Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 9 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 12 26 +17 0.20 50.20 0.97 80.75 7.12 48.54 54.34 81.78 93.35 97.26 99.45 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 26 +13 3.14 73.80 3.28 77.67 7.25 38.80 32.03 67.40 86.57 93.74 98.47 0.00 0.00 Leicester 12 25 +5 8.35 95.71 4.92 56.62 7.57 -2.77 0.15 0.99 3.64 9.23 26.31 0.11R 0.01 Man_Utd 12 24 +9 2.73 71.49 1.78 72.33 7.45 28.17 10.55 33.41 63.38 79.41 93.02 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 12 21 +10 1.95 65.70 6.20 63.77 7.74 20.84 1.40 6.81 19.22 37.59 65.39 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 12 21 +7 4.09 80.51 6.52 57.14 7.66 7.53 0.16 1.13 4.42 11.27 30.70 0.13R 0.00 Southampton 12 20 +6 0.04 50.32 0.71 60.02 7.59 12.36 0.52 2.78 8.44 19.44 44.96 0.04R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 12 19 +2 5.09 86.34 5.76 52.57 7.47 -0.97 0.02 0.20 1.07 3.36 12.74 0.63R 0.03 Everton 12 17 +4 0.13 51.48 3.42 59.56 7.69 14.38 0.37 2.22 7.82 18.26 43.58 0.06R 0.00 Liverpool 12 17 -1 -1.07 41.30 -3.49 58.58 7.73 7.79 0.27 1.71 5.95 14.51 37.15 0.10R 0.00 Watford 12 16 -1 2.40 70.03 3.60 45.67 7.63 -10.50 0.00 0.02 0.17 0.59 2.86 5.81R 0.50 Stoke 12 16 -2 -0.11 49.79 -1.59 48.23 7.29 -6.72 0.00 0.05 0.23 0.89 4.50 2.25R 0.12 West_Brom 12 14 -6 0.58 56.37 -1.54 43.17 7.25 -16.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.15 1.08 9.33R 0.87 Swansea 12 13 -4 -2.19 32.99 -2.10 46.20 7.51 -8.03 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.53 3.06 4.61R 0.36 Norwich 12 12 -7 -1.70 37.30 -1.96 38.22 7.49 -23.40 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.32 27.20R 4.79 Chelsea 12 11 -7 -9.45 2.55 -12.94 58.11 7.60 11.05 0.19 1.47 5.58 13.73 36.23 0.13R 0.00 Newcastle 12 10 -9 -2.00 34.06 -1.27 37.01 7.22 -23.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 31.69R 5.85 Bournemouth 12 8 -13 -3.84 20.62 -4.39 30.51 7.15 -36.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 69.62R 26.26 Sunderland 12 6 -13 -5.94 8.78 -5.97 28.73 6.81 -34.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.94R 34.33 Aston_Villa 12 5 -10 -6.33 6.33 -1.89 29.89 6.98 -26.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 70.35R 26.87Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 16 34 +18 4.61 79.11 7.37 89.54 8.22 38.70 54.52 75.44 97.77 83.07P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 16 34 +9 10.10 96.48 5.87 76.89 8.05 12.36 5.38 16.56 69.11 27.58P 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 16 32 +9 5.06 80.80 1.73 79.97 8.46 19.17 11.56 28.88 80.64 43.38P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 16 30 +12 2.42 66.52 3.60 80.34 8.23 25.28 11.65 31.28 83.26 47.49P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 16 30 +11 2.09 64.03 2.04 80.92 8.29 25.72 13.83 34.24 84.47 49.60P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 16 