Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 15 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   26  +17       0.15    49.55     0.87    80.79     7.10    48.64    54.64    81.88    93.46    97.37    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   26  +13       3.17    73.99     3.32    77.68     7.19    38.77    31.52    67.46    86.34    93.78    98.53     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.21    95.20     4.73    56.80     7.69    -2.45     0.20     1.18     4.13    10.03    27.50     0.14R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.72    71.27     1.72    72.36     7.52    28.31    10.80    33.38    63.42    79.10    92.82     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       1.97    65.70     6.17    63.87     7.69    21.01     1.38     6.80    19.19    37.83    65.82     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.10    80.72     6.55    57.12     7.63     7.49     0.18     1.18     4.55    11.01    30.24     0.11R    0.01  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.09    50.52     0.77    59.89     7.59    12.15     0.46     2.63     8.24    18.69    44.43     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.15    86.56     5.83    52.58     7.39    -0.90     0.01     0.21     1.03     3.23    12.70     0.55R    0.03  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.10    51.26     3.40    59.60     7.70    14.39     0.35     2.15     7.72    18.54    43.68     0.06R    0.00  
Liverpool        12   17   -1      -1.01    41.80    -3.39    58.47     7.76     7.54     0.26     1.59     5.75    14.15    36.63     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.44    70.34     3.67    45.64     7.61   -10.57     0.01     0.03     0.14     0.55     2.85     5.74R    0.56  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.18    49.30    -1.70    48.24     7.28    -6.67     0.00     0.03     0.24     0.89     4.43     2.12R    0.13  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.50    55.53    -1.63    43.38     7.32   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.22     9.01R    0.94  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.10    34.11    -1.95    45.96     7.53    -8.43     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.48     2.79     4.79R    0.42  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.60    38.30    -1.80    38.11     7.49   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.31    27.53R    4.89  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.58     2.30   -13.15    58.28     7.57    11.40     0.19     1.46     5.67    14.13    36.41     0.12R    0.01  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -2.01    33.91    -1.24    36.99     7.26   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    31.84R    5.97  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.80    21.23    -4.35    30.51     7.16   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.41R   26.00  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -6.00     8.55    -6.05    28.81     6.76   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.23R   33.50  
Aston_Villa      12    5  -10      -6.28     6.43    -1.77    29.73     6.98   -27.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.20R   27.53  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.72    79.64     7.49    89.37     8.25    38.53    53.66    74.97    97.61    82.70P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.11    96.57     5.87    76.84     8.05    12.30     5.43    16.34    69.04    27.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.15    81.47     1.84    79.85     8.33    18.99    11.29    28.48    80.64    42.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   30  +12       2.34    65.96     3.50    80.51     8.22    25.47    12.40    32.03    84.02    48.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.07    63.60     2.05    80.83     8.34    25.63    14.06    34.10    84.55    49.29P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.08    85.61     6.91    69.27     8.32     7.60     0.92     3.75    34.07     9.31P    0.14R    0.01  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.20    65.70     3.32    67.12     8.17     7.04     0.47     2.13    25.22     6.99P    0.37R    0.01  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.80    62.60     5.45    64.78     8.27     5.88     0.27     1.20    17.93     4.50P    0.72R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.20    71.89     2.15    62.84     8.08    -1.46     0.10     0.55    11.45     2.53P    1.40R    0.07  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.49    53.86    -2.41    67.16     8.47     3.18     0.64     2.50    25.75     7.60P    0.44R    0.02  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.06    43.23    -2.26    64.08     8.49     1.03     0.22     1.05    15.85     4.14P    1.22R    0.09  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -0.94    44.35     2.93    59.42     8.61    -2.38     0.06     0.35     7.07     1.51P    4.56R    0.50  
QPR             16   20   -2      -3.56    27.45    -4.32    62.79     8.84     0.75     0.22     1.06    13.84     4.11P    2.08R    0.21  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.79    25.60    -2.47    64.12     8.43     5.16     0.21     1.00    16.41     4.79P    1.13R    0.09  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.31    48.62     0.48    56.03     8.02    -8.18     0.01     0.08     2.29     0.49P    8.07R    0.88  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.17    18.23    -0.57    59.82     8.28     3.03     0.03     0.25     6.90     1.81P    3.31R    0.31  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.07    30.02    -0.05    54.98     8.18    -5.21     0.01     0.04     2.08     0.46P    9.80R    1.13  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.77    25.68    -2.72    56.80     8.30    -5.67     0.01     0.09     3.44     0.77P    7.19R    0.76  