Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 6 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 November 2015, Tottenham 3 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   25  +17       1.20    59.41     1.60    83.00     7.24    52.76    60.24    86.72    95.28    98.11    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   25  +13       3.86    79.69     3.73    78.88     7.47    40.41    30.57    70.47    87.45    94.09    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   22   +4       6.87    92.78     4.15    55.00     7.84    -3.95     0.09     0.64     2.53     6.49    19.82     0.26R    0.01  
Man_Utd          11   21   +7       1.87    65.39     0.83    71.30     7.72    27.24     6.53    25.19    55.17    72.70    89.60     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   20  +10       2.00    66.51     5.62    63.49     7.95    19.89     1.07     5.97    17.72    33.87    61.46     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         11   20   +7       4.43    83.50     6.57    57.54     7.89     7.53     0.13     1.24     5.17    12.11    31.24     0.12R    0.00  
Southampton      11   17   +5      -0.95    41.68     0.58    58.92     7.80    12.10     0.26     1.67     6.44    15.15    38.02     0.08R    0.00  
Liverpool        11   17   +0       0.36    53.20    -2.43    60.87     7.96    10.13     0.44     2.81     9.72    21.05    46.95     0.05R    0.00  
Everton          11   16   +4       0.51    54.68     3.51    60.37     7.96    15.09     0.34     2.51     9.22    20.44    46.12     0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   11   16   +1       3.24    77.15     4.51    50.09     7.70    -3.24     0.00     0.09     0.55     1.71     7.54     1.46R    0.12  
Watford          11   16   +0       3.41    77.57     4.08    47.25     7.88    -9.30     0.00     0.05     0.31     1.01     4.25     3.79R    0.34  
West_Brom        11   14   -4       1.06    60.22    -0.75    44.16     7.48   -14.78     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.23     1.49     7.13R    0.69  
Swansea          11   13   -3      -0.85    43.42    -1.08    48.16     7.78    -6.34     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.00     4.81     2.78R    0.17  
Stoke            11   13   -3      -1.96    33.70    -2.84    45.72     7.49    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.42     2.36     4.43R    0.30  
Chelsea          11   11   -6      -8.04     4.06   -12.01    60.71     7.83    14.24     0.33     2.62    10.01    21.59    47.81     0.08R    0.00  
Norwich          11    9   -8      -3.10    25.25    -2.38    35.80     7.69   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    37.19R    8.70  
Bournemouth      11    8  -12      -2.62    28.74    -3.48    32.26     7.50   -35.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    57.32R   18.27  
Newcastle        11    7  -10      -3.44    21.49    -1.73    35.10     7.56   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    40.00R    9.82  
Sunderland       11    6  -12      -5.22    11.31    -5.77    29.60     7.03   -34.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.08R   27.90  
Aston_Villa      11    4  -10      -6.52     5.03    -2.72    28.49     7.11   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.18R   33.68  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 6 November 2015, Nott'm_Forest 1 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            15   31  +15       3.99    76.74     5.81    86.62     8.53    33.83    40.21    62.78    95.16    73.72P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         15   31   +9       5.39    83.35     1.64    80.51     8.64    19.44    14.58    32.02    82.14    45.71P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        15   31   +8       9.03    95.29     5.64    75.32     8.27    11.45     4.58    13.29    62.62    23.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   15   30  +15       2.93    70.70     5.49    82.84     8.37    29.81    22.30    44.35    89.47    59.25P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           16   30  +11       2.14    64.18     2.15    80.84     8.30    25.55    14.99    34.03    84.76    49.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      15   25   +4       5.00    82.14     4.65    65.88     8.40     2.16     0.43     1.72    21.22     5.16P    0.62R    0.04  
Reading         15   24   +8       2.61    68.56     6.67    66.78     8.45     8.77     0.62     2.32    25.82     6.93P    0.42R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   +3       4.17    78.11     3.59    65.19     8.28     1.97     0.35     1.35    18.64     4.48P    0.80R    0.05  
Cardiff         15   22   +3       1.20    59.12     2.22    64.82     8.33     4.09     0.31     1.28    18.14     4.70P    0.87R    0.06  
Ipswich         15   21   -3      -0.31    48.20    -4.22    64.55     8.64    -1.20     0.33     1.29    17.54     4.68P    1.21R    0.09  
Fulham          15   20   +4      -0.11    49.77     4.87    62.60     8.73     3.70     0.23     0.95    13.69     3.27P    2.12R    0.22  
Brentford       15   20   -2      -0.83    44.58    -2.39    63.96     8.63     0.29     0.28     1.16    16.19     4.26P    1.49R    0.13  
QPR             15   19   -2      -2.98    30.19    -4.03    63.70     9.04     1.47     0.35     1.48    16.97     5.04P    1.91R    0.17  
Wolverhampton   15   18   -1      -3.57    26.07    -2.60    64.71     8.65     5.42     0.33     1.40    19.10     5.60P    1.13R    0.11  
Nott'm_Forest   16   17   -4      -3.70    25.98    -2.60    56.58     8.21    -6.02     0.03     0.10     3.23     0.75P    7.56R    0.94  
Blackburn       15   16   +0      -4.68    19.57    -0.42    60.22     8.46     2.98     0.08     0.34     8.36     2.15P    3.29R    0.35  
Preston         15   16   -2      -2.98    29.75    -0.41    54.85     8.48    -6.14     0.01     0.05     2.53     0.59P   11.20R    1.67  
