Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 13 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 12 26 +17 0.22 50.43 1.01 80.73 7.05 48.51 54.24 81.85 93.35 97.29 99.46 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 26 +13 3.13 73.46 3.25 77.64 7.25 38.83 32.04 67.16 86.23 93.71 98.52 0.00 0.00 Leicester 12 25 +5 8.25 95.21 4.77 56.80 7.63 -2.42 0.19 1.16 4.06 9.93 27.33 0.13R 0.00 Man_Utd 12 24 +9 2.73 71.46 1.74 72.41 7.49 28.29 10.62 33.93 63.83 79.40 92.95 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 12 21 +10 1.99 65.94 6.25 63.72 7.69 20.78 1.37 6.59 18.83 37.20 64.95 0.02R 0.00 West_Ham 12 21 +7 4.15 80.85 6.62 57.06 7.66 7.48 0.15 1.12 4.49 11.06 30.14 0.10R 0.00 Southampton 12 20 +6 0.09 50.30 0.77 59.91 7.56 12.17 0.49 2.54 8.26 18.90 44.61 0.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 12 19 +2 5.08 86.31 5.73 52.73 7.46 -0.67 0.03 0.19 1.10 3.55 13.20 0.50R 0.02 Everton 12 17 +4 0.09 51.05 3.39 59.61 7.67 14.36 0.34 2.20 7.77 18.56 43.78 0.08R 0.00 Liverpool 12 17 -1 -1.05 41.50 -3.43 58.48 7.81 7.57 0.32 1.70 5.87 14.32 36.57 0.12R 0.01 Watford 12 16 -1 2.42 70.31 3.63 45.77 7.65 -10.37 0.00 0.03 0.19 0.61 3.05 5.62R 0.49 Stoke 12 16 -2 -0.18 49.11 -1.71 48.26 7.35 -6.63 0.01 0.06 0.26 0.93 4.73 2.10R 0.12 West_Brom 12 14 -6 0.52 55.52 -1.61 43.18 7.21 -15.99 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.15 0.95 9.35R 1.04 Swansea 12 13 -4 -2.16 33.23 -2.08 46.10 7.48 -8.16 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.47 2.86 4.48R 0.36 Norwich 12 12 -7 -1.67 37.42 -1.93 38.25 7.49 -23.34 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.35 27.00R 4.76 Chelsea 12 11 -7 -9.50 2.37 -13.03 58.18 7.61 11.19 0.19 1.45 5.61 13.86 36.38 0.10R 0.00 Newcastle 12 10 -9 -1.94 34.41 -1.18 36.97 7.19 -23.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 31.83R 5.83 Bournemouth 12 8 -13 -3.82 20.83 -4.36 30.57 7.21 -36.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 69.61R 25.58 Sunderland 12 6 -13 -5.96 8.84 -5.97 28.64 6.82 -34.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.09R 34.61 Aston_Villa 12 5 -10 -6.27 6.73 -1.84 29.76 6.98 -27.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.85R 27.18Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 16 34 +18 4.78 79.81 7.54 89.25 8.25 38.29 53.04 74.65 97.67 82.54P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 16 34 +9 10.20 96.71 6.00 76.61 8.11 11.97 5.17 15.57 67.94 26.29P 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 16 32 +9 5.04 80.69 1.71 80.02 8.44 19.21 11.75 29.22 80.98 43.78P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 16 30 +12 2.31 65.73 3.46 80.52 8.27 25.50 12.61 32.40 83.56 48.21P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 16 30 +11 2.10 64.18 2.08 80.91 8.35 25.70 14.20 33.96 84.48 49.52P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 16 28 +7 6.04 85.56 6.85 69.33 8.30 7.71 