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.84    31.32    -0.87    49.67     8.11   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P   27.77R    5.55  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -4.08    24.45    -4.76    50.78     8.52   -17.37     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.15P   24.64R    5.23  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.90    19.49    -4.56    49.28     8.46   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P   30.00R    6.38  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.67    19.40    -6.05    46.35     7.93   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   43.80R   10.85  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.72    10.23    -6.25    44.94     7.93   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   49.95R   14.82  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.80    13.00    -4.71    37.43     7.70   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.39R   53.07  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       17   34  +15       6.88    87.22     9.28    79.00     8.49    22.89    17.85    34.77    78.52    45.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry         17   34  +14       7.45    89.33     9.12    79.39     8.37    22.37    18.51    35.76    80.08    46.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall          16   32  +14       6.48    86.97     8.73    79.26     8.40    23.07    17.94    35.53    79.80    47.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      10.93    97.03     3.99    70.62     8.53    -0.27     3.22     8.15    39.59    13.76P    0.82R    0.02  
Wigan            17   30  +10      -0.15    48.48    -0.30    82.35     8.37    28.54    30.63    51.42    88.49    64.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             17   27   +2       5.25    80.61     4.82    64.98     8.63    -1.27     0.78     2.38    19.55     5.55P    4.44R    0.31  
Bradford         17   27   +1       3.27    71.17     0.25    66.54     8.12     0.96     0.93     2.95    23.13     7.46P    2.22R    0.09  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +4      -2.49    33.91    -2.21    69.55     8.34    11.12     2.52     6.84    37.65    15.49P    1.06R    0.03  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.27    58.66    -1.54    70.20     8.93     7.09     3.37     8.74    40.31    16.94P    1.29R    0.07  
Peterborough     17   24   +6      -2.15    36.41     1.66    69.83     8.48    15.06     2.69     7.53    39.83    16.14P    1.08R    0.05  
Southend         17   24   -1       3.41    71.90     2.74    60.16     8.20    -5.85     0.14     0.53     7.25     1.78P   11.63R    1.01  
Scunthorpe       17   23   +2       0.34    52.93     3.24    61.67     8.34     0.06     0.23     0.91    10.78     2.96P    8.05R    0.66  
Port_Vale        17   23   +1       0.47    53.94     2.17    61.25     8.17    -1.42     0.19     0.78     9.33     2.54P    8.56R    0.70  
Chesterfield     17   23   -2      -1.65    39.61    -3.96    64.22     8.43    -0.08     0.54     1.83    16.82     5.45P    5.00R    0.32  
Rochdale         17   21   +0      -2.42    34.95    -0.07    61.81     8.36     1.26     0.28     1.00    10.94     3.26P    8.09R    0.70  
Doncaster        17   20   -7      -1.91    37.52    -4.95    58.26     8.14    -9.03     0.06     0.25     4.63     1.20P   16.20R    1.83  
Colchester       17   20  -11       1.15    58.75    -2.91    53.15     8.24   -22.80     0.01     0.04     1.35     0.27P   38.09R    7.53  
Oldham           17   19   -5      -1.32    42.06    -0.43    55.46     8.12    -9.98     0.02     0.10     2.18     0.52P   25.66R    3.93  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.52    22.21    -3.48    54.51     8.58    -9.37     0.03     0.13     2.45     0.67P   30.17R    5.26  
Swindon          17   16   -6      -9.43     5.88    -9.10    58.01     8.41    -2.90     0.06     0.31     5.06     1.63P   16.96R    2.07  
Blackpool        17   16  -10      -4.58    22.63    -5.95    50.55     8.20   -17.61     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.13P   49.27R   11.39  
Fleetwood_Town   17   15   -6      -5.33    18.06    -1.48    50.82     8.14   -11.70     0.00     0.03     0.71     0.17P   46.41R   10.56  
Barnsley         17   14   -9      -8.73     6.91    -7.92    51.64     8.23   -12.66     0.01     0.03     0.92     0.26P   42.46R    8.92  
Crewe            17   13  -12      -3.62    26.75    -1.73    42.83     7.82   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   82.41R   44.55  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 November 2015, Hartlepool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             17   38  +15       9.99    95.61     8.13    86.86     8.19    28.24    49.39    80.93    96.47    85.21P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   33  +13       6.56    86.25     8.37    79.69     8.25    23.25    16.17    50.33    84.24    58.97P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          17   31   +6       5.89    83.08     3.32    72.78     8.53     8.91     4.20    19.82    55.24    27.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Portsmouth           17   29   +9       3.27    70.65     5.32    72.31     8.27    14.30     3.57    18.75    54.19    27.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   29   +7       6.27    84.79     8.05    69.20     8.51     7.42     1.77    10.94    39.08    16.51P    0.12R    0.02  
Mansfield            17   26   +8       4.40    77.48    10.17    63.89     8.20     5.60     0.36     3.18    18.58     6.11P    0.49R    0.11  
Leyton_Orient        17   26   +4      -4.30    24.00    -6.66    77.25     8.52    21.49    11.18    39.76    75.53    52.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   26   +3       4.49    77.99     3.42    67.01     8.64     3.25     1.05     7.18    29.68    12.14P    0.34R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   26   +1       3.78    73.58     2.69    63.94     8.31    -1.89     0.34     3.19    18.19     6.07P    0.70R    0.20  
