Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 7 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Bournemouth 0 1 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   25  +17       1.21    59.45     1.67    82.88     7.22    52.29    59.41    86.31    95.49    98.24    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   25  +13       3.92    80.12     3.87    78.88     7.43    40.31    30.79    70.05    87.77    94.41    98.73     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        12   25   +5       8.16    95.13     4.64    56.72     7.61    -2.73     0.13     0.91     3.60     9.10    26.19     0.09R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   24   +9       2.69    71.17     1.70    72.31     7.42    28.20     7.45    28.41    61.56    78.21    92.71     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         12   21   +7       4.12    80.67     6.69    57.11     7.62     7.48     0.11     0.96     4.05    10.51    29.38     0.11R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   20  +10       2.00    66.45     5.63    63.47     7.87    19.78     0.98     5.65    17.21    34.75    62.72     0.00R    0.00  
Southampton      12   20   +6       0.15    50.93     0.83    59.87     7.53    12.11     0.31     1.96     7.33    17.65    43.13     0.03R    0.00  
Everton          12   17   +4       0.14    51.56     3.50    59.69     7.66    14.53     0.20     1.71     7.19    17.76    43.51     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool        11   17   +0       0.43    53.84    -2.39    60.96     7.90    10.24     0.50     2.78     9.47    22.11    48.67     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   11   16   +1       3.30    77.65     4.59    49.90     7.55    -3.48     0.01     0.07     0.42     1.64     7.24     1.47R    0.07  
Watford          12   16   -1       2.43    70.24     3.72    45.66     7.62   -10.56     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.51     2.68     5.41R    0.46  
Stoke            12   16   -2      -0.19    48.96    -1.68    48.31     7.29    -6.63     0.00     0.03     0.24     0.80     4.48     2.06R    0.09  
West_Brom        12   14   -6       0.51    55.49    -1.58    43.27     7.28   -16.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     1.07     8.70R    0.80  
Swansea          12   13   -4      -2.11    33.71    -1.98    46.02     7.43    -8.46     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.47     2.55     4.17R    0.31  
Norwich          12   12   -7      -1.65    37.66    -1.79    38.28     7.48   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.30    25.73R    4.33  
Chelsea          12   11   -7      -9.59     2.33   -13.18    58.38     7.58    11.56     0.11     1.13     5.39    13.62    36.74     0.09R    0.00  
Newcastle        12   10   -9      -2.07    33.54    -1.32    37.30     7.29   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.18    29.42R    4.96  
Bournemouth      12    8  -13      -3.77    21.26    -4.17    30.46     7.16   -36.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.14R   24.55  
Sunderland       12    6  -13      -5.97     8.82    -5.91    28.61     6.73   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.88R   32.02  
Aston_Villa      11    4  -10      -6.54     5.06    -2.83    28.55     7.09   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.61R   32.39  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            16   34  +18       4.69    79.69     7.47    89.45     8.23    38.56    53.50    74.86    97.83    82.64P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34   +9      10.13    96.50     5.89    76.85     8.08    12.30     5.41    16.30    68.96    27.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         16   32   +9       5.11    81.26     1.79    79.83     8.38    18.99    11.00    28.15    80.24    42.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   30  +12       2.20    65.19     3.29    80.76     8.21    25.83    13.11    33.20    84.46    49.12P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.07    63.97     2.04    80.89     8.33    25.71    13.91    33.82    84.25    49.15P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      16   28   +7       6.03    85.34     6.83    69.35     8.35     7.71     0.90     3.75    34.73     9.64P    0.17R    0.00  
Cardiff         16   25   +5       2.34    66.28     3.54    66.89     8.09     6.74     0.43     1.86    24.33     6.72P    0.28R    0.01  
Reading         16   24   +6       1.77    62.63     5.40    64.75     8.23     5.88     0.26     1.24    17.38     4.33P    0.73R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   +1       3.08    71.36     2.00    62.99     8.13    -1.34     0.12     0.61    11.83     2.68P    1.24R    0.07  
Ipswich         16   24   +0       0.48    53.48    -2.45    67.15     8.43     3.16     0.54     2.36    25.61     7.39P    0.44R    0.03  
Brentford       16   21   -2      -1.05    43.20    -2.22    64.19     8.54     1.20     0.23     1.09    16.05     4.32P    1.34R    0.07  
Fulham          16   20   +1      -0.99    43.65     2.80    59.54     8.59    -2.15     0.06     0.34     7.20     1.68P    4.38R    0.44  
QPR             16   20   -2      -3.57    27.55    -4.40    62.90     8.79     0.83     0.21     0.96    13.97     4.16P    1.87R    0.15  
Wolverhampton   16   19   -1      -3.79    25.68    -2.45    64.17     8.45     5.19     0.22     1.01    16.40     4.64P    1.12R    0.08  
Leeds_United    16   19   -3      -0.21    49.57     0.62    55.94     8.08    -8.29     0.02     0.06     2.42     0.50P    8.25R    0.98  
Blackburn       16   17   +0      -5.19    18.06    -0.59    59.90     8.24     3.09     0.05     0.24     6.99     1.77P    3.18R    0.30  
Preston         16   17   -2      -3.09    29.77    -0.07    54.97     8.28    -5.26     0.00     0.05     2.29     0.56P   10.01R    1.19  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.74    25.59    -2.69    56.66     8.26    -5.90     0.00     0.07     3.12     0.71P    7.39R    0.71  