0.95 3.89 34.10 9.55P 0.19R 0.01 Cardiff 16 25 +5 2.20 65.22 3.33 67.15 8.17 7.04 0.52 2.17 25.38 6.89P 0.38R 0.02 Reading 16 24 +6 1.79 62.61 5.44 64.70 8.25 5.82 0.26 1.07 17.58 4.18P 0.76R 0.04 Sheff_Wed 16 24 +1 3.20 72.00 2.16 62.82 8.10 -1.52 0.11 0.55 11.54 2.46P 1.42R 0.06 Ipswich 16 24 +0 0.43 53.11 -2.54 67.24 8.51 3.30 0.65 2.58 26.10 7.71P 0.48R 0.03 Brentford 16 21 -2 -1.03 43.28 -2.21 64.07 8.48 1.04 0.22 1.03 15.87 4.27P 1.30R 0.08 Fulham 16 20 +1 -1.02 43.51 2.77 59.54 8.62 -2.18 0.07 0.34 7.26 1.59P 4.44R 0.42 QPR 16 20 -2 -3.59 27.21 -4.38 62.83 8.75 0.82 0.17 0.99 13.88 4.10P 2.05R 0.14 Wolverhampton 16 19 -1 -3.85 25.19 -2.53 64.26 8.43 5.36 0.22 1.11 16.95 5.02P 1.05R 0.09 Leeds_United 16 19 -3 -0.32 48.85 0.48 56.08 8.06 -8.15 0.01 0.06 2.45 0.49P 7.78R 0.86 Blackburn 16 17 +0 -5.12 18.45 -0.48 59.81 8.25 3.02 0.04 0.27 6.93 1.77P 3.31R 0.30 Preston 16 17 -2 -3.13 29.29 -0.15 55.01 8.26 -5.16 0.00 0.05 2.24 0.50P 9.97R 1.25 Nott'm_Forest 16 17 -4 -3.70 25.93 -2.62 56.61 8.25 -5.93 0.01 0.08 3.17 0.73P 7.29R 0.82 Huddersfield 16 15 -7 -2.82 31.33 -0.80 49.59 8.13 -16.53 0.00 0.01 0.47 0.11P 27.91R 5.83 Bristol_City 16 15 -9 -4.14 24.35 -4.83 50.86 8.47 -17.27 0.00 0.02 0.76 0.15P 24.43R 4.94 MK_Dons 16 14 -9 -4.97 19.09 -4.63 49.42 8.56 -17.49 0.00 0.01 0.53 0.11P 29.70R 6.33 Charlton 16 13 -12 -4.50 20.48 -5.81 46.23 7.91 -22.85 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 44.39R 11.06 Bolton 16 11 -12 -6.75 10.23 -6.31 45.10 7.94 -21.63 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 49.22R 14.03 Rotherham 16 9 -16 -5.68 13.64 -4.52 37.29 7.69 -36.06 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 83.91R 53.67League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 16 32 +14 6.45 86.94 8.70 79.46 8.38 23.36 21.75 39.86 80.98 50.84P 0.03R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 32 +3 10.98 97.05 4.03 70.73 8.52 -0.07 4.07 9.90 40.79 15.51P 0.86R 0.03 Gillingham 16 31 +13 6.04 84.81 8.53 77.41 8.76 20.94 16.65 31.77 72.74 41.38P 0.09R 0.00 Coventry 16 31 +12 6.56 86.97 8.26 77.31 8.63 19.70 15.61 30.24 72.28 40.47P 0.09R 0.00 Wigan 16 27 +8 -1.20 41.33 -1.42 80.00 8.66 25.53 25.27 43.70 82.21 57.20P 0.06R 0.00 Bury 16 27 +4 5.98 84.46 5.70 66.26 8.84 0.48 1.57 4.40 24.70 8.26P 3.74R 0.26 Millwall 16 25 +1 1.36 59.21 -1.40 70.05 8.88 6.79 4.02 9.59 40.10 17.56P 1.51R 0.07 Sheff_Utd 16 24 +4 -1.81 37.83 -1.77 70.79 8.53 12.36 4.30 10.55 43.77 20.00P 0.86R 0.02 Bradford 16 24 -1 2.41 66.68 -0.68 64.93 8.27 -1.04 0.76 2.40 18.65 5.98P 4.10R 0.27 Scunthorpe 16 23 +3 1.29 59.12 3.60 63.08 8.53 1.06 0.63 1.82 14.85 4.50P 6.49R 0.60 Chesterfield 16 23 -1 -0.24 48.70 -2.93 66.87 8.56 2.86 1.44 4.29 26.57 9.65P 2.82R 0.19 Southend 16 23 -1 3.54 73.80 2.35 59.55 8.45 -7.20 0.20 0.64 7.11 1.92P 14.03R 1.62 Peterborough 16 21 +5 -3.33 28.52 1.35 68.52 8.62 14.54 2.47 6.85 34.89 14.41P 1.82R 0.13 Rochdale 16 21 +2 -1.62 