Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 10 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 12 26 +17 0.17 49.73 0.92 80.72 7.12 48.57 54.24 81.41 93.13 97.14 99.44 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 26 +13 3.19 73.79 3.37 77.61 7.24 38.70 31.68 67.04 86.09 93.68 98.49 0.00 0.00 Leicester 12 25 +5 8.22 95.27 4.73 56.77 7.63 -2.45 0.17 1.09 3.91 9.81 27.17 0.16R 0.00 Man_Utd 12 24 +9 2.65 70.83 1.64 72.45 7.48 28.39 10.94 33.96 64.11 79.43 93.04 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 12 21 +10 1.95 65.51 6.19 63.88 7.68 21.03 1.40 6.94 19.30 38.02 66.15 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 12 21 +7 4.07 80.45 6.50 57.16 7.67 7.61 0.14 1.17 4.37 11.24 30.69 0.12R 0.00 Southampton 12 20 +6 0.01 49.77 0.68 59.98 7.63 12.25 0.56 2.78 8.60 19.37 44.92 0.04R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 12 19 +2 5.10 86.35 5.75 52.61 7.39 -0.87 0.02 0.20 1.04 3.35 12.71 0.60R 0.02 Everton 12 17 +4 0.13 51.79 3.45 59.47 7.69 14.22 0.35 2.20 7.51 17.98 43.08 0.09R 0.00 Liverpool 12 17 -1 -1.00 41.99 -3.37 58.44 7.75 7.52 0.30 1.65 5.79 14.11 36.56 0.10R 0.00 Watford 12 16 -1 2.45 70.24 3.69 45.68 7.60 -10.50 0.00 0.03 0.19 0.61 2.90 5.67R 0.51 Stoke 12 16 -2 -0.14 49.35 -1.64 48.23 7.33 -6.74 0.00 0.04 0.29 0.97 4.63 2.30R 0.12 West_Brom 12 14 -6 0.56 56.10 -1.55 43.19 7.25 -16.06 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.17 1.05 9.55R 1.00 Swansea 12 13 -4 -2.14 33.54 -2.04 46.14 7.53 -8.21 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.59 3.03 4.56R 0.39 Norwich 12 12 -7 -1.65 37.52 -1.93 38.24 7.47 -23.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.27 27.11R 4.79 Chelsea 12 11 -7 -9.47 2.45 -12.97 58.02 7.63 10.91 0.20 1.46 5.49 13.49 35.72 0.13R 0.01 Newcastle 12 10 -9 -2.03 33.90 -1.30 37.07 7.24 -23.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.13 31.47R 5.88 Bournemouth 12 8 -13 -3.86 20.69 -4.47 30.72 7.16 -36.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 68.65R 25.00 Sunderland 12 6 -13 -5.91 8.98 -5.89 28.71 6.77 -34.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.06R 34.47 Aston_Villa 12 5 -10 -6.23 6.71 -1.75 29.70 6.99 -27.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 71.36R 27.80Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 16 34 +18 4.64 79.12 7.39 89.47 8.21 38.65 54.11 75.43 97.84 83.29P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 16 34 +9 10.19 96.66 6.00 76.71 8.09 12.08 5.36 16.33 68.18 26.90P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 16 32 +9 5.13 81.28 1.84 79.85 8.44 19.03 11.45 28.43 80.22 42.88P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 16 30 +12 2.33 65.98 3.48 80.58 8.21 25.59 12.36 32.42 84.12 48.71P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 16 30 +11 2.09 63.90 2.09 80.88 8.28 25.66 13.65 33.52 84.60 48.98P 0.00R 0.00 Birmingham 16 28 +7 6.14 85.83 6.98 69.24 8.25 7.55 