Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 4 November 2015 at 22:00:02 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 November 2015, Tottenham 3 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 11 25 +17 1.18 59.06 1.59 83.02 7.26 52.68 59.97 86.85 95.23 98.05 99.64 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 11 25 +13 3.79 79.44 3.57 79.00 7.51 40.74 31.22 71.24 87.78 94.20 98.59 0.00 0.00 Leicester 11 22 +4 6.90 92.72 4.20 55.16 7.92 -3.70 0.06 0.62 2.85 7.10 20.86 0.29R 0.01 Man_Utd 11 21 +7 1.97 66.44 0.96 71.14 7.69 26.98 6.10 24.27 54.66 72.05 89.29 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 11 20 +10 1.98 66.34 5.61 63.49 7.96 19.87 1.06 6.01 17.89 34.07 61.78 0.02R 0.00 West_Ham 11 20 +7 4.44 83.53 6.58 57.50 7.95 7.44 0.14 1.19 5.13 12.00 31.08 0.13R 0.00 Southampton 11 17 +5 -0.96 41.78 0.58 58.91 7.87 12.05 0.29 1.93 6.84 15.60 38.36 0.07R 0.00 Liverpool 11 17 +0 0.44 54.19 -2.35 60.78 7.96 10.01 0.50 2.75 9.50 20.85 46.51 0.06R 0.00 Everton 11 16 +4 0.58 55.46 3.61 60.23 7.95 14.88 0.35 2.44 9.07 20.08 45.41 0.06R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 11 16 +1 3.22 76.96 4.49 50.22 7.67 -3.06 0.01 0.10 0.58 1.90 7.85 1.37R 0.08 Watford 11 16 +0 3.43 77.76 4.14 47.22 7.89 -9.36 0.01 0.05 0.33 0.98 4.14 3.84R 0.34 West_Brom 11 14 -4 0.98 59.97 -0.91 44.30 7.50 -14.51 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.31 1.63 7.12R 0.61 Swansea 11 13 -3 -0.77 44.07 -0.95 47.89 7.81 -6.80 0.01 0.04 0.28 0.94 4.71 3.05R 0.27 Stoke 11 13 -3 -1.95 33.94 -2.83 45.71 7.52 -9.24 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.49 2.63 4.55R 0.42 Chelsea 11 11 -6 -8.01 4.12 -11.94 60.56 7.84 14.04 0.28 2.47 9.64 21.34 47.22 0.06R 0.00 Norwich 11 9 -8 -3.16 24.99 -2.45 35.91 7.69 -26.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.14 36.75R 8.65 Bournemouth 11 8 -12 -2.71 28.12 -3.65 32.45 7.53 -35.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 56.89R 17.80 Newcastle 11 7 -10 -3.49 21.12 -1.78 35.23 7.54 -25.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 39.53R 9.41 Sunderland 11 6 -12 -5.14 11.82 -5.66 29.50 6.96 -34.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.06R 28.42 Aston_Villa 11 4 -10 -6.57 4.91 -2.81 28.54 7.16 -30.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.16R 33.98Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Birmingham 0 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 15 31 +15 3.95 76.37 5.78 86.66 8.45 33.82 37.68 60.70 95.22 72.59P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 15 31 +9 5.45 83.57 1.78 80.50 8.70 19.43 13.61 29.99 81.69 44.15P 0.00R 0.00 Brighton 15 31 +8 9.11 95.53 5.70 75.18 8.23 11.31 4.16 12.03 61.54 21.94P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 15 30 +15 2.90 70.20 5.47 82.75 8.29 29.64 20.11 41.66 89.28 57.11P 0.00 0.00 Derby 15 30 +12 3.42 73.09 3.00 83.10 8.52 27.91 21.57 43.13 89.21 