Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 9 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   26  +17       0.20    50.20     0.97    80.75     7.12    48.54    54.34    81.78    93.35    97.26    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   26  +13       3.14    73.80     3.28    77.67     7.25    38.80    32.03    67.40    86.57    93.74    98.47     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.35    95.71     4.92    56.62     7.57    -2.77     0.15     0.99     3.64     9.23    26.31     0.11R    0.01  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.73    71.49     1.78    72.33     7.45    28.17    10.55    33.41    63.38    79.41    93.02     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       1.95    65.70     6.20    63.77     7.74    20.84     1.40     6.81    19.22    37.59    65.39     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.09    80.51     6.52    57.14     7.66     7.53     0.16     1.13     4.42    11.27    30.70     0.13R    0.00  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.04    50.32     0.71    60.02     7.59    12.36     0.52     2.78     8.44    19.44    44.96     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.09    86.34     5.76    52.57     7.47    -0.97     0.02     0.20     1.07     3.36    12.74     0.63R    0.03  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.13    51.48     3.42    59.56     7.69    14.38     0.37     2.22     7.82    18.26    43.58     0.06R    0.00  
Liverpool        12   17   -1      -1.07    41.30    -3.49    58.58     7.73     7.79     0.27     1.71     5.95    14.51    37.15     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.40    70.03     3.60    45.67     7.63   -10.50     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.59     2.86     5.81R    0.50  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.11    49.79    -1.59    48.23     7.29    -6.72     0.00     0.05     0.23     0.89     4.50     2.25R    0.12  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.58    56.37    -1.54    43.17     7.25   -16.01     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.15     1.08     9.33R    0.87  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.19    32.99    -2.10    46.20     7.51    -8.03     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.53     3.06     4.61R    0.36  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.70    37.30    -1.96    38.22     7.49   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.32    27.20R    4.79  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.45     2.55   -12.94    58.11     7.60    11.05     0.19     1.47     5.58    13.73    36.23     0.13R    0.00  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -2.00    34.06    -1.27    37.01     7.22   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    31.69R    5.85  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.84    20.62    -4.39    30.51     7.15   -36.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01    69.62R   26.26  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -5.94     8.78    -5.97    28.73     6.81   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.94R   34.33  
Aston_Villa      12    5  -10      -6.33     6.33    -1.89    29.89     6.98   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.35R   26.87  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.61    79.11     7.37    89.54     8.22    38.70    54.52    75.44    97.77    83.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.10    96.48     5.87    76.89     8.05    12.36     5.38    16.56    69.11    27.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.06    80.80     1.73    79.97     8.46    19.17    11.56    28.88    80.64    43.38P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   30  +12       2.42    66.52     3.60    80.34     8.23    25.28    11.65    31.28    83.26    47.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.09    64.03     2.04    80.92     8.29    25.72    13.83    34.24    84.47    49.60P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.04    85.40     6.82    69.40     8.29     7.79     0.97     3.75    34.69     9.43P    0.19R    0.01  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.26    65.88     3.41    67.12     8.12     7.02     0.42     2.06    25.28     6.76P    0.33R    0.01  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.74    62.40     5.38    64.69     8.29     5.78     0.27     1.14    17.29     4.30P    0.81R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.21    72.13     2.19    62.72     8.08    -1.66     0.13     0.60    11.24     2.44P    1.29R    0.07  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.51    53.89    -2.39    67.17     8.45     3.20     0.54     2.23    25.57     7.38P    0.53R    0.03  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.06    43.18    -2.26    64.15     8.44     1.15     0.19     1.04    16.01     4.15P    1.19R    0.07  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -0.91    44.06     2.94    59.47     8.57    -2.32     0.08     0.36     7.12     1.57P    4.31R    0.41  