0.93 3.55 34.08 9.12P 0.16R 0.00 Cardiff 16 25 +5 2.31 66.19 3.49 67.08 8.16 6.90 0.49 2.18 24.98 6.90P 0.36R 0.01 Reading 16 24 +6 1.81 62.65 5.49 64.64 8.23 5.74 0.23 1.08 17.22 4.23P 0.78R 0.04 Sheff_Wed 16 24 +1 3.17 71.85 2.14 62.83 8.15 -1.51 0.12 0.66 11.62 2.59P 1.31R 0.07 Ipswich 16 24 +0 0.49 53.77 -2.42 67.20 8.52 3.26 0.58 2.50 26.13 7.73P 0.48R 0.04 Brentford 16 21 -2 -1.17 42.22 -2.44 64.33 8.47 1.35 0.20 1.13 16.50 4.46P 1.19R 0.07 Fulham 16 20 +1 -1.13 42.81 2.62 59.69 8.61 -1.86 0.06 0.36 7.61 1.67P 4.28R 0.43 QPR 16 20 -2 -3.44 28.20 -4.17 62.64 8.70 0.52 0.16 0.86 13.34 3.78P 2.03R 0.15 Wolverhampton 16 19 -1 -3.87 25.20 -2.54 64.33 8.38 5.41 0.21 1.03 16.79 4.89P 1.12R 0.07 Leeds_United 16 19 -3 -0.39 48.30 0.35 56.17 8.06 -7.97 0.01 0.07 2.41 0.52P 7.63R 0.95 Blackburn 16 17 +0 -5.13 18.35 -0.53 59.85 8.21 3.03 0.05 0.29 7.01 1.78P 3.19R 0.29 Preston 16 17 -2 -3.06 30.10 -0.07 54.86 8.32 -5.35 0.02 0.07 2.29 0.47P 10.32R 1.26 Nott'm_Forest 16 17 -4 -3.75 25.64 -2.64 56.60 8.28 -6.01 0.02 0.07 3.17 0.73P 7.43R 0.83 Huddersfield 16 15 -7 -2.82 31.40 -0.83 49.61 8.11 -16.43 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.06P 27.68R 5.58 Bristol_City 16 15 -9 -3.98 25.17 -4.65 50.66 8.47 -17.59 0.00 0.01 0.74 0.14P 25.24R 5.25 MK_Dons 16 14 -9 -4.94 19.46 -4.62 49.33 8.52 -17.59 0.00 0.01 0.56 0.13P 29.92R 6.33 Charlton 16 13 -12 -4.51 20.26 -5.84 46.20 7.94 -22.86 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 44.32R 11.10 Bolton 16 11 -12 -6.84 10.01 -6.43 45.14 7.97 -21.57 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 49.02R 14.04 Rotherham 16 9 -16 -5.77 13.19 -4.66 37.33 7.64 -36.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.53R 53.48League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 16 32 +14 6.51 87.11 8.78 79.35 8.37 23.17 21.66 39.35 80.57 50.41P 0.02R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 32 +3 11.06 97.30 4.19 70.57 8.43 -0.38 3.71 9.20 39.65 14.67P 0.82R 0.02 Gillingham 16 31 +13 5.98 84.83 8.46 77.41 8.64 20.96 16.32 31.46 72.91 41.22P 0.10R 0.00 Coventry 16 31 +12 6.56 86.86 8.29 77.32 8.59 19.72 15.79 30.62 72.42 40.57P 0.07R 0.00 Wigan 16 27 +8 -1.20 41.49 -1.43 80.03 8.66 25.58 25.47 43.78 82.02 57.04P 0.05R 0.01 Bury 16 27 +4 5.82 83.54 5.46 66.51 8.88 0.95 1.76 4.82 25.61 8.77P 3.36R 0.26 Millwall 16 25 +1 1.33 58.99 -1.46 70.01 8.89 6.78 3.90 9.49 39.89 17.07P 1.48R 0.09 Sheff_Utd 16 24 +4 -1.88 37.47 -1.89 70.88 8.56 12.49 4.53 10.91 44.49 20.54P 0.88R 0.05 Bradford 16 24 -1 2.46 66.99 -0.56 64.83 8.27 -1.17 0.76 2.39 18.23 5.90P 4.11R 0.30 Scunthorpe 16 23 +3 1.33 59.54 3.58 63.13 8.54 1.16 0.53 1.78 15.08 4.52P 6.46R 0.55 Chesterfield 16 23 -1 -0.19 48.78 -2.87 66.80 8.58 2.73 1.45 4.23 26.37 9.59P 2.93R 0.16 Southend 16 23 -1 3.54 73.76 2.33 59.57 8.38 -7.16 0.19 0.69 6.95 1.98P 14.16R 1.51 Peterborough 16 21 +5 -3.30 29.23 1.36 68.61 8.68 14.68 2.68 7.22 35.40 15.21P 1.88R 0.14 