56.97P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 15 25 +4 5.12 82.46 4.74 65.78 8.48 2.03 0.40 1.65 20.78 5.03P 0.64R 0.03 Reading 15 24 +8 2.68 68.98 6.77 66.80 8.45 8.82 0.53 2.07 25.46 6.65P 0.47R 0.03 Sheff_Wed 15 24 +3 4.13 78.22 3.55 65.18 8.23 1.90 0.25 1.13 18.34 4.25P 0.68R 0.05 Cardiff 15 22 +3 1.23 59.49 2.26 64.76 8.38 3.99 0.26 1.19 18.02 4.57P 0.85R 0.07 Ipswich 15 21 -3 -0.37 47.81 -4.33 64.60 8.62 -1.21 0.32 1.27 17.57 4.91P 1.18R 0.11 Fulham 15 20 +4 -0.16 49.23 4.85 62.62 8.84 3.66 0.21 0.95 13.71 3.25P 2.26R 0.24 Brentford 15 20 -2 -0.91 43.81 -2.50 64.28 8.70 0.73 0.24 1.15 17.06 4.52P 1.43R 0.12 QPR 15 19 -2 -3.02 30.19 -4.06 63.78 9.02 1.58 0.28 1.23 17.05 4.91P 1.81R 0.19 Wolverhampton 15 18 -1 -3.50 26.65 -2.47 64.55 8.58 5.20 0.30 1.31 18.00 5.25P 1.07R 0.09 Blackburn 15 16 +0 -4.78 19.06 -0.53 60.47 8.52 3.36 0.05 0.36 8.46 2.18P 3.10R 0.32 Preston 15 16 -2 -2.91 29.85 -0.30 54.65 8.55 -6.36 0.02 0.06 2.43 0.54P 11.51R 1.74 Leeds_United 15 16 -6 -1.36 41.12 -1.66 53.01 8.20 -13.14 0.00 0.03 1.09 0.19P 15.87R 2.89 Huddersfield 15 15 -4 -2.08 35.90 1.16 52.43 8.31 -11.20 0.00 0.03 1.12 0.20P 17.69R 3.23 Nott'm_Forest 15 14 -5 -5.36 15.91 -3.59 54.20 8.47 -8.13 0.00 0.03 1.95 0.41P 12.66R 2.11 MK_Dons 15 14 -8 -4.14 22.78 -4.37 50.66 8.64 -16.48 0.00 0.01 0.89 0.14P 24.56R 5.46 Bristol_City 15 14 -9 -3.81 25.36 -4.82 50.87 8.76 -18.07 0.00 0.02 0.95 0.21P 25.02R 6.19 Bolton 15 10 -12 -6.32 10.68 -6.07 45.49 8.17 -21.76 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 47.00R 15.23 Charlton 15 10 -14 -5.70 13.07 -7.20 43.76 8.04 -25.80 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 56.60R 20.11 Rotherham 15 9 -13 -5.17 15.10 -3.14 39.44 7.97 -31.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 75.58R 41.77League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 16 32 +14 6.46 87.03 8.73 79.40 8.40 23.27 22.03 39.93 80.67 50.62P 0.03R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 32 +3 11.06 97.20 4.18 70.55 8.54 -0.39 3.95 9.51 39.85 14.97P 0.87R 0.03 Gillingham 16 31 +13 6.09 85.08 8.62 77.24 8.64 20.69 15.95 30.96 72.37 40.63P 0.09R 0.00 Coventry 16 31 +12 6.53 86.89 8.27 77.34 8.58 19.71 15.88 30.69 72.84 40.54P 0.10R 0.00 Wigan 16 27 +8 -1.09 41.99 -1.31 79.96 8.66 25.45 25.00 43.51 82.01 56.83P 0.03R 0.00 Bury 16 27 +4 5.80 83.67 5.39 66.61 8.80 1.00 1.85 4.86 25.72 8.89P 3.31R 0.21 Millwall 16 25 +1 1.32 58.69 -1.47 70.00 8.88 6.78 3.95 9.66 39.95 17.39P 1.48R 0.09 Sheff_Utd 16 24 +4 -1.77 38.03 -1.73 70.78 8.52 12.38 4.39 10.62 43.91 20.22P 0.85R 0.04 Bradford 16 24 -1 2.40 66.54 -0.64 64.81 8.28 -1.17 0.87 2.46 18.16 5.89P 4.16R 0.29 Scunthorpe 16 23 +3 1.34 59.61 3.65 63.01 8.55 0.98 0.63 1.83 14.85 4.68P 6.76R 0.63 Chesterfield 16 23 -1 -0.26 48.50 -2.95 66.83 8.58 2.79 1.48 4.26 26.26 9.54P 3.05R 0.19 Southend 16 23 -1 3.52 73.58 2.29 59.57 8.33 -7.13 0.18 0.63 6.95 1.83P 13.75R 1.55 Peterborough 16 21 +5 -3.31 28.90 1.37 