Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 12 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   26  +17       0.14    49.49     0.83    80.85     7.09    48.76    54.77    82.10    93.54    97.33    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   26  +13       3.13    73.72     3.27    77.71     7.23    38.85    31.71    67.73    86.43    93.86    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.18    95.12     4.69    56.87     7.57    -2.33     0.18     1.12     4.04     9.97    27.47     0.12R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.73    71.31     1.74    72.29     7.46    28.14    10.42    33.08    63.37    79.07    92.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       1.98    65.86     6.22    63.74     7.73    20.80     1.44     6.67    18.97    37.29    65.30     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.11    80.66     6.59    57.09     7.65     7.45     0.17     1.19     4.55    11.13    30.32     0.11R    0.00  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.05    50.15     0.69    59.98     7.61    12.30     0.49     2.78     8.64    19.58    44.72     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.13    86.30     5.81    52.69     7.46    -0.76     0.03     0.23     1.08     3.57    13.16     0.59R    0.02  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.14    51.63     3.44    59.47     7.69    14.20     0.31     2.10     7.53    17.84    43.16     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool        12   17   -1      -1.01    41.94    -3.39    58.45     7.76     7.55     0.30     1.58     5.75    14.28    36.72     0.09R    0.00  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.38    69.89     3.61    45.65     7.59   -10.49     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.57     2.90     5.60R    0.51  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.16    49.32    -1.69    48.20     7.33    -6.73     0.00     0.04     0.23     0.90     4.63     2.24R    0.13  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.50    55.75    -1.64    43.34     7.24   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.05     9.04R    0.83  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.06    33.73    -1.91    45.99     7.52    -8.37     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.50     2.86     4.75R    0.44  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.63    38.12    -1.85    38.23     7.51   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.29    27.18R    4.91  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.49     2.41   -13.01    58.14     7.58    11.12     0.16     1.31     5.55    13.89    36.18     0.12R    0.00  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -1.98    34.37    -1.20    37.00     7.28   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16    31.78R    6.01  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.82    20.77    -4.39    30.52     7.13   -36.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.65R   26.01  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -5.92     8.89    -5.92    28.69     6.68   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.10R   34.28  
Aston_Villa      12    5  -10      -6.32     6.55    -1.88    29.86     6.99   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.53R   26.84  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.55    79.00     7.24    89.70     8.18    38.95    55.13    76.20    98.00    83.81P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.07    96.56     5.82    76.89     8.10    12.34     5.28    16.58    69.37    27.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.08    80.97     1.77    79.85     8.40    19.01    10.95    28.23    80.31    42.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   30  +12       2.34    65.86     3.47    80.52     8.21    25.50    12.16    31.95    83.82    47.87P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.19    64.50     2.20    80.72     8.31    25.44    13.40    33.21    83.91    48.53P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.06    85.79     6.89    69.27     8.22     7.65     0.90     3.65    33.83     9.17P    0.15R    0.00  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.26    65.78     3.40    67.18     8.15     7.06     0.44     2.09    25.41     7.04P    0.32R    0.02  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.78    62.40     5.39    64.77     8.34     5.91     0.29     1.15    17.78     4.51P    0.84R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.17    72.01     2.11    62.89     8.09    -1.45     0.09     0.59    11.50     2.59P    1.33R    0.07  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.44    53.11    -2.51    67.28     8.54     3.41     0.63     2.52    26.22     7.66P    0.49R    0.04  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.10    43.27    -2.32    64.23     8.52     1.26     0.22     1.10    16.24     4.37P    1.22R    0.10  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -1.02    43.48     2.75    59.59     8.62    -2.08     0.06     0.35     7.37     1.58P    4.42R    0.42  
