Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 10 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   26  +17       0.17    49.73     0.92    80.72     7.12    48.57    54.24    81.41    93.13    97.14    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   26  +13       3.19    73.79     3.37    77.61     7.24    38.70    31.68    67.04    86.09    93.68    98.49     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.22    95.27     4.73    56.77     7.63    -2.45     0.17     1.09     3.91     9.81    27.17     0.16R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.65    70.83     1.64    72.45     7.48    28.39    10.94    33.96    64.11    79.43    93.04     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       1.95    65.51     6.19    63.88     7.68    21.03     1.40     6.94    19.30    38.02    66.15     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.07    80.45     6.50    57.16     7.67     7.61     0.14     1.17     4.37    11.24    30.69     0.12R    0.00  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.01    49.77     0.68    59.98     7.63    12.25     0.56     2.78     8.60    19.37    44.92     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.10    86.35     5.75    52.61     7.39    -0.87     0.02     0.20     1.04     3.35    12.71     0.60R    0.02  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.13    51.79     3.45    59.47     7.69    14.22     0.35     2.20     7.51    17.98    43.08     0.09R    0.00  
Liverpool        12   17   -1      -1.00    41.99    -3.37    58.44     7.75     7.52     0.30     1.65     5.79    14.11    36.56     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.45    70.24     3.69    45.68     7.60   -10.50     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.61     2.90     5.67R    0.51  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.14    49.35    -1.64    48.23     7.33    -6.74     0.00     0.04     0.29     0.97     4.63     2.30R    0.12  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.56    56.10    -1.55    43.19     7.25   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     1.05     9.55R    1.00  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.14    33.54    -2.04    46.14     7.53    -8.21     0.00     0.03     0.14     0.59     3.03     4.56R    0.39  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.65    37.52    -1.93    38.24     7.47   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27    27.11R    4.79  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.47     2.45   -12.97    58.02     7.63    10.91     0.20     1.46     5.49    13.49    35.72     0.13R    0.01  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -2.03    33.90    -1.30    37.07     7.24   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13    31.47R    5.88  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.86    20.69    -4.47    30.72     7.16   -36.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.65R   25.00  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -5.91     8.98    -5.89    28.71     6.77   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.06R   34.47  
Aston_Villa      12    5  -10      -6.23     6.71    -1.75    29.70     6.99   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.36R   27.80  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.64    79.12     7.39    89.47     8.21    38.65    54.11    75.43    97.84    83.29P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.19    96.66     6.00    76.71     8.09    12.08     5.36    16.33    68.18    26.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.13    81.28     1.84    79.85     8.44    19.03    11.45    28.43    80.22    42.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   30  +12       2.33    65.98     3.48    80.58     8.21    25.59    12.36    32.42    84.12    48.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.09    63.90     2.09    80.88     8.28    25.66    13.65    33.52    84.60    48.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.14    85.83     6.98    69.24     8.25     7.55     0.93     3.55    34.08     9.12P    0.16R    0.00  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.31    66.19     3.49    67.08     8.16     6.90     0.49     2.18    24.98     6.90P    0.36R    0.01  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.81    62.65     5.49    64.64     8.23     5.74     0.23     1.08    17.22     4.23P    0.78R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.17    71.85     2.14    62.83     8.15    -1.51     0.12     0.66    11.62     2.59P    1.31R    0.07  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.49    53.77    -2.42    67.20     8.52     3.26     0.58     2.50    26.13     7.73P    0.48R    0.04  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.17    42.22    -2.44    64.33     8.47     1.35     0.20     1.13    16.50     4.46P    1.19R    0.07  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -1.13    42.81     2.62    59.69     8.61    -1.86     0.06     0.36     7.61     1.67P    4.28R    0.43  
QPR             16   20   -2      -3.44    28.20    -4.17    62.64     8.70     0.52     0.16     0.86    13.34     3.78P    2.03R    0.15  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.87    25.20    -2.54    64.33     8.38     5.41     0.21     1.03    16.79     4.89P    1.12R    0.07  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.39    48.30     0.35    56.17     8.06    -7.97     0.01     0.07     2.41     0.52P    7.63R    0.95  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.13    18.35    -0.53    59.85     8.21     3.03     0.05     0.29     7.01     1.78P    3.19R    0.29  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.06    30.10    -0.07    54.86     8.32    -5.35     0.02     0.07     2.29     0.47P   10.32R    1.26  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.75    25.64    -2.64    56.60     8.28    -6.01     0.02     0.07     3.17     0.73P    7.43R    0.83  