Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 14 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   26  +17       0.14    49.66     0.82    80.84     7.13    48.81    54.40    82.03    93.54    97.25    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   26  +13       3.13    73.57     3.29    77.74     7.24    38.89    31.79    67.48    86.63    93.93    98.62     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.14    95.07     4.60    56.97     7.56    -2.20     0.16     1.08     4.03    10.20    27.91     0.11R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.71    71.16     1.68    72.39     7.49    28.34    10.80    33.58    63.87    79.45    93.05     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       1.98    65.59     6.18    63.85     7.75    21.06     1.41     6.72    19.34    38.20    65.95     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.09    80.61     6.54    57.09     7.58     7.48     0.17     1.15     4.30    10.96    30.30     0.09R    0.00  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.07    50.35     0.74    59.96     7.56    12.22     0.48     2.68     8.33    18.99    44.86     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.05    86.25     5.70    52.65     7.41    -0.75     0.03     0.22     1.02     3.41    12.92     0.54R    0.01  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.13    51.43     3.43    59.52     7.71    14.32     0.36     2.20     7.75    18.51    43.62     0.06R    0.00  
Liverpool        12   17   -1      -0.94    42.48    -3.27    58.15     7.76     7.06     0.24     1.49     5.36    13.45    35.30     0.12R    0.00  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.41    70.07     3.64    45.72     7.65   -10.40     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.60     2.91     5.73R    0.49  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.19    49.23    -1.71    48.23     7.26    -6.68     0.00     0.04     0.20     0.86     4.60     2.00R    0.11  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.50    55.63    -1.64    43.35     7.31   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.14     9.01R    0.96  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.11    33.54    -2.01    46.18     7.49    -8.09     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.50     2.91     4.41R    0.30  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.58    38.16    -1.75    38.10     7.45   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.30    27.33R    4.74  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.41     2.46   -12.88    58.01     7.61    10.87     0.15     1.26     5.24    13.44    35.98     0.11R    0.00  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -2.04    33.95    -1.33    37.15     7.30   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    31.36R    5.81  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.80    20.98    -4.34    30.50     7.15   -36.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    69.72R   25.81  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -5.98     8.67    -5.97    28.69     6.74   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.78R   34.00  
Aston_Villa      12    5  -10      -6.22     6.58    -1.73    29.67     6.94   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.58R   27.76  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.80    80.36     7.58    89.24     8.22    38.31    53.67    74.74    97.71    82.67P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.12    96.60     5.87    76.78     8.14    12.22     5.41    16.63    68.41    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.16    81.28     1.87    79.82     8.38    18.93    11.31    28.27    80.57    42.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   30  +12       2.34    66.21     3.48    80.51     8.15    25.54    12.31    32.29    84.10    48.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.16    64.57     2.16    80.84     8.27    25.62    14.10    33.89    84.37    49.14P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.05    85.48     6.86    69.36     8.30     7.75     0.94     3.92    34.37     9.44P    0.18R    0.00  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.26    65.76     3.43    67.00     8.15     6.90     0.41     2.04    24.85     6.81P    0.29R    0.01  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.79    62.81     5.46    64.77     8.23     5.87     0.29     1.13    17.62     4.38P    0.80R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.17    71.65     2.11    62.87     8.11    -1.47     0.12     0.58    11.71     2.45P    1.38R    0.09  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.45    53.30    -2.50    67.29     8.47     3.39     0.62     2.49    26.14     7.65P    0.47R    0.03  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.12    43.20    -2.33    64.21     8.46     1.20     0.21     1.15    15.98     4.43P    1.22R    0.08  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -1.00    43.69     2.81    59.40     8.54    -2.36     0.05     0.30     6.79     1.37P    4.49R    0.45  
QPR             16   20   -2      -3.55    27.35    -4.34    62.86     8.79     0.81     0.21     0.97    14.02     3.95P    2.01R    0.17  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.92    24.95    -2.63    64.27     8.39     5.40     0.25     1.09    16.68     4.87P    0.99R    0.07  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.31    48.60     0.52    55.97     8.04    -8.26     0.01     0.06     2.37     0.47P    8.19R    1.03  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.25    17.77    -0.69    60.03     8.23     3.26     0.05     0.28     7.08     1.83P    3.16R    0.31  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.09    29.53    -0.08    54.96     8.21    -5.25     0.01     0.05     2.09     0.50P    9.89R    1.14  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.82    25.09    -2.76    56.75     8.29    -5.77     0.01     0.10     3.30     0.74P    7.19R    0.81  