Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 5 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 November 2015, Tottenham 3 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   25  +17       1.13    58.77     1.50    83.02     7.23    52.81    59.71    86.77    95.36    98.20    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   25  +13       3.77    79.26     3.57    79.01     7.45    40.77    31.16    71.09    87.69    94.47    98.68     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   22   +4       6.91    92.78     4.23    55.11     7.91    -3.75     0.10     0.66     2.83     6.80    20.61     0.33R    0.00  
Man_Utd          11   21   +7       1.90    65.76     0.91    71.19     7.77    27.03     6.28    24.24    54.38    72.22    89.20     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   20  +10       1.96    66.24     5.57    63.58     7.97    19.99     1.13     6.10    17.91    34.20    61.66     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham         11   20   +7       4.38    83.32     6.48    57.66     7.87     7.65     0.17     1.28     5.00    11.77    31.12     0.13R    0.01  
Southampton      11   17   +5      -0.97    41.58     0.55    58.95     7.85    12.14     0.27     1.80     6.64    15.26    38.23     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool        11   17   +0       0.41    53.82    -2.38    60.85     7.99    10.12     0.48     2.83     9.89    20.92    46.95     0.05R    0.00  
Everton          11   16   +4       0.61    55.77     3.61    60.42     7.97    15.14     0.35     2.52     9.16    20.43    46.06     0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   11   16   +1       3.36    78.22     4.72    49.82     7.62    -3.65     0.00     0.07     0.43     1.58     6.82     1.50R    0.10  
Watford          11   16   +0       3.46    77.92     4.18    47.24     7.88    -9.35     0.01     0.04     0.31     1.00     4.27     3.71R    0.36  
West_Brom        11   14   -4       0.98    59.63    -0.88    44.33     7.51   -14.62     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.30     1.65     6.73R    0.59  
Swansea          11   13   -3      -0.84    43.64    -1.05    48.07     7.77    -6.55     0.00     0.03     0.26     0.92     4.89     2.85R    0.21  
Stoke            11   13   -3      -1.95    33.92    -2.84    45.67     7.52    -9.24     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.43     2.45     4.50R    0.30  
Chelsea          11   11   -6      -8.01     3.98   -11.99    60.70     7.82    14.22     0.34     2.54     9.91    21.46    47.47     0.05R    0.00  
Norwich          11    9   -8      -3.11    25.50    -2.39    35.77     7.74   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.17    37.20R    8.75  
Bournemouth      11    8  -12      -2.75    27.90    -3.70    32.51     7.59   -34.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04    56.13R   17.50  
Newcastle        11    7  -10      -3.43    21.36    -1.68    35.05     7.54   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    40.22R    9.81  
Sunderland       11    6  -12      -5.13    11.64    -5.65    29.40     7.00   -35.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.13R   28.69  
Aston_Villa      11    4  -10      -6.54     4.82    -2.77    28.47     7.08   -30.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.31R   33.67  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Birmingham 0 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            15   31  +15       4.01    76.72     5.87    86.53     8.47    33.70    37.46    60.16    95.01    72.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         15   31   +9       5.45    83.70     1.79    80.47     8.69    19.38    13.46    30.44    81.56    44.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton        15   31   +8       9.01    95.29     5.60    75.31     8.29    11.45     4.43    12.32    62.06    22.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   15   30  +15       2.97    70.53     5.58    82.72     8.35    29.62    20.21    41.47    89.23    56.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           15   30  +12       3.41    72.89     2.99    83.14     8.51    27.95    21.46    43.43    89.01    57.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      15   25   +4       5.06    82.40     4.70    65.90     8.40     2.19     0.42     1.63    21.00     4.94P    0.51R    0.02  
Reading         15   24   +8       2.65    68.53     6.72    66.84     8.47     8.94     0.61     2.21    25.69     6.94P    0.47R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   +3       4.13    77.92     3.55    65.11     8.24     1.85     0.26     1.08    17.94     4.16P    0.70R    0.04  
Cardiff         15   22   +3       1.16    58.86     2.18    64.86     8.35     4.08     0.28     1.21    18.14     4.61P    0.82R    0.03  
Ipswich         15   21   -3      -0.23    48.77    -4.13    64.41     8.58    -1.42     0.24     1.13    16.82     4.35P    1.21R    0.11  
Fulham          15   20   +4      -0.24    48.95     4.69    62.81     8.84     3.96     0.20     0.96    14.50     3.48P    1.99R    0.18  
Brentford       15   20   -2      -0.86    44.23    -2.44    64.13     8.71     0.54     0.24     0.98    16.65     4.15P    1.39R    0.13  
QPR             15   19   -2      -3.03    29.85    -4.05    63.70     9.04     1.44     0.32     1.27    16.84     4.88P    1.89R    0.18  
Wolverhampton   15   18   -1      -3.49    26.74    -2.49    64.58     8.61     5.23     0.32     1.18    18.34     5.24P    1.14R    0.10  
Blackburn       15   16   +0      -4.83    19.02    -0.58    60.55     8.50     3.45     0.06     0.35     8.64     2.31P    2.99R    0.32  
Preston         15   16   -2      -3.00    29.56    -0.39    54.82     8.47    -6.17     0.01     0.06     2.41     0.50P   10.89R    1.62  
Leeds_United    15   16   -6      -1.37    40.90    -1.66    53.05     8.15   -13.08     0.00     0.02     1.08     0.21P   15.68R    2.73  