39.44 1.06 63.59 8.58 3.92 0.79 2.27 16.37 5.65P 6.00R 0.60 Port_Vale 16 20 +0 -1.07 43.46 1.24 58.82 8.40 -3.62 0.14 0.55 6.24 1.67P 15.32R 1.91 Colchester 16 20 -9 1.72 62.82 -2.31 55.23 8.51 -19.62 0.07 0.19 2.76 0.63P 29.61R 5.61 Shrewsbury 16 17 -4 -4.33 23.17 -3.22 54.30 8.51 -9.67 0.06 0.17 2.41 0.74P 31.68R 5.90 Doncaster 16 17 -9 -3.26 28.43 -6.48 55.63 8.37 -12.41 0.06 0.19 2.82 0.75P 26.40R 4.79 Oldham 16 16 -6 -2.93 31.16 -1.41 52.78 8.31 -12.56 0.02 0.07 1.33 0.31P 38.47R 8.50 Blackpool 16 16 -8 -3.63 26.91 -4.55 53.11 8.51 -13.87 0.03 0.10 1.61 0.49P 37.62R 8.30 Fleetwood_Town 16 15 -5 -4.42 21.75 -1.24 51.54 8.29 -11.70 0.02 0.06 0.96 0.25P 43.93R 10.71 Barnsley 16 14 -8 -7.50 9.57 -7.12 53.79 8.57 -10.43 0.02 0.11 1.95 0.54P 33.86R 7.13 Swindon 16 13 -7 -10.61 3.04 -9.39 56.35 8.60 -3.98 0.06 0.28 3.82 1.28P 23.14R 3.92 Crewe 16 13 -10 -3.07 29.39 -0.92 44.26 8.00 -25.38 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 77.47R 39.43League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 16 35 +14 8.84 94.15 7.81 85.43 8.32 27.45 40.77 74.72 94.78 80.34P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 16 30 +12 5.49 82.59 8.17 78.34 8.52 22.69 13.32 43.32 78.78 52.30P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 16 28 +9 3.73 73.67 5.47 73.13 8.49 14.91 4.60 21.34 57.08 30.21P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 16 28 +7 6.84 87.95 8.37 69.96 8.74 8.03 2.31 12.48 42.33 18.35P 0.13R 0.03 Northampton 16 28 +5 4.63 78.41 2.92 71.18 8.66 7.82 2.91 15.36 47.47 22.39P 0.07R 0.02 Mansfield 16 26 +9 5.55 83.58 10.90 65.18 8.42 6.37 0.67 4.66 22.94 8.09P 0.38R 0.11 Leyton_Orient 16 26 +6 -3.32 28.21 -5.35 81.05 8.71 27.26 22.86 56.83 86.20 67.54P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 16 26 +1 4.24 76.42 1.74 64.44 8.72 -4.13 0.55 4.15 20.37 7.32P 0.62R 0.17 Wycombe 15 25 +7 0.78 55.37 1.59 73.31 8.69 15.60 5.03 22.27 58.05 32.45P 0.02R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 16 25 +1 3.91 75.03 2.42 64.03 8.59 -2.51 0.53 3.66 18.47 6.64P 0.72R 0.20 Morecambe 16 23 +2 1.46 60.13 2.87 66.18 8.82 4.74 0.92 6.17 27.27 10.99P 0.48R 0.15 Bristol_Rovers 15 23 +1 3.48 73.52 2.32 64.45 9.00 -0.14 0.66 4.36 21.04 7.91P 0.88R 0.25 Luton 16 22 +6 -2.18 35.60 2.73 68.29 8.62 13.73 1.46 9.44 36.30 16.64P 0.18R 0.04 Exeter 16 22 -2 0.23 52.16 -1.44 60.88 8.63 -5.69 0.21 1.75 11.22 3.74P 1.69R 0.52 Notts_County 16 22 -2 -2.44 34.40 -5.71 69.84 8.95 8.05 2.33 12.83 41.92 21.36P 0.16R 0.04 Crawley_Town 16 21 -5 -1.82 38.62 -6.29 65.56 8.92 0.11 0.76 5.48 24.34 10.40P 0.68R 0.17 Barnet 16 20 -3 1.18 58.92 2.08 55.35 8.72 -12.40 0.04 0.43 3.78 1.08P 7.51R 2.81 Cambridge_Utd 16 20 -3 0.27 52.58 0.61 56.06 8.45 -11.19 0.05 0.45 3.82 1.11P 5.80R 2.04 Hartlepool 16 17 -9 -0.54 47.61 -2.46 47.19 7.87 -25.40 0.00 0.02 0.23 0.05P 29.12R 13.43 Stevenage 16 14 -11 -7.20 10.53 -9.70 53.81 8.70 -13.32 0.01 0.22 2.53 0.81P 