28 +7 6.04 85.40 6.82 69.40 8.29 7.79 0.97 3.75 34.69 9.43P 0.19R 0.01 Cardiff 16 25 +5 2.26 65.88 3.41 67.12 8.12 7.02 0.42 2.06 25.28 6.76P 0.33R 0.01 Reading 16 24 +6 1.74 62.40 5.38 64.69 8.29 5.78 0.27 1.14 17.29 4.30P 0.81R 0.03 Sheff_Wed 16 24 +1 3.21 72.13 2.19 62.72 8.08 -1.66 0.13 0.60 11.24 2.44P 1.29R 0.07 Ipswich 16 24 +0 0.51 53.89 -2.39 67.17 8.45 3.20 0.54 2.23 25.57 7.38P 0.53R 0.03 Brentford 16 21 -2 -1.06 43.18 -2.26 64.15 8.44 1.15 0.19 1.04 16.01 4.15P 1.19R 0.07 Fulham 16 20 +1 -0.91 44.06 2.94 59.47 8.57 -2.32 0.08 0.36 7.12 1.57P 4.31R 0.41 QPR 16 20 -2 -3.60 27.13 -4.40 62.81 8.80 0.78 0.18 0.93 13.85 4.06P 2.16R 0.19 Wolverhampton 16 19 -1 -3.85 25.25 -2.50 64.32 8.42 5.41 0.20 1.03 17.05 4.87P 0.99R 0.05 Leeds_United 16 19 -3 -0.34 48.20 0.47 56.02 8.05 -8.22 0.01 0.05 2.48 0.49P 8.13R 0.94 Blackburn 16 17 +0 -5.12 18.55 -0.51 59.83 8.26 3.01 0.05 0.22 6.90 1.83P 3.20R 0.29 Preston 16 17 -2 -3.04 29.76 -0.02 54.89 8.15 -5.41 0.01 0.06 2.01 0.45P 10.11R 1.18 Nott'm_Forest 16 17 -4 -3.75 25.74 -2.67 56.68 8.34 -5.88 0.01 0.09 3.37 0.80P 7.40R 0.82 Huddersfield 16 15 -7 -2.83 31.27 -0.83 49.61 8.12 -16.44 0.00 0.01 0.40 0.06P 27.93R 5.55 Bristol_City 16 15 -9 -4.09 24.45 -4.82 50.76 8.49 -17.38 0.00 0.02 0.72 0.14P 24.76R 5.11 MK_Dons 16 14 -9 -4.94 19.54 -4.61 49.31 8.46 -17.60 0.00 0.01 0.53 0.11P 29.75R 6.00 Charlton 16 13 -12 -4.64 19.81 -5.98 46.36 7.93 -22.66 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 43.60R 10.54 Bolton 16 11 -12 -6.79 10.03 -6.35 45.08 7.98 -21.64 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.03P 49.15R 14.03 Rotherham 16 9 -16 -5.64 13.87 -4.47 37.20 7.62 -36.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.18R 54.66League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 16 32 +14 6.57 87.53 8.86 79.40 8.44 23.27 21.90 39.98 80.78 50.84P 0.03R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 32 +3 11.00 97.00 4.10 70.74 8.54 -0.07 3.95 9.71 40.89 15.31P 0.85R 0.03 Gillingham 16 31 +13 6.05 84.88 8.55 77.33 8.72 20.79 16.16 31.15 72.52 40.99P 0.10R 0.00 Coventry 16 31 +12 6.57 87.05 8.28 77.41 8.61 19.83 15.85 30.82 72.96 40.82P 0.11R 0.00 Wigan 16 27 +8 -1.19 41.59 -1.41 80.01 8.59 25.52 25.09 43.63 82.33 57.19P 0.06R 0.00 Bury 16 27 +4 5.97 84.44 5.66 66.11 8.81 0.34 1.61 4.27 24.29 7.96P 3.75R 0.26 Millwall 16 25 +1 1.26 58.52 -1.55 70.13 8.89 6.99 4.15 9.75 40.55 17.59P 1.38R 0.09 Sheff_Utd 16 24 +4 -1.78 37.91 -1.73 70.71 8.53 12.26 4.40 10.59 43.61 20.25P 0.90R 0.03 Bradford 16 24 -1 2.45 66.97 -0.61 64.85 8.28 -1.10 0.78 2.46 18.61 5.91P 4.01R 0.29 Scunthorpe 16 23 +3 1.36 59.69 3.68 62.99 8.52 0.93 0.52 1.71 14.61 4.37P 6.83R 0.62 Chesterfield 16 23 -1 -0.26 48.51 -2.94 66.79 8.63 2.77 1.60 4.45 26.30 9.77P 2.94R 0.24 Southend 16 23 -1 3.38 72.93 2.08 59.85 8.38 -6.71 0.19 0.71 7.33 1.98P 13.16R 1.34 Peterborough 16 21 +5 -3.25 29.29 1.48 68.48 8.66 14.51 2.60 6.90 34.65 