Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 13 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   26  +17       0.22    50.43     1.01    80.73     7.05    48.51    54.24    81.85    93.35    97.29    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   26  +13       3.13    73.46     3.25    77.64     7.25    38.83    32.04    67.16    86.23    93.71    98.52     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.25    95.21     4.77    56.80     7.63    -2.42     0.19     1.16     4.06     9.93    27.33     0.13R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.73    71.46     1.74    72.41     7.49    28.29    10.62    33.93    63.83    79.40    92.95     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       1.99    65.94     6.25    63.72     7.69    20.78     1.37     6.59    18.83    37.20    64.95     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.15    80.85     6.62    57.06     7.66     7.48     0.15     1.12     4.49    11.06    30.14     0.10R    0.00  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.09    50.30     0.77    59.91     7.56    12.17     0.49     2.54     8.26    18.90    44.61     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.08    86.31     5.73    52.73     7.46    -0.67     0.03     0.19     1.10     3.55    13.20     0.50R    0.02  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.09    51.05     3.39    59.61     7.67    14.36     0.34     2.20     7.77    18.56    43.78     0.08R    0.00  
Liverpool        12   17   -1      -1.05    41.50    -3.43    58.48     7.81     7.57     0.32     1.70     5.87    14.32    36.57     0.12R    0.01  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.42    70.31     3.63    45.77     7.65   -10.37     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.61     3.05     5.62R    0.49  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.18    49.11    -1.71    48.26     7.35    -6.63     0.01     0.06     0.26     0.93     4.73     2.10R    0.12  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.52    55.52    -1.61    43.18     7.21   -15.99     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     0.95     9.35R    1.04  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.16    33.23    -2.08    46.10     7.48    -8.16     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.47     2.86     4.48R    0.36  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.67    37.42    -1.93    38.25     7.49   -23.34     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.05     0.35    27.00R    4.76  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.50     2.37   -13.03    58.18     7.61    11.19     0.19     1.45     5.61    13.86    36.38     0.10R    0.00  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -1.94    34.41    -1.18    36.97     7.19   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    31.83R    5.83  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.82    20.83    -4.36    30.57     7.21   -36.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    69.61R   25.58  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -5.96     8.84    -5.97    28.64     6.82   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.09R   34.61  
Aston_Villa      12    5  -10      -6.27     6.73    -1.84    29.76     6.98   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.85R   27.18  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.78    79.81     7.54    89.25     8.25    38.29    53.04    74.65    97.67    82.54P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.20    96.71     6.00    76.61     8.11    11.97     5.17    15.57    67.94    26.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.04    80.69     1.71    80.02     8.44    19.21    11.75    29.22    80.98    43.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   30  +12       2.31    65.73     3.46    80.52     8.27    25.50    12.61    32.40    83.56    48.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.10    64.18     2.08    80.91     8.35    25.70    14.20    33.96    84.48    49.52P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.04    85.56     6.85    69.33     8.30     7.71     0.95     3.89    34.10     9.55P    0.19R    0.01  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.20    65.22     3.33    67.15     8.17     7.04     0.52     2.17    25.38     6.89P    0.38R    0.02  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.79    62.61     5.44    64.70     8.25     5.82     0.26     1.07    17.58     4.18P    0.76R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.20    72.00     2.16    62.82     8.10    -1.52     0.11     0.55    11.54     2.46P    1.42R    0.06  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.43    53.11    -2.54    67.24     8.51     3.30     0.65     2.58    26.10     7.71P    0.48R    0.03  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.03    43.28    -2.21    64.07     8.48     1.04     0.22     1.03    15.87     4.27P    1.30R    0.08  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -1.02    43.51     2.77    59.54     8.62    -2.18     0.07     0.34     7.26     1.59P    4.44R    0.42  