Leeds_United    15   16   -6      -1.31    41.68    -1.60    52.88     8.15   -13.36     0.01     0.02     1.10     0.20P   16.53R    2.93  
Huddersfield    15   15   -4      -2.07    35.91     1.17    52.49     8.38   -11.10     0.00     0.03     1.13     0.19P   18.20R    3.49  
MK_Dons         15   14   -8      -4.17    22.74    -4.41    50.62     8.73   -16.51     0.00     0.02     1.02     0.21P   25.72R    5.70  
Bristol_City    15   14   -9      -3.72    25.64    -4.71    50.80     8.72   -18.11     0.00     0.02     0.97     0.19P   25.98R    6.38  
Bolton          15   10  -12      -6.34    10.78    -6.11    45.56     8.25   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   47.65R   15.47  
Charlton        15   10  -14      -5.80    12.80    -7.28    43.90     8.09   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   56.90R   19.85  
Rotherham       15    9  -13      -5.17    14.99    -3.12    39.46     7.90   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.40R   42.32  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.56    87.32     8.86    79.26     8.39    23.05    21.13    38.92    80.35    49.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      11.03    96.98     4.12    70.62     8.52    -0.31     3.90     9.51    40.48    14.96P    0.89R    0.03  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       6.03    84.97     8.53    77.35     8.69    20.86    16.23    31.24    72.57    41.12P    0.10R    0.00  
Coventry         16   31  +12       6.51    86.69     8.22    77.43     8.67    19.89    16.20    31.46    72.94    41.65P    0.09R    0.00  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.23    41.26    -1.49    80.18     8.68    25.83    25.92    44.45    82.57    58.10P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.91    84.02     5.57    66.36     8.84     0.70     1.74     4.65    25.07     8.50P    3.50R    0.25  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.34    59.16    -1.42    69.98     8.85     6.74     3.81     9.16    39.86    16.85P    1.49R    0.09  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.81    37.74    -1.77    70.73     8.48    12.31     4.08    10.42    43.60    19.90P    0.88R    0.04  
Bradford         16   24   -1       2.44    66.88    -0.60    64.89     8.28    -1.09     0.79     2.45    18.45     5.98P    4.03R    0.30  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.31    59.53     3.61    63.16     8.56     1.19     0.64     1.89    15.23     4.69P    6.51R    0.55  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.21    48.98    -2.91    66.86     8.64     2.81     1.60     4.42    26.69     9.85P    2.98R    0.19  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.55    73.82     2.37    59.53     8.29    -7.18     0.18     0.63     6.82     1.88P   13.68R    1.46  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.31    29.23     1.39    68.39     8.74    14.38     2.59     6.82    34.72    14.45P    2.09R    0.13  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.58    39.91     1.15    63.63     8.64     3.88     0.80     2.34    16.74     5.68P    6.28R    0.65  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -0.99    43.73     1.41    58.68     8.37    -3.86     0.13     0.54     6.01     1.69P   15.72R    1.99  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.90    64.05    -2.02    54.97     8.47   -20.10     0.04     0.16     2.48     0.50P   30.91R    6.04  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.52    22.12    -3.49    54.46     8.55    -9.39     0.04     0.17     2.54     0.77P   31.23R    6.07  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.23    28.69    -6.49    55.56     8.38   -12.54     0.04     0.16     2.77     0.68P   27.11R    4.73  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -3.00    30.68    -1.53    52.83     8.29   -12.49     0.01     0.07     1.40     0.33P   38.23R    8.49  
Blackpool        16   16   -8      -3.73    26.47    -4.69    53.35     8.49   -13.53     0.03     0.10     1.70     0.47P   36.81R    7.83  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.53    21.18    -1.37    51.71     8.25   -11.49     0.02     0.06     1.00     0.25P   43.23R   10.25  
Barnsley         16   14   -8      -7.45     9.52    -7.08    53.73     8.55   -10.58     0.04     0.10     2.00     0.53P   34.15R    7.38  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.67     3.17    -9.49    56.51     8.57    -3.73     0.06     0.29     3.93     1.36P   22.46R    3.86  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -3.04    29.64    -0.89    44.28     7.97   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   77.56R   39.68  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.86    93.88     7.82    85.40     8.41    27.42    40.92    74.51    94.72    80.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.40    82.35     8.05    78.46     8.50    22.84    13.52    43.88    79.46    53.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.82    74.44     5.62    73.02     8.58    14.74     4.56    21.02    57.05    29.