68.60 8.67 14.65 2.69 7.14 35.36 15.13P 1.89R 0.15 Rochdale 16 21 +2 -1.67 39.10 1.03 63.83 8.60 4.22 0.74 2.35 17.14 6.06P 5.83R 0.58 Port_Vale 16 20 +0 -0.97 43.96 1.35 58.74 8.39 -3.76 0.15 0.51 6.16 1.77P 15.41R 1.91 Colchester 16 20 -9 1.80 63.31 -2.16 54.97 8.44 -20.01 0.04 0.16 2.44 0.56P 30.74R 5.83 Shrewsbury 16 17 -4 -4.40 22.85 -3.27 54.31 8.57 -9.67 0.04 0.17 2.38 0.74P 31.62R 6.26 Doncaster 16 17 -9 -3.23 28.83 -6.42 55.60 8.38 -12.48 0.03 0.14 2.74 0.73P 27.33R 4.69 Oldham 16 16 -6 -3.00 30.71 -1.56 52.85 8.32 -12.40 0.01 0.07 1.32 0.29P 38.10R 8.51 Blackpool 16 16 -8 -3.71 26.60 -4.67 53.30 8.49 -13.57 0.03 0.09 1.72 0.47P 36.80R 7.75 Fleetwood_Town 16 15 -5 -4.54 21.29 -1.38 51.69 8.19 -11.50 0.01 0.04 0.93 0.26P 42.94R 9.98 Barnsley 16 14 -8 -7.50 9.74 -7.13 53.73 8.60 -10.50 0.03 0.12 2.04 0.55P 34.22R 7.26 Swindon 16 13 -7 -10.63 3.16 -9.42 56.55 8.62 -3.69 0.06 0.28 4.19 1.42P 22.65R 3.68 Crewe 16 13 -10 -2.94 30.39 -0.76 44.10 7.98 -25.65 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 78.00R 40.38League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 16 35 +14 8.87 93.97 7.87 85.41 8.31 27.42 40.55 74.88 94.86 80.33P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 16 30 +12 5.57 83.06 8.26 78.28 8.49 22.60 12.84 42.92 78.77 52.39P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 16 28 +9 3.78 74.28 5.56 73.12 8.57 14.89 4.89 21.56 57.30 30.33P 0.02R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 16 28 +7 6.78 87.57 8.27 70.08 8.70 8.21 2.46 12.63 42.66 18.38P 0.11R 0.02 Northampton 16 28 +5 4.66 78.30 2.96 70.94 8.70 7.50 2.87 14.69 46.10 21.57P 0.09R 0.02 Mansfield 16 26 +9 5.45 82.96 10.77 65.29 8.45 6.52 0.68 4.82 23.25 8.22P 0.41R 0.08 Leyton_Orient 16 26 +6 -3.30 28.60 -5.25 81.01 8.69 27.19 22.78 56.55 86.11 67.27P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 16 26 +1 4.39 77.23 1.92 64.29 8.67 -4.33 0.59 3.95 19.78 6.86P 0.68R 0.15 Wycombe 15 25 +7 0.76 55.16 1.58 73.28 8.79 15.59 5.16 22.80 58.20 32.85P 0.03R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 16 25 +1 3.98 75.23 2.50 63.89 8.57 -2.68 0.49 3.48 18.29 6.34P 0.73R 0.19 Morecambe 16 23 +2 1.42 60.12 2.78 66.29 8.73 4.91 0.99 6.24 27.42 11.03P 0.44R 0.12 Bristol_Rovers 15 23 +1 3.45 73.36 2.25 64.52 8.90 -0.01 0.60 4.40 21.06 8.12P 0.80R 0.19 Luton 16 22 +6 -2.12 36.15 2.77 68.30 8.63 13.72 1.58 9.66 36.45 16.90P 0.20R 0.05 Exeter 16 22 -2 0.30 52.69 -1.38 60.67 8.57 -6.00 0.18 1.55 10.56 3.61P 1.80R 0.51 Notts_County 16 22 -2 -2.42 34.35 -5.66 69.82 8.93 8.00 2.33 12.78 42.15 21.37P 0.17R 0.03 Crawley_Town 16 21 -5 -1.90 37.99 -6.43 65.75 9.02 0.34 0.90 5.96 25.47 11.23P 0.71R 0.23 Barnet 16 20 -3 1.02 57.91 1.86 55.51 8.75 -12.22 0.03 0.44 3.99 1.08P 7.17R 2.56 Cambridge_Utd 16 20 -3 0.22 52.40 0.50 56.07 8.45 -11.13 0.04 0.43 3.93 1.09P 5.64R 1.91 Hartlepool 16 17 -9 -0.59 47.02 -2.51 47.29 7.92 -25.23 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.03P 