QPR             16   20   -2      -3.59    27.21    -4.38    62.83     8.75     0.82     0.17     0.99    13.88     4.10P    2.05R    0.14  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.85    25.19    -2.53    64.26     8.43     5.36     0.22     1.11    16.95     5.02P    1.05R    0.09  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.32    48.85     0.48    56.08     8.06    -8.15     0.01     0.06     2.45     0.49P    7.78R    0.86  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.12    18.45    -0.48    59.81     8.25     3.02     0.04     0.27     6.93     1.77P    3.31R    0.30  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.13    29.29    -0.15    55.01     8.26    -5.16     0.00     0.05     2.24     0.50P    9.97R    1.25  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.70    25.93    -2.62    56.61     8.25    -5.93     0.01     0.08     3.17     0.73P    7.29R    0.82  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.82    31.33    -0.80    49.59     8.13   -16.53     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.11P   27.91R    5.83  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -4.14    24.35    -4.83    50.86     8.47   -17.27     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.15P   24.43R    4.94  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.97    19.09    -4.63    49.42     8.56   -17.49     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.11P   29.70R    6.33  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.50    20.48    -5.81    46.23     7.91   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   44.39R   11.06  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.75    10.23    -6.31    45.10     7.94   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   49.22R   14.03  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.68    13.64    -4.52    37.29     7.69   -36.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.91R   53.67  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.45    86.94     8.70    79.46     8.38    23.36    21.75    39.86    80.98    50.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      10.98    97.05     4.03    70.73     8.52    -0.07     4.07     9.90    40.79    15.51P    0.86R    0.03  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       6.04    84.81     8.53    77.41     8.76    20.94    16.65    31.77    72.74    41.38P    0.09R    0.00  
Coventry         16   31  +12       6.56    86.97     8.26    77.31     8.63    19.70    15.61    30.24    72.28    40.47P    0.09R    0.00  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.20    41.33    -1.42    80.00     8.66    25.53    25.27    43.70    82.21    57.20P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.98    84.46     5.70    66.26     8.84     0.48     1.57     4.40    24.70     8.26P    3.74R    0.26  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.36    59.21    -1.40    70.05     8.88     6.79     4.02     9.59    40.10    17.56P    1.51R    0.07  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.81    37.83    -1.77    70.79     8.53    12.36     4.30    10.55    43.77    20.00P    0.86R    0.02  
Bradford         16   24   -1       2.41    66.68    -0.68    64.93     8.27    -1.04     0.76     2.40    18.65     5.98P    4.10R    0.27  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.29    59.12     3.60    63.08     8.53     1.06     0.63     1.82    14.85     4.50P    6.49R    0.60  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.24    48.70    -2.93    66.87     8.56     2.86     1.44     4.29    26.57     9.65P    2.82R    0.19  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.54    73.80     2.35    59.55     8.45    -7.20     0.20     0.64     7.11     1.92P   14.03R    1.62  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.33    28.52     1.35    68.52     8.62    14.54     2.47     6.85    34.89    14.41P    1.82R    0.13  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.62    39.44     1.06    63.59     8.58     3.92     0.79     2.27    16.37     5.65P    6.00R    0.60  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -1.07    43.46     1.24    58.82     8.40    -3.62     0.14     0.55     6.24     1.67P   15.32R    1.91  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.72    62.82    -2.31    55.23     8.51   -19.62     0.07     0.19     2.76     0.63P   29.61R    5.61  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.33    23.17    -3.22    54.30     8.51    -9.67     0.06     0.17     2.41     0.74P   31.68R    5.90  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.26    28.43    -6.48    55.63     8.37   -12.41     0.06     0.19     2.82     0.75P   26.40R    4.79  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -2.93    31.16    -1.41    52.78     8.31   -12.56     0.02     0.07     1.33     0.31P   38.47R    8.50  
Blackpool        16   16   -8      -3.63    26.91    -4.55    53.11     8.51   -13.87     0.03     0.10     1.61     0.49P   37.62R    8.30  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.42    21.75    -1.24    51.54     8.29   -11.70     0.02     0.06     0.96     0.25P   43.93R   10.71  
Barnsley         16   14   -8      -7.50     9.57    -7.12    53.79     8.57   -10.43     0.02     0.11     1.95     0.54P   33.86R    7.13  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.61     3.04    -9.39    56.35     8.60    -3.98     0.06     0.28     3.82     1.28P   23.14R    3.92  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -3.07    29.39    -0.92    44.26     8.00   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   77.47R   39.43  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.84    94.15     7.81    85.43     8.32    27.45    40.77    74.72    94.78    80.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.49    82.59     8.17    78.34     8.52    22.69    13.32    43.32    78.78    52.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.73    73.67     5.47    73.13     8.49    14.91     4.60    21.34    57.08    30.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.84    87.95     8.37    69.96     8.74     8.03     2.31    12.48    42.33    18.35P    0.13R    0.03  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.63    78.41     2.92    71.18     8.66     7.82     2.91    15.36    47.47    22.39P    0.07R    0.02  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.55    83.58    10.90    65.18     8.42     6.37     0.67     4.66    22.94     8.09P    0.38R    0.11  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.32    28.21    -5.35    81.05     8.71    27.26    22.86    56.83    86.20    67.