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.82    31.40    -0.83    49.61     8.11   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.06P   27.68R    5.58  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -3.98    25.17    -4.65    50.66     8.47   -17.59     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.14P   25.24R    5.25  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.94    19.46    -4.62    49.33     8.52   -17.59     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.13P   29.92R    6.33  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.51    20.26    -5.84    46.20     7.94   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   44.32R   11.10  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.84    10.01    -6.43    45.14     7.97   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   49.02R   14.04  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.77    13.19    -4.66    37.33     7.64   -36.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.53R   53.48  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.51    87.11     8.78    79.35     8.37    23.17    21.66    39.35    80.57    50.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      11.06    97.30     4.19    70.57     8.43    -0.38     3.71     9.20    39.65    14.67P    0.82R    0.02  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       5.98    84.83     8.46    77.41     8.64    20.96    16.32    31.46    72.91    41.22P    0.10R    0.00  
Coventry         16   31  +12       6.56    86.86     8.29    77.32     8.59    19.72    15.79    30.62    72.42    40.57P    0.07R    0.00  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.20    41.49    -1.43    80.03     8.66    25.58    25.47    43.78    82.02    57.04P    0.05R    0.01  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.82    83.54     5.46    66.51     8.88     0.95     1.76     4.82    25.61     8.77P    3.36R    0.26  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.33    58.99    -1.46    70.01     8.89     6.78     3.90     9.49    39.89    17.07P    1.48R    0.09  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.88    37.47    -1.89    70.88     8.56    12.49     4.53    10.91    44.49    20.54P    0.88R    0.05  
Bradford         16   24   -1       2.46    66.99    -0.56    64.83     8.27    -1.17     0.76     2.39    18.23     5.90P    4.11R    0.30  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.33    59.54     3.58    63.13     8.54     1.16     0.53     1.78    15.08     4.52P    6.46R    0.55  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.19    48.78    -2.87    66.80     8.58     2.73     1.45     4.23    26.37     9.59P    2.93R    0.16  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.54    73.76     2.33    59.57     8.38    -7.16     0.19     0.69     6.95     1.98P   14.16R    1.51  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.30    29.23     1.36    68.61     8.68    14.68     2.68     7.22    35.40    15.21P    1.88R    0.14  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.64    39.21     1.07    63.77     8.61     4.11     0.78     2.41    16.82     5.70P    5.89R    0.50  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -0.98    43.96     1.37    58.80     8.35    -3.69     0.15     0.54     6.15     1.70P   15.11R    1.83  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.77    63.08    -2.19    55.07     8.44   -19.92     0.06     0.19     2.48     0.58P   30.62R    5.73  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.43    22.52    -3.35    54.31     8.49    -9.62     0.04     0.14     2.25     0.63P   31.44R    5.92  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.25    28.55    -6.47    55.67     8.32   -12.41     0.04     0.16     2.82     0.78P   26.57R    4.44  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -2.93    31.12    -1.44    52.74     8.26   -12.54     0.01     0.06     1.25     0.30P   38.46R    8.54  
Blackpool        16   16   -8      -3.72    26.64    -4.66    53.20     8.48   -13.74     0.04     0.11     1.55     0.50P   37.24R    8.17  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.59    20.98    -1.47    51.74     8.25   -11.41     0.02     0.05     1.02     0.29P   42.63R   10.38  
Barnsley         16   14   -8      -7.47     9.37    -7.08    53.75     8.49   -10.54     0.02     0.12     1.92     0.57P   33.93R    6.84  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.54     3.30    -9.33    56.27     8.68    -4.05     0.07     0.28     4.08     1.41P   23.86R    4.04  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -2.95    30.47    -0.69    44.10     8.01   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   77.94R   40.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.83    93.89     7.79    85.41     8.40    27.49    40.84    74.72    94.59    80.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.48    82.54     8.14    78.37     8.56    22.71    13.45    43.76    78.99    52.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.77    74.07     5.54    73.05     8.51    14.82     4.69    20.97    56.71    29.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.85    88.07     8.37    69.98     8.67     8.03     2.31    12.38    42.29    18.10P    0.11R    0.02  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.62    78.39     2.90    71.06     8.70     7.69     3.04    15.23    46.73    22.18P    0.08R    0.03  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.44    82.75    10.74    65.32     8.40     6.53     0.60     4.68    23.26     8.26P    0.36R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.26    28.79    -5.25    80.92     8.67    27.06    22.25    56.30    85.77    67.