Huddersfield    16   15   -7      -2.84    31.01    -0.82    49.67     8.10   -16.42     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.07P   27.22R    5.44  
Bristol_City    16   15   -9      -4.05    24.63    -4.73    50.62     8.51   -17.57     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.16P   25.11R    5.30  
MK_Dons         16   14   -9      -4.95    19.28    -4.64    49.37     8.47   -17.50     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.08P   29.51R    5.98  
Charlton        16   13  -12      -4.56    20.22    -5.91    46.28     7.98   -22.74     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.02P   43.89R   10.85  
Bolton          16   11  -12      -6.78    10.15    -6.31    45.03     7.95   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   49.68R   14.25  
Rotherham       16    9  -16      -5.62    14.07    -4.40    37.16     7.67   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.19R   54.11  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.53    87.19     8.83    79.29     8.40    23.11    21.16    39.07    80.20    49.93P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      10.95    97.04     4.03    70.74     8.51    -0.09     3.97     9.70    40.88    15.28P    0.84R    0.03  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       5.98    84.56     8.46    77.54     8.72    21.15    16.99    32.15    73.11    41.74P    0.10R    0.00  
Coventry         16   31  +12       6.52    86.78     8.23    77.38     8.61    19.78    15.93    31.07    72.80    40.94P    0.08R    0.00  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.15    41.76    -1.34    79.99     8.64    25.51    25.11    43.29    82.06    57.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.87    83.77     5.54    66.39     8.86     0.70     1.70     4.51    25.06     8.40P    3.60R    0.26  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.37    59.16    -1.43    69.98     8.81     6.73     3.77     9.23    39.33    16.91P    1.39R    0.08  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.77    38.02    -1.75    70.75     8.56    12.35     4.39    10.66    43.75    20.15P    0.84R    0.04  
Bradford         16   24   -1       2.39    66.73    -0.66    64.96     8.27    -0.97     0.78     2.50    18.81     6.10P    3.94R    0.25  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.33    59.52     3.64    63.01     8.57     1.01     0.61     1.84    14.67     4.53P    6.71R    0.56  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.30    48.10    -2.98    66.91     8.62     2.94     1.60     4.51    26.94    10.10P    2.90R    0.18  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.46    73.17     2.19    59.80     8.37    -6.86     0.22     0.70     7.23     2.03P   12.97R    1.52  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.24    29.47     1.49    68.38     8.64    14.35     2.58     6.75    34.38    14.46P    1.86R    0.13  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.70    39.15     0.96    63.80     8.61     4.17     0.79     2.47    17.03     6.00P    5.71R    0.55  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -1.00    43.67     1.34    58.81     8.36    -3.67     0.15     0.50     6.21     1.73P   15.03R    1.80  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.90    64.00    -2.01    54.84     8.47   -20.27     0.04     0.16     2.49     0.57P   31.43R    6.15  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.38    22.85    -3.30    54.31     8.51    -9.69     0.03     0.14     2.31     0.62P   31.60R    6.07  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.21    29.03    -6.41    55.49     8.40   -12.67     0.03     0.15     2.62     0.68P   27.55R    5.02  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -3.03    30.10    -1.64    52.86     8.25   -12.39     0.02     0.08     1.30     0.30P   37.97R    8.04  
Blackpool        16   16   -8      -3.72    26.64    -4.66    53.23     8.50   -13.70     0.02     0.10     1.65     0.41P   36.98R    7.96  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.50    21.70    -1.32    51.68     8.37   -11.57     0.01     0.04     1.05     0.27P   43.36R   10.48  
Barnsley         16   14   -8      -7.46     9.55    -7.08    53.78     8.52   -10.44     0.01     0.10     1.94     0.57P   33.88R    6.88  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.59     3.25    -9.36    56.41     8.68    -3.85     0.07     0.27     4.07     1.27P   23.07R    3.94  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -2.99    30.18    -0.79    44.08     7.99   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   78.10R   40.05  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.93    94.00     7.92    85.34     8.37    27.36    40.15    74.54    94.49    80.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.48    82.32     8.13    78.38     8.62    22.76    13.39    43.58    78.81    53.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.79    74.43     5.59    73.04     8.59    14.79     4.85    21.16    56.92    29.89P    0.03R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.86    87.97     8.37    69.95     8.66     7.96     2.30    12.19    41.72    17.93P    0.07R    0.01  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.60    78.26     2.92    71.09     8.65     7.67     2.83    14.91    46.79    21.92P    0.07R    0.01  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.48    82.98    10.81    65.14     8.41     6.32     0.62     4.50    22.80     7.96P    0.36R    0.07  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.29    28.69    -5.30    81.07     8.71    27.27    23.12    57.00    86.43    67.