Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 4 November 2015 at 22:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 November 2015, Tottenham 3 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   25  +17       1.18    59.06     1.59    83.02     7.26    52.68    59.97    86.85    95.23    98.05    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   25  +13       3.79    79.44     3.57    79.00     7.51    40.74    31.22    71.24    87.78    94.20    98.59     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   22   +4       6.90    92.72     4.20    55.16     7.92    -3.70     0.06     0.62     2.85     7.10    20.86     0.29R    0.01  
Man_Utd          11   21   +7       1.97    66.44     0.96    71.14     7.69    26.98     6.10    24.27    54.66    72.05    89.29     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   20  +10       1.98    66.34     5.61    63.49     7.96    19.87     1.06     6.01    17.89    34.07    61.78     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham         11   20   +7       4.44    83.53     6.58    57.50     7.95     7.44     0.14     1.19     5.13    12.00    31.08     0.13R    0.00  
Southampton      11   17   +5      -0.96    41.78     0.58    58.91     7.87    12.05     0.29     1.93     6.84    15.60    38.36     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool        11   17   +0       0.44    54.19    -2.35    60.78     7.96    10.01     0.50     2.75     9.50    20.85    46.51     0.06R    0.00  
Everton          11   16   +4       0.58    55.46     3.61    60.23     7.95    14.88     0.35     2.44     9.07    20.08    45.41     0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   11   16   +1       3.22    76.96     4.49    50.22     7.67    -3.06     0.01     0.10     0.58     1.90     7.85     1.37R    0.08  
Watford          11   16   +0       3.43    77.76     4.14    47.22     7.89    -9.36     0.01     0.05     0.33     0.98     4.14     3.84R    0.34  
West_Brom        11   14   -4       0.98    59.97    -0.91    44.30     7.50   -14.51     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.31     1.63     7.12R    0.61  
Swansea          11   13   -3      -0.77    44.07    -0.95    47.89     7.81    -6.80     0.01     0.04     0.28     0.94     4.71     3.05R    0.27  
Stoke            11   13   -3      -1.95    33.94    -2.83    45.71     7.52    -9.24     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.49     2.63     4.55R    0.42  
Chelsea          11   11   -6      -8.01     4.12   -11.94    60.56     7.84    14.04     0.28     2.47     9.64    21.34    47.22     0.06R    0.00  
Norwich          11    9   -8      -3.16    24.99    -2.45    35.91     7.69   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    36.75R    8.65  
Bournemouth      11    8  -12      -2.71    28.12    -3.65    32.45     7.53   -35.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    56.89R   17.80  
Newcastle        11    7  -10      -3.49    21.12    -1.78    35.23     7.54   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    39.53R    9.41  
Sunderland       11    6  -12      -5.14    11.82    -5.66    29.50     6.96   -34.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.06R   28.42  
Aston_Villa      11    4  -10      -6.57     4.91    -2.81    28.54     7.16   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.16R   33.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Birmingham 0 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            15   31  +15       3.95    76.37     5.78    86.66     8.45    33.82    37.68    60.70    95.22    72.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         15   31   +9       5.45    83.57     1.78    80.50     8.70    19.43    13.61    29.99    81.69    44.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton        15   31   +8       9.11    95.53     5.70    75.18     8.23    11.31     4.16    12.03    61.54    21.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   15   30  +15       2.90    70.20     5.47    82.75     8.29    29.64    20.11    41.66    89.28    57.11P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           15   30  +12       3.42    73.09     3.00    83.10     8.52    27.91    21.57    43.13    89.21    56.97P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      15   25   +4       5.12    82.46     4.74    65.78     8.48     2.03     0.40     1.65    20.78     5.03P    0.64R    0.03  
Reading         15   24   +8       2.68    68.98     6.77    66.80     8.45     8.82     0.53     2.07    25.46     6.65P    0.47R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   +3       4.13    78.22     3.55    65.18     8.23     1.90     0.25     1.13    18.34     4.25P    0.68R    0.05  
Cardiff         15   22   +3       1.23    59.49     2.26    64.76     8.38     3.99     0.26     1.19    18.02     4.57P    0.85R    0.07  
Ipswich         15   21   -3      -0.37    47.81    -4.33    64.60     8.62    -1.21     0.32     1.27    17.57     4.91P    1.18R    0.11  
Fulham          15   20   +4      -0.16    49.23     4.85    62.62     8.84     3.66     0.21     0.95    13.71     3.25P    2.26R    0.24  
Brentford       15   20   -2      -0.91    43.81    -2.50    64.28     8.70     0.73     0.24     1.15    17.06     4.52P    1.43R    0.12  
QPR             15   19   -2      -3.02    30.19    -4.06    63.78     9.02     1.58     0.28     1.23    17.05     4.91P    1.81R    0.19  
Wolverhampton   15   18   -1      -3.50    26.65    -2.47    64.55     8.58     5.20     0.30     1.31    18.00     5.25P    1.07R    0.09  
Blackburn       15   16   +0      -4.78    19.06    -0.53    60.47     8.52     3.36     0.05     0.36     8.46     2.18P    3.10R    0.32  
Preston         15   16   -2      -2.91    29.85    -0.30    54.65     8.55    -6.36     0.02     0.06     2.43     0.54P   11.51R    1.74  
Leeds_United    15   16   -6      -1.36    41.12    -1.66    53.01     8.20   -13.14     0.00     0.03     1.09     0.19P   15.87R    2.89  