QPR             16   20   -2      -3.59    26.98    -4.36    62.75     8.71     0.66     0.17     0.90    13.51     3.81P    2.05R    0.16  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.81    25.36    -2.49    64.22     8.45     5.27     0.20     1.02    16.74     4.76P    1.12R    0.10  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.25    49.29     0.58    55.92     8.05    -8.36     0.01     0.03     2.33     0.41P    8.41R    1.02  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.09    18.68    -0.47    59.75     8.24     2.90     0.05     0.28     6.70     1.78P    3.12R    0.29  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.05    29.80    -0.03    54.94     8.18    -5.29     0.00     0.04     2.00     0.45P    9.74R    1.16  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.70    26.05    -2.58    56.57     8.21    -6.00     0.01     0.08     3.08     0.74P    7.30R    0.74  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.84    31.01    -0.81    49.62     8.12   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.06P   27.35R    5.44  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -3.98    25.13    -4.63    50.61     8.51   -17.62     0.01     0.02     0.71     0.16P   25.37R    5.44  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.91    19.54    -4.58    49.32     8.52   -17.61     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.14P   29.94R    6.21  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.60    19.99    -5.95    46.33     7.93   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   43.45R   10.57  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.82     9.67    -6.37    45.07     7.98   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   49.35R   14.08  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.66    13.63    -4.52    37.20     7.69   -36.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.04R   54.10  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.60    87.39     8.88    79.25     8.37    22.99    21.32    39.41    80.35    50.20P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      11.05    97.08     4.18    70.51     8.54    -0.47     3.93     9.49    39.82    14.97P    0.88R    0.03  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       6.10    85.14     8.64    77.28     8.69    20.69    16.35    31.11    72.35    40.77P    0.09R    0.00  
Coventry         16   31  +12       6.54    86.77     8.30    77.34     8.65    19.76    15.99    30.64    72.42    40.84P    0.10R    0.00  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.13    42.01    -1.32    79.91     8.64    25.36    25.41    43.38    81.89    56.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.78    83.56     5.38    66.53     8.81     0.99     1.83     4.84    25.52     8.70P    3.38R    0.21  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.29    58.92    -1.52    70.11     8.81     6.92     3.87     9.62    40.41    17.49P    1.40R    0.10  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.87    37.34    -1.87    70.93     8.48    12.60     4.46    11.10    44.79    20.91P    0.79R    0.03  
Bradford         16   24   -1       2.42    66.58    -0.62    64.93     8.25    -1.03     0.79     2.58    18.57     6.07P    3.84R    0.27  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.26    59.45     3.53    63.11     8.57     1.15     0.66     1.99    14.91     4.73P    6.75R    0.56  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.22    48.91    -2.92    66.75     8.58     2.66     1.44     4.28    26.14     9.68P    2.92R    0.16  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.48    73.33     2.24    59.66     8.37    -7.05     0.20     0.67     7.11     1.95P   13.58R    1.43  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.18    29.72     1.58    68.33     8.69    14.24     2.53     6.81    34.48    14.45P    2.00R    0.12  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.65    39.37     1.06    63.74     8.60     4.08     0.81     2.35    16.92     5.74P    6.03R    0.54  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -1.04    43.49     1.33    58.81     8.41    -3.67     0.17     0.57     6.28     1.85P   15.35R    1.89  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.80    63.36    -2.16    55.04     8.51   -19.89     0.04     0.20     2.62     0.57P   30.88R    5.98  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.42    22.83    -3.32    54.36     8.59    -9.60     0.04     0.18     2.38     0.73P   31.69R    6.18  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.22    28.88    -6.45    55.56     8.36   -12.52     0.03     0.14     2.77     0.70P   27.24R    4.81  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -2.97    30.64    -1.48    52.74     8.31   -12.60     0.03     0.08     1.41     0.35P   38.74R    8.53  
Blackpool        16   16   -8      -3.68    26.80    -4.62    53.26     8.50   -13.60     0.01     0.08     1.65     0.42P   37.09R    7.93  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.56    21.18    -1.45    51.85     8.30   -11.26     0.01     0.05     1.10     0.27P   42.39R   10.13  
Barnsley         16   14   -8      -7.44     9.43    -7.05    53.78     8.48   -10.50     0.01     0.12     1.92     0.56P   34.05R    6.86  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.71     3.08    -9.55    56.61     8.64    -3.62     0.08     0.31     4.12     1.37P   22.64R    3.72  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -2.96    30.19    -0.77    44.09     7.95   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   78.09R   40.52  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.80    93.95     7.77    85.43     8.40    27.47    40.97    74.64    94.61    80.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.46    82.59     8.13    78.38     8.48    22.76    13.37    43.77    78.87    52.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.79    74.12     5.55    73.03     8.52    14.83     4.61    21.22    57.03    30.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.84    87.86     8.35    70.01     8.69     8.05     2.30    12.50    42.19    18.43P    0.12R    0.02  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.54    77.72     2.81    71.15     8.71     7.81     2.98    15.62    47.05    22.55P    0.06R    0.01  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.38    82.47    10.68    65.38     8.44     6.60     0.68     4.80    23.82     8.35P    0.35R    0.07  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.16    29.38    -5.10    80.81     8.63    26.93    22.14    55.81    85.80    66.