Rochdale 16 21 +2 -1.64 39.21 1.07 63.77 8.61 4.11 0.78 2.41 16.82 5.70P 5.89R 0.50 Port_Vale 16 20 +0 -0.98 43.96 1.37 58.80 8.35 -3.69 0.15 0.54 6.15 1.70P 15.11R 1.83 Colchester 16 20 -9 1.77 63.08 -2.19 55.07 8.44 -19.92 0.06 0.19 2.48 0.58P 30.62R 5.73 Shrewsbury 16 17 -4 -4.43 22.52 -3.35 54.31 8.49 -9.62 0.04 0.14 2.25 0.63P 31.44R 5.92 Doncaster 16 17 -9 -3.25 28.55 -6.47 55.67 8.32 -12.41 0.04 0.16 2.82 0.78P 26.57R 4.44 Oldham 16 16 -6 -2.93 31.12 -1.44 52.74 8.26 -12.54 0.01 0.06 1.25 0.30P 38.46R 8.54 Blackpool 16 16 -8 -3.72 26.64 -4.66 53.20 8.48 -13.74 0.04 0.11 1.55 0.50P 37.24R 8.17 Fleetwood_Town 16 15 -5 -4.59 20.98 -1.47 51.74 8.25 -11.41 0.02 0.05 1.02 0.29P 42.63R 10.38 Barnsley 16 14 -8 -7.47 9.37 -7.08 53.75 8.49 -10.54 0.02 0.12 1.92 0.57P 33.93R 6.84 Swindon 16 13 -7 -10.54 3.30 -9.33 56.27 8.68 -4.05 0.07 0.28 4.08 1.41P 23.86R 4.04 Crewe 16 13 -10 -2.95 30.47 -0.69 44.10 8.01 -25.69 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 77.94R 40.53League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 16 35 +14 8.83 93.89 7.79 85.41 8.40 27.49 40.84 74.72 94.59 80.25P 0.00R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 16 30 +12 5.48 82.54 8.14 78.37 8.56 22.71 13.45 43.76 78.99 52.83P 0.01R 0.00 Portsmouth 16 28 +9 3.77 74.07 5.54 73.05 8.51 14.82 4.69 20.97 56.71 29.56P 0.02R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 16 28 +7 6.85 88.07 8.37 69.98 8.67 8.03 2.31 12.38 42.29 18.10P 0.11R 0.02 Northampton 16 28 +5 4.62 78.39 2.90 71.06 8.70 7.69 3.04 15.23 46.73 22.18P 0.08R 0.03 Mansfield 16 26 +9 5.44 82.75 10.74 65.32 8.40 6.53 0.60 4.68 23.26 8.26P 0.36R 0.06 Leyton_Orient 16 26 +6 -3.26 28.79 -5.25 80.92 8.67 27.06 22.25 56.30 85.77 67.02P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 16 26 +1 4.31 76.59 1.83 64.40 8.70 -4.18 0.58 4.17 20.15 7.12P 0.69R 0.18 Wycombe 15 25 +7 0.78 55.32 1.59 73.42 8.73 15.80 5.29 22.97 58.58 33.14P 0.03R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 16 25 +1 3.95 75.15 2.46 64.02 8.50 -2.54 0.46 3.50 18.42 6.31P 0.71R 0.19 Morecambe 16 23 +2 1.42 60.02 2.84 66.23 8.77 4.89 0.89 6.15 27.25 10.82P 0.47R 0.10 Bristol_Rovers 15 23 +1 3.53 73.91 2.39 64.35 8.94 -0.26 0.61 4.35 20.62 7.84P 0.84R 0.20 Luton 16 22 +6 -2.10 36.21 2.81 68.29 8.68 13.70 1.53 9.86 36.59 17.26P 0.21R 0.05 Exeter 16 22 -2 0.29 52.53 -1.39 60.82 8.50 -5.78 0.18 1.59 10.72 3.65P 1.62R 0.45 Notts_County 16 22 -2 -2.44 34.68 -5.69 69.74 8.86 7.92 2.30 12.46 41.78 21.07P 0.16R 0.02 Crawley_Town 16 21 -5 -1.90 38.02 -6.41 65.76 9.05 0.33 0.90 5.77 25.68 11.23P 0.68R 0.14 Barnet 16 20 -3 1.08 58.37 1.93 55.40 8.77 -12.35 0.04 0.42 3.96 1.15P 7.38R 2.63 Cambridge_Utd 16 20 -3 0.25 52.52 0.56 56.09 8.51 -11.08 0.03 0.45 4.10 1.13P 5.64R 1.91 Hartlepool 16 17 -9 -0.55 47.37 -2.45 47.28 7.89 -25.24 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.05P 28.81R 13.24 Stevenage 16 14 -11 -7.30 10.36 -9.86 