14.62P 1.93R 0.13 Rochdale 16 21 +2 -1.74 38.70 0.90 63.91 8.57 4.36 0.78 2.35 17.36 6.05P 5.62R 0.44 Port_Vale 16 20 +0 -0.92 44.59 1.48 58.64 8.31 -3.94 0.13 0.45 5.86 1.60P 15.67R 1.87 Colchester 16 20 -9 1.84 63.56 -2.10 54.97 8.46 -20.07 0.03 0.16 2.45 0.56P 30.64R 5.97 Shrewsbury 16 17 -4 -4.42 22.69 -3.33 54.40 8.54 -9.52 0.04 0.14 2.42 0.70P 31.55R 6.11 Doncaster 16 17 -9 -3.20 28.91 -6.42 55.54 8.34 -12.59 0.04 0.18 2.71 0.72P 27.19R 4.88 Oldham 16 16 -6 -3.07 30.10 -1.63 52.81 8.33 -12.49 0.02 0.08 1.41 0.33P 38.60R 8.54 Blackpool 16 16 -8 -3.68 26.98 -4.60 53.22 8.62 -13.73 0.04 0.11 1.64 0.46P 37.11R 8.32 Fleetwood_Town 16 15 -5 -4.50 21.51 -1.29 51.58 8.30 -11.71 0.01 0.05 0.88 0.21P 43.32R 10.98 Barnsley 16 14 -8 -7.50 9.37 -7.11 53.84 8.49 -10.37 0.03 0.10 1.98 0.53P 33.55R 6.79 Swindon 16 13 -7 -10.56 3.14 -9.36 56.36 8.56 -3.96 0.08 0.25 3.80 1.24P 23.10R 3.94 Crewe 16 13 -10 -3.08 29.31 -0.99 44.31 7.97 -25.31 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 77.59R 39.14League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 16 35 +14 8.89 94.12 7.87 85.28 8.41 27.30 40.19 74.19 94.36 79.74P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 16 30 +12 5.50 82.79 8.19 78.33 8.53 22.69 13.37 43.36 79.02 52.46P 0.01R 0.00 Portsmouth 16 28 +9 3.72 73.95 5.46 73.16 8.56 14.96 5.01 21.73 57.41 30.58P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 16 28 +7 6.84 87.79 8.34 70.04 8.69 8.15 2.39 12.76 42.17 18.56P 0.10R 0.02 Northampton 16 28 +5 4.61 78.09 2.91 71.02 8.68 7.62 2.89 14.92 46.49 21.99P 0.07R 0.01 Mansfield 16 26 +9 5.41 82.78 10.70 65.43 8.43 6.68 0.70 4.83 23.68 8.34P 0.34R 0.07 Leyton_Orient 16 26 +6 -3.22 29.27 -5.17 80.93 8.73 27.05 22.61 56.27 85.77 66.82P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 16 26 +1 4.36 77.05 1.93 64.19 8.67 -4.50 0.50 3.97 19.40 6.89P 0.64R 0.18 Wycombe 15 25 +7 0.72 54.85 1.52 73.38 8.65 15.74 5.05 22.70 58.70 32.96P 0.04R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 16 25 +1 3.92 74.94 2.42 63.97 8.60 -2.59 0.47 3.62 18.58 6.56P 0.79R 0.21 Morecambe 16 23 +2 1.53 60.75 2.98 66.08 8.81 4.57 0.96 6.02 26.93 10.71P 0.54R 0.12 Bristol_Rovers 15 23 +1 3.52 73.77 2.35 64.44 8.91 -0.15 0.62 4.31 20.73 7.78P 0.77R 0.23 Luton 16 22 +6 -2.14 35.92 2.74 68.31 8.64 13.76 1.58 9.63 36.57 16.95P 0.21R 0.03 Exeter 16 22 -2 0.26 52.10 -1.47 60.86 8.59 -5.76 0.21 1.68 10.86 3.72P 1.66R 0.49 Notts_County 16 22 -2 -2.48 33.99 -5.78 69.97 8.89 8.22 2.50 13.08 42.66 21.75P 0.15R 0.04 Crawley_Town 16 21 -5 -1.85 38.32 -6.33 65.73 9.06 0.35 0.86 5.88 25.44 11.01P 0.68R 0.20 Barnet 16 20 -3 1.03 57.90 1.88 55.40 8.74 -12.29 0.04 0.45 3.79 1.07P 7.47R 2.64 Cambridge_Utd 16 20 -3 0.19 52.21 0.53 56.09 8.47 -11.06 0.05 0.38 3.87 1.09P 5.86R 2.12 Hartlepool 16 17 -9 -0.52 47.60 -2.39 47.17 7.87 -25.43 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.06P 29.37R 13.56 Stevenage 16 14 -11 -7.15 