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.30    76.60     1.81    64.33     8.70    -4.28     0.54     4.11    20.02     7.20P    0.61R    0.16  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.76    55.22     1.58    73.40     8.69    15.72     5.25    22.70    58.63    32.73P    0.02R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.97    75.19     2.51    63.88     8.51    -2.70     0.42     3.21    18.00     5.96P    0.74R    0.20  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.42    59.82     2.82    66.24     8.86     4.81     0.94     6.31    27.30    10.88P    0.48R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.61    74.47     2.50    64.23     8.87    -0.46     0.52     4.02    20.02     7.44P    0.81R    0.19  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.13    36.31     2.77    68.31     8.65    13.75     1.64     9.66    36.63    17.16P    0.21R    0.04  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.34    52.90    -1.35    60.77     8.62    -5.86     0.20     1.67    10.82     3.56P    1.81R    0.55  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.43    34.52    -5.70    69.90     8.94     8.13     2.48    12.94    42.50    21.79P    0.18R    0.06  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.88    38.29    -6.41    65.70     8.99     0.28     0.88     5.91    25.22    11.11P    0.58R    0.15  
Barnet               16   20   -3       1.10    58.40     1.99    55.45     8.76   -12.26     0.03     0.40     3.98     1.08P    7.40R    2.77  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.18    52.05     0.47    56.13     8.48   -11.01     0.04     0.44     4.02     1.12P    5.59R    1.97  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.55    47.31    -2.49    47.30     7.86   -25.22     0.00     0.03     0.22     0.05P   29.05R   13.16  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.26    10.52    -9.81    53.87     8.59   -13.24     0.01     0.20     2.28     0.67P    9.53R    3.75  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.27    17.84    -5.44    46.99     8.26   -21.79     0.00     0.02     0.31     0.09P   30.41R   14.95  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.13     7.19    -5.46    47.46     8.27   -16.15     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.08P   26.99R   12.81  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.36     2.11    -9.62    45.78     8.66   -18.57     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.08P   35.50R   18.96  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.47     4.05    -8.35    42.96     8.35   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   49.52R   30.05  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 November 2015, Aldershot 1 2 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       20   40  +23       1.07    55.79     5.06    91.84     7.33    48.25    62.57    96.92    74.75P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     20   39  +13       4.72    76.64     2.44    82.45     7.64    24.97    11.41    72.47    25.58P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   20   36   +9       5.88    81.81     5.05    75.04     7.64    14.09     1.93    34.86     7.82P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        19   34   +5       4.55    75.81    -0.09    76.10     7.92    12.79     2.87    40.55     9.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          20   33  +21      -5.24    20.19     4.34    81.70     7.36    40.95    10.55    72.42    31.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          20   33   +9       5.25    77.65     9.03    71.06     8.15    12.22     0.86    20.69     4.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   20   33   +6       4.36    75.15     3.96    71.14     7.43     9.87     0.51    17.90     3.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     19   32   +8       5.13    78.81     6.91    70.60     7.86    10.08     0.62    17.85     3.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       1.07    56.64     4.11    72.65     7.86    16.89     1.08    26.16     6.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.84    72.87    -0.40    70.63     7.83     4.81     0.56    17.27     3.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.82    21.78    -3.45    79.56     7.86    28.87     6.62    60.94    24.74P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     20   29   +7      -1.67    39.95     2.23    68.10     7.56    12.24     0.22    10.65     2.46P    0.05R    0.00  
Aldershot        20   28   -3       1.74    61.14    -1.14    62.44     7.50    -4.90     0.02     2.36     0.36P    0.47R    0.04  
Chester          20   28   -4       4.70    77.42     2.94    59.96     7.49   -10.44     0.01     1.12     0.15P    1.14R    0.06  
Guiseley         21   26  -11       3.38    70.35    -1.15    48.32     7.00   -30.33     0.00     0.01     0.00P   22.76R    4.04  
Woking           19   25   +5      -4.54    24.14    -0.25    65.96     7.93    10.78     0.16     7.65     1.67P    0.15R    0.01  
Barrow           21   25  -18       5.59    81.55    -1.73    48.38     7.16   -36.04     0.00     0.02     0.00P   23.87R    4.38  
Welling          20   23   -5      -0.39    48.62     0.92    52.37     7.17   -14.58     0.00     0.05     0.00P    9.07R    1.20  
Altrincham       20   20  -16       0.39    54.06    -3.57    46.40     7.16   -31.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.52R    7.57  
Boreham_Wood     20   19   -5      -3.34    31.31     2.76    49.17     7.61   -13.31     0.00     0.01     0.00P   19.39R    3.80  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.35     8.98   -10.87    51.96     7.75   -16.19     0.00     0.11     0.02P   11.66R    1.98  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.15    30.00    -1.88    43.75     7.45   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.56R   14.05  
Kidderminster    20   11  -14     -12.84     1.62    -8.50    40.80     7.28   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.42R   23.93  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.49     2.46   -16.70    38.65     7.50   -39.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.86R   38.95