Huddersfield    15   15   -4      -2.08    35.90     1.16    52.43     8.31   -11.20     0.00     0.03     1.12     0.20P   17.69R    3.23  
Nott'm_Forest   15   14   -5      -5.36    15.91    -3.59    54.20     8.47    -8.13     0.00     0.03     1.95     0.41P   12.66R    2.11  
MK_Dons         15   14   -8      -4.14    22.78    -4.37    50.66     8.64   -16.48     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.14P   24.56R    5.46  
Bristol_City    15   14   -9      -3.81    25.36    -4.82    50.87     8.76   -18.07     0.00     0.02     0.95     0.21P   25.02R    6.19  
Bolton          15   10  -12      -6.32    10.68    -6.07    45.49     8.17   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   47.00R   15.23  
Charlton        15   10  -14      -5.70    13.07    -7.20    43.76     8.04   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   56.60R   20.11  
Rotherham       15    9  -13      -5.17    15.10    -3.14    39.44     7.97   -31.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   75.58R   41.77  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.46    87.03     8.73    79.40     8.40    23.27    22.03    39.93    80.67    50.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      11.06    97.20     4.18    70.55     8.54    -0.39     3.95     9.51    39.85    14.97P    0.87R    0.03  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       6.09    85.08     8.62    77.24     8.64    20.69    15.95    30.96    72.37    40.63P    0.09R    0.00  
Coventry         16   31  +12       6.53    86.89     8.27    77.34     8.58    19.71    15.88    30.69    72.84    40.54P    0.10R    0.00  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.09    41.99    -1.31    79.96     8.66    25.45    25.00    43.51    82.01    56.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.80    83.67     5.39    66.61     8.80     1.00     1.85     4.86    25.72     8.89P    3.31R    0.21  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.32    58.69    -1.47    70.00     8.88     6.78     3.95     9.66    39.95    17.39P    1.48R    0.09  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.77    38.03    -1.73    70.78     8.52    12.38     4.39    10.62    43.91    20.22P    0.85R    0.04  
Bradford         16   24   -1       2.40    66.54    -0.64    64.81     8.28    -1.17     0.87     2.46    18.16     5.89P    4.16R    0.29  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.34    59.61     3.65    63.01     8.55     0.98     0.63     1.83    14.85     4.68P    6.76R    0.63  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.26    48.50    -2.95    66.83     8.58     2.79     1.48     4.26    26.26     9.54P    3.05R    0.19  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.52    73.58     2.29    59.57     8.33    -7.13     0.18     0.63     6.95     1.83P   13.75R    1.55  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.31    28.90     1.37    68.60     8.67    14.65     2.69     7.14    35.36    15.13P    1.89R    0.15  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.67    39.10     1.03    63.83     8.60     4.22     0.74     2.35    17.14     6.06P    5.83R    0.58  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -0.97    43.96     1.35    58.74     8.39    -3.76     0.15     0.51     6.16     1.77P   15.41R    1.91  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.80    63.31    -2.16    54.97     8.44   -20.01     0.04     0.16     2.44     0.56P   30.74R    5.83  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.40    22.85    -3.27    54.31     8.57    -9.67     0.04     0.17     2.38     0.74P   31.62R    6.26  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.23    28.83    -6.42    55.60     8.38   -12.48     0.03     0.14     2.74     0.73P   27.33R    4.69  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -3.00    30.71    -1.56    52.85     8.32   -12.40     0.01     0.07     1.32     0.29P   38.10R    8.51  
Blackpool        16   16   -8      -3.71    26.60    -4.67    53.30     8.49   -13.57     0.03     0.09     1.72     0.47P   36.80R    7.75  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.54    21.29    -1.38    51.69     8.19   -11.50     0.01     0.04     0.93     0.26P   42.94R    9.98  
Barnsley         16   14   -8      -7.50     9.74    -7.13    53.73     8.60   -10.50     0.03     0.12     2.04     0.55P   34.22R    7.26  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.63     3.16    -9.42    56.55     8.62    -3.69     0.06     0.28     4.19     1.42P   22.65R    3.68  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -2.94    30.39    -0.76    44.10     7.98   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   78.00R   40.38  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.87    93.97     7.87    85.41     8.31    27.42    40.55    74.88    94.86    80.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.57    83.06     8.26    78.28     8.49    22.60    12.84    42.92    78.77    52.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.78    74.28     5.56    73.12     8.57    14.89     4.89    21.56    57.30    30.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.78    87.57     8.27    70.08     8.70     8.21     2.46    12.63    42.66    18.38P    0.11R    0.02  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.66    78.30     2.96    70.94     8.70     7.50     2.87    14.69    46.10    21.57P    0.09R    0.02  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.45    82.96    10.77    65.29     8.45     6.52     0.68     4.82    23.25     8.22P    0.41R    0.08  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.30    28.60    -5.25    81.01     8.69    27.19    22.78    56.55    86.11    67.