10.79 -9.66 53.62 8.63 -13.64 0.01 0.18 2.30 0.70P 10.15R 3.90 Newport_County 16 13 -11 -5.26 17.87 -5.46 47.05 8.23 -21.80 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.06P 30.38R 14.96 York 16 12 -8 -8.13 7.28 -5.47 47.51 8.22 -15.98 0.00 0.02 0.35 0.09P 26.53R 12.45 Yeovil 16 9 -12 -11.42 2.09 -9.72 45.94 8.70 -18.31 0.00 0.02 0.29 0.09P 34.54R 18.46 Dag_&_Red 16 9 -14 -9.51 3.94 -8.38 42.97 8.37 -25.57 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 49.68R 30.27National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Guiseley 3 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 19 38 +13 5.33 80.08 2.79 83.48 7.81 25.91 17.47 76.38 31.13P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 19 37 +18 1.57 59.04 3.62 89.62 7.64 42.00 51.29 93.88 65.43P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 19 36 +10 7.25 87.29 6.04 76.86 7.85 15.70 4.45 44.04 11.51P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 19 33 +10 6.44 83.12 9.67 73.52 8.45 15.05 2.46 30.78 7.11P 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 19 32 +6 4.52 76.50 3.72 71.33 7.68 9.65 0.88 19.40 4.45P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 19 31 +10 0.95 55.82 3.99 72.86 7.81 17.19 1.63 26.88 6.78P 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 18 31 +4 3.23 69.80 -0.59 73.47 8.17 10.08 1.98 29.26 6.81P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 19 31 +1 3.81 72.59 -0.49 70.55 7.91 4.72 0.69 17.20 3.60P 0.03R 0.00 Grimsby 19 30 +19 -5.86 17.05 4.02 80.47 7.52 39.48 10.04 66.72 29.93P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 19 30 +10 -4.79 22.04 -3.35 79.53 7.88 28.70 8.14 60.70 25.88P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 18 29 +7 3.77 72.90 6.27 68.54 8.05 8.40 0.49 12.71 2.52P 0.08R 0.00 Aldershot 19 28 -2 2.88 68.24 -0.52 64.31 7.73 -3.12 0.07 4.16 0.74P 0.34R 0.01 Macclesfield 19 26 +4 -2.16 36.59 0.88 66.32 7.78 8.99 0.17 7.59 1.67P 0.16R 0.01 Guiseley 20 26 -6 2.73 67.02 0.35 50.34 7.29 -23.91 0.00 0.06 0.01P 16.59R 2.57 Chester 19 25 -6 3.67 73.20 1.85 57.76 7.72 -13.22 0.00 0.65 0.07P 3.08R 0.30 Barrow 20 25 -16 6.06 83.68 -1.60 49.38 7.36 -34.42 0.00 0.04 0.00P 21.66R 4.03 Woking 18 24 +5 -4.05 25.80 -0.11 66.62 8.09 11.20 0.24 9.36 2.30P 0.16R 0.01 Welling 19 22 -5 -0.24 49.44 0.57 52.33 7.37 -15.11 0.00 0.09 0.01P 10.52R 1.47 Altrincham 19 20 -13 0.78 56.37 -2.24 47.81 7.37 -27.92 0.00 0.01 0.00P 27.66R 5.87 Boreham_Wood 19 16 -6 -4.88 22.48 1.82 46.57 7.82 -15.80 0.00 0.02 0.01P 32.09R 8.51 Torquay 19 16 -14 -8.23 9.42 -10.70 51.72 7.84 -16.56 0.00 0.09 0.02P 13.55R 2.55 Southport 18 15 -12 -3.18 29.63 -1.98 43.73 7.43 -27.04 0.00 0.01 0.00 47.83R 15.10 Kidderminster 19 11 -12 -12.06 2.03 -7.46 42.70 7.56 -20.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.66R 17.98 Halifax 19 10 -25 -11.36 2.59 -16.55 38.55 7.50 -39.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.55R 41.61