Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 8 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 November 2015, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   26  +17       0.15    49.50     0.85    80.85     7.13    48.67    55.42    82.18    93.43    97.23    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   26  +13       3.25    74.73     3.48    77.53     7.28    38.50    30.76    66.65    86.02    93.53    98.40     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.22    95.29     4.74    56.81     7.61    -2.47     0.16     1.08     3.95     9.83    27.47     0.14R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.64    70.80     1.63    72.43     7.45    28.38    10.75    33.95    64.00    79.74    93.13     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   21  +10       1.94    65.41     6.18    63.77     7.71    20.86     1.42     6.74    19.07    37.50    65.19     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.08    80.53     6.51    57.19     7.62     7.64     0.18     1.21     4.56    11.37    30.77     0.09R    0.00  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.11    50.67     0.78    59.92     7.57    12.19     0.50     2.62     8.34    19.20    44.43     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   12   19   +2       5.09    86.55     5.74    52.60     7.42    -0.85     0.02     0.19     0.99     3.36    12.68     0.56R    0.03  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.13    51.54     3.44    59.51     7.72    14.25     0.33     2.23     7.65    18.07    43.49     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool        12   17   -1      -1.00    41.77    -3.38    58.39     7.77     7.43     0.27     1.67     5.89    14.11    36.51     0.13R    0.00  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.39    69.98     3.59    45.77     7.68   -10.37     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.64     3.09     5.64R    0.49  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.15    49.34    -1.67    48.15     7.28    -6.82     0.00     0.03     0.22     0.87     4.41     2.22R    0.17  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.54    55.79    -1.57    43.21     7.30   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.16     1.12     9.39R    0.95  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.09    34.16    -1.96    46.04     7.49    -8.32     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.50     2.82     4.82R    0.38  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.67    37.72    -1.94    38.28     7.50   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.34    27.04R    4.76  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.51     2.47   -13.02    58.13     7.61    11.11     0.19     1.41     5.55    13.83    36.53     0.10R    0.01  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -2.02    33.96    -1.30    37.09     7.26   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    31.58R    5.87  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.85    20.57    -4.43    30.65     7.19   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.00R   25.57  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -6.01     8.73    -6.00    28.78     6.78   -34.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.70R   34.11  
Aston_Villa      12    5  -10      -6.19     6.78    -1.67    29.68     7.00   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.50R   27.65  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.68    79.50     7.44    89.43     8.23    38.54    54.16    75.50    97.75    83.36P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.22    96.70     6.02    76.62     8.07    11.99     5.05    15.71    67.88    26.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.10    80.97     1.77    79.84     8.44    19.07    11.43    28.35    80.57    42.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   30  +12       2.38    66.12     3.55    80.48     8.26    25.44    12.45    32.19    83.68    48.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.07    63.83     2.05    80.88     8.26    25.70    13.77    34.09    84.65    49.47P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.04    85.52     6.85    69.33     8.27     7.69     0.97     3.83    34.51     9.49P    0.16R    0.01  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.24    65.51     3.41    67.11     8.18     7.00     0.47     2.21    25.18     7.15P    0.31R    0.01  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.82    62.97     5.48    64.75     8.25     5.89     0.24     1.17    17.63     4.18P    0.81R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.20    72.02     2.18    62.88     8.12    -1.46     0.12     0.68    11.80     2.76P    1.30R    0.06  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.45    53.38    -2.50    67.20     8.44     3.29     0.60     2.42    25.63     7.47P    0.46R    0.02  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.10    42.95    -2.32    64.24     8.48     1.24     0.22     1.08    16.51     4.34P    1.20R    0.07  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -1.04    43.41     2.74    59.59     8.61    -2.12     0.06     0.32     7.28     1.59P    4.45R    0.43  