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.71    31.81    -0.72    49.51     8.12   -16.62     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.06P   27.95R    5.65  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -3.93    25.28    -4.58    50.55     8.48   -17.74     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.15P   25.51R    5.32  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.96    19.14    -4.66    49.42     8.53   -17.45     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.11P   29.63R    6.27  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.60    19.86    -5.92    46.27     7.91   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   43.92R   11.07  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.80    10.13    -6.37    45.07     7.95   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   49.27R   14.39  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.72    13.38    -4.57    37.39     7.69   -35.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   83.46R   53.07  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       17   34  +15       6.84    86.98     9.18    79.10     8.46    23.03    18.19    35.30    78.85    45.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry         17   34  +14       7.47    89.12     9.19    79.30     8.39    22.30    18.51    35.71    79.68    46.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Walsall          16   32  +14       6.52    87.22     8.77    79.24     8.46    23.06    18.16    35.50    79.66    47.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      10.90    96.92     3.97    70.71     8.59    -0.12     3.43     8.64    40.07    14.27P    0.90R    0.02  
Wigan            17   30  +10      -0.09    48.73    -0.19    82.12     8.35    28.27    29.66    50.11    88.27    63.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             17   27   +2       5.38    81.23     4.98    64.81     8.62    -1.55     0.85     2.48    18.85     5.58P    4.74R    0.24  
Bradford         17   27   +1       3.24    70.97     0.19    66.55     8.07     0.94     0.89     2.92    23.01     7.37P    2.19R    0.07  
Sheff_Utd        17   25   +4      -2.68    32.93    -2.51    69.92     8.31    11.68     2.74     7.46    39.00    16.77P    0.94R    0.04  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.39    59.26    -1.36    69.94     8.89     6.72     3.32     8.46    38.99    16.03P    1.39R    0.07  
Peterborough     17   24   +6      -2.13    36.39     1.69    69.82     8.50    15.01     2.61     7.53    39.64    16.06P    1.15R    0.05  
Southend         17   24   -1       3.34    71.86     2.63    60.26     8.28    -5.70     0.16     0.56     7.65     1.92P   11.29R    0.90  
Scunthorpe       17   23   +2       0.32    52.63     3.19    61.75     8.38     0.18     0.23     0.96    11.12     3.09P    8.14R    0.63  
Port_Vale        17   23   +1       0.56    54.45     2.27    61.17     8.16    -1.49     0.19     0.72     9.39     2.55P    8.61R    0.68  
Chesterfield     17   23   -2      -1.64    39.38    -3.93    64.21     8.35    -0.09     0.53     1.69    16.51     5.18P    4.79R    0.29  
Rochdale         17   21   +0      -2.52    34.44    -0.21    61.96     8.34     1.45     0.30     1.01    11.38     3.48P    7.71R    0.68  
Doncaster        17   20   -7      -1.98    37.35    -5.07    58.34     8.20    -8.89     0.06     0.28     4.73     1.31P   16.21R    1.78  
Colchester       17   20  -11       1.06    58.26    -3.08    53.28     8.22   -22.54     0.01     0.05     1.36     0.27P   37.25R    7.14  
Oldham           17   19   -5      -1.33    41.95    -0.46    55.56     8.14    -9.83     0.02     0.09     2.37     0.50P   25.33R    3.76  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.42    22.52    -3.33    54.26     8.54    -9.74     0.04     0.15     2.30     0.69P   31.31R    5.11  
Swindon          17   16   -6      -9.45     5.88    -9.14    58.11     8.36    -2.75     0.08     0.30     4.99     1.57P   16.47R    1.99  
Blackpool        17   16  -10      -4.53    22.88    -5.82    50.44     8.18   -17.84     0.00     0.02     0.56     0.14P   49.44R   11.81  
Fleetwood_Town   17   15   -6      -5.26    18.47    -1.34    50.69     8.11   -11.89     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.15P   46.92R   10.70  
Barnsley         17   14   -9      -8.77     6.69    -7.97    51.75     8.30   -12.51     0.00     0.04     0.94     0.27P   42.06R    9.00  
Crewe            17   13  -12      -3.55    27.10    -1.63    42.70     7.72   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   83.07R   45.04  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Accrington_Stanley 2 2 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             17   38  +15       9.97    95.42     8.12    86.87     8.19    28.22    44.64    78.63    96.44    83.52P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           17   33  +13       6.59    86.43     8.40    79.82     8.29    23.44    14.75    48.24    83.52    57.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          17   31   +6       5.88    83.29     3.32    72.85     8.43     8.97     3.51    17.98    54.16    25.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   29   +7       6.38    85.49     8.22    69.17     8.49     7.33     1.52     9.45    37.67    14.89P    0.09R    0.01  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.73    73.71     5.46    73.20     8.56    15.02     4.08    20.35    57.08    29.19P    0.04R    0.01  
Mansfield            17   26   +8       4.42    77.65    10.21    63.74     8.20     5.36     0.26     2.68    17.21     5.46P    0.45R    0.10  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.15    29.30    -5.12    80.87     8.69    26.99    19.79    54.18    85.44    65.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   26   +3       4.52    78.27     3.45    67.05     8.67     3.26     0.90     6.53    28.84    11.37P    0.31R    0.09  