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.38    77.12     1.94    64.24     8.68    -4.38     0.56     3.86    19.88     6.79P    0.64R    0.15  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.73    55.15     1.50    73.44     8.69    15.84     5.31    23.04    58.78    33.21P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.94    75.25     2.45    63.91     8.54    -2.70     0.41     3.42    17.96     6.27P    0.82R    0.20  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.37    59.63     2.74    66.36     8.77     5.04     0.90     6.24    27.71    11.03P    0.53R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.44    73.20     2.27    64.62     8.91     0.07     0.66     4.66    21.20     8.09P    0.76R    0.20  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.17    35.57     2.72    68.40     8.61    13.88     1.57     9.80    37.18    17.33P    0.16R    0.04  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.34    52.67    -1.36    60.72     8.58    -6.00     0.22     1.74    10.70     3.69P    1.78R    0.50  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.37    34.89    -5.61    69.73     8.93     7.89     2.26    12.48    41.76    21.11P    0.19R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.96    37.41    -6.51    65.75     9.03     0.40     0.77     5.72    25.36    10.81P    0.63R    0.15  
Barnet               16   20   -3       1.14    58.71     2.03    55.37     8.69   -12.42     0.02     0.42     3.84     1.08P    7.29R    2.62  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.20    52.13     0.51    56.13     8.50   -11.07     0.03     0.47     4.09     1.18P    5.64R    2.01  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.57    47.19    -2.51    47.32     7.88   -25.16     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   28.53R   13.07  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.18    10.73    -9.67    53.71     8.55   -13.47     0.00     0.20     2.24     0.68P    9.82R    3.67  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.33    17.27    -5.56    47.14     8.27   -21.58     0.00     0.03     0.32     0.07P   30.07R   14.68  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.18     7.21    -5.53    47.41     8.23   -16.17     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.09P   27.05R   12.81  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.29     2.23    -9.50    45.77     8.71   -18.57     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.10P   35.46R   19.04  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.50     4.22    -8.33    42.86     8.32   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   50.09R   30.53  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 November 2015, Guiseley 3 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     19   38  +13       5.21    79.43     2.58    83.62     7.86    26.14    18.01    76.61    31.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   37  +18       1.54    58.77     3.61    89.59     7.69    41.98    50.77    93.58    65.04P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   19   36  +10       7.07    86.86     5.79    76.95     7.98    15.84     4.49    44.97    12.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          19   33  +10       6.48    83.00     9.73    73.43     8.45    14.86     2.37    30.23     6.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   32   +6       4.60    77.13     3.83    71.27     7.69     9.58     0.83    19.42     4.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       1.01    56.42     4.06    72.76     7.84    17.00     1.46    26.51     6.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh        18   31   +4       3.18    69.43    -0.71    73.67     8.15    10.36     2.17    29.75     7.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.92    73.19    -0.27    70.37     7.90     4.42     0.74    16.71     3.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby          19   30  +19      -5.96    16.52     3.83    80.58     7.56    39.63    10.23    67.05    30.66P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.78    22.00    -3.34    79.42     7.84    28.60     7.80    60.11    24.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   29   +7       3.71    72.65     6.22    68.57     8.04     8.43     0.56    12.74     2.60P    0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot        19   28   -2       2.85    67.95    -0.55    64.33     7.80    -3.13     0.08     4.34     0.73P    0.33R    0.02  
Macclesfield     19   26   +4      -2.09    37.39     0.96    66.27     7.79     8.89     0.20     7.57     1.67P    0.16R    0.01  
Guiseley         20   26   -6       2.70    66.72     0.32    50.41     7.36   -23.94     0.00     0.06     0.01P   16.57R    2.81  
Chester          19   25   -6       3.67    72.92     1.84    57.83     7.74   -13.10     0.00     0.72     0.08P    3.17R    0.29  
Barrow           20   25  -16       6.06    83.80    -1.59    49.39     7.43   -34.46     0.00     0.04     0.00    22.10R    4.08  
Woking           18   24   +5      -4.09    25.43    -0.12    66.59     8.15    11.23     0.29     9.42     2.19P    0.17R    0.01  
Welling          19   22   -5      -0.22    49.70     0.58    52.27     7.34   -15.16     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.51R    1.57  
Altrincham       19   20  -13       0.77    56.44    -2.27    47.90     7.34   -27.75     0.00     0.01     0.00    27.21R    5.58  
Boreham_Wood     19   16   -6      -4.58    23.65     2.29    46.24     7.80   -16.33     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.10R    9.10  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.16     9.56   -10.62    51.77     7.79   -16.49     0.00     0.08     0.02P   13.10R    2.35  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.18    29.88    -1.98    43.92     7.46   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00P   46.60R   14.53  
Kidderminster    19   11  -12     -12.08     2.06    -7.48    42.62     7.57   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.85R   18.39  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.47     2.53   -16.72    38.66     7.49   -39.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.96R   41.26