53.89 8.63 -13.17 0.01 0.21 2.46 0.76P 9.54R 3.74 Newport_County 16 13 -11 -5.29 17.55 -5.49 46.99 8.28 -21.87 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.07P 30.30R 15.04 York 16 12 -8 -8.12 7.38 -5.45 47.39 8.29 -16.23 0.00 0.02 0.41 0.11P 27.22R 12.91 Yeovil 16 9 -12 -11.47 1.88 -9.78 46.04 8.71 -18.20 0.00 0.02 0.29 0.08P 34.20R 17.91 Dag_&_Red 16 9 -14 -9.37 4.24 -8.13 42.65 8.35 -26.07 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 50.91R 31.17National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 November 2015, Barrow 1 3 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 20 40 +23 1.12 55.81 5.13 91.74 7.36 48.13 62.31 96.65 74.42P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 20 39 +13 4.67 76.13 2.36 82.56 7.64 25.13 11.85 73.06 25.84P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 20 36 +9 5.75 81.07 4.89 75.14 7.64 14.18 1.97 35.96 7.84P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 19 34 +5 4.54 75.84 -0.12 76.25 7.95 13.07 3.07 41.51 10.10P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 20 33 +21 -5.18 20.41 4.42 81.60 7.39 40.80 10.21 72.25 32.20P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 20 33 +9 5.35 78.20 9.24 70.83 8.10 11.89 0.84 19.92 3.88P 0.03R 0.00 Braintree_Town 20 33 +6 4.30 74.92 3.92 71.13 7.44 9.91 0.52 18.35 3.74P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 19 31 +10 0.96 56.01 3.96 72.83 7.81 17.13 1.21 27.07 6.31P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 19 31 +1 3.88 72.77 -0.37 70.50 7.87 4.66 0.55 17.24 3.39P 0.02R 0.00 Tranmere 19 30 +10 -4.74 22.18 -3.32 79.48 7.81 28.74 6.65 60.86 24.88P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 18 29 +7 3.70 72.73 6.18 68.64 8.02 8.57 0.37 13.19 2.48P 0.07R 0.00 Macclesfield 20 29 +7 -1.59 40.26 2.33 68.03 7.57 12.12 0.22 10.73 2.30P 0.05R 0.00 Aldershot 19 28 -2 2.91 67.98 -0.42 64.22 7.77 -3.30 0.07 4.13 0.66P 0.28R 0.01 Chester 20 28 -4 4.72 77.09 2.97 59.88 7.50 -10.52 0.00 1.05 0.12P 1.27R 0.07 Guiseley 21 26 -11 3.50 70.83 -0.88 48.24 7.04 -30.55 0.00 0.01 0.00P 23.55R 4.23 Woking 19 25 +5 -4.54 23.87 -0.26 66.08 7.90 10.99 0.14 7.85 1.80P 0.18R 0.01 Barrow 21 25 -18 5.50 81.03 -1.94 48.48 7.10 -35.84 0.00 0.02 0.01P 23.21R 4.27 Welling 20 23 -5 -0.46 48.06 0.77 52.35 7.14 -14.56 0.00 0.06 0.01P 9.04R 1.29 Altrincham 20 20 -16 0.39 53.92 -3.61 46.46 7.10 -31.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.90R 7.25 Boreham_Wood 20 19 -5 -3.24 31.88 2.93 49.01 7.59 -13.60 0.00 0.01 0.00P 20.16R 4.10 Torquay 19 16 -14 -8.33 9.13 -10.87 51.97 7.80 -16.21 0.00 0.07 0.00P 11.91R 1.99 Southport 18 15 -12 -3.22 29.57 -2.00 43.84 7.46 -26.87 0.00 0.01 0.00P 45.27R 13.97 Kidderminster 20 11 -14 -12.87 1.56 -8.55 40.75 7.26 -23.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.91R 24.23 Halifax 19 10 -25 -11.53 2.44 -16.75 38.75 7.51 -39.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.14R 38.57