Huddersfield    15   15   -4      -2.03    36.38     1.22    52.37     8.37   -11.37     0.00     0.02     1.11     0.20P   17.86R    3.32  
Nott'm_Forest   15   14   -5      -5.32    16.32    -3.52    54.02     8.42    -8.39     0.00     0.03     1.87     0.38P   12.85R    2.12  
MK_Dons         15   14   -8      -4.08    23.29    -4.31    50.59     8.70   -16.59     0.01     0.02     0.94     0.20P   25.31R    5.53  
Bristol_City    15   14   -9      -3.84    25.16    -4.91    50.85     8.76   -18.03     0.00     0.02     0.95     0.21P   25.11R    6.36  
Bolton          15   10  -12      -6.36    10.74    -6.14    45.69     8.18   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   46.27R   14.39  
Charlton        15   10  -14      -5.75    12.96    -7.22    43.84     8.07   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   56.36R   19.88  
Rotherham       15    9  -13      -5.09    15.38    -3.04    39.22     7.89   -31.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   76.55R   42.91  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.52    87.04     8.79    79.38     8.40    23.22    21.52    39.62    80.75    50.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      11.03    97.14     4.15    70.66     8.53    -0.23     3.91     9.61    40.67    15.32P    0.92R    0.04  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       6.14    85.17     8.67    77.17     8.75    20.55    15.88    30.52    71.85    40.41P    0.10R    0.00  
Coventry         16   31  +12       6.45    86.48     8.12    77.52     8.64    20.07    16.27    31.67    73.35    41.70P    0.10R    0.00  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.25    41.20    -1.52    80.16     8.61    25.78    25.85    44.36    82.59    58.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.96    84.29     5.64    66.25     8.81     0.47     1.70     4.44    24.67     8.34P    3.62R    0.26  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.33    58.84    -1.44    70.05     8.87     6.86     3.90     9.53    40.25    17.34P    1.42R    0.08  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.85    37.35    -1.85    70.79     8.48    12.40     4.28    10.44    44.03    19.89P    0.81R    0.04  
Bradford         16   24   -1       2.48    67.08    -0.53    64.81     8.23    -1.20     0.84     2.46    18.13     5.83P    4.08R    0.34  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.33    59.59     3.66    63.03     8.50     0.98     0.51     1.67    14.61     4.24P    6.69R    0.59  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.25    48.58    -2.95    66.87     8.60     2.87     1.46     4.45    26.69     9.90P    2.98R    0.21  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.47    72.94     2.24    59.69     8.44    -7.01     0.20     0.67     7.32     1.99P   13.62R    1.61  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.24    29.31     1.51    68.30     8.65    14.25     2.47     6.62    34.01    14.15P    2.13R    0.15  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.70    38.98     1.02    63.78     8.56     4.15     0.78     2.35    17.06     5.92P    5.62R    0.55  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -1.00    43.92     1.33    58.77     8.32    -3.72     0.13     0.52     5.96     1.63P   15.12R    1.81  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.79    63.47    -2.16    55.02     8.47   -19.91     0.05     0.16     2.51     0.60P   30.88R    5.92  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.43    22.57    -3.35    54.36     8.57    -9.59     0.04     0.16     2.58     0.71P   31.61R    6.40  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.20    28.79    -6.42    55.58     8.33   -12.56     0.04     0.12     2.66     0.68P   26.94R    4.69  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -2.98    30.41    -1.51    52.75     8.29   -12.52     0.02     0.07     1.41     0.35P   38.63R    8.35  
Blackpool        16   16   -8      -3.66    26.96    -4.57    53.16     8.51   -13.85     0.03     0.12     1.62     0.41P   37.59R    8.25  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.55    21.20    -1.42    51.74     8.27   -11.47     0.01     0.04     1.02     0.26P   42.86R   10.42  
Barnsley         16   14   -8      -7.46     9.46    -7.06    53.75     8.48   -10.51     0.04     0.14     2.01     0.58P   34.07R    6.75  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.68     3.17    -9.49    56.57     8.60    -3.62     0.06     0.28     4.15     1.30P   22.44R    3.73  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -3.03    29.80    -0.87    44.27     7.96   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   77.71R   39.83  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.79    94.05     7.77    85.55     8.40    27.62    41.24    75.03    94.78    80.56P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.49    82.43     8.20    78.38     8.58    22.74    13.32    43.46    79.02    52.91P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.74    73.94     5.49    73.19     8.53    15.05     4.75    21.40    57.62    30.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.74    87.46     8.16    70.23     8.64     8.45     2.37    12.96    42.97    18.83P    0.08R    0.02  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.65    78.29     2.96    70.99     8.75     7.51     3.06    15.13    46.20    21.95P    0.07R    0.01  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.41    82.86    10.71    65.41     8.34     6.68     0.65     4.73    23.38     8.43P    0.29R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.20    29.01    -5.14    80.88     8.68    26.96    21.95    55.97    85.68    66.