9.83R 3.75 Newport_County 16 13 -11 -5.31 17.50 -5.51 46.99 8.28 -21.84 0.00 0.02 0.31 0.08P 30.50R 14.78 York 16 12 -8 -8.21 7.05 -5.60 47.53 8.25 -16.01 0.00 0.02 0.41 0.09P 26.50R 12.48 Yeovil 16 9 -12 -11.38 2.08 -9.65 45.94 8.70 -18.34 0.00 0.02 0.29 0.09P 34.75R 18.51 Dag_&_Red 16 9 -14 -9.44 4.02 -8.28 42.82 8.33 -25.81 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 49.95R 30.52National League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 November 2015, Aldershot 1 2 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 20 40 +23 1.07 55.64 5.05 91.75 7.38 48.10 61.98 96.71 74.12P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 20 39 +13 4.66 76.11 2.32 82.61 7.65 25.25 11.69 73.09 26.01P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 20 36 +9 5.76 80.91 4.89 75.14 7.63 14.23 2.15 35.65 8.14P 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 19 34 +5 4.65 76.52 0.05 76.06 7.94 12.74 2.93 40.32 9.66P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 20 33 +21 -5.20 20.32 4.32 81.61 7.35 40.84 10.34 72.23 32.18P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 20 33 +9 5.24 77.78 9.01 70.96 8.08 12.06 0.81 20.36 3.91P 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 20 33 +6 4.33 75.30 3.95 71.05 7.46 9.78 0.48 17.61 3.65P 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 19 32 +8 5.23 79.57 7.02 70.62 7.82 10.10 0.61 17.90 3.41P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 19 31 +10 1.03 56.39 4.06 72.70 7.84 16.93 1.16 26.10 6.28P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 19 31 +1 3.88 73.18 -0.39 70.52 7.84 4.69 0.59 16.93 3.28P 0.03R 0.00 Tranmere 19 30 +10 -4.81 21.87 -3.40 79.56 7.88 28.85 6.84 60.86 24.60P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 20 29 +7 -1.69 39.79 2.15 68.25 7.53 12.44 0.21 10.93 2.46P 0.05R 0.00 Aldershot 20 28 -3 1.72 60.98 -1.12 62.36 7.52 -5.05 0.02 2.15 0.34P 0.56R 0.03 Chester 20 28 -4 4.70 77.11 2.98 60.01 7.47 -10.33 0.01 1.11 0.14P 1.14R 0.08 Guiseley 21 26 -11 3.33 70.13 -1.17 48.46 7.02 -30.18 0.00 0.01 0.01P 22.22R 3.80 Woking 19 25 +5 -4.56 23.82 -0.30 66.17 7.89 11.06 0.18 7.87 1.77P 0.18R 0.01 Barrow 21 25 -18 5.64 81.77 -1.63 48.32 7.15 -36.20 0.00 0.01 0.00P 24.09R 4.53 Welling 20 23 -5 -0.52 47.69 0.68 52.46 7.22 -14.34 0.00 0.06 0.01P 8.71R 1.08 Altrincham 20 20 -16 0.45 54.40 -3.49 46.26 7.11 -31.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.98R 7.56 Boreham_Wood 20 19 -5 -3.29 31.37 2.85 49.03 7.56 -13.54 0.00 0.01 0.00P 19.75R 3.94 Torquay 19 16 -14 -8.24 9.29 -10.72 51.87 7.77 -16.30 0.00 0.08 0.03P 11.76R 2.04 Southport 18 15 -12 -3.23 29.36 -2.00 43.86 7.45 -26.80 0.00 0.00 0.00P 45.15R 13.80 Kidderminster 20 11 -14 -12.93 1.53 -8.61 40.87 7.27 -23.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.00R 23.27 Halifax 19 10 -25 -11.34 2.56 -16.49 38.52 7.53 -39.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.31R 39.86