Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 3 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 November 2015, Tottenham 3 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   25  +17       1.19    59.27     1.55    83.07     7.24    52.90    60.63    86.88    95.42    98.18    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   25  +13       3.87    79.84     3.75    78.81     7.46    40.36    30.11    70.22    87.06    94.07    98.59     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   22   +4       6.87    92.75     4.19    54.97     7.87    -4.01     0.07     0.63     2.70     6.54    19.94     0.29R    0.01  
Man_Utd          11   21   +7       1.89    65.67     0.87    71.30     7.72    27.28     6.48    25.05    55.43    72.41    89.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   20  +10       1.93    66.09     5.53    63.55     7.98    20.00     1.14     6.12    17.90    34.33    61.74     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         11   20   +7       4.40    83.30     6.48    57.59     7.92     7.57     0.16     1.27     5.06    12.10    31.48     0.09R    0.00  
Southampton      11   17   +5      -1.00    41.43     0.53    58.95     7.85    12.17     0.29     1.81     6.78    15.56    38.43     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool        11   17   +0       0.47    54.21    -2.28    60.66     7.94     9.81     0.40     2.59     9.20    20.36    45.98     0.04R    0.00  
Everton          11   16   +4       0.54    55.01     3.57    60.33     8.00    15.03     0.34     2.60     9.23    20.55    46.07     0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   11   16   +1       3.29    77.65     4.60    50.12     7.65    -3.25     0.01     0.08     0.49     1.70     7.55     1.51R    0.09  
Watford          11   16   +0       3.39    77.42     4.10    47.36     7.84    -9.15     0.01     0.07     0.32     1.01     4.35     3.64R    0.28  
West_Brom        11   14   -4       0.98    59.85    -0.86    44.32     7.48   -14.59     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.31     1.60     6.87R    0.61  
Swansea          11   13   -3      -0.85    43.49    -1.08    48.12     7.81    -6.44     0.00     0.05     0.32     1.07     4.94     2.85R    0.21  
Stoke            11   13   -3      -1.88    34.59    -2.73    45.55     7.49    -9.47     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.41     2.31     4.55R    0.39  
Chelsea          11   11   -6      -8.01     4.09   -11.96    60.64     7.83    14.13     0.36     2.62     9.87    21.35    47.31     0.05R    0.00  
Norwich          11    9   -8      -3.14    25.04    -2.47    35.88     7.78   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.17    37.22R    8.53  
Bournemouth      11    8  -12      -2.73    28.09    -3.65    32.40     7.53   -35.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    56.75R   17.82  
Newcastle        11    7  -10      -3.48    21.00    -1.77    35.23     7.53   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    39.49R    9.49  
Sunderland       11    6  -12      -5.13    11.67    -5.64    29.48     6.99   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.98R   28.42  
Aston_Villa      11    4  -10      -6.53     4.92    -2.73    28.43     7.14   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.51R   34.15  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Birmingham 0 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            15   31  +15       3.96    76.56     5.76    86.68     8.47    33.90    38.15    61.20    95.34    72.77P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         15   31   +9       5.39    83.23     1.70    80.53     8.66    19.47    13.58    30.26    81.76    44.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton        15   31   +8       8.99    95.31     5.58    75.33     8.23    11.48     4.10    12.14    62.05    22.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   15   30  +15       2.97    70.88     5.57    82.71     8.35    29.62    20.20    41.48    89.15    56.96P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           15   30  +12       3.46    73.49     3.07    82.96     8.52    27.71    20.91    42.44    88.88    56.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      15   25   +4       5.06    82.36     4.70    65.92     8.41     2.19     0.41     1.57    21.01     5.02P    0.65R    0.03  
Reading         15   24   +8       2.74    69.16     6.86    66.69     8.46     8.66     0.53     2.10    24.81     6.44P    0.43R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   +3       4.16    78.09     3.60    65.19     8.32     1.91     0.26     1.18    18.46     4.38P    0.77R    0.06  
Cardiff         15   22   +3       1.14    58.75     2.13    64.88     8.34     4.17     0.29     1.25    18.18     4.68P    0.80R    0.05  
Ipswich         15   21   -3      -0.28    48.34    -4.19    64.43     8.66    -1.45     0.31     1.20    16.83     4.49P    1.21R    0.12  
Fulham          15   20   +4      -0.16    49.44     4.85    62.62     8.81     3.71     0.23     0.89    13.65     3.22P    2.15R    0.22  
Brentford       15   20   -2      -0.85    44.44    -2.43    64.09     8.63     0.52     0.21     1.01    16.45     4.11P    1.30R    0.12  
QPR             15   19   -2      -3.05    29.87    -4.14    63.89     9.05     1.73     0.36     1.39    17.20     5.02P    1.86R    0.20  
Wolverhampton   15   18   -1      -3.62    25.93    -2.68    64.85     8.63     5.59     0.35     1.37    19.33     5.70P    1.01R    0.08  
Blackburn       15   16   +0      -4.69    19.62    -0.41    60.38     8.52     3.22     0.08     0.35     8.42     2.13P    3.09R    0.38  
Preston         15   16   -2      -2.94    29.92    -0.33    54.76     8.45    -6.28     0.01     0.05     2.24     0.48P   10.99R    1.56  
Leeds_United    15   16   -6      -1.36    40.89    -1.66    53.00     8.21   -13.15     0.00     0.02     1.21     0.22P   15.96R    2.90  