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.24    76.42     1.74    64.44     8.72    -4.13     0.55     4.15    20.37     7.32P    0.62R    0.17  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.78    55.37     1.59    73.31     8.69    15.60     5.03    22.27    58.05    32.45P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.91    75.03     2.42    64.03     8.59    -2.51     0.53     3.66    18.47     6.64P    0.72R    0.20  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.46    60.13     2.87    66.18     8.82     4.74     0.92     6.17    27.27    10.99P    0.48R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.48    73.52     2.32    64.45     9.00    -0.14     0.66     4.36    21.04     7.91P    0.88R    0.25  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.18    35.60     2.73    68.29     8.62    13.73     1.46     9.44    36.30    16.64P    0.18R    0.04  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.23    52.16    -1.44    60.88     8.63    -5.69     0.21     1.75    11.22     3.74P    1.69R    0.52  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.44    34.40    -5.71    69.84     8.95     8.05     2.33    12.83    41.92    21.36P    0.16R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.82    38.62    -6.29    65.56     8.92     0.11     0.76     5.48    24.34    10.40P    0.68R    0.17  
Barnet               16   20   -3       1.18    58.92     2.08    55.35     8.72   -12.40     0.04     0.43     3.78     1.08P    7.51R    2.81  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.27    52.58     0.61    56.06     8.45   -11.19     0.05     0.45     3.82     1.11P    5.80R    2.04  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.54    47.61    -2.46    47.19     7.87   -25.40     0.00     0.02     0.23     0.05P   29.12R   13.43  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.20    10.53    -9.70    53.81     8.70   -13.32     0.01     0.22     2.53     0.81P    9.83R    3.75  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.31    17.50    -5.51    46.99     8.28   -21.84     0.00     0.02     0.31     0.08P   30.50R   14.78  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.21     7.05    -5.60    47.53     8.25   -16.01     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.09P   26.50R   12.48  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.38     2.08    -9.65    45.94     8.70   -18.34     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.09P   34.75R   18.51  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.44     4.02    -8.28    42.82     8.33   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   49.95R   30.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 November 2015, Aldershot 1 2 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       20   40  +23       1.07    55.64     5.05    91.75     7.38    48.10    61.98    96.71    74.12P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     20   39  +13       4.66    76.11     2.32    82.61     7.65    25.25    11.69    73.09    26.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   20   36   +9       5.76    80.91     4.89    75.14     7.63    14.23     2.15    35.65     8.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh        19   34   +5       4.65    76.52     0.05    76.06     7.94    12.74     2.93    40.32     9.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          20   33  +21      -5.20    20.32     4.32    81.61     7.35    40.84    10.34    72.23    32.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          20   33   +9       5.24    77.78     9.01    70.96     8.08    12.06     0.81    20.36     3.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   20   33   +6       4.33    75.30     3.95    71.05     7.46     9.78     0.48    17.61     3.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     19   32   +8       5.23    79.57     7.02    70.62     7.82    10.10     0.61    17.90     3.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       1.03    56.39     4.06    72.70     7.84    16.93     1.16    26.10     6.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.88    73.18    -0.39    70.52     7.84     4.69     0.59    16.93     3.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.81    21.87    -3.40    79.56     7.88    28.85     6.84    60.86    24.60P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     20   29   +7      -1.69    39.79     2.15    68.25     7.53    12.44     0.21    10.93     2.46P    0.05R    0.00  
Aldershot        20   28   -3       1.72    60.98    -1.12    62.36     7.52    -5.05     0.02     2.15     0.34P    0.56R    0.03  
Chester          20   28   -4       4.70    77.11     2.98    60.01     7.47   -10.33     0.01     1.11     0.14P    1.14R    0.08  
Guiseley         21   26  -11       3.33    70.13    -1.17    48.46     7.02   -30.18     0.00     0.01     0.01P   22.22R    3.80  
Woking           19   25   +5      -4.56    23.82    -0.30    66.17     7.89    11.06     0.18     7.87     1.77P    0.18R    0.01  
Barrow           21   25  -18       5.64    81.77    -1.63    48.32     7.15   -36.20     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.09R    4.53  
Welling          20   23   -5      -0.52    47.69     0.68    52.46     7.22   -14.34     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.71R    1.08  
Altrincham       20   20  -16       0.45    54.40    -3.49    46.26     7.11   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.98R    7.56  
Boreham_Wood     20   19   -5      -3.29    31.37     2.85    49.03     7.56   -13.54     0.00     0.01     0.00P   19.75R    3.94  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.24     9.29   -10.72    51.87     7.77   -16.30     0.00     0.08     0.03P   11.76R    2.04  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.23    29.36    -2.00    43.86     7.45   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00P   45.15R   13.80  
Kidderminster    20   11  -14     -12.93     1.53    -8.61    40.87     7.27   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.00R   23.27  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.34     2.56   -16.49    38.52     7.53   -39.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.31R   39.86