QPR             16   20   -2      -3.60    27.13    -4.40    62.81     8.80     0.78     0.18     0.93    13.85     4.06P    2.16R    0.19  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.85    25.25    -2.50    64.32     8.42     5.41     0.20     1.03    17.05     4.87P    0.99R    0.05  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.34    48.20     0.47    56.02     8.05    -8.22     0.01     0.05     2.48     0.49P    8.13R    0.94  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.12    18.55    -0.51    59.83     8.26     3.01     0.05     0.22     6.90     1.83P    3.20R    0.29  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.04    29.76    -0.02    54.89     8.15    -5.41     0.01     0.06     2.01     0.45P   10.11R    1.18  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.75    25.74    -2.67    56.68     8.34    -5.88     0.01     0.09     3.37     0.80P    7.40R    0.82  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.83    31.27    -0.83    49.61     8.12   -16.44     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.06P   27.93R    5.55  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -4.09    24.45    -4.82    50.76     8.49   -17.38     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.14P   24.76R    5.11  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.94    19.54    -4.61    49.31     8.46   -17.60     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.11P   29.75R    6.00  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.64    19.81    -5.98    46.36     7.93   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   43.60R   10.54  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.79    10.03    -6.35    45.08     7.98   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   49.15R   14.03  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.64    13.87    -4.47    37.20     7.62   -36.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.18R   54.66  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.57    87.53     8.86    79.40     8.44    23.27    21.90    39.98    80.78    50.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      11.00    97.00     4.10    70.74     8.54    -0.07     3.95     9.71    40.89    15.31P    0.85R    0.03  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       6.05    84.88     8.55    77.33     8.72    20.79    16.16    31.15    72.52    40.99P    0.10R    0.00  
Coventry         16   31  +12       6.57    87.05     8.28    77.41     8.61    19.83    15.85    30.82    72.96    40.82P    0.11R    0.00  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.19    41.59    -1.41    80.01     8.59    25.52    25.09    43.63    82.33    57.19P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.97    84.44     5.66    66.11     8.81     0.34     1.61     4.27    24.29     7.96P    3.75R    0.26  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.26    58.52    -1.55    70.13     8.89     6.99     4.15     9.75    40.55    17.59P    1.38R    0.09  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.78    37.91    -1.73    70.71     8.53    12.26     4.40    10.59    43.61    20.25P    0.90R    0.03  
Bradford         16   24   -1       2.45    66.97    -0.61    64.85     8.28    -1.10     0.78     2.46    18.61     5.91P    4.01R    0.29  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.36    59.69     3.68    62.99     8.52     0.93     0.52     1.71    14.61     4.37P    6.83R    0.62  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.26    48.51    -2.94    66.79     8.63     2.77     1.60     4.45    26.30     9.77P    2.94R    0.24  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.38    72.93     2.08    59.85     8.38    -6.71     0.19     0.71     7.33     1.98P   13.16R    1.34  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.25    29.29     1.48    68.48     8.66    14.51     2.60     6.90    34.65    14.62P    1.93R    0.13  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.74    38.70     0.90    63.91     8.57     4.36     0.78     2.35    17.36     6.05P    5.62R    0.44  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -0.92    44.59     1.48    58.64     8.31    -3.94     0.13     0.45     5.86     1.60P   15.67R    1.87  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.84    63.56    -2.10    54.97     8.46   -20.07     0.03     0.16     2.45     0.56P   30.64R    5.97  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.42    22.69    -3.33    54.40     8.54    -9.52     0.04     0.14     2.42     0.70P   31.55R    6.11  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.20    28.91    -6.42    55.54     8.34   -12.59     0.04     0.18     2.71     0.72P   27.19R    4.88  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -3.07    30.10    -1.63    52.81     8.33   -12.49     0.02     0.08     1.41     0.33P   38.60R    8.54  
Blackpool        16   16   -8      -3.68    26.98    -4.60    53.22     8.62   -13.73     0.04     0.11     1.64     0.46P   37.11R    8.32  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.50    21.51    -1.29    51.58     8.30   -11.71     0.01     0.05     0.88     0.21P   43.32R   10.98  
Barnsley         16   14   -8      -7.50     9.37    -7.11    53.84     8.49   -10.37     0.03     0.10     1.98     0.53P   33.55R    6.79  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.56     3.14    -9.36    56.36     8.56    -3.96     0.08     0.25     3.80     1.24P   23.10R    3.94  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -3.08    29.31    -0.99    44.31     7.97   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   77.59R   39.14  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.89    94.12     7.87    85.28     8.41    27.30    40.19    74.19    94.36    79.74P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.50    82.79     8.19    78.33     8.53    22.69    13.37    43.36    79.02    52.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.72    73.95     5.46    73.16     8.56    14.96     5.01    21.73    57.41    30.