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.39    77.23     1.92    64.29     8.67    -4.33     0.59     3.95    19.78     6.86P    0.68R    0.15  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.76    55.16     1.58    73.28     8.79    15.59     5.16    22.80    58.20    32.85P    0.03R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.98    75.23     2.50    63.89     8.57    -2.68     0.49     3.48    18.29     6.34P    0.73R    0.19  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.42    60.12     2.78    66.29     8.73     4.91     0.99     6.24    27.42    11.03P    0.44R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.45    73.36     2.25    64.52     8.90    -0.01     0.60     4.40    21.06     8.12P    0.80R    0.19  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.12    36.15     2.77    68.30     8.63    13.72     1.58     9.66    36.45    16.90P    0.20R    0.05  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.30    52.69    -1.38    60.67     8.57    -6.00     0.18     1.55    10.56     3.61P    1.80R    0.51  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.42    34.35    -5.66    69.82     8.93     8.00     2.33    12.78    42.15    21.37P    0.17R    0.03  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.90    37.99    -6.43    65.75     9.02     0.34     0.90     5.96    25.47    11.23P    0.71R    0.23  
Barnet               16   20   -3       1.02    57.91     1.86    55.51     8.75   -12.22     0.03     0.44     3.99     1.08P    7.17R    2.56  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.22    52.40     0.50    56.07     8.45   -11.13     0.04     0.43     3.93     1.09P    5.64R    1.91  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.59    47.02    -2.51    47.29     7.92   -25.23     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.03P   29.11R   13.60  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.28    10.52    -9.82    53.85     8.63   -13.22     0.01     0.19     2.47     0.77P    9.71R    3.80  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.30    17.21    -5.51    47.12     8.25   -21.69     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   29.61R   14.36  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.10     7.29    -5.42    47.42     8.25   -16.17     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.10P   26.94R   12.76  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.34     2.07    -9.59    45.88     8.64   -18.41     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.07P   35.05R   18.72  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.46     4.04    -8.28    42.79     8.29   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   50.59R   30.68  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Altrincham 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     19   38  +13       5.25    79.45     2.71    83.48     7.85    25.95    17.23    76.08    31.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   37  +18       1.47    58.31     3.58    89.69     7.61    42.13    51.56    93.81    65.32P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   19   36  +10       6.97    86.56     5.65    77.12     7.89    16.11     4.65    45.55    12.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          19   33  +10       6.41    83.06     9.66    73.59     8.35    15.17     2.41    30.71     7.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   32   +6       4.63    77.23     3.86    71.33     7.64     9.65     0.85    19.11     4.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       1.05    56.43     4.11    72.70     7.83    16.95     1.44    26.18     6.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh        18   31   +4       3.15    69.15    -0.73    73.76     8.20    10.47     2.19    30.61     7.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.81    72.55    -0.46    70.45     7.90     4.55     0.67    16.90     3.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Grimsby          19   30  +19      -5.88    17.05     3.99    80.49     7.56    39.52    10.01    66.44    29.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.76    22.09    -3.29    79.54     7.83    28.76     8.04    60.44    25.63P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   29   +7       3.83    73.65     6.37    68.39     8.06     8.18     0.47    12.45     2.41P    0.10R    0.01  
Aldershot        19   28   -2       2.80    67.64    -0.57    64.34     7.75    -3.11     0.07     4.22     0.75P    0.32R    0.02  
Macclesfield     19   26   +4      -2.13    36.99     0.93    66.30     7.80     8.94     0.18     7.48     1.78P    0.15R    0.01  
Chester          19   25   -6       3.75    73.46     2.00    57.72     7.70   -13.25     0.00     0.65     0.08P    2.99R    0.25  
Barrow           19   25  -14       6.61    86.02    -1.07    51.42     7.81   -31.16     0.00     0.10     0.01P   15.38R    2.59  
Woking           18   24   +5      -4.10    25.49    -0.17    66.58     8.04    11.19     0.23     9.04     2.03P    0.18R    0.00  
Guiseley         19   23   -8       2.04    63.43    -0.30    48.05     7.54   -26.98     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.17R    5.54  
Welling          19   22   -5      -0.29    49.15     0.51    52.30     7.42   -15.17     0.00     0.09     0.02P   10.36R    1.54  
Altrincham       19   20  -13       0.74    56.41    -2.28    47.84     7.33   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00P   26.54R    5.56  
Boreham_Wood     19   16   -6      -4.76    22.87     2.02    46.28     7.75   -16.28     0.00     0.02     0.00P   32.60R    8.72  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.15     9.70   -10.61    51.61     7.82   -16.74     0.00     0.08     0.01P   13.18R    2.41  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.14    30.35    -1.96    43.82     7.47   -26.83     0.00     0.01     0.00P   46.37R   14.77  
Kidderminster    19   11  -12     -11.94     2.12    -7.28    42.51     7.50   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.52R   18.20  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.44     2.56   -16.66    38.57     7.46   -39.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.05R   40.39