Carlisle             17   26   -1       3.50    71.95     0.76    62.14     8.41    -7.57     0.19     1.93    12.83     3.98P    0.96R    0.25  
Luton                17   25   +8      -1.27    41.70     3.60    70.19     8.38    16.13     1.90    12.19    43.92    21.08P    0.07R    0.02  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.65    54.51     1.42    73.35     8.72    15.71     4.62    21.57    57.60    31.65P    0.03R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.90    75.03     2.43    63.90     8.55    -2.66     0.39     3.01    17.78     5.88P    0.68R    0.19  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.44    60.05     2.80    66.39     8.76     5.09     0.80     5.78    27.26    10.50P    0.41R    0.12  
Exeter               17   23   -2      -0.10    49.92    -1.46    60.60     8.29    -5.58     0.12     1.23     9.43     2.89P    1.39R    0.35  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.29    35.28    -5.47    69.67     8.94     7.76     1.94    11.66    41.04    20.01P    0.16R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         17   22   -5      -2.24    36.28    -6.41    65.03     8.74    -0.12     0.52     4.01    22.08     8.86P    0.65R    0.17  
Cambridge_Utd        17   20   -4      -0.68    46.41     0.25    55.02     8.24   -11.56     0.03     0.20     2.70     0.72P    6.16R    2.23  
Barnet               17   20   -5       0.47    54.23     1.11    53.79     8.44   -14.65     0.01     0.20     2.13     0.55P    9.07R    3.32  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.51    47.63    -2.39    47.21     7.93   -25.29     0.00     0.02     0.26     0.06P   28.17R   12.86  
Stevenage            17   15  -11      -7.65    10.09    -9.83    53.31     8.41   -13.48     0.02     0.13     1.91     0.57P    9.14R    3.47  
Newport_County       17   14  -11      -5.49    17.35    -5.18    47.12     8.08   -21.12     0.00     0.02     0.25     0.07P   28.37R   13.71  
York                 17   12   -9      -9.07     5.67    -5.83    46.20     8.07   -17.07     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   30.62R   15.07  
Yeovil               17   10  -12     -11.78     2.08    -9.63    45.67     8.44   -18.25     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.06P   34.07R   17.77  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.44     4.38    -8.24    42.73     8.34   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   49.13R   30.23  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 November 2015, Barrow 4 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       21   43  +27       1.18    56.11     6.48    93.51     7.09    52.58    67.06    97.98    78.23P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     21   42  +15       5.58    79.54     3.19    84.42     7.46    27.60    12.93    78.79    28.46P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        20   37   +8       5.15    78.13     1.25    78.14     7.74    16.50     3.24    48.03    11.47P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          21   36  +23      -4.64    23.44     4.61    82.97     7.17    42.63     9.80    76.48    33.46P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   36   +9       4.94    77.24     5.55    73.49     7.30    13.85     0.68    24.79     5.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   21   36   +7       5.18    77.92     4.17    73.68     7.43    12.07     0.77    25.80     5.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     20   35   +9       6.64    84.50     7.69    73.51     7.57    13.00     0.81    25.63     4.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          20   34  +14       1.29    57.47     5.92    75.19     7.66    22.27     1.45    35.11     8.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          21   33   +7       4.37    73.27     7.98    67.79     7.84     7.03     0.21     9.36     1.65P    0.06R    0.00  
Macclesfield     21   32  +10      -0.84    45.14     4.02    71.07     7.41    17.19     0.34    17.18     3.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        20   31   -3       3.68    71.58    -2.44    68.30     7.69    -0.73     0.14     9.17     1.59P    0.05R    0.00  
Tranmere         20   30   +9      -5.94    18.00    -3.97    77.32     7.62    26.58     2.54    46.75    16.79P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          21   29   -4       4.36    75.16     2.90    59.75     7.29   -10.13     0.00     0.72     0.09P    1.08R    0.04  
Aldershot        21   28   -5       0.88    55.70    -2.28    60.48     7.33    -7.89     0.01     0.93     0.13P    0.83R    0.05  
Barrow           22   28  -14       5.90    81.46     0.03    52.15     7.12   -28.47     0.00     0.03     0.00P   10.56R    1.17  
Guiseley         22   26  -14       3.25    69.20    -1.85    46.79     6.79   -33.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.30R    5.25  
Woking           20   25   +2      -5.22    21.68    -2.16    63.31     7.71     5.70     0.03     3.20     0.70P    0.34R    0.01  
Welling          21   23   -7      -0.80    46.33     0.52    51.42     7.05   -15.95     0.00     0.02     0.00P   10.99R    1.30  
Altrincham       21   23  -14       1.82    62.67    -1.75    49.53     6.99   -26.77     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.81R    2.57  
Boreham_Wood     21   20   -5      -3.90    28.88     2.34    48.39     7.37   -13.77     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.96R    4.01  
Torquay          20   16  -18      -8.82     8.42   -13.33    48.82     7.47   -23.11     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.22R    3.70  
Southport        19   15  -16      -3.22    29.82    -3.55    42.40     7.27   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.23R   17.00  
Kidderminster    21   14  -12     -11.82     3.20    -7.40    43.01     7.13   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.35R   13.57  
Halifax          20   10  -28     -12.06     2.25   -17.91    36.53     7.28   -44.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.20R   51.31