -1.63 39.73 -3.93 64.19 8.37 -0.17 0.53 1.75 16.71 5.44P 4.91R 0.32 Rochdale 17 21 +0 -2.44 34.64 -0.07 61.82 8.39 1.27 0.26 0.97 11.01 3.27P 8.04R 0.74 Doncaster 17 20 -7 -1.97 37.58 -5.08 58.40 8.14 -8.81 0.07 0.27 4.69 1.17P 16.04R 1.68 Colchester 17 20 -11 1.09 58.56 -3.03 53.21 8.21 -22.70 0.01 0.06 1.37 0.25P 37.60R 7.15 Oldham 17 19 -5 -1.36 41.87 -0.52 55.61 8.15 -9.72 0.02 0.10 2.41 0.54P 25.07R 3.79 Shrewsbury 16 17 -4 -4.47 22.53 -3.42 54.33 8.59 -9.66 0.03 0.12 2.32 0.64P 31.10R 5.58 Swindon 17 16 -6 -9.38 5.85 -9.04 58.11 8.40 -2.73 0.08 0.32 4.98 1.59P 16.54R 2.03 Blackpool 17 16 -10 -4.50 23.07 -5.81 50.35 8.25 -17.91 0.00 0.02 0.64 0.17P 50.18R 12.27 Fleetwood_Town 17 15 -6 -5.41 17.93 -1.57 50.88 8.09 -11.56 0.00 0.02 0.66 0.15P 45.71R 10.21 Barnsley 17 14 -9 -8.72 6.95 -7.90 51.59 8.35 -12.76 0.00 0.03 0.96 0.24P 42.91R 9.10 Crewe 17 13 -12 -3.67 26.03 -1.79 42.80 7.74 -27.54 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 82.54R 44.28League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 November 2015, Hartlepool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 17 38 +15 9.93 95.55 8.05 86.96 8.17 28.31 49.72 80.94 96.57 85.21P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 17 33 +13 6.60 86.56 8.37 79.57 8.34 23.13 15.63 49.53 83.40 58.05P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 17 31 +6 5.82 82.93 3.23 72.91 8.35 9.06 3.83 19.87 55.52 27.51P 0.02R 0.00 Portsmouth 17 29 +9 3.21 70.45 5.20 72.46 8.33 14.51 3.76 19.24 54.85 28.08P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 17 29 +7 6.25 84.94 8.04 69.21 8.49 7.40 1.76 10.60 38.81 16.15P 0.11R 0.02 Mansfield 17 26 +8 4.56 78.14 10.38 63.70 8.19 5.29 0.32 3.10 17.69 5.85P 0.54R 0.13 Leyton_Orient 17 26 +4 -4.44 23.32 -6.89 77.45 8.48 21.85 11.57 40.55 76.34 53.48P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 16 26 +3 4.54 78.19 3.45 67.00 8.65 3.26 1.06 7.13 29.33 11.89P 0.33R 0.07 AFC_Wimbledon 17 26 +1 3.70 73.48 2.56 64.11 8.30 -1.67 0.33 3.24 18.43 6.14P 0.64R 0.16 Carlisle 17 26 -1 3.57 72.26 0.86 62.06 8.46 -7.67 0.25 2.24 13.26 4.36P 1.13R 0.28 Luton 17 25 +8 -1.19 42.26 3.74 70.11 8.39 16.03 2.19 13.35 44.96 22.06P 0.06R 0.01 Wycombe 15 25 +7 0.66 54.47 1.44 73.29 8.78 15.64 5.35 23.18 58.31 32.99P 0.03R 0.01 Morecambe 16 23 +2 1.47 60.45 2.87 66.40 8.75 5.10 0.89 6.62 28.15 11.19P 0.47R 0.11 Exeter 17 23 -2 -0.10 49.90 -1.42 60.53 8.36 -5.66 0.16 1.41 9.97 3.24P 1.79R 0.48 Notts_County 16 22 -2 -2.49 34.29 -5.78 69.91 9.00 8.17 2.51 13.47 42.99 21.91P 0.17R 0.04 Crawley_Town 17 22 -5 -2.33 35.72 -6.50 65.18 8.72 0.11 0.61 4.89 23.09 9.75P 0.66R 0.17 Cambridge_Utd 17 20 -4 -0.59 46.94 0.29 54.90 8.24 -11.70 0.02 0.26 2.75 0.70P 7.24R 2.52 Barnet 17 20 -5 0.58 55.00 1.28 53.65 8.43 -14.84 0.01 0.19 2.30 0.60P 10.23R 3.87 Hartlepool 17 20 -7 0.93 57.56 -0.64 50.84 7.82 -20.26 0.00 0.03 0.69 0.15P 15.52R 6.03 Stevenage 17 15 -11 -7.63 10.14 -9.76 53.25 8.35 -13.67 0.01 0.14 1.86 0.53P 10.16R 3.84 Newport_County 17 14 -11 -5.52 17.21 -5.26 47.18 8.05 -21.06 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.05P 29.48R 14.26 York 17 12 -9 -8.92 5.93 -5.67 46.13 8.00 -17.12 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 32.82R 16.28 Yeovil 17 10 -12 -11.59 2.20 -9.39 45.41 8.45 -18.57 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.05P 37.49R 20.00 Dag_&_Red 16 9 -14 -9.56 4.00 -8.47 42.87 8.36 -25.64 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 51.09R 31.70National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barrow 4 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 21 43 +27 1.13 55.66 6.36 93.54 7.10 52.66 66.99 98.06 78.21P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 21 42 +15 5.52 79.44 3.11 84.43 7.44 27.67 12.77 78.97 28.17P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 20 37 +8 5.08 77.77 1.16 78.23 7.69 16.72 3.29 48.15 11.50P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 21 36 +23 -4.57 23.63 4.75 82.87 7.20 42.45 9.74 75.49 32.77P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 21 36 +9 4.77 76.30 5.31 73.69 7.28 14.12 0.72 25.34 5.63P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 21 36 +7 5.09 77.61 4.00 73.79 7.43 12.26 0.82 26.12 5.27P 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 20 35 +9 6.64 84.19 7.74 73.43 7.63 12.94 0.84 25.17 4.64P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 20 34 +14 1.21 57.18 5.79 75.37 7.64 22.55 1.58 35.74 8.85P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 21 33 +7 4.38 73.52 8.05 67.65 7.92 6.81 0.18 9.32 1.62P 0.08R 0.00 Macclesfield 21 32 +10 -0.79 45.43 4.12 70.88 7.46 16.93 0.33 16.79 3.90P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 20 31 -3 3.73 71.80 -2.37 68.20 7.71 -0.82 0.12 8.91 1.50P 0.04R 0.00 Tranmere 20 30 +9 -6.05 17.42 -4.14 77.44 7.59 26.71 2.59 47.15 17.05P 0.00 0.00 Chester 21 29 -4 4.55 75.95 3.20 59.66 7.23 -10.25 0.00 0.59 0.08P 1.12R 0.06 Aldershot 21 28 -5 0.73 55.10 -2.53 60.65 7.30 -7.60 0.01 0.95 0.15P 0.79R 0.04 Barrow 22 28 -14 6.00 81.86 0.16 52.07 7.12 -28.60 0.00 0.04 0.01P 10.47R 1.15 Guiseley 22 26 -14 3.28 69.58 -1.77 46.78 6.70 -34.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.34R 5.37 Woking 20 25 +2 -5.27 21.30 -2.26 63.37 7.73 5.76 0.02 3.16 0.64P 0.40R 0.02 Welling 21 23 -7 -0.80 46.03 0.53 51.43 7.00 -15.97 0.00 0.02 0.00P 10.74R 1.33 Altrincham 21 23 -14 1.85 62.84 -1.67 49.51 6.97 -26.82 0.00 0.01 0.00 17.90R 2.58 Boreham_Wood 21 20 -5 -3.67 30.08 2.66 48.18 7.30 -14.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.60R 3.98 Torquay 20 16 -18 -8.87 8.01 -13.40 48.81 7.54 -23.13 0.00 0.02 0.00 21.35R 3.94 Southport 19 15 -16 -3.24 29.73 -3.50 42.42 7.26 -31.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.94R 17.21 Kidderminster 21 14 -12 -11.76 3.26 -7.33 42.89 7.10 -20.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.88R 13.79 Halifax 20 10 -28 -12.05 2.16 -17.95 36.63 7.32 -44.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.34R 50.52