Huddersfield    15   15   -4      -1.92    37.15     1.43    52.09     8.36   -11.70     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.22P   18.57R    3.65  
Nott'm_Forest   15   14   -5      -5.33    16.18    -3.56    54.03     8.52    -8.40     0.01     0.04     1.98     0.46P   13.33R    2.19  
MK_Dons         15   14   -8      -4.17    22.59    -4.43    50.77     8.69   -16.31     0.00     0.01     0.93     0.18P   24.43R    5.54  
Bristol_City    15   14   -9      -3.73    25.74    -4.73    50.72     8.80   -18.26     0.00     0.03     0.87     0.19P   25.78R    6.55  
Bolton          15   10  -12      -6.38    10.56    -6.17    45.58     8.24   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   46.72R   15.11  
Charlton        15   10  -14      -5.80    12.72    -7.33    43.93     8.03   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.52R   19.68  
Rotherham       15    9  -13      -5.20    15.10    -3.18    39.50     7.91   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.41R   41.54  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 November 2015, Bradford 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.47    87.14     8.74    79.44     8.40    23.29    21.92    40.12    80.69    50.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      11.05    97.09     4.17    70.59     8.50    -0.28     3.82     9.37    40.23    14.85P    0.86R    0.03  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       6.09    84.91     8.61    77.29     8.69    20.76    16.29    31.19    72.21    41.03P    0.12R    0.00  
Coventry         16   31  +12       6.60    87.10     8.37    77.25     8.63    19.61    15.71    30.43    72.56    40.48P    0.08R    0.01  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.19    41.65    -1.40    80.01     8.62    25.54    25.41    43.48    82.16    56.95P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.84    83.83     5.48    66.45     8.85     0.82     1.67     4.81    25.53     8.68P    3.59R    0.27  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.37    59.27    -1.38    69.99     8.86     6.75     3.84     9.59    39.86    17.24P    1.54R    0.10  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.85    37.55    -1.83    70.82     8.56    12.46     4.51    10.93    44.25    20.81P    0.88R    0.06  
Bradford         16   24   -1       2.48    67.13    -0.57    64.80     8.23    -1.22     0.81     2.40    18.12     5.79P    3.98R    0.28  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.30    59.46     3.61    63.11     8.55     1.10     0.59     1.80    15.02     4.61P    6.58R    0.55  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.29    48.26    -3.03    66.87     8.58     2.90     1.54     4.36    26.43     9.79P    2.79R    0.20  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.48    73.31     2.27    59.71     8.43    -6.95     0.18     0.72     7.47     2.05P   13.78R    1.52  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.23    29.63     1.50    68.36     8.70    14.27     2.52     6.84    34.42    14.53P    1.93R    0.14  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.62    39.57     1.07    63.69     8.63     3.99     0.73     2.28    16.95     5.72P    6.22R    0.60  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -1.05    43.40     1.31    58.74     8.38    -3.79     0.14     0.50     6.12     1.73P   15.53R    1.98  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.78    63.09    -2.22    55.08     8.52   -19.84     0.06     0.21     2.77     0.65P   30.58R    5.89  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.39    22.77    -3.34    54.32     8.49    -9.59     0.04     0.16     2.31     0.66P   31.71R    6.05  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.31    28.36    -6.54    55.81     8.35   -12.23     0.06     0.18     2.92     0.77P   26.14R    4.34  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -2.96    30.76    -1.45    52.73     8.26   -12.62     0.02     0.06     1.33     0.28P   38.68R    8.59  
Blackpool        16   16   -8      -3.73    26.57    -4.66    53.26     8.51   -13.65     0.03     0.11     1.67     0.43P   37.18R    7.89  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.46    21.55    -1.27    51.50     8.26   -11.75     0.00     0.03     0.89     0.20P   43.77R   11.13  
Barnsley         16   14   -8      -7.41     9.73    -7.03    53.77     8.51   -10.52     0.04     0.14     2.00     0.58P   34.16R    7.02  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.59     3.19    -9.42    56.42     8.60    -3.83     0.08     0.28     4.03     1.35P   22.78R    3.81  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -3.08    29.23    -0.99    44.36     8.00   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   77.05R   39.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.91    94.17     7.91    85.33     8.38    27.30    40.58    74.28    94.61    79.87P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.37    82.28     8.03    78.53     8.54    22.94    13.78    44.45    79.84    53.94P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.78    73.89     5.56    73.15     8.55    14.91     4.79    21.62    57.53    30.35P    0.03R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.76    87.59     8.26    70.07     8.70     8.16     2.56    12.72    42.49    18.80P    0.09R    0.02  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.60    78.00     2.88    71.05     8.69     7.69     3.01    15.00    46.47    21.76P    0.06R    0.01  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.44    83.04    10.72    65.27     8.39     6.45     0.62     4.47    23.27     8.16P    0.39R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.05    29.81    -4.94    80.69     8.70    26.66    21.64    55.46    85.24    66.