29.11R 13.60 Stevenage 16 14 -11 -7.28 10.52 -9.82 53.85 8.63 -13.22 0.01 0.19 2.47 0.77P 9.71R 3.80 Newport_County 16 13 -11 -5.30 17.21 -5.51 47.12 8.25 -21.69 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.07P 29.61R 14.36 York 16 12 -8 -8.10 7.29 -5.42 47.42 8.25 -16.17 0.00 0.02 0.32 0.10P 26.94R 12.76 Yeovil 16 9 -12 -11.34 2.07 -9.59 45.88 8.64 -18.41 0.00 0.02 0.29 0.07P 35.05R 18.72 Dag_&_Red 16 9 -14 -9.46 4.04 -8.28 42.79 8.29 -25.82 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 50.59R 30.68National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Altrincham 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 19 38 +13 5.25 79.45 2.71 83.48 7.85 25.95 17.23 76.08 31.32P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 19 37 +18 1.47 58.31 3.58 89.69 7.61 42.13 51.56 93.81 65.32P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 19 36 +10 6.97 86.56 5.65 77.12 7.89 16.11 4.65 45.55 12.05P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 19 33 +10 6.41 83.06 9.66 73.59 8.35 15.17 2.41 30.71 7.06P 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 19 32 +6 4.63 77.23 3.86 71.33 7.64 9.65 0.85 19.11 4.24P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 19 31 +10 1.05 56.43 4.11 72.70 7.83 16.95 1.44 26.18 6.59P 0.01R 0.00 Eastleigh 18 31 +4 3.15 69.15 -0.73 73.76 8.20 10.47 2.19 30.61 7.52P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 19 31 +1 3.81 72.55 -0.46 70.45 7.90 4.55 0.67 16.90 3.53P 0.04R 0.00 Grimsby 19 30 +19 -5.88 17.05 3.99 80.49 7.56 39.52 10.01 66.44 29.63P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 19 30 +10 -4.76 22.09 -3.29 79.54 7.83 28.76 8.04 60.44 25.63P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 18 29 +7 3.83 73.65 6.37 68.39 8.06 8.18 0.47 12.45 2.41P 0.10R 0.01 Aldershot 19 28 -2 2.80 67.64 -0.57 64.34 7.75 -3.11 0.07 4.22 0.75P 0.32R 0.02 Macclesfield 19 26 +4 -2.13 36.99 0.93 66.30 7.80 8.94 0.18 7.48 1.78P 0.15R 0.01 Chester 19 25 -6 3.75 73.46 2.00 57.72 7.70 -13.25 0.00 0.65 0.08P 2.99R 0.25 Barrow 19 25 -14 6.61 86.02 -1.07 51.42 7.81 -31.16 0.00 0.10 0.01P 15.38R 2.59 Woking 18 24 +5 -4.10 25.49 -0.17 66.58 8.04 11.19 0.23 9.04 2.03P 0.18R 0.00 Guiseley 19 23 -8 2.04 63.43 -0.30 48.05 7.54 -26.98 0.00 0.03 0.00P 26.17R 5.54 Welling 19 22 -5 -0.29 49.15 0.51 52.30 7.42 -15.17 0.00 0.09 0.02P 10.36R 1.54 Altrincham 19 20 -13 0.74 56.41 -2.28 47.84 7.33 -27.81 0.00 0.00 0.00P 26.54R 5.56 Boreham_Wood 19 16 -6 -4.76 22.87 2.02 46.28 7.75 -16.28 0.00 0.02 0.00P 32.60R 8.72 Torquay 19 16 -14 -8.15 9.70 -10.61 51.61 7.82 -16.74 0.00 0.08 0.01P 13.18R 2.41 Southport 18 15 -12 -3.14 30.35 -1.96 43.82 7.47 -26.83 0.00 0.01 0.00P 46.37R 14.77 Kidderminster 19 11 -12 -11.94 2.12 -7.28 42.51 7.50 -20.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.52R 18.20 Halifax 19 10 -25 -11.44 2.56 -16.66 38.57 7.46 -39.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.05R 40.39