QPR             16   20   -2      -3.56    27.37    -4.36    62.84     8.74     0.75     0.19     0.99    13.84     3.96P    1.93R    0.15  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.76    26.09    -2.40    64.17     8.39     5.23     0.22     0.97    16.42     4.83P    1.12R    0.09  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.26    49.02     0.56    55.95     8.04    -8.35     0.00     0.05     2.39     0.49P    8.09R    0.89  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.17    18.16    -0.59    59.92     8.22     3.13     0.05     0.27     7.04     1.91P    3.05R    0.27  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.14    29.33    -0.12    55.02     8.26    -5.22     0.01     0.04     2.17     0.44P   10.02R    1.21  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.70    26.00    -2.58    56.59     8.30    -6.00     0.01     0.08     3.20     0.71P    7.61R    0.86  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.78    31.48    -0.76    49.47     8.13   -16.66     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.08P   28.31R    5.68  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -4.08    24.69    -4.80    50.69     8.57   -17.50     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.15P   25.19R    5.25  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.95    19.14    -4.67    49.43     8.44   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.09P   29.06R    6.04  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.65    19.77    -6.02    46.28     8.01   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   44.19R   11.16  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.87     9.88    -6.47    45.24     7.97   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   48.74R   13.84  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.68    13.62    -4.50    37.25     7.69   -36.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.98R   53.90  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.53    87.37     8.85    79.24     8.34    23.06    21.26    39.08    80.49    49.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      11.06    96.97     4.15    70.62     8.54    -0.27     3.89     9.54    40.48    15.19P    0.88R    0.04  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       6.13    85.27     8.66    77.23     8.68    20.72    15.95    30.95    71.91    40.57P    0.09R    0.00  
Coventry         16   31  +12       6.56    86.94     8.28    77.47     8.67    19.90    16.55    31.37    73.12    41.27P    0.08R    0.00  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.16    41.63    -1.38    79.96     8.58    25.46    25.00    43.36    81.93    56.95P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.96    84.46     5.66    66.29     8.81     0.58     1.72     4.48    24.72     8.23P    3.59R    0.26  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.26    58.53    -1.55    70.19     8.94     7.01     4.25    10.07    40.63    17.87P    1.40R    0.08  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.86    37.17    -1.86    70.89     8.54    12.52     4.55    11.13    44.60    20.74P    0.89R    0.04  
Bradford         16   24   -1       2.48    67.14    -0.55    64.75     8.26    -1.27     0.83     2.40    18.10     5.83P    4.15R    0.29  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.24    58.83     3.51    63.30     8.49     1.41     0.61     1.97    15.27     4.83P    6.16R    0.51  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.26    48.35    -2.97    66.84     8.54     2.79     1.49     4.14    26.44     9.55P    2.88R    0.19  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.57    73.81     2.39    59.50     8.34    -7.28     0.21     0.68     6.92     1.80P   14.06R    1.47  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.27    29.40     1.46    68.26     8.69    14.18     2.46     6.77    33.96    14.41P    2.19R    0.14  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.71    38.88     0.96    63.85     8.59     4.25     0.79     2.36    17.27     5.98P    5.90R    0.57  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -1.06    43.26     1.28    58.78     8.31    -3.74     0.14     0.57     6.18     1.79P   15.27R    1.78  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.81    63.45    -2.18    55.12     8.51   -19.77     0.05     0.21     2.80     0.70P   30.50R    5.79  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.46    22.55    -3.38    54.50     8.59    -9.44     0.05     0.16     2.47     0.69P   31.21R    5.90  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.18    28.94    -6.36    55.56     8.33   -12.60     0.04     0.17     2.66     0.69P   26.92R    4.68  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -3.00    30.52    -1.57    52.82     8.27   -12.46     0.02     0.06     1.30     0.30P   38.13R    8.41  
Blackpool        16   16   -8      -3.76    26.73    -4.74    53.41     8.55   -13.43     0.02     0.11     1.77     0.50P   36.44R    7.85  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.53    21.05    -1.39    51.77     8.27   -11.41     0.01     0.05     1.01     0.23P   42.73R   10.06  
Barnsley         16   14   -8      -7.46     9.51    -7.07    53.64     8.51   -10.63     0.01     0.11     1.94     0.57P   34.99R    7.22  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.59     3.21    -9.36    56.33     8.62    -3.99     0.08     0.25     3.97     1.37P   23.07R    4.05  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -3.00    29.98    -0.86    44.09     7.92   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   78.40R   40.65  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.91    93.89     7.88    85.32     8.40    27.33    40.43    74.33    94.53    80.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.47    82.59     8.16    78.30     8.57    22.66    13.18    43.32    79.02    52.66P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.79    74.05     5.52    73.09     8.52    14.89     4.63    21.59    57.44    30.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.90    87.85     8.44    69.78     8.73     7.72     2.21    11.94    41.58    17.74P    0.12R    0.01  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.63    78.25     2.92    71.04     8.68     7.71     3.05    14.85    46.93    21.80P    0.06R    0.02  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.42    82.82    10.73    65.29     8.44     6.51     0.65     4.84    23.33     8.42P    0.37R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.18    29.05    -5.15    80.95     8.66    27.03    22.61    56.57    85.85    67.