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.88    87.93     8.44    69.96     8.70     7.99     2.34    12.53    41.70    18.13P    0.11R    0.02  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.66    78.45     2.99    70.93     8.72     7.49     2.71    14.77    46.17    21.52P    0.08R    0.01  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.51    83.17    10.85    65.10     8.45     6.27     0.64     4.51    22.69     7.92P    0.41R    0.10  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.20    29.04    -5.19    80.94     8.66    27.09    22.35    56.19    85.92    66.83P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.40    77.25     2.02    64.12     8.69    -4.64     0.56     3.96    19.27     6.90P    0.72R    0.18  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.66    54.50     1.45    73.40     8.71    15.78     5.16    23.02    58.65    33.14P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.95    75.28     2.44    63.92     8.48    -2.62     0.42     3.23    18.15     6.20P    0.72R    0.16  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.45    59.93     2.82    66.24     8.79     4.85     0.91     6.21    27.42    11.00P    0.44R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.40    73.05     2.20    64.68     8.99     0.14     0.67     4.71    21.85     8.35P    0.73R    0.22  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.24    35.49     2.60    68.52     8.66    14.07     1.64    10.25    37.61    17.74P    0.16R    0.03  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.27    52.30    -1.45    60.81     8.52    -5.78     0.18     1.58    10.69     3.43P    1.80R    0.49  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.39    34.82    -5.64    69.79     8.93     7.99     2.45    12.76    41.84    21.13P    0.14R    0.03  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.87    38.04    -6.38    65.70     9.02     0.35     0.88     5.73    25.27    10.98P    0.70R    0.19  
Barnet               16   20   -3       1.10    58.48     2.00    55.43     8.71   -12.31     0.02     0.40     3.80     1.06P    7.34R    2.63  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.19    51.94     0.48    56.22     8.43   -10.91     0.05     0.48     4.09     1.24P    5.39R    1.89  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.56    47.40    -2.49    47.26     7.92   -25.24     0.00     0.02     0.27     0.07P   29.13R   13.16  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.18    10.66    -9.68    53.62     8.63   -13.59     0.01     0.19     2.33     0.74P   10.18R    4.11  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.32    17.35    -5.52    47.10     8.23   -21.71     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   30.02R   14.33  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.21     7.12    -5.59    47.70     8.20   -15.77     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.10P   25.79R   11.95  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.39     2.07    -9.64    45.92     8.70   -18.35     0.00     0.02     0.31     0.11P   34.76R   18.71  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.39     4.26    -8.19    42.62     8.30   -26.10     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.02P   51.34R   31.68  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Altrincham 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     19   38  +13       5.20    79.36     2.57    83.67     7.82    26.22    17.55    77.03    31.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   37  +18       1.42    58.12     3.43    89.87     7.55    42.38    51.98    94.24    66.04P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   19   36  +10       7.07    86.78     5.77    77.00     7.87    15.94     4.27    45.38    11.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          19   33  +10       6.53    83.32     9.84    73.49     8.44    15.01     2.44    30.43     7.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   32   +6       4.62    77.22     3.82    71.32     7.64     9.65     0.79    19.08     4.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       0.97    56.01     4.00    72.77     7.82    17.04     1.55    26.40     6.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh        18   31   +4       3.21    69.44    -0.63    73.65     8.20    10.38     2.05    29.75     7.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.88    73.16    -0.36    70.30     7.85     4.31     0.66    16.14     3.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby          19   30  +19      -5.84    17.11     4.08    80.46     7.57    39.42     9.83    66.34    29.38P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.75    22.27    -3.27    79.49     7.86    28.66     7.85    60.59    25.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   29   +7       3.78    72.88     6.33    68.47     8.06     8.29     0.51    12.81     2.55P    0.08R    0.01  
Aldershot        19   28   -2       2.88    68.16    -0.52    64.32     7.75    -3.19     0.07     4.26     0.70P    0.33R    0.01  
Macclesfield     19   26   +4      -2.23    36.41     0.77    66.41     7.75     9.10     0.17     7.55     1.71P    0.15R    0.01  
Chester          19   25   -6       3.77    73.39     2.03    57.68     7.74   -13.33     0.00     0.68     0.07P    3.08R    0.29  
Barrow           19   25  -14       6.61    86.14    -1.07    51.42     7.69   -31.15     0.00     0.09     0.00P   14.95R    2.53  
Woking           18   24   +5      -4.06    25.74    -0.07    66.54     8.09    11.08     0.28     9.01     2.24P    0.19R    0.01  
Guiseley         19   23   -8       1.94    63.23    -0.46    48.16     7.51   -26.86     0.00     0.04     0.00P   25.66R    5.30  
Welling          19   22   -5      -0.36    48.80     0.40    52.32     7.39   -15.07     0.00     0.07     0.02P   10.05R    1.33  
Altrincham       19   20  -13       0.78    56.57    -2.18    47.75     7.32   -28.01     0.00     0.02     0.00P   27.22R    5.71  
Boreham_Wood     19   16   -6      -4.61    23.80     2.26    46.15     7.77   -16.44     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.63R    9.19  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.26     9.08   -10.75    51.69     7.82   -16.59     0.00     0.08     0.02P   13.00R    2.35  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.11    29.96    -1.87    43.75     7.48   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.05R   14.85  
Kidderminster    19   11  -12     -11.99     2.10    -7.35    42.62     7.55   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.10R   17.80  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.51     2.41   -16.77    38.67     7.55   -39.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.43R   40.60