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.36    76.96     1.92    64.22     8.79    -4.48     0.59     4.04    19.75     6.93P    0.68R    0.20  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.79    55.37     1.61    73.32     8.68    15.60     5.02    22.57    58.28    32.61P    0.02R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.86    74.70     2.35    64.18     8.60    -2.26     0.48     3.70    19.01     6.77P    0.74R    0.18  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.44    60.16     2.85    66.20     8.82     4.80     0.91     6.17    26.98    10.83P    0.49R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.55    74.04     2.42    64.41     8.94    -0.22     0.62     4.07    20.91     7.60P    0.81R    0.24  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.19    35.61     2.67    68.38     8.64    13.88     1.54     9.69    36.84    16.96P    0.20R    0.03  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.25    52.33    -1.47    60.77     8.56    -5.86     0.19     1.60    10.51     3.52P    1.75R    0.45  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.45    34.16    -5.71    69.89     8.94     8.15     2.34    12.83    42.19    21.29P    0.17R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.82    38.42    -6.30    65.53     9.07     0.06     0.90     5.58    24.62    10.52P    0.70R    0.19  
Barnet               16   20   -3       1.01    57.87     1.80    55.61     8.77   -12.02     0.03     0.47     4.06     1.19P    7.14R    2.67  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.27    52.57     0.58    55.99     8.38   -11.27     0.03     0.39     3.79     1.06P    5.66R    2.02  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.45    48.23    -2.29    47.01     7.90   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   30.17R   13.86  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.21    10.60    -9.73    53.67     8.60   -13.56     0.01     0.18     2.24     0.66P    9.89R    3.98  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.30    17.28    -5.50    46.94     8.25   -21.90     0.00     0.02     0.28     0.07P   30.48R   14.80  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.15     7.25    -5.47    47.47     8.23   -16.10     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P   26.29R   12.50  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.32     2.10    -9.60    45.88     8.67   -18.41     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.07P   34.46R   18.47  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.43     4.15    -8.26    42.86     8.35   -25.75     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   49.87R   30.15  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Altrincham 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     19   38  +13       5.23    79.58     2.65    83.52     7.88    26.02    17.57    76.17    31.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   37  +18       1.60    59.20     3.75    89.58     7.64    41.90    50.72    93.79    64.86P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   19   36  +10       7.06    86.65     5.74    77.01     7.94    15.94     4.57    45.10    11.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          19   33  +10       6.45    83.10     9.74    73.55     8.49    15.05     2.46    30.49     7.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   32   +6       4.46    76.39     3.65    71.44     7.68     9.82     0.90    19.68     4.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       0.99    55.92     4.08    72.84     7.82    17.12     1.55    26.88     6.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh        18   31   +4       3.15    69.07    -0.71    73.72     8.19    10.46     2.35    30.04     7.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.84    72.87    -0.41    70.40     7.85     4.45     0.65    16.60     3.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Grimsby          19   30  +19      -5.81    17.09     4.11    80.43     7.56    39.42    10.02    66.38    29.69P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.77    22.22    -3.34    79.54     7.86    28.75     8.19    60.36    25.69P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   29   +7       3.72    72.80     6.25    68.53     8.04     8.37     0.51    12.70     2.46P    0.06R    0.00  
Aldershot        19   28   -2       2.88    68.28    -0.54    64.33     7.78    -3.15     0.06     4.32     0.77P    0.33R    0.01  
Macclesfield     19   26   +4      -2.15    36.78     0.91    66.31     7.80     8.99     0.20     7.58     1.82P    0.18R    0.01  
Chester          19   25   -6       3.79    73.81     1.99    57.61     7.70   -13.42     0.01     0.62     0.08P    3.36R    0.33  
Barrow           19   25  -14       6.73    86.48    -0.90    51.25     7.65   -31.41     0.00     0.05     0.00P   15.71R    2.62  
Woking           18   24   +5      -4.01    25.73     0.01    66.48     8.09    11.03     0.25     9.02     2.12P    0.18R    0.01  
Guiseley         19   23   -8       2.06    63.66    -0.30    48.12     7.48   -26.92     0.00     0.03     0.00P   25.80R    5.28  
Welling          19   22   -5      -0.28    49.25     0.54    52.26     7.41   -15.21     0.00     0.09     0.01P   10.26R    1.53  
Altrincham       19   20  -13       0.78    56.66    -2.22    47.85     7.32   -27.83     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.57R    5.71  
Boreham_Wood     19   16   -6      -4.71    23.23     2.10    46.37     7.83   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.76R    8.70  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.34     9.10   -10.88    51.84     7.78   -16.37     0.00     0.08     0.02P   12.79R    2.19  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.11    30.09    -1.90    43.76     7.48   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.89R   14.77  
Kidderminster    19   11  -12     -12.07     2.00    -7.49    42.70     7.54   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.94R   17.65  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.49     2.53   -16.83    38.57     7.49   -39.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.08R   41.19