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.31    76.59     1.83    64.40     8.70    -4.18     0.58     4.17    20.15     7.12P    0.69R    0.18  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.78    55.32     1.59    73.42     8.73    15.80     5.29    22.97    58.58    33.14P    0.03R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.95    75.15     2.46    64.02     8.50    -2.54     0.46     3.50    18.42     6.31P    0.71R    0.19  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.42    60.02     2.84    66.23     8.77     4.89     0.89     6.15    27.25    10.82P    0.47R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.53    73.91     2.39    64.35     8.94    -0.26     0.61     4.35    20.62     7.84P    0.84R    0.20  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.10    36.21     2.81    68.29     8.68    13.70     1.53     9.86    36.59    17.26P    0.21R    0.05  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.29    52.53    -1.39    60.82     8.50    -5.78     0.18     1.59    10.72     3.65P    1.62R    0.45  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.44    34.68    -5.69    69.74     8.86     7.92     2.30    12.46    41.78    21.07P    0.16R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.90    38.02    -6.41    65.76     9.05     0.33     0.90     5.77    25.68    11.23P    0.68R    0.14  
Barnet               16   20   -3       1.08    58.37     1.93    55.40     8.77   -12.35     0.04     0.42     3.96     1.15P    7.38R    2.63  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.25    52.52     0.56    56.09     8.51   -11.08     0.03     0.45     4.10     1.13P    5.64R    1.91  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.55    47.37    -2.45    47.28     7.89   -25.24     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   28.81R   13.24  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.30    10.36    -9.86    53.89     8.63   -13.17     0.01     0.21     2.46     0.76P    9.54R    3.74  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.29    17.55    -5.49    46.99     8.28   -21.87     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.07P   30.30R   15.04  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.12     7.38    -5.45    47.39     8.29   -16.23     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.11P   27.22R   12.91  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.47     1.88    -9.78    46.04     8.71   -18.20     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.08P   34.20R   17.91  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.37     4.24    -8.13    42.65     8.35   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   50.91R   31.17  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 November 2015, Barrow 1 3 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       20   40  +23       1.12    55.81     5.13    91.74     7.36    48.13    62.31    96.65    74.42P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     20   39  +13       4.67    76.13     2.36    82.56     7.64    25.13    11.85    73.06    25.84P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   20   36   +9       5.75    81.07     4.89    75.14     7.64    14.18     1.97    35.96     7.84P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        19   34   +5       4.54    75.84    -0.12    76.25     7.95    13.07     3.07    41.51    10.10P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          20   33  +21      -5.18    20.41     4.42    81.60     7.39    40.80    10.21    72.25    32.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          20   33   +9       5.35    78.20     9.24    70.83     8.10    11.89     0.84    19.92     3.88P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   20   33   +6       4.30    74.92     3.92    71.13     7.44     9.91     0.52    18.35     3.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       0.96    56.01     3.96    72.83     7.81    17.13     1.21    27.07     6.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.88    72.77    -0.37    70.50     7.87     4.66     0.55    17.24     3.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.74    22.18    -3.32    79.48     7.81    28.74     6.65    60.86    24.88P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   29   +7       3.70    72.73     6.18    68.64     8.02     8.57     0.37    13.19     2.48P    0.07R    0.00  
Macclesfield     20   29   +7      -1.59    40.26     2.33    68.03     7.57    12.12     0.22    10.73     2.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Aldershot        19   28   -2       2.91    67.98    -0.42    64.22     7.77    -3.30     0.07     4.13     0.66P    0.28R    0.01  
Chester          20   28   -4       4.72    77.09     2.97    59.88     7.50   -10.52     0.00     1.05     0.12P    1.27R    0.07  
Guiseley         21   26  -11       3.50    70.83    -0.88    48.24     7.04   -30.55     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.55R    4.23  
Woking           19   25   +5      -4.54    23.87    -0.26    66.08     7.90    10.99     0.14     7.85     1.80P    0.18R    0.01  
Barrow           21   25  -18       5.50    81.03    -1.94    48.48     7.10   -35.84     0.00     0.02     0.01P   23.21R    4.27  
Welling          20   23   -5      -0.46    48.06     0.77    52.35     7.14   -14.56     0.00     0.06     0.01P    9.04R    1.29  
Altrincham       20   20  -16       0.39    53.92    -3.61    46.46     7.10   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.90R    7.25  
Boreham_Wood     20   19   -5      -3.24    31.88     2.93    49.01     7.59   -13.60     0.00     0.01     0.00P   20.16R    4.10  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.33     9.13   -10.87    51.97     7.80   -16.21     0.00     0.07     0.00P   11.91R    1.99  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.22    29.57    -2.00    43.84     7.46   -26.87     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.27R   13.97  
Kidderminster    20   11  -14     -12.87     1.56    -8.55    40.75     7.26   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.91R   24.23  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.53     2.44   -16.75    38.75     7.51   -39.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.14R   38.57