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.32    76.76     1.86    64.34     8.73    -4.26     0.60     4.13    20.05     7.18P    0.61R    0.14  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.80    55.77     1.63    73.38     8.69    15.69     5.28    23.02    58.60    33.08P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.91    74.78     2.40    64.05     8.55    -2.47     0.53     3.53    18.38     6.42P    0.75R    0.18  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.38    59.58     2.75    66.27     8.79     4.92     0.94     6.18    27.86    10.97P    0.50R    0.13  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.55    74.02     2.41    64.36     9.00    -0.30     0.68     4.52    20.64     8.09P    0.85R    0.27  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.11    36.34     2.78    68.26     8.68    13.65     1.67     9.91    36.58    17.11P    0.20R    0.05  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.28    52.45    -1.40    60.85     8.57    -5.79     0.22     1.66    10.88     3.61P    1.70R    0.44  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.36    34.80    -5.58    69.69     8.89     7.78     2.28    12.51    41.59    20.95P    0.18R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.89    38.27    -6.41    65.71     9.11     0.32     0.96     6.01    25.50    11.13P    0.67R    0.20  
Barnet               16   20   -3       0.91    57.06     1.72    55.66     8.72   -11.95     0.04     0.46     4.02     1.11P    7.04R    2.45  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.22    52.56     0.56    56.05     8.38   -11.14     0.02     0.39     3.76     0.98P    5.72R    1.99  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.59    46.81    -2.57    47.32     7.85   -25.10     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   28.81R   13.06  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.22    10.41    -9.75    53.75     8.59   -13.38     0.01     0.18     2.32     0.68P    9.88R    3.76  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.38    17.13    -5.62    47.22     8.25   -21.53     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.08P   29.61R   14.50  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.18     7.10    -5.55    47.60     8.23   -15.89     0.00     0.02     0.36     0.11P   26.45R   12.15  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.30     2.17    -9.53    45.78     8.72   -18.53     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   35.59R   19.41  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.41     4.09    -8.22    42.79     8.32   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   50.86R   31.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Guiseley 3 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     19   38  +13       5.28    79.55     2.72    83.48     7.93    25.95    17.49    75.65    31.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       19   37  +18       1.50    58.44     3.55    89.81     7.59    42.30    51.61    93.99    65.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   19   36  +10       7.10    86.73     5.81    76.97     7.92    15.89     4.37    44.69    11.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          19   33  +10       6.39    83.02     9.59    73.55     8.39    15.05     2.19    30.48     6.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   32   +6       4.53    76.89     3.72    71.42     7.65     9.80     0.85    19.41     4.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       1.05    56.44     4.11    72.73     7.89    16.95     1.60    26.45     6.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh        18   31   +4       3.13    69.08    -0.76    73.73     8.18    10.52     2.17    30.08     7.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.87    72.78    -0.37    70.39     7.85     4.42     0.75    16.28     3.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Grimsby          19   30  +19      -5.82    17.21     4.03    80.42     7.53    39.38     9.71    66.24    29.44P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.97    21.19    -3.63    79.84     7.77    29.19     8.32    62.12    26.29P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   29   +7       3.73    72.84     6.22    68.51     8.07     8.42     0.45    12.80     2.51P    0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot        19   28   -2       2.78    67.58    -0.65    64.38     7.78    -3.04     0.08     4.24     0.72P    0.37R    0.03  
Macclesfield     19   26   +4      -2.14    36.96     0.95    66.20     7.80     8.87     0.14     7.46     1.62P    0.15R    0.01  
Guiseley         20   26   -6       2.81    67.22     0.41    50.27     7.30   -24.10     0.00     0.05     0.01P   16.41R    2.52  
Chester          19   25   -6       3.67    72.78     1.86    57.81     7.71   -13.13     0.01     0.58     0.08P    3.03R    0.30  
Barrow           20   25  -16       6.07    83.59    -1.47    49.36     7.41   -34.59     0.00     0.04     0.00    21.93R    4.20  
Woking           18   24   +5      -4.06    25.72    -0.10    66.56     8.14    11.15     0.26     9.24     2.19P    0.22R    0.01  
Welling          19   22   -5      -0.20    49.75     0.64    52.24     7.38   -15.26     0.00     0.08     0.01P   10.59R    1.53  
Altrincham       19   20  -13       0.82    56.93    -2.19    47.78     7.30   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00P   27.20R    5.76  
Boreham_Wood     19   16   -6      -4.61    23.48     2.27    46.21     7.84   -16.35     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.76R    9.09  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.27     9.29   -10.80    51.83     7.80   -16.38     0.00     0.10     0.02P   12.66R    2.26  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.14    30.21    -1.95    43.80     7.54   -26.91     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.14R   15.27  
Kidderminster    19   11  -12     -11.89     2.04    -7.22    42.45     7.53   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.51R   18.83  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.50     2.43   -16.75    38.68     7.50   -39.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.86R   40.18