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.28    76.56     1.79    64.37     8.74    -4.24     0.56     4.24    20.18     7.20P    0.71R    0.18  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.74    55.29     1.54    73.47     8.68    15.82     5.45    23.23    58.98    33.14P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       4.02    75.52     2.58    63.79     8.49    -2.82     0.46     3.26    17.59     6.02P    0.77R    0.20  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.39    59.87     2.75    66.36     8.75     5.05     0.90     6.28    27.72    11.05P    0.50R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.52    73.78     2.37    64.39     8.93    -0.21     0.65     4.33    20.74     7.88P    0.78R    0.19  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.16    35.68     2.70    68.34     8.60    13.81     1.54     9.65    36.64    17.11P    0.16R    0.05  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.22    52.11    -1.54    60.94     8.52    -5.60     0.24     1.75    11.06     3.61P    1.71R    0.45  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.40    34.88    -5.65    69.66     8.94     7.78     2.34    12.60    41.11    20.85P    0.17R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.79    38.83    -6.28    65.49     9.01    -0.01     0.76     5.46    24.73    10.38P    0.71R    0.19  
Barnet               16   20   -3       1.09    58.21     1.96    55.43     8.74   -12.36     0.05     0.44     3.82     1.10P    7.39R    2.66  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.10    51.61     0.38    56.26     8.49   -10.81     0.05     0.46     4.21     1.24P    5.34R    1.84  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.55    47.28    -2.45    47.27     7.94   -25.19     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.04P   28.92R   13.41  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.22    10.67    -9.77    53.80     8.66   -13.32     0.01     0.22     2.48     0.73P    9.82R    3.87  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.34    17.25    -5.55    47.08     8.26   -21.69     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   30.10R   14.49  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.08     7.37    -5.37    47.43     8.21   -16.20     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.11P   27.12R   12.91  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.38     2.07    -9.66    45.95     8.65   -18.29     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.10P   34.70R   18.30  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.41     4.33    -8.24    42.76     8.34   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   50.48R   30.95  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Altrincham 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     19   38  +13       5.27    79.55     2.72    83.59     7.83    26.10    17.82    76.57    31.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   37  +18       1.63    59.41     3.77    89.56     7.61    41.88    50.83    93.59    64.86P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   19   36  +10       7.10    86.76     5.84    76.98     7.92    15.85     4.47    45.01    11.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          19   33  +10       6.34    82.58     9.49    73.65     8.43    15.26     2.48    31.15     7.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   32   +6       4.66    77.63     3.93    71.20     7.65     9.47     0.79    18.81     4.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       0.99    56.11     4.04    72.80     7.80    17.07     1.55    26.56     6.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh        18   31   +4       3.11    68.86    -0.76    73.68     8.20    10.40     2.14    29.73     7.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.90    73.05    -0.34    70.39     7.93     4.45     0.67    16.88     3.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby          19   30  +19      -5.77    17.41     4.16    80.39     7.53    39.35     9.87    65.95    29.52P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.80    22.10    -3.38    79.59     7.85    28.80     8.36    60.68    26.06P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   29   +7       3.76    72.90     6.30    68.54     8.07     8.39     0.46    13.10     2.55P    0.09R    0.00  
Aldershot        19   28   -2       2.77    67.46    -0.66    64.32     7.75    -3.14     0.09     4.28     0.76P    0.31R    0.01  
Macclesfield     19   26   +4      -2.07    37.36     1.02    66.19     7.81     8.83     0.18     7.39     1.59P    0.16R    0.01  
Chester          19   25   -6       3.55    72.12     1.67    57.94     7.75   -12.94     0.00     0.64     0.10P    3.08R    0.29  
Barrow           19   25  -14       6.71    86.45    -0.91    51.26     7.67   -31.36     0.00     0.07     0.01P   15.64R    2.65  
Woking           18   24   +5      -4.02    25.90    -0.04    66.60     8.12    11.17     0.27     9.40     2.29P    0.16R    0.00  
Guiseley         19   23   -8       2.09    63.79    -0.25    48.04     7.55   -27.08     0.00     0.04     0.00P   26.27R    5.68  
Welling          19   22   -5      -0.20    49.94     0.63    52.24     7.43   -15.20     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.62R    1.62  
Altrincham       19   20  -13       0.72    56.26    -2.31    47.79     7.32   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.68R    5.69  
Boreham_Wood     19   16   -6      -4.89    22.34     1.81    46.59     7.84   -15.79     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.71R    8.28  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.24     9.14   -10.75    51.70     7.80   -16.59     0.00     0.06     0.01P   12.99R    2.31  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.15    30.06    -1.94    43.70     7.48   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.35R   14.96  
Kidderminster    19   11  -12     -12.05     2.12    -7.46    42.66     7.50   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.02R   17.36  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.40     2.53   -16.57    38.54     7.54   -39.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.84R   41.12