Carlisle             17   26   -1       3.58    72.27     0.84    62.10     8.48    -7.61     0.27     2.35    13.56     4.30P    1.25R    0.36  
Luton                17   25   +8      -1.30    41.58     3.55    70.26     8.46    16.23     2.38    14.13    45.73    22.83P    0.07R    0.02  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.75    55.14     1.53    73.08     8.68    15.28     5.06    22.56    57.41    32.36P    0.03R    0.01  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.48    60.12     2.87    66.33     8.79     4.98     0.97     6.54    28.15    11.20P    0.52R    0.13  
Exeter               17   23   -2      -0.10    49.81    -1.44    60.55     8.34    -5.64     0.16     1.40     9.86     3.11P    1.75R    0.47  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.44    34.13    -5.72    69.86     8.94     8.09     2.48    13.54    42.61    21.76P    0.18R    0.03  
Crawley_Town         17   22   -5      -2.27    36.00    -6.40    65.17     8.68     0.04     0.63     4.80    23.13     9.71P    0.61R    0.19  
Cambridge_Utd        17   20   -4      -0.71    46.19     0.11    55.09     8.19   -11.41     0.01     0.24     2.76     0.71P    6.94R    2.52  
Barnet               17   20   -5       0.55    54.80     1.21    53.78     8.40   -14.69     0.01     0.19     2.28     0.55P   10.04R    3.81  
Hartlepool           17   20   -7       0.98    57.73    -0.55    50.68     7.80   -20.42     0.00     0.03     0.70     0.15P   16.13R    6.36  
Stevenage            17   15  -11      -7.62    10.01    -9.75    53.26     8.36   -13.60     0.01     0.12     1.88     0.54P   10.33R    3.93  
Newport_County       17   14  -11      -5.57    17.14    -5.31    47.25     8.08   -20.95     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.06P   29.80R   14.31  
York                 17   12   -9      -9.04     5.65    -5.82    46.33     8.08   -16.84     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   32.52R   16.22  
Yeovil               17   10  -12     -11.74     2.02    -9.61    45.65     8.36   -18.21     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   36.44R   19.33  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.47     4.02    -8.32    42.79     8.32   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   51.68R   31.92  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barrow 4 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       21   43  +27       1.03    55.29     6.26    93.57     7.07    52.71    67.24    98.13    78.18P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   42  +15       5.45    79.23     2.95    84.63     7.37    27.99    12.97    79.88    28.73P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        20   37   +8       5.18    78.09     1.29    78.11     7.78    16.47     3.23    47.99    11.48P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          21   36  +23      -4.53    23.78     4.78    82.84     7.14    42.42     9.56    75.80    33.10P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       4.79    76.51     5.34    73.62     7.29    14.03     0.77    25.15     5.46P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   21   36   +7       5.19    78.14     4.12    73.69     7.48    12.10     0.83    25.56     5.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     20   35   +9       6.73    84.74     7.84    73.38     7.66    12.86     0.85    25.04     4.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          20   34  +14       1.28    57.72     5.89    75.25     7.61    22.34     1.43    35.17     8.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          21   33   +7       4.43    73.65     8.06    67.75     7.91     6.97     0.20     9.54     1.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Macclesfield     21   32  +10      -0.94    44.47     3.89    71.05     7.33    17.21     0.29    16.70     3.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        20   31   -3       3.69    71.57    -2.41    68.29     7.72    -0.72     0.15     9.25     1.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere         20   30   +9      -5.93    17.80    -3.96    77.37     7.57    26.63     2.44    46.79    16.73P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          21   29   -4       4.55    75.98     3.22    59.65     7.30   -10.23     0.00     0.78     0.09P    1.16R    0.03  
Aldershot        21   28   -5       0.82    55.44    -2.38    60.58     7.34    -7.75     0.01     0.97     0.16P    0.72R    0.03  
Barrow           22   28  -14       5.88    81.69    -0.01    52.13     7.15   -28.45     0.00     0.04     0.00P   10.25R    1.13  
Guiseley         22   26  -14       3.41    70.23    -1.53    46.70     6.69   -34.29     0.00     0.00     0.00P   30.55R    5.42  
Woking           20   25   +2      -5.19    21.68    -2.16    63.26     7.73     5.60     0.02     3.15     0.64P    0.40R    0.02  
Welling          21   23   -7      -1.01    44.58     0.20    51.66     7.08   -15.60     0.00     0.03     0.00P   10.44R    1.21  
Altrincham       21   23  -14       1.81    62.18    -1.77    49.53     6.98   -26.76     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.60R    2.63  
Boreham_Wood     21   20   -5      -3.77    29.56     2.58    48.23     7.34   -14.09     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.45R    4.07  
Torquay          20   16  -18      -8.79     8.38   -13.27    48.76     7.56   -23.24     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.49R    4.18  
Southport        19   15  -16      -3.24    29.83    -3.53    42.36     7.29   -31.23     0.00     0.00     0.00P   54.52R   17.03  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.77     3.12    -7.34    42.95     7.12   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.58R   13.88  
Halifax          20   10  -28     -12.11     2.20   -18.07    36.64     7.29   -44.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.68R   50.38