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.84    87.79     8.34    70.04     8.69     8.15     2.39    12.76    42.17    18.56P    0.10R    0.02  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.61    78.09     2.91    71.02     8.68     7.62     2.89    14.92    46.49    21.99P    0.07R    0.01  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.41    82.78    10.70    65.43     8.43     6.68     0.70     4.83    23.68     8.34P    0.34R    0.07  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.22    29.27    -5.17    80.93     8.73    27.05    22.61    56.27    85.77    66.82P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.36    77.05     1.93    64.19     8.67    -4.50     0.50     3.97    19.40     6.89P    0.64R    0.18  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.72    54.85     1.52    73.38     8.65    15.74     5.05    22.70    58.70    32.96P    0.04R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.92    74.94     2.42    63.97     8.60    -2.59     0.47     3.62    18.58     6.56P    0.79R    0.21  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.53    60.75     2.98    66.08     8.81     4.57     0.96     6.02    26.93    10.71P    0.54R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.52    73.77     2.35    64.44     8.91    -0.15     0.62     4.31    20.73     7.78P    0.77R    0.23  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.14    35.92     2.74    68.31     8.64    13.76     1.58     9.63    36.57    16.95P    0.21R    0.03  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.26    52.10    -1.47    60.86     8.59    -5.76     0.21     1.68    10.86     3.72P    1.66R    0.49  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.48    33.99    -5.78    69.97     8.89     8.22     2.50    13.08    42.66    21.75P    0.15R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.85    38.32    -6.33    65.73     9.06     0.35     0.86     5.88    25.44    11.01P    0.68R    0.20  
Barnet               16   20   -3       1.03    57.90     1.88    55.40     8.74   -12.29     0.04     0.45     3.79     1.07P    7.47R    2.64  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.19    52.21     0.53    56.09     8.47   -11.06     0.05     0.38     3.87     1.09P    5.86R    2.12  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.52    47.60    -2.39    47.17     7.87   -25.43     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   29.37R   13.56  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.15    10.79    -9.66    53.62     8.63   -13.64     0.01     0.18     2.30     0.70P   10.15R    3.90  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.26    17.87    -5.46    47.05     8.23   -21.80     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   30.38R   14.96  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.13     7.28    -5.47    47.51     8.22   -15.98     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.09P   26.53R   12.45  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.42     2.09    -9.72    45.94     8.70   -18.31     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.09P   34.54R   18.46  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.51     3.94    -8.38    42.97     8.37   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   49.68R   30.27  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Guiseley 3 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     19   38  +13       5.33    80.08     2.79    83.48     7.81    25.91    17.47    76.38    31.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   37  +18       1.57    59.04     3.62    89.62     7.64    42.00    51.29    93.88    65.43P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   19   36  +10       7.25    87.29     6.04    76.86     7.85    15.70     4.45    44.04    11.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          19   33  +10       6.44    83.12     9.67    73.52     8.45    15.05     2.46    30.78     7.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   32   +6       4.52    76.50     3.72    71.33     7.68     9.65     0.88    19.40     4.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       0.95    55.82     3.99    72.86     7.81    17.19     1.63    26.88     6.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh        18   31   +4       3.23    69.80    -0.59    73.47     8.17    10.08     1.98    29.26     6.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.81    72.59    -0.49    70.55     7.91     4.72     0.69    17.20     3.60P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby          19   30  +19      -5.86    17.05     4.02    80.47     7.52    39.48    10.04    66.72    29.93P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.79    22.04    -3.35    79.53     7.88    28.70     8.14    60.70    25.88P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   29   +7       3.77    72.90     6.27    68.54     8.05     8.40     0.49    12.71     2.52P    0.08R    0.00  
Aldershot        19   28   -2       2.88    68.24    -0.52    64.31     7.73    -3.12     0.07     4.16     0.74P    0.34R    0.01  
Macclesfield     19   26   +4      -2.16    36.59     0.88    66.32     7.78     8.99     0.17     7.59     1.67P    0.16R    0.01  
Guiseley         20   26   -6       2.73    67.02     0.35    50.34     7.29   -23.91     0.00     0.06     0.01P   16.59R    2.57  
Chester          19   25   -6       3.67    73.20     1.85    57.76     7.72   -13.22     0.00     0.65     0.07P    3.08R    0.30  
Barrow           20   25  -16       6.06    83.68    -1.60    49.38     7.36   -34.42     0.00     0.04     0.00P   21.66R    4.03  
Woking           18   24   +5      -4.05    25.80    -0.11    66.62     8.09    11.20     0.24     9.36     2.30P    0.16R    0.01  
Welling          19   22   -5      -0.24    49.44     0.57    52.33     7.37   -15.11     0.00     0.09     0.01P   10.52R    1.47  
Altrincham       19   20  -13       0.78    56.37    -2.24    47.81     7.37   -27.92     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.66R    5.87  
Boreham_Wood     19   16   -6      -4.88    22.48     1.82    46.57     7.82   -15.80     0.00     0.02     0.01P   32.09R    8.51  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.23     9.42   -10.70    51.72     7.84   -16.56     0.00     0.09     0.02P   13.55R    2.55  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.18    29.63    -1.98    43.73     7.43   -27.04     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.83R   15.10  
Kidderminster    19   11  -12     -12.06     2.03    -7.46    42.70     7.56   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.66R   17.98  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.36     2.59   -16.55    38.55     7.50   -39.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.55R   41.61